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Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura...

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501 Blog Review Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland Laura Uguccioni Shuyun Jiang Yifei Peng
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Page 1: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

501 Blog Review

Airlie Trescowthick

Benet Copeland

Laura Uguccioni

Shuyun Jiang

Yifei Peng

Page 2: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Dummy slide

Page 3: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Wheat

Egypt To Build 50 Silos

Russian Rain Stymies Wheat Production

Queensland Concludes Wheat Harvest

Page 4: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Mexico bans GMO Corn

Thai Farmers Protest for Price Guarantee

S. Africa Buys on Corn Appreciation

Corn

Page 5: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Soybean Train Derails

Argentina Warns Against EU Biofuel Duty

Soybeans

Soil Oil Rises on Diwali Festival

Page 6: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

End of Government Shutdown

Government will be funded (January 15); debt limit suspension (February 7)

USDA open once again

Page 7: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Crucial Data Delayed due to Shutdown

September’s labor figures

October’s data quality

Taper Delay

Page 8: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Earning Releases

Indication of Economic growth

Google earning release beats Wall Street estimates (profit of $2.97 billion for the quarter ending Sept. 30, up 36 percent from $2.18 billion for the year-earlier period)

Apple Oct 28th

Page 9: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Weak US $

Higher commodity prices

Page 10: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Growth Accelerates in China

Q3 GDP rises 7.8 percent

However, Reuters reports that the pickup in activity is already loosing vigor.

Page 11: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Wheat

Class consensus that wheat prices will continue to increase

Reasons for increase: weaker US$, increasing trend.

Reasons for decrease: higher-than-expected production from Australia, speculation that China’s actual imports of wheat lower than expected

Page 12: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Wheat-Corn Spread

Page 13: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie
Page 14: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

GROUP 1

GROUP 2

GROUP 3

GROUP 4

GROUP 5

GROUP 6

Page 15: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie
Page 16: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Top Performers

Amanda 59.7%

Behzad 44.4%

Gianmarco 40.2%

Linda 37.8%

Ruiji 23.5%

Untill now, 10 of us had overall positive returns…

Page 17: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Who earned the most last week?

Gianmarco 22.96% 3

Amanda 22.86% 6

Dennis 20.31% 0

Linda 19.41% 5

Ruiji 19.40% 3

Page 18: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Men & Women

# of Trades % Return Did Not Trade

2.6 4% 19%

2 3% 44%

Page 19: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Risk Profiles

Average unit per trade:

17! --- Benet 1.25 --- Rita

8.14 --- Michael 1.5 --- Laura & Yifei

7.9 --- Alex

7 --- Vivian

Page 20: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18

Amanda

Airlie

Risk Loving Benet

Sh

arp

Rat

io

Average Unit/Trade

Linda

Page 21: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Top Blogs

Alejandro Barrero

Mia Zheng

Linda Mao

Amanda Ji

Ariel Kagan Harmony Bjarnason

GianMarco Vasquez

Page 22: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

GianMarco Vasquez

Sugar Industry in Belize

30% of labor force

Page 23: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Alejandro Barrero

MACD

Moving Average Convergence-Divergence

Page 24: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Linda Mao

●Bollinger Bands ●Moving average 3 lines indicators

Page 25: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Mia Zheng

Page 26: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Amanda Ji

Candlestick Chart

Page 27: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Harmony Bjarnason

Obama Stephen Harper CETA

Page 28: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Ariel Kagan

Page 29: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Harmony

Top 5

Alejandro Mia

Linda GianMarco

Page 30: Airlie Trescowthick Benet Copeland 501 Blog Review Laura ...blogs.ubc.ca/mliew/files/2013/08/Group-5-501-Lab-Presentation.pdf · -2 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Amanda Airlie

Conclusion

Read everyone’s blog

Think out of the box

Last Round – Final Spurt


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