+ All Categories
Home > Documents > BWR DRISHTIKONE - Brickwork Ratings33.8% followed by Bharti Airtel at 27.7% and Reliance Jio at...

BWR DRISHTIKONE - Brickwork Ratings33.8% followed by Bharti Airtel at 27.7% and Reliance Jio at...

Date post: 11-Jun-2020
Category:
Upload: others
View: 1 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
14
Group JULY 2019 BWR DRISHTIKONE www.brickworkratings.com
Transcript
Page 1: BWR DRISHTIKONE - Brickwork Ratings33.8% followed by Bharti Airtel at 27.7% and Reliance Jio at 27.1%. However, Reliance Jio has been substantially adding new subscribers, while subscriber

Group

JULY 2019

BWR DRISHTIKONE

www.brickworkratings.com

Page 2: BWR DRISHTIKONE - Brickwork Ratings33.8% followed by Bharti Airtel at 27.7% and Reliance Jio at 27.1%. However, Reliance Jio has been substantially adding new subscribers, while subscriber

Group

www.brickworkratings.com

July 2019 1

Budget Proposals: A Booster Shot for the Economy July 2019

Liquidity, CAD and Macroeconomic Stability

India managed to maintain macroeconomic stability by containing inflation within 4% and current

account deficit (CAD) to GDP ratio at 2.1% during 2018-19. However, due to slowdown in the

domestic economy on account of lower farm output witnessed in the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2018-

19, the full year GDP growth rate was revised downwards to 6.8% compared to 7.2% reported

in the previous year. Along with agriculture, manufacturing sector also witnessed deceleration in

growth as evident from weak IIP numbers. Manufacturing sector was affected by the slowdown

in the auto sector as well, where the production growth for all categories apart from commercial

vehicles declined. The constant slowdown in auto sales is expected to continue in 2019-20 as

well, given the credit constraints faced by auto industries on account of ongoing liquidity crisis of

NBFCs in addition to rise in the cost of vehicle ownership due to change in insurance norms.

Government’s push towards electric vehicles may alter the household preferences towards

conventional fuel vehicles.

The Economic Survey and the Union Budget both exude confidence in the economy by propelling

growth estimates to 8% per year to achieve the aspirational goal of a USD 5 trillion economy.

Economic survey considers the challenge of creating of a virtuous cycle of savings, investments,

job creation and exports while meeting Budget’s commitment to fiscal consolidation to restrict

the fiscal deficit at 3.3% for 2019-20.

Debt market indicators suggest improved sentiments reflecting positive economic and market

scenario. Global cues like crude oil prices, US treasury yields direct the market. Bond markets

have witnessed a sharp rally of late assisted by a steady rupee followed by fall in crude prices

and RBI led MPC’s recent rate cut with accommodative stance. This comes on the back of the

favourable election outcome and a sharp drop in US treasury yields which have further buoyed

gilts. The 10-year benchmark yield traded between 6.98-7.22% during the month of June as

against 7.20-7.60% during the May 2019. Looking ahead, bond markets will continue to mirror

the rupee and oil trajectory, the fiscal target & borrowing plan and the US Federal Reserve’s

policy regime.

Union Budget which adhered to fiscal consolidation roadmap buoyed the bond market

sentiments. The bond yields fell around 18 basis points in a single day following the FM

Sitharaman’s Budget speech. Also, the market cheered the government’s decision to raise part

of its gross borrowing from the overseas market, which could reduce supply-side pressures in

the domestic market. The yield on the benchmark 10-year bond fell to as low as 6.56% during

the day before ending at 6.69%.

IN THIS ISSUE…

Macro Indicators

Domestic GDP Growth and Current Account Deficit

Inflation and Bank Credit Trade and INR USD

Exchange Rate Forex Reserves and Import

Cover Exchange Rate and Crude Oil

Prices

Sectoral Indicators

Automobiles Telecom Power Steel Cement Coal Airlines

Debt Market Indicators

G-sec Yields with Corporate Bond Yields, Bank MCLR

G-sec Yields with Crude Oil Prices

Contacts Rajat Bahl Chief Analytical Officer +91 22 67456634 [email protected] Anita Shetty Research Editor +91 22 67456633 [email protected]

Ria Matwani Research Editor +91 22 67456675 [email protected]

