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Welcome to the Met Office

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Climate Services

Adaptation subcommittee, Climate Change Commission for Wales, Sept 2013

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Overview

• Global activities - Global Framework for Climate Services, Climate Service Partnership

• European activities (many!)

• Activities in the UK and at the Met Office (Climate Service UK)

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History of the Global Framework for Climate Services

1979: World Climate Conference-1 WCP, WCRP, IPCC

1990: World Climate Conference-2 UNFCCC, GCOS

2009: World Climate Conference-3 called for GFCS

2012: Extraordinary World Meteorological Congress approved GFCS

2013: 1st Intergovernmental Board on Climate Services

Global Framework for Climate Services

Developed under the UN system

Enable society to better manage the risks and opportunities arising from climate variability and change, especially for those who are most vulnerable to climate-related hazards

This will be done through development and incorporation of science-based climate information into planning, policy and practice.

http://www.wmo.int/gfcsHewitt et al (2012) Nature Climate Change

The principles of the GFCS

The components of the GFCS

The GFCS initial priority areas

Agriculture and food security

Water management

HealthDisaster Risk Reduction

Climate Service Partnership

• Arising from First International Conference on Climate Services

• Connect climate service activities

• Forum for collaborating and sharing experiences

• Involves researchers, service providers, donors, decision makers, …

• Annual International Conference

European Commission funded R&D projects related to climate services

ECLISE – demonstrate local climate services to support adaptation policies and conceptualise a European climate service

CLIM-RUN – climate information in the Mediterranean region responding to user needs

NACLIM – improve our understanding of the predictability of the climate in the N. Atlantic/European sector.

SPECS - climate prediction systems for seasonal-to-decadal time scales, to provide actionable climate information.

EUPORIAS - maximise the usefulness of seasonal-to-decadal climate information through close collaboration with end users.

ECOMS – coordinate across EC projects and a ‘think tank’ on future research priorities

Plus JPI-Climate, Climate-KIC, GMES/Copernicus, ...

• From mitigation to mitigation and adaptation

• From few to many customers/users/stakeholders

• Global century scenarios to regional predictions, days to decades ahead

• Climate change to climate change and climate variability

• Broad climate to characteristics of weather including extremes and impacts

• Operational delivery – regularly updated monitoring, forecasts, products & services

Climate Services:the Application of Climate Science

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Partnership: working with Environment Agency, Natural Environment Research Council and others

User driven: working together through customer partnerships to build knowledge, develop user-relevant tools, and ensure climate information is used in decision-making

Ensure a sustainable service based on user demand

Built on a solid base of world-leading underpinning science (HCCP)

Developed alongside our weather service and building on existing service delivery capability: a seamless weather and climate service

Climate Service UK

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• Formal event held in London on 3 June 2013

• Speakers included Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change, WMO Deputy Secretary-General, industry, and CEs of Met Office, NERC and EA

• Showcased examples of climate services:

• National Climate Information Centre• Climate Science Research Partnership in Africa• Met Service Singapore capacity building• PRECIS• Bangladesh project• WFP Food Security• Expert advice (Knowledge Integration team, consultancy projects)

Climate Service UK event

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Collaboration with Met Service Singapore (MSS)

• A long-term partnership was initiated in 2011 between MSS and the Met Office to strengthen Singapore’s weather and climate science capability.

• Singapore and SE Asia are highly vulnerable to climate variability and change and extreme events including flooding from intense storms and storm surges, land loss from sea level rise, heat stress.

• Expertise developed by the Met Office is helping Singapore to assess risks faced by the country and the wider South East Asia region.

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Collaboration focussed on:

1. Building climate modelling capability through PRECIS system

2. Coordinated climate analysis and modelling with ASEAN Met Services

3. Vulnerability to climate change

4. Seasonal forecasting

5. Tropical, high-resolution NWP (SINGV)

6. Dispersion modelling, with a focus on haze

7. Training workshops

8. Joint scientific papers

9. Exchange of scientists

Collaboration with Met Service Singapore (MSS)

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US-UK Collaboration on climate services

• UK Science and Innovation Network (Houston) assistance

• To strengthen US-UK cooperation in developing technical advances and products in climate services

• For agriculture and food security

• Specific activities:• Workshop on agriculture and food security to strengthen engagement

between providers and users, and better understand user needs

• Research exchange visits before and after the workshop to create sustained product development

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Summary

• A climate service is the provision of climate information to assist decision-making

• The service is based on scientifically credible information and expertise and must meet the user’s needs

• Major international activities underway (GFCS and CSP)

• European landscape is complicated

• Climate Service UK will help decision-makers manage risks and opportunities in the UK and abroad

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Questions