110
ANNEXURE A
Table-5.1.1.1: Results of Regression of Daily CSSD and CSAD using Dummy Variables
Coefficients Coefficients
Model Unstandardized
Coefficients
t-statistic Sig. Model Unstandardized
Coefficients
t-statistic Sig.
Beta Beta
(Constant) 1.92 78.91 0.00*** (Constant) 1.51 87.16 0.00***
D1 0.72 11.03 0.00*** Rm -0.01 -1.38 0.16
D2 0.88 12.31 0.00*** Rm square 0.02 17.18 0.00***
a Dependent Variable: CSSD a Dependent Variable: CSAD
*** Significant at the 1percent level
Table 5.1.1.2: Results of regression of daily CSAD during periods of market stress
Coefficients (Bull Phase) Coefficients (Bear Phase)
Model Unstandardized
Coefficients
t-
statistic
Sig. Model Unstandardized
Coefficients
t-statistic Sig.
Beta Beta
(Constant) 0.86 3.99 0.00*** (Constant) 1.14 4.06 0.00***
Rm 0.42 5.37 0.00*** Rm 0.27 2.14 0.03**
Rm square -0.01 -2.47 0.02** Rm square 0.00 -0.03 0.97
a Dependent Variable: CSAD up a. Dependent Variable: CSAD down
** Significant at the 5percent level
*** Significant at the 1percent level
Table 5.1.2.1: GJR GARCH estimates: The GARCH effect and leverage impact on dependent
series (includes log values of daily Nifty 50 returns and closing option prices)
Parameters Daily Nifty
50 returns
Out of the money
put options
In-the-money-
put options
Out-of-the money-
call options
In-the-money call
options
ω 0 0.72 0.64*** 0.10*** 0.05***
β 0.98*** 0.76*** 0.78*** 0.83*** 0.56***
α 0.01 0.17* 0.07* 0.18*** 0.39***
γ 0.01 0.01 0.13*** -0.02 0.09**
* Significant at the 10percent level
** Significant at the 5percent level
111
*** Significant at the 1percent level
Table 5.1.2.2: Regression results for calculation of θ0 and θ1 (Campbell et al., 1997)
Parameter Estimate Asymptotic Std. Error t-statistic Sig
Log θ0 -3.92*** 0.014 -286.01 0.00
θ12 0.026 *** 0.001 27.23 0.00
θ1 0.038*** 0.005 8.20 0.00
R squared = 0.34
*** Significant at the 1percent level
Table 5.1.2.3: Descriptive statistics of „Pessimism‟14
series. For each option type there is a
separate pessimism series. Here:
Put-out: out-of-the- money put option
Put-in: in-the-money put option
Call-out: out-of-the- money call option
Call-in: in-the-money call option
Pessimism Descriptive Statistics
put-out put-in call-out call-in
Mean -16.24 -16.26 -16.37 -16.40
Standard Error 0.65 0.65 0.66 0.66
Median -15.33 -15.41 -15.48 -15.54
Standard Deviation 14.34 14.35 14.45 14.53
Sample Variance 205.60 205.82 208.66 211.11
Kurtosis -1.81 -1.81 -1.82 -1.82
Skewness -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02
Range 32.93 32.94 33.03 33.26
14 Pessimism series is the measure of pessimism, calculated by taking the difference between the mean
expected return from representative PDF (pr
tE ) and the objective PDF (p
tE ).
112
Table 5.1.2.4: One sample t-test to check the significance of „Pessimism‟ series.
One-Sample Test Pessimism
put-out put-in call-out call-in
T -24.86 -24.87 -24.89 -24.78
Df 481 481 481 481
Sig. (2-tailed) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mean Difference -16.24*** -16.26*** -16.37*** -16.40***
*** Significant at the 1percent level
Table 5.1.2.5: Impact of pessimism in out of the money put options on objective risk premium
Parameter Unstandardized coeff. t-statistic Sig.
(Constant) 0.03*** -8.62 0.00
RP-1 -0.64*** -19.28 0.00
RP-2 -0.35*** -10.51 0.00
Pessimism -0.40*** -17.93 0.00
Adjusted R square 0.60
*** Significant at the 1percent level
Table 5.1.2.6: Impact of pessimism in out of the money put options on representative investors’
risk premium
Parameter Unstandardized coeff. t-statistic Sig.
