Frank WoutersWorley - VP HydrogenChair MENA Hydrogen AllianceChair Dii Advisory BoardNovember 2020
Clean hydrogen economy – a snapshot
1. Energy, the big picture
2. Hydrogen in the Energy Transition
3. The European Hydrogen Strategy and the 2 x 40 GW Electrolyser Initiative
4. Hydrogen as an export product
5. The hydrogen economy in North Africa and the Middle East
6. Hydrogen in Jordan
Flow
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Energy, the big picture
1
4
But also wind is cheap now
Worldwide energy demand: 155,000 TWh/a
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With solar panels only, it would require a surface area covering about 10% of Australia or 8% of the Sahara Desert.
In a scenario with only wind turbines, it would require an area of 1.5% of the Pacific Ocean.
Hydrogen in the Energy Transition
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The role of hydrogen in the energy transition
8Enable the renewable energy system Decarbonize end uses
Source: Hydrogen Council
Hydrogen as an enabler of variable low-cost electricity
9
At increasing rates of variable renewable energy, demand for hydrogen grows exponentially
How do we make hydrogen?
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▪ Steam methane reforming of natural gas
▪ 95% of all current H2 production▪ 9-10 kg of CO2 emissions for each
kg of H2
▪ SMR: TRL 9
▪ Not yet practiced, but significant attention lately
▪ CC(U)S: TRL 8
▪ Water electrolysis is a derivative of proven chlorine electrolysis, with decades of experience
SMR: grey hydrogen SMR + CC(U)S: blue hydrogen Electrolysis: green hydrogen
Power to Gas: Electrolyzer
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Electrolysis: not new
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Source: NEL
Hydrogen will soon be competitive with natural gas.
▪ IEA (June 2019)$1/kg by 2040, which corresponds to $9/mmbtu for natural gas.
▪ Bloomberg (August 2019)Production cost of hydrogen to go down to $0.8/kg, which corresponds to $6/mmbtu for natural gas.
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With the declining cost of electrolyzers and renewable electricity, hydrogen will be competitive with natural gas.
How to make hydrogen fuels?
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Ammonia
Hydrogen
Jet fuel
Zero carbon
The European Hydrogen Strategy and the 2 x 40 GW Electrolyser Initiative
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Germany 2020
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Electrons513 TWh
Molecules1986 TWh
RE Power207 TWh
Inter alia Biofuels 185 TWh
Germany 2050
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Electrons513 TWh
Molecules1986 TWh
RE Power100%
• Biofuels (limited)• CCS (limited) • H2
• H2 based substances• Ammonia• Methanol• E-fuels
• Initiative by Hydrogen Europe and several other organisations to have 2x40GW electrolysers installed by 2030:- 40GW in Europe- 40GW in Ukraine and North Africa
• Aim is to make hydrogen competitive: 1.5 - 2.0 €/kg by 2025 1.0 - 1.5 €/kg by 2030
• Other benefits include:• Technology leadership• 82 Mton CO2 emission reduction• Creation of up to 170,000 jobs
• In North Africa and Ukraine, 7.5GW could be domestic (ammonia), and 32.5GW for export, covering 17% of EU’s hydrogen market in 2030
2 x 40 GW Electrolyzer Initative
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European Hydrogen Strategy –8 July 2020
• Priority focus on green hydrogen, role for blue
• At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024at least 40 GW installed by 2030.
• Role for import from neighboring regions
• By 2030, the Commission estimates that €13-15bn could be invested in electrolysers across the EU, in addition to €50-150bn for a dedicated wind and solar capacity of 50-75GW.
Hydrogen as an export product
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Hydrogen export pathways
H2 Production Facility
NH3
Synthesis
Truck loading Truck offloading
Marine
loadingMarine terminal
H2
Liquefaction
Marine
loadingMarine terminal
Container
loadingContainer unloading
Production Facility (and port facility) In-Transit Destination Customer Site
Compression
Liquid NH3
Gaseous
H2
Liquid H2
Liquid hydrogen
export
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Cable versus pipeline
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Cable (BritNed) Pipeline (BBL)
Capacity 1 GW 15 GW
Construction Cost € 500 mln € 500 mln
Volume (year) 8 TWh 120 TWh
• 2 pipelines of 48 inch each, with similar capacity as the Nordstream(66 GW)
• 300 TWh or 7.6 million ton hydrogen per year can be transported, which is equivalent to more than 10% of all currently manufactured hydrogen globally.
• At $1.5/kg, this represents potential revenue of $11.4 billion per year
Connecting the gas grid
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Conversion of Infrastructure
• Issue: • Can we use the existing gas grid for hydrogen?
• Considerations:• Certain materials can become brittle, fitness of
compressors, flow meters, etc.
