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Energy Handbook India

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    P o w e r S u m m i t - T h e E n e r g y H a n d b o o k 2 0 1 1

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    21

    P o w e r S u m m i t - T h e E n e r g y H a n d b o o k 2 0 1 1

    C o u n t r y P r o f i l e

    India

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    The power sector needs to expand

    rapidly if the country is to

    continue on its path of economic

    development. Indias current installed

    capacity is about 150 GW and this needs

    to go up to nearly 800 GW in the next

    fifteen years, says Baba Kalyani, owner

    of Bharat Forge and one of Indias most

    celebrated industrialists. The power

    market is the biggest opportunity in the

    Indian manufacturing sector today.

    According to some estimates there are

    as many as 400m people without access

    to electricity in India, the Government

    having failed to meet the 2005 RGGVY

    plans target of connecting all villages

    to the grid by 2010. Dr. J.M. Phatak,

    Chairman and Managing Director of the

    Rural Electrification Corporation and

    the man tasked by the Government

    with funding rural electrification, notes:

    Income per capita is growing at a faster

    rate in rural areas that in urban areas

    Therefore it is expected that demand

    for electricity will grow at a faster rate

    in the countryside. Development of

    Indias power sector will require not just

    investment in new generation capacity

    and upgrades to the existing transmission

    and distribution (T&D) infrastructure, but

    also a new greenfield T&D infrastructure

    capable of supplying a population larger

    than that of the USA. India has changed

    dramatically in the space of a decade.

    This was the power market where Enron

    first started to unravel publicly, and issues

    surrounding Enrons Dabhol plant have

    deterred international investors from the

    generation sector for many years. After

    the plant finally shut in 2001 the country

    embarked on a second phase of power

    market liberalisation culminating in the

    Electricity Act 2003.

    India in Focus

    The Indian power sector presents one of the largest business

    opportunities in the world at present. India, the worlds second

    most populous state, combines rapidly growing demand with acrippling 12 percent power deficit.

    Since the reforms of 2003 Indian private-

    sector investors have become extremely

    active in generation, but the major foreign

    players are notable by their absence.

    When the sector was initially opened

    to investment there was an abundance

    of investors. But the experience was

    not pleasant for some of them, which

    explains the current reticence on the

    part of international investors to re-enter

    the market, says the manager of the

    power sectors largest debt portfolio,

    B.K. Batra, Executive Director & Group

    Head of Corporate Banking at IDBI Bank.

    Batra argues: This is the time for major

    players to reconsider India and perceive it

    as an attractive area for investment. ROI

    is at an impressive level of 15.5 percent,

    which strengthens the business case for

    investing in the power sector.

    For the power equipment manufacturer or

    service provider, India presents the perfect

    combination of demand and supply. The

    Indian power manufacturing sector is

    still dominated by large state-controlledcompanies, both producers and clients,

    and is not perfectly liberal. The market

    is open to new entrants, however, and

    international companies are rushing to

    secure joint ventures with local partners

    as they enter the country.

    Power is a concurrent subject in India,

    meaning that it falls under the jurisdiction

    of both the central and state Governments.

    This division of authority has led to a

    wide variation in investor activity across

    the country, with the more liberalised

    and creditworthy states enjoying the

    most development. The prime central

    Government law regulating the power

    sector is the Electricity Act 2003, which

    revised earlier attempts at liberalisation

    and has resulted in a solid and stable legal

    framework for private-sector involvement

    in the Indian power market.

    Generation

    India has a total installed capacity of

    162 GW and generated some 803 TWh in

    2007. India is now the worlds fifth-largest

    producer of electricity, representing

    4.1 percent of total world output in 2007

    according to the International Energy

    Agency. Given that Indians represent over

    17.3 percent of the worlds population,

    Article by:

    Oliver Cushing and

    Jolanta Ksiezniak

    Section Cover

    (previous page):

    CLPs Wind

    Power Project,

    Photo courtesy ofCLP Power India

    Private Limited

    Above:

    A crowd gathers

    in front of the

    Mysore Palace, lit

    up for the Dasara

    festival

    however, there is clearly space for

    growth. The Government has set out

    plans for capacity to more than double

    by 2017. Generation has traditionally

    been the exclusive domain of central

    and state-owned companies, in some

    regions integrated with transmission and

    distribution operations to form utilities.

    Today the largest generation company

    remains the central-Government-

    controlled National Thermal Power

    Corporation (NTPC), with 30,600 MW of

    capacity generating some 27 percent of

    the nations power output in 2009. Fellow

    public sector undertakings National Hydro

    Power Corporation (NHPC) and Nuclear

    Power Corporation of India Ltd (NPCIL)

    run 5,300 MW and 4,500 MW of capacity

    and generate 2.2 percent and 2.4 percent

    of the nations output respectively. The

    private sector controls only 13.5 percent

    of Indian generation capacity, state-

    owned generators own 52 percent, and

    central Government is responsible for the

    remaining 34 percent.

    Government policy since the Electricity

    Act of 2003 has been that private capital

    should fund the majority of capacity

    addition. The market has been opened

    to private investment in three ways.

    First, the Government has floated the

    public-sector undertakings, raising capital

    through a series of initial public offerings

    that have seen up to 33 percent of

    equity sold to investors. Although the

    public-sector undertakings remain very

    much in the control of the Government

    and there are limits on who may own

    shares, the fresh capital has allowed the

    under-funded generators to invest in new

    projects and they are increasingly acting

    as joint venture partners.

    The Act also permitted any company or

    group of companies to develop captive

    power plants. This ruling has had a

    substantial effect on the wider sector.

    Industrial users are charged higher rates

    for power and are far more likely to pay

    their bills than their fellow consumers

    in the retail market. Allowing industrial

    consumers to generate their own power

    has forced distribution companies to

    strengthen collection efforts and freed

    industrial consumers from paying cross-

    subsidies.

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    Many of todays

    independent power

    producers (IPPs) started out

    as captive power divisions

    of their parent companies:

    Indias ever-dominant

    industrial conglomerates.

    As Dr. R.P. Singh,

    Executive Vice-Chairman

    of Jindal Power, explains:

    We first entered the

    power sector when we

    constructed a captive plant

    for a steel mill. Once we

    had successfully executed

    the first project for Jindal

    Steel & Power Ltd. we

    decided that we should

    become a major power

    player in our own right. By

    2009 we had commissioned Indias first

    private-sector mega power plant.

    The 2003 Act reworked legislation

    designed to create IPPs. Indias industrial

    conglomerates have seized the opportunityto enter the sector and power generation

    has become a core business line for many

    of the nations largest companies. NTPC

    may still be the largest power generation

    company in India but the likes of Tata

    and Reliance ADA are fast catching up.

    Reliance was not even in the power

    business a decade ago, but as Ashwani

    Kumar, Head of Business Development

    at Reliance Power, explains: We are

    currently in the process of substantially

    expanding our generation portfolio from

    about 1 GW to approximately 35 GW

    We are diversified geographically, in terms

    of fuel type and in terms of our customers.