(Constant) 0.01*** 7.97 0.00
RP-1 -0.62*** -18.51 0.00
RP-2 -0.39*** -11.46 0.00
Pessimism 0.15*** 16.56 0.00
Adjusted R square 0.56
*** Significant at the 1percent level
113
Table 5.1.2.7: Impact of pessimism in in the money put options on objective risk premium
Parameter Unstandardized coeff. t-statistic Sig.
(Constant) 0.01*** 4.83 0.00
RP-1 0.01 0.33 0.74
RP-2 0.03 1.83 0.07
Pessimism -0.47*** -68.35 0.00
Adjusted R square 0.93
*** Significant at the 1percent level
Table 5.1.2.8: Impact of pessimism in in the money put options on representative investors’ risk
premium
Parameter Unstandardized coeff. t-statistic Sig.
(Constant) 0.02*** 8.30 0.00
RP-1 -0.60*** -18.20 0.00
RP-2 -0.38*** -11.29 0.00
Pessimism 0.27*** 17.24 0.00
Adjusted R square 0.56
*** Significant at the 1percent level
Table 5.1.2.9: Impact of pessimism in out of the money call options on objective risk premium
Parameter Unstandardized coeff. t-statistic Sig.
(Constant) 0.00 0.00 1.00
RP-1 -0.01 -1.61 0.11
RP-2 -0.01*** -2.58 0.01
Pessimism -0.95*** -131.43 0.00
Adjusted R square 0.98
*** Significant at the 1percent level
114
Table 5.1.2.10: Impact of pessimism in out of the money call options on representative
investors’ risk premium
Parameter Unstandardized coeff. t-statistic Sig.
(Constant) -0.01 -0.59 0.55
RP-1 0.30*** 7.04 0.00
RP-2 0.30*** 7.11 0.00
Pessimism 0.03*** 5.80 0.00
Adjusted R square 0.28
*** Significant at the 1percent level
Table 5.1.2.11: Impact of pessimism in in the money call options on objective risk premium
Parameter Unstandardized coeff. t-statistic Sig.
(Constant) -0.01 -1.53 0.13
RP-1 0.01 1.22 0.23
RP-2 0.00 0.44 0.66
Pessimism -0.99*** -215.35 0.00
Adjusted R square 0.99
*** Significant at the 1percent level
Table 5.1.2.12: Impact of pessimism in in the money call options on representative investors’
risk premium
Parameter Unstandardized coeff. t-statistic Sig.
(Constant) 0.00 -0.07 0.95
RP-1 0.67*** 14.60 0.00
RP-2 0.04 0.95 0.35
Pessimism 0.01 1.53 0.13
Adjusted R square 0.49
*** Significant at the 1percent level
115
Table 5.1.2.13: Impact of past volatility, past return and past optimism (pessimism) on
pessimism in out- of- the money put options:
Parameter Unstandardized coeff. t-statistic Sig.
(Constant) -0.01 -.23 0.82
Optimismt-1 0.42*** 10.43 0.00
St-1 0.00 -0.29 .77
Lagvolt -1.40*** -5.46 0.00
Adjusted R square 0.27
*** Significant at the 1percent level
Table 5.1.2.14: Impact of past volatility, past return and past optimism (pessimism) on
pessimism in in- the- money put options:
Parameter Unstandardized coeff. t-statistic Sig.
(Constant) 0.00 0.04 0.97
Optimismt-1 0.41*** 10.29 0.00
St-1 0.00 -0.14 0.89
Lagvolt -1.53*** -5.64 0.00
Adjusted R square 0.27
*** Significant at the 1percent level
Table 5.1.2.15: Impact of past volatility, past return and past optimism (pessimism) on
pessimism in out- of- the money call options:
Parameter Unstandardized coeff. t-statistic Sig.
(Constant) 0.01 1.08 0.28
Optimismt-1 -0.44*** -10.65 0.00
St-1 0.00 -0.20 0.98
Lagvolt -0.38 -1.32 0.18
Adjusted R square 0.19
*** Significant at the 1percent level
116
Table 5.1.2.16: Impact of past volatility, past return and past optimism (pessimism) on
pessimism in in the money call options:
Parameter Unstandardized coeff. t-statistic Sig.
