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Financial Foresights FEDERATION OF INDIAN CHAMBERS OF COMMERCE AND INDUSTRY Disinvestment Boon or Bane to Economy
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Page 1: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

Financial Foresights

FEDERATION OF INDIAN CHAMBERS OF COMMERCE AND INDUSTRY

DisinvestmentBoon or Bane to Economy

Page 2: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy
Page 3: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

About FICCI

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DISCLAIMER

We thank our Partner Exchange

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Contents1. PREFACE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6

2. INDUSTRY INSIGHTS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7

Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy 9

Can we go back to the basics? 12

Disinvestment – Boon or Bane to Economy 16

Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy 21

Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy 24

Disinvestment- Boon or Bane 30

Disinvestment: A boon or a bane 34

Divestment of Public Sector – Challenges and Prospects 37

Disinvestment – Boon or Bane to Economy 42

Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy 46

Disinvestment – Boon or Bane to Economy 50

Disinvestment— Boon or Bane to Economy 55

3. THE POLICY PULSE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .59Banking Sector 60Capital Markets Sector 63Insurance Sector 67

4. FICCI’S DATA CENTRE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .71Indian Economy-An Update 72Investment Banking Updates 78Markets Watch 86

5. FINANCIAL SECTOR EVENTS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .88Synopsis of Past Events 88Forthcoming Events 89

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Preface

Dr. A. Didar SinghSecretary General

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Industry Insights

In association with

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9Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to EconomyMr. Gautam Trivedi

The Government’s intention behind divestment over last few years has been to help fund

rising subsidy burden.

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10

Industry Insights

Annual divestment trend: Shows the trend of rising disinvestments with falling revenues

Subsidy and interest payments as a share of total expenditure

Capital expenditure share in the total expenditure has remained constant over the last four years

Governmenthas mostly used disinvestment

rather than growth objectives.

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11Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

Gautam TrivediManaging Director & Head

of Equities - IndiaReligare Capital Markets

Limited

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12

Industry Insights

O

Can we go back to the basics?Mr. Bharat Banka

shifts to a pre-assumed notion that as a PSU it must be

only way to get rid of it is to shut it down or to disinvest.

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13Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

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14

Industry Insights

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15Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

Bharat Banka

Aditya Birla Private Equity

It is said that ‘charity begins at the home’, even the basic governance standards and regulations should start from the center of an economy, to put in practice what is espoused.

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16

Industry Insights

The Debate

Disinvestment – Boon or Bane to EconomyShri S. S. Mundra

of the world have undertaken disinvestment in the post 1980s period.

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17Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

Evolution of the Disinvestment Policy in India

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18

Industry Insights

Features of India’s Disinvestment Policy

Indian Approach to Disinvestment

National Investment Fund

Challenges to Disinvestment

India’s government missed its disinvest-ment target for four

years and even in the

so far has realised Rs 5,094 crore out of the initially budgeted Rs 40,000 crore.

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19Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

Breaking of Disinvestment Logjam

Some Successful Examples of Disinvestment

Conclusion

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20

Industry Insights

S. S. MundraChairman & Managing Director

Bank of Baroda

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21Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

“It is time that the government adopt a newapproach to the public enterprises”

Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to EconomyMr. Himanshu Kaji

leadership of Mar-

in 1980s in order to -

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22

Industry Insights

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23Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

Himanshu KajiExecutive Director & Group Chief

Edelweiss Financial Services Ltd.

India needs to move forward with its disinvestment process with the fundamental objective to widen the investors’ base and unleash productivity gains.