    Reliance Power aims to be the leading

    power generation company in India. TheTata Group built and operated Indias first

    large-scale hydro plant in 1915 and has

    been in the industry ever since. While

    central and state Governments came to

    dominate the sector after independence,

    Tata maintained its foothold in the power

    game and today it is Indias largest private-

    sector generator, with 3 GW of installed

    capacity. Tata Power is almost 100

    years old, explains Banmali Agrawala,

    Tata Powers Executive Director of

    Strategy and Business Development. We

    started off by building hydro projects,

    with a vision of providing cheap, clean

    and reliable power to the city of Mumbai.

    Since deregulation in 2003 Tata Power

    has become the only private-sector

    company to be present in the generation,

    transmission and distribution sectors.

    Tata Power is also set on exponential

    growth: the firm currently has 6 GW of

    capacity slated for completion by 2015

    and Agrawala says it is aiming for 25 GW

    by 2017.

    Coal and Gas Power

    Currently 53 percent of Indias generation

    capacity is coal-fired, and this dominance

    is set to continue in the medium term;

    India, poor in oil and gas, is coal-rich.

    Gas, both from new fields and imported,

    will play an increasingly important role in

    power generation in the coming years.

    India, already host to the worlds fifth-

    largest fleet of wind turbines, has placed

    major emphasis on renewable energy as

    part of its 12th five-year development

    plan (due to commence in 2012). Nuclear

    power forms the fourth pillar of Indias

    generation matrix, but new reactors are

    likely to only play a small role in the next

    decade.

    India is the third-largest producer of coal

    in the world and the third-largest importer.

    With 85 GW of capacity to feed, and

    considerable new development under

    way, king coal looks set to dominate

    the sector for the medium term. One

    of the Governments key strategies to

    encourage investment in the power sector

    has been the creation of special-purpose

    vehicles to fast-track 14 ultra mega

    power plants (UMPPs) each of 4 GW

    plus, to create 60+ GW of new privately-

    owned coal-fired capacity by 2017 with

    low risks for investors. The Ministry ofPower acquires the land and (where

    applicable) coal rights, and undertakes all

    the clearances and permitting needed to

    develop a project. Companies then bid for

    the tender on an operating cost basis. So

    far four UMPPs have been awarded.

    Despite Indias vast reserves of coal, most

    new plants under development are on the

    coast due to weaknesses in the transport

    infrastructure. The supply of coal in India

    is becoming a challenge, even for some

    of the existing plants, says L.K. Gupta,

    Joint Managing Director and CEO of JSW

    Energy Ltd. The location of mines makes

    them difficult to develop. Despite the rail

    linkages provided by the Government,

    the efficiency of coal supply is poor.

    Nevertheless, we are fully committed to

    ply the domestic linkages for our plants.

    But to safeguard the sustainability of our

    plants we decided to install them next

    to ports, facilitating the use of imported

    coal.

    Indias continuing reliance on coal

    has attracted international concern

    on environmental grounds; not only is

    consumption high and growing fast, but

    Indias coal is of a low grade, with high

    sulphur and ash content. Those within the

    industry note however that India badly

    needs coal-fired capacity if the country is

    to continue to reduce poverty.

    Today the USA generates thrice as much

    electricity from coal as India does, notes

    Reliance Powers Kumar. Natural gas or

    renewable sources of power alone cannot

    provide the 150 GW of capacity that the

    country is looking for in the next seven

    to ten years. Once we decided on having

    coal-based power in our portfolio, we

    observed that the best way to do it was to

    control the entire value chain to mitigate

    the risks. With Indian emissions of

    greenhouse gases per capita a fraction of

    those in the west (Indias CO2 emissions

    per capita are less than a third of the

    global average) there is an international

    consensus that the countrys emissions

    will inevitably have to rise.

    Those within the industry are keen to see

    coal developed in a responsible manner,

    and tend to view coal as one part of a

    wider portfolio development strategy

    which will include sources which emit

    less CO2.

    We recognise the threat of climate

    change there is no doubt that managing

    carbon is a business risk, says Rajiv

    Mishra, Managing Director of CLP.

    We recognise the

    threat of climate

    change there

    is no doubt that

    managing carbon is

    a business risk.

    Rajiv MishraManaging Directorof CLP

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    However, we did not want to marginalise

    ourselves as a pure renewables player; we

    want to be part of the mainstream solution.

    There is a requirement for conventional

    energy within our region. In India flue-gas

    desulphurisers are not required and we

    are the only company to have made a bid

    on the basis that we will implement an

    FGD. We recognise that renewables must

    also be an integral part of the solution,

    and we are now the largest developer of

    wind farms in India.

    Indias lack of domestic gas reserves,

    and its inability to build a pipeline from

    Central Asia or Iran through neighbouring

    Pakistan, has prevented the development

    of significant gas-fired generation

    capacity. Joint Secretary at the Ministry

    of Petroleum and Natural Gas Sunil Jain

    explains: Worldwide, gas represents

    some 30 percent of the energy basket; in

    India it is only 9 percent. India has a huge

    appetite for natural gas, and demand is

    only constrained by supply and the supply

    network itself.

    Gas from the Krishna Godavari basin is set

    to increase Indias production dramatically,

    and exploration work is underway across

    the country. A long-running court case

    involving Krishna Godavari gas supplied

    by Reliance Industries to Reliance ADA

    has recently been resolved and the pricing

    mechanism and allocation system has

    been clarified as a result.

    The Government is keen to encourage

    further exploration, and Jain notes:

    India has a very friendly regime when

    it comes to oil and gas, I think one of

    the best in the world. Last year, during

    the global economic crisis, our latest

    round of block licensing was fully

    subscribed. Gas-fired capacity is set

    to grow substantially in the coming

    years (Reliance Power alone intends

    to build 8 GW of capacity) though the

    combination of ever-increasing load and

    competition from alternative uses for

    gas will ensure that it does not become

    a dominant source of power in the

    medium term.

    Renewables

    Renewable energy is a hot topic in India,

    as in many other countries. Indias

    objectives are threefold when it comes to

    renewables: build a large-scale industry

    which will generate jobs and export

    revenue, demonstrate a commitment

    to reducing emissions relative toeconomic development, and go some

    way to achieving energy independence.

    Renewable sources of power have the

    potential to play a significant role in the

    electrification of rural India.

    As a means of addressing Indias energy

    deficit crisis, renewable sources have a

    dual role to play: aside from the obvious

    capacity addition they are also an ideal

    source of distributed energy. As Rabindra

    K. Satpathy, the man in charge of solar

    at Indias largest corporation, Reliance

    Industries, observes: We believe that

    distributed power will play a crucial role

    in the development of India, instantly

    cutting the 37 percent transmission anddistribution losses. With an installed

    capacity of over 12 GW as of mid-2010,

    and a substantial home-grown turbine

    manufacturing industry, India has already

    achieved a strong position in the wind

    sector. Under the 11th Five Year Plan

    (due to conclude in 2012) the Government

    envisaged 10,500 MW of new capacity, of

    which more than 5 GW had been installed

    by mid-2010. The Ministry of New and

    Renewable Energy appears confident that

    the remaining capacity will be added by

    the end of the plan.