(Constant) 0.00 -0.02 0.99
Optimismt-1 0.42*** 10.43 0.00
St-1 0.00 -0.05 0.96
Lagvolt -1.51*** -5.43 0.00
Adjusted R square 0.27
*** Significant at the 1percent level
Table 5.1.3.1: Market-wide vector autoregression. Endogenous variables: log market transaction
volume (LOGT) and lagged market return (Rm). Exogenous variable: Market volatility (Vol)
** Significant at the 5percent level
*** Significant at the 1percent level
Rm(-1) Rm(-2) Rm(-3) Rm(-4) Rm(-5) Rm(-6) Rm(-7) Rm(-8) Rm(-9) Rm(-10) VOL
Adj
R-sq
LOGT 0.00 0.01*** 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 2.52 0.63
t-stat [ 0.64] [ 2.71] [ 0.61] [ 0.34] [ 1.32] [ 1.14] [-0.24] [ 1.91] [ 1.06] [ 0.07] [5.29]
Rm 0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.06*** 0.01 0.05** 0.00 0.00
-
15.3*
** 0.02
t-stat [ 0.96] [-1.38] [-1.75] [-1.18] [-1.37] [-2.57] [ 0.32] [ 2.10] [ 0.06] [ 0.01]
[-
5.715.
71]
117
Table 5.1.3.2a Companies with significant coefficients for security return and market return
lags. Here the values under „Ri‟ and „Rm‟ indicate the lags with significantly positive or negative
coefficients.
Significant positive Significant negative
Coefficient Coefficient
Company Name Ri Rm Ri Rm Interpretation
A C C Ltd. 7 8,9
Both biases present
Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd.
3,4,5 Overconfidence bias inconclusive
Bharat Petroleum Corpn. Ltd. 1 2
Both biases present
Bharti Airtel Ltd. 5
1
Disposition effect inconclusive
H C L Technologies Ltd. 9
Disposition effect present
Hero Motocorp Ltd. 8
4
Disposition effect present,
overconfidence inconclusive
Hindalco Industries Ltd.
9 7,9
Overconfidence bias present,
disposition effect inconclusive
Hindustan Unilever Ltd.
8
Disposition effect inconclusive
Housing Development Finance
Corpn. Ltd. 7,8
Overconfidence bias present
Infosys Ltd.
10
Disposition effect inconclusive
Infrastructure Development
Finance Co. Ltd. 6,7,8,9, 10
7,8,9,10
Disposition effect present,
overconfidence inconclusive
Jaiprakash Associates Ltd.
8
Overconfidence bias present
Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. 1
1
Disposition effect present,
overconfidence inconclusive
Larsen & Toubro Ltd.
10
Disposition effect inconclusive
Oil & Natural Gas Corpn. Ltd.
5 1 Both bias inconclusive
Punjab National Bank
2
Overconfidence bias present
Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd.
5,6
Overconfidence bias present
Reliance Capital Ltd.
2 2,9
Overconfidence bias present,
disposition effect inconclusive
Reliance Communications Ltd. 8,9
Disposition effect present
Reliance Industries Ltd.
8 8
Overconfidence bias present,
disposition effect inconclusive
Reliance Infrastructure Ltd.
8 8
Overconfidence bias present,
disposition effect inconclusive
Sesa Goa Ltd.
2,3,4
Overconfidence bias present
Siemens Ltd.
2
Overconfidence bias present
State Bank Of India
4
Disposition effect inconclusive
Steel Authority Of India Ltd. 8 2
Both biases present
Sterlite Industries (India) Ltd.
2 7
Overconfidence bias present,
disposition effect inconclusive
118
Sun Pharmaceutical Ind. Ltd. 6,8 7 Both bias inconclusive
Tata Steel Ltd. 2 9 Overconfidence bias present
Table 5.1.3.2b: Summarized results of overconfidence and the disposition effect bias
Bias Name Companies Total
Firms with Overconfidence Bias
Hindalco Industries Ltd.
12
Housing Development Finance Corpn. Ltd.
Jaiprakash Associates Ltd.
