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BoyarMiller Forum: Houston Commercial Real Estate Markets 2017 Outlook

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The Houston Commercial Real Estate Markets What’s Ahead for 2017 December 2016
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Page 1: BoyarMiller Forum: Houston Commercial Real Estate Markets 2017 Outlook

The Houston Commercial Real Estate Markets

What’s Ahead for 2017

December 2016

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MetroStudy

Houston Economy

Annual Job Growth

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U.S. Consumer Sentiment Index

Source: www.sca.ir.umich.edu “Surveys of consumers Thomson Reuters University of Michigan”

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Retail Trade Sales

Source: U.S. Census

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NRF expects sales in the months

of November and December to

increase a healthy 3.6% to

$655.8 billion.

The holiday sales forecast is

significantly higher than the 10

year average of 2.5%.

The U.S. Department of

Commerce announced that final

Q3 2016 e-commerce sales

increased 15.6%.

Forecast

Source: www.nrf.com “NRF Forecasts Marginal Sales Gain This Holiday Season”

Online and mobile continue to be

a leading area of growth for

retailers.

In this economy savvy, cost-

conscious consumers go to the

web to do their research and get

the best bang for their bucks.

In addition to researching with

their peers are saying online

about products and gifts this

holiday season, consumers will

use the buy online pick-up in

store option, retailers’ aps and

mobile website.

Online / Mobile Shopping

Retailers are expected to hire

between 725,000 to 800,000

seasonal workers.

14% year-over-year increase

from 2013.

Retailers operate more than 3.7

million U.S. establishments that

support one in four U.S. jobs –

42 million working Americans.

Seasonal Employment

Holiday Sales

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Kroger 3rd Quarter Highlights

Kroger's adjusted earnings per diluted share was $0.40 for the

quarter.

Identical supermarket sales growth, without fuel, was 0.1% in

the third quarter.

Achieved 52(nd) consecutive quarter of positive identical

supermarket sales

Reports Record Second Quarter Earnings Per Share

Source: www.ir.kroger.com “Quarterly Results”

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Population Growth

Source: State of Texas – Texas Department of State Health Services

529,120

384,522 388,990

713,749

533,342 544,961 557,045

569,189 581,612

566,887

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Population Growth by Year

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Planned Grocery Anchored Developments 2014 & Future

25.0% market share

24.8% market share

22.2 % market share

Houston – area

Market Leaders

Source: www.bizjournals.com/houston – “The Business

Journal Interview with Bill Breetz of Kroger”

2014 & Beyond

Store Openings

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Grand Morton Town Center

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Grand Morton Town Center

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Grand Morton Town Center

NEC & SEC Grand Parkway & Morton Ranch | Katy

Anchored by Wal-Mart with Future Grocer opportunity

89 acre project

$50 million

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The Shops at Katy Reserve

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The Shops at Katy Reserve

1681-1737 FM 1463 | Katy

Anchored by Kroger Marketplace

282,000+ SF project

$30 million

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Grand Parkway Town Center

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Grand Parkway Town Center

SWC Highway 249 & Grand Parkway | Tomball

Anchored by Grocer & Club Store

500,000 SF project

$150 million

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Kingwood December 2016 Acquisition

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Kingwood December 2016 Acquisition

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Marketplace at Ninety-Six

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Marketplace at Ninety-Six

NEC & SEC Highway 96 & Hobbs | League City

Anchored by Kroger Marketplace

270,000 SF project

$30 million

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■ Over $1.69 billion in assets and over 100 employees

■ 6,706,902 SF of projects owned by NewQuest

■ 12,135,000 Total building SF leased and managed by NewQuest

■ 6.86+ Million SF of shovel-ready un-built property inventory

■ Total units – 1,062 including ground leases

■ 87% occupancy.

Company Highlights

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NewQuest Investment Company is a buyer of value-add to core-plus neighborhood grocery-anchored properties and power centers

nationwide. The company leverages the team’s experience to acquire and operate grocery-anchored shopping centers in the top 60

markets nationally, as well as select college towns and resort communities. The company provides institutional partners with attractive

risk-adjusted returns to provide a stable, current income yield with upside potential.

The Village at Aspen Park | Conifer, CO

Company Highlights

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Who We Are – NewQuest Crosswell

Non-Credit Franchisor & Franchisee Build-to-Suit Solutions

NewQuest Crosswell provides Build-to-Suit development programs geared toward high growth, non-credit retailers, restaurants,

service and healthcare providers. NewQuest Crosswell also invests capital in experience operators through joint ventures.

As a turnkey build-to-suit developer, NQC acts as a single source of responsibility for both delivery and financing. NewQuest

Crosswell is self-funded and the capital we invest is our own. Our ability to finance the development coupled with our expertise to

manage the development process allow clients to focus on what they do best – operate their core business.

OUR PROCESS:

■ Site search and feasibility analysis to pinpoint the optimal location

■ Capital resources to assume pre-development risks in acquiring property

■ Quick, on-the-ground response to fast-track permitting and approvals

■ Value-added building design and engineering to maximize facility

■ Financial fortitude to deliver the most cost-competitive project

■ Flexible leasing solutions to create the best scenario for each client

■ In-place procedures for a smooth, hassle-free move-in

NewQuest Crosswell takes pride in our process and strives to build long-term

relationships with our clients to continually service their real estate development needs.

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Who We Are

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