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24

Industry Insights

Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Disinvestment to be prominent as core central reform

Mr. Anup Bagchi

stimulus programmes

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25Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

Disinvestment as a resource generator

World GDP growth and Divestment proceeds

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

H120

13

USD

Billio

n

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

(%)

Global divestment proceeds (USD Bn) GDP Growth (%) YoY

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26

Industry Insights

Disinvestment as economic

India - GDP Growth, Fiscal deficit and disinvestment proceed as % of GDP

4.3 3.9 4.03.3

2.5

6.0 6.5

4.85.7

8.07.1

9.5 9.6 9.4

6.9

8.6 8.9

6.7

4.94.5

0.5

0.10.0

0.0

0.1

0.0

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.2

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0FY

04

FY05

FY06

FY07

FY08

FY09

FY10

FY11

FY12

FY13

-0.1

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

Fiscal deficit (%) GDP Growth (%) Disinvestment proceeds as % of GDP - RHS

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27Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

Repurposing disinvestment agenda

Divestment of majority stake should happen in SOEs which are operating in developed and

sectors whereas partial and gradual stake sale can happen in enterprises that operate in ecosystems which are still evolving.

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28

Industry Insights

AnnexureTotal disinvestment proceeds to government of India from 1991 – 2014

Disinvestment Route Rs. Crore

India among top countries in terms of disinvestment in H12013

Country Numbers of Deals Total value (5 million)

4

44

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29Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

Anup BagchCo-Chair, FICCI’s Capital Markets

Committee & Managing Director & CEO,

ICICI Securities Ltd.

2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12

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30

Industry Insights

Shri M.Narendra

Disinvestment- Boon or Bane?

D

How It All Began

Only three industries -

generation -- are now

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31Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

.

Progress under Disinvestment:

Objectives of Disinvestment

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32

Industry Insights

Conclusion:

If the Governmentdoes not engage in disinvestment, a similar amount has to be borrowed and the interest outlay would be more than what the Governmentwould have received as dividend from the

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33Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

M. NarendraChairman and Managing Director

Indian Overseas Bank

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34

Industry Insights

Mr. R. Shankar Raman

Disinvestment: A boon or a bane

-solute sense surmise whether disinvest-ment is a boon or a

-od and philosophy behind the disinvest-ment programme are important.

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35Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

The opening of the Indian economy has changed the market dynamics with the private sector play-ing a greater role in shaping the industrial landscape. Central Public Sector Enter-prises (CPSEs) have been exposed to com-petition from domes-tic and multi-national corporations.

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36

Industry Insights

R. Shankar Raman

Memberof BoardLarsen & Toubro Ltd.

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37Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

Introduction:

Divestment of Public Sector – Challenges and Prospects

Dr. V Shunmugam, Ms. Namita Kathuria,

up “sovereign-assetmanagers” or profes-sionally managed as-

that help separate management from ownership and pro-

openness.________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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38

Industry Insights

International experience in Dis-investment:

Rationale for disinvestment in In-dia- Then and Now:

Challenges to the Process of Disinvestment:

-ation of Assets:

Partner Exchange

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39Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

Year(Rs. crore)

DisinvestmentTarget

Total receipts from Disinvestment

ConversionRate

2 Sensitivity:

3. Corporate Governance- Socialists motive winning over Capitalists:

Page 40: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

40

Industry Insights

4. Protecting Minority Shareholders’ Interest:

Prospects:1. Strategic Selling:

-sets:

Recent International Developments to learn from:

Conclusion:

Partner Exchange

Page 41: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

41Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

4.

Dr. V ShunmugamChief Economist,

MCX Stock Exchange

Namita KathuriaEconomist,

MCX Stock Exchange

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42

Industry Insights

Disinvestment – Boon or Bane to Economy

Introduction

.

Smt. Arundhati Bhattacharya

The two broad goals of the disinvestment

________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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43Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

Disinvestment – Indian Experience

.

________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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Industry Insights

Table 1: Performance of disinvestment process (Rs Crore)

Year Budget Target Actual

Table 2 : Allocation of NIF funds 2009-10

Fund allocation Percent

The policy governing disinvestmentshould strike a balance between the short run and long

sale by government.

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45Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

Conclusion

Arundhati Bhattacharya Chairman

State Bank of India

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46

Industry Insights

Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

Shri Sudhir Kumar Jain

Disinvestmentwill improve PSU

will improve PSU

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47Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

.