Punjab National Bank
Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd.
Reliance Capital Ltd.
Reliance Industries Ltd.
Reliance Infrastructure Ltd.
Siemens Ltd.
Sesa Goa Ltd.
Sterlite Industries (India) Ltd.
Tata Steel Ltd.
Firms with the disposition effect
H C L Technologies Ltd.
5
Hero Motocorp Ltd.
IDFC
Reliance Communications Ltd.
Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd.
Firms with both Overconfidence&
The disposition effect
A C C Ltd.
3 Bharat Petroleum Corpn. Ltd.
Steel Authority Of India Ltd. (SAIL)
Total 20
119
Table 5.1.3.3: Response of LogT to 1 S.D. shock of LogT an Rm residuals
Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
LogT 0.31 0.09 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.06
Tstat 58.78*** 11.83*** 7.97*** 7.33*** 8.58*** 9.20*** 7.75***
Rm 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02
Tstat 0.46 2.59*** 1.27 0.83 1.65 1.83
*** Significant at 1percent interval
Here, LogT is the daily trading volume of market (i.e. Nifty 50 index) and Rm is the daily return of the
index.
Table 5.1.3.4: Response of Firm (i)‟s LogT to to 1 S.D. shock of Rm residuals. Here „i‟
represents the name of the firm
Period
Firm name 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Bharat Petroleum Corpn. Ltd. 0 -0.01 0.06*** 0.02 0.04** 0.01 0.02
I C I C I Bank Ltd. 0 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 0.00 0.03** -0.02
Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. 0 0.02 0.03** 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.01
Punjab National Bank 0 0.01 0.03*** 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.00
Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd. 0 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.03** 0.04**
Reliance Capital Ltd. 0 0.02 0.03*** 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.03**
Sesa Goa Ltd. 0 0.01 0.03** 0.00 -0.02 -0.01 0.01
Siemens Ltd. 0 0.01 0.03** 0.03** 0.02 0.01 0.02
Sterlite Industries (India) Ltd. 0 0.01 0.04*** 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03**
Tata Motors Ltd. 0 0.20*** -0.08 -0.12 -0.02 0.04 0.04
Tata Power Co. Ltd. 0 0.01 0.03** 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00
Tata Steel Ltd. 0 0.01 0.02** 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02
** Significant at the 5percent level
*** Significant at the 1percent level
120
Table 5.1.3.5: Response of Firm (i)‟s LogT to to 1 S.D. shock of Ri residuals. Here „i‟ represents
the name of the firm
Periods
Firm Name (i) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Bharat Petroleum Corpn. Ltd. 0 0.04*** 0.03 0.05*** 0.03 0.03** 0.03
Oil & Natural Gas Corpn. Ltd. 0 0.02 0.02** 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.00
Steel Authority Of India Ltd. 0 0.02** 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.01
** Significant at the 5percent level
*** Significant at the 1percent level
Table 5.2: Item codes representing behavioral biases
Item No. Behavioral Bias
A1 Optimism/pessimism
A2 Optimism/pessimism
A3 Overconfidence
A4 Optimism/pessimism
A5 Overconfidence
A6 Optimism/pessimism
A7 Disposition effect
A8 Disposition effect
A9 Herding
A10 Herding
B1 Overconfidence
B2 Overconfidence
B3 Overconfidence
B4 Herding
B5 Overconfidence
B6 Disposition effect
B7 Optimism/pessimism
B8 Herding
B9 Disposition effect
B10 Disposition effect
B11 Control item
B12 Control item
B13 Herding
121
B14 Herding
B15 Herding
B16 Optimism/pessimism
Table 5.3: Reliability of instrument verified with Cronbach‟s alpha value
Bias Name Cronbach‟s alpha value
Optimism 0.71
Overconfidence 0.80
Herding 0.79
Disposition effect 0.54
Table 5.2.2: Summary of Chi square tests
Demographic/investor
sophistication variable
No. of items with significant chi-
square values
Gender 16
Age 24
Education 6
Profession 22
Income 9
Trading experience 10
Trading frequency 20
Table 5.2.3.1: Independent sample t- test results for Gender
Presence of Bias
Optimism/pessimism Overconfidence Disposition Effect Herding
Group Item Response Item Response Item Response Item Response
I A4 Stable B1 Agree - -
II A4 Improve B1 Neutral
The table displays the result for items whose responses were significantly different from each other. Items
highlighted in bold show the presence of bias. (-) sign implies that the bias has an equal impact on the categories of
gender. Brief description of items is mentioned here.
