www.cotzias.gr COTZIAS MARKET ECONOMIC OUTLOOK JANUARY 2010MARITIME ECONOMETRICS
GBP£/US$ (2003 - 2010)
US$/JAP Yen (2003 - 2010)
US$/JAP Yen (2003 - 2010)
85.00
90.00
95.00
100.00
105.00
110.00
115.00
120.00
125.00
130.00
Jan-0
3
Apr-03
Jul-0
3
Oct-0
3
Jan-0
4
Apr-04
Jul-0
4
Oct-0
4
Jan-0
5
Apr-05
Jul-0
5
Oct-0
5
Jan-0
6
Apr-06
Jul-0
6
Oct-0
6
Jan-0
7
Apr-07
Jul-0
7
Oct-0
7
Jan-0
8
Apr-08
Jul-0
8
Oct-0
8
Jan-0
9
Apr-09
Jul-0
9
Oct-0
9
Jan-1
0
US$-Yen
GBP£/US$ (2003 - 2010)
1.3300
1.4300
1.5300
1.6300
1.7300
1.8300
1.9300
2.0300
2.1300
Jan-0
3
Apr-03
Jul-0
3
Oct-0
3
Jan-0
4
Apr-04
Jul-0
4
Oct-0
4
Jan-0
5
Apr-05
Jul-0
5
Oct-0
5
Jan-0
6
Apr-06
Jul-0
6
Oct-0
6
Jan-0
7
Apr-07
Jul-0
7
Oct-0
7
Jan-0
8
Apr-08
Jul-0
8
Oct-0
8
Jan-0
9
Apr-09
Jul-0
9
Oct-0
9
Jan-1
0
£ - $
GBP£/US$ (1971 - 2010)
1.0300
1.2300
1.4300
1.6300
1.8300
2.0300
2.2300
2.4300
2.6300
Jan-7
1
Jan-7
2
Jan-7
3
Jan-7
4
Jan-7
5
Jan-7
6
Jan-7
7
Jan-7
8
Jan-7
9
Jan-8
0
Jan-8
1
Jan-8
2
Jan-8
3
Jan-8
4
Jan-8
5
Jan-8
6
Jan-8
7
Jan-8
8
Jan-8
9
Jan-9
0
Jan-9
1
Jan-9
2
Jan-9
3
Jan-9
4
Jan-9
5
Jan-9
6
Jan-9
7
Jan-9
8
Jan-9
9
Jan-0
0
Jan-0
1
Jan-0
2
Jan-0
3
Jan-0
4
Jan-0
5
Jan-0
6
Jan-0
7
Jan-0
8
Jan-0
9
Jan-1
0
£ - $
US$/JAP Yen (1971 - 2010)
80.00
130.00
180.00
230.00
280.00
330.00
Jan-7
1
Jan-7
2
Jan-7
3
Jan-7
4
Jan-7
5
Jan-7
6
Jan-7
7
Jan-7
8
Jan-7
9
Jan-8
0
Jan-8
1
Jan-8
2
Jan-8
3
Jan-8
4
Jan-8
5
Jan-8
6
Jan-8
7
Jan-8
8
Jan-8
9
Jan-9
0
Jan-9
1
Jan-9
2
Jan-9
3
Jan-9
4
Jan-9
5
Jan-9
6
Jan-9
7
Jan-9
8
Jan-9
9
Jan-0
0
Jan-0
1
Jan-0
2
Jan-0
3
Jan-0
4
Jan-0
5
Jan-0
6
Jan-0
7
Jan-0
8
Jan-0
9
Jan-1
0
US$-Yen
N. COTZIAS SHIPPING CO. LTD. ( SHIPBROKERS SINCE 1893) Page 1 of 20
www.cotzias.gr COTZIAS MARKET ECONOMIC OUTLOOK JANUARY 2010
Euro/US$ (2003 - 2010)
US$/AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR (2003 - 2010)
EUR€/US$ (1999 - 2010)
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25
1.30
1.35
1.40
1.45
1.50
1.55
1.60
Jan-0
3
Apr-03
Jul-0
3
Oct-0
3
Jan-0
4
Apr-04
Jul-0
4
Oct-0
4
Jan-0
5
Apr-05
Jul-0
5
Oct-0
5
Jan-0
6
Apr-06
Jul-0
6
Oct-0
6
Jan-0
7
Apr-07
Jul-0
7
Oct-0
7
Jan-0
8
Apr-08
Jul-0
8
Oct-0
8
Jan-0
9
Apr-09
Jul-0
9
Oct-0
9
Jan-1
0
Eur-US$
US$/AU$ (2003 - 2010)
0.5800
0.6300
0.6800
0.7300
0.7800
0.8300
0.8800
0.9300
0.9800
Jan-0
3
Apr-03
Jul-0
3
Oct-0
3
Jan-0
4
Apr-04
Jul-0
4
Oct-0
4
Jan-0
5
Apr-05
Jul-0
5
Oct-0
5
Jan-0
6
Apr-06
Jul-0
6
Oct-0
6
Jan-0
7
Apr-07
Jul-0
7
Oct-0
7
Jan-0
8
Apr-08
Jul-0
8
Oct-0
8
Jan-0
9
Apr-09
Jul-0
9
Oct-0
9
Jan-1
0
US$-AU$
EUR€/US$ (2003 - 2010)
1.1000
1.1500
1.2000
1.2500
1.3000
1.3500
1.4000
1.4500
1.5000
1.5500
1.6000
Jan-0
3
Apr-03
Jul-0
3
Oct-0
3
Jan-0
4
Apr-04
Jul-0
4
Oct-0
4
Jan-0
5
Apr-05
Jul-0
5
Oct-0
5
Jan-0
6
Apr-06
Jul-0
6
Oct-0
6
Jan-0
7
Apr-07
Jul-0
7
Oct-0
7
Jan-0
8
Apr-08
Jul-0
8
Oct-0
8
Jan-0
9
Apr-09
Jul-0
9
Oct-0
9
Jan-1
0
Eur-US$
US$/AU$ (1971 - 2010)
0.4500
0.6500
0.8500
1.0500
1.2500
1.4500
Jan-7
1
Jan-7
2
Jan-7
3
Jan-7
4
Jan-7
5
Jan-7
6
Jan-7
7
Jan-7
8
Jan-7
9
Jan-8
0
Jan-8
1
Jan-8
2
Jan-8
3
Jan-8
4
Jan-8
5
Jan-8
6
Jan-8
7
Jan-8
8
Jan-8
9
Jan-9
0
Jan-9
1
Jan-9
2
Jan-9
3
Jan-9
4
Jan-9
5
Jan-9
6
Jan-9
7
Jan-9
8
Jan-9
9
Jan-0
0
Jan-0
1
Jan-0
2
Jan-0
3
Jan-0
4
Jan-0
5
Jan-0
6
Jan-0
7
Jan-0
8
Jan-0
9
Jan-1
0
US$-AU$
N. COTZIAS SHIPPING CO. LTD. ( SHIPBROKERS SINCE 1893) Page 2 of 20
www.cotzias.gr COTZIAS MARKET ECONOMIC OUTLOOK JANUARY 2010
US$/AUS$ EXCH vs BALTIC DRY INDEX (2003 - 2010)
EUR€/US$ EXCH vs BALTIC DRY INDEX (2003 - 2010)
BALTIC DRY INDEX vs CLAYMORE DELTA GLOBAL ETF (2008 - 2010)
US$/AU$ VS BALTIC DRY INDEX (2003 - 2010)
0.6000
0.6500
0.7000
0.7500
0.8000
0.8500
0.9000
0.9500
1.0000
Jan-0
3
Apr-03
Jul-0
3
Oct-0
3
Jan-0
4
Apr-04
Jul-0
4
Oct-0
4
Jan-0
5
Apr-05
Jul-0
5
Oct-0
5
Jan-0
6
Apr-06
Jul-0
6
Oct-0
6
Jan-0
7
Apr-07
Jul-0
7
Oct-0
7
Jan-0
8
Apr-08
Jul-0
8
Oct-0
8
Jan-0
9
Apr-09
Jul-0
9
Oct-0
9
Jan-1
0
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000US$-AU$
BDI
EUR€/US$ VS BALTIC DRY INDEX (2003 - 2010)
1.1600
1.2100
1.2600
1.3100
1.3600
1.4100
1.4600
1.5100
1.5600
1.6100
Jan-0
4
Apr-0
4
Jul-0
4
Oct-0
4
Jan-0
5
Apr-0
5
Jul-0
5
Oct-0
5
Jan-0
6
Apr-0
6
Jul-0
6
Oct-0
6
Jan-0
7
Apr-0
7
Jul-0
7
Oct-0
7
Jan-0
8
Apr-0
8
Jul-0
8
Oct-0
8
Jan-0
9
Apr-0
9
Jul-0
9
Oct-0
9
Jan-1
0
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
Eur-US$
BDI
Baltic Dry Index Vs Claymore Delta Global ETF (2008-2010)
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
22.0
24.0
Sep-0
8
Sep-0
8
Oct
-08
Oct
