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Danida Business Finance Project proposal Presentation to Danida Programme Committee Wakiso West Water Supply and Sanitation Project Uganda Date: 18 December 2018 Udenrigsministeriet/VBE: Kontorchef: Ole Thonke Sagsbehandler: Lone B. Jensen File: 2018-43359 Investment Director: Annelise Boysen, DBF TL Tina Kollerup Hansen; VP Morten Elkjær, Finance Sector PID: 9024 File no.: F-1746-1
Transcript

Danida Business Finance Project proposal

Presentation to Danida Programme Committee

Wakiso West Water Supply and Sanitation Project

Uganda

Date: 18 December 2018

Udenrigsministeriet/VBE:

Kontorchef: Ole Thonke

Sagsbehandler: Lone B. Jensen

File: 2018-43359

Investment Director: Annelise Boysen, DBF

TL Tina Kollerup Hansen; VP Morten Elkjær,

Finance Sector

PID: 9024 File no.: F-1746-1

Background

As of 1. September 2017 Danida Business Finance, DBF, has been managed by IFU. The aim is to seek synergies

with IFU investments and to scale and further develop DBF in line with the overall strategy for development

cooperation, benefitting from IFU’s commercial knowhow and network.

The approval of DBF projects still rests with the Minister for Development Cooperation and follows the normal approval

process in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, MoFA. According to the administration agreement between MoFA and IFU,

DBF projects can be presented to the Danida Programme Committee prior to initiating DBF Feasibility Studies, that is,

at an early stage of the project development phase where only limited project information are available.

To align and integrate DBF to IFU documentation and processes, and on request from the Danida Programme

Committee to reflect early stage DBF involvement in project development, IFU has adjusted the template for DBF

concept notes. Therefore, DBF concept notes differ from the standard Word templates presented to the programme

committee.

PAGE 2

Abbreviations

AfDB – Africa Development Bank

CG – Corporate Governance

CIP – Clearance in Principle

CO2 – Carbon dioxide

CSR – Corporate social responsibility

CWD – Communal Water Dispenser

Danida – Danish International Development Assistance

DBF – Danida Business Finance

DKK – Danish Kroner

EIA – Environmental Impact Assessment

EIB – European Investment Bank

ESIA – Environmental and Social Impact Assessment

E&S – Environment and Social

EUR – Euro

FS – Feasibility Study

FSTP – Faecal Sludge Treatment Plant

GoU – Government of Uganda

GNI – Gross Domestic Income

IC – Investment Committee

IFC – International Finance Corporation

IFU –Investment Fund for Developing Countries

IRR – Internal rate of return

NDP – National Development Plan

NWSC – National Water and Sewage Corporation

OHS – Occupational health and safety

O&M – Operation and maintenance

PIU – Project implementation unit

PS – Performance Standard;– referring to IFC Performance Standards

RPF – Resettlement Policy Framework

SDG – Sustainable Development Goals

TA – Technical Assistance

TBD – to be determined

ToR – Terms of Reference

USD – United States Dollars

VAT – Value added tax

WTP – Water treatment Plant

PAGE 3

KEY DATA

PAGE 4

Project name

Wakiso West Water Supply and Sanitation Project

Country

Uganda

Gross National Income (GNI) per capita: USD 600 (World Bank, Atlas Method)

Product

Production of Clean Water and Sludge Treatment, incl. transmission and distribution

systems

Implementing partner

National Water and Sewage Corporation (NWSC)

Implementing period

36 months

Sustainable development goals to be targeted

SDG 3, SDG 6, SDG 8, SDG 11, SDG 13 & SDG 17

Investment budget

DKK 1.013 million (cf. detailed budget sheet)

ODA budget

DKK 619,9 million

Type of financing

Soft loan

Financial net IRR

Financially nonviable without subsidy Loan A

gre

em

ent

Bank fees

Loan:

Contractors

contract

Supervision (TA)

contract

Interest and margin

Additio

nal

technic

al

assis

tance

Tender support

Monitoring and

verification

Repaid by

NWSC

Covered by

Danida

Grant

DBF project finance:

design

1: PROJECT CONTEXT

Documentation

• Rambøll/Fichtner: Feasibility Study,

September 2018

• Rambøll/Fichtner: Resettlement Policy

Framework RPF, September 2018

• Rambøll/Fichtner: Scoping Report, September

2018

• Rambøll/Fichtner: Optioneering Report,

August 2018

• Danida: Uganda Country Policy Paper, 2018-

22, 2017

• Danida: Uganda Country Programme, 2018-

22, 2017

PAGE 5

Context

• Uganda is one of the poorest countries in the world and its economic

development presents a mixed picture. Between 2000 and 2010, the

country experienced impressive economic growth rates, averaging 7% per

year. This made Uganda one of the fastest growing economies in the

world, albeit starting from a very low level. However, between 2011 and

2016 annual average growth slowed to 4.5 % p.a. This is further diluted by

the high population growth and low income, with GNI per capita of USD

600 in 2017. According to the IMF, Uganda's external debt is manageable

and the country is eligible for DBF financing.