A4= prospect of gold prices in next six months
B1= I have sufficient of Indian stock market.
122
Table 5.2.3.2: Independent sample t- test results for age
Bias
Optimism/pessimism Overconfidence Disposition Effect Herding
Group Item Response Item Response Item Response Item Response
I A4 Improve B1,B2,B5 Neutral A9 Important
A6 Mostly
potential loss
B3 Agree B4 Neutral
II A6 Mostly
potential loss
B1,B2 Neutral A9 Least
important
B3,B5 Agree B6 Agree B4 Neutral
III A4 Improve B2,B3 Agree B6 Neutral A9 2
A6 Mostly
potential loss
B4 Neutral
IV B7 Agree B1,B2,B3 Agree B6 Neutral A9 2
B16 Agree B6 Neutral B4 Agree
The table displays the result for items whose responses were significantly different from each other. Items
highlighted in bold show the presence of bias. Brief description of items is mentioned here.
A4= prospect of gold prices in next six months
A6= issues considered before making an investment
A9= importance given to opinion of peers
B1= I have sufficient of Indian stock market.
B2= I am confident of my ability to pick better stocks than others.
B3= I take full control and responsibility of my portfolio performance.
B5= my past investment successes are attributed to my own skills and understanding.
B6= my past investment successes make me invest more in stocks.
B7= I plan to increase my investment in stock market in next quarter.
B16= If NSE drops by 3 percent, then it would recover within few days.
123
Table 5.2.3.3: Independent sample t- test results for Profession
Bias
Optimism/pessimism Overconfidence Disposition Effect Herding
Group Item Response Item Response Item Response Item Response
I A1 Slightly optimistic B5 Agree B6 Agree -
A4 Improve
II A4 Improve B1,B2,B5 Neutral B6 Agree -
B7 Neutral
III A4 Improve B1 Agree B6 Neutral -
B5 Neutral
IV A1 Slightly optimistic B1,B2, Agree B6 Agree -
A4 Stable B5 Neutral
B7 Agree
B16 Agree
V A1 Can‟t say B1 Neutral B6 Neutral -
A4 Improve B5 Disagree
B7 Agree
B16 Neutral
The table displays the result for items whose responses were significantly different from each other. Items
highlighted in bold show the presence of bias. (-) sign implies that the bias has an equal impact on the categories of
profession. Brief description of items is mentioned here.
A1= Outlook for the Indian equity market
A4= Prospect of gold prices in next six months
B1= I have sufficient of Indian stock market.
B2= I am confident of my ability to pick better stocks than others.
B5= My past investment successes are attributed to my own skills and understanding.
B6= My past investment successes make me invest more in stocks.
B7= I plan to increase my investment in stock market in next quarter.
B16= If NSE drops by 3 percent, then it would recover within few days.
124
Table 5.2.3.4: Independent sample t- test results for income level
Bias
Optimism/pessimism Overconfidence Disposition Effect Herding
Class Item Response Item Response Item Response Item Response
I A4 Stable -
A6 A little about
potential loss
B16 Agree
II A4 Improve B1,B2 Neutral B6 Neutral -
A6 Mostly
potential loss
B16 Neutral
III A4 Improve B1,B2 Neutral B6 Agree -
IV A6 A little about
potential loss
B1,B2 Agree B6 Agree -
B7, B16 Agree
V A4 Stable B2 Agree -
B16 Neutral
The table displays the result for items whose responses were significantly different from each other. Items
highlighted in bold show the presence of bias. (-) sign implies that the bias has an equal impact on the categories of
income level. Brief description of items is mentioned here.
A4= Prospect of gold prices in next six months
A6= Issues considered before making an investment
B1= I have sufficient of Indian stock market.
B2= I am confident of my ability to pick better stocks than others.
B6= My past investment successes make me invest more in stocks.
B7= I plan to increase my investment in stock market in next quarter.
B16= If NSE drops by 3 percent, then it would recover within few days.
