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Payback period
• 1. Calculating Payback What is the payback period for the following set of cash flows.
• To calculate the payback period, we need to find the time that the project has recovered its initial investment. After two years, the project has created:
• $1,200 + 2,500 = $3,700 in cash flows. • The project still needs to create another: • $4,800 – 3,700 = $1,100 in cash flows.• During the third year, the cash flows from the project will be
$3,400. So, the payback period will be 2 years, plus what we still need to make divided by what we will make during the third year.
• The payback period is: Payback = 2 + ($1,100 / $3,400) = 2.32 years
Return On Investment
• The benefit (return) of an investment is divided by the cost of the investments; the result is expressed as a percentage or a ratio. This is referred to as “simple ROI”.
ROI= Gains from investment – Cost of investment Cost of Investment
$700,000 - $500,000 = 40% $500,000
Return On Investemnt
• ROI is used to compare returns on investment where the money gained or lost—or the money invested—are not easily compared using monetary values. For example, a $1,000 investment that earns $50 in interest obviously generates more cash than a $100 investment that earns $20 interest, but the $100 investment earns a higher return.
Cash flow method
–Cash Defined -- refers to cash and cash equivalents.
–Cash equivalents are short-term, highly liquid investments that are (1) readily convertible to known amounts of cash, and (2) near maturity (typically within 3 months) with limited risk of price changes due to interest rate shifts.
–Cash is the beginning and the end of a company’s operating cycle.
–Net cash flow is the end measure of –profitability.
–Cash repays loans, replaces equipment, expands facilities, and pays dividends.
–Analyzing cash inflows and outflows helps assess liquidity, solvency, and financial flexibility.
• Liquidity is the nearness to cash of assets and liabilities.
• Solvency is the ability to pay liabilities when they mature.
• Financial flexibility is the ability to react to opportunities and adversities.
Developing Project Cash Flows
• Estimating Cost/Benefit for Engineering Projects
• Incremental Cash Flows• Developing Cash Flow Statements• Generalized Cash Flow Approach
10
Classification of Investment Projects
Project
Profit-addingproject
Profit-maintainingproject
Expansion project
Product Improvement project
Necessity project
Replacement Project
Cost Improvementproject
Cash Flow ElementOperating activities:
Other Terms Used in Business
Gross income Gross revenue, Sales revenue, Gross Profit, Operating revenue
Cost savings Cost reduction
Manufacturing expenses Cost of goods sold, Cost of revenue
O&M cost Operating expenses
Operating income Operating profit, Gross margin
Interest expenses Interest payments, Debt cost
Income taxes Income taxes owed
Investing activities
Capital investment Purchase of new equipment, Capital expenditure
Salvage value Net selling price, Disposal value, Resale value
Investment in working capital Working capital requirement
Working capital release Working capital recovery
Gains taxes Capital gains taxes, Ordinary gains taxes
Financing activities:
Borrowed funds Borrowed amounts, Loan amount
Principal repayments Loan repayment
(c) 2001 Contemporary Engineering Economics
13
A Typical Format used for Presenting Cash Flow Statement
Income statement Revenues Expenses Cost of goods sold Depreciation Debt interest Operating expensesTaxable incomeIncome taxesNet income
Cash flow statement
+ Net income+Depreciation
-Capital investment+ Proceeds from sales of depreciable assets- Gains tax- Investments in working capital+ Working capital recovery
+ Borrowed funds-Repayment of principal Net cash flow
Operatingactivities
Investing activities
Financingactivities
+
+
When Projects Require only Operating and Investing Activities
• Project Nature: Installation of a new computer control system • Financial Data:
– Investment: $125,000– Project life: 5 years– Salvage value: $50,000– Annual labor savings: $100,000– Annual additional expenses:
• Labor: $20,000• Material: $12,000• Overhead: $8,000
– Depreciation Method: 7-year MACRS– Income tax rate: 40%
(c) 2001 Contemporary Engineering Economics
15
Example 12.1 - Net Cash Flow Table Generated by Traditional Method Using Approach 2
A B C D E F G H I JYear End
Investment & Salvage Value
Revenue Labor Expenses Materials
Overhead
Depreciation
Taxable Income
Income Taxes
Net Cash Flow
0 -$125,000 -$125,000
1 $100,000 20,000
12,000 8,000 $17,863 42,137 16,855 $43,145
2 100,000 20,000
12,000 8,000 30,613 29,387 11,755 $48,245
3 100,000 20,000
12,000 8,000 21,863 38,137 15,255 $44,745
4 100,000 20,000
12,000 8,000 15,613 44,387 17,755 $42,245
5 100,000 20,000
12,000 8,000 5,581 54,419 21,678 $38,232
50,000* 16,525 6,613 $43,387
Information required tocalculate the income taxes*Salvage value
Note thatH = C-D-E-F-GI = 0.4 * HJ= B+C-D-E-F-I
Time value money• The Interest Rate
Obviously, $10,000 today.
