+ All Categories
Home > Documents > edible nuts 363 390 - ::Ministry of Agriculture …agritrade.iift.ac.in/html/Training/Product...

edible nuts 363 390 - ::Ministry of Agriculture …agritrade.iift.ac.in/html/Training/Product...

Date post: 27-May-2018
Category:
Upload: nguyendan
View: 213 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
29
Transcript

363

Asian countries have emerged as the world leaders in cashew production over past thirty

years. Cashew production in Asia currently accounts for about 50 percent of global

production. It has held this prime position for almost twenty years, reaching over 60 percent

in some years. India has long been the main cashew producer in Asia, accounting for

between 70 and 90 percent of total Asian production and about 40 percent of the

international market in cashew production. Other Asian countries, particularly Vietnam and

Indonesia, are beginning to expand their production capacities. Indonesia has long been the

second largest producer of cashew in Asia. Production has picked up over the decade, when

it doubled from 30,000 to 60,000 tons. Some of the Indonesian production is exported to

India for processing.

Currently, the four main cashew producing regions are India, Brazil, Nigeria and Tanzania.

Three countries - India, Mozambique and Tanzania accounted for the majority of this

production, while smaller industries had developed in Brazil, Kenya and several other

African countries. Production in Thailand, Malaysia and Sri Lanka has increased steadily

over the past forty years. Cashew is predominantly a smallholder crop in India – about 70

percent of cashews are grown by small-scale farmers. The remaining 30 percent are grown

under re-forestation programs. Cashew yields in India average around 1.5 kg of nuts per

tree.

Cashews rank third in world production of edible nuts that are traded globally. World trade

in edible nuts has experienced relatively rapid growth. Of the total world supply, 110 000

tons are traded on international markets. India (60 percent) and Brazil (31 percent) are major

exporters. Let’s check the export market scenario for Cashew exports from the state of

Andhra.

Cashew nuts Fresh or Dried, in shellCashew nuts Fresh or Dried, in shellCashew nuts Fresh or Dried, in shellCashew nuts Fresh or Dried, in shell [080131[080131[080131[080131 & 080132 & 080132 & 080132 & 080132]]]]

364

Trend in Exports of Cashew nuts

Cashew has gained significant economic and social importance in India as a major foreign

exchange earner. In 1992-93, India exported 53 436 tons of cashew kernels valued at US$160

million. In the same year, a further US $0.8 million was generated through the sale of 4 258

tons of cashew nut shell liquid. India has long been the world’s largest supplier of cashew

kernels with its prices and quality, setting the standards for the industry.

One look the data of India’s export of Cashew nut in shell to the world and partner nations

reveals a very erratic trade pattern in this commodity. The trade in this commodity virtually

lasted till the year 2003, with very irregular trade in the forthcoming years. There is an

exception for the year of 2007 where the value of exports reached the highest figure for the

period under consideration. However, the same could not be sustained, possibly due to the

global economic crisis that soon ensued and the exports in 2008 reduced to one-sixth of

previous level.Exports of Cashew nuts in shell was much better off in overall growth over

last five years than broken cashew nut, however in absolute terms, exports of broken

cashewnut is much higher than the cashew nut in shell and declining trend for last five

years.

Exports of Cashew nuts for last five years (2003-2008)

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 CAGR

Cashewnut dried in shell 34.726 474.76 3518.886 5425.029 927.723 127%

Cashewnut broken 491685.1 617752 543832.2 530014 667107.3 14%

Roasted Cashewnut 1545.541 2386.617 4853.834 5355.921 6564.337 28.60

Trend in exports in Cashew nut in Shell Trend in exports in Broken Cashew

365

Revealed Comparative Advantage of Cashew nut

RCA

Year Cashew in Shell Broken Cashew Roasted Cashew

2003 14.74 38.21 0.62

2004 0.06 22.85 0.40

2005 0.15 21.91 0.30

2006 0.13 23.01 0.54

2007 1.95 21.16 0.62

2008 0.12 27.45 0.52

India had a strong comparative advantage in Cashew exports in 2003 but it has lost the

competition in the international market since then. The RCA for the year 2003 is at an all

time highest of 14.74 in case of Cashew in shell and 38.21 in broken cashew which showed a

very high level of market acceptance for this commodity originating from India. Thereafter,

the competitive strength in this commodity simply lost ground and the RCA dropped in

both varieties of cashew. For the year 2007, the RCA gained ground and reached a level of

1.95, showing a more competitive Indian export of shelled cashew than that from the rest of

the world. Comparative advantage of roasted cashew is least amongst all varieties of cashew

exported from the country.