• Magic:• Research in France1, Germany and the Netherlands2 has
shown that the bulk of pipelines can accommodate hydrogen
• Build pure hydrogen infrastructure immediately, develop a conversion plan for 2030 - 2050
• Transition to pure hydrogen only by 20501. www.grtgaz.com/fileadmin/plaquettes/en/2019/Technical-economic-conditions-for-injecting-hydrogen-into-natural-gas-networks-report2019.pdf2. DNVGL. (2017). Verkenning waterstofinfrastructuur (in Dutch). Report for Ministery of Economic Affairs.
Energy Trade
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Hydrogen Import/Export: Costs
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Costs of different hydrogen types by location, USD per kg of hydrogen [IEA 2019]
Regions with large potential H2 demand are renewables-constrained; regions with high renewable energy potential have an advantage to produce cheaply at scale
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Major H2 offtake demand centers and regions with high potential for green H2 production
Favorable RES region Large H2 demand center
▪ High wind and hydropotential
▪ Regulatory push
Norway
▪ Favorable PV/wind hybrid conditions
Canada
▪ High existing and new H2 demand applications
▪ Renewables-constrained due to varying load curves and limited space availability
EU
▪ Favorable PV/wind hybrid conditions
Chile
▪ Rising demand, especially in transportation sector(California)
▪ Favorable PV conditions tosupport self-sufficiency
USA
▪ Potential for large-scale PV farms with favorable loadprofiles
Australia
▪ Strategy to scale up H2 consumption▪ Constrained in space and offshore wind
conditions (deep-sea area)
Japan
▪ H2 roadmap to scale upconsumption
▪ Similar constraints as Japan
Korea
▪ High PV/wind hybrid potential
KSA
▪ Large investments in H2 economy
▪ Potential to be self-sufficient
China
▪ Large growth in feedstockdemand
▪ Limited investments in RES infrastructure
India
SOURCE: World Energy Council
The hydrogen economy in North Africa and the Middle East
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Energy in North Africa
• IRENA estimates that North Africa has a feasible potential for renewable energy of almost 120 GW, with 70 GW wind and the rest solar PV and CSP by 2030
• Competitive green hydrogen produced in North Africa can replace fossil fuels, benefitting both importers (Morocco, Tunisia) and exporters (Algeria, Libya)
• North Africa supplies 13% of Europe’s natural gas demand and 10% of oil demand. More than 60% of North Africa’s oil and gas exports are sent to Europe (Eurostatgas)
• New city, the size of Belgium (26,000km2)
• One of three strategic projects of Saudi Agenda 2030
• Saudi’s Public Investment Fund and others have committed $500 billion
• NEOM will be powered by 100% low-cost renewable energy (40 – 60 GW)
• Given the availability of competitive and low-cost renewable energy, NEOM will produce green hydrogen at scale for local and world markets
NEOM
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NEOM – Profiles of the solar and wind resource
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Avg. loadfactors
overthe
day,%
0
40
20
60
80
100
120
00:00 16:0004:00 08:00 12:00 20:00
Combined avg. wind & solar: 72%1
Avg. wind: 41%Avg. solar: 31%
1. Hypothetical, for a wind plant of for instance 500 MW plus a solar PV plant of 500 MW,
and with a load factor calculated against a plant of 500 MW
Source: NEOM
NEOM H2 will target both domestic and international markets
Target segments
Export
NEOM/
KSA
Products
Green H2 Green Fuels
▪ Conversion of green H2
produced in NEOM into green
products for local off-takers and
export
▪ Examples: ammonia, syngas,
green steel, green cement,
glass industry, food processing
industry, synfuels
▪ Export of green H2/Fuels produced
in NEOM to international markets
with CO2 reduction commitments
▪ Replacement of grey H2 (from
SMR or coal gasification)
▪ Use of H2 in NEOM for power
generation, transportation
and energy storage
NEOM H2: Next steps in making it happen*
Deployment of 40-60 MW pilot production plant, starting production by Q4 2022.
(including downstream green Ammonia, green Methanol, green - synthetic fuels)
First scale up phase finalized in 2026 to 2.000+ MW – feasibility in progress
Second scale up phase finalized in 2030 to 4+ GW**
* The green energy and green molecules market evolves daily. We see an ever more growing interest and will adapt our plans accordingly.
** significant upward potential
Worley’s Role:• Strategy support, partner outreach, business case, definition of pilot and scale-up• Owner’s Engineer and Engineering Services
Hydrogen in Jordan
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• Curtailment of renewable energy
• Hydrogen can enable more low-cost solar and wind
• Similar resource potential compared to NEOM, providing high load factors and low cost
• Potential Applications:• Power sector
• Transport sector
• Ammonia production in Aqaba at Nippon Jordan Fertilizer Company
Why Hydrogen in Jordan?