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Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030....

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Frank Wouters Worley - VP Hydrogen Chair MENA Hydrogen Alliance Chair Dii Advisory Board November 2020 Clean hydrogen economy – a snapshot
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Page 1: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

Frank WoutersWorley - VP HydrogenChair MENA Hydrogen AllianceChair Dii Advisory BoardNovember 2020

Clean hydrogen economy – a snapshot

Page 2: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

1. Energy, the big picture

2. Hydrogen in the Energy Transition

3. The European Hydrogen Strategy and the 2 x 40 GW Electrolyser Initiative

4. Hydrogen as an export product

5. The hydrogen economy in North Africa and the Middle East

6. Hydrogen in Jordan

Flow

2

Page 3: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

Energy, the big picture

1

Page 4: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

4

Page 5: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

But also wind is cheap now

Page 6: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

Worldwide energy demand: 155,000 TWh/a

6

With solar panels only, it would require a surface area covering about 10% of Australia or 8% of the Sahara Desert.

In a scenario with only wind turbines, it would require an area of 1.5% of the Pacific Ocean.

Page 7: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

Hydrogen in the Energy Transition

2

Page 8: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

The role of hydrogen in the energy transition

8Enable the renewable energy system Decarbonize end uses

Source: Hydrogen Council

Page 9: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

Hydrogen as an enabler of variable low-cost electricity

9

At increasing rates of variable renewable energy, demand for hydrogen grows exponentially

Page 10: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

How do we make hydrogen?

10

▪ Steam methane reforming of natural gas

▪ 95% of all current H2 production▪ 9-10 kg of CO2 emissions for each

kg of H2

▪ SMR: TRL 9

▪ Not yet practiced, but significant attention lately

▪ CC(U)S: TRL 8

▪ Water electrolysis is a derivative of proven chlorine electrolysis, with decades of experience

SMR: grey hydrogen SMR + CC(U)S: blue hydrogen Electrolysis: green hydrogen

Page 11: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

Power to Gas: Electrolyzer

11

Page 12: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

Electrolysis: not new

12

Source: NEL

Page 13: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

Hydrogen will soon be competitive with natural gas.

▪ IEA (June 2019)$1/kg by 2040, which corresponds to $9/mmbtu for natural gas.

▪ Bloomberg (August 2019)Production cost of hydrogen to go down to $0.8/kg, which corresponds to $6/mmbtu for natural gas.

13

With the declining cost of electrolyzers and renewable electricity, hydrogen will be competitive with natural gas.

Page 14: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

How to make hydrogen fuels?

14

Ammonia

Hydrogen

Jet fuel

Zero carbon

Page 15: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

The European Hydrogen Strategy and the 2 x 40 GW Electrolyser Initiative

3

Page 16: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

Germany 2020

16

Electrons513 TWh

Molecules1986 TWh

RE Power207 TWh

Inter alia Biofuels 185 TWh

Page 17: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

Germany 2050

17

Electrons513 TWh

Molecules1986 TWh

RE Power100%

• Biofuels (limited)• CCS (limited) • H2

• H2 based substances• Ammonia• Methanol• E-fuels

Page 18: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

• Initiative by Hydrogen Europe and several other organisations to have 2x40GW electrolysers installed by 2030:- 40GW in Europe- 40GW in Ukraine and North Africa

• Aim is to make hydrogen competitive: 1.5 - 2.0 €/kg by 2025 1.0 - 1.5 €/kg by 2030

• Other benefits include:• Technology leadership• 82 Mton CO2 emission reduction• Creation of up to 170,000 jobs

• In North Africa and Ukraine, 7.5GW could be domestic (ammonia), and 32.5GW for export, covering 17% of EU’s hydrogen market in 2030

2 x 40 GW Electrolyzer Initative

18

Page 19: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

European Hydrogen Strategy –8 July 2020

• Priority focus on green hydrogen, role for blue

• At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024at least 40 GW installed by 2030.

• Role for import from neighboring regions

• By 2030, the Commission estimates that €13-15bn could be invested in electrolysers across the EU, in addition to €50-150bn for a dedicated wind and solar capacity of 50-75GW.

Page 20: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

Hydrogen as an export product

4

Page 21: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

Hydrogen export pathways

H2 Production Facility

NH3

Synthesis

Truck loading Truck offloading

Marine

loadingMarine terminal

H2

Liquefaction

Marine

loadingMarine terminal

Container

loadingContainer unloading

Production Facility (and port facility) In-Transit Destination Customer Site

Compression

Liquid NH3

Gaseous

H2

Liquid H2

Page 22: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

Liquid hydrogen

export

22

Page 23: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

Cable versus pipeline

23

Cable (BritNed) Pipeline (BBL)

Capacity 1 GW 15 GW

Construction Cost € 500 mln € 500 mln

Volume (year) 8 TWh 120 TWh

Page 24: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

• 2 pipelines of 48 inch each, with similar capacity as the Nordstream(66 GW)

• 300 TWh or 7.6 million ton hydrogen per year can be transported, which is equivalent to more than 10% of all currently manufactured hydrogen globally.

• At $1.5/kg, this represents potential revenue of $11.4 billion per year

Connecting the gas grid

24

Page 25: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

Conversion of Infrastructure

• Issue: • Can we use the existing gas grid for hydrogen?

