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CORE0101 Oper Risk Mgt Assessment

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    OPERATIONAL RISK

    MANAGEMENT ASSESSMENT

    OPERATIONAL RISK

    MANAGEMENT ASSESSMENT

    CORE0101CORE0101

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    OVERVIEWOVERVIEW Background,

    Definitions and terms,

    Purposes and goals,

    Why we use ORM,

    Five step ORM process,

    Three levels of applying ORM, Principles of the ORM process,

    Responsibilities of implementing.

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    ORM BACKGROUNDORM BACKGROUND Originally developed to improve safety.

    Adopted by Army.

    ORM was implemented in Marine Corps.

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    ORM BACKGROUNDORM BACKGROUNDALMAR 210/97 states.

    Commanders Shall Incorporate ORM:Crisis action

    Exercise planning

    Commanders intent

    Discussion at decision briefs

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    DEFINITION OF OPERATION

    RISK MANAGEMENT

    DEFINITION OF OPERATION

    RISK MANAGEMENT Process of Dealing With Risk Associated

    With Military Operations.

    Is Decision Making Tool.

    Effective Tool for Maintaining Readiness

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    DEFINITION OF OPERATION

    RISK MANAGEMENT

    DEFINITION OF OPERATION

    RISK MANAGEMENT Not Just an S-3 or S-4 Function.

    Force Reductions.

    Moral Responsibility.

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    PURPOSE & GOAL OF THE

    ORM PROCESS

    PURPOSE & GOAL OF THE

    ORM PROCESS Purpose:

    Minimize risk.

    Goal:

    Manage risk so mission can be accomplished.

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    WHY USE THE ORM

    PROCESS?

    WHY USE THE ORM

    PROCESS? To prevent Unnecessary losses.

    Common mishap causes:Individual failure.

    Support failure .

    Leader failure.Training failure.

    Standards failure.

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    WHY USE THE ORM

    PROCESS?

    WHY USE THE ORM

    PROCESS?Mishap injuriesReported USMC Ground mishap injuries during FY 1991-1999

    Category Marine

    Mishaps 14,049

    Fatalities 962

    Permanent Total Disability 111

    Permanent Partial Disability 364

    Lost Time Injury (1 + days) 14,046

    Hospital Days 22,946

    Lost Days (Non-Hospital) 95,568

    NOTE: Marine includes Sailors & Soldiers attached to Marine Corps units. Table doesNOT include light duty or follow-up treatment. Statistics include on and off dutymishaps.

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    WHY USE THE ORM

    PROCESS?

    WHY USE THE ORM

    PROCESS?Mishap costs

    Reported USMC Ground mishap dollar costs during FY 1994-99

    Category Total

    Injury and Fatality Cost $188,700,836

    Property Damage $30,073,474

    Injury and FatalityPlus

    Property Damage$218,774,310

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    WHY USE THE ORM

    PROCESS?

    WHY USE THE ORM

    PROCESS?Combat losses

    WWII

    1942-45

    Korea

    1950-53

    Vietnam

    1965-72

    DS/DS

    1990-91

    Mishaps 56% 44% 54% 75%

    Friendly

    Fire

    1% 1% 1% 5%

    EnemyAction

    43% 55% 45% 20%

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    WHY USE THE ORM

    PROCESS?

    WHY USE THE ORM

    PROCESS? Weve always done it!

    The risk and degree of success has varieddepending on level of training and experience.

    Different evaluation of course of action.

    Mission GO/NO GO criteria Mission/confirmation briefings

    Common sense

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    WHY USE THE ORMPROCESS?

    WHY USE THE ORMPROCESS?

    Traditional versus ORM approach to managing risk

    Traditional ORM

    Random, Individual Dependent Systematic

    Common Sense Methodical

    Uninformed Decision Informed Decision

    Can do regardless of risk Conscious decision based on

    risk vs. benefitCompliance Based Involvement & Empowerment

    Reactive Proactive

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    WHY USE THE ORMPROCESS?

    WHY USE THE ORMPROCESS?

    Two Goals of Leadership.

    Leadership failures contribute to unnecessarymishaps causes.

    If principles of ORM taught and effectively

    applied.

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    ORM TERMSORM TERMS Hazard

    Condition with the potential to cause.

    Cause

    Produces effect, result, or consequence.

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    ORM TERMSORM TERMS Hazard versus cause

    Method of clarifying if hazard or cause.

    If more specific causes are not identified.

    Hazard at one echelon may be a Cause at

    another echelon.

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    ORM TERMSORM TERMS

    Risk

    Expression of possible loss in terms Severity

    and probability.

    Risk Assessment

    Detecting hazards/assessing associatedrisks.

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    ORM TERMSORM TERMS Severity

    Expected consequence of an event

    ControlsActions to eliminate hazards, or reduce their

    risk.

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    Three types of control

    Engineering.

    Administrative.

    Personal protective equipment.

    ORM TERMSORM TERMS

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    ORM TERMSORM TERMS Engineering

    Design, material selection, or substitution.

    Usually eliminate hazard.

    May not be technically/economically feasible.

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    ORM TERMSORM TERMS Administrative

    Specific administrative actions.

    Train Marines recognize hazards.

    Limit number exposure to a hazard.

    Effective in reducing risk when used properly

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    ORM TERMSORM TERMS Personal Protective Equipment

    Serves as a barrier.

    Least effective type of control.

    Used when other controls do not reduce

    risk to an acceptable level.

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    FIVE STEP PROCESS OF ORMFIVE STEP PROCESS OF ORM 5-step Process

    Identify hazards

    Assess hazards

    Make risk decisions

    Implement controls

    Supervise

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    Identify Hazards

    Begins by conducting Operationalanalysis.