• The National Resistance Movement and President Museveni have been in

power since 1986. The regime has provided stability; however, democratic

space is challenged. Corruption is high and Uganda is ranked 151 on

Transparency International Corruption Index. Also, some human rights are

challenged.

• Uganda aims at reaching lower middle income status by 2021, i.e. a GNI

per capita of just above USD 1,000. Achieving this will require annual

growth rates of 10 % per year. The key priority areas in National

Development Plan II are related to infrastructure development,

commercialization of the agricultural sector and promotion of tourism.

• Water and sanitation is one of the priority areas for the Government, and

the target is 100% urban coverage of safe water by 2021. The current

coverage is 71%. With the rapid population growth rate and high

urbanization, significant investments and funds are required to meet the

target.

• Denmark has been a major donor in the water and sanitation sector since

1991, but the programme ends in 2018. It is expected that further Danish

support to water and sanitation will be provided by DBF.

• NWSC, established in 1972, is a Parastatal organization that operates and

maintains water supply and sanitation in urban areas. NWSC works under

3-year performance contracts. The past 5 contracts have been successfully

implemented.

• One project to improve water and sanitation in greater Kampala is financed

by EIB, France and Germany. The main development partners in the sector

are the World Bank, EIB, AfDB, Germany, Austria and France.

2. INVESTMENT CASE: Theory of Change

PAGE 6

Outputs

Output 1: Water supply system

consisting of a 62,500 m3/day Water

Treatment Plant, with 48,940 new

household connections and serving

18,300 existing connections. In addition,

intake and raw water main, 4 reservoirs,

8 booster stations, 76,5 km of primary

transmission mains, 51,4 km of

secondary mains, and a tertiary network

covering an estimated area of 4,300 ha.

Output 2: 400 m3/day Faecal Sludge

Treatment Plant (FSTP).

Output 3: Communal Water Dispensers

(CWD) in informal settlements

(approximately 1000).

Output 4: Installation of 1,05 MW

capacity solar energy plant at the

Water Treatment Plant.

Output 5. New Jobs created.

Output 6. NWSC capacity to operate

innovative systems in water supply.

Outcomes

67,240 households in Wakiso West

have access to clean and affordable

water (through household

connections).

Pollution of the environment from

dumping of faecal sludge has been

reduced

The population in informal settlements

have access to clean and affordable

water (through CWDs).

Demonstration of the potential savings

from using renewable energy for

pumping.

Both temporary (during construction)

and permanent (during operation) jobs

have been created.

The water company has introduced

energy-saving equipment

Impact

SDG3: Improved health

SDG6: Clean water

and sanitation

SDG8: Decent work

and economic growth

SDG11: Sustainable

cities and communities

SDG13: Climate action

SDG17: Partnerships

3. INVESTMENT CASE

PAGE 7

Appropriation

April 2019

Loan agreement

February 2020

Construction start

March 2020

Verification upon taking over

March 2023

Verification after Defect Notification

Period

March 2024

Investment case

• NWSC is a Government Parastatal under Ministry of Water and Environment. It develops, operates

and maintains water supply and sanitation in urban areas and has professional capacity for this.

This includes household connections and installation and management of communal water

dispensers to serve informal settlements. Water prices are set at national level with some cross-

subsidization from high consuming to low consuming costumers.

• NWSC has an operating profit and is not reliant on government funding for operations and

maintenance. In addition, it can finance limited investments but the low tariffs prevents NWSC form

operating on a full commercial basis.

• NWSC will, supported by a consultant, undertake a competitive tender following FIDIC Yellow Book

(final project design done by the contractor) limited to short-listed Danish based contractors. The

tender will follow a life cycle cost approach, where Danish solutions are considered to be

internationally competitive.

• The contractor selected will finalize the design, build the project and hand over to NWSC for

operations. With introduction of life cycle costing, new technologies will be introduced and there will

be a need for capacity development of NWSC (pumping and pressure management, sludge

treatment, renewable energy etc.) for the plant to be operated efficiently. The contractor will adhere

to the environmental and social action plan, including resettlement plan, that will be a part of the

contract to ensure adherence to IFU (IFC) standards and protect human rights of those who will be

affected temporarily or permanently by the project.

