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Chapter 10 Validation and Verification

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    Validation and Verification

    Adapted from JerryBanks

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    Verification

    Concerned with building the modelright

    Comparison of conceptual model andcomputer representation

    Is the model implemented correctlyin the computer?

    Are the inputs and logicalparameters represented properly?

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    Validation

    Concerned with building the rightmodel

    Accurate representation of the realsystem

    This is achieved through thecalibration of the model

    Iterative process until accuracy isacceptable

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    ModelBuilding,Verification,

    andValidation

    REAL SYSTEM

    Conceptual Model

    1Assumptions on system components

    2Structural Assumptions (defines the interactions

    between the system components)

    3Input parameters and data assumptions

    Operational Model(Computer

    Representation)

    Conceptual

    Validation

    Model

    Verification

    Calibration and

    Validation

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    Common sense suggestionsfor verification

    Have someone check thecomputerized model

    Make a flow diagram (with logicalactions for each possible event)

    Examine model output forreasonableness

    Print the input parameters at theend of the simulation

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    Three Classes of Techniquesfor Verification

    Common sense techniques

    Thorough documentation

    Traces

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    Calibration and Validation

    Validation is the overall process ofcomparing the model and its

    behavior to the real system and itsbehavior

    Calibration is the iterative process of

    comparing the model to the realsystem and making adjustments tothe model, and so on.

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    Iterative Process ofCalibration

    REAL SYSTEM

    Initial Model

    Second

    Revision of

    Model

    First Revision of

    Model

    Compare Model to

    Reality

    Compare RevisedModel to Reality

    Compare second

    Revised Model to

    Reality

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    3 Step Approach by Naylorand Finger (1967)

    Build a model with high face validity

    Validate model assumptions

    Compare the model input-outputtransformations to correspondinginput-output transformations of the

    real system

    P ibl lid ti t h i i

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    Possible validation techniques inorder of increasing cost-valueratio by Van Horn (1971)

    High face validity. Use previousresearch/studies/observation/experience

    Conduct statistical test for datahomogeneity, randomness, and goodnessof fit test

    Conduct Turing test. Have a group ofexperts compare model output versussystem output and detect the difference

    Compare model output to system outputusing statistical tests

    P ibl lid ti t h i i

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    Possible validation techniques inorder of increasing cost-valueratio by Van Horn (1971)

    After model development, collectnew data and apply previous 3 tests

    Build a new system or redesign theold one based on simulation resultsand use this data to validate the

    model Do little or no validation. Implement

    results without validating


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