Praveen Pardeshi Research Analyst +91 22 67456681 [email protected]

Page 3: BWR DRISHTIKONE - Brickwork Ratings33.8% followed by Bharti Airtel at 27.7% and Reliance Jio at 27.1%. However, Reliance Jio has been substantially adding new subscribers, while subscriber

Group

www.brickworkratings.com

July 2019 2

MACRO-ECONOMIC INDICATORS

Domestic GDP Growth and Current Account Deficit

The slowdown in the domestic economy on account of lower farm output witnessed in the fourth

quarter (Q4) of 2018-19, the full year GDP growth rate revised downwards to 6.8% compared to

7.2% reported in the previous year. On the other hand, the current account deficit (CAD) as a

percentage to GDP narrowed down to 0.7% in Q4, while for the full fiscal 2018-19, CAD increased

2.1% from 1.8% reported in the previous year.

Source: MOSPI, IMF, RBI, BWR Research

Inflation, IIP and Bank Credit

CPI inflation moderated in May and remained within the targeted level of RBI at 4% (+/-2%). The

reduction in repo rate thrice in 2019 did not revive the credit growth much due to poor transition

of rate cut. In the meantime, IIP picked up in April and recorded 3.4% growth in output, suggesting

revival in production largely due to improving investment scenario.

Source: MOSPI, RBI, BWR Research

View

Significant moderation in CPI

inflation during 2018-19 which

remained within the targeted

level of RBI at 4%, helped the

MPC to change its stance. The

decline in crude oil prices

expected to keep the inflation

benign in 2019-20 as well. The

credit growth is expected to pick-

up on the back of monetary

easing by MPC.

View

After a deceleration in the growth

momentum in 2018-19 India’s

(GDP) growth is expected to

improve in 2019-20 reflecting a

recovery in investment and

consumption. Huge political

mandate for the government and

accommodative stance of

monetary policy both augur well

for the initiation of structural

reforms.

-3.0

-2.5

-2.0

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.05.0

5.5

6.0

6.5

7.0

7.5

8.0

8.5

Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19

Quarterly Growth in GDP and CAD as a ratio of GDP (%)

GDP CAD

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

Ap

r-18

Ma

y-1

8

Jun

-18

Jul-1

8

Au

g-1

8

Se

p-1

8

Oct-

18

Nov-1

8

Dec-1

8

Jan

-19

Fe

b-1

9

Ma

r-19

Ap

r-19

Ma

y-1

9

CPI Inflation, IIP and Bank Credit (y-o-y changes in %)

CPI Inflation Bank Credit IIP

Page 4: BWR DRISHTIKONE - Brickwork Ratings33.8% followed by Bharti Airtel at 27.7% and Reliance Jio at 27.1%. However, Reliance Jio has been substantially adding new subscribers, while subscriber

Group

www.brickworkratings.com

July 2019 3

Trade and INR USD Exchange Rate

After showing significant volatility, rupee appreciated marginally since March 2019. Exports

showed improvement in March 2019, but dropped in the previous month. Imports grew by 3.3%

in May whereas, exports increased by 3.7%, thus helping the trade balance to narrow.

Source: Ministry of Commerce, RBI, BWR Research

Forex Reserves and Import Cover

India's foreign exchange reserve cover for imports has fallen to 9.3 months in May from 10.1

months in April. Rising imports are the major reason, however accumulation of enough forex

reserves helped to arrest this reduction.

Source: Ministry of Commerce, MOSPI, BWR Research

View

With a stable rupee, RBI has

reduced its interventions in the

forex market. This would support

foreign currency assets to

remain at higher levels.

View

After crossing Rs 71 per USD,

responding to both global and

domestic factors the rupee

remained stable since March

2019. A lower trade deficit at

US$ 35.2 billion as compared

with US$ 41.6 billion a year ago

helped the CAD to narrow down.

