+ All Categories
Home > Documents > Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO...

Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO...

Date post: 09-Jul-2020
Category:
Upload: others
View: 8 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
26
Deltares – Utrecht University – Geological Survey of the Netherlands Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens, Michiel J. Van der Meulen, Hans Middelkoop As published in Hydrogeology Journal, 2016
Transcript
Page 1: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

Deltares – Utrecht University – Geological Survey of the Netherlands

Double Trouble: subsidence and CO2respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutchcoastal peatland cultivation

Gilles Erkens, Michiel J. Van der Meulen, Hans Middelkoop

As published in Hydrogeology Journal, 2016

Page 2: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

24 mei 2016

Swampy areas

Page 3: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

Berendsen 2005

The peaty history of The Netherlands

Orange - coastal peats

Brown - upland peats

after Visscher 1949

Palaeogeography800 A.D.Vos (2010)

Page 4: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

24 mei 201624 mei 2016

What happened with The Netherlands?

Photo: H.J.A. BerendsenPhoto: G. Erkens

BEFORE AFTER

Photo: D. HendriksPhoto: G. Erkens

Page 5: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

Berendsen 2005

The history of human impact in Dutch peatlands

1: Drainage

2: Excavation

Page 6: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

After Wetenschappelijke Atlas van Nederland

Drainage of peat causes subsidence

Drainage = oxidation of peat = land surface loweringVan de Ven, 1993

900 AD

1050 AD

1250 AD

2000 AD

Page 7: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

24 mei 2016

Drainage and mining of peat bogs

Zoning

A- drained

B- Excavated andreclaimed

C- Excavated andnot reclaimed

Page 8: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

24 mei 2016

Research question and Approach

Research question: How much land subsidence occurred due to drainage andexcavation during the last 1000 years?

Essential information:i) Elevation of current land surfaceii) Elevation of land surface 1000 years ago

Main presumption:All land elevated presently under MSL used to be elevated at or above MSL.

Page 9: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

24 mei 2016

Input 1: elevation of current land surface

Input data: digital elevation model ofThe Netherlands (AHN)

• Laser altimetry data (LIDAR)• Nation-wide• High-resolution of 1 x 1 x 0.05 m

We excluded:i) Upland peatlands

(above 1 m + MSL1000)ii) Areas of open wateriii) Lowland with no peat in

subsurfaceiv) Tectonic subsidence

(30 cm in 1000 years)

Disclaimer:All estimates and assumptions in this studyare conservative!

Van de Plassche,1982

MSL1000 =

~ 0.3 m -MSL

Page 10: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

24 mei 2016

Input 2: elevation of land surface 1000 AD

Input:palaeogeographical and

palaeobotanical reconstructions• Based on core-derived and

historical information• Nation-wide• Low resolution

Two types of peat are distinguished:i) Domes (bogs)

(elevated 2 m + MSL1000)ii) Planes (fens)

(elevated 0.8 m + MSL1000)

Subsidence calculations:Subtracting present-day land surface from

the 1000 AD land surface

Peat bogs and fens 800 A.D.after Pons (1992)

Page 11: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

24 mei 2016

Results (i): total subsidence

Subsidence values because ofanthropogenic land use:

i. On average: 2.0 mii. Maximal: ~8-10 m

This resulted in:i. 56 % of the Dutch coastal plain

being below MSLii. The need for continuous pumpingiii. Reversal of drainage systems

Steps to obtain CO2 respiration:i. Calculate lost volume of peatii. Calculate carbon content of the lost

peat (using bulk density)

Page 12: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

24 mei 2016

Results (ii): volumes

Landscape type Area(km2)

Height(m)

Volume(km3)

Older peat (below MSL1000) 6661 - 8.3Bogs(above MSL1000)

best estimate 4360 2 8.6range - 1 - 4 4.1 – 15.7

Fens(above MSL1000)

best estimate 3534 0.8 2.9range - 0.5 – 1.5 2.1 – 6.0

Total best estimate 7895 - 19.8range - - 14.5 – 30.0

Total volume of peat lost by anthropogenic land use : ~20 km3

Page 13: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

Subsidence ≠ CO2 emission

Loss of Volume because of 3 components:1. combustion (in furnaces)2. erosion of ditch banks after peat digging3. drainage of peatlands