-08
Nov-08
Nov-08
Dec-0
8
Dec-0
8
Jan-0
9
Jan-0
9
Feb-0
9
Feb-0
9
Mar
-09
Mar
-09
Apr-09
Apr-09
May
-09
May
-09
Jun-0
9
Jun-0
9
Jul-0
9
Jul-0
9
Aug-09
Aug-09
Sep-0
9
Sep-0
9
Oct
-09
Oct
-09
Nov-09
Nov-09
Dec-0
9
Dec-0
9
Jan-1
0
Jan-1
0
Feb-1
0
SE
A E
TF
400
1400
2400
3400
4400
5400
6400SEA ETF - Left Axis
BDI - Right Axis
N. COTZIAS SHIPPING CO. LTD. ( SHIPBROKERS SINCE 1893) Page 3 of 20
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Brent OIL (2001 - 2010)
GOLD PRICE (2001 - 2010)
Brent OIL (2001 - 2010)
16.0026.0036.0046.0056.0066.0076.0086.0096.00
106.00116.00126.00136.00146.00
Jan-0
1
Apr-01
Jul-0
1
Oct-0
1
Jan-0
2
Apr-02
Jul-0
2
Oct-0
2
Jan-0
3
Apr-03
Jul-0
3
Oct-0
3
Jan-0
4
Apr-04
Jul-0
4
Oct-0
4
Jan-0
5
Apr-05
Jul-0
5
Oct-0
5
Jan-0
6
Apr-06
Jul-0
6
Oct-0
6
Jan-0
7
Apr-07
Jul-0
7
Oct-0
7
Jan-0
8
Apr-08
Jul-0
8
Oct-0
8
Jan-0
9
Apr-09
Jul-0
9
Oct-0
9
Jan-1
0
Brent Oil
Brent OIL (1987 - 2010)
8.0018.0028.0038.0048.0058.0068.0078.0088.0098.00
108.00118.00128.00138.00148.00
Jan-8
7
Jan-8
8
Jan-8
9
Jan-9
0
Jan-9
1
Jan-9
2
Jan-9
3
Jan-9
4
Jan-9
5
Jan-9
6
Jan-9
7
Jan-9
8
Jan-9
9
Jan-0
0
Jan-0
1
Jan-0
2
Jan-0
3
Jan-0
4
Jan-0
5
Jan-0
6
Jan-0
7
Jan-0
8
Jan-0
9
Jan-1
0
Brent Oil
GOLD (1970 - 2010)
20.00
220.00
420.00
620.00
820.00
1020.00
1220.00
Jan-7
0
Jan-7
1
Jan-7
2
Jan-7
3
Jan-7
4
Jan-7
5
Jan-7
6
Jan-7
7
Jan-7
8
Jan-7
9
Jan-8
0
Jan-8
1
Jan-8
2
Jan-8
3
Jan-8
4
Jan-8
5
Jan-8
6
Jan-8
7
Jan-8
8
Jan-8
9
Jan-9
0
Jan-9
1
Jan-9
2
Jan-9
3
Jan-9
4
Jan-9
5
Jan-9
6
Jan-9
7
Jan-9
8
Jan-9
9
Jan-0
0
Jan-0
1
Jan-0
2
Jan-0
3
Jan-0
4
Jan-0
5
Jan-0
6
Jan-0
7
Jan-0
8
Jan-0
9
Jan-1
0
Gold
GOLD (2001 - 2010)
20.00
220.00
420.00
620.00
820.00
1020.00
1220.00
Jan-0
1
Apr-01
Jul-0
1
Oct-0
1
Jan-0
2
Apr-02
Jul-0
2
Oct-0
2
Jan-0
3
Apr-03
Jul-0
3
Oct-0
3
Jan-0
4
Apr-04
Jul-0
4
Oct-0
4
Jan-0
5
Apr-05
Jul-0
5
Oct-0
5
Jan-0
6
Apr-06
Jul-0
6
Oct-0
6
Jan-0
7
Apr-07
Jul-0
7
Oct-0
7
Jan-0
8
Apr-08
Jul-0
8
Oct-0
8
Jan-0
9
Apr-09
Jul-0
9
Oct-0
9
Jan-1
0
Gold
N. COTZIAS SHIPPING CO. LTD. ( SHIPBROKERS SINCE 1893) Page 4 of 20
www.cotzias.gr COTZIAS MARKET ECONOMIC OUTLOOK JANUARY 2010
BALTIC DRY INDEX 4/1/01 - 31/01/2010
BDI (ANNUAL AVG) vs GDP (1980-2014)
BALTIC DRY INDEX - incl Average Lines 4/1/85 - 31/01/2010
BALTIC DRY INDEX 4/1/85 - 31/01/2010
450
1950
3450
4950
6450
7950
9450
10950
Jan-
85Ju
l-85
Jan-
86Ju
l-86
Jan-
87Ju
l-87
Jan-
88Ju
l-88
Jan-
89Ju
l-89
Jan-
90Ju
l-90
Jan-
91Ju
l-91
Jan-
92Ju
l-92
Jan-
93Ju
l-93
Jan-
94Ju
l-94
Jan-
95Ju
l-95
Jan-
96Ju
l-96
Jan-
97Ju
l-97
Jan-
98Ju
l-98
Jan-
99Ju
l-99
Jan-
00Ju
l-00
Jan-
01Ju
l-01
Jan-
02Ju
l-02
Jan-
03Ju
l-03
Jan-
04Ju
l-04
Jan-
05Ju
l-05
Jan-
06Ju
l-06
Jan-
07Ju
l-07
Jan-
08Ju
l-08
Jan-
09Ju
l-09
Jan-
10
BDIBDI
BDI Average from 1985 - 2003 is 1358 points
BDI Average from 2004 - today is 4494 points
BALTIC DRY INDEX 1/1/2001 - 31/01/2010
450
1950
3450
4950
6450
7950
9450
10950
Jan-
01A
pr-
01Ju
l-01
Oct
-01
Jan-
02A
pr-
02Ju
l-02
Oct
-02
Jan-
03A
pr-
03Ju
l-03
Oct
-03
Jan-
04A
pr-
04Ju
l-04
Oct
-04
Jan-
05A
pr-
05Ju
l-05
Oct
-05
Jan-
06A
pr-
06Ju
l-06
Oct
-06
Jan-
07A
pr-
07Ju
l-07
Oct
-07
Jan-
08A
pr-
08Ju
l-08
Oct
-08
Jan-
09A
pr-
09Ju
l-09
Oct
-09
Jan-
10
BDI
BDI Average from 1985 - today is 2112 points
BDI (ANNUAL AVERAGE) vs WORLD GDP 1980-2014
3285.33
-4.5
0.5
5.5
10.5
15.5
20.5
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
-2000
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
World Emerging and developing economies China, People's Republic ofDeveloping Asia Major advanced economies (G7) BDI ANNUAL AVERAGE
SOURCE: International Monetary Fund
N. COTZIAS SHIPPING CO. LTD. ( SHIPBROKERS SINCE 1893) Page 5 of 20
www.cotzias.gr COTZIAS MARKET ECONOMIC OUTLOOK JANUARY 2010
BALTIC CAPE INDEX 1/3/99 - 31/01/2010
BALTIC PANAMAX INDEX 1/5/98 - 31/01/2010
BALTIC CAPE INDEX 1/1/03 - 31/01/2010
BALTIC PANAMAX INDEX 1/1/03 - 31/01/2010
BALTIC PANAMAX INDEX 1/5/1998 - 31/01/2010
350
1600
2850
4100
5350
6600
7850
9100
10350
11600
Jan-
98A
pr-
98Ju
l-98
Oct
-98
Jan-
99A
pr-
99Ju
l-99
Oct
-99
Jan-
00A
pr-
00Ju
l-00
Oct
-00
Jan-
01A
pr-
01Ju
l-01
Oct
-01
Jan-
02A
pr-
02Ju
l-02
Oct
-02
Jan-
03A
pr-
03Ju
l-03
Oct
-03
Jan-
04A
pr-
04Ju
l-04
Oct
-04
Jan-
05A
pr-
05Ju
l-05
Oct
-05
Jan-
06A
pr-
06Ju
l-06
Oct
-06
Jan-
07A
pr-
07Ju
l-07
Oct
-07
Jan-
08A
pr-
08Ju
l-08
Oct
-08
Jan-
09A
pr-
09Ju
l-09
Oct
-09
Jan-
10
BPI
BALTIC CAPE INDEX 1/3/1999 - 31/01/2010
700
3200
5700
8200
10700
13200
15700
18200