    Across the world most government

    targets for wind energy have been

    missed, yet India (which met the targetfor its 10th Five Year Plan in 2006)

    seems to have implemented a strategy

    that works. Co-founder and Director

    of wind farm developer Veer Energy

    and Infrastructure Ltd Dhimant J. Shah

    says: The Government has made it

    a regulation that every energy service

    provider has to provide up to 7 percent

    of their energy sourcing from renewable

    energy. We are happy with the way that

    we have progressed. The model works

    here in India but it may take some time for

    manufacturers, developers and investors

    to get used to it.

    In hydro power India has phenomenal

    potential. The Government distinguishes

    between large- and small-scale hydro,

    with only schemes of up to 25 MW

    qualifying for full-scale renewables

    support. Sameer S. Shetty, Managing

    Director of Indias largest producer of

    small hydro turbines, BFL (a Fouress

    Group company), says: The market has

    huge potential, but the the disconnect

    between potential and realisation is quite

    big. There is 22 GW of viable identified

    capacity for small hydro but India is

    building 600700 MW annually at best.

    Power is a state subject and even though

    the Central Government and the Central

    Ministry determine a framework, they

    have no means to ensure that the state

    fulfils its requirements. Nevertheless,

    a substantial number of small hydro

    schemes are under development and

    among the great variation between states,

    some have a supportive and pragmatic

    attitude to small hydro.

    The private sector, with a handful ofexceptions, has proven reticent to take

    up the challenging of developing Indias

    numerous large-scale hydro opportunities.

    Nimish Patel, Director of Indias largest

    dam and hydro tunnelling company,

    Patel Engineering, says: Thermal plants

    have predictable time lines and you can

    commission a plant in three to four years.

    Hydro however requires long investigation

    periods and the schemes can take a very

    long time to get approved. Research

    reports are not always up to standard

    and thus the private sector has been

    very wary of these risks. Things are

    beginning to change and some extremely

    successful hydro schemes have been

    developed by private-sector investors.Bhilwara Energy developed its first hydro

    scheme in 1995, and unlike early private-

    sector thermal plants it has proven to be

    a commercial success. Riju Jhunjhunwala

    of Bhilwara Energy explains: We recently

    commissioned a new 200 MW plant in

    India and are looking into developing a

    much larger plant in Nepal. The land is

    already acquired, infrastructure is being

    developed, and the tender documents

    are being prepared. All the electricity

    generated there will be sold to India. By

    2015 the company intends to have 3 GW

    of installed capacity under operation.

    Q Please could we start

    with a brief overview of

    IEX and how it came to

    be established?

    A In 2006 the CERC

    realised that it was

    important for India

    to have a live trading

    platform for power and

    initiated a programme to

    establish one. In 2007

    a consortium lead by

    Financial Technologies and key private players in

    the energy sector got approval to start developing

    an Indian power exchange and agreed a deal with

    the Scandinavian power exchange, Nordpool.On

    22nd June 2008 we went live with the Indian

    Power Exchange. We sell power here on an

    hourly basis. The bidding is done blindly so as to

    ensure a fair playing field, it is a futures market,

    but a short term futures market. In a very short

    period of 24 months we have come to have more

    than 400 traders on the Exchange. This is an

    impressive uptake by any measure, but given the

    economic problems of 2008/9 it is superb.

    Interview with Jayant Deo

    Managing Director and CEO, Indian Energy Exchange

    Q The IEX is the only power exchange operating

    in a market in which there is a deficit, how does

    this affect the dynamic of the Exchange?

    A India is a vast and varied country, daily peak

    demand in the east will not fall at the same time

    as in the south, and peak supply during the rainy

    season in the north (where many hydro facilities

    are located) does not match peak demand there.

    While net demand is higher than net supply in

    India, we have found that the market did not

    ensure that all power being generated was

    consumed, the IEX helps address this issue.

    Q How easy is it for you to sell the concept of

    merchant trading to a generator?

    A A companys decision to go merchant or not

    will of course be informed by their appetitive for

    risk and their debt profile. For most generators,

    entering a fixed term contract for 50 or 60% of

    their output makes a project viable as it satisfies

    lenders that there is a secure income stream to

    pay debt, they may chose to sell the remainder on

    the IEX as it gives them exposure to the upside

    that the Indian energy growth curve presents.

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    With such a vast potential and a

    commitment to managing its emissions

    of greenhouse gases, India needs to

    encourage substantial private-sector

    investment in large-scale hydro schemes.

    One solution might be to reconsider the

    rules distinguishing large-scale hydro

    schemes from their smaller siblings, as

    Patel argues: We need to consider allhydropower as renewable, which will

    allow developers to sell their output

    for more profit, therefore making the

    sector more attractive and increasing

    investment. India was an early pioneer

    in the use of biomass as an energy

    resource, with efforts initially focused

    on farm waste gasification. Attention is

    now being given by both the Government

    and the private sector to generating

    electricity from biomass. With the worlds

    largest rural population and multiple large

    metropolises that have yet to come to

    grips with the disposal of urban waste,

    there exists a window of opportunity

    to integrate energy generation into the

    waste management system.

    One early mover in biomass is power

    transmission engineering and waste

    management group A2Z. This company

    aims to become an engineering expert

    in the field as well as an independent

    power producer in its own right. We

    are now setting up three new biomass

    power plants, each of 15 MW capacity,

    integrated with the sugar industry, says

    Rakesh Aggarwal, Chairman and Managing

    Director of A2Z Powercom. Our strategy

    with setting up these plants is to be able

    to integrate with any industry that has

    agri-waste or municipal waste. A very

    important factor for the smaller renewable

    energy plants is that they are exempt fromenvironmental clearance. Construction

    time is less than a year, which is a much

    better proposition compared to other

    kinds of power plants.

    Much of India is blessed with high and

    consistent levels of solar radiation. The

    central Government and a number of states,

    which are competing to become Indias

    solar manufacturing hub, have introduced

    attractive subsidies to foster development

    of solar power. Central, state and city

    governments are providing householders

    and businesspeople with support to install

    photovoltaic (PV) panels and thermal

    water heaters at the distributed level. One

    pioneer in this field is Delhi. Delhi has hadthe reputation of being power cut city,

    explains Rakesh Mehta, Chief Secretary

    at the Government of the National Capital

    Territory of Delhi. Mega-cities like Delhi,

    which depend almost exclusively on power

    to meet their economic needs, will have to

    find new and innovative solutions to meet

    their requirements. As part of a wider

    campaign to reduce pollution and improve

    the electricity supply Delhi has adopted

    a large-scale programme to promote

    solar water heaters, giving subsidies of

    up to 6,000 rupees ($130) for 100-litre

    systems in the domestic sector and up to

    60,000 rupees ($1,300) for commercial

    buildings.