125
Table 5.2.3.5: Independent sample t- test results for investment type
Bias
Optimism/pessimism Overconfidence Disposition Effect Herding
Group Item code Response code Item code Response
code
Item code Response
code
Item code Response
code
I A4 Neutral A3 Sure - B4 Agree
A6 A little about
potential loss
B1 Agree
B7 Agree
B16 Agree
II A4 Improve B1 Neutral - B4 Neutral
A6 Mostly
potential loss
III A6 Mostly
potential loss
IV A4 Improve A3 Not sure -
A6 Both B1 Neutral
The table displays the result for items whose responses were significantly different from each other. Items
highlighted in bold show the presence of bias. (-) sign implies that the bias has an equal impact on the categories of
investment type. Brief description of items is mentioned here.
A3= Confidence about the correctness of response given in item A2
A4= Prospect of gold prices in next six months
A6= Issues considered before making an investment
B1= I have sufficient of Indian stock market.
B4= Discussing investment decisions with colleagues reduces pressure
B7= I plan to increase my investment in stock market in next quarter.
B16= If NSE drops by 3 percent, then it would recover within few days.
126
Table 5.2.3.6: Independent sample t- test results for trading experience
Bias
Optimism/pessimism Overconfidence Disposition Effect Herding
Group Item
code
Response code Item code Response
code
Item
code
Response code Item code Response
code
I A4 Improve A3 Not sure A8 Sell and lock
gains
A9 Important
B7 Neutral B2,B3 Neutral
B16 Neutral
II B7 Neutral B2,B4 Neutral A8 Stay put B4 Neutral
B16 Neutral B3 Agree
III A4 Improve B2,B3 Agree A8 Sell and lock
gains
B4 Neutral
B15 Neutral
IV A4 Stable A3 Sure A8 Sell and lock
gains
A9 Least
important
B7 Agree B1,B2,B3 Agree B4 Neutral
V A4 Stable A3 Sure A8 Sell and lock
gains
B4,B15 Agree
B16 Agree B1,B2,B3 Agree
The table displays the result for items whose responses were significantly different from each other. Items
highlighted in bold show the presence of bias. (-) sign implies that the bias has an equal impact on the categories of
trading experience. Brief description of items is mentioned here.
A3= Confidence about the correctness of response given in item A2
A4= Prospect of gold prices in next six months
A8= Trading activity in response to increase in price of a newly bought stock
A9= importance given to opinion of peers
B1= I have sufficient of Indian stock market.
B2= I am confident of my ability to pick better stocks than others.
B3= I take full control and responsibility of my portfolio performance.
B4= Discussing investment decisions with colleagues reduces pressure
B7= I plan to increase my investment in stock market in next quarter.
B15= Disappointment after losing on a contrarian position as compared to following the crowd
B16= If NSE drops by 3 percent, then it would recover within few days.
127
Table 5.2.3.7: Independent sample t- test results for trading frequency
Bias
Optimism/pessimism Overconfidence Disposition Effect Herding
Group Item
code
Response code Item code Response
code
Item code Response
code
Item code Response
code
I A4 Stable B1 Agree A9 Important
A6 A little about
potential loss B6 Agree B4 Agree
B7 Agree
B16 Agree
II A4 Improve B1 Neutral A9 Important
B16 Neutral B4 Neutral
III A4 Improve B1 Neutral B4 Neutral
A6 Mostly
potential loss
B7 Agree
B16 Neutral
IV A4 Improve B1 Neutral B6 Neutral A9 Least
important
B7,B1
6 Neutral B4 Neutral
V A4 Improve B4 Neutral
B16 Neutral
The table displays the result for items whose responses were significantly different from each other. Items
highlighted in bold show the presence of bias. (-) sign implies that the bias has an equal impact on the categories of
trading frequency. Brief description of items is mentioned here.
A4= Prospect of gold prices in next six months
A6= Issues considered before making an investment
A9= importance given to opinion of peers
B1= I have sufficient of Indian stock market.
B4= Discussing investment decisions with colleagues reduces pressure
B6= My past investment successes make me invest more in stocks.
B7= I plan to increase my investment in stock market in next quarter.
B16= If NSE drops by 3 percent, then it would recover within few days.
