Date post: | 06-May-2015 |
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From Start to FinishEverybody’s talking, everywhere, all the time
The Evolution of Mobile Communications from a Technology and Marketing Perspective
Dave Neale
VP Enhanced Services
Telus
Technology Adoption Curve
Adoption of New Technology Products - Canada
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Power Technologists Trend Catchers Pragmatic EnthusiastsSimplicity Seekers Reluctant Adopters Conservative Technophobes
Disintermediation30% of all adopters
Quest for TrustedIntermediates47% of all adopters
Deference to TrustedAuthorities23% of all adopters
Progress of Market Adoption
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
Source: Michael Adams, Environics Research
Orientation:
The
CH
ASM
Crossing the Chasm
• innovators 2.25% • early adopters 15%
• early majority 34% • late majority 34% • laggards 15%
Vehicular Telephony (MTS)
The Birth of Portable Phones
The “First Movers” Advantage
Acc
ess
Tim
e M
anag
emen
t
Senior ExecutivesGovernment Officers
Sales ExecutivesHigh-Net Worth Individuals
S-Curve of Adoption
1985 1989 1991 1995 1996 2004 2007 ?
First Handheld PhoneMotorola DynaTac series 1973 - 1989
S-Curve of Adoption
1985 1989
First “Flip” PhoneMotorola MicroTac series 1989
First Miniature Digital PhoneMotorola MicroTac series 1995
S-Curve of Adoption
1985 1989 1991 1995 1996 2004 2007 ?
S-Curve of Adoption
1985 1989 1991 1995
S-Curve of Adoption
1985 1989 1991 1995 1985 1989 1991 1995 1996
S-Curve of Adoption
1985 1989 1991 1995 1996 2004 2007 ?
S-Curve of Adoption
1985 1989 1991 1995 1996 2004 2007 ?
Inside the Tornado
Swing Voting (and Churn…)
18%
22%
48%
12%
Easily Motivated Motivated for a Good Reason
Hard to Motivate Unmotivated
Late-stage Market Diversification
• Wireless Data• Niche Market Development• Mobile Virtual Network Operators• Multipurpose Devices
Luxury Phones
Smallest Phone?
Smartphones
Wireless Devices for the Future?
Questions?Questions?