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This article was downloaded by:[Madureira, Nuno Luís] On: 18 Septe mber 200 7  Access Details: [subscription nu mber 782096242] Publisher: Rout ledge Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954 Registered office: Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH, UK Business History Publication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information: http://www.inf ormaworld.com/smpp/title~content=t713634500 Enterprises, incentives and networks: The formative years of the electrical network in Portugal, 1920-1947 Nuno Luís Madureira Online Publication Date: 01 September 2007 To cite this Article: Madureira, Nuno Luís (2007) 'Enterprises , incentives and networks: The formative years of the electrical network in Portugal, 1920-1947', Business History, 49:5, 595 - 615 To link to this ar ticle: DOI: 10.1080/000767907014 27820 URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00076790701427820 PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE Full terms and conditions of use: http://www.in formaworld.com/ terms-and-conditions-of-access.pdf Thi s art icl e may be use d for res ear ch, tea chi ng and pri vat e stu dy purpos es. Any sub sta nti al or sys temati c rep rod uct ion , re-distr ibut ion, re-sel li ng, loan or sub- lic ensi ng, systemat ic supply or di st ri buti on in any form to anyone is expr essl y forbidden. T he pu b li sh er do es n ot giv e an y war ran ty ex pr ess or impl i ed or make any re pr es en ta ti on th at the con tents will be complete or accurate or up to date. The accuracyof any instructions, formulaeanddrug doses should be indepe ndentl y ver ifi ed wit h pri mar y source s. The publis her sha ll not be liable for any los s, act ions, claims , pro cee dings, demand or costs or dama ge s what soever or hows oever caused arising direct ly or indirect ly in co nnec ti on wi th or  arising out of the use of this material.
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This article was downloaded by:[Madureira, Nuno Luís]

On: 18 September 2007

 Access Details: [subscription number 782096242]

Publisher: Routledge

Informa Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954

Registered office: Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH, UK

Business HistoryPublication details, including instructions for authors and subscription information:

http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/title~content=t713634500

Enterprises, incentives and networks: The formative

years of the electrical network in Portugal, 1920-1947Nuno Luís Madureira

Online Publication Date: 01 September 2007

To cite this Article: Madureira, Nuno Luís (2007) 'Enterprises, incentives and

networks: The formative years of the electrical network in Portugal, 1920-1947',

Business History, 49:5, 595 - 615

To link to this article: DOI: 10.1080/00076790701427820

URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00076790701427820

PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE

Full terms and conditions of use: http://www.informaworld.com/terms-and-conditions-of-access.pdf 

This article maybe used for research, teaching and private study purposes. Any substantial or systematic reproduction,

re-distribution, re-selling, loan or sub-licensing, systematic supply or distribution in any form to anyone is expressly

forbidden.

The publisher does not give any warranty express or implied or make any representation that the contents will be

complete or accurate or up to date. The accuracy of any instructions, formulae and drug doses should be

independently verified with primary sources. The publisher shall not be liable for any loss, actions, claims, proceedings,

demand or costs or damages whatsoever or howsoever caused arising directly or indirectly in connection with or 

arising out of the use of this material.

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Enterprises, Incentives and Networks:The Formative Years of the ElectricalNetwork in Portugal, 1920–1947

Nuno Luıs Madureira

Path-dependence, the formation of technological irreversibilities and ownership patterns,

have recently been salient aspects in the study of historical networks. This article analyses

the formative years of public utilities in a period where the advantages of co-ordination,

interconnection or integration between enterprises was still incipient. The purpose is to

understand what happens when the competition to expand the physical extensions of 

nodes and links is suddenly blocked, and the enterprises can only compete to increase

supply. The theme is thus of network enterprises operating without some of the standard 

incentives to economies of scale. The allocational and distributional consequences of this

 particular situation are exposed through an examination of the case study of Portugueseelectrification in the first half of the twentieth century.

Keywords: Networks; Electricity Diffusion; Business Strategies; Network Externalities

Introduction

This article focuses on the formative years of public utilities, a period when the

advantages of co-ordination, interconnection or integration between enterprises was

still incipient, and where the services provided over the networks are also minimal. In

the transition to the twentieth century, scale and scope became submitted to the

major purpose of core-network building. In basic terms, this is the ‘wires’ and ‘trunk 

lines’ moment. Through the physical extension of nodes and links, or through the

buying out of competing firms, enterprises placed themselves in more or less

advantageous positions. What they achieve is, in any case, obtained in a competition

to increase the number of connections, so that the final configuration of the market

Nuno Luıs Madureira is Professor of International History and Economic History at the University of Lisbon,

ISCTE (Instituto Superior de ciencias do Trabalho e da Empresa).

Business History, Vol. 49, No. 5, September 2007, 595–615

ISSN 0007-6791 print/1743-7938 online

Ó 2007 Taylor & Francis

DOI: 10.1080/00076790701427820

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becomes contingent upon the way in which adoptions are built up. The initial section

begins by clarifying the impact of the choices of one user amongst others within the

economy of networks. Next the institutional framework that grants access to markets

in the early days of contemporary Europe and the development of local monopolies

with exclusive rights in the production and distribution of network goods areexamined. This outline introduces the main question of the evolution of networks in

non-selective environments: what happens when the competition to expand the

physical extensions of nodes and links is suddenly blocked, and the enterprises can

only compete to increment supply? What results from a drawback in the competition

for adoption? The answer is given in a twofold manner, with an emphasis on both the

allocational and distributional consequences. The final part of the article explores

these ideas in a case study of the electrical network in Portugal and its historical

configuration.

The Attributes of Economic Networks

Most industries that have network features provide goods and services as part of 

the infrastructure for producers and consumers, which means that they cannot be

cut off without the danger of economic collapse. Public utilities such as energy,

communications and transportation are the best known examples of this kind of 

supply of essential goods and services, and have long been a concern for governments

and municipalities. One of the main problems is that the network requires the

establishment of physical trunk lines connected to nodes and to secondary links to

reach a wide range of users. Because each user is characterized by distinct seasonalbehaviour, distinct time-schedules and distinct preferences, the overall capacity must

be tailored to respond to the volatility of demand and to avoid any spill-over effects.

The economy of public utilities is thus a specific form of activity based on economies

of scale of technically interrelated undertakings operating under the constraints of 

fluctuating demand, non-storability of goods and services, locational specificity and

high initial investments.1

To understand the differences in entrepreneurial strategies, one must look not only 

to the institutional framework, but also to the systems of incentives provided by the

networks. In this respect, the distinction between one-way networks and two-way 

networks, conceptualized by Economides and White,2 seems to be the most relevant

one, since it covers most of the externalities effects of economic functioning.