This decline in the comparative advantage is perhaps due to the fact that cashew is the only

major plantation crop that is not regulated by an autonomous board. Other plantations

crops, such as tea, coffee, cardamom and rubber all have efficient and autonomous boards,

and as a result have experienced much faster growth in productivity than cashew.

Cashew in Shell

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

14.00

16.00

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Cashew in Shell

Broken Cashew

0 .0 0

5.0 0

10 .0 0

15.0 0

2 0 .0 0

2 5.0 0

3 0 .0 0

3 5.0 0

4 0 .0 0

4 5.0 0

2 0 0 3 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8

B ro ken C ashew

366

Cashew is one of the most neglected plantation crops in India despite its status as a major

source of foreign exchange. However, throughout the years, broken cashew has a better

comparative advantage as compared to the cashew in shell.

Major Markets

The United States is the largest importer of cashew kernels, accounting for over 50 percent of

world imports. Other importers include the Netherlands (ten percent), Germany (seven

percent), Japan (five percent) and the United Kingdom (five percent). The former Soviet

Union was previously a major importer of cashew kernels, but with recent economic

changes, trade to this part of the world has diminished. Other emerging markets include the

Middle East, South East Asia and Australia. However, out of these, the only two markets

which India could make slight presence is in Vietnam and UK. Actually, cashew production

in Vietnam has increased quite rapidly over the last decade. Vietnam now accounts for about

6 percent of total Asian production, and is the third largest cashew producer in Asia.

Previously, many of the raw nuts were exported to India for processing, to make good the

short-fall that India experienced when East African supplies dried up. Now, however,

Vietnam has about 60 processing plants, with a capacity of 220 000 tons of raw nuts. Annual

cashew production is often less than this and Vietnam has become an importer of raw nuts

from East and West Africa and South East Asia.

Major Markets for Broken Cashew nut (US$ mn)

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 CAGR

UAE 19458.946 29248.343 37666.039 44127.509 59286.15 91096.845 36.17

Japan 15323.062 22692.803 26970.817 17331.884 22746.875 32853.142 16.48

Netherlands 43001.071 59691.38 94646.136 88227.581 65861.781 78793.595 12.88

United States 169754.73 233685.08 249869.44 210762.05 193395.34 219456.72 5.27

United Kingdom 18047.18 27941.477 34779.118 23904.055 18357.716 19245.787 1.29

Major Markets for Cashew in shell (US$ mn)

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Vietnam 171.5 661.368 25922.77

UK 24.228 79.707 258.942 385.581 228.571 1157.258

Nepal 5.331 2.889 10.968 155.119 102.077

Bangladesh 0.235 4.424 1.427 28.178

367

Vietnam comes across as the single most important trading partner of India for 080131 which

alone accounts for 95% of India’s exports of cashew nuts (in shell) on an average. However,

trade with Vietnam started only in 2005 and reached the highest figure of USD 26 million,

accounting for 98.5% in that year.

In Europe, India has been the preferred supplier, with long standing trading relationships

based on confidence in product quality and on fast and regular deliveries. India has more

than 150 cashew kernel shippers, many of whom have offices in Europe and the United

States. Most cashew kernels exported form India are plain kernels packed in four gallon

prime cans, flushed with carbon dioxide, and having a net weight of 11.34 kg (25 lb). These

cans are encased in cardboard cartons. Global pricing is generally quoted in US dollars per

pound or per kilogram of nuts. United Kingdom accounts for 3% share on an average and

also has consistently increasing trend in exports with a CAGR of 117% since 2003. Nepal too,

showed an increased trade in this product with India where exports surged to more than 30

times in 2007 from 2003 figures. Bangladesh has the lowest share among India’s top markets

for 080131. But in recent years, it shows an increasing trend and possibly the trend

momentum will continue.While analyzing the top markets, it is also important to look at the

consistency of these markets over the years so that a rational decision by the exporter can be

taken, and hence, we look at the market fluctuation chart:

