F. No. 3-1/ 2016-17-CFCC-E&S
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND FARMERS WELFARE
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE, COOPERATION AND FARMERS WELFARE
(CROP FORECAST COORDINATION CENTRE)
Room No. 344-A, Krishi Bhawan, New Delhi
Dated: 04.07.2016
SUBJECT: MINUTES OF THE MEETING OF THE CROP WEATHER WATCH GROUP HELD ON
01.07.2016.
Summary observations of the Group on Agenda Items
Details of the mean maximum and minimum temperature during the week 23rd
June, 2016 to 29th
June, 2016 were as under:-
Maximum Temperature
Above normal by 2 to 40C over Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, many parts of Jharkhand, some
parts of Himachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Chhattisgarh, Odisha and isolated pockets of
East Rajasthan, Gujarat Region, East Madhya Pradesh, Gangetic West Bengal.
It was normal to near normal over rest of the country except many parts of Rayalaseema,
Tamil Nadu, some parts of South Interior Karnataka, Coastal Andhra Pradesh and isolated
pockets of Konkan, Coastal Karnataka, Kerala and Lakshadweep where it was below normal by
2 to 60C.
Minimum Temperature
Above normal by 2 to 40C over some parts of West Rajasthan.
It was normal to near normal over rest of the country except some parts of Lakshadweep,
isolated pockets of Jammu & Kashmir, West Madhya Pradesh, Telangana, Coastal Andhra
Pradesh, South Interior Karnataka, Coastal Karnataka, Kerala and Tamil Nadu where it was
below normal by 2 to 40C.
In the monsoon season, weekly Rainfall for the country as a whole during the week 23rd
June,
2016 to 29th
June, 2016 has been 1% higher than Long Period Average (LPA). Rainfall (%
departure from LPA) in the four broad geographical divisions of the country during the above
period was higher by 43% in South Peninsula, 11% in Central India and lower by 33% in East &
North East India, 9% in North West India.
The cumulative rainfall in the country during the monsoon season i.e. 01st June, 2016 to 29
th June,
2016 has been 12% lower than Long Period Average (LPA). Rainfall (% departure from LPA) in the
four broad geographical divisions of the country during the above period was higher than 22% in
South Peninsula but lower by 27% in East & North East India, 18% in Central India, 2% in North
West India.
Out of 36 met sub-divisions, 24 met sub-divisions constituting 64% of the total area of the country
has received excess/normal rainfall, 12 met sub-divisions constituting 36% of the total area of the
country has received deficient/scanty rainfall.
Central Water Commission monitors 91 major reservoirs in the country which have total live
capacity of 157.80 BCM at Full Reservoir Level (FRL). Current live storage in these reservoirs as
on 30th
June, 2016 was 23.94 BCM as against 50.05 BCM on 30.06.2015 (last year) and 34.11 BCM
of Normal (average storage of the last 10 years) storage. Current year’s storage is 48% of the last
year’s storage and 70% of the normal storage.
As per latest information available on sowing of crops, around 20% of the normal area under
Kharif crops has been sown upto 01.07.2016. Total area sown under Kharif crops in the country
as on 01.07.2016 has been reported to be 215.87 lakh hectares as compared to 279.27 lakh
hectares in the corresponding period of last year. This year’s area coverage so far is lower by
63.4 lakh ha. than the last year.
As compared to normal area as on date, total area coverage this year is higher by 3.5 lakh ha.
under Tur, 1.1 lakh ha. under Urad and lower by 11.8 lakh ha. under Rice, 1.8 lakh ha. under
Jowar, 2.9 lakh ha. under Bajra, 2.6 lakh ha. under Groundnut, 3.1 lakh ha. under Soyabean,
and 17.7 lakh ha. under Cotton.
All-India progressive procurement of Rice as on 01.07.2016 for the marketing season 2015-16
was 340.54 lakh tonnes against the procurement of 312.53 lakh tonnes upto the corresponding
period of last year.
Availability position of seeds and fertilizers has been found satisfactory.
1. Pre-Monsoon Season (March – May) during the week ending on 29th June, 2016
Sub-division-wise daily distribution of maximum/minimum temperature is shown in Table-1.1
Rainfall during the week (23rd
June, 2016 to 29th
June, 2016) Rainfall was excess/normal in
22, deficient/scanty in 14 out of 36 meteorological sub-divisions.
Cumulative rainfall (01st June, 2016 to 29
th June, 2016) Rainfall was excess/normal in 24,
deficient/scanty in 12 out of 36 meteorological sub-division.
Table-1.2: Weekly and Cumulative Rainfall in four regions of the country1
E: Excess, N: Normal, D: Deficient, S: Scanty, NR: No Rain.
Source: India Meteorological Department, New Delhi
Table – 1.3: Category wise comparative distribution of Sub-division (cumulative rainfall) and All-India
Percentage Rainfall Departure for the last five years since: 1st June to
Source: IMD
Sub-division-wise 5 days rainfall forecast 4th
July, 2016 to 8th
July, 2016 is shown in Table 1.4
1. North-west India - Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi, Punjab, Uttaranchal, Himachal Pradesh, and Jammu and Kashmir.
Central India - Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra and Gujarat
SouthPeninsula - Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu & Pondicherry, Kerala and Lakshadweep. North-east India - Bihar, Jharkhand, Orissa, West Bengal, Sikkim, Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, and Andaman and
Nicobar Islands.
