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Distressed Sales, March 2015

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The CALIFORNIA ASSOCATION OF REALTORS® reported the share of equity sales – or non-distressed property sales – climbed in March to make up 91 percent of all home sales.
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DISTRESSED SALES PRESS RELEASE April 23, 2015
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  • DISTRESSEDSALESPRESS RELEASE

    April 23, 2015

  • SHARE OF EQUITY SALES HAS REMAINED NEAR 90%SINCE THE MID OF 2014

    91.0%

    3.8%4.8%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    Jan-

    09

    Apr

    -09

    Jul-0

    9

    Oct

    -09

    Jan-

    10

    Apr

    -10

    Jul-1

    0

    Oct

    -10

    Jan-

    11

    Apr

    -11

    Jul-1

    1

    Oct

    -11

    Jan-

    12

    Apr

    -12

    Jul-1

    2

    Oct

    -12

    Jan-

    13

    Apr

    -13

    Jul-1

    3

    Oct

    -13

    Jan-

    14

    Apr

    -14

    Jul-1

    4

    Oct

    -14

    Jan-

    15

    Equity Sales Short Sale REO

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • NINE OF TEN SALES WERE EQUITY SALES

    REOs, 4.8%

    Short Sales,3.8%

    OtherDistressed Sales(Not Specified),

    0.4%

    Equity Sales,91.0%

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    California: Mar 2015

  • SHARE OF EQUITY SALES HAS REMAINED NEAR 90%SINCE THE MID OF 2014

    5% 4%

    91%

    6% 5%

    89%

    5% 7%

    88%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    REOs Short Sales Equity Sales

    Mar-15 Feb-15 Mar-14

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • Type of Sale Mar-15 Feb-15 Mar-14

    Equity Sales 91.0% 89.1% 87.5%

    Total Distressed Sales 9.0% 10.9% 12.5%

    REOs 4.8% 6.0% 5.4%

    Short Sales 3.8% 4.5% 6.6%

    Other Distressed Sales (Not Specified) 0.4% 0.5% 0.5%

    All Sales 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

    SHARE OF SHORT SALES DIPPED TOTHE LOWEST LEVEL SINCE EARLY 2008

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • DISTRESSED SALES

    Percent of Total Sales, Bay Area: March 2015

    4%5%

    2%

    5%

    2%1%

    2%

    11%

    5%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    Alameda ContraCosta

    Marin Napa SanFrancisco

    San Mateo SantaClara

    Solano Sonoma

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • DISTRESSED SALES

    Percent of Total Sales, Southern California: March 2015

    8%

    4%

    12%

    14%

    5%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    14%

    16%

    Los Angeles Orange Riverside San Bernardino San Diego

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • DISTRESSED SALES

    Percent of Total Sales, Central Valley: March 2015

    14%

    21%

    11% 12%

    7%8%

    13%15% 14%

    18%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • DISTRESSED SALES

    Percent of Total Sales, Rest of California: March 2015

    9%

    13%

    6%

    10%

    14%12%

    9%

    0%

    7%6%

    4%

    14%

    24%

    3%

    15%

    11%

    7%

    15%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • County Mar-15 Feb-15 Mar-14

    Alameda 4% 6% 6%

    Amador 9% 0% 30%

    Butte 13% 15% 19%

    Calaveras 6% 13% 18%

    Contra Costa 5% 7% 9%

    El Dorado 10% 13% 15%

    Fresno 14% 16% 22%

    Glenn 14% 36% 38%

    Humboldt 12% 14% 17%

    Kern NA 13% 17%

    Kings 21% 22% 28%

    Lake 9% 18% 27%

    Los Angeles 8% 10% 13%

    Madera 11% 14% 14%

    SHARE OF DISTRESSED SALES BY COUNTY

    Percent of Total Sales: 1 of 3

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • SHARE OF DISTRESSED SALES BY COUNTY

    Percent of Total Sales: 2 of 3County Mar-15 Feb-15 Mar-14

    Marin 2% 3% 6%Mariposa 0% 0% 27%

    Mendocino 15% 17% 14%Merced 12% 17% 17%

    Monterey 7% 9% 10%Napa 5% 8% 13%

    Orange 4% 6% 7%Placer 7% 8% 11%

    Plumas 27% 16% 40%Riverside 12% 13% 14%

    Sacramento 13% 15% 17%San Benito 8% 7% 9%

    San Bernardino 14% 15% 21%San Diego 5% 7% 4%

    San Francisco 2% 4% 5%

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • SHARE OF DISTRESSED SALES BY COUNTY