Market Fluctuations of Major Export Markets

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

France Japan

United

States Vietnam Vietnam United States

Japan Korea, Rep. Lebanon Sri Lanka Nepal Sri Lanka

United States

United

States Korea, Rep. Nepal Netherlands

United

Kingdom

United

Kingdom Maldives Qatar

United

Kingdom

United

Kingdom Sweden

Netherlands Kuwait Germany Mauritius France France

368

As is clear from above, the market for this product is highly volatile with no consistent

dominant top markets. United Kingdom and United States are the only countries that feature

in 4 out of the 6 preceding years among the top 5 market destinations for India’s cashews.

Infact, most of the above countries feature on this list even on account of abysmal exports to

them.

Trade Intensity Index with identified export markets

Trade Intensity Index for Roasted Cashew nut

We see that while the major markets where the bilateral trade strength is high for the state

exporters to target are Vietnam and UK in case of Shelled Cashew nut and Japan, UK and

Netherlands in case of broken cashew. Our high comparative advantage in broken cashew

nuts is depicted in a better trade intensity index in all the markets for broken cashew as

compared to the shelled cashew nuts and roasted cashewnuts. UK is the only market for all

varieties of cashew nuts.

Trade Intensity Index for Shelled Cashew nuts

Year Nepal UK Vietnam Bangladesh

2003 1.90 61.17 1.83

2004 1.24

2005 2.40 0.47 2.33

2006 2.28 1.85 19.10 1.99

2007 2.77 4.49 13.35

2008 2.31 10.43 2.59

Trade Intensity Index for Broken Cashew nut

Year USA Netherlands UAE UK Japan

2003 13.72 33.78 11.71 48.39 65.83

2004 8.15 18.04 8.07 30.20 40.27

2005 9.20 13.96 5.99 25.35 36.17

2006 10.60 13.79 6.77 23.94 46.63

2007 11.20 12.13 4.45 17.51 42.47

2008 13.21 16.34 3.54 28.91 39.13

Kuwait Malaysia UAE UK USA

2003 16.70 1.11 1.11 0.99 1.26

2004 2.46 1.37 0.57 0.91 0.39

2005 7.17 0.13 0.70 0.39 0.83

2006 10.78 2.37 1.73 0.75 0.38

2007 13.41 5.19 1.52 0.94 0.54

2008 10.50 3.27 1.96 0.97 0.60

369

Competitor’s analysis

This analysis further helps us to shortlist the market on the basis of competing position of

India in the identified markets. This is done on the basis of share of India in total imports of

cashew in the country and our trade intensity index vis- a-vis competitors TII with the

export market. This becomes important because although India could have a high trade

intensity, its closest competitors could have even an higher trade intensity with the partner

country, and this could pose significant threats to the Indian exporters in those markets.

The following pie chart lists down all the competitor countries for India’s export of 080131 in

its markets along with the market share each of them commands amongst themselves. Please

note that the market share listed is relative to the 5 countries specifically and not relative to

all the countries exporting 080131 to it, however insignificant they might be.

United Kingdom

The chart above shows that the largest percentage share in UK is commanded by Nigeria

which also a higher TII with UK for 080131. Thus, Nigeria is the market leader and the

toughest competitor for India.

370

India and United States both have a share of 19% exports into UK market for 080131.

However, US has the highest TII of nearly 17 with UK. This means that in 2008, percentage

share of cashews (in shell) (080131) in total exports of edible fruits, nuts, peel of citrus etc.

(HS 08) from US to UK was 17 times more than that of rest of the world. The same figure for

India is second lowest at 10.72. A point to be noted is that United States itself is a major

importer of cashews from India. This possibly implies that the cashews exported from India

into US finally find their way to UK.

Kenya, which has a share of only 6% has TII of close to India’s, at 10.27. This suggests that

Kenya is poised to command a greater share in the future and is as competitive as India in

this market.