Advantages /Merits of disinvestment

Page 48: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

48

Industry Insights

Challenges faced in the

To conclude

Governmentshould ensure that disinvestment may not result either in alienations of national assets nor result in private monopolies.

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49Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

Sudhir Kumar JainChairman & Managing Director

Syndicate Bank

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50

Industry Insights

Introduction

Disinvestment – Boon or Bane to Economy Shri Arun Kaul

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51Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

Why Disinvest

Visualising A Disinvestment Scenario

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52

Industry Insights

The Process of Disinvestment There is no binary

yes-no answer to “is disinvestment good or bad?” It is a process and any process is as good as its outcome. It has to be revisited and

to meet the demands of the times.

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53Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

Conclusion

Final Thoughts

Page 54: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

54

Industry Insights

Arun KaulChairman & Managing Director

UCO Bank

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55Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

Disinvestment— Boon or Bane to EconomyShri Arun Tiwari

Disinvestments took the shape of either stra-

-ment to a private en-

an offer for sale to the -

remaining with government.

Page 56: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

56

Industry Insights

Table 1: Effective tax rate* of companies in the public and private sectors

FY 2006-07 FY 2011-12

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57Disinvestment: Boon or Bane to Economy

Industry Insights

With Basel III norms transition effective beginning April 1st, 2013 in India, PSBs are in need of huge capital infusion, with bulk of it being equity capital.

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58

Industry Insights

Arun Tiwari Chairman & Managing Director

Union Bank of India

Table 1: Effective tax rate* of companies in the public and private sectors

(Rs. billion)

Page 59: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

The Policy Pulse

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60

January – March, 2014

RBI wants trade receivables & credit exchange for

Vote on Account 2014: Government raises agri credit target to Rs 8 lakh crore for 2014-15 (Press Trust of India)

Banking Sector

Partner Exchange

The Policy Pulse

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61

The Policy Pulse

RBI imposes restrictions on intra-group investment by banks

Unhedged forex exposure: RBI prescribes stringent provisioning for banks

10 lakh

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62

RBI hikes NBFCs’ gold loan limit to 75% of value

ATMs soon to fork out cash without bank account too

Implementation of Basel III Capital Regulations in India – Capital Planning

The Policy Pulse

Partner Exchange

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63

The Policy Pulse

March 2014Commencement of Foreign Portfolio Investor

regime from June 1, 2014

Clause 24(i) of the Equity Listing Agreement

Capital Markets Sector

SEBI Circular on enhancing disclosures, investor education & awareness campaign, developing alternative distribution channels for Mutual Fund products, etc.

Reporting of OTC trades in Corporate Bonds on Trade Reporting Platforms of stock Exchanges

Anti-Money Laundering/Countering the Financ-ing of Terrorism (AML/CFT) Obligations of Secu-rities Market Intermediaries under the Prevention of Moneylaundering Act, 2002 and Rules framed there under

Page 64: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

64

February 2014SEBI Discussion Paper on ‘Monitoring Agency

Report and Related Disclosures’

SEBI Discussion Paper on ‘Annual Information Memorandum’

FII/QFI investments in Commercial Papers

Safeguards to avoid trading disruption in case of failure of software vendor

Testing of software used in or related to Trading and Risk Management

SEBI (Issue of Capital and Disclosure Requirements) (Amendment) Regulations, 2014

Guidelines for inspection of depositories by Depository Participants

Partner Exchange

The Policy Pulse

Page 65: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

65

January 2014SEBI (Issue and Listing of Debt Securities)