    Percent of Total Sales: 3 of 3County Mar-15 Feb-15 Mar-14

    San Joaquin 15% 16% 20%San Luis Obispo 6% 6% 7%

    San Mateo 1% 1% 4%Santa Clara 2% 2% 5%Santa Cruz 4% 5% 9%

    Shasta 14% 23% 20%Siskiyou 24% 29% 28%Solano 11% 15% 19%

    Sonoma 5% 11% 9%Stanislaus 14% 14% 15%

    Sutter 11% 17% 23%Tulare 18% 21% 21%Yolo 7% 14% 14%Yuba 15% 23% 23%

    California 9% 11% 13%

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • REO & SHORT SALES

    Percent of Total Sales, Bay Area: March 2015

    2%4%

    1%

    4%

    1% 1% 1%

    6%

    2%

    2%

    1%

    0%

    2%

    1%0%

    1%

    5%

    3%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    Alameda ContraCosta

    Marin Napa SanFrancisco

    San Mateo SantaClara

    Solano Sonoma

    REO Sales Short Sales

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • REO & SHORT SALES

    Percent of Total Sales, Southern California: March 2015

    3%1%

    7%

    9%

    2%

    5%

    2%

    5%

    4%

    2%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    14%

    16%

    Los Angeles Orange Riverside San Bernardino San Diego

    REO Sales Short Sales

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • REO & SHORT SALES

    Percent of Total Sales, Central Valley: March 2015

    9%

    14%

    9% 7%4%

    7%

    2%

    8% 8%

    13%

    5%

    6%

    2% 4%

    3%

    6%

    6%

    6%6%

    6%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25% REO Sales Short Sales

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • REO & SHORT SALES

    Percent of Total Sales, Rest of California: March 2015

    9% 9%4%

    6% 7%9% 9%

    0%

    15%

    4%

    20%

    3% 3%

    13%

    24%

    9%

    3%

    13%0%

    3%

    1%

    4%7% 3% 0%

    0%

    0%

    4%

    7%

    3% 1%

    1%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    1%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30% REO Sales Short Sales