The table shows the TII of India for the year 2008

along with its major competitors in the Vietnamese

market. Netherlands has the highest TII followed by

United States and Nigeria respectively. This indicates

that the competition in the UK market for India is

very high and there is possibility of India’s share

being eaten up its competitors if something goes

wrong.

Vietnam

The major exporters of 080131 in Vietnam are (2008 data):

Competitors TIINigeria 11.72824India 10.72293Netherlands 17.8592Kenya 10.27859United States 16.83616

United Kingdom

371

The largest exporter of fresh or dried, in-shell cashews, to Vietnam is Cote d’Ivorie that has a

63% share compared to other 3 exporters. This is followed by Nigeria which again has a 29%

share and a good TII. Nigeria was also a competitor of India in the UK market. Ghana has

the highest TII with Vietnam and has an 8% share of exports.

India’s trade with Vietnam in 080131 was nil in 2008

while its competitors in the market had a TII of

close to 5.9. However, in 2006 and 2007, India’s TII

with Vietnam was 19 and 16 respectively which is

phenomenally higher than the levels of 6 that the

competitors have.

For both Nepal and Bangladesh, India was the only exporter of 080131 in 2008 and therefore,

has no competitor. This gives India an immense potential to increase the exports should the

demand in these export markets increase, as the increase will entirely be met by Indian

exporters.

Analysis of Relative Competitive Advantage vis-a-vis competitors in export destinations

for India in 2008

The Relative Competitive Advantage (RCA)of the competitors into the export destination

measures the relative share of exports of dried or fresh, in-shell cashews in exports of edible

fruits, nuts, mango peels etc. vis-à-vis the similar share of cashews for all the competitors

countries only. This figure takes a closer look at the competitive scenario amongst the top

competitors identified for each market, ignoring the rest of the world.

Competitors TIICote d'Ivoire 5.858968Ghana 5.889106India 0Nigeria 4.573321

Vietnam

372

United Kingdom

India has an RCA of below 1 which indicates a weakened position compared to other

competitors, but which also indicates a far greater potential to increase exports. Netherlands

clearly leads the pack mainly because of its large share in the market and highest TII. Its

share of 080131 amongst the 5 countries is 1.4 times its share of 08 amongst the given

countries. Similarly, United States is another tough competitor, hard to come close to. India

is sandwiched between Nigeria and Kenya and both of these, thus, emerge as closest

competitors for India.

Vietnam

373

In Vietnam, the trade in in-shell cashews is led by Cote d’Ivorie and Ghana. India had no

trade in 2008, however, its trade in 2006 and 2007 was much greater than these competitors

and so they posed no significant threat to it in those years.

Tariff and Non Tariff Barriers for 080131 in identified markets

Amongst the four identified markets for Indian in-shell, fresh and dried cashews,

Bangladesh, Nepal and Vietnam have import tariffs as well as other tariffs.

Import Tariffs

Bangladesh imposes an import duty of 25% MFN basis on the imports of this product into

its markets. Bangladesh also has several other Tariffs that bare levied, as below:

Tariff description Tariff rate

Statutory Rates 100

MFN Rates (General exemption) 25

Infrastructural surcharge 2.5

Value added tax 15

Nepal imposes an MFN duty of 10% on this product.

Vietnam currently imposes a customs duty of 30% on this product.

UK does not have any tariffs on the import of this product.

None of the markets identified had any non-tariff barriers on the export of 080131 into their

boundaries.

Free Trade Agreement/Preferential Trade Agreement

Amongst the four destination markets namely, Vietnam, United Kingdom, Bangladesh and

Nepal, India does not hold any Free Trade or Preferential Trade Agreement with any of

them.

Tariff Rate Quota Structure & Tariff Escalation

No tariff quotas are applied in any of the export destinations for fresh or dried in-shell

cashews. Also, since this is a primary product, there is no concern for tariff escalation.

374

Subsidy Structure in identified markets

Various Governments give different types of export and domestic production subsidies to

the manufacturers or exporters of certain products. These subsidies are usually seen as

trade-distorting and they can cause damage to a potential exporter into these markets by

making his products uncompetitive. None of the identified markets have any subsidies

specific to this product. However, there are subsidies provided on a blanket basis to all the

agricultural products for United Kingdom and Bangladesh.