• During construction, a supervision engineer will support NWSC to undertake monitoring of the

implementation and general performance of the contractor, including adherence to IFC standards.

• DBF will appoint a consultant to monitor implementation and undertake verification at take-over/

end of defect liability. Final monitoring of outcome will take place 5 years after take-over.

• This would be the first DBF project in Uganda, but Denmark has a long standing relationship with

Uganda in the sector. The Danish Embassy, consultants and contractors have ample experience

working in the sector in Uganda.

Contribution to Sustainable Development Goals

The project will provide access to safe and clean water for people in the area and sanitation and

reduced environmental impact on Lake Victoria. The project will contribute to SDG 3, 6, 8, 11, 13 and

17. See page 7 for further detail.

Justification

• Uganda is a priority country for Danish

Development co-operation.

• The project is fully aligned to Uganda’s

second National Development plan aiming

at increasing access to safe water in urban

areas to 100%. Current coverage is 71%.

GoU is in urgent need for funds to meet the

target.

• Water demand in Greater Kampala is

growing fast, reflecting rapid expansion of

the city’s formal and informal settlements.

The project will help meet the increasing

demand with increased water supply.

• Lake Victoria is increasingly polluted by

untreated faecal sludge. The project will

reduce this pollution;

• Potential for introducing life cycle costing,

which would reduce non-revenue water and

energy consumption, which can help pave

the way for more energy efficient solutions,

including from Danish technology providers

to the Uganda market;

• A DBF grant would mobilise additional

financing from the private sector, which

would otherwise not be mobilised, thereby

catalysing the project impact.

4. SUSTAINABILITY

PAGE 8

Development impact

• SDG 3: Good Health and Wellbeing, through increased access to clean

water supply and sanitation for households in Wakiso West;

• SDG 6: Provision of Clean Water and Sanitation through affordable water

(at tariffs determined by the government, with a scheme of cross-

subsidisation for poorer customers). More than 67,000 households in

Wakiso West would be provided with access to clean and affordable

water;

• SDG 8: Decent jobs, created during both construction and operation of the

water supply and faecal sludge treatment plants (the expected number of

new jobs created will be determined during project formulation);

• SDG 11: Sustainable cities/communities through provision of essential

water and sanitation services to the rapidly growing population in Wakiso

West; and

• SDG 13: Climate action through reduction of actual and anticipated

pollution of Lake Victoria and surrounding areas through a faecal sludge

treatment plant and re-collection of waster water in the project area and

reduced energy consumption.

• SDG 17: The grant from DBF mobilises private funding from an

international bank.

Corporate Governance

• In Uganda, informal settlements cannot be connected to the water supply.

Instead, NWSC will install water dispensers and ensure that water tariffs

follow government regulations to avoid overpricing of water from local

vendors.

• Corruption is widespread. IFU DBF’s anti corruption measures will be put

in place, e.g. close monitoring of the tender processes, and

buyer/borrower’s and exporter’s declaration where DBF may require

support repaid in case of misuse.

Environmental and social risks

• An Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) is underway, which

will guide further design and construction. National Environment

Management Authority (NEMA) will issue environmental approval

and EIA certificate.

• Some people will be affected temporarily (piping work) or

permanently due to resettlement from the site of construction. All

land to be acquired has formal title and it is expected that the

process will be frictionless. Land acquisition is the responsibility of

NWSC.

• Owners of the individual construction sites have indicated that

they are willing to sell.

Management of environmental and social risks

• IFC performance standards are applied during design and

construction of the works to ensure appropriate labor and working

conditions, resource efficiency, pollution prevention and land

acquisition.

• NWSC will hold public consultations during design and

preparation of Environmental and Social Impact Assessment

(ESIA). NWSC is being supported by DBF to carry out the ESIA.

Implementation will be monitored by the supervision consultant

during design and construction. An Environmental and Social

Monitoring and Management Plan is developed to mitigate

negative environmental and social impacts.

• NWSC will be responsible for Resettlement Action Plan based on

the Resettlement Policy Framework developed as part of the

feasibility study.