Region Week Ending (29.06.2016) Cumulative (01.06.16 to 29.06.16)
(in mm) Devi-
ation
(%)
Cat.
(in mm) Devi-
ation
(%)
Cate-
gory Actual Normal Actual Normal
North-West India 23.5 25.9 -9 N 62.8 64.0 -2 N
Central India 67.4 60.5 11 N 127.3 155.9 -18 N
South Peninsular India 61.7 43.1 43 D 185.7 151.7 22 E
East & North-East India 62.7 93.1 -33 D 244.2 335.5 -27 D
Country as a whole 52.0 51.7 1 N 137.6 155.5 -12 N
No. of Sub-Divisions with
rainfall
For the period from 1st June to
29 JUN
2011
04 JUL
2012
03 JUL
2013
02 JUL
2014
01 JUL
2015
29 JUN
2016
Excess
Normal
Total
17
09
26
00
10
10
21
11
32
00
05
05
13
18
31
07
17
24
Deficient
Scanty
No rain
Total
08
02
00
10
17
09
00
26
04
00
00
04
20
11
00
31
05
00
00
05
10
02
00
12
Data Inadequate 00 00 00 00 00 00
TOTAL 36 36 36 36 36 36
All-India %
Rainfall Deviation
11% (-) 23% 37% (-) 43% 13% (-) 12%
Table: 1.1
Table: 1.4
2. Reservoir Status (For the week ending on 30.06.2016)
The Central Water Commission monitors the live storage of 91 important/major reservoirs,
having capacity at Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 157.80 billion cubic meters (BCM), which is
about 62% of total reservoir capacity in the country.
Water stock in 91 major reservoirs increased to 23.94 BCM from the previous week’s level
of 23.20 BCM. Current storage is lower than the last year’s position of 50.05 BCM and the
average of last 10 year’s storage of 34.11 BCM.
Table – 2.1 : For 91 major reservoirs of the country
Period Current Year’s
Storage as %
of FRL*
Current Year’s
storage as % of
last year
Current year as a % of 10
years average level
Current Week
Last Week
15
15
48
54
70
75
The percentage to live capacity at FRL was 32% on 30/06/2015, 24% on 30/06/2014,
27% on 30/06/2013 and 16% on 30/06/2012.
* Live storage as % to Full Reservoir Level (FRL) of 157.80 Billion Cub. Mts.(BCM)
Source: CWC
There were 35 reservoirs having storage more than 80%, 12 reservoirs having storage between 50% to
80% of Normal Storage, 18 reservoir having storage between 30% to 50%, 26 reservoir having storage
upto 30% of Normal Storage and 07 reservoir having no live storage.
Source: Central Water Commission
3. Fertilizer Position:
Table – 3.1: Requirement, Availability, Sales and Stock position of Major Fertilizers Urea,
DAP, MOP, Complex and SSP during Kharif 2015-16 (As on 30.06.2016)
(in ‘000 Tonnes)
Availability / Sale / Closing Stock Urea DAP MOP Complex SSP
Opening Stock as on 01.04.2016 932 376 150 530 123
Requirement for Kharif, 2015-16 14739 5082 1742 5368 3060
Requirement upto June, 2016 2771 1149 365 1111 672
Availability upto 30.06.2016 7125 2335 606 2343 823
Sales upto 30.06.2016 4278 1028 278 1066 333
Closing Stock upto 30.06.2016 2847 1307 328 1278 490
Source: Fertilizer Division (DAC) / Deptt. of Fertilizer
4. Pest & Diseases:
Incidence of white fly on cotton crop has been reported in low to moderate intensity in few villages of Khian Sarwar &
Abohar blocks of Fazilka district of Punjab.
Incidence of brinjal leaf curl virus on brinjal crop has been reported in moderate intensity in Trichy district of
Tamilnadu.
Incidence of Cutworm on Maize crop has been reported in moderate to moderate to severe intensity in Doda &
Kishtwar districts of Jammu & Kashmir.
Incidence of Giant african snail on rice, papaya, coffee, banana, Rubber Seedlings, vegetables and tuber crops has been
reported in trace to low intensity in Thiruvananthapuram, Kollam & Pathanamthitta districts of Kerala, affected area
1920 Hectare.
No shortage of Chemical / Bio-pesticides was reported from any State / UT.
5. All India Crop Situations
Table 5.1
6. Progressive procurement of Rice as on 01.07.2016 (lakh tonnes)
Table: 6.1
State Total procurement in
marketing season
2014-15 (Oct. – Sept.)
Progressive Procurement as on
01.07.2016
In Marketing
season 2015-
2016
In Marketing
season 2014-
2015
Andhra Pradesh 35.96 42.99 34.79
Telangana 35.04 15.80 33.38
Bihar 16.14 12.25 16.14
Chhattisgarh 34.23 34.42 33.55
Haryana 20.15 28.61 20.15
Kerala 3.74 3.82 3.74
Madhya Pradesh 8.07 8.49 8.07
Maharashtra 1.99 2.22 1.78
Odisha 33.57 33.57 34.12
Punjab 77.86 93.50 77.86
Tamil Nadu 10.51 11.01 9.50
Uttar Pradesh 16.98 29.10 16.82
Uttrakhand 4.65 5.97 4.65
West Bengal 20.32 15.66 16.91
All-India 320.40 340.54 312.53