Non-Product Specific Subsidies

United Kingdom provides 728.4 million Euros of non-product specific trade distorting

subsidies to the sector. This is the market where India has clocked the highest trade growth

for this product.

Bangladesh provides non-product specific subsidies of 40.18 million USD.

Green Box Subsidies

Green Box subsidies are those which are allowable by WTO since they are considered to be

non-trade distorting. They are subsidies given for research and development, new

technology improvements etc. However, lately there has been a shift in the country’s subsidy

structure from those classified as distorting to those classified under “Green Box”.Both

United Kingdom and Bangladesh provide green-box subsidies to the farm sector. United

Kingdom’s share is an alarming 22130.3 million Euros (last reported 1996-97). Bangladesh

provides only 42 million USD as green box subsidy (last reported 1999-00).

S&D T “Development Programmes” Subsidies

Under this category too, United Kingdom and Bangladesh are the only 2 countries who

provide subsidies. UK reported a figure of 21520.8 million Euros in 1996-97 while

Bangladesh reported a meagre 0.22 million USD in 1999-00.

Presence of Special Safeguard Duty

No Special safeguard duty is present in any of the export destinations for this product.

375

Conclusion and recommendation for Cashew nut exporters from Andhra Pradesh

Cashew dried in shell is growing at the fastest rate followed by roasted cashew and then

broken cashew. However, the comparative advantage is very high for broken cashew

followed by roasted cashew in shell and very poor and declining RCA values for cashew nut

in shell.

Major markets for exporting broken cashewnut is Japan, for shelled UK and for roasted

cashew best market is Kuwait.

376

1. Trend in exports:

The product shows a peak on 2005 and declines afterward. It revives after 2007.It may be

expected to show strong growth in the future years. Overall it grew at a CAGR of 44.38%

over 2003-2008.

India's Export to the World (US$ mn)

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 CAGR

797.405 2191.88 11961.69 10392.72 2680.968 5003.04 44.38

2. Revealed Comparative Advantage:

India's Export

of 6 digit

India's Export of

2 digit

World's Export of

6 digit

World's Export of

2 digit RCA

2003 797.405 84861.2 628731.734 24958165.93 0.37

2004 2191.88 92286.715 760516.08 28188641.54 0.88

2005 11961.692 154926.231 849487.349 30765153.1 2.79

2006 10392.72 193771.264 991163.236 35218728.16 1.90

2007 2680.968 197329.655 1232882.54 43836079.57 0.48

2008 5003.04 266477.73 1452088.563 43911597.7 0.56

Groundnut [200811]Groundnut [200811]Groundnut [200811]Groundnut [200811]

377

The revealed comparative advantage has been shown to decrease in the recent years, though

there is a slight recovery after 2007.

3. Export Destinations:

PARTNER NAME 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 CAGR

Malaysia 307.264 583.542 4543.212 2492.848 883.928 726.346 18.77

United Kingdom 28.323 0.801 155.32 170.953 1495.571 169.56

Saudi Arabia 5.405 7.804 106.215 137.54 148.384 487.19 146.02

Germany 29.086 149.691 206.484 463.296 73.95

United States 28.449 2.748 138.029 34.763 32.788 378.526 67.80

The major export destinations are as shown above. The amount of exports as shown below is

heavily skewed in favour of Malaysia which is thus our primary market.

378

4. Market Fluctuations:

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Malaysia Malaysia Malaysia Malaysia

Malaysia United

Kingdom

Germany United

Kingdom

United

States

United

Kingdom Germany Malaysia

United

States

Saudi

Arabia

Saudi

Arabia Germany

United

Kingdom

Saudi

Arabia

Saudi

Arabia

United

States

United

Kingdom

Saudi

Arabia

Saudi

Arabia Germany

United

Kingdom Germany Germany

United

States

United

States

United

States

Malaysia seems to be a very stable market and occupies the top position. Saudi Arabia comes

second with respect to stability. On the other hand United Kingdom is a very volatile market

and thus risky for the exporters.