Jul-9
9O
ct-9
9Ja
n-00
Ap
r-00
Jul-0
0O
ct-0
0Ja
n-01
Ap
r-01
Jul-0
1O
ct-0
1Ja
n-02
Ap
r-02
Jul-0
2O
ct-0
2Ja
n-03
Ap
r-03
Jul-0
3O
ct-0
3Ja
n-04
Ap
r-04
Jul-0
4O
ct-0
4Ja
n-05
Ap
r-05
Jul-0
5O
ct-0
5Ja
n-06
Ap
r-06
Jul-0
6O
ct-0
6Ja
n-07
Ap
r-07
Jul-0
7O
ct-0
7Ja
n-08
Ap
r-08
Jul-0
8O
ct-0
8Ja
n-09
Ap
r-09
Jul-0
9O
ct-0
9Ja
n-10
BCI
BALTIC PANAMAX INDEX 1/1/2003 - 31/01/2010
350
1600
2850
4100
5350
6600
7850
9100
10350
11600
Jul-0
3
Oct
-03
Jan-
04
Ap
r-04
Jul-0
4
Oct
-04
Jan-
05
Ap
r-05
Jul-0
5
Oct
-05
Jan-
06
Ap
r-06
Jul-0
6
Oct
-06
Jan-
07
Ap
r-07
Jul-0
7
Oct
-07
Jan-
08
Ap
r-08
Jul-0
8
Oct
-08
Jan-
09
Ap
r-09
Jul-0
9
Oct
-09
Jan-
10
BPI
BALTIC CAPE INDEX 1/1/2003 - 31/01/2010
700
2700
4700
6700
8700
10700
12700
14700
16700
18700
Jul-0
3
Oct
-03
Jan-
04
Ap
r-04
Jul-0
4
Oct
-04
Jan-
05
Ap
r-05
Jul-0
5
Oct
-05
Jan-
06
Ap
r-06
Jul-0
6
Oct
-06
Jan-
07
Ap
r-07
Jul-0
7
Oct
-07
Jan-
08
Ap
r-08
Jul-0
8
Oct
-08
Jan-
09
Ap
r-09
Jul-0
9
Oct
-09
Jan-
10
BCI
N. COTZIAS SHIPPING CO. LTD. ( SHIPBROKERS SINCE 1893) Page 6 of 20
www.cotzias.gr COTZIAS MARKET ECONOMIC OUTLOOK JANUARY 2010
BALTIC HANDY INDEX 1/5/06 - 31/01/2010
BALTIC SUPRAMAX INDEX 1/1/06 - 31/01/2010
BALTIC DRY INDEX (Monthly Average) vs WORLD TRADE VOLUME (Monthly Figures) 4/1/03 - 31/01/2010
BALTIC DRY INDEX vs BRENT CRUDE OIL 4/1/01 - 31/01/2010
BALTIC HANDY INDEX 1/5/2006 - 31/01/2010
200
600
1000
1400
1800
2200
2600
3000
3400
3800
Jun-
06Ju
l-06
Au
g-06
Sep
-06
Oct
-06
No
v-06
Dec
-06
Jan-
07Fe
b-07
Mar
-07
Ap
r-07
May
-07
Jun-
07Ju
l-07
Au
g-07
Sep
-07
Oct
-07
No
v-07
Dec
-07
Jan-
08Fe
b-08
Mar
-08
Ap
r-08
May
-08
Jun-
08Ju
l-08
Au
g-08
Sep
-08
Oct
-08
No
v-08
Dec
-08
Jan-
09Fe
b-09
Mar
-09
Ap
r-09
May
-09
Jun-
09Ju
l-09
Au
g-09
Sep
-09
Oct
-09
No
v-09
Dec
-09
Jan-
10
BHI
BALTIC SUPRAMAX INDEX 1/1/2006 - 31/01/2010
250
1250
2250
3250
4250
5250
6250
7250
Jan-
06Fe
b-06
Mar
-06
Ap
r-06
May
-06
Jun-
06Ju
l-06
Au
g-06
Sep
-06
Oct
-06
No
v-06
Dec
-06
Jan-
07Fe
b-07
Mar
-07
Ap
r-07
May
-07
Jun-
07Ju
l-07
Au
g-07
Sep
-07
Oct
-07
No
v-07
Dec
-07
Jan-
08Fe
b-08
Mar
-08
Ap
r-08
May
-08
Jun-
08Ju
l-08
Au
g-08
Sep
-08
Oct
-08
No
v-08
Dec
-08
Jan-
09Fe
b-09
Mar
-09
Ap
r-09
May
-09
Jun-
09Ju
l-09
Au
g-09
Sep
-09
Oct
-09
No
v-09
Dec
-09
Jan-
10Fe
b-10
BSI
BDI vs BRENT CRUDE 1/1/2001 - 31/01/2010
450
1950
3450
4950
6450
7950
9450
10950
Ap
r-01
Jul-0
1O
ct-0
1Ja
n-02
Ap
r-02
Jul-0
2O
ct-0
2Ja
n-03
Ap
r-03
Jul-0
3O
ct-0
3Ja
n-04
Ap
r-04
Jul-0
4O
ct-0
4Ja
n-05
Ap
r-05
Jul-0
5O
ct-0
5Ja
n-06
Ap
r-06
Jul-0
6O
ct-0
6Ja
n-07
Ap
r-07
Jul-0
7O
ct-0
7Ja
n-08
Ap
r-08
Jul-0
8O
ct-0
8Ja
n-09
Ap
r-09
Jul-0
9O
ct-0
9Ja
n-10
BDI
17.00
37.00
57.00
77.00
97.00
117.00
137.00BDIBrent Oil
BDI vs WORLD TRADE VOLUME 1/1/2003 - 31/01/2010
-28
-18
-8
2
12
22
Jan-
03M
ar-0
3M
ay-0
3Ju
l-03
Sep
-03
No
v-03
Jan-
04M
ar-0
4M
ay-0
4Ju
l-04
Sep
-04
No
v-04
Jan-
05M
ar-0
5M
ay-0
5Ju
l-05
Sep
-05
No
v-05
Jan-
06M
ar-0
6M
ay-0
6Ju
l-06
Sep
-06
No
v-06
Jan-
07M
ar-0
7M
ay-0
7Ju
l-07
Sep
-07
No
v-07
Jan-
08M
ar-0
8M
ay-0
8Ju
l-08
Sep
-08
No
v-08
Jan-
09M
ar-0
9M
ay-0
9Ju
l-09
Sep
-09
No
v-09
Jan-
10
BDI
450
1950
3450
4950
6450
7950
9450
10950TRADE VALUEBDI
SOURCE: International Monetary Fund
N. COTZIAS SHIPPING CO. LTD. ( SHIPBROKERS SINCE 1893) Page 7 of 20
www.cotzias.gr COTZIAS MARKET ECONOMIC OUTLOOK JANUARY 2010
BALTIC INDICES MOVEMENT OVER THE PAST THREE MONTHS - BLOWUP GRAPHS
BALTIC DRY INDEX 1/10/2009 - 31/01/2010
200021752350252527002875305032253400357537503925410042754450462548004975
02-N
ov-0
905
-Nov
-09
08-N
ov-0
911
-Nov
-09
14-N
ov-0
917
-Nov
-09
20-N
ov-0
923
-Nov
-09
26-N
ov-0
929
-Nov
-09
02-D
ec-0
905
-Dec
-09
08-D
ec-0
911
-Dec
-09
14-D
ec-0
917
-Dec
-09
20-D
ec-0
923
-Dec
-09
26-D
ec-0
929
-Dec
-09
01-J
an-1
004
-Jan
-10
07-J
an-1
010
-Jan
-10
13-J
an-1
016
-Jan
-10
19-J
an-1
022
-Jan
-10
25-J
an-1
028
-Jan
-10
31-J
an-1
0
BDI
BALTIC CAPE INDEX 1/10/2009 - 31/01/2010
2400
2900
3400
3900
4400
4900
5400
5900
6400
6900
7400
7900
8400
02-N
ov-0
905
-Nov
-09
08-N
ov-0
911
-Nov
-09
14-N
ov-0
917
-Nov
-09
20-N
ov-0
923
-Nov
-09
26-N
ov-0
929
-Nov
-09
02-D
ec-0
905
-Dec
-09
08-D
ec-0
911
-Dec
-09
14-D
ec-0
917
-Dec
-09
20-D
ec-0
923
-Dec
-09
26-D
ec-0
929
-Dec
-09
01-J
an-1
004
-Jan
-10
07-J
an-1
010
-Jan
-10
13-J
an-1
016
-Jan
-10
19-J
an-1
022
-Jan
-10
25-J
an-1
028
-Jan
-10
31-J
an-1
0
BCI
BALTIC PANAMAX INDEX 1/10/2009 - 31/01/2010
2000
2200
2400
2600
2800
3000
3200
3400
3600
3800
4000
4200
4400
4600