67.8

68.769.5

72.2

73.6

71.9

70.7 70.771.2

69.5 69.4 69.8 69.4

63.0

65.0

67.0

69.0

71.0

73.0

75.0

-10.0

-5.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

Jun

-18

Jul-1

8

Au

g-1

8

Se

p-1

8

Oct-

18

Nov-1

8

Dec-1

8

Jan

-19

Fe

b-1

9

Ma

r-19

Ap

r-19

Ma

y-1

9

Jun

-19

Growth in Exports, Imports and Rupee-Dollar Exchange rate

Rs/$ (RHS) Exports (y-o-y in %) Imports (y-o-y in %)

10.5

9.49.1 9.1

8.8

9.4

8.89.0

9.39.7

11.0

9.5

10.1

9.3

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

11.0

12.0

375,000

380,000

385,000

390,000

395,000

400,000

405,000

410,000

415,000

420,000

425,000

Forex Reserves and Import Cover in Months

Foreign exchange reserves (USD mn) Import Cover in months

Page 5: BWR DRISHTIKONE - Brickwork Ratings33.8% followed by Bharti Airtel at 27.7% and Reliance Jio at 27.1%. However, Reliance Jio has been substantially adding new subscribers, while subscriber

Group

www.brickworkratings.com

July 2019 4

Fluctuation in Crude oil Prices and its Impact on INR/USD

Rupee remained stable supported by falling crude oil prices. Slowing signs of US demand kept

the oil prices under check with signs of a recovery in oil exports from Venezuela in June and

growth in Argentinian output in May.

Source: RBI, U.S Energy Information Administration, BWR Research

View

Easing crude oil prices helped the rupee to appreciate against US dollar. If the trend continues this would help the economy to manage fiscal situation well.

60.0

62.0

64.0

66.0

68.0

70.0

72.0

74.0

76.0

50.0

55.0

60.0

65.0

70.0

75.0

80.0

85.0

Rupee-D

olla

r E

xchange R

ate

Cru

de O

il P

rices in

$ B

arr

el

Crude oil Prices and Rs/$

Crude Oil Rs/$

Page 6: BWR DRISHTIKONE - Brickwork Ratings33.8% followed by Bharti Airtel at 27.7% and Reliance Jio at 27.1%. However, Reliance Jio has been substantially adding new subscribers, while subscriber

Group

www.brickworkratings.com

July 2019 5

SECTORAL INDICATORS

Automobiles

Overall automobile sales fell by 8.6% in May 2019 driven by weak sales in passenger vehicles

segment. High cost of ownership due to increased insurance cost has hampered the passenger

vehicles and two-wheeler sales. Revised axle norms and financing issues due to NBFC crisis

have hit the commercial vehicle sales.

Source: CMIE, BWR Research

IIP and Automobiles

Slowdown in auto production is in line with overall decline in IIP growth. Slowdown in

manufacturing activity is a proxy for falling consumer demand which is evident in the flat growth

in IIP.

Source: MOSPI, CMIE, BWR Research

1.5

1.7

1.9

2.1

2.3

2.5

2.7

2.9

3.1

3.3

3.5

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

Apr ,2018

May ,2018

Jun ,2018

Jul ,2018

Aug ,2018

Sep ,2018

Oct ,2018

Nov ,2018

Dec ,2018

Jan ,2019

Feb ,2019

Mar ,2019

Apr ,2019

May ,2019

Auto Production vs IIP

IIP (LHS) Auto production (million units)

BWR Views

Vehicle sales are expected to remain under pressure till H1 FY20, post which commercial vehicles might see an uptick in purchases by fleet owners before the BS-VI norms kick in from FY21.

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Ap

r 201

8

Ma

y 2

018

Jun

2018

Jul 2018

Au

g 2

018

Se

p 2

018

Oct 201

8

Nov 2

018

Dec 2

018

Jan

2019

Fe

b 2

019

Ma

r 20

19

Ap

r 201

9

Ma

y 2

019

Domestic Auto Sales (Growth y-o-y)

Passenger Vehicles Commercial Vehicles Two & Three Wheelers

BWR Views

Slowdown in vehicle sales has resulted in huge inventory build-up. Therefore, production cut down is expected in the coming months to clear the inventory as and when the demand picks up.

Page 7: BWR DRISHTIKONE - Brickwork Ratings33.8% followed by Bharti Airtel at 27.7% and Reliance Jio at 27.1%. However, Reliance Jio has been substantially adding new subscribers, while subscriber

Group

www.brickworkratings.com

July 2019 6

Telecom

Consolidation of the market continues with Jio increasing its market share and driving the overall

subscriber additions in the sector. As on April 2019, the market share of Vodafone-Idea was

33.8% followed by Bharti Airtel at 27.7% and Reliance Jio at 27.1%.