5. India’s Trade Intensity Index of Groundnut with the major markets:

Germany

India's export

of 6 digit to

market

India's export of

2 digit to market

World's Export of

6 digit to market

World's Export of

2 digit to market TII

2003 29.086 2442.664 65081.998 3147121.992 0.57

2004 1730.315 76765.826 3393685.731 0

2005 3500.197 82347.354 3610421.373 0

2006 149.691 3099.996 81741.62 3930139.329 2.32

2007 206.484 6762.089 100275.495 4730153.341 1.44

2008 463.296 5453.306 114950.192 4927155.596 3.64

India’s TII with Germany is showing a generally increasing trend and thus Germany can be

a very good market for the Indian products. It was really high last year i.e. 2008 and if the

trend continues then it bodes well for the Indian exporters.

379

Malaysia

India's export of

6 digit to market

India's export of 2

digit to market

World's Export

of 6 digit to

market

World's Export of

2 digit to market TII

2003 307.264 620.558 11321.629 140513.156 6.14

2004 583.542 1771.98 12714.486 148977.267 3.85

2005 4543.212 5422.335 16625.685 160620.135 8.09

2006 2492.848 3602.323 15186.666 176872.878 8.05

2007 883.928 1849.961 15898.73 215043.614 6.46

2008 726.346 1772.843 16640.43 235088.429 5.78

The TII with Malaysia is showing a declining trend post 2006. The reasons for it has to be

found out and precaution has to be taken before exporting to Malaysia.

380

Saudi

Arabia

India's export of

6 digit to market

India's export of 2

digit to market

World's Export of 6

digit to market

World's Export of

2 digit to market TII

2003 5.405 2630.712 3908.684 179712.062 0.094

2004 7.804 2911.69 4105.111 196068.528 0.128

2005 106.215 4112.289 7071.487 234071.506 0.854

2006 137.54 8062.314 9517.742 300106.044 0.537

2007 148.384 8780.792 11600.677 466945.593 0.680

2008 487.19 10551.565 15790.92 339620.105 0.993

Trade intensity index with Saudi Arabia is also increasing which is good for the Indian

exporters. This means that there is still scope for this particular product to be exported to

that country.

UK

India's export of

6 digit to market

India's export

of 2 digit to

market

World's Export of

6 digit to market

World's Export

of 2 digit to

market TII

2003 6438.725 13970.169 2048266.831 0

2004 28.323 6388.512 18709.376 2267940.061 0.53

2005 0.801 11399.349 19369.05 2325584.729 0.008

2006 155.32 15640.636 40721.843 2758702.797 0.672

2007 170.953 16700.588 61315.209 3454306.624 0.576

2008 1495.571 19563.05 58909.175 3343836.551 4.339

United Kingdom also is showing good growth for the Indian products in the last 1 year and

can be seen as a good destination for Indian produce.

381

USA

India's export of

6 digit to market

India's export of 2

digit to market

World's Export of

6 digit to market

World's Export of

2 digit to market TII

2003 28.449 23418.563 47293.237 2952651.911 0.075

2004 2.748 24490.151 40764.548 3411643.107 0.009

2005 138.029 29976.807 49037.925 3705853.868 0.347

2006 34.763 47779 48701.959 4157959.386 0.062

2007 32.788 41497.442 58215.724 5269385.062 0.071

2008 378.526 58702.257 86908.841 5247209.412 0.389

United States as can be seen from the graph has been very volatile when it comes to TII. So

exporters have to weigh the pros and cons before exporting there.

382

6. Competitor's Trade Intensity Index(2008 only) for the identified markets:

The following table lists down the five major competitors considered for each of the

markets. The competitors have been chosen according to their vicinity to the Indian

export figures to these markets as we consider these countries more intense rivals to the

position of India.

Market Name Malaysia

Competitors

Competitor's export

of 6 digit to market

Competitor's export

of 2 digit to market

World's Export

of 6 digit to

market

World's Export

of 2 digit to

market TII

China 14741.849 109284.896 16640.43 235088.429 1.90

India 726.346 1772.843 16640.43 235088.429 5.78

Singapore 589.647 24945.615 16640.43 235088.429 0.33

Thailand 350.298 18995.728 16640.43 235088.429 0.26

United States 133.646 35556.777 16640.43 235088.429 0.053

UK 47.654 939.818 16640.43 235088.429 0.716

India, as we see, is the clear winner here with a TII of 5.78. No other country comes remotely

close to India . So this is one market where we don’t have to worry about competition.