    The Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar

    Mission is a nationwide scheme to promote

    PV usage. Dr. Farooq Abdullah, Union

    Minister for New and Renewable Energy,

    says that the Mission has twin objectives:

    To contribute to Indias long-term energy

    security as well as its ecological security.

    The rapid development and deployment

    of renewable energy is imperative in this

    context, and in view of high solar radiation

    over the country, solar energy provides a

    long-term sustainable solution. The Solar

    Mission recommends implementation in

    three stages, leading up to an installed

    capacity of 20 GW by the end of the

    13th Plan in 2022. What we do in the

    next three to four years will be critical.Therefore, the Cabinet has approved the

    setting up of 1,100 MW of grid solar

    power and 200 MW of off-grid sol ar

    applications utilising both solar thermal

    and PV technologies in the first phase of

    the Mission. In addition, the Mission will

    also focus on R&D and human resources

    to develop and strengthen Indian skills

    and enhance indigenous content to make

    the Mission sustainable.

    The private sector has reacted favourably

    to the Mission, though Reliance Industry

    Groups Rabindra K. Satpathy notes: We

    still have to confront a lot of assumptions

    regarding reliability and expense. Currently

    solar costs 12.5 rupees per unit, againstabout 3 rupees for coal and gas. But if

    you add other costs, such as transmission

    loss, that is pushing the price up to 4 or

    5 rupees. Reliance Solar wants to bring

    the cost of PV cells down to $2/MW of

    capacity, Satpathy says. We want to

    speed up the pace of installation as this

    will give PV a major advantage over other

    generation types. Solar projects are not

    controversial and can be built quickly.

    Also, they are not subject to trade

    embargoes: no one can stop the sun! We

    have seen that people want a high quality

    of power, which PV can provide. We

    want to make solar power affordable to

    the masses. India has refused to signed

    the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and

    for three decades it was blocked from

    trading with the Nuclear Suppliers Group.

    In 2008 an American-brokered deal saw

    India re-enter the world of international

    civilian nuclear trade and the country has

    set out a route map to increase i ts nuclear

    fleet more than thirteen-fold, to 63 GW,

    by 2032.

    Transmission, Distribution

    and Trading

    Indias transmission and distribution

    (T&D) sector has been the silent sister

    of generation since 2003, but over the

    coming decade this is set to change

    dramatically. As the private sector has

    rushed to spend billions of dollars on

    new generation capacity, only a handful

    of distribution concessions in Delhi and

    Mumbai have been privatised. Instead,

    new transmission lines have invariably

    been built by the Government-controlledPowerGrid Corp., sometimes in joint

    ventures with private-sector partners.

    Amul Gabrani, Chairman and Managing

    Director of transmission engineering

    company Hythro Power, explains the

    situation in T&D: The public-private

    partnerships in the power sector started

    in the generation side. Originally,

    transmission lines were being delivered

    by a single body, PowerGrid Corp. Now

    the market is starting to liberalise and

    there are more public-private partnerships

    (PPPs) in the transmission sector. Since

    there is a time lag between transmission

    and generation, you will find increased

    interest in transmission in the next twoyears. Gabrani is confident that the

    private sector can help cut Indias terrible

    T&D losses, which account for 37 percent

    of all power generated. One of the

    impediments in India has been the losses

    because of the quality of equipment, he

    says, but this will change and the pri vate

    sector will look at more efficient systems.

    Technical losses will go down and a lot

    of groups are concentrating on this. Once

    technical losses go down, the profitability

    of the power sector will increase; this

    will happen only with the support of the

    private sector.

    A small dam tobe constructed

    at the valley of

    Mahabaleshwar

    Hill Station in

    India for local

    consumption, one

    of the several

    around the country

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    30 31

    I n F o c u s : D e l h i T r a n s c o L i m i t e d

    Green Power for Green Delhi

    Be it plantation, no-industry zones or 100% Commercial Vehicles

    on CNG, Delhis obsession with Green is quite evident. No wonder,

    Delhi has also engineered one of the greenest power generationand transmission systems. Clean and green production processes

    of Pragati Power Corporation Ltd. (PPCL) and minimum loss

    transmission systems of Delhi Transco Ltd. are at the heart of

    Delhis Green Power Vision.

    Power Foundation:

    Pragati Power Corporation

    Ltd. (PPCL) was started with a

    mission to play a pivotal role in

    the development of NCT and

    uplifting of the living standards

    of the citizens. The company

    is committed to provide clean

    & green energy with special

    emphasis on sustainable

    development by adopting

    energy efficient technology for

    power generation. The existing

    and forth-coming projects are

    the mirrors of self imposed

    corporate standards for clean

    & energy efficient technology products &

    services. Delhi Transco Ltd was formed

    in 2002 following the unbundling of the

    erstwhile Delhi Vidyut Board under the

    Delhi Electricity Reforms Act 2000.

    DTL has been responsible for establishing,

    upgrading, operating and maintaining the

    EHV (Extra High Voltage) network in and

    around Delhi.

    Delhi Transco Limited:

    A noteworthy achievement of DTL has

    been the companys transmission loss

    reduction. Transmission loss level has

    been reduced from 3.84 per cent in

    2002-03 to 1.38 per cent in 2009-10,

    which is the lowest transmission loss

    level in the country. For improvement of

    operational efficiency, regular monitoring

    and maintenance of equipment is carried

    out through patrolling of transmission

    lines and hotline washing of insulator

    strings. Further the work of replacing

    the existing 400 KV insulators with

    polymer insulators is being carried out.

    To ensure adequate and efficient

    power supply for the citizens of Delhi,

    DTL has been continuously upgrading

    its transmission capacity and adding

    transmission line to its system. The modern

    technologies are being implemented in

    DTL by way of constructing GIS sub-

    stations at Ridge Valley, Indira Gandhi

    International Airport (DIAL) as well as

    other places.

    DTL is also in the process of layi ng 220 KV

    cables by employing cable link techniques

    and would be the largest network of its

    kind going to be established in India. Out

    of all the projects initiated by DTL, the

    work of two 220 KV GIS sub-stations has

    been completed and will be synchronized

    by the end of September 2010 after

    testing. The work for 2 sub-stations of

    400 KV and 5 sub-stations of 220 KV is

    in full swing.

    Powered by IT:

    Following the e-Governance initiatives of

    GNCTD and to enhance its efficiency and

    productivity, DTL has initiated several IT

    based projects. For constant access to real-

    time data of the entire network, the utility

    has implemented Supervisory Control and

    Data Acquisition (SCADA) systems.

    DTL has also carried out system studies,

    adopting state-of-the-art-software.