However, Reliance Jio has been substantially adding new subscribers, while subscriber additions

for Airtel has been very slow and in contrast Vodafone-Idea has been losing subscribers. Players

other than the top 4 are now completely out of the market.

Source: TRAI, BWR Research

Power

Power generation in hydro show a healthy growth this year compared to thermal in terms of

conventional energy sources. Thermal power producers has been facing challenges in terms of

coal availability. On the other hand, renewable sources continue to show strong growth.

Source: Central Electricity Authority, BWR Research

BWR Views

Competitive intensity is expected to ease as pricing by players are now on the same lines. Reliance Jio is expected to increase its market share going forward.

-100%

-80%

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Apr ,2018

May ,2018

Jun ,2018

Jul ,2018

Aug ,2018

Sep ,2018

Oct ,2018

Nov ,2018

Dec ,2018

Jan ,2019

Feb ,2019

Mar ,2019

Apr ,2019

Wireless Telecom subscribers (Growth y-o-y)

Bharti Airtel Vodafone Idea Reliance Jio BSNL Others

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

May ,2018

Jun ,2018

Jul ,2018

Aug ,2018

Sep ,2018

Oct ,2018

Nov ,2018

Dec ,2018

Jan ,2019

Feb ,2019

Mar ,2019

Apr ,2019

May ,2019

Electricity Generation (Growth y-o-y)

Thermal Nuclear Hydro Renewables

Page 8: BWR DRISHTIKONE - Brickwork Ratings33.8% followed by Bharti Airtel at 27.7% and Reliance Jio at 27.1%. However, Reliance Jio has been substantially adding new subscribers, while subscriber

Group

www.brickworkratings.com

July 2019 7

India's power supply position improved in May 2019, but country is still not a power-surplus

nation. The deficit is primarily due to discoms not being able to buy power on account of its

mounting losses and huge debt burden.

Source: CEA, BWR Research

Steel

Steel prices witnessed a decline after October 2018, owing to subdued industrial activity in the

country visible in declining infrastructure & construction activity and lower automobile sales.

However, from March 2019, domestic steel prices started to rise owing to increased raw material

prices, particularly iron ore.

Source: CMIE, BWR Research

BWR Views

Steel prices are expected to remain firm in the next 1-2 months as demand revival will be slow owing to overall economic slowdown and lack of liquidity in the market.

BWR Views

Power sector may continue to witness stress due to stalled projects.

-1.5%

0.0%

-0.2%

-1.1%

-4.6%

-0.7%-1.1%

0.0%

-0.1%

0.0%

-6.6%

-0.4%

-7.0%

-6.0%

-5.0%

-4.0%

-3.0%

-2.0%

-1.0%

0.0%

Northern Western Southern Eastern North Eastern All India

Power Supply Position (Surplus/Deficit)

May 2018 May 2019

51,000

52,000

53,000

54,000

55,000

56,000

57,000

58,000

59,000

60,000

61,000

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

Steel Production & Prices

Finished steel production (000 tonnes) Finished steel consumption (000 tonnes)

Finished steel prices (Rs per tonne) (RHS)

Page 9: BWR DRISHTIKONE - Brickwork Ratings33.8% followed by Bharti Airtel at 27.7% and Reliance Jio at 27.1%. However, Reliance Jio has been substantially adding new subscribers, while subscriber

Group

www.brickworkratings.com

July 2019 8

Cement

Cement prices have remained range bound in 2018-19. Despite demand remaining low and

input cost remaining stable, players increased the prices in March 2019.

Source: CMIE, BWR Research

Coal

Coal prices have been declining since July 2018, due to weak global growth and lower demand.

Also, record increase in coal production in China and its plans to open new mines put further

pressure on the price.

Source: CMIE, BWR Research

BWR Views

Cement prices are expected to firm up in expectations of government projects picking pace. The growth will be driven by Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana and multiple infrastructure projects such as metros, highways and irrigation projects.

BWR Views

International coal prices may continue to soften on the back of expected lower demand from markets like China and India.