Two-way networks (e.g. telephones, bus transport, the internet) are characterized

by reciprocity or reversibility in the forms of access to the switch. This reversibility 

stems from the fact that all components are complementary to each other, and so

‘transactions can originate at any non-central node and terminate at any non-central

node’.3

One-way networks (e.g. electricity, credit-card systems, cable television) lack 

reciprocity because non-central nodes are distinguished from others, and sensible

transactions can flow in only one direction. Although the introduction of reversibility 

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is presently a technological challenge in some of these types of equipment, 1 KWh

electricity supply or a TV programme broadcast to domestic consumers continues to

occur in only one direction.

This distinction is salient to consumer behaviour with regard to entrepreneurial

strategies and to government regulation, because it affects the type of externalitiesproduced. Each component of a two-way network is connected in a symmetrical flow 

to another component, which means that each new connection creates an added

value, since the entry of the new user has positive repercussions on other users. The

value of consumption is thus found to be linked to the size of the network, in the first

instance, because consumption depends upon the number of connections/adoptions

already established. As long as the network has adequate capacity, the value of 

incumbent phone-owners increases whenever a new phone is installed. This is a

genuine situation of direct network externalities.

Now, let us examine the case of one-way networks where there is no reciprocal

flow and, consequently, no direct ‘network good’ provided by additional

connections. In this case, the advantages of an extra consumers are felt only 

indirectly: either the extra consumer reduces the cost of serving all members of the

network – with possible transference of the gains to the users – or the extra consumer

stimulates the appearance of new products, complementary services or new-user

interfaces, from which all incumbent members of the network can benefit.4 In some

circumstances, these kinds of indirect externalities have a major importance, because

they do not refer to complementary gadgets, but rather to utilities that, once in use,

bring about looping effects in demand and supply. Imagine, for instance, the case of 

the diffusion of electrical networks where it is necessary to achieve a critical mass of connections to the grid in order to open a local store for radios, irradiators, lamps,

etc. Once the store is open, the possibility of acquisition of this array of utilities has a

positive feedback upon the levels of individual demand for electricity, and new 

adopters benefit from this situation. Thus, cost reduction and diversity of goods and

services are the most important indirect externalities produced by one-way networks,

and both operate through unexploited economies of scale.

Table 1 extends this classification further, through the introduction of the

consumer’s viewpoint about the way goods and services are provided. The main

distinction is whether the final node of connection coincides with the personal space

of the user or, alternatively, whether it corresponds to some type of interface created

by the enterprise. The fact that some connections make their way into the personal

spaces of the users has significance, because some of the costs of installation,

maintenance and updating run through the user’s initiative. The network appears

embedded in day-to-day routines, and the monitoring of final nodes is a personal

task decentralized all the way through the inclusive community. Hence the regular

working out of the system is enhanced by the continuous process of learning by using

and by informational returns. The personal identity of the consumer with the nodes

translates into ‘increased attractiveness caused by adoption’. In Brian Arthur’s terms,

this means that ‘the more a technology is adopted, the more it is used, and the more

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is learned about it; therefore, the more it is developed and improved’. On the other

hand, ‘a more adopted technology enjoys the advantage of being better known and

better understood’.5 With decentralized ‘assimilation’, the technology itself becomes

a social fact. This is a salient attribute of the contemporary world, because the joining

together of people, regions and markets through systematically structured

connections has strengthened the links between communities, increased interaction

and the frequency and speed of contacts, accentuated similarities in material culture,

expression and behaviour, and contributed to reciprocal interdependence. In some

sense, the history of contemporary society is the history of the constitution of a

private and personal identity around the technologies, where the differences betweenindividuals evolve from devices that produce similarities in behaviour and in habits.

Certainly, learning by using and by informational returns still subsists when the

identity of the consumers is made through interfaces that are installed, maintained

and updated by the enterprises (column 2 of Table 1). However, these learning and

informational returns are discontinuous, difficult to adjust and impersonal.

From the framework presented in Table 1, it is possible to conclude that the

strongest network effects are present in two-way networks, where the final node of 

connection coincides with the personal space of the user. The weakest are present in

one-way networks where the final node of connection corresponds to interfaces

created by enterprises. Telephone and e-mail thus represent an extreme case, in which

an individual’s consumption is chiefly dependent upon the size of the relevant

network. In this context, the competition between companies is transformed into a

competition for adoptions, forging a strong sensibility to initial states of 

development:6 the extension of the network becomes a crucial market incentive,

and if one firm gets ahead by good fortune, it gains an advantage: consumer’s

adoption in moment t  is, in large measure, predetermined by those choices

previously made in t -1, t - 2 . . . t -n, by other consumers, which constitute the possible

universe of connections. On a limit this can be interpreted as a constraint upon the

exercising of choice.7

Table 1

The Classification of Economic Networks

Consumer personal identity with the nodes of the network 

Consumer identity with theenterprise interfaces

One-way networks Electricity Cable televisionBroadcastingSewage systems

Bank ATM systemsCredit-card systemsOil pipelinesAirline CRSs

Two-way networks TelephoneInternet e-mail and chat groups

Bus transportPostal serviceTelegraphRailroads

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Although one-way networks, such as electricity, cable television or credit-card

systems, are also obliged to compete for adoption, they add to this feature a strategic

commitment in competition for supply, either in the form of an increase in the

variety of products, or through incentives to the augmentation of gross

consumptions in non-congested periods. The following sections illustrate underwhat conditions these indirect externalities become part of entrepreneurial strategies

in the competition to increase supply.

Local Monopoly and Entrepreneurial Strategies

Up to this point, the description given of network attributes has been normative and

based upon the principle of free competition. However, competition in the sense of 

open bidding in the markets seems to be the exception rather than the rule, at least in

Europe. The driving force that pushes the diffusion of networks, and the physical

expansion of links and nodes, is not always the accumulation of decentralized choices

made by consumers in direct biased transmission processes but, instead, centralized

decisions, made with the purpose of changing the distributional consequences of the

network economy. Seen from this standpoint, the history of networks must

incorporate the area of institutional political economy and the configuration of 

relationships between collective entities: firms, municipalities or other sources of 

local power, and the central state.

