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Ministério de Minas e Energia Exploration & Production of Oil and Gas in Brazil 1 Minister Eduardo Braga Offshore Technology Conference – OTC May/2015
Transcript

Ministério de Minas e Energia

Exploration & Production of Oil and Gas in Brazil

1

Minister Eduardo Braga

Offshore Technology Conference – OTC May/2015

Ministério de Minas e Energia

Brazil a Strong Economy

2

Ministério de Minas e Energia 3

• World’s 7th largest economy;• Strong and growing domestic market;• Fiscal adjustment taking place;• Inflation being controlled;• Large and diversified productive sector;• Abundant natural resources;• High infrastructure investment• Consolidated democracy;• Solid macroeconomic foundations;

Brazil – A Global and Stable Economy

Ministério de Minas e Energia 4

Top 5

Robust Macroeconomic Figures

Source – Brazilian Planning Ministry

Ministério de Minas e Energia

Installed capacity 133,912 MW Transmission lines 125,833 km

Maximum recorded consumption 85,708 MW (02.05.2014)

Structural balance - No shortage, even with the most severe hydrology for two years

Brazilian Electrical Sector5

200180,315 MW

2014133,912 MW

67%Installed capacity

200170,034 km

2014125,833 km

80%Generation Transmission (only 1% isolated)

Additional capacity required – 4.4 GW/y

Ministério de Minas e Energia

Brazil’s Oil and Gas SectorA Great Opportunity to Invest

6

Ministério de Minas e Energia 7

• 2.8 million km²- with potential for oil & gas discoveries

• 307.7 thousand km² granted

• 430 producing fields

• 110 E&P companies

Exploration & Production Activities

Ministério de Minas e Energia 8

Proved reserves (2013): 18.5 bn boe

ESTIMATED RECOVERABLE VOLUMES only discoveries under appraisal

• At least 40.1 to 50.1 bn boe (2014)Pre-Salt

Ministério de Minas e Energia 9

Strong regulatory Agency;

Stable rules;

12 bid rounds on Concession Model, and 1 bid on Production Sharing Model - full transparency - no claims;

All major companies are working in Brazil;

26 companies operating producing fields in Brazil;

Friendly environment for business – government support;

Huge potential for new discoveries;

No restrictions on oil exports – More than 500 thousand barrels per day

exported in 2014, by 17 companies – Petrobras 45%; other companies 55%.

The Oil and Gas Sector in Brazil

Ministério de Minas e Energia

Jan-00

Jun-00

Nov-00

Apr-01Sep

-01Feb

-02Jul-0

2Dec-

02

May-03

Oct-03

Mar-04

Aug-04Jan

-05Jun-05

Nov-05

Apr-06Sep

-06Feb

-07Jul-0

7Dec-

07

May-08

Oct-08

Mar-09

Aug-09Jan

-10Jun-10

Nov-10

Apr-11Sep

-11Feb

-12Jul-1

2Dec-

12

May-13

Oct-13

Mar-14

Aug-14Jan

-15 900,000

1,100,000

1,300,000

1,500,000

1,700,000

1,900,000

2,100,000

2,300,000

2,500,000

2,700,000 Brazilian Oil Production

BARE

LS P

ER D

AY

. Production growth – 116% in 15 years – 5.2% per year

More to come:

Huge discoveries starting production in a few years;

Amazing prospects to be offered in future bid rounds

10

Ministério de Minas e Energia

36% of the oil discovered worldwide in the last 5 years were in Brazil (22.9 bn bbl)

Discoveries in Brazil63% of the deep water discoveries in the last 5 years were in Brazil (22.2 bn bbl)

Brazilian Discoveries63%

Others Discover-

ies37%

Deepwater oil discoveries in the world - 2010-2014

Brazilian Discoveries36%

Others Discoveries64%

Oil discoveries in the world - 2010 -2014

The three biggest discoveries in the last 10 years took place in Brazil Lula, Libra and Búzios