280

290

300

310

320

330

340

350

360

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

Cement Production & Prices

Production (000 tonnes) Consumption (000 tonnes)

Average retail price (Rs per 50 kg) (RHS)

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

Apr2018

May2018

Jun2018

Jul2018

Aug2018

Sep2018

Oct2018

Nov2018

Dec2018

Jan2019

Feb2019

Mar2019

Apr2019

May2019

International Coal Prices (USD per tonne)

Indonesia Australia South Africa

Page 10: BWR DRISHTIKONE - Brickwork Ratings33.8% followed by Bharti Airtel at 27.7% and Reliance Jio at 27.1%. However, Reliance Jio has been substantially adding new subscribers, while subscriber

Group

www.brickworkratings.com

July 2019 9

Airlines

Domestic air passengers grew by 3% y-o-y in May 2019. This is a revival in growth after a decline

in April 2019 and a slowdown since the start of the year. The growth in May 2019 was aided by

capacity additions and also due to other airlines redeploying grounded aircraft of Jet Airways.

Source: DGCA, BWR Research

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

100

105

110

115

120

125

130

Domestic Passengers Carried by Airlines

Domestic passengers (in lakhs) Growth (y-o-y)

BWR Views

Domestic passenger growth is expected to grow at a faster rate going forward aided by induction of new aircrafts and discounts offered by airlines in the off-peak period.

Page 11: BWR DRISHTIKONE - Brickwork Ratings33.8% followed by Bharti Airtel at 27.7% and Reliance Jio at 27.1%. However, Reliance Jio has been substantially adding new subscribers, while subscriber

Group

www.brickworkratings.com

July 2019 10

DEBT MARKET INDICATORS

Movements in Bond Yields

Bond yields (annualised) of Public Sector Units (PSUs), Corporates and Non-Banking Finance

Companies (NBFCs) maturing in 1-year, 3-year and 5-year with corresponding Government

Securities and Bank MCLR are provided below.

The yields of AAA rated corporate bonds maturing in 1-year have eased by 56-83 basis points

in the month of June compared to May due to better liquidity in the bond market amid infusions

by Reserve Bank of India on daily basis.

Source: FIMMDA, Brickwork Research Source: FIMMDA, Brickwork Research Source: FIMMDA, BWR Research

Similarly, the yields of AAA rated corporate bonds maturing in 3-year have eased by 56-75 basis

points in the month of June compared to previous month.

Source: FIMMDA, Brickwork Research Source: FIMMDA, BWR Research

View

Yields of shorter tenor corporate bond has eased due to moderation in crude oil prices amid further expectation of RBI’s easing monetary stimulus.

6.206.406.606.807.007.207.407.607.808.008.208.408.608.809.00

2-M

ay

6-M

ay

10-M

ay

14-M

ay

18-M

ay

22-M

ay

26-M

ay

30-M

ay

3-J

un

7-J

un

11-J

un

15-J

un

19-J

un

23-J

un

27-J

un

1-year AAA Corporate Bond yields vs Gsec yield, MCLR

PSU Corp NBFC

GSEC SBI MCLR HDFC MCLR

6.206.406.606.807.007.207.407.607.808.008.208.408.608.809.00

2-M

ay

6-M

ay

10-M

ay

14-M

ay

18-M

ay

22-M

ay

26-M

ay

30-M

ay

3-J

un

7-J

un

11-J

un

15-J

un

19-J

un

23-J

un

27-J

un

3-year AAA Corporate Bond yields vs Gsec yield, MCLR

PSU Corp NBFC

GSEC SBI MCLR HDFC MCLR

Page 12: BWR DRISHTIKONE - Brickwork Ratings33.8% followed by Bharti Airtel at 27.7% and Reliance Jio at 27.1%. However, Reliance Jio has been substantially adding new subscribers, while subscriber

Group

www.brickworkratings.com

July 2019 11

Monthly yield curve of AAA PSUs, NBFCs, Corporates and Gsec The bonds across sectors also shows improving investor sentiments owing to anticipation of

RBI’s further easing key policy rates amid sharp fall in crude oil prices.

Source: FIMMDA, Brickwork Research

Rolling maturity of Government Security maturing in 1 year along with similar trend reflected by

Corporate bonds of PSUs, NBFCs and Corporates has witnessed easing trend due to softening

of interest rates (RBI-MPC repo rate cuts) amid infusion of huge liquidity by Central Bank through

Open Market Operations (OMOs) and daily injections.