Regulations, 2014

Information Technology (IT) governance for depositories

SEBI tweaks norms for interest rate futures

Operational Guidelines for Designated Deposi-tory Participants

SEBI (Foreign Portfolio Investors) Regulations, 2014

The Policy Pulse

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66

SEBI (Procedure for Search and Seizure) Regula-tions, 2014

SEBI (Settlement of Administrative and Civil Proceedings) Regulations, 2014

SEBI (Collective Investment Schemes) (Amend-ment) Regulations, 2014

SEBI (Investor Protection and Education fund) (Amendment) Regulations, 2014

New norms for Delivery Instruction Slip (DIS) Issuance and Processing

The Policy Pulse

Page 67: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

67

Insurance Sector

April 2014Life insurance: Ninety-day window

Third-party motor cover costlier by 10-20%

IRDA to allow distributors to have multiple tie-ups with insurers

March 2014Safety Rating System planned for cars may be

linked to insurance

IRDA to raise fund for CSC

IRDA allows collection of advance premium

The Policy Pulse

Page 68: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

68

IRDA to look into heavy discounts for group policies as complaints pour in

The regulator would soon come up with a hospital registry

Insurers seek assistance for online policy buyers

Insurers rush to tie-up with web aggregators

Govt asks IRDA to lift cap on insurers’ exposure to banking sector to 30%

IRDA arm creates hospital registry

IRDA prescribes standard format for insurance policy

Banks ask govt to relax three conditions for adopting insurance broking model

The Policy Pulse

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69

The Policy Pulse

Partner Exchange

IRDA allows enabling guidelines for insurers to invest in new categories, including IDFs, ETFs and AIFs

February 2014Policyholders will be able to get details of

unclaimed insurance online

Insurers, MFs await regulatory go-ahead for bond trading

January 2014

insurance schemes

IRDA to charge tax on providing services to players

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Page 71: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

FICCI’s Data Centre

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72

Indian Economy-An Update

Highlights

Key Economic Indicators

FICCI’s Data Centre

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Page 73: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

73

FICCI’s Data Centre

Index of Industrial Production (IIP)

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Source: MOSPI

Index of Industrial Production (IIP)

Source: MOSPI

Use-base classification (% growth)

IIP Basic goods

Intermedi-ate goods

Capital goods

Consumer durable goods

Consum-er non-durable goods

Aug-13

Sep-13

Oct-13

Nov-13

Dec-13

Jan-14

Source: MOSPI

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74

Core Sector

FICCI’s Data Centre

Core Sector- Growth (%)

2012-13 Apr-Jan

2013-14 Apr-Jan

Jan-13

Dec-13

Jan-14

Overall 6.9 2.4 8.3 2.1 1.6

Coal 6.5 1.0 4.0 -0.6 -0.7

Crude Oil -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 1.6 3.0

Natural Gas -13.6 -14.1 -16.8 -9.9 -5.2

Refinery

Products30.1 1.4 35.1 -1.7 -4.5

Fertilizers -4.0 2.5 -9.1 4.1 1.2

Steel 3.3 4.1 6.3 3.1 3.4

Cement 8.1 3.4 10.2 1.1 1.5

Electricity 4.8 5.2 6.3 6.7 5.7

Source: MOSPI

Core Sector

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75

Inflation

Wholesale Price Index (WPI) – growth rate (%) Consumer Price Index (CPI) - growth rate (%)

Foreign Trade

FICCI’s Data Centre

/

Foreign Trade

Trade deficit (in $ bn)

2013 2014

Feb Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb14.1 8.1

Dec 13 Jan 14Imports

Petroleum products

Non-POL items

Exports

Agricultural products

Ores & minerals

Manufactured goods

Petroleum products

Other commodities

Source: CMIESource: RBI

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76

Foreign Investments

(Net) Foreign Direct In-vestment (USD Million)

(Net) Portfolio Investment (USD Million)

Total Foreign Investment Inflows(USD Million)