The final years of the nineteenth century constitute a very specific moment,

described as the ‘formative years’8 of public utilities. In this period, the European

countries witnessed the expansion of primary networks and the formation of grids,with technologies that yielded the most effective results when each enterprise

supplied one densely populated area. The framing of private strategies into the

horizon of local concessions is the result of this technological-institutional

background, and becomes further reinforced by the attribution of exclusive rights.

The possibility of capturing the benefits from competition through incentives for the

supply by simultaneous enterprises, for example the railway lines of Prussia and

France, or the gas supply in British towns, is short-lived, due to the dissipation of 

revenue and the bankruptcies that followed. Similarly, in the United States, predatory 

pricing and the parallel building of railroads, based on the installation of tracks

adjacent to competitors, was a conscious strategy pursued for some time with the

purpose of acquiring control over local business.9 Yet, as the nineteenth century 

unfolded, additional controls over the configuration of networks generalized the rule

of local or regional monopoly to prevent the duplication of facilities.10 It is within

this context that the argument for natural monopoly appears: within the domain of 

network industries, it is cheaper for goods and services to be produced by a single

firm than by many firms, an idea restated in modern terms by the concept that some

activities, structured through nodes and links, enjoy a sub-additive cost function.11

In European countries with strong traditions of democratic life based upon active

local governments and with large urban units, the scope of municipal undertakings

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promptly evolved to incorporate the ownership of public facilities. This was

particularly true in the case of water and gas supply systems in Germany, Sweden and

Britain, and electricity production and distribution in Norway, Switzerland, Germany 

and Denmark (this last through the movement of rural co-operatives called

‘andelslag ’). At the other extreme, we find the Mediterranean countries of southernEurope, where the risks of investment in local networks were ascribed mainly to

private enterprises and, sometimes, to the central State (France, Italy, Spain,

Portugal).12

The number and status of the actors involved affected the patterns of development,

and particularly the mix of institutional rules, with a bias towards private supply and

weak regulation – the ‘granting of concessions to applicants on a first-come, first-

served basis’13 – in southern Europe, while forms of tri-partite co-operation between

municipalities, the central state and private enterprises, reinforced by extensive

regulation, prevailed in the northern European countries.

Summing up, by the end of the nineteenth century most of the network activities

that provide essential goods for the communities were shaped by the legal,

technological and economic pattern of local monopolies, with the main differences

being in the ownership structure. Two-way networks, namely postal services,

telegraph and telephone, were those in which public authorities did not recognize the

benefits from market competition, preferring instead to set these particular

undertakings under the umbrella of public service, or in a common and centralized

pool, with compatible, interconnected, co-ordinated nodes and links: this evolution

from private to public ownership was consolidated in 1870 for the telegraph, and in

1913 for the post and telephone, in the majority of the European countries.14

Politicalarguments stressing national security, the integrity of the nation-state, and the

military implications of communications, were advanced in order to legitimize the

state’s interference. But, as well as the concern with the control of symmetrical flows

of information, the progressive nationalization of these utilities must be seen as an

attempt to increase the value added in each connection. Through the merging of 

local, regional and national systems, the overall value of consumption is enhanced.

In other network activities, competition for adoption followed quite closely the

capture of new concessions, since this was the dynamic element capable of driving the

expansion of the core of the network at the beginning of the twentieth century.

Buying out competing firms and extending the range of vertical integration was yet

another way to attain the same purpose.

Let us now imagine that, within these local monopoly economies, the competition

for adoption is suddenly blocked and that the enterprises can only compete for

supply. What might the result be? Are the firms capable of surviving in this

environment? What happens when local detached networks cannot expand and

develop economies of scale? The next paragraphs will follow this methodological trail,

analysing a case study of electricity diffusion in the formative years of network 

building. The sources of blockade are explained by political decisions and by 

technological restrictions to expansion. Electricity is a good example of one-way 

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networks, with final nodes of connection coincident with the personal space of the

users. Incentives do exist to explore economies of scope, based in the launch of new 

products, complementary services or improved interfaces. As we shall see, the upshot

of the blockage in competition for adoption is a cascade of historical innovations:

marketing and publicity, thoughtful commercial policy, customers’ campaigns, priceincentives (price discrimination in the supply side perspective). Indirect externalities

and consumers’ know-how become trump cards that are conscientiously used by 

managers and boards of directors.

Expansion and Blockage of Electrical Networks

The main risk of incremental supply of incumbent adopters is that the tendency to

concentrate consumption into some geographical areas may take precedence over the

tendency to expand the network. In this section, we examine how this risk was

handled by the two largest electricity producers operating in Portugal at the

beginning of the twentieth century. The low level of Portuguese urbanization and the

high percentage of the active population employed in agriculture (51 per cent in

1930) did not make it possible to achieve the economies of scale that were so

necessary for businesses starting up in the sector. To guarantee appropriate returns

on initial investments, firms had to rationalize the transport of electricity, reducing

expenditure with the installation of posts, wires and transformer stations, as well as

by choosing a voltage that was suited to the size of the market, relying on proximity 

networks. The first thermal and hydraulic power stations were therefore located close

to large urban centres, taking advantage of the concentration of people to realizeeconomies of scale, to maximize the return on capital, to stabilize a fixed clientele and

to reduce the economic risk of the new technologies. Yet, the map of Portugal’s

population densities did not display these large concentrations that could provide the

conditions for capital accumulation. The low level of urbanization therefore

restricted the development of electricity producers and the size of companies

through the lack of medium-sized cities, giving rise to a distorted urban structure and

a wide gap between the main urban centres and the agglomerations of population in

agricultural regions.15 It also restricted the market thanks to the country’s bipolar

urbanization, with most of the urban population being concentrated in two large

urban centres, one in the north and the other in the centre of Portugal (Porto and

Lisbon). This meant that, in 1920, these two cities represented 38 per cent of the

population concentrated in urban regions of 5,000–10,000 inhabitants, 58 per cent of 

the population living in towns of 10,000–20,000 inhabitants, and 85 per cent of the

population in cities with more than 20,000 inhabitants.16 Finally, the demand for

energy was also one of the weakest in Europe: in 1890, modern fossil fuels represented

only 20 per cent of total primary energy consumption, the remaining 80 per cent

being supplied the traditional sources (firewood, human and animal muscle, wind

and water power). Per capita consumption remained below the values of other

Mediterranean countries, whether measured in terms of electricity – Portuguese

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consumption reached 11.9 KWh per capita against 44.9 in Spain, 112 in France, and

129 in Italy (1920) – or in terms of total primary energy consumption – Portugal with

117.4 kilograms equivalent of coal (kgec) per capita as against Spanish, Italian and

French figures of 333, 286 and 1,417 kgec respectively (1920).17

Merging these facts brings up an intricate situation: property rights insufficiently defined, the state withdrawing from public utilities, low urbanization, predominance

of the rural sector in the economic activity, and low per capita consumption of energy 

and electricity, all combining to create inappropriate conditions for the dynamics

required by selective environments.