• Considerations:• Certain materials can become brittle, fitness of

compressors, flow meters, etc.

• Magic:• Research in France1, Germany and the Netherlands2 has

shown that the bulk of pipelines can accommodate hydrogen

• Build pure hydrogen infrastructure immediately, develop a conversion plan for 2030 - 2050

• Transition to pure hydrogen only by 20501. www.grtgaz.com/fileadmin/plaquettes/en/2019/Technical-economic-conditions-for-injecting-hydrogen-into-natural-gas-networks-report2019.pdf2. DNVGL. (2017). Verkenning waterstofinfrastructuur (in Dutch). Report for Ministery of Economic Affairs.

Page 26: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

Energy Trade

26

Page 27: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

Hydrogen Import/Export: Costs

27

Costs of different hydrogen types by location, USD per kg of hydrogen [IEA 2019]

Page 28: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

Regions with large potential H2 demand are renewables-constrained; regions with high renewable energy potential have an advantage to produce cheaply at scale

28

Major H2 offtake demand centers and regions with high potential for green H2 production

Favorable RES region Large H2 demand center

▪ High wind and hydropotential

▪ Regulatory push

Norway

▪ Favorable PV/wind hybrid conditions

Canada

▪ High existing and new H2 demand applications

▪ Renewables-constrained due to varying load curves and limited space availability

EU

▪ Favorable PV/wind hybrid conditions

Chile

▪ Rising demand, especially in transportation sector(California)

▪ Favorable PV conditions tosupport self-sufficiency

USA

▪ Potential for large-scale PV farms with favorable loadprofiles

Australia

▪ Strategy to scale up H2 consumption▪ Constrained in space and offshore wind

conditions (deep-sea area)

Japan

▪ H2 roadmap to scale upconsumption

▪ Similar constraints as Japan

Korea

▪ High PV/wind hybrid potential

KSA

▪ Large investments in H2 economy

▪ Potential to be self-sufficient

China

▪ Large growth in feedstockdemand

▪ Limited investments in RES infrastructure

India

SOURCE: World Energy Council

Page 29: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

The hydrogen economy in North Africa and the Middle East

5

Page 30: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

Energy in North Africa

• IRENA estimates that North Africa has a feasible potential for renewable energy of almost 120 GW, with 70 GW wind and the rest solar PV and CSP by 2030

• Competitive green hydrogen produced in North Africa can replace fossil fuels, benefitting both importers (Morocco, Tunisia) and exporters (Algeria, Libya)

• North Africa supplies 13% of Europe’s natural gas demand and 10% of oil demand. More than 60% of North Africa’s oil and gas exports are sent to Europe (Eurostatgas)

Page 31: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

• New city, the size of Belgium (26,000km2)

• One of three strategic projects of Saudi Agenda 2030

• Saudi’s Public Investment Fund and others have committed $500 billion

• NEOM will be powered by 100% low-cost renewable energy (40 – 60 GW)

• Given the availability of competitive and low-cost renewable energy, NEOM will produce green hydrogen at scale for local and world markets

NEOM

31

Page 32: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

NEOM – Profiles of the solar and wind resource

32

Avg. loadfactors

overthe

day,%

0

40

20

60

80

100

120

00:00 16:0004:00 08:00 12:00 20:00

Combined avg. wind & solar: 72%1

Avg. wind: 41%Avg. solar: 31%

1. Hypothetical, for a wind plant of for instance 500 MW plus a solar PV plant of 500 MW,

and with a load factor calculated against a plant of 500 MW

Source: NEOM

Page 33: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

NEOM H2 will target both domestic and international markets

Target segments

Export

NEOM/

KSA

Products

Green H2 Green Fuels

▪ Conversion of green H2

produced in NEOM into green

products for local off-takers and

export

▪ Examples: ammonia, syngas,

green steel, green cement,

glass industry, food processing

industry, synfuels

▪ Export of green H2/Fuels produced

in NEOM to international markets

with CO2 reduction commitments

▪ Replacement of grey H2 (from

SMR or coal gasification)

▪ Use of H2 in NEOM for power

generation, transportation

and energy storage

Page 34: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

NEOM H2: Next steps in making it happen*

Deployment of 40-60 MW pilot production plant, starting production by Q4 2022.

(including downstream green Ammonia, green Methanol, green - synthetic fuels)

First scale up phase finalized in 2026 to 2.000+ MW – feasibility in progress

Second scale up phase finalized in 2030 to 4+ GW**

* The green energy and green molecules market evolves daily. We see an ever more growing interest and will adapt our plans accordingly.

** significant upward potential

Worley’s Role:• Strategy support, partner outreach, business case, definition of pilot and scale-up• Owner’s Engineer and Engineering Services

Page 35: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

Hydrogen in Jordan

6

Page 36: Clean hydrogen - EDAMA...•At least 6 GW of electrolysers by 2024 at least 40 GW installed by 2030. •Role for import from neighboring regions •By 2030, the Commission estimates

• Curtailment of renewable energy

• Hydrogen can enable more low-cost solar and wind

• Similar resource potential compared to NEOM, providing high load factors and low cost

• Potential Applications:• Power sector

• Transport sector

• Ammonia production in Aqaba at Nippon Jordan Fertilizer Company

Why Hydrogen in Jordan?


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