6 | NewScientist | 22 May 2010
Blanket benefits
Green bill targets US emissionsTHE refusal of successive US
governments to limit greenhouse
gas emissions infuriates
environmentalists – but things may
be about to change. Last week,
Democratic senator John Kerry and
Joe Lieberman, an independent
senator, unveiled the American
Power Act – a climate bill that has
President Barack Obama’s backing
and promises to shake up the US
economy and reinvigorate global
climate-change negotiations.
The bill lays out plans for a 4.5 per
cent cut in greenhouse gas emissions
by 2013 and a 17 per cent cut by
2020. That’s based on a 2005
baseline, however, whereas many
other countries start from 1990.
From a 1990 baseline, the 2020
target means a cut of just 3 per cent.
Still, the bill at least tells US
businesses that greenhouse-gas
emissions will fall in future, which
should spur investment in energy
efficiency and renewable energy.
Businesses will also pay for
emissions if the bill is passed, which
would drive up the price of electricity
from fossil-fuel sources. Critics argue
that costlier electricity will make
many products more expensive and
put people out of work.
But Richard Goettle at Northeastern
University in Boston, who worked
on an analysis of a similar bill by the
US Environmental Protection Agency,
disagrees. According to the EPA
study, enacting the bill would cause
household consumption to drop by
a few hundredths of a percentage
point by 2015, and by around 0.1 per
cent by 2020.
Consumers will react to higher
electricity prices by conserving
energy, says Goettle. He thinks that if
electricity costs more, consumers will
adapt to use less of it but won’t have
to change their lifestyles.
Goettle’s study also predicts
that the bill would add about 20¢ to
gasoline prices by 2020: not enough
to force drivers to buy energy-
efficient cars or drive less.
Kerry and Lieberman face an
enormous challenge in getting
the bill passed. They will probably
need Republican support, because
Democratic senators from coal-rich
states may vote against it.
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