PAGE 9

5. BUDGET

DKK Million

Loan and

grant*

Own financing Total

Total Investment 1,013.4 258.9 1.272.3

Output 1 (water supply system) 725.4 725.4

Output 2 (faecal treatment plant) 74.5 74.5

Output 3 (communal water dispensers) 8.2 8.2

Output 4 (solar energy plant) 11.2 11.2

Catchment area protection (3%) 24.6 24.6

Installation of household connections

and water dispensers

222.0

Land acquisition 32.1 32.1

Supervision engineer 37.3 37.3

Contingencies 15% 132.2 4.8 137.0

Budget for DBF Grant

DKK Million

Cash grant element of loan 353.0

Interest subsidy 98.3

Margin to Danish lending

bank8.3

EKF premium

(Export loan guarantee fee)*69.6

Technical Assistance 22.4

Budget margin (25%)** 137.9

DBF Total Grant 689.4

DBF Grant excl. budget

margin551.5

DBF appropriation

(excl. EKF premium)619.9

* DBF covers the EKF premium on behalf of borrower

on the loan guarantee required by lending bank. DBF

only releases the payment in case of actual default.

The fee is therefore not paid out and not included in

the appropriation.

** The budget margin only becomes effective if the

project during tender turns out to be more expensive

PAGE 10

7. OVERALL ASSESSMENT

Investment attractiveness/concluding remarks

• At the end of the project, Wakiso West has a water treatment

plant with capacity of 62,500 m3/day and a faecal sludge

treatment plant with a capacity of 400 m3/day.

• Uganda’s second National Development plan aims at

increasing assess to safe water in urban areas to 100%.

Current coverage is 71%. Using DBF financing for

investments in the water sector, would meet part of these

requirements.

• The project contributes directly to SDG 3, 6, 8, 11, 13 and 17

through financing and construction of sustainable

infrastructure based on life cycle costing, which could

contribute to more sustainable infrastructure in Uganda.

• Key indicators of success are that people in Wakiso West

have access to affordable, safe and clean water, as well as

sanitation.

• The project will provide opportunities for Danish engineering

companies, contractors and Danish suppliers.

Major risks and development challenges

• Delays in land acquisition and compensation can delay

implementation – it is a precondition that the land acquisition

be solved adequately before the loan agreement becomes

effective.

• Other risk factors are included in the project design, e.g. a

possible deterioration of the raw water quality if Lake Victoria

becomes more polluted, or changes in the settlement

patterns in the area.

• There is a risk that not enough Danish based contractors will

bid for the project. A meeting of potential Danish contractors

will be called prior to development of tender with a view to

ensure that there are at least 2, preferably more, contractors

that state that they would bid. Furthermore there will be a

pre-qualification which will inform how many are interested in

bidding.

• For more detailed risk assessment, please refer to enclosure

C.

ENCLOSURES

PAGE 11

A: Overall Process Action Plan

Action By date Responsible Comments

PAGE 12

Action By date Responsible Comments

Feasibility study (FS), Final November, 2018 Rambøll & Fichtner In progress

Preparation of Draft Project

Document (PD)

December, 2018 DBF With assistance from external

consultant

Appraisal of PD February 2019 DBF With assistance from external

consultant

Preparation of Final Project

Document

February 2019 DBF

Presentation of the Project

Document to the IFU investment

Committee

April 2019 DBF

Presentation of the Project

Document to the Council for

Development Policy.

April 2019 Ministry of Foreign Affairs –

VBE

Appropriation by Minister May 2019 Ministry of Foreign Affairs –

VBE

Detailed design and tender May to August 2019 NWSC With assistance from

international TA

Contract awarded February 2020 NWSC DBF to give no-objection

Construction starts March 2020 Contractor Supervision engineer in place

Taking over of works March 2023 NWSC

PAGE 13

B. ASSESSMENT OF PARTNER, NWSC

Partner name Core business Importance Influence Contribution Capacity Exit strategy

What is the

name of the partner?

What is the

main business,

interest and

goal of the partner?

How important is

the project for

the partner’s

activity-level

(Low, medium high)?

How much influence

does the partner have

over the project (low, medium, high)?

What will be the

partner’s main contribution?

What are the main

issues emerging

from the

assessment of the partner’s capacity?

What is the strategy for exiting the partnership?

National

Water and

Sewage

Corporation (NWSC)

NWSC is a

public utility,

which supplies

portable water.

It also provides

sewerage and

faecal sludge treatment.

Medium. Even if

it is a big project,

NWSC is

involved in larger

projects,

particularly in Kampala.

High, full control. NWSC will finance

household

connections, land

acquisition and

compensations.

NWSC will be

responsible for the

tender and

construction

supervision. While

Ministry of Finance,

Planning and

Economic

Development will

take out the DBF-

loan, this will be on-

lent to NWSC.

NWSC will pay the VAT.

NWSC has good

professional and

technical capacity.