4800
02-N
ov-0
905
-Nov
-09
08-N
ov-0
911
-Nov
-09
14-N
ov-0
917
-Nov
-09
20-N
ov-0
923
-Nov
-09
26-N
ov-0
929
-Nov
-09
02-D
ec-0
905
-Dec
-09
08-D
ec-0
911
-Dec
-09
14-D
ec-0
917
-Dec
-09
20-D
ec-0
923
-Dec
-09
26-D
ec-0
929
-Dec
-09
01-J
an-1
004
-Jan
-10
07-J
an-1
010
-Jan
-10
13-J
an-1
016
-Jan
-10
19-J
an-1
022
-Jan
-10
25-J
an-1
028
-Jan
-10
31-J
an-1
0
BPI
BALTIC SUPRAMAX INDEX 1/10/2009 - 31/01/2010
1700
1800
1900
2000
2100
2200
2300
2400
2500
2600
02-N
ov-0
905
-Nov
-09
08-N
ov-0
911
-Nov
-09
14-N
ov-0
917
-Nov
-09
20-N
ov-0
923
-Nov
-09
26-N
ov-0
929
-Nov
-09
02-D
ec-0
905
-Dec
-09
08-D
ec-0
911
-Dec
-09
14-D
ec-0
917
-Dec
-09
20-D
ec-0
923
-Dec
-09
26-D
ec-0
929
-Dec
-09
01-J
an-1
004
-Jan
-10
07-J
an-1
010
-Jan
-10
13-J
an-1
016
-Jan
-10
19-J
an-1
022
-Jan
-10
25-J
an-1
028
-Jan
-10
31-J
an-1
0
BSI
BALTIC HANDYSIZE INDEX 1/10/2009 - 31/01/2010
780
853
927
1000
1073
1146
1220
1293
02-N
ov-0
905
-Nov
-09
08-N
ov-0
911
-Nov
-09
14-N
ov-0
917
-Nov
-09
20-N
ov-0
923
-Nov
-09
26-N
ov-0
929
-Nov
-09
02-D
ec-0
905
-Dec
-09
08-D
ec-0
911
-Dec
-09
14-D
ec-0
917
-Dec
-09
20-D
ec-0
923
-Dec
-09
26-D
ec-0
929
-Dec
-09
01-J
an-1
004
-Jan
-10
07-J
an-1
010
-Jan
-10
13-J
an-1
016
-Jan
-10
19-J
an-1
022
-Jan
-10
25-J
an-1
028
-Jan
-10
31-J
an-1
0
BHI
CLEAN TANKER INDEX 1/10/2009 - 31/01/2010
420445470495520545570595620645670695720745770795820845870895920945
02-N
ov-0
905
-Nov
-09
08-N
ov-0
911
-Nov
-09
14-N
ov-0
917
-Nov
-09
20-N
ov-0
923
-Nov
-09
26-N
ov-0
929
-Nov
-09
02-D
ec-0
905
-Dec
-09
08-D
ec-0
911
-Dec
-09
14-D
ec-0
917
-Dec
-09
20-D
ec-0
923
-Dec
-09
26-D
ec-0
929
-Dec
-09
01-J
an-1
004
-Jan
-10
07-J
an-1
010
-Jan
-10
13-J
an-1
016
-Jan
-10
19-J
an-1
022
-Jan
-10
25-J
an-1
028
-Jan
-10
31-J
an-1
0
BCTI
DIRTY TANKER INDEX 1/10/2009 - 31/01/2010
520560600640680720760800840880920960
10001040108011201160120012401280
02-N
ov-0
905
-Nov
-09
08-N
ov-0
911
-Nov
-09
14-N
ov-0
917
-Nov
-09
20-N
ov-0
923
-Nov
-09
26-N
ov-0
929
-Nov
-09
02-D
ec-0
905
-Dec
-09
08-D
ec-0
911
-Dec
-09
14-D
ec-0
917
-Dec
-09
20-D
ec-0
923
-Dec
-09
26-D
ec-0
929
-Dec
-09
01-J
an-1
004
-Jan
-10
07-J
an-1
010
-Jan
-10
13-J
an-1
016
-Jan
-10
19-J
an-1
022
-Jan
-10
25-J
an-1
028
-Jan
-10
31-J
an-1
0
BDTI
N. COTZIAS SHIPPING CO. LTD. ( SHIPBROKERS SINCE 1893) Page 8 of 20
www.cotzias.gr COTZIAS MARKET ECONOMIC OUTLOOK JANUARY 2010
CAPITAL LINK DRYBULK INDEX (CLDBI) vs BALTIC DRY INDEX (BDI)
DIRTY TANKER INDEX 1/1/01 - 31/01/2010
CLEAN TANKER INDEX 1/1/01 - 31/01/2010
CLEAN TANKER INDEX 1/1/2001 - 31/01/2010
320
520
720
920
1120
1320
1520
1720
1920
Jul-0
1O
ct-0
1Ja
n-02
Ap
r-02
Jul-0
2O
ct-0
2Ja
n-03
Ap
r-03
Jul-0
3O
ct-0
3Ja
n-04
Ap
r-04
Jul-0
4O
ct-0
4Ja
n-05
Ap
r-05
Jul-0
5O
ct-0
5Ja
n-06
Ap
r-06
Jul-0
6O
ct-0
6Ja
n-07
Ap
r-07
Jul-0
7O
ct-0
7Ja
n-08
Ap
r-08
Jul-0
8O
ct-0
8Ja
n-09
Ap
r-09
Jul-0
9O
ct-0
9Ja
n-10
BCTIBCTI
DIRTY TANKER INDEX 1/1/2001 - 31/01/2010
400
650
900
1150
1400
1650
1900
2150
2400
2650
2900
3150
Jul-0
1O
ct-0
1Ja
n-02
Ap
r-02
Jul-0
2O
ct-0
2Ja
n-03
Ap
r-03
Jul-0
3O
ct-0
3Ja
n-04
Ap
r-04
Jul-0
4O
ct-0
4Ja
n-05
Ap
r-05
Jul-0
5O
ct-0
5Ja
n-06
Ap
r-06
Jul-0
6O
ct-0
6Ja
n-07
Ap
r-07
Jul-0
7O
ct-0
7Ja
n-08
Ap
r-08
Jul-0
8O
ct-0
8Ja
n-09
Ap
r-09
Jul-0
9O
ct-0
9Ja
n-10
BDTI BDTI
CAPITAL LINK DRYBULK INDEX vs BALTIC DRY INDEX 1/1/2005 - 31/01/2010
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
5500
6000
6500
7000
7500
May
-05
Jul-0
5
Sep
-05
No
v-05
Jan-
06M
ar-0
6
May
-06
Jul-0
6
Sep
-06
No
v-06
Jan-
07
Mar
-07
May
-07
Jul-0
7
Sep
-07
No
v-07
Jan-
08
Mar
-08
May
-08
Jul-0
8
Sep
-08
No
v-08
Jan-
09
Mar
-09
May
-09
Jul-0
9
Sep
-09
No
v-09
Jan-
10
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
CL Drybulk Index (CLDBI) - L-axisBaltic Dry Index (BDI) R-axis
Source: www.capitallink.com
N. COTZIAS SHIPPING CO. LTD. ( SHIPBROKERS SINCE 1893) Page 9 of 20
www.cotzias.gr COTZIAS MARKET ECONOMIC OUTLOOK JANUARY 2010
ALL CAPITAL LINK INDICES (CLI'S) USED WITH THE EXPRESS PERMISSION OF CAPITAL LINK INC - NEW YORK
CAPITAL LINK MARITIME INDEX 1/1/2005 - 31/01/2010
1000.00
1500.00
2000.00
2500.00
3000.00
3500.00
4000.00
4500.00
5000.00
5500.00
Jun-
05
Au
g-05
Oct
-05
Dec
-05
Feb-
06
Ap
r-06
Jun-
06
Au
g-06
Oct
-06
Dec
-06
Feb-
07
Ap
r-07
Jun-
07
Au
g-07
Oct
-07
Dec
-07
Feb-
08
Ap
r-08
Jun-
08
Au
g-08
Oct
-08
Dec
-08
Feb-
09
Ap
r-09
Jun-
09
Au
g-09
Oct
-09
Dec
-09
Feb-
10
CL Maritime Index (CLMI)
Source: www.capitallink.com