It is worth remembering that competition for adopters supposes the physical

extension of the nodes of distribution (in this case medium and high voltage

transmission lines) to reach more and more consumers. This is a preliminary 

condition to select those who are more apt, because the demand for adopters creates

a situation in which previous choices set up a market advantage for prime movers.

However, with limited incentives in the competition for adopters, how could the

electricity grid progress? Structural conditions not only establish narrow margins for

the expansion but also shape the concrete design of this expansion: the axes where a

national electric network structure might emerge had to operate in conjunction with

the concessions of the two main cities of the country (Lisbon and Porto). The

economies of scale offered by these large urban centres meant they were the only ones

capable of whetting the appetite of investors to enlarge the distribution network.

Electra del Lima-UEP was one of these investors, and obtained the concession of the

northern city of Porto.

In April 1922, the energy produced by the Lindoso power station, owned by theSpanish Electra Del Lima group, reached consumers for the first time. It amounted to

 just a few hundred kilowatts, but within a few years this business group was to

become the country’s second largest producer and the largest regional distributor of 

electricity. Its success was due to two important innovations introduced right from

the start, one at the level of management and organization, and the other at the level

of technological investment.

In this period, Electra del Lima was the only company in Portugal adopting the

principle of creating separate companies for the production of electricity and for high

voltage transport and distribution: ‘the Spanish group had the idea of forming a

Portuguese company, which would be a consumer and exclusive distributor of the

energy produced by the Lima waterfalls’.18 Entering into a capital consortium with

the Sotto Mayor banking group, the Spanish investors formed Uniao Electrica

Portuguesa (UEP), and obtained for this new company the rights to the legal

concession for distribution. Such a business innovation made it possible to specialize

in the market segment of energy transport, regarding it as a particular market with

some important consequences. First, it resulted in clarification of the factors of price

formation, expressed in the form of policies of positive discrimination designed to

attract industrial clients in need of motive power, with prices being negotiated case by 

case and credit also being granted to clients in times of financial difficulty.19

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Secondly, there was investment in expansion, maintenance of the network,

installation of new transformer stations and division of substations in order to

minimize transmission losses, which was seen as a competitive factor in the capturing

of new markets. Thirdly, the greatest benefit justifying the creation of UEP, from the

point of view of its directors, was the formation of a company funded by Iberiancapital to sell Spanish energy on an exclusive basis, thereby making it easier to

negotiate contracts with municipal councils through the delegation of powers to

Portuguese directors. The creation of an external interface in the distribution sector

made it possible to overcome the frequently repeated nationalist prejudices that

criticized the exploitation of national resources by foreigners. The possibility was

even suggested of the state’s nationalizing the ‘hydroelectric assets that might become

a matter of great economic and political importance for the nation’.20 Finally, the

creation of this ‘friendly’ interface led in turn to a differentiation of strategic

responsibilities amongst the managers, distinguishing financial planning and long-

term policy guidelines (decided upon by the board of directors) from executive and

operational activities (which were the responsibility of a board of management

consisting of Portuguese members).

The creation of a business organization geared specifically to the segment of high

voltage distribution was accompanied by an investment in the assembly of an energy 

transport line with a nominal voltage of 75 kV (1918–1922), which, despite its

provisional character, was to become the very hallmark of electricity distribution in

Portugal. It is sufficient to remember that, in the 1930s, most of the established lines

were still below the 25 kV limit. Overly large for the power existing at the Lindoso

hydroelectric power station, this represented an investment in a nominal voltage thatwas sufficient to support the company’s growth over the next 20 years, or, in other

words, a fourfold increase in installed capacity, a sixfold increase in energy sold and a

twenty-eightfold increase in the extent of the distribution lines.21

The obtaining of concessions in the main urban centres was to act as a catalyst for

the growth and modernization of the network. Uniao Electrica Portuguesa drew up

plans for activity over two phases: firstly the concessions for the large cities would be

obtained, and then this gain would be consolidated through investment. In this way,

the agreements signed with Porto Municipal Council, in 1922 and 1926, gave the firm

a solid financial basis to enter into the energy market; in turn, the agreement signed

with Coimbra Council, in 1927–1928, resulted in a penetration of the lines a further

110 kilometres to the south, changing the focus of the company’s strategy: instead of 

investing in intensive geographical coverage with the building of secondary branches

from the main line, the company began to consider the possibility of extensive

coverage through the implementation of a network of urban centres.

This process was therefore one of a slow accumulation of capital and technological

resources based on the capture of local markets. Each new concession changed the

network construction strategy. When the agreement was signed with Porto Municipal

Council, UEP tended towards the sale of temporary energy. Being exclusively 

dependent on hydroelectric production, it had to deal with the problem of low water

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levels during the summer and the consequent shortfalls in supplies during the hottest

months. This was in fact an obstacle equally faced by other hydroelectric units in the

north of Portugal, which could not guarantee the quality of their service all year

round. Commercial policy was adjusted to this technical reality and the company 

guarded against possible compensation claims by demanding the insertion of a clausein which it was made clear that the agreement related to temporary and excess energy:

‘The prices for each customer will be stipulated in due course, and it is understood

that each customer will be required to sign a declaration stating that they undertake

to use the energy that UEP can provide them without making any further claim. It

will be the responsibility of all clients to supply themselves with energy reserves when

UEP is unable to provide this’.22

The decision to build an entirely new thermal power station fuelled by Portuguese

and foreign coal, with the aim of supplying reserve energy, altered this positioning in

the market. The installed load at the two sets of the Lindoso power station amounted

to 17,500 kVA, and a further 9,500 kVA were added through a turbo-alternator set at

the Freixo Thermal Power Station. Besides overcoming the mistrust and criticism of 