Jan-13 2,701 6042 8,743

Feb-13 2210 4101 6311

Mar-13 822 1171 1993

Apr-13 2772 1621 4393

May-13 1843 6783 8625

Jun -13 1826 -8627 -6801

Jul-13 1925 -4716 -2791

Aug-13 1618 -2031 -413

Sep-13 4502 145 4646

Oct-13 1847 -451 1395

Nov-13 2,381 –53 2,328

Dec-13 1,861 2,886 4,747

Jan-14 848 2,570 3,418

Apr’12-Jan -13 16,787 21,619 38,406Apr’13-Jan-14 21,502 -1,866 19,636

Source: Reserve Bank of India

Foreign Investments

FICCI’s Data Centre

Exchange Rate

Exchange Rate

Re / Dollar Re / Euro Rs/ 100 Yen Rs/Pound sterling

Apr-13 54.3 70.7 55.7 83.2

May-13 55.0 71.3 54.5 84.1

Jun-13 58.4 77.1 60.0 90.4

Jul-13 59.8 78.2 60.0 90.8

Aug-13 63.2 84.2 64.6 97.9

Sep-13 63.8 85.1 64.3 101.1

Oct-13 61.6 84.1 63.0 99.2

Nov-13 62.6 84.5 62.6 100.9

Dec-13 61.9 84.8 59.8 101.4

Jan-14 62.1 84.6 59.7 102.3

Feb-14 62.3 85.0 61.0 103.0

Apr’13-Feb’14

14.8 20.2 9.5 23.7

Apr’12-Feb’13

3.8 5.5 0.5 -9.4

Source: RBI

Note: 1. Highlighted values are indicating depreciation/appreciation of the

respective currency over the reference period

2. Negative values indicating an appreciation

Page 77: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

77

FICCI’s Data Centre

Foreign Exchange

Fiscal Position Key Policy Announcements

Cabinet note on FDI in rail, construction sectors cleared-

investment norms-

Government set a panel to review the LPG subsidy scheme – A

RBI hikes trade transaction limit to Rs 5 lakh-

Total foreign

exchange reserves(USD Bn)

Foreign Currency

Assets (USD Bn)

Gold (USD Bn)

SDRs (USD Bn)

Reserve Tranche Position (USD Bn)

Feb-13 290.9 257.9 26.3 4.4 2.3

Mar-13 292.0 259.7 25.7 4.3 2.3

Apr-13 293.9 263.3 24.0 4.4 2.2

May13 287.9 258.5 22.8 4.3 2.2

Jun-13 282.5 254.4 21.6 4.3 2.2

Jul-13 277.6 250.3 20.7 4.4 2.2

Aug-13 275.5 247.4 21.7 4.3 2.0

Sep-13 277.2 247.9 21.7 4.4 2.1

Oct-13 282.9 254.5 21.7 4.5 2.2

Nov-13 291.3 263.7 21.2 4.4 1.9

Dec-13 295.7 268.6 20.6 4.4 2.0

Jan-14 291.1 264.6 20.1 4.4 2.0

Feb-14 294.3 266.9 20.9 4.4 2.0

Source: Reserve Bank of India

ss

Indicators Revised2013-14

Actuals@ up to Jan 2014

% of Ac-tuals to

Revised Estimates

Growth (Actuals

up to Jan’14 over

Actuals up to

Jan’13Rs. Crore Rs.

CroreIn %

In %

Revenue Re-ceipts 1029252 721905 70.1 14.8

Tax Revenue (Net) 836026 575945 68.9 9.1

Non-Tax Rev-enue 193226 145960 75.5 44.9

Total Receipts 1575434 737102 69.2 14.2

Non-Plan Ex-penditure 1114902 900841 80.8 13.3

Plan Expendi-ture 475532 369103 77.6 16.8

Total Expendi-ture 1590434 1269944 79.8 14.3

Fiscal Deficit 524539 532842 101.6 14.4Revenue Defi-cit 370287 378850 102.3 7.6Primary Defi-cit 144472 247463 171.3 6.7