However,

considering that

NWSC is involved

in many other

projects and is

rapidly expanding

by taking over

water supply

facilities in small

towns, there is a

risk of overloading.

The project

includes support

for the tendering

process, and it

also includes a

Construction

Supervision

Consultant.

Training for NWSC

in the operation of

the new facilities

will be included in

the contract with

the Design and Build Contractor.

The project is limited to

the period of

construction and commissioning.

C. PROJECT RISKS & RISK RESPONSE 1

PAGE 14

Risk Factor Likelihood Impact Risk response Residual risk Background to assessment

Significant domestic

political and social

instability. Conflicts in the

region escalates with

negative spill-over effects

to Uganda.

Unlikely Minor None Minor NWSC is a solid institution with presence in most

of the country, and is not likely to be affected by

political conflicts. As it is financially running with a

small surplus, it is not in need of transfers from the

treasury to keep operating.

Risk Factor Likelihood Impact Risk response Residual risk Background to assessment

Land acquisitions are not

ready in time thus delaying

the project.

Likely Major It is made a precondition that the land

acquisitions for the Intake, the WTP

and the FSTP be in place before the

loan is made effective.

Minor The precondition will put a pressure on NWSC to

finish the land acquisition soon. Some issues will

depend on the final design (e.g. for access roads),

which implies that there is a residual risk.

Intake water quality at

WTP deteriorates during

the lifetime of the project,

particularly with respect to

cyanotoxins (algae

growth).

Likely High 1. On demand measures such as

Power activated carbon, PAC, dosing is

included in the project.

2. Medium term improvements such as

replacement of anthracite with Granual

activated carbon, GAC in filter could be

required later.

3. Medium to long term improvements

such as separate GAC filter, polishing

effluent with advance oxidation (e.g.

UV, Ozone, H2O2) could be required

later.

Minor The design of the Water treatment plant, WTP

includes measures for later additional treatment to

take into account possible deterioration of the water

quality, including the setting aside space for extra

equipment should it be required in the medium to

long term.

Water demand growth

different from that

predicted (slower in some

areas and faster in other

areas).

Likely Minor Phase I design includes water transfers

outside of the project area to areas

already in a water deficit so that these

transfers can be increased. Phase II of

the network can be adjusted.

Minor The exact distribution of the population is difficult to

predict as the settlements are largely spontaneous.

It is, however, highly likely that it will follow the

established transport corridors (as assumed in the

project design).

Contextual risks

Programmatic risks

C. PROJECT RISKS & RISK RESPONSE 2

PAGE 15

Risk Factor Likelihood Impact Risk response Residual risk Background to assessment

NWSC is stretched for senior

technical resources and may be

reluctant to commit the necessary

full-time staff to the Project

implementation unit, PIU, implying

a weak PIU.

Unlikely Major It will be made a precondition for the

loan that a well staffed PIU is

established. Furthermore, a

Construction Supervision Consultant

will be part of the contract

Minor Experience shows that a well-

functioning and capable PIU is

essential for satisfactory project

implementation.

Inadequate operation and

management of the installed water

supply system

Unlikely Major The contractor will in the contract

have an obligation to secure training

in O&M of the innovative elements to

be introduced (specialised equipment,

energy recovery etc.).

Minor NWSC has ample experience in

managing large WTPs and FSTPs, as

well as running the distribution

networks.

Inadequate operation and

management of the communal

water dispensers in the informal

settlements.

Likely Major The tender documents will make sure

that the specifications for the CWDs

are adequate.

Minor It has been agreed that NWSC is

responsible for installing the CWDs.

Risk Factor Likelihood Impact Risk response Residual risk Background to assessment

Possible corruption during

tendering could affect NWSC and

DBF reputation.

Unlikely Significant Support to and close monitoring of the

tender process

Insignificant as

the safeguards

will make it

very difficult for

corruption to

take place

Transparency and anti-corruption are

on the top of the agenda for Danida

and DBF. DBF will give no-objection to

tender documents and the tender

evaluation report, and the tender

consultant will closely advise and

monitor the process

Inadequate consultation and

compensation to the project

affected people

Unlikely Significant Support to NWSC in the process by

the construction supervision

consultant. Close monitoring by the

consultant and the Danish Embassy.

NWSC is advised to seek cooperation

with an NGO specialised in

community mobilisation.

The risk will

still be there,

but it will be

minor.

DBF has a commitment to comply with

the IFC guidelines. DBF has stressed

the issue during project preparation,

and it will be reviewed during appraisal.

Also, it will be included in the ToR for

the tender consultant and the

construction supervision.

Institutional risks

Programmatic risks, continued


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