128
Table 5.2.3.8: Investor profile corresponding to each bias
Behavioral bias
Demographic/Investor
sophistication variables
Overconfidence Optimism Pessimism Herd
behavior
Disposition effect
Gender I I II - -
Age II,III,IV IV I,III IV II
Profession I,IV IV - I,II,IV
Income IV,V I,IV,V II,III - III,IV
Investment type I I II,III,IV I -
Trading experience III,IV,V IV,V - I,V I,III,IV,V
Trading frequency I I I I I
The table presents the demographic and investor sophistication characteristics representing each bias. The values in
the table are codes of demographic and investor sophistication categories. (-) sign implies that the bias has an equal
impact on the categories of corresponding variable.
Table 5.2.4: Results for One sample t-test Part (A)
S.no Items Mean t-stat sig. Response code with
maximum frequency
percentof total
response
1 Optimism (pessimism) 2.01 -13.98 0.00*** 2 44.6
2 Optimism (pessimism) 2.11 64.09 0.00*** 2 54.29
3 Overconfidence 2.28 -15.59 0.00*** 2 43.9
4 Optimism (pessimism) 2.52 -7.04 0.00*** 2 33.7
3 33.7
5 Overconfidence 2.04 -25.66 0.00*** 2 69.3
6 Optimism (pessimism) 3.54 -13.51 0.00*** 1 31.4
6 32.4
7 Disposition effect 1.89 -22.89 0.00*** 1 44.6
8 Disposition effect 2.27 -21.71 0.00*** 2 50.4
3 37.7
9 Herd Behavior 2.42 -40.08 0.00*** 2 47.1
3 34.2
10 Herd Behavior 2.22 -42.16 0.00*** 2 51.4
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Table 5.2.5.1: Ranking of items in Part (B)
LEVEL OF IMPORTANCE
Item Bias SD D N A SA mean t-stat Sig. Rank
B3 Overconfidence 1 55 34 229 82 3.84 18.35 0.00*** 1
B2 Overconfidence 3 49 82 211 56 3.67 15.04 0.00*** 2
B7 Optimism 6 54 88 173 80 3.67 13.45 0.00*** 3
B15 Herding 10 69 97 181 44 3.45 9.16 0.00*** 4
B1 Overconfidence 16 45 126 177 37 3.43 9.18 0.00*** 5
B16 Optimism 4 56 145 161 35 3.42 9.58 0.00*** 6
B4 Herding 5 70 128 163 35 3.38 8.35 0.00*** 7
B6 Disposition Effect 5 86 101 173 36 3.37 7.76 0.00*** 8
B14 Herding 18 129 68 154 32 3.13 2.43 0.02** 9
B13 Herding 38 156 82 107 18 2.78 -4.11 0.00*** 10
B12 Disposition Effect 105 81 79 129 7 2.63 -6.02 0.00*** 11
B9 Disposition Effect 131 112 34 85 39 2.47 -7.61 0.00*** 12
Table 5.2.5.2: Bias wise ranks of items: The table presents the individual ranks for items
corresponding to each bias.
Overconfidence Optimism/pessimism Herding Disposition effect
Item Mean Rank Item Mean Rank Item Mean Rank Item Mean Rank
B3 3.84 1 B7 3.67 1 B15 3.45 1 B6 3.37 1
B2 3.67 2 B16 3.42 2 B4 3.38 2 B12 2.63 2
B1 3.43 3 B14 3.13 3 B9 2.47 3
B13 2.78 4
Table 5.2.5.3: Ranking of biases in the order of prominence
Bias name Mean Rank
Overconfidence 3.65 1
Optimism 3.54 2
Herding 3.10 3
Disposition effect 2.83 4
130
ANNEXURE B
Dear Respondent
The purpose of this survey is to learn your views on investment pattern in general. Your responses will be kept
confidential and used only for academic purposes. Please provide following information about yourself.