    Enterprise Resource Planning Software,

    is being implemented which will offer anintegrated software solution to all the

    functions of the organization. With ERP

    software DTL will standardize business

    processes and facilitate best practices

    by creating more efficient systems

    and concentrating its efforts towards

    maximizing profits.

    Power Finance:

    DTL has achieved a commendable financial

    turnaround after a three-year financial

    engineering process. It has posted profits

    in each of the past 4 years.

    In 2008-09 DTL profits, after tax stood at

    Rs. 634.9 million, an impressive 22.84%

    increase over the Rs. 516.9 million

    registered in the preceding year. The

    company also paid a dividend of Rs. 90.8

    million to the Government for 2008-09.

    It has been accredited rating A+ Company

    by top two rating agencies of the country

    i.e. CRISIL and Fitch Rating India Ltd. This

    is the highest amongst all state utilities in

    the country.

    Energy Audit: BEE accredited energy

    auditors M/s Petroleum Conservation

    Research Association (PCRA) hasconducted energy audit of the IPGCL

    Plans.

    All efforts have been made to run various

    systems as per the designed parameters to

    conserve energy.

    1.Overhauling of the unit was carried out

    as per the manufactures direction to run

    the machine optimally.

    2.2. 220 KV CVTs were installed in

    each phase of all the three generators to

    improve the accuracy of metering system

    for the sale of energy.

    3.The Auxiliary consumption of the Pragati

    Power Station- 1 in the year 2009-10 was

    2.85% and achieved the Aux. consumption

    target 3%.

    Sheila Dikshit

    Chief Minister,

    Delhi

    New Projects of Pragati Power Corporation

    Limited (PPCL)

    Pragati Phase 3,Bawana,

    Delhi (Gas based)

    Pragati Phase 2, Bamnauli,Delhi (Gas Based)

    Generation Capacity

    Source: Delhi Transco Limited

    Name of Project

    1500 MW (1st unit

    commissioned in Oct 2010)

    750 MW (Proposed)

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    Q Please could you

    start by giving us a

    personal professional

    background and an

    overview of the power

    sector in Delhi?

    A I belong to the

    civil services and have

    had a long relationship

    with the power sector,

    having been the power

    commissioner in Goa

    and having managed the electricity sector in the

    local body. Later on I became the CMD of Delhi

    Transco and Chairman of Genco.

    In 2001 the power sector in Delhi was

    restructured and the Delhi Electricity Board

    was broken up into seven companies: three

    distributions, two generation, one holding

    transmission and a holding company.

    Q You were a panelist at the Copenhagen World

    Summit on Climate Changes forum of the worlds

    largest cities, what efforts is Delhi making to limit

    its impact on the environment?

    A To promote energy conservation and to

    conduct energy audits of all majors buildings in

    the city. The Energy Efficiency and Renewable

    Energy Management Centre was established.

    We have started investing in renewable energy

    sources, it has been made mandatory for

    large buildings to implement energy efficiency

    measures, distribution companies have been

    successful in promoting CFL lamps, on solar

    water heaters subsidy is given from 6,000 rupees($130) to 60,000 rupees ($1,300).

    We are also developing waste- to- gas plants and

    have one operating in the canteen in my building,

    which serves 5,000 people and have two plants

    under development, One scheme will come into

    operation in 2011 and will consume 1,500mt/ day

    providing 16mw of capacity.

    We have created an air ambience fund which is

    essentially a very small tax on diesel. This creates

    about 700m rupees ($15m) which we use to

    subsidies by one third the price of electric vehicles.

    Interview with Mr. Rakesh Mehta, Chief Secretary, Government

    of N.C.T. Of Delhi, CMD of Delhi Transco and Chairman of

    Pragati Power Corporation

    Q The population of Delhi is projected to grow

    substantially in the next decade, how is the

    N.C.P. Government going to ensure that the

    capitals energy needs are met?

    A Two years ago we adopted a policy of load

    growth generation keeping in mind that Delhi, a

    city of 17 million people, is projected to grow to

    24 million. We decided that 40- 50% of Delhis

    supply should be generated within 40km of

    the city. The power generation companies of

    N.C.T Delhi have set up a 1,500mw plant 40km

    near Delhi border in a joint venture with the

    Government of Haryana and NTPC. The plant

    can be upgraded by a further 1,000mw. Delhi

    will receive 50% of the power. In Delhi we are

    establishing a 1,500mw gas plant and a 750mw

    gas plant, we are closing all three of our coal fired

    Delhi plants which will have a huge impact on the

    air quality of the capital.

    Q Delhi Transco has really lead the way in India

    in terms of cutting transmission losses, how has

    the company achieved this?

    A Transco has substantially cut transmission

    losses, prior to privatisation they were 6% and

    now they are below 1%. Delhi Transco has

    completed 400kv ring around Delhi having a

    capacity of 4000MW Load.

    The new master plan 2021 has recently been

    approved and it is projected that 700 sqkm of

    territory on the outskirts of Delhi will be urbanised

    over the next fifteen years. We are conducting a

    major review to establish which areas are likely

    to be developed in the next few years to identify

    where to set up new substation infrastructure.

    Delhi has had the reputation of being power cutcity, my vision is to make Delhi an inverter free

    city.

    Q What would your message be to our

    international readership about the Indian power

    sector and investing here?

    A The Indian economy is growing at about

    9% a year. Mega cities like Delhi, which depend

    almost exclusively on power to meet their

    economic needs, will have to find new and

    innovative solutions to meet their requirements.

    There is a great opportunity for people across the

    world to become partners with us.

    C o u n t r y P r o f i l e : I n d i aP o w e r S u m m i t - T h e E n e r g y H a n d b o o k 2 0 1 1

    The Indian transmission network was

    originally split into several regions. In

    recent years PowerGrid Corp. has made

    significant headway in interconnecting the

    regions but there is still much work to be

    done. India is a vast and varied country.

    Daily peak demand in the east will not

    fall at the same time as in the south, and

    peak supply during the rainy season inthe north, where many hydro facilities are

    located, does not match peak demand

    there, says Jayant Deo, MD and CEO

    of IEX, Indias new and fast-developing

    power exchange. As the energy market

    was structured on a regional basis, supply

    has traditionally been built to meet local

    demands and thus there was often a

    mismatch between demand and supply.

    India is developing a network of ultra-

    high-voltage transmission lines to improve

    regional interconnection and to transmit

    power efficiently from the countrys new

    mega and ultra-mega generation plants.

    Indian transmission engineering firms are

    rushing to meet demand in the sector.

    One challenge, common throughout many

    sectors of Indian industry, is security of

    supply for parts and equipment. With this

    in mind, many of the larger transmission

    engineering firms have invested in their

    own fabrication plants.

    Technical T&D losses have been kept

    high by lack of investment and a system

    that has held back the adoption of new

    technologies. As the private sector

    becomes more involved in T&D the hope

    is that losses will fall further.

    Power transmission is a big area for

    improvement, as the distribution lossesare very high well above 30 percent in

    India compared to 1115 percent globally.

