Alstom Presentation
Henri Poupart-Lafarge, Chairman & CEO
Kepler Cheuvreux Autumn Conference, 15 September 2017
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 2
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements which are based on current plansand forecasts of Alstom’s management. Such forward-looking statements are by their naturesubject to a number of important risk and uncertainty factors (such as those describedin the documents filed by Alstom with the French AMF) that could cause actual results to differfrom the plans, objectives and expectations expressed in such forward-looking statements.
These such forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made,and Alstom undertakes no obligation to update or revise any of them, whether as a result of newinformation, future events or otherwise.
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 3
A dynamic market with solid long-term drivers
Market worth more than €110bn (+ 3.2%)
Solid growth drivers
Market driven by urban & integrated systems
Significant growth in all geographical regions
Note: Annual average– Accessible marketSource: UNIFE Market Study 2016
Market size in 2016/18
€51bn
€31bn
€10bn€18bn
Average annual growth between 13/15 – 19/21
AMERICAS
+ 2.3 %
MIDDLE EAST
+ 3.2 %
AFRICA
EUROPE
+ 3.0 %
ASIA
+ 5.4 %
PACIFIC
URBANISATION GOVERNMENTAL FUNDING SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC GROWTH
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 4
An ambitious strategy for 2020
ORGANIC
GROWTH
BOOSTED
BY
SELECTIVE
ACQUISITIONS
CUSTOMER-FOCUSED ORGANISATION1
DIVERSE AND ENTREPRENEURIAL PEOPLE 5
OPERATIONAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL EXCELLENCE4
VALUE CREATION THROUGH INNOVATION 3
COMPLETE RANGE OF SOLUTIONS2
OUR
STRATEGY
OUR VALUES
TEAM, TRUST & ACTIONETHICS & COMPLIANCE
OUR BRAND POSITIONING
OUR
VISIONPREFERRED
PARTNERFOR
TRANSPORTSOLUTIONS
DESIGNING FLUIDITY
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 5
2.84.2
5.1
1.0
1.3
2.95.11.1
1.4
1.1
4.1
0.6
2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Orders (in € billion)
Europe Americas MEA Asia Pacific
€10bn orders during third year in a row
• 2014/15: PRASA project in South Africa (c. €4bn)
• 2015/16: India eLocos project (c. €3.2bn)
• 2016/17: High-speed trains and services for Amtrak, Dubai 2020 metro system, regional trains in Netherlands and Italy, suburban trains in France
Q1 2017/18: €1.9bn orders
Backlog of €34bn on 30 June 2017 providingstrong visibility on future sales
10.6 10.0
Customer-focused organisationContinued strong commercial performance
10.0
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 6
32,800 employees working on 105 sites in 60 countries serving 200 customers
AMERICAS
5,200EMPLOYEES
ASIA PACIFIC
4,000EMPLOYEES
MIDDLE EAST
2,900EMPLOYEES
AFRICA
EUROPE
20,700EMPLOYEES
Customer focused organisationLeader on all continents
Notes: (1) Based on orders vs accessible market ; (2) Americas excluding freight market ; (3) Russia not included as market handled directly by TMH. Sources: Alstom ; UNIFE Market Study 2016
#1(2)
#2(3)
#2
#2
2016 rankings (1)
AMERICAS
EUROPE
MIDDLE EAST AFRICA
ASIA PACIFIC
Objective to reach critical size in each region (#1 or #2 where relevant)
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 7
Complete range of solutionsSystems, signalling and services to represent around 60% of sales by 2020
3.3 3.1 3.2
0.7 1.0 1.3
0.91.2
1.41.3
1.51.5
2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Sales (in € billion)
Rolling stock Systems Signalling Services
Rolling stock: roughly stable
• Rolling stock deliveries in Europe
• On-going execution of PRASA project
Systems: +88% over 2 years
• Deliveries of urban systems in MEA and LAM
Signalling: +54% over 2 years• GE signalling integration in November 2015
Services: +17% over 2 years
• Slight decrease in 2016/17 with adverse forex impact on UK contracts
Q1 2017/18: €1.9bn sales, i.e. 5% organicgrowth
6.9 7.36.3
+5%
+7%
57%54%46%
% change organic
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 8
226
248
2015/16 2016/17
R&D gross costs (in € million)
3.3% 3.4%
As % of sales
Value creation through innovationSustained level of R&D
Main R&D programmes
Renewal of rolling stock ranges
Signalling programmes
Predictive maintenance
The new generation of Coradia regional trains
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 9
Value creation through innovationNew innovations for smarter mobility
Coradia iLint, hydrogen train, with a first successful run at 80 km/h
Aptis, a new 100% electric experience of mobility
Mastria, the first multimodal supervision solution
Nomad Digital, acquisition of the world leader of on-board connectivity
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 10
298
366
421
2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Adjusted EBIT (in € million)
4.8%5.3%
5.8%
As % of sales
Volume increase
Portfolio mix improvement
On-going initiatives for operational excellence
+15%
% change reported
Operational excellenceContinued strong operational performance
+23%
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 11
Operational excellenceSolid project execution
PRASA project, South Africa
• 17 trains in commercial service
(delivered from Brazil)
eLoco project, India
• First batch of design submitted
to customer in February 2017