Porto Council, expressed in the provisional nature of the concession agreement

signed in 1922 and the council’s interest in finding an alternative solution capable of 

providing a regular service throughout the year,23 the integration of thermal

production of electricity into the UEP network increased its competitiveness in the

private market of large industrial clients, since, with the sale of permanent energy,

factories were able to make full use of their installed capacity. Technological change

was accompanied by a change in commercial policy: whereas previously customers

were required to sign agreements stating that they would not claim compensation,now it was the company itself that voluntarily offered compensation as a guarantee of 

the quality of its service: ‘In order to facilitate the placement of energy, the board

authorized the company’s management to sign contracts for the supply of permanent

energy from October of the current year, undertaking, if necessary, to pay these new 

customers for each month of interruption in the supply the amount corresponding to

the invoice of each of the previous months’.24 Another weak point in the electric

network was also eliminated at that time (1926), with the replacement of the

provisional network of wooden posts and copper conductors, which were always

susceptible to accidents, with iron posts and aluminium steel conductors.25

As stated earlier, being awarded the concession for the city of Porto made it

possible to consolidate the network and introduce profitable economies of scale: the

supply to the municipality increased the amount of energy distributed through the

UEP lines by between 30 per cent and 37 per cent.26 With the award of the concession

for high voltage distribution to the city of Coimbra,27 the centre of gravity of this

business initiative was shifted to the relatively unexplored markets of the central

region. The board of directors quickly set in motion studies for continuing to expand

the network southwards with the aim of reaching more urban centres and penetrating

deep into the south. In this way, the company sought to position itself as the

backbone of a national electricity grid and, above all, to limit the competition’s

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chances of expansion: ‘UEP’s presence in that area creates a particularly advantageous

situation for being able to negotiate any agreements with the companies that are

currently working in those markets’.28

The first signs of a blockage began to appear in 1932. The application for the

concession of the southern line (Leiria) was held up at the Ministry and not allowedto go forward, whilst all complaints made to the Ministry met with no success.

Such an attitude provided the first indications that something was changing: the

silence of the authorities was a silence that had political significance, foreshadowing

the change in the policy of the regime of Oliveira Salazar – a military revolution

in 1926 was followed by a new constitution of 1933. The new state was reluc-

tant to hand the concession of economic infrastructures to private enterprises

(and, furthermore, in this case, to Spanish capital). As a result of this blocking

manoeuvre, the possibility of developing the electric network through market forces

was completely thwarted. After some years of insistence, Uniao Electrica Portuguesa

readjusted its aims: it returned to its policy of strengthening secondary branches by 

building roughly 600 kilometres of new 15,000-volt lines to supply smaller villages

and industrial clients requiring motive power; from 1941 onwards, it was awarded

an isolated concession in the south. Price discrimination towards large industrial

consumers in the extractive and transforming industries appears as the sign of 

change in the entrepreneurial strategy: contrived to abandon network expansion, to

abandon competition for adoption, the company strengthened the incremental of 

supply.

The new political picture altered the relationship between collective actors and had

two consequences for the map of Portuguese electrification in the 1930s: first, itobliged UEP to concentrate the distribution of electricity in the districts through

which the main supply line passed, accentuating the asymmetries in relation to other

regions and establishing an architecture for the network in a herringbone shape,

through a point-to-point transmission, with multiple lines branching off this main

north–south line (an average of 2.2 to 2.6 transformer stations per kilometre of line);

secondly, it impeded the development of an integrated national network, confining

companies to regional markets and thus preventing the challenges of co-operation or

competition between networks that were physically close to one another.

The Origins of the Publicity Campaign

Companhias Reunidas de Gas e de Electricidade (CRGE) was the uncontested leader

of the market for the production and distribution of electrical energy during the first

half of the twentieth century. The company had been granted the concession for the

country’s main urban network, consisting of the capital, Lisbon, and its surrounding

areas spread over a semicircle with a radius of roughly 35 kilometres from its thermal

power station. The company profile was, in this case, quite different from the one to

be found in the northern hydroelectric companies: it was a company that resulted

from mergers that had taken place in the nineteenth century, and simultaneously 

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combined the production of coal gas and electricity, so that it was able to guide the

competition between these energy alternatives in the most profitable direction (as did

in fact happen with the rapid replacement of gas street lamps with electric lighting in

the 1920s). When SOFINA, one of the European giants in the sector, became a

shareholder at the end of the First World War, the company’s financial resourceswere opened up, facilitating the transfer of scientific and managerial know-how, as

well as international contacts with suppliers. From a technological and business point

of view, Companhias Reunidas was distinguished by being a producer and distributor

that also fulfilled the role of providing municipalized services in the direct sale of 

energy to consumers.

Producing thermal energy from imported coal, CRGE installed a continuous

current and alternating current low voltage network to serve the main Lisbon arteries

(3.3 Kv), to which a (10 Kv) line was added for transporting electricity to more

distant urban agglomerations, to the east and north-east, and then a third medium

voltage line of 30 Kv, launched in 1935, to supply the outlying districts of the Vale do

Tejo region.29 The growth dynamics were sustained with the award of concessions by 

municipalities in the western region of the city and, later, by others to the east. This

network had the form of an irregular web whose ramifications converged on the

central point of the thermal production unit.

In any case, this situation represented a concentration of the installed capacity of 

thermal energy and a multiplication of the distribution lines to various points. The

separation of the lines and the relatively short distance between each of them ensured

that they could continue to operate at a low voltage. However, the expansion of the

network at the end of the 1920s began to generate an overload in the already installeddistribution paths. With new concessions being contemplated, the management

chose to raise the nominal voltage to 30 Kv. Thanks to this carefully considered

investment policy, CRGE managed to expand its network from 420 kilometres (1914)

to 1,617 kilometres (1937) without such growth resulting in an increase in

transmission losses.

As far as the technological choices of CRGE were concerned, an investment was

made in the growth of consumption in the immediate sphere of influence in

detriment to geographical expansion into new districts. The management policy 

consisted of strengthening the local monopoly and adjusting the network in the

region by taking advantage of the population density. The Burnay banking house

proposed the idea of supplying electrical energy from waterfalls, but this possibility 

was rejected by the management, which preferred not to invest in hydroelectric

production and high voltage transport, remaining faithful to the principle of not

altering the local scale of the business.30

In fact, the market potential of the city of Lisbon and its surrounding areas was

sufficiently large to risk investments outside the consolidated area of influence.

Although CRGE distributed electricity over a fairly limited radius, its growth rate in

the first half of the century was higher than that of Uniao Electrica Portuguesa, the

main high voltage distributor.