    We are developing high-tech solutions

    in order to cut the energy losses, says

    Rajesh Agarwal, Managing Director of BS

    TransComm. Looking to the future, PPPs

    will increasingly be the chosen method

    of development. The Government has

    already budgeted $14bn via partnerships

    with private companies, through the

    Build-Operate-Transfer model. The private

    players are just starting to enter the sector.

    Within the next five to seven years there

    will be a shift in this sphere.

    Manufacturing

    Like many of Asias other success

    stories, Indias manufacturing industry is

    dominated by three classes of company.

    Large state-controlled enterprises, the

    hangover of a three-decade dalliance with

    socialism, have continued to prosper in

    Indias increasingly free market. The privatesector is characterised by conglomerates

    set on integration and diversification, while

    young and aggressive firms are chasing

    niche positions. India is a great incubator

    of entrepreneurship Bharat Forges

    Baba Kalyani notes: Indias growth is

    largely dependent on the entrepreneurial

    skills of our people and there is space

    in the power market for smaller players.

    However, this expanding market is likely to

    be dominated by a handful of major Indian

    and foreign corporations (often working in

    partnership) with the smaller companies

    operating at the lower end of the value

    chain. As Kalyani observes: Energy, like

    any other big market, is regulated. The

    Government gets involved somewhere.

    Therefore, knowing the system, knowing

    how it works and having the network

    always helps.

    Manufacturing

    unit; Photo

    courtesy of Bharat

    Forge.

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    C o u n t r y P r o f i l e : I n d i aP o w e r S u m m i t - T h e E n e r g y H a n d b o o k 2 0 1 1

    The Indian parliament

    recently adopted overtly

    protectionist measures,

    including the reintroduction

    of an a tax on imported

    power equipment.

    State-owned generators,

    including Indias largest

    generator NTPC, are obliged

    to favour domestically

    manufactured equipment

    if the price is within

    15 percent of t he closest

    foreign-made product.

    These measures threaten

    to undermine the countrys

    generation capacity growth

    objectives as well as

    damaging the development

    of a domestic industry.

    For many years Indias power sector was

    virtually a closed shop with privileged

    status given to Bharat Heavy Electricals

    Ltd. (BHEL), the Government-controlledmanufacturer of everything from turbines

    to capacitors. Some 70 percent of

    turbines in Indian power plants were built

    by BHEL. Today, however, BHEL has

    emerged from its protected position to

    compete successfully in the open market,

    and indeed has prospered in recent

    years. Over the last five to six years we

    have grown at a rate of 2025 percent

    annually, our top line has tripled and the

    bottom line quadrupled in a matter of

    four years, explains B.P. Rao, BHELs

    Chairman and Managing Director. In

    2006 we had 6 GW/y capacity, in 2007

    this was upped to 10 GW and in March

    2010 we went to 15 GW. It is a sign of

    quite how fast the market is growing andhow well the old monopolist has thrived

    in the free market that 15 GW/y is stil l not

    enough for BHEL; by 2012 Rao is aiming

    for an annual production of turbines and

    generators totalling 20 GW.

    BHEL has placed great emphasis on

    technological development, both as a

    partner to foreign firms and more recently

    through in-house R&D. While we started

    out as a manufacturing organisation, we

    have now become an innovation-driven

    company, says Rao. Last year we spent

    almost 2.5 p ercent of our turnover on R&D

    and filed patents at the rate of nearly one

    a day. The company followed the process

    of acquiring technology through tie-ups

    with many of the leading companies.

    Today we have technology partnerships

    with about 70 companies.

    Exports and international collaboration

    have played a major part in the

    development of many Indian companies.

    Looking to the future, CEOs see that

    participating in the world market will not

    only widen their markets but also help

    them create world-class products. At

    the end of the 1990s things were really

    slow in India and the markets were not

    doing very well, but we wanted to grow

    the company and start exporting our

    products, says Aditya Knanna, Director

    of the switchgear and busbar manufacture

    C&S. That was a significant point in the

    company, and when we started getting

    orders, we had to up our game in terms of

    quality, delivery, logistics and aesthetics.

    By the time the market opened in the early

    2000s we were already there, which iswhy C&S is an anomaly today: we are

    a small company competing against

    multi-billion-dollar companies and have

    managed to establish a strong market

    position in India.

    India on the World Stage

    For many years Indian power service and

    equipment manufacturing companies had

    little option other than to look overseas

    if they wished to grow. With a complex

    and often corrupt tendering process

    and only a few state-owned clients, the

    domestic market was often stagnant and

    impenetrable. Today the domestic market

    is far more active and transparent, yetmany manufacturers still wish to increase

    revenues and margins through exports.

    Africa and the Middle East are the key

    markets for most Indian export-oriented

    companies, with neighbouring South

    Asian countries such as Bhutan attracting

    the attention of Indian generation

    companies.

    Africa is the new frontier for many Indian

    companies who see that they have a

    number of comparative advantages in

    that continent. I believe that Africa

    will be the most exciting area for this

    company, says Khurshed Daruvala,

    Managing Director of engineering and

    contracting company Sterling and

    Wilson. Daruvala notes that most African

    countries take a pragmatic attitude to the

    importation of labour and goods when

    it comes to executing projects: Most

    African countries allow Indian labour to

    come and work, and also accept material

    coming from India. 75 percent of the cost

    of a project comes from India, which is a

    real advantage for us.

    Mohan Energy Corporation is an Indian

    engineering firm established over 30

    years ago specifically to target the

    African market. Director Amitabh Agrawal

    explains the Indian experience of Africa:

    In the African marketplace it is hard to

    distinguish between an Indian company

    and a European company. African clients

    are very clear about what they want and

    if you are able to give them this t hen they

    are happy to work with you. Africa is not

    as price-sensitive as India; in India people

    are entering pricing wars, which are notsustainable and have to compromise the

    quality of the product. In Africa, people

    understand that there is a minimum price

    and they demand a higher standard.

    Most of the time, the consultants and

    supervising engineers come from western

    countries and projects have to be executed

    to the highest international standards.

    It is an indication of the international

    standards that Indian firms achieve

    that they tend to focus on privately or

    internationally funded projects rather

    than on large, government-to-government

    deals. Tata Consulting Engineers

    has successfully carried out several

    assignments overseas in south-eastAsia, the Middle East, Africa, Europe,

    Asia Pacific, Australia and the Americas,

    notes Vice President U.K. Hambarde.

    Some of our projects were sponsored by

    the World Bank, Asian Development Bank,

    UNDP and other international agencies.

    Our focus at the moment is the African

    region, as it is a growing economy and

    we have a lot of experience there. There

    are many opportunities, especially in the

    T&D sector. Indian firms have sometimes

    struggled to overcome a perception that

    they do not deliver to international quality

    and time standards. Essar Projects,

    one of Indias big three construction

    companies, is working across the world

    in a vast array of technical areas.