Riyadh project, Saudi Arabia
• First train delivered on-time from
Katowice, Poland in Feb. 2017
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 12
Conclusion
A 2020 strategy leading to sound results
A solid balance sheet
Resuming dividends in 2016/17
2020 objectives confirmed:
Sales expected to grow at 5% per year organically
Adjusted EBIT margin to reach around 7%
c. 100% conversion from net income to free cash flow
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 13
Q&A
www.alstom.com
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 15
4.2 5.1
1.3
2.91.1
1.44.1
0.6
2015/16 2016/17
Orders (in € billion)
Europe Americas MEA Asia Pacific
6.5 5.5
1.01.5
1.41.0
1.82.0
2015/16 2016/17
Rolling stock Systems Signalling Services
10.6 10.0
Appendix: Customer-focused organisation
10.6 10.0
30.4 34.8
2015/16 2016/17
Backlog (in € billion)
Europe 43%
Americas16%
Middle East & Africa25%
Asia Pacific16%
Backlog breakdown as end of March 2017
Rolling stock 49%
Services 29%
Signalling 9%
Systems 13%
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 16
Tram, metro, suburban/regional, high speed, very high speed, locomotive
E-bus Components: traction, bogie, motor
Signalling solutions portfolio for urban, main line, freight and mining and digital mobility
Sold as products or solutions
Integrated solutions Infrastructure
Maintenance Modernisation Spare parts, repairs & overhaul Support services
ROLLINGSTOCK
SIGNALLING
SERVICES
SYSTEMS
43%
19%
20%
18%
% of 2016/17 sales
Appendix: A complete range of transport solutions
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 17
Appendix: 2016/17 key figures
In € million
10,008
2015/16 2016/17% changereported
aEBIT
aEBIT margin
Sales
366
5.3%
6,881 7,306
15%
6%
(6)%Orders 10,636
% changeorganic
5%
(6)%
421
5.8%
Net income – Group share 3,001 289
Free cash flow (2,614) 182
34,781 15%Backlog 30,363 9%
Net cash/(debt) (203) (208)
Equity 3,328 3,713
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 18
Appendix: Income statement
Adjusted EBIT Adjusted EBIT margin
4215.8%
Sales 7,306
Net income – Group share 289
In € million
EBIT 358
Financial result
Tax result
Share in net income of equity investees
Minority interests from continued op.
Net income – Discontinued operations*
(127)
(76)
82
(14)
66
FY 2016/17
*Group share
(6)
(57)
Restructuring charges
Other charges
3665.3%
6,881
3,001
(226)
(275)
(597)
30
(15)
4,084
FY 2015/16
(138)
(454)
% changereported
15%
6%
% changeorganic
5%
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 19
Appendix: Free cash flow
Cash Focus programme impact
Several large down-payments
Volatility on short period
Phasing of transformationcapex
Adjusted EBIT
Depreciation & amortisation
Restructuring cash-out
Capex
R&D capitalisation
Change in working capital
Financial cash-out
Tax cash-out
Other*
366
138
(61)
(154)
(73)
(892)
(291)
(211)
(1,436)
FY 2015/16
421
132
(49)
(150)
(70)
80
(115)
(87)
20
FY 2016/17
Free cash flow (2,614) 182
*includes free cash flow from discontinued operations
In € million
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 20
150
103
447
2015/16 2016/17
Capex* (in € million)
Capex Transformation Capex
Progressive ramp up of transformation capex
Appendix: Capex developments
New sites to meet customers’ growing demand for a local presencec. €300m transformation capex over 3 years
* excluding capitalised development costs
South Africa: on-going site construction
154 150
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 21
2,3611,963
Mar-16 Mar-17Undrawn credit line Gross cash
453
272
371
282
594
Feb 20174.13%
Oct 20172.25%
Oct 20183.63%
July 20193%
March 20204.5%
Appendix: Liquidity and gross debt
Liquidity
€1,563m cash and cash equivalents as of 31 March 2017
€400m revolving credit facility ; fully undrawn
Flexibility with Energy JVs put options
Liquidity position
Gross debt
In € million
In € million Gross debt
€453m reimbursed at maturity in February 2017
€1,519m outstanding bonds as of 31 March 2017
Next maturity in October 2017 (€272m)
Interest rate
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 22
Appendix: Strong balance sheet
EquityIn € millionNet cash/(debt)In € million
* includes GE related separation impact (e.g. IS&T)
(203) (208)182 (171)
(16)
Mar-16 FCF Acq. & disposals* Forex & other Mar-17
3,328
3,713
289
(32)128
Mar-16 Net income Pensions Forex & other Mar-17
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 23
Appendix: Q1 2017/18 Orders
0.40.6
0.3
0.8
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.4
Q1 2016/17 Q1 2017/18
Orders by region(in € billion)
Europe Americas MEA Asia Pacific
0.3
1.0
0.0
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.4
0.4
Q1 2016/17 Q1 2017/18
Orders by products(in € billion)
Trains Systems Signalling Services
0.9
1.9
0.9
1.9
© ALSTOM 2017. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project.This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use or disclosure to third parties, without express written authority, is strictly prohibited.
ALSTOM – 15 September 2017 – P 24
Appendix: Q1 2017/18 Sales
1.11.0
0.30.3
0.2 0.3
0.20.2
Q1 2016/17 Q1 2017/18
Sales by region(in € billion)
Europe Americas MEA Asia Pacific
0.8 0.8
0.20.4
0.3
0.3
0.40.4
Q1 2016/17 Q1 2017/18
Sales by product(in € billion)
Trains Systems Signalling Services
1.71.9
1.71.9
% organic growth
+ 5 % + 5 %