You already recognize that there is TIME VALUE TO MONEY!!
Which would you prefer -- $10,000 today or $10,000 in 5 years?
Why time
• TIME allows you the opportunity to postpone consumption and earn INTEREST.– Types of Interest Simple Interest
• Interest paid (earned) on only the original amount, or principal, borrowed (lent).
– Compound Interest• Interest paid (earned) on any previous interest earned,
as well as on the principal borrowed (lent).
Simple Interest Formula
Formula SI = P0(i)(n)SI: Simple InterestP0: Deposit today (t=0)
i: Interest Rate per Periodn: Number of Time Periods
Example
• Assume that you deposit $1,000 in an account earning 7% simple interest for 2 years. What is the accumulated interest at the end of the 2nd year?
• SI = P0(i)(n)= $1,000(.07)(2)= $140
Simple Interest (FV)
• What is the Future Value (FV) of the deposit?FV = P0 + SI
= $1,000 + $140= $1,140
• Future Value is the value at some future time of a present amount of money, or a series of payments, evaluated at a given interest rate.
The Present Value is simply the $1,000 you originally deposited. That is the value today!
• Present Value is the current value of a future amount of money, or a series of payments, evaluated at a given interest rate.
Simple Interest (PV)Simple Interest (PV)
• What is the Present Value (PV) of the previous problem?
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
1st Year 10thYear
20thYear
30thYear
Future Value of a Single $1,000 Deposit
10% SimpleInterest
7% CompoundInterest
10% CompoundInterest
Why Compound Interest?Why Compound Interest?Fu
ture
Val
ue (U
.S. D
olla
rs)
Assume that you deposit $1,000 at a compound interest rate of 7% for 2 years.
Future ValueSingle Deposit (Graphic)
Future ValueSingle Deposit (Graphic)
0 1 2
$1,000FV2
7%
FV1 = P0 (1+i)1 = $1,000 (1.07)= $1,070
Compound InterestYou earned $70 interest on your $1,000
deposit over the first year.This is the same amount of interest you would
earn under simple interest.
Future ValueSingle Deposit (Formula)
Future ValueSingle Deposit (Formula)
Future ValueSingle Deposit (Formula)Future ValueSingle Deposit (Formula)
FV1 = P0 (1+i)1 = $1,000 (1.07)
= $1,070
FV2 = FV1 (1+i)1
= P0 (1+i)(1+i) = $1,000(1.07)(1.07) = P0 (1+i)2
= $1,000(1.07)2
= $1,144.90
You earned an EXTRA $4.90 in Year 2 with compound over simple interest.
FV1 = P0(1+i)1
FV2 = P0(1+i)2
General Future Value Formula:FVn = P0 (1+i)n
or FVn = P0 (FVIFi,n) -- See Table I
General Future Value Formula
General Future Value Formula
etc.
FVIFi,n is found on Table I
at the end of the book.
Valuation Using Table IValuation Using Table I
Period 6% 7% 8%1 1.060 1.070 1.0802 1.124 1.145 1.1663 1.191 1.225 1.2604 1.262 1.311 1.3605 1.338 1.403 1.469
FV2 = $1,000 (FVIF7%,2)= $1,000 (1.145)
= $1,145 [Due to Rounding]
Using Future Value TablesUsing Future Value Tables
Period 6% 7% 8%1 1.060 1.070 1.0802 1.124 1.145 1.1663 1.191 1.225 1.2604 1.262 1.311 1.3605 1.338 1.403 1.469
Julie Miller wants to know how large her deposit of $10,000 today will become at a compound annual interest rate of 10% for 5 years.
