Daily gradients of linear fitModel mean gradients (absolute values), CMIP5 models, historical run (1/1/1990-

31/12/2005)

Only uses 10 models, i.e. omits CNRM, because of lower amount of soil moisture in this model

Colours show model mean gradientsStipping shows where inter-model standard deviation < 75% of the mean

DJF

MAM

JJA

SON

SM=bP+a

Colours show model mean gradientsStipping shows where inter-model standard deviation < 75% of the mean

DJF

MAM

JJA

SON

P=bTs+a

Colours show model mean gradientsStipping shows where inter-model standard deviation < 75% of the mean

DJF

MAM

JJA

SON

SM=bTs+a