Drainage starts 3 processes:1. shrinkage (negligible at longer time scales)2. compaction (consolidation, creep)3. oxidation

Volume loss due to drainage ≠ volume loss due to oxidation

Page 14: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

24 mei 2016

Peat Mining sites

Dominant process

In area:- 15 % mining- 85 % drainage

In volume:- 34 % mining- 66 % drainage

Page 15: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

24 mei 2016

Input 3: Bulk density valuesOrganic matter mass per m3 from subsurface samples (n = 664)

Data from S. van Asselen, W.Z. Hoek, UU, Deltares, and TNO

Page 16: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

24 mei 2016

Input 4: Consolidation vs Oxidation

Page 17: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

24 mei 2016

Total CO2 respiration

Soil carbon released during the past 1000 years:0.83 Gton (1012 kg) (0.55 – 1.56Gton)

CO2 emitted to atmosphere* by land use in the Netherlands in 1000 year:3.07 Gton (1012 kg) (2.02 – 5.72 Gton)

* 1 kg soil carbon = 3.67 kg atmospheric CO2

The increase of atmospheric CO2 concentration is 0.39 ppmv** Net increase may have been lower due to uptake of CO2 by the worlds oceans and biosphere.

Page 18: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

24 mei 2016

The breathing of a coastal plain

Page 19: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

CO2 respiration: modern vs. historic

0,0

2,0

4,0

6,0

8,0

10,0

1650 1750 1859 1899 1970 2005

Mto

n

Current CO2 respiration due to drainage outranges historic combustion relatesrespiration!

NB values based on Gerding (1995)

COMBUSTION

DRAINAGE

Page 20: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

Urban Fieldworkin Kanis, Woerden

Page 21: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

Villages on peat

Constructions5 billion Euroso far, ~40miljard Euro till2050(theoreticalmaximum).Deltares 2012

Infrastructure:€ 0,25miljarillipn deuro per jaarextra(0,17 miljard

voor wegen enwater plus 0,08miljard voorriolering).

Page 22: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

24 mei 2016

Subsidence 2000-2050

30000.000000

30000.000000

80000.000000

80000.000000

130000.000000

130000.000000

180000.000000

180000.000000

230000.000000

230000.000000

3500

00.0

0000

040

0000

.000

000

4500

00.0

0000

0

4500

00.0

0000

0

5000

00.0

0000

0

5000

00.0

0000

0

5500

00.0

0000

0

5500

00.0

0000

0

6000

00.0

0000

0

Legendahnminstep5.img(m)

0 - 0.00001

0.00001 - 0.005

0.005 - 0.01

0.01 - 0.1

0.1 - 0.3

0.3 - 0.5

0.5 - 1

1.000000001 - 5

30000.000000

30000.000000

80000.000000

80000.000000

130000.000000

130000.000000

180000.000000

180000.000000

230000.000000

230000.000000

3500

00.0

0000

040

0000

.000

000

4500

00.0

0000

0

4500

00.0

0000

0

5000

00.0

0000

0

5000

00.0

0000

0

5500

00.0

0000

0

5500

00.0

0000

0

6000

00.0

0000

0

Legenddh014600dMosaicV2.img(m)

0 - 0.00001

0.00001 - 0.005

0.005 - 0.01

0.01 - 0.1

0.1 - 0.3

0.3 - 0.5

0.5 - 1

1.000000001 - 5

CLIMATE CHANGESCENARIO

At constant drainagedepth

Page 23: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

24 mei 2016

Subsidence Strategies

• Mitigation• Works for human-induced land subsidence• Technical: Diminish pumping, aquifer storage recovery, using lighter

building materials

• Adaptation• Works for natural and

remaining human-induced landsubsidence

• Technical:reintroducingsediment, build higherlevees

• Non-technical: betterspatial planning,governmentalembedding

Page 24: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

MeasuresADAPTATION

MITIGATION

Page 25: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

National Soil Deformation Database

Page 26: Double Trouble: subsidence and CO respiration due to 1,000 ... · Double Trouble: subsidence and CO 2 respiration due to 1,000-years of Dutch coastal peatland cultivation Gilles Erkens,

Double Trouble:subsidence and CO2 respirationdue to 1,000-years of Dutchcoastal peatland cultivationGilles Erkens et al.


Recommended