Source: FIMMDA, BWR Research

6.5

7.0

7.5

8.0

8.5

9.0

2-M

ay

6-M

ay

10-M

ay

14-M

ay

18-M

ay

22-M

ay

26-M

ay

30-M

ay

3-J

un

7-J

un

11-J

un

15-J

un

19-J

un

23-J

un

27-J

un

5-year AAA Corporate Bond yields vs Gsec yield

PSU Corp NBFC

GSEC SBI MCLR HDFC MCLR

6.20

6.60

7.00

7.40

7.80

8.20

8.60

9.00

9.40

1 year rolling monthly yield curve for AAA PSU, NBFC, Corporate and GSEC

PSU NBFC Corp GSEC

Page 13: BWR DRISHTIKONE - Brickwork Ratings33.8% followed by Bharti Airtel at 27.7% and Reliance Jio at 27.1%. However, Reliance Jio has been substantially adding new subscribers, while subscriber

Group

www.brickworkratings.com

July 2019 12

Lower Brent Crude Oil directs the Indian Government Securities The recent fall in Brent Crude oil prices has reflected in the easing of yields, thereby, boosting

positivity in the bond market.

The average crude oil prices saw a sharp fall in the month of June to USD 64.33/ barrel as against

previous month’s average of USD 71.32/barrel.

Source: U.S Energy Information Administration, BWR Research

View

Recent sharp fall in the crude oil prices amid drop in US treasury yields helped easing domestic yields. Global cues may continue to influence the Indian bond market.

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

6.60

6.80

7.00

7.20

7.40

7.60

7.80M

ay 0

2, 2019

Ma

y 0

6, 2019

Ma

y 0

8, 2019

Ma

y 1

3, 2019

Ma

y 1

5, 2019

Ma

y 1

7, 2019

Ma

y 2

1, 2019

Ma

y 2

3, 2019

Ma

y 2

8, 2019

Ma

y 3

0, 2019

Jun

03, 201

9

Jun

06, 201

9

Jun

10, 201

9

Jun

12, 201

9

Jun

14, 201

9

Jun

18, 201

9

Jun

20, 201

9

Jun

24, 201

9

Jun

26, 201

9

Jun

28, 201

9

Benchmark GSec and Crude Oil Prices

Crude Oil Prices GSEC

Page 14: BWR DRISHTIKONE - Brickwork Ratings33.8% followed by Bharti Airtel at 27.7% and Reliance Jio at 27.1%. However, Reliance Jio has been substantially adding new subscribers, while subscriber

Group

www.brickworkratings.com

July 2019 13

BRICKWORK RATINGS (BWR) IS INDIA’S HOME GROWN CREDIT RATING AGENCY BUILT WITH SUPERIOR ANALYTICAL PROWESS FROM INDUSTRY’S MOST EXPERIENCED CREDIT ANALYSTS, BANKERS AND REGULATORS. ESTABLISHED IN 2007, BRICKWORK RATINGS AIMS TO PROVIDE RELIABLE CREDIT RATINGS BY CREATING NEW STANDARDS FOR ASSESSING RISK AND BY OFFERING ACCURATE AND TRANSPARENT RATINGS. BRICKWORK RATINGS PROVIDES INVESTORS AND LENDERS TIMELY AND IN-DEPTH RESEARCH ACROSS THE STRUCTURED FINANCE, PUBLIC FINANCE, FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS, PROJECT FINANCE AND CORPORATE SECTORS. BRICKWORK RATINGS HAS EMPLOYED OVER 350 CREDIT ANALYSTS AND CREDIT MARKET PROFESSIONALS ACROSS 8 OFFICES IN INDIA. OUR EXPERIENCED ANALYSTS HAVE PUBLISHED OVER 12,000 RATINGS ACROSS ASSET CLASSES. BRICKWORK RATINGS IS COMMITTED TO PROVIDE THE INVESTMENT COMMUNITY WITH THE PRODUCTS AND SERVICES NEEDED TO MAKE INFORMED INVESTMENT DECISIONS. BRICKWORK RATINGS IS A REGISTERED CREDIT RATING AGENCY BY SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE BOARD OF INDIA (SEBI) AND A RECOGNISED EXTERNAL CREDIT ASSESSMENT AGENCY (ECAI) BY RESERVE BANK OF INDIA (RBI) TO CARRY OUT CREDIT RATINGS IN INDIA. BRICKWORK RATINGS IS PROMOTED BY CANARA BANK, INDIA’S LEADING PUBLIC SECTOR BANK. MORE ON CANARA BANK AVAILABLE AT WWW.CANARABANK.CO.IN

