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Andrew V. Newman, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Grant T. Farmer, Jaime Convers Georgia Institute of...

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Andrew V. Newman, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Andrew V. Newman, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Grant T. Farmer, Jaime Convers Grant T. Farmer, Jaime Convers Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA Interface Locking: Seismic and Interface Locking: Seismic and Geodetic Tools for Imaging Strain Geodetic Tools for Imaging Strain Accumulation Accumulation Heather DeShon Heather DeShon University of Memphis, TN, USA. University of Memphis, TN, USA. Susan Schwartz Susan Schwartz University of California Santa Cruz, CA, USA. University of California Santa Cruz, CA, USA. Edmundo Norabuena Edmundo Norabuena Instituto Geofisico del Peru, Lima, Peru. Instituto Geofisico del Peru, Lima, Peru. Timothy H. Dixon Timothy H. Dixon University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA. University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA.
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Page 1: Andrew V. Newman, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Grant T. Farmer, Jaime Convers Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA Interface Locking: Seismic.

Andrew V. Newman, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Andrew V. Newman, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Grant T. Farmer, Jaime ConversGrant T. Farmer, Jaime Convers

Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USAGeorgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA

Interface Locking: Seismic and Interface Locking: Seismic and Geodetic Tools for Imaging Strain Geodetic Tools for Imaging Strain AccumulationAccumulation

Heather DeShonHeather DeShonUniversity of Memphis, TN, USA.University of Memphis, TN, USA.

Susan SchwartzSusan SchwartzUniversity of California Santa Cruz, CA, USA.University of California Santa Cruz, CA, USA.

Edmundo NorabuenaEdmundo NorabuenaInstituto Geofisico del Peru, Lima, Peru.Instituto Geofisico del Peru, Lima, Peru.

Timothy H. DixonTimothy H. DixonUniversity of Miami, Miami, FL, USA.University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA.

Page 2: Andrew V. Newman, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Grant T. Farmer, Jaime Convers Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA Interface Locking: Seismic.

12/99 –06/2001 - 20 land (18 mo) - 14 OBS (1st 6 mo) Mw=6.4 Outerrise EQ occurred just

after OBS recovered. Main-shock and aftershocks were poorly located by our network

Nicoya-CRSEIZE

Analysts:

(UCSC) - self (postdoc) - Heather DeShon (Grad) - Matt Densmore (UG) - Martin Valle (Grad) - Megan Avants (UG) - Dev Gobalkrishnan (UG) - Christina Bernot (UG)

(OVSICORI) - Victor González - Marino Protti

(GT) - Abhijit Ghosh (Grad) - Amanda Thomas (UG) - Alice Koerner (UG) - Jaime Convers (Grad) - Grant Farmer (UG/Grad)

>10,000 regional events located

Page 3: Andrew V. Newman, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Grant T. Farmer, Jaime Convers Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA Interface Locking: Seismic.

After initial location in 1D velocity model, events are relocated using 3D Vp, Vp/Vs from Deshon et al., 2006.

Page 4: Andrew V. Newman, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Grant T. Farmer, Jaime Convers Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA Interface Locking: Seismic.

Cross-network relocations

Page 5: Andrew V. Newman, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Grant T. Farmer, Jaime Convers Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA Interface Locking: Seismic.

- Remove crustal events

- Define normal to a priori surface

- Select minimum cylinder containing n (35) events

- bin results normal to parabola

- Determine new 3D position from only maximum seismicity bin

Interface Modeling (maximum seismicity method):

By minimizing error associated with poor locations, it should well approximate interface <~40 km depth (intra-slab events deeper)

Page 6: Andrew V. Newman, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Grant T. Farmer, Jaime Convers Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA Interface Locking: Seismic.

Duration [s]

Page 7: Andrew V. Newman, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Grant T. Farmer, Jaime Convers Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA Interface Locking: Seismic.

S. Stein and M. Wysession, 2003

Earthquake frequency-magnitude Earthquake frequency-magnitude distributiondistribution

Log10 N = a – b M M = Magnitude N = # earthquakes > M a = activity (y-

intercept) b = slope

• b-value: ratio of number of smaller to larger earthquakes

• b-value global average ~1– 10x more events with unit M

decrease– high b-value: more small

earthquakes– low b-value: more larger

earthquakes

Page 8: Andrew V. Newman, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Grant T. Farmer, Jaime Convers Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA Interface Locking: Seismic.

Wiemer et al., 2004

bb-value distribution across an active fault -value distribution across an active fault (Parkfield segment of the San Andreas)(Parkfield segment of the San Andreas)

Page 9: Andrew V. Newman, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Grant T. Farmer, Jaime Convers Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA Interface Locking: Seismic.

Schorlemmer et al., 2005

Parkfield event 2004Parkfield event 2004

Page 10: Andrew V. Newman, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Grant T. Farmer, Jaime Convers Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA Interface Locking: Seismic.

Spatial variation of Spatial variation of bb

Page 11: Andrew V. Newman, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Grant T. Farmer, Jaime Convers Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA Interface Locking: Seismic.

Norabuena et al., 2004

Relation to geodetically derived Relation to geodetically derived lockinglocking

Page 12: Andrew V. Newman, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Grant T. Farmer, Jaime Convers Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA Interface Locking: Seismic.

Relation to geodetically derived Relation to geodetically derived lockinglocking

Page 13: Andrew V. Newman, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Grant T. Farmer, Jaime Convers Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA Interface Locking: Seismic.

EPR

CNS

Interface mapping of Interface mapping of bb-value-value

Page 14: Andrew V. Newman, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Grant T. Farmer, Jaime Convers Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA Interface Locking: Seismic.

Direct measurements of shallow locking:

Intensive Ocean-bottom seismic and geodetic deployments near at risk regions are needed to characterize seismicity and strain accumulation.

Gagnon et al., 2005Newman et al., 2005

Page 15: Andrew V. Newman, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Grant T. Farmer, Jaime Convers Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA Interface Locking: Seismic.

Duration [s]

Global Seismic Hazards Assessment Program

www.seismo.ethz.ch/gshap


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