Source: India Budget 2014-15

Foreign Exchange Reserves Fiscal Position

Page 78: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

78

Indian ECM

IPO

Follow-onState Bank of India’s

Citi, Deutsche Bank, BAML, HSBC, JPMorgan, UBS

Date Issuer Sector Deal Type Deal Value Bookrunners

30 Jan State Bank of India Finance FO 1,285CITI, DB, BAML,HSBC, JPM, SBI, UBS

21 Mar Axis Bank Finance FO 906CITI, JMFinancial,JPM

13 Mar MakeMyTrip Ltd Professional Services FO 145 CITI, JPM, DB

14 MarL&TFinance HoldingsLtd

Finance FO 97 CS

13 Feb Engineers India Ltd Construction/Building FO 80 ICICI, IDFC, KOTAK

25 Mar Bharti Infratel Ltd Telecommunications FO 37 GS

10 Mar Koovs plc Retail IPO 37 PEEL HUNT20 Mar Mukand Ltd Metal & Steel FO 23 ICICI

28 Jan Hinduja Foundries Ltd Auto/Truck FO 13 AXIS

18 FebCoromandelEngineering Co Ltd

Construction/Building FO 10AXIS, TATASECURITIES

Top 10 ECM Deals in 1Q 2014

Investment Banking Updates

Equity Capital Markets In association with

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

Consumer Products

Professional Services

Transportation

Technology

Construction/Building

Real Estate/Property

Oil & Gas

Metal & Steel

Utility & Energy

Finance

$bn

India ECM Volume by Top 10 Sectors

1Q 2013 1Q 2014

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60

70

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2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

#$bn India ECM Volume

IPO FO Equity Linked #Deals

FICCI’s Data Centre

Page 79: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

79

Pos. Nationality Deal Value ($m) No. % Share1 China 25,976 153 44.72 Japan 12,666 66 21.83 Hong Kong 4,947 60 8.54 Australia 3,890 144 6.75 India 2,647 27 4.66 Malaysia 1,934 20 3.37 Taiwan 1,398 27 2.48 South Korea 1,281 21 2.29 Singapore 739 13 1.310 New Zealand 690 5 1.2

Pos. Bookrunner Parent Deal Value ($m) No. % Share1 JPMorgan 534 3 20.52 Citi 534 3 20.53 JMFinancial Ltd 302 1 11.64 Deutsche Bank 232 2 8.95 UBS 184 1 7.15 State Bank of India 184 1 7.15 HSBC 184 1 7.15 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 184 1 7.19 Credit Suisse 98 1 3.810 ICICI Bank 50 2 1.9

Pos. Industry Deal Value ($m) No. % Share1 Finance 2,290 6 86.52 Professional Services 146 2 5.53 Construction/Building 91 3 3.44 Telecommunications 37 1 1.45 Retail 37 1 1.46 Metal & Steel 26 3 1.07 Auto/Truck 13 1 0.58 Textile 3 3 0.19 Transportation 2 2 0.110 Consumer Products 1 2 0.1

AsiaPacific ECM Volume byNation 1Q 2014

India FOand Conv. Volume 1Q 2014

India ECM Volume by Industry 1Q 2014

Equity Capital Market Tables

FICCI’s Data Centre

Page 80: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

80

Equity Capital Market Tables

Pos. Bookrunner Parent Deal Value ($m) No. % Share1 JPMorgan 534 3 20.22 Citi 534 3 20.23 JMFinancial Ltd 302 1 11.44 Deutsche Bank 232 2 8.85 UBS 184 1 6.95 State Bank of India 184 1 6.95 HSBC 184 1 6.95 Bank ofAmerica Merrill Lynch 184 1 6.99 Credit Suisse 98 1 3.710 ICICI Bank 50 2 1.9

Pos. Bookrunner Parent Deal Value ($m) No. % Share1 JPMorgan 351 2 29.51 Citi 351 2 29.53 JMFinancial Ltd 302 1 25.44 Credit Suisse 98 1 8.25 Deutsche Bank 48 1 4.16 Goldman Sachs 37 1 3.17 AXIS Bank 1 1 0.18 Unique Stockbro Pvt Ltd 0 1 0.09 Frontline Securities Ltd 0 1 0.010 Hem Securities Ltd 0 1 0.0