    Essar is a national champion in the

    construction and engineering sectors

    and one of the largest and best-equipped

    construction companies in Asia. CEO

    Alwyn Bowden explains: There are a lotof misconceptions around, and in the past

    Indian construction companies have not

    always been highly regarded overseas.

    Most of the labour for the international

    sites has come from India and the skilled

    work base is originating from here. The

    Indian market has been very chaotic in the

    past, but the management of the various

    groups realise that and are recruiting

    trained people to make sure that they catch

    up with existing management standards

    elsewhere. It is clear, however, that

    India can produce world-class companies.

    We are currently running two sites with

    25,000-person workforces and that

    is quite rare anywhere in the world,

    Bowden says.

    Conclusion

    Indias generation and transmission

    sectors are now open to private investment

    and the nations leading companies have

    rushed to fulfil the countrys burgeoning

    demand for electricity. The country has

    taken some time to develop a model of

    private sector participation that works

    and is respected by national and state

    governments. The Indian experience for

    international companies in the 1990s

    and early 2000s has resulted in a muted

    foreign response to the opportunities that

    exist in the modern market.

    The reforms of 2003 have gone a longway to fixing early problems and foreign

    private firms should look anew at India.

    The country still has some way to go

    before it can hope to attract investment

    in the regions of the country where it

    is most needed; it is not uncommon for

    Indian power executives to define the

    Indian market as just four states, ignoring

    the 22 which are deemed uncreditworthy.

    Many states still need to fully implement

    open access legislation and ensure that

    state-owned distribution companies pay

    generators according to the terms of their

    agreements.

    While we

    started out as a

    manufacturing

    organisation, we

    have now become

    an innovation-driven

    company. Last year

    we spent almost

    2.5 percent of our

    turnover on R&D

    and filed patents at

    the rate of nearly

    one a day.

    B.P. Rao

    Chairman &

    Managing Director

    of BHEL

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    In many countries, nuclear is the

    only large-scale alternative to fossil

    fuels that is readily available to meet

    growing demand for baseload power.

    Here we look at the opportunities and

    challenges associated with nuclear power

    and explore the major avenues of researchand development within the field.

    The perfect answer for the reduction of

    CO2 emissions, on a large scale, is nuclear

    power plants, believes Bob Prantil,

    North Region Executive at GE Energy. But

    despite its emission credentials, nuclear

    generation promotes an ideological

    discussion perhaps more than any

    other energy issue. Duncan Hawthorne,

    President and CEO of Bruce Power, a

    privately owned company that operates

    a nuclear facility in Canada, believes that

    this is due to the necessity of the reliable

    power that nuclear power provides: Ive

    always said: We are nuclear. No one

    likes us. We dont care. The market place

    is very obvious. The world cannot survive

    without our contribution.

    In 2009, 1314 percent of the worldselectricity was generated from nuclear

    power. According to the European

    Nuclear Society, in October 2010 there

    were 441 nuclear plants in operation, in

    30 countries, with a combined capacity

    of around 375 GW. The World Energy

    Council reports that this capacity is

    expected to rise to between 600 and

    1,340 GW by 2030. Over 30 countries

    are currently planning or delivering nuclear

    energy programmes. Across the world, 52

    reactors are under construction, a further

    140 are on order or planned, and an

    additional 344 are at the proposal stage.

    Nuclear Power

    Nuclear power has never been so widely, and extensively,

    employed as it is today. More and more of the world is

    embracing nuclear generation on an unprecedented scale due toits near zero emission of greenhouse gas and relative insulation

    from commodity price fluctuations and supply chain disruption.

    Article by:

    Tom Willatt

    Q Please could you

    start by giving us an

    overview of Bharat Forge

    and how the companyhas evolved since you

    became CMD?

    A In the 1990s, I

    converted our company

    to a global business and I

    believe that we are now

    the leading company in

    our segment. We have

    diversified from being purely a supplier to the

    automotive industry into other industrial sectors

    as well. Our strategy for this decade is to build

    our non-automotive businesses -- primarily our

    capital goods interests -- substantially, so that

    they contribute to 70- 75% of our revenue. Five

    years ago it was only about 5 or 10%. Within the

    capital goods segment, power is one of the key

    verticals.

    We are a technology-driven company and within

    the power sector we are going to be present in

    the renewable energy as well as thermal and

    nuclear energy sectors. Our focus is to build

    equipment for these sectors. We are currently

    building wind turbines which we manufacture and

    sell in India and Europe. We are now setting up a

    plant to build steam turbines and generators using

    super critical technology. We are partnering with

    Alstom in this.

    We are also setting up a plant to build turbines

    and generators for thermal power plants in the

    range of 300 to 800MW sub critical, super

    critical and ultra super critical. Bharat Forge

    also has a relationship with Areva of France

    to manufacture and supply components forthe nuclear power sector. We currently supply

    specialised forgings to the Indian nuclear industry

    and by the nature of our upcoming businesses

    we will become a very large player in the power

    sector.

    Q You have built a dominant position in your

    core business of components, why then enter

    an industry (power equipment) that has been

    under the control of a handful of state-owned

    companies for many years?

    A For many years there has only been one

    player in the Indian power equipment sector and

    Interview with Baba N Kalyani,

    Chairman and Managing Director, Bharat Forge Ltd.

    that is BHEL. Production capacity was about

    5,000MW to 6,000MW, which they are currently

    doubling. Indias current installed capacity is

    about 150,000MW and this needs to go up tonearly 800,000MW in the next fifteen years. This

    growth cannot be met by one company alone.

    The power market is the biggest opportunity in

    the Indian manufacturing sector today. Power

    equipment by its nature requires a lot of forging -

    - which is our core business. We are world leaders

    in our field and experts at manufacturing.

    Q How do you see the Nuclear Liabilities Act

    impacting on your aspirations in the sector?

    A I think that there is a lot of media hype

    surrounding the issue. My own personal view is

    that between the government of India and the

    people who plan to build the nuclear plants, there

    will be a very clear understanding of liabilities.

    If you have a one-sided view of liability then no

    one is going to build the plants. The market has

    its own way of finding its balance. I dont think

    there will be any delay caused by this. If you have

    any liability you can go to an insurance company

    and they can give you cover for a certain price.

    This price will be the same for anyone. If it is

    uninsurable then no one will build the plants.

    Q What would be your message to our readers

    around the globe about the Indian Power Sector,

    and Bharat Forge specifically?

    A Bharat Forge aims to grow by three times

    within the next five years - and will be a $4bn

    company. Power equipment sales will play

    a substantial role in this growth. The power

    industry in India; whether it be the manufacturing

    of equipment, energy generation, transmission

    or distribution; is going to be one of the largest

    drivers of growth over the next two decades.In order to reach at least moderate levels of

    electricity consumption in India, the sector will

    require major investment. India is without a doubt

    one of the most exciting places in the world when

    it comes to doing business in the power sector.