    List major steps of the Operation.

    Preliminary hazard analysis:

    List all hazards

    List all possible causes

    FIVE STEP PROCESS OF ORMFIVE STEP PROCESS OF ORM

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    Assess Hazards

    Degree of risk identifiedDetermine in terms of Severity and Probability

    Risk assessment matrix (RAC)

    Provides consistent framework

    Show comparison of perceived risk

    Prioritizes hazards

    FIVE STEP PROCESS OF ORMFIVE STEP PROCESS OF ORM

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    RISK ASSESSMENT CODE

    MATRIX

    RISK ASSESSMENT CODE

    MATRIXRisk Assessment Code Mishap Probability

    1 - CRITICAL Frequent Likely Occasional Unlikely

    2 - SERIOUS AB

    C D3 - MODERATE

    4 - MINOR

    5 - NEGLIGABLE

    Hazard Catastrophic - I 1 1 2 3

    Severity Critical - II 1 2 3 4Marginal III 2 3 4 5

    Negligible - IV 3 4 5 5

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    Determine Hazard Severity:

    Catastrophic I

    Critical II

    Marginal III

    Negligible IV

    RISK ASSESSMENT CODE

    (RAC)

    RISK ASSESSMENT CODE

    (RAC)

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    Determine Mishap Probability:

    Frequent A

    Likely B

    Occasional C

    Unlikely D

    RISK ASSESSMENT CODE

    (RAC)

    RISK ASSESSMENT CODE

    (RAC)

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    Determine Risk Assessment Code:

    Critical 1

    Serious 2

    Moderate 3

    Minor 4

    Negligible 5

    RISK ASSESSMENT CODE

    (RAC)

    RISK ASSESSMENT CODE

    (RAC)

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    RISK ASSESSMENT CODE

    (RAC)

    RISK ASSESSMENT CODE

    (RAC) Make Risk Decisions

    Develop controls for each hazard.

    Controls developed for most serious hazards first.

    Determine residual risk.

    Make risk decisions.

    Accept risk.

    Communicate with higher authority.

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    RISK ASSESSMENT CODE(RAC)

    RISK ASSESSMENT CODE(RAC)

    Implement Controls

    Engineering, administrative, and/or personal protective

    equipment

    Incorporate selected controls:

    SOP, LOI, orders, briefs, training, rehearsals

    Communicate selected controls to lowest level:

    Who will do what by when?

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    RISK ASSESSMENT CODE

    (RAC)

    RISK ASSESSMENT CODE

    (RAC) Supervise

    Enforce standards and controls: Ensure Marines are performing tasks to standard.

    Ensure controls are in place.

    Take corrective action.

    Remain alert for changes/unexpected

    developments.

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    RISK ASSESSMENT CODE

    (RAC)

    RISK ASSESSMENT CODE

    (RAC)ORM in BAMCIS

    BAMCIS ORM

    Begin Planning Identify Hazards

    Arrange Recon

    Make Recon Assess the Hazards

    Complete the Plan Make Risk Decisions

    Issue the Order Implement Controls

    Supervise Supervise

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    THREE LEVELS OF

    APPLYING ORM

    THREE LEVELS OF

    APPLYING ORM Commanders determine which level based

    on time available, proficiency, and assets.

    Time Critical

    Deliberate

    In-Depth

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    THREE LEVELS OF

    APPLYING ORM

    THREE LEVELS OF

    APPLYING ORM Time Critical ORM

    On-the-run mental/oral review.

    Not recorded on paper.

    Normally applied in execution phase.

    Unexpected events and changes.

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    THREE LEVELS OF

    APPLYING ORM

    THREE LEVELS OF

    APPLYING ORM Deliberate ORM

    Application of complete 5 step process.

    Recorded on paper.

    Applied in planning operations.

    Used for evaluating SOPs, training,

    maintenance procedures, damage control.

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    THREE LEVELS OF

    APPLYING ORM

    THREE LEVELS OF

    APPLYING ORM In-depth ORM

    More detailed risk assessment.

    Advanced tools.

    Professional expertise needed.

    Used in long term planning.

    Complex operations.

    Introducing new equipment, tactics, or training curriculum.

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    PRINCIPLES OF THE

    ORM PROCESS

    PRINCIPLES OF THE

    ORM PROCESS Accept Risk When Benefits Outweigh the Cost

    Accept No Unnecessary Risk

    Anticipate and Manage Risk by Planning

    Make Risk Decisions at the Right Level

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    RESPONSIBILITIES OF

    IMPLEMENTING ORM

    RESPONSIBILITIES OF

    IMPLEMENTING ORM Unit commanders

    Provide ORM training.

    Incorporate into briefs, notices, and written plans.

    Risk assessment for all new/complex evolutions.

    Address ORM.

    Safety, training, and lessons learned reports.

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    SNCOs

    Most experience/subject matter experts.

    Active role in identifying hazards/appropriate

    controls.

    Supervision/enforcement of standards.

    RESPONSIBILITIES OF

    IMPLEMENTING ORM

    RESPONSIBILITIES OF

    IMPLEMENTING ORM

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    NCOs

    First line of supervision

    Make risk decisions daily

    Individual MarineSelf-supervision (self-discipline)

    Perform assigned tasks to standard

    Recognize unsafe acts/conditions

    Take corrective action or report discrepancies

    RESPONSIBILITIES OF

    IMPLEMENTING ORM

    RESPONSIBILITIES OF

    IMPLEMENTING ORM

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    QuestionsQuestions???


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