Exec Summary Table

Status QuoFarming Economy

Recreation Economy

Fish and Farm Economy

Drought Conditions

Direct Revenue for the Region and Percent Change by Scenario

Hotels $15,122 (4.0%) 31.4% 13.3% 7.4% Real Estate $20,841 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Agriculture $40,183 171.0% (52.5%) 63.2% (61.2%)Recreation $5,158 (66.9%) 374.1% 222.0% 223.0% Tourism $53,391 (3.7%) 43.8% 12.4% (3.0%)

Net Change in Market Value $0 $62,873 $24,631 $44,811 ($13,889)Net Change in Expressed Value $0 ($15,541) $92,853 $51,546 $47,737

Market Value $132,041 $194,915 $156,673 $176,853 $118,151Expressed Value $45,396 $29,853 $138,248 $96,942 $93,133

Total Value $177,437 $224,768 $294,922 $273,795 $211,285

Table 3: Summary of Results from All Scenarios (all numbers in $1000s)

Flow Table

Pre-Irrigation Managed

Summer

820 1,340 Upper

1,315 35 Middle

4,432 4,040 Lower

Winter

730 30 Upper

1,310 670 Middle

4,660 4,520 Lower

Table 2: Pre-Irrigation and present Managed flows in cubic foot per second (cfs) of the Deschutes River by season and section of the river (all numbers in CFS)

Figure 1: Revenue Generated by the Deschutes River in 2010

$40,183

$5,158

$15,122

$20,840

$26,193

$1,839

$53,391

$0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000

Agriculture

Tourism

Recreation

Hotels

Real Estate

Travel Cost

Commercial Salmon

Ind

us

try

Revenue in $1000s

Revenue Generated by Industry

Figure 1: Revenue Generated by the Deschutes River in 2010 from Key Industries

Figure 2: Direct Revenue Generated by the Deschutes River in 2010

$40,183

$53,391

$5,158

$15,122

$20,840

$0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000

Agriculture

Tourism

Recreation

Hotels

Real Estate

Ind

us

try

Revenue in $1000s

Direct Revenue Generated by Industry

Figure 2: Direct Revenue to Central Oregon Generated by Industry in 2010

Figure 3: Tourism Deschutes River-Related Tourism Revenue

$15,122 $15,122$5,159 $5,159

$249,452

$312,903

$47,367

$59,416

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

Low High

River Contribution

Non-River Contribution

Revenue AlreadyAccounted for in RecreationAnalysis

Revenue AlreadyAccounted for in HotelAnalysis

Figure 3: Tourism Revenue by Category

Re

ven

ue

in $

10

00

s

$317,100

$392,600

Figure 4: Upper Deschutes Guided Recreation Revenue

1

23

9

0

5

10

15

20

25

Fishing Rafting Canoeing/Kayaking

Participants by Activity

$79

$897

$728

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

Fishing Rafting Canoeing/Kayaking

Revenue by Activity

Pa

rtic

ipa

nts

in 1

00

0s

Re

ven

ue

in $

10

00

s

Figure 4: Upper Deschutes Guided Recreation Revenue

Figure 5: Lower Deschutes Guided Recreation Revenue

17

10

7

0

3

6

9

12

15

18

Fishing Rafting Canoeing/Kayaking

Participants by Activity

$2,475

$398

$582

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

Fishing Rafting Canoeing/Kayaking

Revenue by Activity

Pa

rtic

ipa

nts

in 1

00

0s

Re

ven

ue

in $

10

00

s

Figure 5: Lower Deschutes Guided Recreation Revenue

Figure 6: Hotel Revenue and Jobs from River

$10,365

$3,310

$13,676

$1,020

$425

$1,445

$0

$4,000

$8,000

$12,000

$16,000

Summer (May-Oct) Winter (Nov-Apr) Total

River Contribution River Premium

$11,385

Figure 6: Hotel Revenue and Jobs from River

$3,735

$15,1222,000

1,000

Re

ven

ue

in $

10

00

s

Job

s

Jobs

Figure 7: Upper Deschutes River-Related Hotel Revenue by Season

$7,076

$1,887

$261

$93

$0

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

Summer (May-Oct) Winter (Nov-Apr)

River Contribution River Premium

Figure 7: Upper Deschutes River-Related Hotel Revenue by Season

Re

ven

ue

in $

10

00

s

$7,337

$1,980

Figure 8: Indirect Revenue Generated by Industry

Revenue in $1000s

$1,839

$23,559

$0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000

Commercial Salmon

Travel Cost

Cat

ego

ry

Indirect Revenue Generated by Industry

Figure 8: Indirect Revenue Generated by Industry

Figure 9: Commercial Salmon Value and Rebuilding Scenarios

$1,839

$2,654

$3,139

$4,090

$4,593

$3,422

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

Market Non-Market

Historic Steady

Rebuilding Midpoint

Best Case Future

Commercial Salmon Value and Rebuilding Scenarios

Val

ue

in $

100

0sFigure 9: Commercial Salmon Values

Figure 10: Travel Expense of Visitors to Central Oregon

$28,793 $23,558

$124,066$151,637

$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

High Low

River Contribution Other Expense

Figure 10: Travel Expense of Visitors to Central Oregon

Exp

en

se in

$1

00

0s

$147,625

$180,431

Figure 11: Deschutes River-related travel expenditures by mode

$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

Low High

Rental Car Only

RV

Fly (and Fly + Car)