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Priority was given to maximizing local opportunities: in the first phase, up to the

1930s, CRGE sought above all to increase the number of localities served, and thereby 

to increase the number of consumers. Having exhausted its coverage of the most

important urban centres, CRGE then turned its attention to reinforcing the

commercial component, with the aim of encouraging greater energy consumption inhouseholds and capturing the industrial clients requiring motive power. This meant

that after completing the cycle of the physical implementation of the network, there

were still opportunities in economies of scope.

As far as the supply to industry was concerned, the company’s share of this market

segment represented 36 per cent of energy sold in 1920, 65 per cent in 1930 and 70

per cent in the following two decades.31 On the eve of the Second World War, a

group of factories based in Lisbon consolidated this area of business and led CRGE to

invest in the quality of its service by installing a high-frequency telephone network 

with the specific aim of ‘guaranteeing perfect continuity in the supply of energy to the

region’s most important factories’.32

During the 1930s, CRGE produced the first commercial publicity campaign in the

country. The word ‘campaign’ suggests that various resources from the media were

systematically mobilized to transmit a commercial message. The aim was to alter the

patterns of urban consumption, through a pedagogical demonstration of the benefits

of brightly lit homes, also praising the ease and comfort achievable through the

catalogue of ‘equipment for domestic use’ made available to the inhabitants of 

Lisbon: refrigerators, toasters, electric irons, water-heaters, fans, kettles. A series of 

advertisements were published in the press containing images of modern,

cosmopolitan everyday life; a magazine was launched for women readers explaining,exemplifying and publicizing the ‘new’ appliances; ‘advertising and sales’; a new 

department was set up, responsible for credit and hire-purchase sales; lighting

campaigns were launched under the title ‘Better Light, Better Sight’, as well as

campaigns for the sale of wirelesses, irons and Christmas presents. Finally, the

company joined forces with the national broadcasting company, Emissora Nacional,

to promote the sale of popular radio sets, and a consultant was hired to monitor the

newspapers and write articles for CRGE. All these examples testify to the innovation

of marketing and advertising in the company strategy, taking advantage of the freshly 

available media technology.33

The need to exploit the local market intensively, together with the technological

limitations preventing the expansion of the low and medium voltage network, led

CRGE to invest in the creation of social images of the cosmopolitan user and modern

housewife. The positional affinities of consumers in a network became manufactured

affinities. In the segment for the sale of electrical household appliances, the company 

bore the economic cost of encouraging the development of indirect externalities,

actively stimulating processes for the social identification of consumers.

There were fewer incentives for the development of business strategies when the

activity of electricity production was carried out by a private company and the low-

voltage distribution was undertaken by municipalized services; the high-voltage

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suppliers were not interested in channelling specific investments into changing the

habits of a consumer population subject only to a temporary concession agreement

(the northern situation of Electra del Lima-UEP); the municipalized services were, in

turn, more interested in ensuring an improvement in the coverage and quality of the

network’s service, leaving the actual use that was made of the electricity provided upto people’s own private decisions.34

In the growth period of the electric network led by private enterprises, there was a

tendency to concentrate consumption into geographical areas of concession, as was

made clear by the analysis of the business strategies developed over the 1930s and

1940s. The investment in an intensification of consumption within the zones of 

influence resulted, in the case of CRGE, from the technological constraints of the low 

and medium voltage network and, in the case of UEP, from the political blockage of 

the expansion of new lines. The decision to reinforce per capita consumption within

local areas and to invest in intensification of networks of low voltage distribution was

motivated by political conditions in the markets, by strategic defence of concessions

granted, and by technological opportunities of capital accumulation. The result was a

slowdown in the rate of adoption and an increase in the levels of consumption of 

adopters. There was a deliberate intention to stimulate the uses and applications of 

electricity in areas where levels of consumption were already high. Incentives in

prices, in the quality of services, in the coverage of the net and in advertising (an

innovative aspect for the epoch) strengthened the asymmetry to other regions. In the

end, competition for adopters turned into a strategy to increment supply.

With the publication of Law No. 2002, in 1944, the first steps were taken towards

the creation of an economic and legal framework for a National Electricity Grid. In1947, a new company was formed with mixed capital from private companies and the

state – Companhia Nacional de Electricidade (CNE) – which was given the

concession for the transport and distribution network under the same model of a

 joint venture. The Plan for the National Electricity Grid was closely associated with

the restructuring of the industry, searching for economies of scale, as well as

concentrating the new electrochemical sectors and making them viable through the

supply of energy at competitive prices. The technological impasses resulting from the

integration of various networks through bilateral interconnections were overcome

with the investment in a new network with a higher nominal voltage and with a

broader coverage of the country’s coastal region. A significant detail is that the link-

ups between the main urban centres are an improvement in transportation of 

previously installed networks. In other words, the map of the primary network 

strengthened the potential for energy transport and consumption into areas where

there already existed private enterprise networks.

Asymmetry of Adoption

The hypothesis is therefore put forward of an asymmetrical development, in which

the better positioned regions strengthened their positions of access to more

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competitive forms of energy distribution linked to economic modernization, whilst

regions with few initial infrastructures did not manage to recover from their state of 

backwardness. This situation dragged on for a long period of time, which meant that

the implantation of electric networks exacerbated regional disparities.

To test this hypothesis, Table 2 establishes a comparison between various districts,placing them all at the same comparative level, by considering only the population

that, in each district, enjoyed access to the electricity network. In this way, the

percentages represent the relative number of individuals who were given the

possibility of choosing and who ‘chose’ to install a connection to the network.

Some conclusions may be drawn. First of all, the differences between the regions

with the highest adoption rate (Lisbon, Porto and Viana) and the most backward

areas grew more accentuated throughout the period under analysis, and also the

overall distortion between regions.35 Next, there is evidence of a phenomenon of 

recovery, although this only includes a group of districts (Aveiro, Setubal, Braga,

Coimbra, Braganca, Viana), almost all of them situated in the coastal region and in

the geographical areas of the National Electricity Grid; finally, the remaining regions

showed some inertia in people joining the network, particularly evident in the south

of the country (Beja, Faro, Portalegre).