383

Market Name United Kingdom

Competitors

Competitor's export

of 6 digit to market

Competitor's export

of 2 digit to market

World's Export

of 6 digit to

market

World's Export

of 2 digit to

market TII

Netherlands 21761.829 776276.034 58909.175 3343836.551 1.59

Germany 7579 322118 58909.175 3343836.551 1.33

United States 3984.643 33599.595 58909.175 3343836.551 6.73

India 1495.571 19563.05 58909.175 3343836.551 4.33

Greece 916.653 109703.839 58909.175 3343836.551 0.47

Poland 389.118 97655.332 58909.175 3343836.551 0.22

As is the case with most developed countries, in UK too, their greatest trading partner seems

to be other developed countries, in this case US which has a very high TII with UK. Though

India is pretty comfortably placed in the 2nd position.

Market

Name Saudi Arabia

Competitors

Competitor's export

of 6 digit to market

Competitor's export

of 2 digit to market

World's Export

of 6 digit to

market

World's Export

of 2 digit to

market TII

Canada 7358.024 22307.58 15790.92 339620.105 7.09

China 4005.548 58691.141 15790.92 339620.105 1.46

United

States 3355.408 37087.233 15790.92 339620.105 1.94

India 487.19 10551.565 15790.92 339620.105 0.99

Philippines 255.976 2209.271 15790.92 339620.105 2.49

384

India is nowhere in sight when it comes to the Saudi Arabian market . The largest competitor

and the ones immediately after are much bigger trading partners than India.

Market Name Germany

Competitors

Competitor's export

of 6 digit to market

Competitor's export

of 2 digit to market

World's Export

of 6 digit to

market

World's Export

of 2 digit to

market TII

Netherlands 75967.468 1135126.649 114950.192 4927155.596 2.86

Austria 747.583 329457.741 114950.192 4927155.596 0.09

Turkey 665.869 403337.382 114950.192 4927155.596 0.07

India 463.296 5453.306 114950.192 4927155.596 3.64

Denmark 312.22 58990.689 114950.192 4927155.596 0.22

South Africa 242.128 31299.741 114950.192 4927155.596 0.33

With Germany however, India is the clear leader with respect to TII. India’s TII is a healthy

deal better than the nearest competitor Netherlands. Other competitors are too

inconsequential to think about.

385

Market

Name United States

Competitors

Competitor's export

of 6 digit to market

Competitor's export

of 2 digit to market

World's Export

of 6 digit to

market

World's Export

of 2 digit to

market TII

Canada 31903.051 1054988.406 86908.841 5247209.412 1.82

Thailand 498.873 498367.201 86908.841 5247209.412 0.06

Philippines 412.231 158029.808 86908.841 5247209.412 0.15

India 378.526 58702.257 86908.841 5247209.412 0.38

Israel 151 20128 86908.841 5247209.412 0.45

Malaysia 145.266 8506.037 86908.841 5247209.412 1.03

With the US, India is in a medium position and it still has a good amount of ground to cover

with respect to its nearest competitors like Israel and Malaysia.

7. Relative Competitive Advantage(2008) w.r.t. nearest competitors:

Market Name Malaysia

Competitors

Competitor's

export of 6 digit

to market

Competitor's

export of 2 digit to

market

All Competitor's

Export of 6 digit

to market

All Competitor's

Export of 2 digit

to market Rel. CA

China 14741.849 109284.896 16589.44 191495.677 1.55

India 726.346 1772.843 16589.44 191495.677 4.72

Singapore 589.647 24945.615 16589.44 191495.677 0.27

Thailand 350.298 18995.728 16589.44 191495.677 0.21

United States 133.646 35556.777 16589.44 191495.677 0.04

United

Kingdom 47.654 939.818 16589.44 191495.677 0.58

386

Market Name United Kingdom

Competitors

Competitor's

export of 6 digit

to market

Competitor's

export of 2 digit to

market

All Competitor's

Export of 6 digit

to market

All Competitor's

Export of 2 digit

to market

Rel.

