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ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS WHAT TO LOOK FOR · Some common myths Hedge funds are highly correlated...

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ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS WHAT TO LOOK FOR Bill Muysken Global Alternatives Chief Investment Officer London 23 SEPTEMBER 2013
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Page 1: ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS WHAT TO LOOK FOR · Some common myths Hedge funds are highly correlated with equities? 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 Correlation with global equities HFRI

MERCER

ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTSWHAT TO LOOK FOR

Bill MuyskenGlobal Alternatives Chief Investment OfficerLondon

23 SEPTEMBER 2013

Page 2: ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS WHAT TO LOOK FOR · Some common myths Hedge funds are highly correlated with equities? 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 Correlation with global equities HFRI

MERCER

Agenda

Practical & governance

issuesWhy

allocate to alternatives

Common myths about

alternativesManaging the risks

Page 3: ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS WHAT TO LOOK FOR · Some common myths Hedge funds are highly correlated with equities? 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 Correlation with global equities HFRI

MERCER

Practical & governance

issuesWhy

allocate to alternatives

Common myths about

alternativesManaging the risks

Page 4: ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS WHAT TO LOOK FOR · Some common myths Hedge funds are highly correlated with equities? 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 Correlation with global equities HFRI

MERCER

Why allocate to alternatives?

Return-focused

Inflation-sensitiveDiversifiers

Directional hedge funds

Core Real Estate

Core Infrastructure

Commodities

Tail risk hedging

strategies

Shipping

Insurance-linked securities

Non-directional hedge funds

Growth Infrastructure

Opportunistic Real Estate

Short-biased hedge funds Energy Resources

Energy PEMining & Minerals

High Lease to Value

Real Estate

Private Equity

Private Debt

Timber

Agriculture

Value-add Real Estate

Page 5: ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS WHAT TO LOOK FOR · Some common myths Hedge funds are highly correlated with equities? 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 Correlation with global equities HFRI

MERCER

Why allocate to alternatives?

Return-focused

Inflation-sensitiveDiversifiers

Directional hedge funds

Core Real Estate

Core Infrastructure

Commodities

Tail risk hedging

strategies

Shipping

Insurance-linked securities

Non-directional hedge funds

Growth Infrastructure

Opportunistic Real Estate

Short-biased hedge funds Energy Resources

Energy PEMining & Minerals

High Lease to Value

Real Estate

Private Equity

Private Debt

Timber

Agriculture

Value-add Real Estate

LIQUID ILLIQUID

Page 6: ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS WHAT TO LOOK FOR · Some common myths Hedge funds are highly correlated with equities? 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 Correlation with global equities HFRI

MERCER

Practical & governance

issuesWhy

allocate to alternatives

Common myths about

alternativesManaging the risks

Page 7: ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS WHAT TO LOOK FOR · Some common myths Hedge funds are highly correlated with equities? 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 Correlation with global equities HFRI

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Some common myths

“Hedge fund performance has been disappointing”

“Hedge funds are more risky than equities”

“Hedge funds are highly correlated with equities”

Page 8: ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS WHAT TO LOOK FOR · Some common myths Hedge funds are highly correlated with equities? 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 Correlation with global equities HFRI

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Some common myths Hedge fund performance has been disappointing?

-6%-4%-2%0%2%4%6%8%

10%12%14%16%

5 Years to 31 Dec 1997

5 Years to 31 Dec 2002

5 Years to 31 Dec 2007

5 Years to 31 Dec 2012

20 Years to31 Dec 2012

Per

form

ance

(p.a

)

HFRI FoF: Composite Index HFRI FoF: Market Defensive Index MSCI World Index

Source: Hedge Fund Research, Inc

Page 9: ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS WHAT TO LOOK FOR · Some common myths Hedge funds are highly correlated with equities? 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 Correlation with global equities HFRI

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Source: Hedge Fund Research, Inc, Bloomberg

0%2%4%6%8%10%12%14%16%18%20%22%

Vola

tility

(p.a

)

5 Years to 31 Dec 1997

5 Years to 31 Dec 2002

5 Years to 31 Dec 2007

5 Years to 31 Dec 2012

20 Years to31 Dec 2012

Some common myths Hedge funds are more risky than equities?