Private Car Only

Figure 11: Deschutes River Related Travel Expenditures by Mode

Exp

en

se in

$1

00

0s $147,625

$180,431

Figure 12: Additional Benefits

1,389

173

358

1,514

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

Agriculture Hotels Recreation Tourism

Jobs by Industry

Job

s

$9,831

$4,985

$5,044

Benefit by Activity

Canoeing/Kayaking

Rafting

Fishing

Additional Benefit by Activityin $1000

$19,861

Figure 12: Additional Benefits from Unguided Recreation and Job Creation

Figure 13: Upper Deschutes Additional Benefits form Non-Guided Recreation

2

87

33

0

25

50

75

100

Fishing Rafting Canoeing/Kayaking

Participants by Activity

$303

$3,453

$2,803

$0

$800

$1,600

$2,400

$3,200

$4,000

Fishing Rafting Canoeing/Kayaking

Additional Benefits by Activity

Pa

rtic

ipa

nts

in 1

00

0s

Re

ven

ue

in $

10

00

s

Figure 13: Upper Deschutes Additional Benefits form Non-Guided Recreation

Figure 14: Lower Deschutes Additional Benefits form Non-Guided Recreation

65

39

27

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Fishing Rafting Canoeing/Kayaking

Participants by Activity

$9,528

$1,532

$2,241

$0

$2,500

$5,000

$7,500

$10,000

Fishing Rafting Canoeing/Kayaking

Revenue by Activity

Pa

rtic

ipa

nts

in 1

00

0s

Re

ven

ue

in $

10

00

s

Figure 14: Lower Deschutes Additional Benefits form Non-Guided Recreation

Figure 15: Revenue by Scenario by Category

0 50 100 150 200 250

Current RiverEconomy

Farming Economy

Recreation Economy

Fish and FarmEconomy

Draught Conditions

Hotels

Real Estate

Agriculture

Recreation

Tourism

Sce

nar

io

Value in $Millions

Revenue by Scenario by Category

Figure 15: Revenue by Scenario by Category

$132

$194

$157

$177

$118

Scenario Snap Shot: Farming Economy

Farming Economy

In-stream flow change from present day river economy

Revenue by ActivityIn $1000s

Summer Winter

Upper: 0% 0%

Middle: 0% -95%

Lower: -99% 0%

Revenue change from present day river economy

Hotels: -4%

Real Estate: 0%

Agriculture: 171%

Recreation: -70% Additional Expressed Value

Tourism: -4% Non-Guided Recreation Value: -70%

TOTAL 48% Travel Cost WTP: -10%

CHANGE IN TOTAL VALUE: 27%

$49,006

$1,649

$108,905

$20,841

$14,514

Revenue by Activity

Hotels

Real Estate

Agriculture

Recreation

Tourism

$194,915

Scenario Snap Shot: Recreation Economy

River Recreation and Tourism Economy

In-stream flow change from present day river economy

Revenue by ActivityIn $1000s

Summer Winter

Upper: 0% 0%

Middle: 6,521% -95%

Lower: -18% 0%

Revenue change from present day river economy

Hotels: 31%

Real Estate: 0%

Agriculture: -53%

Recreation: 374% Additional Expressed Value

Tourism: 44% Non-Guided Recreation Value: 374%

Total Rev: 19% Travel Cost WTP: 80%

CHANGE IN TOTAL VALUE: 66%

$73,218

$23,648

$19,089

$20,841

$19,878

Revenue by Activity

Hotels

Real Estate

Agriculture

Recreation

Tourism

$156,637

Scenario Snap Shot: Fish and Farm

Fish and Farm Economy

In-stream flow change from present day river economy

Revenue by ActivityIn $1000s

Summer Winter

Upper: 0% 0%

Middle: 2,173% -95%

Lower: -18% 0%

Revenue change from present day river economy

Hotels: 13%

Real Estate: 0%

Agriculture: 63%

Recreation: 222% Additional Expressed Value

Tourism: 12% Non-Guided Recreation Value: 222%

Total Rev: 34% Travel Cost WTP: 34%

CHANGE IN TOTAL VALUE: 54%

$57,214

$16,061

$65,597

$20,841

$17,139

Revenue by Activity

Hotels

Real Estate

Agriculture

Recreation

Tourism

$176,853

Scenario Snap Shot: Draught Conditions

Draught Conditions

In-stream flow change from present day river economy

Revenue by ActivityIn $1000s

Summer Winter

Upper: -36% 0%

Middle: 0% 0%

Lower: -26% -36%

Revenue change from present day river economy

Hotels: 7%

Real Estate: 0%

Agriculture: -61%

Recreation: 223% Additional Expressed Value

Tourism: -3% Non-Guided Recreation Value: 223%

Total Rev: -10% Travel Cost WTP: 19%

CHANGE IN TOTAL VALUE: 19%

$49,383

$16,109

$15,584

$20,841

$16,236

Revenue by Activity

Hotels

Real Estate

Agriculture

Recreation

Tourism

$118,151