Pos. Deal Sub Type Deal Value ($m) No. % Share1 FO Fully Marketed 1,378 3 52.12 FO Accelerated Bookbuild 1,188 8 44.93 IPO Fixed Price 45 11 1.74 FO Rights Offer 33 2 1.35 IPO Open Price 3 3 0.1

IndiaECM Volume 1Q 2014

IndiaBlock Trade Volume 1Q 2014

IndiaDeal Sub Type Volume 1Q 2014

FICCI’s Data Centre

Page 81: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

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India

Outbound M&A

Inbound M&A

Domestic M&A

Indian Government’s

Vodafone Group, Bharti Enterprises, Reliance Industries and Idea Cellular

Mergers & Acquisitions

Pos. Advisor Value $m #Deals % Share

1 Rothschild 3,456 2 18.82 Ernst & Young 1,617 3 8.83 JPMorgan 979 2 5.34 VTB Capital 796 1 4.34 Greenhill & Co 796 1 4.36 Barclays 281 1 1.57 Citi 222 2 1.28 Deutsche Bank 183 1 1.09 Standard Chartered Bank 169 2 0.99 Motilal Oswal Investment Advisers Pvt Ltd 169 3 0.9

IndiaAnnouncedM&A Advisory Ranking 1Q 2014

Pos. Nationality Value $m #Deals % Share

1 China 56,475 758 45.22 South Korea 21,177 207 17.03 India 18,399 238 14.74 Singapore 12,378 106 9.95 Hong Kong 8,069 91 6.56 Malaysia 2,910 155 2.37 Taiwan 2,023 31 1.68 Indonesia 1,417 51 1.19 Thailand 1,242 48 1.010 Philippines 426 37 0.3

Asia (Ex Japan, Australia, New Zealand)M&A Ranking by Target Nationality 1Q 2014

0

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2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

$bn India M&A Volume

Domestic Inbound Outbound

FICCI’s Data Centre

Page 82: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

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0

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2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

#$bn India Domestic Debt Maturity

#Deals

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2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

INR bn India Domestic Corporate vs FIG

Corp FIG

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2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

#$bn India International DCM

Corp FIG SSA #Deals

FICCI’s Data Centre

India DCM

Corporate IG Agency

Bank of Baroda Food Corp of India

Ltd.

Domestic DCM

International

Debt Capital Markets

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India loan

Leveraged

Investment grade

Oil & Gas

Aban Holding’s SBI,

Loan Markets

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35

40

45

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30

35

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

%$bn Proceeds for Refinancing as % of India Syndicated Loan Volume

Volume % Refinancing0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Healthcare

Textile

Transportation

Mining

Construction/Building

Chemicals

Utility & Energy

Metal & Steel

Oil & Gas

$bn

India Corporate Loan Volume by Sectors

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2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

#$bn India Loan Volume

Investment Grade Leveraged # Deals

FICCI’s Data Centre

Page 84: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

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Project Finance

Pos. Mandated Lead Arranger Value $m #Deals % Share

1 State Bank of India 5,516 15 61.02 IDFC Ltd 2,672 8 29.63 Axis Bank Ltd 160 1 1.84 ICICI Bank Ltd 140 1 1.55 Central Bank of India 84 3 0.96 Bank of India 61 2 0.77 HSBC Holdings plc 50 1 0.67 IDBI Trusteeship Services Ltd 50 1 0.67 Yes Bank Ltd 50 1 0.610 India Infrastructure Finance Co Ltd 44 3 0.5

IndiaProject Finance LoansRanking 1Q 2014

Pos. Mandated Lead Arranger Value $m #Deals % Share

1 Maxis Communications Bhd 2,133 2 19.01 Sindya Securities Investments Pvt Ltd 2,133 2 19.03 Bhushan Power & Steel Ltd 1,347 1 12.04 Tata Group 796 3 7.15 Bharti Enterprises Ltd 770 2 6.96 State ofWest Bengal 354 2 3.27 Abu Dhabi Water & Electricity Authority 302 1 2.77 IDFC Ltd 302 1 2.77 Public Sector Pension Investment Board 302 1 2.710 Vodafone Group plc 241 1 2.2