HFRI FoF: Composite Index HFRI FoF: Market Defensive Index MSCI World Index

Page 10: ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS WHAT TO LOOK FOR · Some common myths Hedge funds are highly correlated with equities? 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 Correlation with global equities HFRI

MERCER

Source: Hedge Fund Research, Inc

Some common myths Hedge funds are highly correlated with equities?

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

Cor

rela

tion

with

glo

bal e

quiti

es

HFRI FoF: Composite Index HFRI FoF: Market Defensive Index

5 Years to 31 Dec 1997

5 Years to 31 Dec 2002

5 Years to 31 Dec 2007

5 Years to 31 Dec 2012

20 Years to31 Dec 2012

Page 11: ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS WHAT TO LOOK FOR · Some common myths Hedge funds are highly correlated with equities? 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 Correlation with global equities HFRI

MERCER

Practical & governance

issuesWhy

allocate to alternatives

Common myths about

alternativesManaging the risks

Page 12: ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS WHAT TO LOOK FOR · Some common myths Hedge funds are highly correlated with equities? 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 Correlation with global equities HFRI

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Hedge-fund closures

“Quitting while they’re behindSome hedge funds are throwing in the towel ”Feb 18th 2012 | LONDON AND NEW YORK |THE ECONOMIST

“California Hedge Fund Is Latest Europe Crisis Casualty”By Saijel Kishan - Jun 14, 2012, Bloomberg

Markets

“Hedge Fund Files for Bankruptcy”By Steve Eder and Josh Barbanel, July 4, 2012, 7:26 p.m. ET., The Wall Street Journal

Managing the risksSome hedge funds are risky investments

Page 13: ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS WHAT TO LOOK FOR · Some common myths Hedge funds are highly correlated with equities? 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 Correlation with global equities HFRI

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Managing the risks In hedge fund investing, diversification is essential

Hypothetical return

per unit of risk

(relative to average forindividual

managers)

Number of ManagersAssumed correlation between managers

0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.05

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

Page 14: ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS WHAT TO LOOK FOR · Some common myths Hedge funds are highly correlated with equities? 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 Correlation with global equities HFRI

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Managing the risks

Hedging strategies (0% to 20%) –

useful diversifiers

Multi-strategy funds (20% to 60%) –provide diversification with scope to shift

allocations as opportunity set changes and to gain exposure to niche/emerging strategies

Single strategy funds (30% to 80%) –

expected to generate strong returns over a

full cycle

Page 15: ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS WHAT TO LOOK FOR · Some common myths Hedge funds are highly correlated with equities? 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 Correlation with global equities HFRI

MERCER

Practical & governance

issuesWhy

allocate to alternatives

Common myths about

alternativesManaging the risks

Page 16: ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS WHAT TO LOOK FOR · Some common myths Hedge funds are highly correlated with equities? 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 Correlation with global equities HFRI

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Practical / Governance issues of investing in alternatives

Compelling case for investing in alternatives, but…it’s complex...

• Number of managers

• Manager selection

• Implementation

• Ongoing monitoring and maintenance

But, how will you manage this?

SEEK CONSULTING ADVICEHIGHER YOUR INVOLVEMENT IN IMPLEMENTATION LOWER

SEEK BOUTIQUE MANAGER RESEARCH ADVICE

ADVICE+

IMPLEMENTATION

COMPLETE OUTSOURCED FUND SOLUTIONSSUBSCRIBE TO INVESTMENT TOOLS

Page 17: ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS WHAT TO LOOK FOR · Some common myths Hedge funds are highly correlated with equities? 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 Correlation with global equities HFRI

MERCER

Important notices

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Page 18: ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS WHAT TO LOOK FOR · Some common myths Hedge funds are highly correlated with equities? 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 Correlation with global equities HFRI

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