Table 2

Adoption Rate: Percentage of Adoption of Electricity in the Population Enjoying 

Access to the Electric Network (by District)*

1930 1940 1950 1960

Aveiro 0.17 0.26 0.49 0.75Beja 0.20 0.20 0.22 0.28Braga 0.32 0.31 0.38 0.50Braganca 0.24 0.29 0.36 0.50Castelo Branco 0.26 0.24 0.33 0.35Coimbra 0.23 0.23 0.34 0.49Evora 0.27 0.30 0.35 0.40Faro 0.24 0.23 0.26 0.35Guarda 0.28 0.30 0.38 0.40Leiria 0.21 0.23 0.32 0.41Lisbon 0.61 0.70 0.79 0.89Portalegre 0.26 0.24 0.32 0.35Porto 0.40 0.46 0.60 0.82Santarem 0.22 0.27 0.32 0.39Setubal 0.14 0.24 0.43 0.65Viana 0.41 0.39 0.46 0.56Vila Real 0.31 0.34 0.39 0.37Viseu 0.22 0.24 0.32 0.38

 Notes: *(Consumers connected to networks6 average family size/population served by networks).Sources: Estatısticas das instalac o es electricas (published in Lisbon, 1930–1932, 1940, 1950 and 1960);

Bandeira, Demografia e Modernidade, 523, Table V.1. Average family size by district.

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The hypothesis of an asymmetry of adoption thus seems to be confirmed, at least

until the decade of 1960. It is, however, possible to test the hypothesis by another

means: transforming the data about the adoption rate into a dependent variable and

trying to gauge how the various socio-economic factors help to explain them. For this

purpose, a four-variable model36

was constructed with statistical data for each districtand for each of the periods considered in Table 2: literacy rate; active population

employed in industry and the tertiary sector; real purchasing power of electricity;

scale of the connections to the network (see Table 3).37

The panel data methodology includes both a cross-sectional and a time-series

dimension, and is a multiple regression that allows us to measure the contribution

of these variables towards the process of electricity adoption, by considering

the historical evolution as an aggregate set of influences. In statistical terms,

this technique of panel data with fixed effects is expressed in the form of the

estimation of a multiple regression to which are added regional dummies expres-

sing, for each regional administrative unit, characteristics that are constant in time

(Table 3).

As this is an explanatory model, not a predictive one, the most significant

comparison is between the standardized coefficients, as these express the effect of 

each variable in terms of standard error.

Overall, the model captures the meaning of the historical evolution: the most

influential factors are synthesized in the four variables, the coefficients are statistically 

significant, the statistical conditions are verified and the relationships between the

variables have the expected direction.

It can be seen that the real cost of electricity has a negative influence on adoption(the higher the price, the lower the adoption rate). However, it has very little

Table 3

Panel Data Analysis of the Adoption of Electricity 

Standardized Coefficients Signif.

(Constant) 0.381Literacy 0.266 0.005Population (second/tertiary) 0.638 0.000Scale of electrification 0.669 0.000Real cost of electricity  70.139 0.082

 Notes: N¼ 1864 Adjusted R 2¼ 0.916.Regional dummies included.

Sources: Population Census of the Kingdom of Portugal on 1st December 1930  (Lisbon, 1931); General Population Census of Mainland Portugal and the Adjacent Islands in 1940, 1950 and 1960 (Lisbon, 1941–1961); Estatısticas das instalac o es electricas (Lisbon, 1930–1932, 1940, 1950and 1960); Statistical Yearbook  for the years 1930, 1940, 1941, 1950, 1960 (Lisbon 1930,1940, 1941, 1950, 1960); Industrial Statistics for 1950 , Industrial Statistics for 1960  (Lisbon,1951, 1961); Bandeira, Demografia e Modernidade; Nunes, ‘‘Populacao Activa e Actividade

Economica em Portugal.’’

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explanatory power about consumers’ decisions (70.139). In other words, although

locally consumers took into account the amounts that they would have to pay for

electricity, this was not the prime reason leading them to install a connection in their

houses. In fact, the same thing happened with literacy, which was positively related to

adoption but was also a fairly unimportant factor (0.266). To understand why certaindistricts lagged behind whilst others enjoyed rapid progress, one must basically call

upon two variables: one is the importance of the active population from the

industrial and tertiary sector (0.638), expressed in the idea that the regions

undergoing transition to ‘modern economic growth’ (Kuznets)38 are positively 

distinguished in the adoption rate whilst regions where agriculture is predominant

lag behind; the other is the scale of electrification (0.669), expressed in the idea that

the greater the total number of consumers installing a connection to the network, the

quicker is the subsequent adherence of new consumers. In simple terms, this means

that the more modernized regions, and consequently the ones with a significant

volume of connections to the network, tend to accelerate the diffusion process. The

reverse formulation of this argument is also interesting, for it allows us to see that in

places where electricity consumption habits are marginal, there are also fewer

incentives for the entry of new consumers. In the context of an asymmetrical

development of the network, such a situation introduces the vicious circle of 

backwardness.

Conclusion

Network activities must be understood over a double axis: first, the technology of access to the switch, which tells us if the flow of transactions can originate at any non-

central node and terminate at any non-central node. This is a remarkable feature

because it affects reciprocity or reversibility, and therefore the type of externalities

produced. Second, the point of view of the consumer and its relative position in the

chain of nodes and links. The main distinction is whether or not the final node of 

connection coincides with the personal space of the user. This is also an important

feature, because it affects the process of learning by using and the informational

returns of network technologies.

The most interesting point is that these classifications are not only theoretical

insights, but also practical incentives that instil business strategies. This study 

highlighted what happens when a network economy concentrates in the increment to

supply. The particular case analysed was a one-way network, where the final node of 

connection coincides with the personal space of the user, under the framework of 

exclusive local concessions (electricity in the first half of the twentieth century). In

such an historical context, incentives do exist to launch new products,

complementary services, improved interfaces and price discrimination rates. These

indirect externalities and consumers’ know-how were conscientiously used by 

managers and boards of directors to strengthen their entrepreneurial position and

survive in a conjecture of network blockage.

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The consequences were twofold: on the allocational side, entrepreneurial

restructuring led to thoughtful commercial policy based on price discrimination to

large customers and in innovations like marketing and publicity campaigns; on the

distributive side, the result was the asymmetry of adoption with few incentives for

additional entry of new consumers into the network. The implementation of networks thus had a discriminatory effect, increasing the distances in the positioning

of consumers and non-consumers, increasing the homogeneity within regions and

the heterogeneity between regions. Because competition for adopters turned into

incremental underpinning of supply, there was a flood in the consumption of certain

areas while others stand, literally, in the dark.

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Notes

1 Bos, Public Enterprise Economics, Theory and Application; Newbery, Privatization, Restructuring 

and Regulation of Network Utilities.

2 Economides and White, ‘‘Networks and Compatibility: Implications for Antitrust’’; idem,

‘‘One-way Networks, Two-way Networks.’’