BWR RATING CRITERIA IS AVAILABLE AT HTTPS://WWW.BRICKWORKRATINGS.COM/RATINGSCRITERIA.ASPX

Copyright © 2019 by Brickwork Ratings India Pvt Ltd., 3rd Floor, Raj Alkaa Park, 29/3 & 32/2, Bannerghatta Main Rd, Kalena Agrahara, Bengaluru, Karnataka 560076.Telephone: +91 80 4040 9940. Fax: +91 80 4040 9941. Reproduction or retransmission in whole or in part is prohibited except by permission. All rights reserved. In issuing and maintaining its ratings and/or research, Brickwork Ratings relies on factual information it receives from issuers, reliable third party sources and from other sources Brickwork Ratings believes to be credible. Brickwork Ratings conducts a reasonable investigation of the factual information relied upon by it in accordance with its ratings methodology, and obtains reasonable verification of that information from independent sources, to the extent such sources are available for a given security or such research. The manner of Brickwork Ratings’ factual investigation and the scope of the third-party verification it obtains will vary depending on the nature of the rated security and its issuer, and/or the research it undertakes. Brickwork Ratings may also rely on the availability and nature of relevant public information, access to the management of the issuer, the availability of audit reports, engineering reports, legal opinions and other reports provided by third parties. Users of Brickwork Ratings’ should agree that neither an enhanced factual investigation nor any third-party verification can ensure that all of the information Brickwork Ratings relies on in connection with a rating and/or research will be accurate and complete. Ultimately, the issuer and the third party data sources are responsible for the accuracy of the information they provide to Brickwork Ratings and to the market in offering data and other reports. In issuing its ratings Brickwork Ratings relies on the work of experts, including independent auditors with respect to financial statements and attorneys with respect to legal and tax matters. Further, ratings are inherently forward-looking and factors in assumptions and predictions about future events that by their nature cannot be verified as facts. As a result, despite any verification of current facts, ratings can be affected by future events or conditions that were not anticipated at the time a rating was issued or affirmed and/or this research report was published.

The information in this report is provided “as is” without any expression, representation or warranty of any kind. A Brickwork Ratings’ rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness of a security and/or research report its opinion of the themes/issues discussed in the report. This opinion is based on established criteria and methodologies that Brickwork Ratings is continuously evaluating and updating. Therefore, ratings and/or research are the collective work product of Brickwork Ratings and no individual, or group of individuals, is solely responsible. The rating and/or research does not address the risk of loss due to risks other than credit risk, unless such risk is specifically mentioned. Brickwork Ratings is not engaged in the offer or sale of any security and/or instrument/credit facility. All Brickwork Ratings reports have shared authorship. Individuals identified in a Brickwork Ratings report were involved in, but are not solely responsible for, the opinions stated therein. The individuals are named for contact purposes only. A report providing a Brickwork Ratings’ is neither a prospectus nor a substitute for the information assembled, verified and presented to investors by the issuer and its agents in connection with the sale of the securities. Ratings may be changed or withdrawn at anytime for any reason at the sole discretion of Brickwork Ratings. Brickwork Ratings does not provide investment advice of any sort. Ratings and/or research are not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Ratings and/or research do not comment on the adequacy of market price, the suitability of any security for a particular investor, or the tax-exempt nature or taxability of payments made in respect to any security. Brickwork Ratings receives fees from issuers, insurers, and others for rating their securities and/or instrument/credit facility availed.

For print and digital media The Rating Rationale and/or research report is sent to you for the sole purpose of dissemination through your print, digital or electronic media. While it may be used by you acknowledging credit to BWR, please do not change the wordings in the rationale and/or research report to avoid conveying a meaning different from what was intended by BWR. BWR alone has the sole right of sharing (both direct and indirect) its rationales and/or research reports for consideration or otherwise through any print or electronic or digital media.


Recommended