Source: Wood Mackenzie

11

Ministério de Minas e Energia

Source: FPSO.com; IHS Petrodata April 15th, 2015Brazilian PAC

Brazil has the biggest offshore area under development

>20% Of all FPSOs are in operation in Brazil

46% FPSO/Platforms under construction will go to Brazil

40 New FPSOs will be operating in Brazil in a few years (24 only for Buzios and Libra)

12

Ministério de Minas e Energia 13

Local Content PolicyPhase 1 - (ongoing):

- Amazing development of local industry;

- Operators Resistance:- Additional cost- Additional time

- Contracts being respected

Phase 2 – (to be implemented):- New scenario:

- Huge demand;- Prices variation

- Adjustments are required–we need:1. Competitive suppliers;2. Development of new suppliers;3. Investments in innovation- Contracts must be respected 13

Ministério de Minas e Energia

Natural Gas in Brazil14

1. Regulated Open Access to all existent pipelines before 2020;

2. New pipelines under concession regime – open season - all companies can contract capacity;

3. Demand growing fast – 50% provided by imported gas;

4. Spot LNG is responsible for 38% of the imported natural gas – local production is a great opportunity;

5. Local gas production for new electrical power plants are very welcome;

Ministério de Minas e Energia 15

Ceará

Bahia

Rio de Janeiro

Pernambuco

Rio Grande

FutureOperating

Natural Gas Supply

LNG Terminals

Natural Gas in Brazil

Energy MixNatural gas share (%)

Imported Spot LNGDomestic Production

Imported by pipeline

2010 - 2014 Annual grouthTotal demand 12.80%Energy Mix Participation 13.70%Eletrical power plants demand 31.70%

Ministério de Minas e Energia

Petrobras16

1. The biggest Brazilian company is facing serious challenges – but the solution will come soon;

2. The company has full and unconditional government support;

3. The company continues to work hard and to overcome challenges:• Pre-salt production – 674 thousand barrels/day – March

2015 – less than 9 years after the first discovery;

• Developing technologies;• Winning awards;

4. Brazilian people remain proud of our most successful company.

Ministério de Minas e Energia

New Bid Rounds

17

Ministério de Minas e Energia

13th Bid Round

October 2015;

269 onshore and offshore blocks;

Mature, new frontiers and high potential basins

Concession Model18

High Potential

NewFrontier

NaturalGas

Mature Basins

Ministério de Minas e Energia 19

13th Bid Round - Blocks

Basin onshore/offshore Potential Fluid Number of Blocks ComentsAmazonas onshore New Frontier gas 7 to be confirmedParnaiba onshore New Frontier gas 22 important gas discoveries Potiguar onshore Mature oil and gas 71

Reconcavo onshore Mature oil and gas 85Sergipe/Alagoas offshore High Potential Gas and light oil 10 Most important area

Jacuipe offshore New Frontier oil and gas 4 close to SE/ALCamamu-Almada offshore New Frontier oil and gas 9

Espírito Santo offshore High Potential oil and gas 7 Amazing prospectsCampos offshore High Potential oil and gas 3 only shalow waterPelotas offshore New Frontier oil and gas 51 Good Potential

Total 269

Ministério de Minas e Energia

2nd Bid Round

The bid round will take place between 2016 and 2017; Blocks with huge potential for oil in Campos and Santos

Basins will be offered; Some unitization areas could be offered too.

Production Sharing Model20

Blocks/Areas are being defined

Ministério de Minas e Energia

Concession Model - periodic rounds - considering: The oil companies necessity; The service companies demand; The local industry capacity; ANP studies on the areas; Recent discoveries;

TARGET – Not more than two years without a bid Production Sharing Model – rounds depend on:

Brazilian target for oil export; The local industry capacity;

For The Future21

Ministério de Minas e Energia 22

Final Remarks

Ministério de Minas e Energia 23

A good opportunity to invest: if you are an oil company (13th bid round could be the path); or if you provide goods and services for oil companies;

Huge potential – not only within the Pre-Salt polygon;

Stable regulatory framework and a strong Agency;

Political stability: Institutions working; Free press; Free manifestations

Brazilian Oil Sector Offer:

Ministério de Minas e Energia

Thank you very much,

I hope to see you soon in Brazil

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