CFTC Energy & Environmental Markets Advisory Committee Meeting
April 17, 2019
Ben Jackson President
INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE
builds, operates and transforms global markets through information, technology and expertise
CFTC Energy & Environmental Markets Advisory Committee Meeting 2
Markets Futures, options and OTC markets across the EU, US and Asia
Clearing A global network of clearing houses powering market transparency and security
Data Unrivalled range of data products
support critical decision making
Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE)
INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE CFTC Energy & Environmental Markets Advisory Committee Meeting 3
Macro energy trends
Energy transition • Decarbonization
• Desulfurization
Changing global energy trade flows • A global gas market
• Shale revolution
An overview
INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE
Energy trends
CFTC Energy & Environmental Markets Advisory Committee Meeting 4
Decarbonization
Desulfurization
• Reducing the carbon footprint of the energy sector has increased adoption of renewables in electricity generation and transportation fuels.
• ICE offers a growing suite of suite of North American & European carbon allowance and renewable energy futures.
• Intermittency in renewable electricity does require alternative fuel sources to provide security in supply, natural gas is the cleanest and most versatile fossil fuel to partner.
• Market based mechanisms in environmental markets are an important catalyst in supporting the energy transition.
• In 2015 we transitioned ICE gasoil futures from 1,000 ppm to a 10 ppm sulfur specification – now the benchmark in middle distillates.
• IMO 2020 0.5% sulfur cap, is the next catalyst in this shift and will drive global LS marine gasoil demand from 700kb to 3.4m a day starting Jan 1, 2020.
• ICE offers a wide range of low sulfur gasoil futures and a global complex of derivatives based on local assessments which clear on ICE.
• ICE has listed a suite of IMO 0.5% sulfur instruments to
supplement our fuel oil derivatives complex as hedging needs change and customers try to manage this price risk.
INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE
Energy trends
CFTC Energy & Environmental Markets Advisory Committee Meeting 5
Global gas market
Shale revolution
• Managing global risk has never been more important, natural gas is transforming as pricing is increasingly global and commercial participants seek to manage risk as close to the source of consumption or production.
• Underpinned by the liberalization of LNG, North America, Europe and Asia are becoming interconnected.
• Our global infrastructure is built for commercial end users
who choose to hedge their exposure to risk using regional and local locations.
• Asia and Europe are driving demand for a high quality U.S. crude that isn’t blended.
• Working with physical participants, we have developed
mechanisms that meet the quality, delivery and storage infrastructure needed.
• Permian WTI futures provides delivery in Houston, as crude prices shift from Cushing to the waterborne U.S. Gulf Coast.
Global oil benchmarks
INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE
About Intercontinental Exchange
Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE:ICE) is a Fortune 500 company that operates a leading network of global futures, equity and equity options exchanges, as well as global clearing and data services across financial and commodity markets. The New York Stock Exchange is the world leader in capital raising, listings and equities trading.
Trademarks of ICE and/or its affiliates include Intercontinental Exchange, ICE, ICE block design, NYSE and New York Stock Exchange. Information regarding additional trademarks and intellectual property rights of Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. and/or its affiliates is located at http://www.intercontinentalexchange.com/terms-of-use.
Key Information Documents for certain products covered by the EU Packaged Retail and Insurance-based Investment Products Regulation can be accessed on the relevant exchange website under the heading “Key Information Documents (KIDS)”.
© 2018 Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. 7
Global crude benchmarks
CFTC Energy & Environmental Markets Advisory Committee Meeting
INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE
Global crude
8
Open interest climbs as participants increase their hedging
CFTC Energy & Environmental Markets Advisory Committee Meeting
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Lots
in T
hous
ands
ICE Brent Futures OI ICE WTI Futures OI ICE Dubai Related Contracts OI
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
Lots
Permian WTI
Brent, WTI and Dubai
Global natural gas complex
INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE 10 CFTC Energy & Environmental Markets Advisory Committee Meeting
Global gas benchmarks
INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
12/1
/201
61/
1/20
172/
1/20
173/
1/20
174/
1/20
175/
1/20
176/
1/20
177/
1/20
178/
1/20
179/
1/20
1710
/1/2
017
11/1
/201
712
/1/2
017
1/1/
2018
2/1/
2018
3/1/
2018
4/1/
2018
5/1/
2018
6/1/
2018
7/1/
2018
8/1/
2018
9/1/
2018
10/1
/201
811
/1/2
018
12/1
/201
81/
1/20
192/
1/20
193/
1/20
19
JKM LNG (Platts)
Lots
Managing global gas risk
11
Open interest continues to grow as participants look for hedging opportunities
CFTC Energy & Environmental Markets Advisory Committee Meeting
230% growth in 2018
-
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
16,000,000
18,000,000
1/30
/201
53/
31/2
015
5/29
/201
57/
31/2
015
9/30
/201
511
/30/
2015
1/29
/201
63/
31/2
016
5/31
/201
67/
29/2
016
9/30
/201
611
/30/
2016
1/31
/201
73/
31/2
017
5/31
/201
77/
31/2
017
9/29
/201
711
/30/
2017
1/31
/201
83/
29/2
018
5/31
/201
87/
31/2
018
9/28
/201
811
/30/
2018
1/31
/201
93/
29/2
019
Lots
European and US markets
EU Gas UK Gas US Basis US - Henry Hub
The power markets
INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE 13 CFTC Energy & Environmental Markets Advisory Committee Meeting
Global power benchmarks
INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE
Summary
14
• We’re witnessing increased competition between fuels amid the general shift to cleaner energy sources.
• Demand for U.S. crude and a liberalizing global gas market is seeing demand and supply dynamics become globalized.
• The broadest range of energy products is needed to help build and support the energy transition.
The energy transition
CFTC Energy & Environmental Markets Advisory Committee Meeting