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3 White, ‘‘US Public Policy toward Network Industries,’’ 5.

4 Economides and White, ‘‘One-way Networks, Two-way Networks,’’ 6, use the concept of ‘inter-

product network externality’; Katz and Shapiro, ‘‘Network Externalities, Competition and

Compatibility,’’ 424, talk of ‘consumption externalities’.

5 In a more complete systematization of the economic factors that contributed to the increased

attractiveness caused by adoption, Brian Arthur considered five main sources: learning by using,network externalities, scale economies in production, informational returns, technological

interrelatedness. The interpretation also supposes a dynamic of increasing returns and

significant assets embodied in the technology. Arthur, ‘‘Competing Technologies: An

Overview,’’ 590–591.

6 David, ‘‘The Hero and the Herd in Technological History’’; idem, ‘‘Path-dependence and

Predictability’’; Cohendet and Schenk, ‘‘Irreversibilites, Compatibilites et Concorrence.’’

7 Callon, ‘‘Variety and Irreversibility,’’ 235.

8 Hughes, Networks of Power .

9 Dowd and Dobbin, ‘‘Origins of the Myth of Neo-liberalism,’’ 69–71.

10 Millward, Private and Public Enterprise in Europe, 28–29.

11 Baumol, ‘‘On the Proper Cost Tests.’’12 Millward, Private and Public Enterprise in Europe; idem, ‘‘European Government and the

Infrastructure Industries’’; Thue, ‘‘Electricity Rules’’; Paquier , Histoire de L’electricite en Suisse;

Toninelli The Rise and Fall of State-Owned Enterprise in the Western World .

13 Frederico and Giannetti, ‘‘Italy: Stalling and Surpassing.’’

14 Some of the exceptions were the telephone trunk lines of some countries that were only 

nationalized by the 1950s. Millward, Private and Public Enterprise in Europe, 99–110.

15 Justino, A Formac ¸a o do Espac ¸o Economico Nacional , 363–373.

16 Nunes, Populac a o Activa e Actividade Economica em Portugal dos Finais do Seculo XIX a

 Actualidade.

17 Estimates based on Etemad and Luciani, World Energy Production; Maddison, Dynamic Forces in

Capitalist Development ; Mitchell, European Historical Statistics; Madureira, A Historia daEnergia: Portugal ; Sudria, ‘‘Un factor determinante: la energia.’’

18 Centre for Documentation of EDP, Minutes of UEP Board Meetings, UEP Book 1–3, 1920–

1941, Management Report and Accounts for 1920.

19 For example, in 1925, ‘After consulting the management about the financial difficulties of the

market in Porto, which made it difficult for industrialists to immediately acquire stations and

make the connection to UEP, it was decided that the management should be given permission

to install stations at the expense of UEP and that the customers would then pay for this over

periods of no more than 2 years at an interest rate of 10% . . .’ Centre for Documentation of 

EDP, Minutes of UEP Board Meetings, Book 1, from 28 Nov. 1919 to 22 May 1925, Minutes of 

13 March 1925.

20 Campos, Textos de Economia e Polıtica.

21 Centre for Documentation of EDP, Minutes of UEP Board Meetings, Book 1–3, 1920–1941;

Statistics of Electric Generation Facilities (Lisbon, 1929–1941).

22 Centre for Documentation of EDP, Minutes of UEP Board Meetings, Book 1, Minutes of 28

Feb. 1922.

23 Matos, O Porto e a Electricidade, 114.

24 Ibid .

25 Anon., Electrica del Lima.

26 Calculations based on the comparison of the following sources: Porto Municipal Council,

Reports of the Management of Gas and Electricity Services, 1925, 1927, 1929; Report and 

 Accounts of Uniao Electrica Portuguesa, 1924–1929; and Ferreira, ‘‘A energia electrica em

Portugal.’’

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27 The award of the contract for the construction of the 110 kilometres of 60 kV lines was only 

made after the competitive bid for the supply of electricity to Coimbra had been accepted: ‘the

board reached the conclusion that the supply was only likely to be awarded to UEP if the

company were also given responsibility for building the transport line from Porto to Coimbra.

The manager further stated that, were the supply price to be presented by UEP to be equal to the

one made to Porto Council, plus an amount per kWH for amortization and the interest on thecost of the transport line, such a price would be acceptable to Coimbra Council.’ Centre for

Documentation of EDP, Minutes of UEP Board Meetings, Book 2, Minutes of 21 May 1927.

28 Ibid., Book 3, Minutes of 22 Dec. 1931.

29 Fernandes, Lisboa e a Electricidade.

30 Centre for Documentation of EDP, Minutes of CRGE Board Meetings, Minutes of 24 March

1923.

31 Fernandes, Lisboa e a Electricidade, 371–377.

32 Centre for Documentation of EDP, Minutes of CRGE Board Meetings, Minutes of 26 Sept.

1938.

33 Ibid., 1931–1939; Minutes of the Executive Committee from 1938 to 1941.

34 Vaz, ‘‘Aplicacoes domesticas de electricidade na cidade do Porto’’; idem, Trinta anos de evoluc a ona electrificac a o da cidade do Porto.

35 The inter-quartile statistics of the distribution was 0.084 in 1930; decreased to 0.071 in 1940;

returned to 0.097 in 1950 and, finally, to 0.169 in 1960.

36 In the initial tests of the data panel model, the variable of urbanization was also included,

representing the percentage of the population living in cities with more than 5,000 inhabitants.

We have, however, chosen to remove this variable from the model due to very high indicators of 

multicollinearity and its redundancy in relation to the variable ‘population in the secondary and

tertiary sector’. Although the standardized coefficients of ‘urbanization’ were high, they did not

alter the conclusions presented here regarding the explanatory role of the variable ‘scale of 

electrification’.

37 Literacy rate¼

percentage of population that was literate, aged between 18 and 45, in eachdistrict.

Active population employed in industry and the tertiary sector ¼ percentage of the active

population employed in industry and the tertiary sector in each district.

Real purchasing power of electricity ¼ estimated in terms of the percentage of the regional

price of 1KWh in relation to the district’s average wage.

To calculate the average wage per district, the average figure was calculated for the wages paid

in industry and agriculture weighted by the active population employed in these sectors.

Scale of the connections to the network: estimated as the percentage of the total number of 

individuals connected to the network in each district in relation to the country’s total number

of inhabitants.

38 Kuznets, Modern Economic Growth.

THE ELECTRICAL NETWORK IN PORTUGAL 615


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