Story Problem ExampleStory Problem Example
0 1 2 3 4 5
$10,000FV5
10%
• Calculation based on Table I:FV5 = $10,000 (FVIF10%, 5)
= $10,000 (1.611)= $16,110 [Due to Rounding]
Story Problem SolutionStory Problem Solution
Calculation based on general formula: FVn = P0 (1+i)n
FV5 = $10,000 (1+ 0.10)5
= $16,105.10
3-31
Types of AnnuitiesTypes of Annuities
Ordinary Annuity: Payments or receipts occur at the end of each period.
Annuity Due: Payments or receipts occur at the beginning of each period.
An Annuity represents a series of equal payments (or receipts) occurring over a specified number of equidistant periods.
3-32
Examples of Annuities
Student Loan Payments Car Loan Payments Insurance Premiums Mortgage Payments Retirement Savings
3-33
Parts of an AnnuityParts of an Annuity
0 1 2 3
$100 $100 $100
(Ordinary Annuity)End of
Period 1End of
Period 2
Today Equal Cash Flows Each 1 Period Apart
End ofPeriod 3
3-34
Parts of an AnnuityParts of an Annuity
0 1 2 3
$100 $100 $100
(Annuity Due)Beginning of
Period 1Beginning of
Period 2
Today Equal Cash Flows Each 1 Period Apart
Beginning ofPeriod 3
3-35
FVAn = R(1+i)n-1 + R(1+i)n-2 + ... + R(1+i)1 +
R(1+i)0
Overview of an Ordinary Annuity -- FVAOverview of an Ordinary Annuity -- FVA
R R R
0 1 2 n n+1
FVAn
R = Periodic Cash Flow
Cash flows occur at the end of the period
i% . . .
3-36
FVA3 = $1,000(1.07)2 + $1,000(1.07)1 + $1,000(1.07)0
= $1,145 + $1,070 + $1,000 = $3,215
Example of anOrdinary Annuity -- FVAExample of anOrdinary Annuity -- FVA
$1,000 $1,000 $1,000
0 1 2 3 4
$3,215 = FVA3
7%
$1,070
$1,145
Cash flows occur at the end of the period
3-37
Hint on Annuity Valuation
The future value of an ordinary annuity can be viewed as
occurring at the end of the last cash flow period, whereas the future value of an annuity due can be viewed as occurring at the beginning of the last cash
flow period.
3-38
FVAn = R (FVIFAi%,n) FVA3 = $1,000 (FVIFA7%,3)
= $1,000 (3.215) = $3,215
Valuation Using Table IIIValuation Using Table III
Period 6% 7% 8%1 1.000 1.000 1.0002 2.060 2.070 2.0803 3.184 3.215 3.2464 4.375 4.440 4.5065 5.637 5.751 5.867
3-39
FVADn = R(1+i)n + R(1+i)n-1 + ... + R(1+i)2 +
R(1+i)1 = FVAn (1+i)
Overview View of anAnnuity Due -- FVADOverview View of anAnnuity Due -- FVAD
R R R R R
0 1 2 3 n-1 n
FVADn
i% . . .
Cash flows occur at the beginning of the period
3-40
FVAD3 = $1,000(1.07)3 + $1,000(1.07)2 + $1,000(1.07)1
= $1,225 + $1,145 + $1,070 = $3,440
Example of anAnnuity Due -- FVADExample of anAnnuity Due -- FVAD
$1,000 $1,000 $1,000 $1,070
0 1 2 3 4
$3,440 = FVAD3
7%
$1,225
$1,145
Cash flows occur at the beginning of the period
3-41
FVADn = R (FVIFAi%,n)(1+i)FVAD3 = $1,000 (FVIFA7%,3)(1.07)
= $1,000 (3.215)(1.07) = $3,440
Valuation Using Table IIIValuation Using Table III
Period 6% 7% 8%1 1.000 1.000 1.0002 2.060 2.070 2.0803 3.184 3.215 3.2464 4.375 4.440 4.5065 5.637 5.751 5.867