CAPITAL LINK TANKER INDEX 1/1/2005 - 31/01/2010
1000.00
1500.00
2000.00
2500.00
3000.00
3500.00
4000.00
4500.00
5000.00
5500.00
Jun-
05
Au
g-05
Oct
-05
Dec
-05
Feb-
06
Ap
r-06
Jun-
06
Au
g-06
Oct
-06
Dec
-06
Feb-
07
Ap
r-07
Jun-
07
Au
g-07
Oct
-07
Dec
-07
Feb-
08
Ap
r-08
Jun-
08
Au
g-08
Oct
-08
Dec
-08
Feb-
09
Ap
r-09
Jun-
09
Au
g-09
Oct
-09
Dec
-09
Feb-
10
CL Tanker Index (CLTI)
Source: www.capitallink.com
CAPITAL LINK DRYBULK INDEX 1/1/2005 - 31/01/2010
400.00
900.00
1400.00
1900.00
2400.00
2900.00
3400.00
3900.00
4400.00
4900.00
5400.00
5900.00
6400.00
6900.00
7400.00
Jun-
05
Au
g-05
Oct
-05
Dec
-05
Feb-
06
Ap
r-06
Jun-
06
Au
g-06
Oct
-06
Dec
-06
Feb-
07
Ap
r-07
Jun-
07
Au
g-07
Oct
-07
Dec
-07
Feb-
08
Ap
r-08
Jun-
08
Au
g-08
Oct
-08
Dec
-08
Feb-
09
Ap
r-09
Jun-
09
Au
g-09
Oct
-09
Dec
-09
Feb-
10
CL Drybulk Index (CLDBI)
Source: www.capitallink.com
N. COTZIAS SHIPPING CO. LTD. ( SHIPBROKERS SINCE 1893) Page 10 of 20
www.cotzias.gr COTZIAS MARKET ECONOMIC OUTLOOK JANUARY 2010
ALL CAPITAL LINK INDICES (CLI'S) USED WITH THE EXPRESS PERMISSION OF CAPITAL LINK INC - NEW YORK
CAPITAL LINK CONTAINER INDEX 1/1/2005 - 31/01/2010
700.00
1200.00
1700.00
2200.00
2700.00
3200.00
3700.00
4200.00
4700.00
5200.00
5700.00
Jun-
05
Au
g-05
Oct
-05
Dec
-05
Feb-
06
Ap
r-06
Jun-
06
Au
g-06
Oct
-06
Dec
-06
Feb-
07
Ap
r-07
Jun-
07
Au
g-07
Oct
-07
Dec
-07
Feb-
08
Ap
r-08
Jun-
08
Au
g-08
Oct
-08
Dec
-08
Feb-
09
Ap
r-09
Jun-
09
Au
g-09
Oct
-09
Dec
-09
Feb-
10
CL Container Index (CLCI)
Source: www.capitallink.com
CAPITAL LINK LNG/LPG INDEX 1/1/2005 - 31/01/2010
400.00
900.00
1400.00
1900.00
2400.00
2900.00
3400.00
Jun-
05
Au
g-05
Oct
-05
Dec
-05
Feb-
06
Ap
r-06
Jun-
06
Au
g-06
Oct
-06
Dec
-06
Feb-
07
Ap
r-07
Jun-
07
Au
g-07
Oct
-07
Dec
-07
Feb-
08
Ap
r-08
Jun-
08
Au
g-08
Oct
-08
Dec
-08
Feb-
09
Ap
r-09
Jun-
09
Au
g-09
Oct
-09
Dec
-09
Feb-
10
CL LNG/LPG Index (CLLG)
Source: www.capitallink.com
CAPITAL LINK MIXED FLEET INDEX 1/1/2005 - 31/01/2010
330.00
830.00
1330.00
1830.00
2330.00
2830.00
Jun-
05
Au
g-05
Oct
-05
Dec
-05
Feb-
06
Ap
r-06
Jun-
06
Au
g-06
Oct
-06
Dec
-06
Feb-
07
Ap
r-07
Jun-
07
Au
g-07
Oct
-07
Dec
-07
Feb-
08
Ap
r-08
Jun-
08
Au
g-08
Oct
-08
Dec
-08
Feb-
09
Ap
r-09
Jun-
09
Au
g-09
Oct
-09
Dec
-09
Feb-
10
CL Mixed Fleet Index (CLMFI)
Source: www.capitallink.com
CAPITAL LINK MLP INDEX 1/1/2005 - 31/01/2010
400.00
900.00
1400.00
1900.00
2400.00
2900.00
3400.00
3900.00
Jun-
05
Au
g-05
Oct
-05
Dec
-05
Feb-
06
Ap
r-06
Jun-
06
Au
g-06
Oct
-06
Dec
-06
Feb-
07
Ap
r-07
Jun-
07
Au
g-07
Oct
-07
Dec
-07
Feb-
08
Ap
r-08
Jun-
08
Au
g-08
Oct
-08
Dec
-08
Feb-
09
Ap
r-09
Jun-
09
Au
g-09
Oct
-09
Dec
-09
Feb-
10
CL MLP Index (CLMLP)
Source: www.capitallink.com
N. COTZIAS SHIPPING CO. LTD. ( SHIPBROKERS SINCE 1893) Page 11 of 20
www.cotzias.gr COTZIAS MARKET ECONOMIC OUTLOOK JANUARY 2010
DRY CARGO (1990-2010) NB PRICES
DRY CARGO (2002-2010) 5 YEAR OLD PRICES
DRY CARGO SHIP VALUES
DRY CARGO (1990-2010) NB PRICES
17
22
27
32
37
42
47
52
57
62
67
72
77
82
87
92
97
Jan-0
2
Apr-02
Jul-0
2
Oct-0
2
Jan-0
3
Apr-03
Jul-0
3
Oct-0
3
Jan-0
4
Apr-04
Jul-0
4
Oct-0
4
Jan-0
5
Apr-05
Jul-0
5
Oct-0
5
Jan-0
6
Apr-06
Jul-0
6
Oct-0
6
Jan-0
7
Apr-07
Jul-0
7
Oct-0
7
Jan-0
8
Apr-08
Jul-0
8
Oct-0
8
Jan-0
9
Apr-09
Jul-0
9
Oct-0
9
Jan-1
0
CAPE 170KPANAMAX 70KHANDY 50K
DRY CARGO (2002-2010) 5 YEAR OLD PRICES
$10.0
$20.0
$30.0
$40.0
$50.0
$60.0
$70.0
$80.0
$90.0
$100.0
$110.0
$120.0
$130.0
$140.0
$150.0
Jan-0
2
Apr-02
Jul-0
2
Oct-0
2
Jan-0
3
Apr-03
Jul-0
3
Oct-0
3
Jan-0
4
Apr-04
Jul-0
4
Oct-0
4
Jan-0
5
Apr-05
Jul-0
5
Oct-0
5
Jan-0
6
Apr-06
Jul-0
6
Oct-0
6
Jan-0
7
Apr-07
Jul-0
7
Oct-0
7
Jan-0
8
Apr-08
Jul-0
8
Oct-0
8
Jan-0
9
Apr-09
Jul-0
9
Oct-0
9
Jan-1
0
CAPE 170KPANAMAX 70KHANDY 50K
N. COTZIAS SHIPPING CO. LTD. ( SHIPBROKERS SINCE 1893) Page 12 of 20
www.cotzias.gr COTZIAS MARKET ECONOMIC OUTLOOK JANUARY 2010
DRY CARGO (2002-2010) 10 YEAR OLD PRICES
DRY CARGO (2002-2010) 20 YEAR OLD PRICESDUE TO THE NEVER FORESEEN MARKET CHANGES POST OCTOBER 2008, WE WANT TO CLARIFY THAT, DRY CARGO SECONDHAND SHIP PRICES FOR PERIOD OCT 2008 UNTIL DEC 2008,
HAVE BEEN CALCULATED AND UPDATED BASED ON ALL NEGOTIATED DEALS EITHER CONCLUDED OR FAILED AND ON VARIOUS RENEGOTIATED OLD SALES. HOWEVER ACCURACY OF THESE QUOTED PRICES CAN NOT BE GUARANTEED IN ITS ENTIRETY. HOWEVER WE TRUST THAT THE SECONDHAND DRY CARGO SHIP PRICES QUOTED ARE FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE
PREVAILING REALISTIC MARKET PRICES.