India Sponsor Ranking for Project Finance 1Q 2014

Financial Close Date Borrower Project Name Sector Value $m

29 Mar Aircel Ltd Aircel 2G, 3G and BWATelecom Project Capex Telecom 3,612

30 Dec Hindalco Industries Ltd Mahan Aluminium Smelter Complex Refinancing Processing plant 1,634

12 Mar Bhushan Power & Steel Ltd Rengali Integrated Steel Plant Phase VI Steel mill 1,347

14 Mar Jaiprakash Power Ventures Ltd KarchamWangtoo Hydro Projects PPP Refinancing Renewable fuel 905

26 Feb Maithon Power Ltd Maithon Power Project Capex and Refinancing Power 705

10 Mar Aircel Ltd Aircel Additional Financing and Refinancing Telecom 653

30 Jan ONGC Tripura Power Co Ltd 726.6MW Palatana Gas Based Thermal Power Plant Refinancing Power 647

21 Jan Bharti Airtel Ltd Bharti Additional Telecom Spectrum Project Telecom 456

14 Feb Bharti Airtel Ltd Idea Cellular Additional Telecom Spectrum Project Telecom 314

30 Jan HPCL Mittal Energy Ltd Guru Gobind Singh HPCL Mittal Refinery Expansion Oil Refinery/LNG and LPG Plants 256

Top 10 Indian Project Finance Deals 1Q 2014

FICCI’s Data Centre

Page 85: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

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IB Revenue

India IB revenue

Syndicated Loan fees

DCM revenue

M&A fees

ECM fees

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#$m India Investment Banking Revenue

DCM ECM Loan M&A #Deals

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2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

%$m Asia (ex Japan) IB Revenue

India as % of Asia(ex Japan) as % total IB

FICCI’s Data Centre

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FICCI’s Data Centre

Page 87: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

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FICCI’s Data Centre

Page 88: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

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Synopsis of Past EventsInteractive Sessions with Ministry of Finance (MoF) & Forward

Interactive session with Dr. K P Krishnan, Additional Secretary, Department of Economic Affairs & Mr. Ramesh Abhishek, Chairman, Forward Markets Commission

Interactive Session on Foreign Investment and Tax issues

Financial Sector Events

Page 89: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

Please contact:Dr. Jayashree Jakhade

Page 90: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

10th - 11th July, 2014

2nd Financial Sector ConclaveFINSEC 2014

Infrastructure FinancingFinancing of Agri Value ChainFamily Constitutions/Codes, Disputes and Dispute Resolution in Family BusinessMSME FinancingBusiness Transition Issues during GenerationalControl Change

Role of Credit Rating AgenciesPSL and Banking SectorRe-InsuranceFinancial Markets and Consumer ProtectionCritical Discussion on the Nachiket Mor Committee Report

Ms. Sukanya Sundar

Mr. Arindam Goswami

Key Session

Mr. Ravi Kiran

Mr. Anil Kumar

Page 91: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

Why Partner with FICCI

If already with Ficci, read on to know what else awaits you:

For FICCI’s Membership and anyFeedback/Comments/Subscription& Advertisements in Financial Foresights

Mr. Apoorv SrivastavaEditor-Financial Foresights

INDUSTRY’S VOICE FOR POLICY CHANGE

Page 92: Disinvestment-Boon or Bane to Economy

FEDERATION OF INDIAN CHAMBERS OF COMMERCE AND INDUSTRY

Financial Sector DivisionFederation House, 1 Tansen Marg, New Delhi - 110 001

FICCI’s Corporate Identity Number (CIN): U99999DL1956NPL002635


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