11
By 2035, Russia`s economy will grow by more than 3 times
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
$ bln. mln. of people
Population GDP
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
toe/cap $ thous./ cap
GDP per capita
Revenues per capita
Primary energy consumption per capita
Russian GDP and population forecast Russian GDP, per capita revenues and energy
consumption forecast
The crisis has somewhat slowed the decrease in energy intensity of
the Russian economy, but by 2035, it will decline by 60%
GDP energy intensity in Russia
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
20
23
20
24
20
25
20
26
20
27
20
28
20
29
20
30
20
31
20
32
20
33
20
34
20
35
toe/thous. $ 2010
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
mtoe
Oil and condensate Natural and associated gas
Coal Hydro
Nuclear Renewables
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
mtoe
Liquids Natural gas Coal Non-fossil fuels
Energy resources production in Russia Energy resources consumption in Russia
Natural gas will retain a dominant position in the structure of energy production and consumption, the role of non-fossil fuels will increase
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
mtoe
CIS West East
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
mtoe
Crude oil Oil products Natural gas Coal Electricity
Russian energy resources exports by destination Russian energy resources exports by type
The amount of energy exports to Asia will increase, the share of
natural gas in exports will increase, while the share of oil will be
reduced
The volumes of oil production in Russia are almost stable, while the production drop in the "old" regions should be compensated by the forced growth of oil production in other regions, and, in particular - in the Eastern Siberia and the Far East
Russian oil balance Russian oil production by region
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Mt
Production Imports
Exports Processing
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Mt
Northwestern F.D. Volga F.D.
Southern F.D. Northern Caucasus F.D.
Urals F.D. West Siberian
Far Eastern F.D.
Russian oil exports Refining oil in Russia by products
Oil export volumes will decline after 2025, while the role of the
Eastern direction and the depth of processing will increase
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Mt
CIS West East
0
50
100
150
200
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Mt
Gasoline Diesel fuel Fuel oil
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
bcm
Production Imports
Exports Consumption
Gas production will be increased due to the development of the new fields in Eastern Siberia and Far East, and the commencement of the Shtokman field development
Russian natural and associated gas balance Russian natural gas production by region
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
bcm
Northwestern F.D., inc. Shtokman
Volga F.D.
Southern F.D., inc. Caspian offshore
Urals F.D.
Siberian F.D.
Far Eastern F.D.
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
bcm
CIS West East
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
bcm
Gas pipelines own use
Power stations
Central boilers
Industry and other energy use
Residential
Russian natural gas exports Russian natural gas consumption by sector
The main volumes of gas will be consumed in the domestic market, where the demand is growing in all the sectors, the largest increase in gas exports will be to the East direction
Greenhouse gas emissions will be increased by 40% by 2035 due to the increased emissions coming from the electric power sector and auto transport
Greenhouse emissions Greenhouse emissions by sector
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Mt CO2
Power generation
Transport
Industry and other energy use
Residential
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Mt CO2
Greenhouse gas emissions
CO2 emissions
Methane emissions
Nitrous oxide emissions
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2006-2010 2011-2015 2016-2020 2021-2025 2026-2030 2031-2035
$ bln. 2010
Oil industry Gas industry Coal industry Power generation industry
CAPEX for energy sector
The development of the fuel and energy sector will require 2.7
trillion dollars of capital investments for the period up to 2035