DRY CARGO (2002-2010) 10 YEAR OLD PRICES
$7.0
$17.0
$27.0
$37.0
$47.0
$57.0
$67.0
$77.0
$87.0
$97.0
$107.0
$117.0
$127.0
Jan-0
2
Apr-02
Jul-0
2
Oct-0
2
Jan-0
3
Apr-03
Jul-0
3
Oct-0
3
Jan-0
4
Apr-04
Jul-0
4
Oct-0
4
Jan-0
5
Apr-05
Jul-0
5
Oct-0
5
Jan-0
6
Apr-06
Jul-0
6
Oct-0
6
Jan-0
7
Apr-07
Jul-0
7
Oct-0
7
Jan-0
8
Apr-08
Jul-0
8
Oct-0
8
Jan-0
9
Apr-09
Jul-0
9
Oct-0
9
Jan-1
0
CAPE 170KPANAMAX 70KHANDY 50K
DRY CARGO (2000-2010) 20 YEAR OLD PRICES
$3.0
$8.0
$13.0
$18.0
$23.0
$28.0
$33.0
$38.0
$43.0
$48.0
$53.0
$58.0
$63.0
$68.0
$73.0
$78.0
$83.0
Jan-0
2
Apr-02
Jul-0
2
Oct-0
2
Jan-0
3
Apr-03
Jul-0
3
Oct-0
3
Jan-0
4
Apr-04
Jul-0
4
Oct-0
4
Jan-0
5
Apr-05
Jul-0
5
Oct-0
5
Jan-0
6
Apr-06
Jul-0
6
Oct-0
6
Jan-0
7
Apr-07
Jul-0
7
Oct-0
7
Jan-0
8
Apr-08
Jul-0
8
Oct-0
8
Jan-0
9
Apr-09
Jul-0
9
Oct-0
9
Jan-1
0
CAPE 170KPANAMAX 70KHANDY 50K
N. COTZIAS SHIPPING CO. LTD. ( SHIPBROKERS SINCE 1893) Page 13 of 20
www.cotzias.gr COTZIAS MARKET ECONOMIC OUTLOOK JANUARY 2010
LARGE BULKERS 149-85,000 DWT - AVERAGE EARNINGS 2002-2010
CAPESIZE BULKERS 300-149,000 DWT - AVERAGE EARNINGS 2002-2010
DRY CARGO SHIP AVERAGE EARNINGS
CAPESIZE 300-149,000 DWT - AVERAGE EARNINGS 2002-2010
$4,000
$19,000
$34,000
$49,000
$64,000
$79,000
$94,000
$109,000
$124,000
$139,000
$154,000
$169,000
$184,000
Jan-
02A
pr-0
2Ju
l-02
Oct
-02
Jan-
03A
pr-0
3Ju
l-03
Oct
-03
Jan-
04A
pr-0
4Ju
l-04
Oct
-04
Jan-
05A
pr-0
5Ju
l-05
Oct
-05
Jan-
06A
pr-0
6Ju
l-06
Oct
-06
Jan-
07A
pr-0
7Ju
l-07
Oct
-07
Jan-
08A
pr-0
8Ju
l-08
Oct
-08
Jan-
09A
pr-0
9Ju
l-09
Oct
-09
Jan-
10
CAPESIZE
LARGE BULKERS 149-85,000 DWT - AVERAGE EARNINGS 2002-2010
$4,500
$14,500
$24,500
$34,500
$44,500
$54,500
$64,500
$74,500
$84,500
$94,500
$104,500
$114,500
$124,500
Jan-
02A
pr-0
2Ju
l-02
Oct
-02
Jan-
03A
pr-0
3Ju
l-03
Oct
-03
Jan-
04A
pr-0
4Ju
l-04
Oct
-04
Jan-
05A
pr-0
5Ju
l-05
Oct
-05
Jan-
06A
pr-0
6Ju
l-06
Oct
-06
Jan-
07A
pr-0
7Ju
l-07
Oct
-07
Jan-
08A
pr-0
8Ju
l-08
Oct
-08
Jan-
09A
pr-0
9Ju
l-09
Oct
-09
Jan-
10
LARGE BULKERS
N. COTZIAS SHIPPING CO. LTD. ( SHIPBROKERS SINCE 1893) Page 14 of 20
www.cotzias.gr COTZIAS MARKET ECONOMIC OUTLOOK JANUARY 2010
PANAMAX 85-59,000 DWT - AVERAGE EARNINGS 2002-2010
HANDYMAX 59-48,000 DWT - AVERAGE EARNINGS 2002-2010
PANAMAX 85-59,000 DWT - AVERAGE EARNINGS 2002-2010
$4,000
$11,000
$18,000
$25,000
$32,000
$39,000
$46,000
$53,000
$60,000
$67,000
$74,000
$81,000
$88,000
$95,000
Jan-
02A
pr-0
2Ju
l-02
Oct
-02
Jan-
03A
pr-0
3Ju
l-03
Oct
-03
Jan-
04A
pr-0
4Ju
l-04
Oct
-04
Jan-
05A
pr-0
5Ju
l-05
Oct
-05
Jan-
06A
pr-0
6Ju
l-06
Oct
-06
Jan-
07A
pr-0
7Ju
l-07
Oct
-07
Jan-
08A
pr-0
8Ju
l-08
Oct
-08
Jan-
09A
pr-0
9Ju
l-09
Oct
-09
Jan-
10
PANAMAX
HANDYMAX 59-48,000 DWT - AVERAGE EARNINGS 2002-2010
$6,000
$13,000
$20,000
$27,000
$34,000
$41,000
$48,000
$55,000
$62,000
$69,000
Jan-
02A
pr-0
2Ju
l-02
Oct
-02
Jan-
03A
pr-0
3Ju
l-03
Oct
-03
Jan-
04A
pr-0
4Ju
l-04
Oct
-04
Jan-
05A
pr-0
5Ju
l-05
Oct
-05
Jan-
06A
pr-0
6Ju
l-06
Oct
-06
Jan-
07A
pr-0
7Ju
l-07
Oct
-07
Jan-
08A
pr-0
8Ju
l-08
Oct
-08
Jan-
09A
pr-0
9Ju
l-09
Oct
-09
Jan-
10
HANDYMAX
N. COTZIAS SHIPPING CO. LTD. ( SHIPBROKERS SINCE 1893) Page 15 of 20
www.cotzias.gr COTZIAS MARKET ECONOMIC OUTLOOK JANUARY 2010
BULKERS 40-30,000 DWT - AVERAGE EARNINGS 2002-2010
HANDY 48-40,000 DWT - AVERAGE EARNINGS 2002-2010
HANDY 48-40,000 DWT - AVERAGE EARNINGS 2002-2010
$4,000
$10,000
$16,000
$22,000
$28,000
$34,000
$40,000
$46,000
$52,000
$58,000
$64,000Ja
n-02
Apr
-02
Jul-0
2O
ct-0
2Ja
n-03
Apr
-03
Jul-0
3O
ct-0
3Ja
n-04
Apr
-04
Jul-0
4O
ct-0
4Ja
n-05
Apr
-05
Jul-0
5O
ct-0
5Ja
n-06
Apr
-06
Jul-0
6O
ct-0
6Ja
n-07
Apr
-07
Jul-0
7O
ct-0
7Ja
n-08
Apr
-08
Jul-0
8O
ct-0
8Ja
n-09
Apr
-09
Jul-0
9O
ct-0
9Ja
n-10
HANDY
BULKERS 40-30,000 DWT - AVERAGE EARNINGS 2002-2010
$4,000
$9,000
$14,000
$19,000
$24,000
$29,000
$34,000
$39,000
$44,000
$49,000
$54,000
$59,000
$64,000
Jan-
02A
pr-0
2Ju
l-02
Oct
-02
Jan-
03A
pr-0
3Ju
l-03
Oct
-03
Jan-
04A
pr-0
4Ju
l-04
Oct
-04
Jan-
05A
pr-0
5Ju
l-05
Oct
-05
Jan-
06A
pr-0
6Ju
l-06
Oct
-06
Jan-
07A
pr-0
7Ju
l-07
Oct
-07
Jan-
08A
pr-0
8Ju
l-08
Oct
-08
Jan-
09A
pr-0
9Ju
l-09
Oct
-09
Jan-
10
BULKERS
N. COTZIAS SHIPPING CO. LTD. ( SHIPBROKERS SINCE 1893) Page 16 of 20
www.cotzias.gr COTZIAS MARKET ECONOMIC OUTLOOK JANUARY 2010
DRY CARGO - AVERAGE EARNINGS 2002-2010 (ALL VSL TYPES)
SMALL BULKERS 30-12,000 DWT - AVERAGE EARNINGS 2002-2010
SMALL BULKERS 30-12,000 DWT - AVERAGE EARNINGS 2002-2010
$3,500
$7,500
$11,500
$15,500
$19,500
$23,500
$27,500
$31,500
$35,500
$39,500
$43,500Ja
n-02
Apr
-02
Jul-0
2O
ct-0
2Ja
n-03
Apr
-03
Jul-0
3O
ct-0
3Ja
n-04
Apr
-04
Jul-0
4O
ct-0
4Ja
n-05
Apr
-05
Jul-0
5O
ct-0
5Ja
n-06
Apr
-06
Jul-0
6O
ct-0
6Ja
n-07
Apr
-07
Jul-0
7O
ct-0
7Ja
n-08
Apr
-08
Jul-0
8O
ct-0
8Ja
n-09
Apr
-09
Jul-0
9O
ct-0
9Ja
n-10
SMALL BULKERS
DRY CARGO - AVERAGE EARNINGS 2002-2010
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
$140,000
$160,000
$180,000
Jan-
02A
pr-0
2Ju
l-02
Oct
-02
Jan-
03A
pr-0
3Ju
l-03
Oct
-03
Jan-
04A
pr-0
4Ju
l-04
Oct
-04
Jan-
05A
pr-0
5Ju
l-05
Oct
-05
Jan-
06A
pr-0
6Ju
l-06
Oct
-06
Jan-
07A
pr-0
7Ju
l-07
Oct
-07
Jan-
08A
pr-0
8Ju
l-08
Oct
-08