    Bharat Forge is committed to play a significant

    role in manufacturing equipment and energy

    production. India will emerge as one of the

    most competitive places for manufacturing high

    technology products within the next twenty

    years. Brand India is already improving, but there

    is still a long way to go.

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    Developing World Demand

    Nuclear technology was born in the

    laboratories of North America, western

    Europe and the Soviet empire, and these

    regions were the first to feed nuclear

    power into their grids in the 1950s and

    1960s.

    In the 1970s and 1980s, however,

    the western world was shaken by the

    Three Mile Island and Chernobyl events.

    The resulting regulatory changes led to

    enormous project cost over-runs and

    cancellations, and a 30-year lull in nuclear

    power investment in this region.

    Yet the nuclear industry did not stagnate.

    The focus for development of nuclear

    plants shifted to new adopters, keen to

    diversify their power generation options.

    Over the past 30 years the number of

    countries employing nuclear power has

    grown steadily.

    Currently, nowhere is this more true than

    in China. According to the World Nuclear

    Association, China has the worlds

    fastest-growing nuclear programme, with

    a target for 2020 of 70 GW in operation

    and a further 30 GW under construction.

    In other countries, however Iran being

    currently the most notorious example the

    spread of nuclear power is constrained by

    political concerns about the proliferation

    of nuclear weapons.

    Western Renaissance

    Since 2001, industry observers have been

    increasingly discussing the potential for a

    nuclear renaissance across the developed

    world. Bans on nuclear development have

    been repealed in Sweden and Italy, andnuclear fleets are being refurbished or

    expanded in South Africa, Japan, Ukraine,

    the Czech Republic and the USA.

    The trend is not universal Germany and

    Spain are uncertain about their nuclear

    future and are continuing to phase out

    nuclear but overall the industry is

    certainly gaining momentum.

    One of the big concerns for policy-makers

    is the lingering risk of large cost over-runs

    on nuclear construction projects, with

    billions of dollars at risk.

    Finlands Olkiluoto 3 development, for

    example, has been plagued by delays,

    over-runs and safety concerns. Nuclear

    is ideal for the baseload, because once

    it is up and running the operating cost

    is very low, says Tony Masella, Partner

    and MD for the Resources Practice at

    consultancy Accenture. However, there

    is a lot of debate about whether the costof a new build or refurbishment is a good

    use of public funds.

    The length of time since the last Western

    nuclear plants were constructed means

    that the necessary experience may be

    lacking.

    The issue that we face in North America

    is that we havent built one in thirty

    years, which causes great uncertainty

    in terms of cost, says Pierre Gauthier,

    President, Alstom Canada and USA. It

    is hard to evaluate today what will be the

    end cost of a nuclear power plant in North

    America.

    Decision-making is made more difficult

    by the fact that the cost of natural gas,

    although often volatile, is currently low

    and looks to stay that way.

    While shale gas is being found everywhere

    in huge pockets and being traded at around

    $5 a ton the value proposition of nuclear

    becomes an even greater challenge, says

    Tony Masella of Accenture. Compared to

    nuclear, gas-fired power plants are also

    quick to build.

    International cooperation

    Whether or not nuclear power does see

    a western renaissance, the established

    nuclear suppliers in these countries seethe global spread of nuclear power as a

    great opportunity.

    The extension of nuclear power to new

    countries is underpinned by international

    cooperation. Companies from nations

    with expertise are working with aspirants

    to provide the technical assistance they

    need to take their nuclear programmes

    forward.

    Nuclear power was traditionally a very

    nationalistic industry, but todays

    nuclear companies are now becoming

    increasingly globalised. Jean-Franois

    Bland, Executive Vice President at Areva

    Canada, says: Its a global industry now;

    national players no longer exist. Areva

    is no longer a French player. We have

    employees around the world. It is that

    paradigm shift that Canadian companies

    are going through now. It is a worldwide

    market and it is focused on what is themost reliable and economically viable

    technology for the taxpayer.

    Given that carbon neutrality is one of

    nuclear powers greatest strengths, the

    introduction of a globally acknowledged

    carbon price would greatly add to the

    ability of nuclear energy to compete with

    fossil-fuel generation.

    The lack of regulatory certainty regarding

    carbon pricing is constraining large capital

    investment, explains Keith Triginer,

    Country Executive, GE Energy Canada.

    Unfortunately, large nuclear plants fall

    into that bracket. If and when carbon

    pricing gets established, I think that willaccelerate large capital investment in

    nuclear around the world.

    Next-generation Technology

    Nuclear power is generally considered in

    terms of four generations of technology

    over its five decades. The first generation,

    developed in the 1960s and 1970s, is

    now rarely operated. Second-generation

    reactors were mostly developed in

    North America and Europe, and remain

    in operation across the world. The third

    and fourth generations, now under

    development, should make nuclear

    power more efficient, safer and easier to

    construct.

    Though current reactor sizes are typically

    around 1 GW, there is a movement

    towards smaller, modular reactors to

    replace small coal-powered plants.

    Michael Lees, President, Babcock & Wilcox

    (B&W) Canada Ltd., explains: We are

    developing the B&W mPower advanced

    light water nuclear reactor that can

    range in the 150300 MW size. The cost

    saving from a large nuclear plant is quite

    dramatic, as you move construction and

    manufacturing into a shop environment

    to create complete, road transportable,

    units.

    This strategy reduces

    construction risk

    significantly, not least by

    allowing utility companies

    to replace a single large

    facility with a number of

    smaller modules. We hope

    to have sales in the US

    within the next decade,says Michael Lees.

    Given the increased risk

    associated with being

    an early adopter of new

    technology, some people

    think that the renaissance

    will only really gain speed

    once the next generation

    of reactors is already

    up and running. I see

    an increasing role for nuclear its a

    necessity, not a choice, because of

    its reliability, believes Kurt Strobele,

    Chairman and CEO of Hatch, a global

    engineering firm that is active across the

    power industry.

    But it will be a small start. There is a lot

    of inertia, and the new projects and new

    technologies have not been as successful

    as hoped. Once we get past that first

    hurdle I think there will be a very fast

    climb in nuclear build.

    Questions to be Answered

    Nuclear energy is clearly going to play

    an increasingly important role in global

    electricity generation. The world is driving

    towards a lower-carbon economy and

    nations are looking for reliable baseload

    energy to complement renewable

    sources.

    The nuclear industry needs not only to

    convince the public of its green credentials

    but also to show decision-makers that

    the economics of nuclear energy can

    compete with the other baseload options

    available.

    To allay the fears of policy-makers, nuclear

    technology companies will need to show

    that they can build the next generation of

    reactors repeatably, efficiently and cost-

    effectively. If this can be accomplished,

    the long-heralded nuclear renaissance

    seems likelier that ever.

    I see an increasing

    role for nuclear

    its a necessity, not

    a choice, because

    of its reliability.

    Kurt StrobeleChairman and CEOof Hatch


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