CA

Netherlands 21761.829 776276.034 36126.814 1358915.85 1.05

Germany 7579 322118 36126.814 1358915.85 0.88

United States 3984.643 33599.595 36126.814 1358915.85 4.46

India 1495.571 19563.05 36126.814 1358915.85 2.87

Greece 916.653 109703.839 36126.814 1358915.85 0.31

Poland 389.118 97655.332 36126.814 1358915.85 0.14

387

Market Name Saudi Arabia

Competitors

Competitor's

export of 6 digit

to market

Competitor's

export of 2 digit to

market

All Competitor's

Export of 6 digit

to market

All Competitor's

Export of 2 digit

to market Rel. CA

Canada 7358.024 22307.58 15462.146 130846.79 2.79

China 4005.548 58691.141 15462.146 130846.79 0.57

United States 3355.408 37087.233 15462.146 130846.79 0.76

India 487.19 10551.565 15462.146 130846.79 0.39

Philippines 255.976 2209.271 15462.146 130846.79 0.98

Market Name Germany

Competitors

Competitor's

export of 6 digit

to market

Competitor's

export of 2 digit to

market

All Competitor's

Export of 6 digit

to market

All Competitor's

Export of 2 digit

to market Rel. CA

Netherlands 75967.468 1135126.649 78398.564 1963665.508 1.67

Austria 747.583 329457.741 78398.564 1963665.508 0.05

Turkey 665.869 403337.382 78398.564 1963665.508 0.04

India 463.296 5453.306 78398.564 1963665.508 2.12

Denmark 312.22 58990.689 78398.564 1963665.508 0.13

South Africa 242.128 31299.741 78398.564 1963665.508 0.19

388

Market Name United States

Competitors

Competitor's

export of 6 digit

to market

Competitor's

export of 2 digit to

market

All Competitor's

Export of 6 digit

to market

All Competitor's

Export of 2 digit

to market

Rel.

CA

Canada 31903.051 1054988.406 33488.947 1798721.709 1.62

Thailand 498.873 498367.201 33488.947 1798721.709 0.053

Philippines 412.231 158029.808 33488.947 1798721.709 0.140

India 378.526 58702.257 33488.947 1798721.709 0.346

Israel 151 20128 33488.947 1798721.709 0.402

Malaysia 145.266 8506.037 33488.947 1798721.709 0.917

389

Thus on the basis of the above graphs we can say that in Malaysia, Germany and United

Kingdom India is in a good position than its nearest competitors.

8. Tariff and Non Tariff Measures:

Selected importers Import tariff Other Tariff where ever applicable NTM %

Malaysia 5% Customs duty 5.0% 0

United Kingdom 8% na

Saudi Arabia 5% MFN Rate 12.0% 0

Germany 8% na

MFN Rates 132% 100

Non MFN Tariff 155%

United States

67%

US-Mexico FTA NA

9. FTA & PTA:

Country FTA/PTA Rate

Malaysia

ASEAN FTA 2003

rate 5%

USA US-Mexico FTA

Saudi Arabia None

Germany None

United

Kingdom None

TRQ:Tariff Rate Quota Structure of 200811 in major export destinations

Markets TRQ Quantity (METRIC TONS) In quota - Duty Out Quota - Duty

Malaysia No No No

United Kingdom No No No

Saudi Arabia No No No

Germany No No No

United States No No No

390

Subsidies: Product

specific

Non Product

Specific Green Box S&D

Malaysia NA NA

MALAYSIA

GB.pdf MALAYSIA SD.pdf

United

Kingdom NA NA NA NA

Saudi Arabia NA

SAUDI ARABIA

NPS.pdf

SAUDI ARABIA

GB.pdf SAUDI ARABIA PS.pdf

Germany NA NA NA NA

United States NA USA NPS.pdf USA GB.pdf USA PS.pdf

10. Conclusions:

a) The exports are growing at a CAGR of 44.5% which is a healthy figure.

b) RCA is decreasing which is a cause of concern.

c) UK is a good market for us in the recent years.

d) Malaysia is a very stable market .

e) TII with all the markets are increasing which is a very good sign.

f) US ,Canada and Netherlands are strong competitors in the developed country

markets.


Recommended