Jan-
09A
pr-0
9Ju
l-09
Oct
-09
Jan-
10
CAPESIZEVERY LARGE BCPANAMAXHANDYMAXHANDYBULKERSSMALL BC
N. COTZIAS SHIPPING CO. LTD. ( SHIPBROKERS SINCE 1893) Page 17 of 20
www.cotzias.gr COTZIAS MARKET ECONOMIC OUTLOOK JANUARY 2010
2010 UNITS DWT LDT average 2009 UNITS DWT LDT average
January 87 3,659,775 852,701 $351.6 January 112 3,982,038 1,023,913 $261.1
February 0 0 0 $0.0 February 129 3,300,306 1,015,524 $254.7
March 0 0 0 $0.0 March 125 4,023,037 1,116,865 $275.6
April 0 0 0 $0.0 April 95 2,255,469 733,399 $261.9
May 0 0 0 $0.0 May 101 3,069,455 954,708 $232.9
June 0 0 0 $0.0 June 75 1,695,854 556,465 $244.6
July 0 0 0 $0.0 July 91 2,148,950 762,447 $250.3
August 0 0 0 $0.0 August 125 3,467,159 1,121,900 $291.3
September 0 0 0 $0.0 September 134 3,301,032 853,372 $303.3
October 0 0 0 $0.0 October 63 2,141,255 445,276 $262.9
November 0 0 0 $0.0 November 96 3,128,242 733,943 $251.9
December 0 0 0 $0.0 December 62 1,945,152 524,903 $269.4TOTAL 87 3,659,775 852,701 $351.6 TOTAL 1208 34,457,949 9,842,715 $263.3
2008 UNITS DWT LDT average 2007 UNITS DWT LDT average
JANUARY 13 392,137 125,125 $588.9 JANUARY 29 707,496 183,790 $460.5
FEBRUARY 21 681,495 172,214 $578.8 FEBRUARY 21 746,256 184,078 $444.0
MARCH 15 907,949 211,596 $670.2 MARCH 16 390,362 107,585 $410.5
APRIL 20 855,210 235,828 $680.0 APRIL 25 896,724 254,673 $439.3
MAY 24 489,924 175,189 $677.0 MAY 13 446,308 126,539 $476.6
JUNE 20 664,902 201,833 $710.2 JUNE 17 346,816 118,978 $453.1
JULY 12 440,900 111,600 $693.2 JULY 16 430,191 105,861 $567.5
AUGUST 34 590,300 216,331 $755.6 AUGUST 13 400,320 127,092 $525.2
SEPTEMBER 15 725,048 201,589 $595.6 SEPTEMBER 10 150,660 51,187 $461.1
OCTOBER 30 955,839 240,466 $373.4 OCTOBER 17 287,398 87,442 $492.5
NOVEMBER 57 3,267,815 710,078 $228.1 NOVEMBER 23 427,000 149,569 $590.0
DECEMBER 59 1,871,104 583,509 $260.7 DECEMBER 8 215,941 79,678 $536.1TOTAL 320 11,842,623 3,185,358 $567.6 TOTAL 208 5,445,472 1,576,472 $488.0
SCRAP STATISTICS 2005 - 2010
Average Scrap Price vs Number of units Scrapped (2005 - 2010)
13161921
11
0
161810
512
7
1715
24182017171617
1119
292921
16
25
1317161310
1723
812
2114
1923
1926
52
28
38
68
79
112
95101
75
91
134
63
94
62
87
129125125
$145.00
$195.00
$245.00
$295.00
$345.00
$395.00
$445.00
$495.00
$545.00
$595.00
$645.00
$695.00
$745.00
Jan-0
5
Apr-05
Jul-0
5
Oct-0
5
Jan-0
6
Apr-06
Jul-0
6
Oct-0
6
Jan-0
7
Apr-07
Jul-0
7
Oct-0
7
Jan-0
8
Apr-08
Jul-0
8
Oct-0
8
Jan-0
9
Apr-09
Jul-0
9
Oct-0
9
Jan-1
0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140Average Scrap Price
No SHIPS SCRAPPED
CHINA, 2508614
INDIA, 3838620
683659
BANGLADESH1,220,883
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
PAKISTAN 683659
TURKEY 184726
BANGLADESH 2274673
INDIA 3838620
CHINA 2508614
LDT TAKEN
CHINA, 269
INDIA, 470
BANGLADESH, 208
TURKEY
PAKISTAN
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
PAKISTAN 82
TURKEY 93
BANGLADESH 208
INDIA 470
CHINA 269
UNITS
CHINA
INDIA
BANGLADESH
TURKEY
PAKISTAN
150
170
190
210
230
250
270
290
310
CHINA 216.2580645
INDIA 275.7374005
BANGLADESH 300.1666667
TURKEY 176.1333333
PAKISTAN 269.640625
av $
7
N. COTZIAS SHIPPING CO. LTD. ( SHIPBROKERS SINCE 1893) Page 18 of 20
www.cotzias.gr COTZIAS MARKET ECONOMIC OUTLOOK JANUARY 2010
2010
MONTH DRY WET TOTAL DRY WET TOTAL DRY WET TOTAL
JANUARY 94 59 153 $1,392.94m $1,232.58m $2,625.52m 4,232,086 3,746,603 7,978,689
FEBRUARY 0 0 0 $0.00m $0.00m $0.00m 0 0 0
MARCH 0 0 0 $0.00m $0.00m $0.00m 0 0 0
APRIL 0 0 0 $0.00m $0.00m $0.00m 0 0 0
MAY 0 0 0 $0.00m $0.00m $0.00m 0 0 0
JUNE 0 0 0 $0.00m $0.00m $0.00m 0 0 0
JULY 0 0 0 $0.00m $0.00m $0.00m 0 0 0
AUGUST 0 0 0 $0.00m $0.00m $0.00m 0 0 0
SEPTEMBER 0 0 0 $0.00m $0.00m $0.00m 0 0 0
OCTOBER 0 0 0 $0.00m $0.00m $0.00m 0 0 0
NOVEMBER 0 0 0 $0.00m $0.00m $0.00m 0 0 0
DECEMBER 0 0 0 $0.00m $0.00m $0.00m 0 0 0
TOTAL 2010 94 59 153 $1,392.94m $1,232.58m $2,625.52m 4,232,086 3,746,603 7,978,689
2009MONTH DRY WET TOTAL DRY WET TOTAL DRY WET TOTALJANUARY 79 39 118 $2,026.84m $1,464.90m $3,491.74m 2,073,460 3,163,865 5,237,325
FEBRUARY 77 49 126 $1,338.90m $1,503.70m $2,842.60m 2,018,746 4,031,251 6,049,997
MARCH 83 48 131 $2,675.29m $1,669.30m $4,344.59m 3,271,135 3,881,364 7,152,499
APRIL 95 48 143 $3,950.28m $1,660.30m $5,610.58m 3,421,893 2,787,674 6,209,567
MAY 110 43 153 $3,615.32m $1,434.95m $5,050.27m 4,080,053 2,920,540 7,000,593
JUNE 96 45 141 $2,660.05m $1,715.15m $4,375.20m 3,356,104 3,083,588 6,439,692
JULY 74 42 116 $2,171.78m $1,813.20m $3,984.98m 2,706,820 4,196,783 6,903,603
AUGUST 52 37 89 $1,339.98m $1,029.59m $2,369.57m 1,836,029 2,431,539 4,267,568
SEPTEMBER 71 23 94 $1,602.45m $547.05m $2,149.50m 2,532,706 811,596 3,344,302
OCTOBER 33 15 48 $809.31m $212.50m $1,021.81m 1,272,809 520,102 1,792,911
NOVEMBER 44 23 67 $567.30m $825.15m $1,392.45m 2,027,520 1,351,127 3,378,647
DECEMBER 42 11 53 $350.87m $465.70m $816.57m 1,457,264 941,843 2,399,107
TOTAL 2009 856 423 1279 $23,108.38m $14,341.49m $37,449.86m 30,054,539 30,121,272 60,175,811
2008
MONTH DRY WET TOTAL DRY WET TOTAL DRY WET TOTAL
JANUARY 79 39 118 $2,026.84m $1,464.90m $3,491.74m 2,073,460 3,163,865 5,237,325
