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Bettina Wagner (Hertie School of Governance) – Dealing with low wage labour migration in Germany

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Labour Migration in Europe Anke Hassel / Bettina Wagner Dealing with Low Wage Labour Immigration Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung Nordic Office and Arena Idé Conference Norra Latin, Stockholm 14 November 2014
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Page 1: Bettina Wagner (Hertie School of Governance) – Dealing with low wage labour migration in Germany

Labour Migration in Europe

Anke Hassel / Bettina Wagner

Dealing with Low Wage Labour Immigration Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung Nordic Office and Arena Idé ConferenceNorra Latin, Stockholm14 November 2014

Page 2: Bettina Wagner (Hertie School of Governance) – Dealing with low wage labour migration in Germany

Labour mobility and migration in Europe is a successstory

• Strong increase of labour migration

• Economic assessment positive

• Further facilitation of labour mobility required and fostered:

– Recognition of qualification and skills

– Cross-border pension arrangements and income support

– Elimination of other barriers for mobility

Page 3: Bettina Wagner (Hertie School of Governance) – Dealing with low wage labour migration in Germany

There is a downside however….

• Revision of Posted Workers Directive as a response to abuses of the system

• Social Dumping debates in Belgium/ France

• Anti-migration sentiments in manymember states

• Cases of labour exploitation on theincrease including human trafficking

Page 4: Bettina Wagner (Hertie School of Governance) – Dealing with low wage labour migration in Germany

How can we improve the reality of labour migration withoutfalling into the trap of right-wing populism?

How can modern welfare states cope with high levels of inequality within the EU, high levels of labour mobility and maintain high social standards?

Page 5: Bettina Wagner (Hertie School of Governance) – Dealing with low wage labour migration in Germany

Immigrants, 2012 (per 1 000 inhabitants)

Page 6: Bettina Wagner (Hertie School of Governance) – Dealing with low wage labour migration in Germany

Kahanec, Martin (2012) : Labor mobility in an enlarged European Union, Discussion Paper series, Forschungsinstitut zurZukunft der Arbeit, No. 6485, p. 40

Page 7: Bettina Wagner (Hertie School of Governance) – Dealing with low wage labour migration in Germany

Kahanec, Martin (2012) : Labor mobility in an enlarged European Union, Discussion Paper series, Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit, No. 6485, p. 43

Page 8: Bettina Wagner (Hertie School of Governance) – Dealing with low wage labour migration in Germany

0

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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Figure 1: Number of postings within the European Union (2005-2011)

Page 9: Bettina Wagner (Hertie School of Governance) – Dealing with low wage labour migration in Germany

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DE FR BE NL AT IT CH ES UK NO SE LU FI CZ PL PT DK RO HU EL SK IE BG SI LT EE LV MT CY LI IS

Figure 1: Postings by Destination Countries 2011 (in 1,000 )

from EU 15

from EU 12

Page 10: Bettina Wagner (Hertie School of Governance) – Dealing with low wage labour migration in Germany

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

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Figure 2: Main destination countries for postings 2007/2011(% of all postings)

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Page 11: Bettina Wagner (Hertie School of Governance) – Dealing with low wage labour migration in Germany

http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/File:Median_gross_hourly_earnings,_all_employees_%28excluding_apprentices%29,_2010_%281%29_YB14_II.png

Median gross hourly earnings, all employees (excluding apprentices), 2010

Page 12: Bettina Wagner (Hertie School of Governance) – Dealing with low wage labour migration in Germany

http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/File:Median_gross_hourly_earnings,_all_employees_%28excluding_apprentices%29,_2010_%281%29_YB14_II.png

Median gross hourly earnings, all employees (excluding apprentices), 2010

Wage differentials are main drivers for intra-EU posting of workers

Page 13: Bettina Wagner (Hertie School of Governance) – Dealing with low wage labour migration in Germany

Explanation for patterns of posted workers (2011)

UK and Ireland

– wage differential and differences in unemployment levels

– unemployment main driving force

Nordic countries

– strong negative relationship with posting and trade union density and collective bargaining coverage

Continental countries:

– Wage differentials is main driving factor (weaker effect than in LME)

– Collective bargaining coverage decreases posting

Southern and Eastern Europe: No strong effects found

Strong wage bargaining institutions diminish the arbitrage of wage differentials in Nordic and continental European countries

Page 14: Bettina Wagner (Hertie School of Governance) – Dealing with low wage labour migration in Germany

How to build a social Europe in the context of labour mobility and migration?

• Maintain and strengthen labour market institutions and social standards;

• Improve the administrative capacities at the level of EU and memberstates for law enforcement;

• Improve the monitoring of employers because of higher levels of vulnerability of migrant workers.

Page 15: Bettina Wagner (Hertie School of Governance) – Dealing with low wage labour migration in Germany

Dealing with low wage labour migration

Anke Hassel / Bettina Wagner

Dealing with Low Wage Labour Immigration Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung Nordic Office and Arena Idé ConferenceNorra Latin, Stockholm14 November 2014

Page 16: Bettina Wagner (Hertie School of Governance) – Dealing with low wage labour migration in Germany

Source: EU Commission (2012). Posting of workers in the European Union and EFTA countries: Report on A1 portable

documents issued in 2010 and 2011, p. 12. Based on administrative data from EU Member States.

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DE FR BE NL AT IT CH ES UK NO SE LU FI CZ PL PT DK RO HU EL SK IE BG SI LT EE LV MT CY LI IS

Figure 1: Postings by Destination Countries 2011 (in 1,000 )

from EU 15

from EU 12

Page 17: Bettina Wagner (Hertie School of Governance) – Dealing with low wage labour migration in Germany

Drivers for extensive use of posted workers in Germany

• Proximity to low wage countries

• History of labour postings from Eastern Europe

• Weak regulation of outsourcing

• Transition agreements on labour mobility

• Weak labour market institutions (low bargaining coverage, no minimumwage)

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Page 18: Bettina Wagner (Hertie School of Governance) – Dealing with low wage labour migration in Germany

Challenges

• Lack of labour inspectorate

• Lack of union inclusion of migrant workers

• Lack of cooperation of migrant workers to prosecute

• High financial incentives to exploit migrant workers

• Path of dualization of workforce (i.e. works councils)

• High demand for migrant labour due to demographic change

• No sufficient law enforcement and prosecution


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