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • REO SALES BY COUNTY

    Percent of Total Sales: 1 of 3County Mar-15 Feb-15 Mar-14

    Alameda 2% 2% 3%

    Amador 9% 0% 20%

    Butte 9% 11% 16%

    Calaveras 4% 11% 13%

    Contra Costa 4% 3% 5%

    El Dorado 6% 6% 6%

    Fresno 9% 11% 13%

    Glenn 7% 7% 25%

    Humboldt 9% 8% 11%

    Kern NA 6% 9%

    Kings 14% 15% 15%

    Lake 9% 13% 15%

    Los Angeles 3% 3% 3%

    Madera 9% 10% 8%

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • REO SALES BY COUNTY

    Percent of Total Sales: 2 of 3County Mar-15 Feb-15 Mar-14

    Marin 1% 3% 2%Mariposa 0% 0% 9%

    Mendocino 15% 14% 12%Merced 7% 11% 6%

    Monterey 4% 6% 4%Napa 4% 6% 6%

    Orange 1% 1% 1%Placer 4% 4% 4%

    Plumas 20% 16% 35%Riverside 7% 8% 5%

    Sacramento 7% 8% 8%San Benito 2% 5% 0%

    San Bernardino 9% 10% 12%San Diego 2% 3% 3%

    San Francisco 1% 3% 2%

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • REO SALES BY COUNTY

    Percent of Total Sales: 3 of 3County Mar-15 Feb-15 Mar-14

    San Joaquin 8% 10% 10%San Luis Obispo 3% 2% 3%

    San Mateo 1% 0% 1%Santa Clara 1% 1% 1%Santa Cruz 3% 5% 3%

    Shasta 13% 20% 17%Siskiyou 24% 29% 28%Solano 6% 9% 9%

    Sonoma 2% 5% 2%Stanislaus 8% 9% 7%

    Sutter 9% 12% 8%Tulare 13% 14% 13%Yolo 3% 7% 9%Yuba 13% 18% 20%

    California 5% 6% 5%

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • SHORT SALES BY COUNTY

    Percent of Total Sales: 1 of 3County Mar-15 Feb-15 Mar-14

    Alameda 2% 4% 4%

    Amador 0% 0% 10%

    Butte 3% 3% 3%

    Calaveras 1% 2% 5%

    Contra Costa 1% 3% 4%

    El Dorado 4% 6% 8%

    Fresno 5% 5% 9%

    Glenn 7% 21% 13%

    Humboldt 3% 6% 7%

    Kern NA 6% 8%

    Kings 6% 7% 13%

    Lake 0% 4% 12%

    Los Angeles 5% 6% 8%

    Madera 2% 3% 6%

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • SHORT SALES BY COUNTY

    Percent of Total Sales: 2 of 3County Mar-15 Feb-15 Mar-14

    Marin 0% 0% 4%Mariposa 0% 0% 18%

    Mendocino 0% 3% 2%Merced 4% 6% 10%

    Monterey 4% 3% 7%Napa 2% 2% 7%

    Orange 2% 4% 5%Placer 3% 4% 7%

    Plumas 7% 0% 5%Riverside 5% 5% 8%

    Sacramento 6% 6% 8%San Benito 6% 2% 9%

    San Bernardino 4% 4% 8%San Diego 2% 3% 1%

    San Francisco 1% 1% 3%

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • SHORT SALES BY COUNTY

    Percent of Total Sales: 3 of 3County Mar-15 Feb-15 Mar-14

    San Joaquin 6% 6% 10%San Luis Obispo 3% 4% 3%

    San Mateo 0% 1% 2%Santa Clara 1% 1% 4%Santa Cruz 1% 1% 5%

    Shasta 1% 4% 3%Siskiyou 0% 0% 0%Solano 5% 6% 10%

    Sonoma 3% 5% 7%Stanislaus 6% 5% 8%

    Sutter 2% 5% 15%Tulare 6% 7% 8%Yolo 4% 7% 4%Yuba 1% 5% 3%

    California 4% 5% 7%

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • MEDIAN PRICE OF EQUITY SALESIN MARCH NEAR RECENT HIGH

    $0

    $50,000

    $100,000

    $150,000

    $200,000

    $250,000

    $300,000

    $350,000

    $400,000

    $450,000

    $500,000Ja

    n-09

    Apr

    -09

    Jul-0

    9

    Oct

    -09

    Jan-

    10

    Apr

    -10

    Jul-1

    0

    Oct

    -10

    Jan-

    11

    Apr

    -11

    Jul-1

    1

    Oct

    -11

    Jan-

    12

    Apr

    -12

    Jul-1

    2

    Oct

    -12

    Jan-

    13

    Apr

    -13

    Jul-1

    3

    Oct

    -13

    Jan-

    14

    Apr

    -14

    Jul-1

    4

    Oct

    -14

    Jan-

    15

    Equity Sales Short Sale REO

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • GROWTH IN HOME PRICES SLOWED DOWNSIGNIFICANTLY SINCE EARLY 2014

    -20%

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    Jan-

    10

    Apr

    -10

    Jul-1

    0

    Oct

    -10

    Jan-

    11

    Apr

    -11

    Jul-1

    1

    Oct

    -11

    Jan-

    12

    Apr

    -12

    Jul-1

    2

    Oct

    -12

    Jan-

    13

    Apr

    -13

    Jul-1

    3

    Oct

    -13

    Jan-

    14

    Apr

    -14

    Jul-1

    4

    Oct

    -14

    Jan-

    15

    Equity Sales Short Sale REO

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    yty% chg. in Price

  • UNSOLD INVENTORY INDEX

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    Equity Sales Short Sales REO Sales

    3.7

    5.9

    2.4

    SERIES: Distressed Unsold Inventory Index, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    UNSOLD INVENTORY INDEX (MONTHS)

    California: Mar 2015

  • ACTIVE LISTINGS REMAINED AT LOW LEVELS

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    Equity Sales Short Sales REO Sales

    2.52.2

    1.4

    SERIES: Distressed Unsold Inventory Index, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    UNSOLD INVENTORY INDEX (MONTHS)

    California: Mar 2015

  • UNSOLD INVENTORY INDEX DECLINED SHARPLYFROM FEBRUARY AS SALES SURGED IN MARCH

    0.0

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    5.0

    6.0

    7.0

    8.0

    9.0

    Aug

    -11

    Oct

    -11

    Dec

    -11

    Feb-

    12

    Apr

    -12

    Jun-

    12

    Aug

    -12

    Oct

    -12

    Dec

    -12

    Feb-

    13

    Apr

    -13

    Jun-

    13

    Aug

    -13

    Oct

    -13

    Dec

    -13

    Feb-

    14

    Apr

    -14

    Jun-

    14

    Aug

    -14

    Oct

    -14

    Dec

    -14

    Feb-

    15

    Equity Sales Short Sales REO

    SERIES: Distressed Months Supply of Inventory, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    UNSOLD INVENTORY INDEX (MONTHS)

  • -40%

    -30%

    -20%

    -10%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    Equity Sales Short Sales REO Sales

    16%

    -35%

    -2%

    DISTRESSED SALES CONTINUED TO DECLINE,ESPECIALLY FOR SHORT SALES

    (% Change in Sales Year toYear)

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • DISTRESSED SALES CONTINUED TO DECLINE,ESPECIALLY FOR SHORT SALES

    16.29%

    -34.79%

    -2.25%

    -80%

    -60%

    -40%

    -20%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60% Equity Sales Short Sales REO Sales

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    yty% chg in sales

  • DISTRESSED SALES

    Percent of Total Sales: Mar 2015

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    Mar-15 Jan-09

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • DISTRESSED SALES

    Percent of Total Sales, Southern California: Mar 2015

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    CA Los Angeles Orange Riverside San Bernardino

    9.0% 8.3%4.2%

    11.8% 13.7%

    69.5%62.4% 60.3%

    79.4% 81.9%

    Mar-15 Jan-09

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • DISTRESSED SALES

    Percent of Total Sales, Central Valley: Mar 2015

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    9.0% 14.3% 6.7%12.8%

    7.8%14.7% 14.5% 18.3%

    69.5%

    84.2%

    68.1%

    85.6% 89.5%93.0% 93.6%

    45.8%

    Mar-15 Jan-09

    SERIES: Distressed Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS


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