FEBRUARY 77 49 126 $1,338.90m $1,503.70m $2,842.60m 2,018,746 4,031,251 6,049,997
MARCH 83 48 131 $2,675.29m $1,669.30m $4,344.59m 3,271,135 3,881,364 7,152,499
APRIL 95 48 143 $3,950.28m $1,660.30m $5,610.58m 3,421,893 2,787,674 6,209,567
MAY 110 43 153 $3,615.32m $1,434.95m $5,050.27m 4,080,053 2,920,540 7,000,593
JUNE 96 45 141 $2,660.05m $1,715.15m $4,375.20m 3,356,104 3,083,588 6,439,692
JULY 74 42 116 $2,171.78m $1,813.20m $3,984.98m 2,706,820 4,196,783 6,903,603
AUGUST 52 37 89 $1,339.98m $1,029.59m $2,369.57m 1,836,029 2,431,539 4,267,568
SEPTEMBER 71 23 94 $1,602.45m $547.05m $2,149.50m 2,532,706 811,596 3,344,302
OCTOBER 33 15 48 $809.31m $212.50m $1,021.81m 1,272,809 520,102 1,792,911
NOVEMBER 44 23 67 $567.30m $825.15m $1,392.45m 2,027,520 1,351,127 3,378,647
DECEMBER 42 11 53 $350.87m $465.70m $816.57m 1,457,264 941,843 2,399,107
TOTAL 2008 856 423 1279 $23,108.38m $14,341.49m $37,449.86m 30,054,539 30,121,272 60,175,811
UNITS SOLD CAPITAL OUTLAY
UNITS SOLD CAPITAL OUTLAY
2008 - VESSELS SOLD
DWT SOLD
DWT SOLD2010 - VESSELS SOLD
2009 - VESSELS SOLDUNITS SOLD CAPITAL OUTLAY DWT SOLD
N. COTZIAS SHIPPING CO. LTD. ( SHIPBROKERS SINCE 1893) Page 19 of 20
www.cotzias.gr COTZIAS MARKET ECONOMIC OUTLOOK JANUARY 2010
2007
MONTH DRY WET TOTAL DRY WET TOTAL DRY WET TOTAL
JANUARY 107 56 163 $1,918.17m $947.30m $2,865.47m 4,339,475 2,525,167 6,864,642
FEBRUARY 82 50 132 $2,415.84m $1,048.25m $3,464.09m 4,321,835 2,891,251 7,213,086
MARCH 108 31 139 $2,330.15m $789.55m $3,119.70m 4,558,081 2,165,966 6,724,047
APRIL 122 50 172 $3,709.65m $1,478.00m $5,187.65m 7,205,104 3,221,021 10,426,125
MAY 137 61 198 $3,051.04m $2,133.75m $5,184.79m 4,894,983 4,757,574 9,652,557
JUNE 108 70 178 $2,030.60m $2,338.37m $4,368.97m 3,369,782 5,165,416 8,535,198
JULY 163 34 197 $5,790.40m $1,430.55m $7,220.95m 8,463,283 2,520,864 10,984,147
AUGUST 84 36 120 $2,823.13m $1,021.75m $3,844.88m 3,755,816 2,668,848 6,424,664
SEPTEMBER 77 46 123 $2,051.65m $1,386.85m $3,438.50m 3,172,253 2,991,438 6,163,691
OCTOBER 141 67 208 $4,315.81m $1,837.00m $6,152.81m 5,319,934 4,198,224 9,518,158
NOVEMBER 145 40 185 $4,509.41m $1,214.55m $5,723.96m 6,035,362 2,614,259 8,649,621
DECEMBER 66 56 122 $1,529.43m $2,828.80m $4,358.23m 1,889,853 7,295,600 9,185,453
TOTAL 2007 1340 597 1937 $36,475.28m $18,454.72m $54,930.00m 57,325,761 43,015,628 100,341,389
2006
MONTH DRY WET TOTAL DRY WET TOTAL DRY WET TOTAL
JANUARY 67 46 113 $915.92m $1,752.35m $2,668.27m 2,157,524 4,867,107 7,024,631
FEBRUARY 68 48 116 $1,886.55m $1,689.43m $3,575.98m 3,715,192 3,580,338 7,295,530
MARCH 75 69 144 $1,190.65m $2,516.33m $3,706.98m 3,587,131 5,346,521 8,933,652
APRIL 57 31 88 $685.40m $915.20m $1,600.60m 2,040,481 1,662,012 3,702,493
MAY 110 58 168 $2,789.55m $922.10m $3,711.65m 5,720,170 2,034,387 7,754,557
JUNE 115 35 150 $1,889.17m $854.55m $2,743.72m 4,166,463 1,206,691 5,373,154
JULY 80 26 106 $1,246.48m $615.30m $1,861.78m 3,272,657 1,440,814 4,713,471
AUGUST 112 44 156 $2,163.89m $1,926.60m $4,090.49m 4,743,047 3,550,390 8,293,437
SEPTEMBER 80 47 127 $1,747.32m $1,607.05m $3,354.37m 3,876,045 3,171,331 7,047,376
OCTOBER 88 37 125 $1,743.89m $1,168.45m $2,912.34m 3,696,441 3,653,844 7,350,285
NOVEMBER 104 26 130 $1,965.75m $680.55m $2,646.30m 3,224,100 1,267,516 4,491,616
DECEMBER 104 43 147 $2,068.77m $1,020.25m $3,089.02m 4,745,371 3,316,483 8,061,854
TOTAL 2006 1060 510 1570 $20,293.34m $15,668.16m $35,961.50m 44,944,622 35,097,434 80,042,056
2005
MONTH DRY WET TOTAL DRY WET TOTAL DRY WET TOTAL
JANUARY 73 44 117 $1,314.89m $1,609.90m $2,924.79m 3,069,052 4,534,640 7,603,692
FEBRUARY 107 38 145 $2,193.49m $877.80m $3,071.29m 5,232,787 2,284,438 7,517,225
MARCH 112 67 179 $2,550.43m $3,016.10m $5,566.53m 4,900,346 6,385,327 11,285,673
APRIL 88 60 148 $1,648.45m $1,358.35m $3,006.80m 4,037,692 3,544,149 7,581,841
MAY 75 42 117 $806.98m $896.90m $1,703.88m 1,762,023 2,065,302 3,827,325
JUNE 42 50 92 $515.30m $1,292.60m $1,807.90m 1,003,905 2,979,077 3,982,982
JULY 49 30 79 $652.05m $629.28m $1,281.33m 890,425 1,223,007 2,113,432
AUGUST 52 35 87 $784.85m $722.80m $1,507.65m 2,231,040 1,997,151 4,228,191
SEPTEMBER 79 50 129 $1,985.55m $1,892.80m $3,878.35m 3,650,377 4,004,091 7,654,468
OCTOBER 59 59 118 $1,357.96m $1,775.20m $3,133.16m 3,047,547 4,804,991 7,852,538
NOVEMBER 55 36 91 $682.28m $668.93m $1,351.21m 1,593,491 2,033,730 3,627,221
DECEMBER 56 38 94 $894.40m $1,538.25m $2,432.65m 1,746,694 3,629,408 5,376,102
TOTAL 2005 847 549 1396 $15,386.63m $16,278.91m $31,665.54m 33,165,379 39,485,311 72,650,690
N. COTZIAS SHIPPING CONSULTANTS (NCSC)
7-9 AKTI MIAOULI - 185 35 PIRAEUS - HELLAS
TEL: +30 210 4222660/5
FAX: +30 210 4222678
MARKET RESEARCH/ANALYTICS DEPT. SALE AND PURCHASE DEPT. GENERIC NCS GROUP
EMAIL: [email protected] EMAIL: [email protected] EMAIL: [email protected]
2006 - VESSELS SOLDDWT SOLD
UNITS SOLD CAPITAL OUTLAY2007 - VESSELS SOLD
DWT SOLD
UNITS SOLD CAPITAL OUTLAY
UNITS SOLD CAPITAL OUTLAY
2005 - VESSELS SOLDDWT SOLD
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