1. Name: ___________________
2. Age: ___________________
3. Gender:
a. Male b. Female
4. Educational qualification
a. Undergraduate b. Graduate c. Post-graduate d. Doctorate
5. Current profession: _____________
6. Annual income:_________________
7. Have you invested stock markets before?
a. Yes b. No
8. If yes, then please specify which type of securities are you most comfortable in investing.
a. Stocks or mutual funds of new companies with high growth.
b. Stocks or mutual funds of old companies with high growth.
c. Derivatives and commodities market
d. High grade corporate bonds.
e. Debt and Liquid funds from AMC‟s
f. Others (Please specify)
9. For how long have you been investing?
a. Less than 1 year b. 1-3 years c. 3-5 years d. 5-7 years e. more than 7 years
10. When do you decide to invest?
a. When surplus funds are available
b. On friends‟ advice
c. Market movements
d. Analyst forecasts in News media
11. How frequently do you invest in equity markets?
a. Intraday b. 0-3 months c. 3-12 months d. 12-36 months e. 36 months or more
PART-A Kindly tick only one relevant choice.
1. My outlook for Indian equity market in near future is:
a. Very optimistic b. Slightly optimistic c. Cannot say d. Slightly pessimistic
d. Very pessimistic
2. What do you think is the average return of Indian stock market for last 15 years? __________
3. How sure are you to your answer to question 1?
a. Extremely sure b. Sure c. Not sure d. Don‟t know
4. I think the prospects of gold prices in next six months will:
a. Improve significantly b. Improve c. Stable d. Decline e. Decline significantly
5. How sure are you to your answer to question 2?
a. Extremely sure b. Sure c. Not sure d. Don‟t know
6. Before making an investment I think:
a. Mostly about the potential gain
b. A little about potential gain
c. Mostly about potential loss
d. A little about potential loss
e. Both
f. Security of investment (i.e. risk v/s return)
131
7. Consider that just within two months after you put money into an investment your stock price valued at Rs.
100 declines by 20percent to Rs. 80. Assuming that none of the fundamentals have changed, how would
you respond?
a. I would remain invested and ignore temporary changes as I look for long term growth.
b. I would buy more as it was a good investment before now it‟s cheap investment too.
c. I would sell to avoid further worries and try something else.
d. I would discuss this situation with my fellow traders and do what they are doing.
8. The price of your investment jumps by 25percent a month after you buy it. The fundamentals of the firms
remain same, how would you respond now?
a. I would buy more as the price could go higher.
b. I would sell it and lock in my gains.
c. I would stay put and hope for more gains
d. I would discuss this situation with my fellow traders and do what they are doing.
9. How important are your peers for you as a source of information?
a. Extremely important b. Important c. Least important d. Not important at all
10. How important are other market participants (includes brokers, fund managers, institutional investors,
analysts etc.) for you as a source of information?
a. Extremely important b. Important c. Least important d. Not important at all
PART – B Please answer the following questions by circling your preferred response where:
SD D N A SA
Strongly Disagree Disagree Neutral Agree Strongly Agree
1. I have sufficient knowledge of Indian stock market. SD D N A SA 2. I am confident of my ability to pick better stocks than others. SD D N A SA 3. I take full control and responsibility of my portfolio performance. SD D N A SA 4. Discussing my investment decisions with colleagues reduces my pressure of being
successful.
SD D N A SA
5. My past investment successes are attributed to my own skills and understanding. SD D N A SA 6. My past investment successes make me invest more in stocks SD D N A SA 7. I plan to increase my investment in stock market in next quarter SD D N A SA 8. I would increase my trading activity if the past trading volume of stock market was
higher than usual.
SD D N A SA
9. I prefer to sell stocks as soon as their price starts increasing. SD D N A SA 10. I prefer to keep holding on to stocks if their current market price is greater than their
purchase price.
SD D N A SA
11. I quickly dispose of the stocks whose price starts decreasing. SD D N A SA 12. I prefer to keep holding on to stocks even if their past performance is not very
encouraging.
SD D N A SA
13. I prefer to buy stocks if many "buy" orders were placed from the beginning of the
trading session.
SD D N A SA
14. My disappointment after losing money on an investment diminishes a little if others
have also experienced the same loss.
SD D N A SA
15. I feel extremely disappointed if I take a contrarian position (opposite to the general
trend) and lose while my friends make profits by following the crowd.
SD D N A SA
16. If NSE drops by 3 percent, then it would recover within few days. SD D N A SA Thank You for your cooperation