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FEEDING THE FUTURE - INNOVATION REQUIREMENTS FOR PRIMARY FOOD PRODUCTION IN THE UK TO 2030 Prepared by the Joint Commissioning Group 1 (Principal Editor; Chris Pollock, Aberystwyth University) 1 Full details of the membership of the Joint Commissioning Group can be found in Appendix 1
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FEEDING THE FUTURE - INNOVATION REQUIREMENTS FOR PRIMARY FOOD PRODUCTION IN

THE UK TO 2030

Prepared by the Joint Commissioning Group1

(Principal Editor; Chris Pollock, Aberystwyth University)  

1 Full details of the membership of the Joint Commissioning Group can be found in Appendix 1

SUMMARY OF RESEARCH PRIORITIES AND RECOMMENDATIONS 3 RESEARCH PRIORITIES. 3 RECOMMENDATIONS 5 NEXT STEPS 6 FEEDING THE FUTURE - INNOVATION REQUIREMENTS FOR PRIMARY FOOD PRODUCTION IN THE UK TO 2030 7 I. Introduction 7

Current investment patterns 9 Current investment into applied producer-oriented research 11 Conclusions 12

II. INFORMATION-GATHERING AND EVALUATION 13 III. FINDINGS 14

1 Utilisation of modern technologies to improve the precision and efficiency of key agricultural management practices. 15 2 Apply modern genetic and breeding approaches to improve the quality, sustainability, resilience and profitability of crops and farm animals . 16 3 Use systems-based approaches to understand better and manage interactions between soil, water and crop/animal processes 17 4 Develop integrated approaches to the effective management of crop and animal diseases within farming systems. 18 5 Develop evidence-based approaches to value ecosystem service delivery by land users and incorporate these approaches into effective decision support systems at the enterprise or grouped enterprise level. 19 6 Extend the training and professional development of researchers, practitioners and advisors to promote delivery of the targets above. 20 7 Improve the use of social and economic science to promote development, uptake and use of sustainable, resilient and profitable agricultural practice that can deliver affordable, safe and high-quality products. 20

IV. RECOMMENDATIONS 21 V. EXTERNAL INFLUENCES THAT MIGHT AFFECT THE DEVELOPMENT AND UPTAKE OF INNOVATION: 23 VI. NEXT STEPS 25 VII. CONCLUDING REMARKS 26 VIII. APPENDICES 27

Appendix 1. Membership and affiliation of the Joint Commissioning Group. 27 Appendix 2. Reports and Strategy Documents used in the evaluation phase of this study to assess the breadth and coverage of current applied R&D in the Land Use Sector 30 Appendix 3 Collated Workshop Outputs 32 Appendix 4 Exemplars of successful integrated R&D programmes in the agricultural sector. 45

SUMMARY  OF  RESEARCH  PRIORITIES  AND  RECOMMENDATIONS   With the objective of identifying generic R&D priorities, an independent group of producers (The Joint Commissioning Group) has undertaken a series of workshops and parallel consultations with key industry stakeholders. If these priorities are addressed in a timely manner and with sufficient vigour, the contention is that positive outcomes can be anticipated for the UK industry that will protect and develop its capacity to respond positively to many challenges and opportunities associated with increased volatility in global markets both for inputs and products. Although the remit of the joint commissioning group related only to R&D relevant to food production, the researchable issues are also relevant to the development of alternative products from land. The generic issues are grouped into seven areas based upon the findings of the workshops The findings summarised below should be viewed as a suite of proposals that could form the basis for future concerted actions by a range of funders.

RESEARCH  PRIORITIES   1 Utilisation of modern technologies to improve the precision and efficiency of key agricultural management practices.

• Develop remote monitoring, control and application technologies to optimise input use efficiency, improve animal health and welfare, sustain product quality and safety, reduce the impact of machinery traffic on land and promote effective delivery of environmental goods and services

• Integrate and utilise the increasing volume of yield mapping and recording, soil, crop and animal data in order to develop better decision support tools for integrated farming systems.

• Improve platform flexibility, inter-­‐operability and applicability to the UK environment in order to promote delivery of the above.

2. Apply modern genetic and breeding approaches to improve the quality, sustainability, resilience and profitability of crops and farm animals .

• Develop practical approaches for managing, curating, disseminating and using "omics" information and related large data sets in effective precision breeding of plants and animals.

• Use better understanding of plant architecture, development and biochemistry to identify breeding targets for improved resource use efficiency and tolerance of biotic and abiotic stress in crops.

• Generate more effective improvement strategies for the ruminant sector that identify and manipulate relevant traits and their genetic drivers rather than emphasise specific breed improvement.

3. Use systems-based approaches to understand better and manage interactions between soil, water and crop/animal processes

• Improve understanding of rhizosphere processes and the interactions between flows of carbon, water and nutrients under different management.

• Improve management of soil health under arable, horticultural, pastoral and mixed systems, and link this to better water and waste management.

• Improve support tools for the optimal management of agricultural systems that optimise potential productivity whilst mitigating the associated GHG emissions and other forms of diffuse pollution.

• Develop options to optimise the production and utilisation of protein within UK farming systems.

4. Develop integrated approaches to the effective management of crop and animal diseases within farming systems.

• Develop strategies (including novel rotations) that are compatible with continuing restrictions on the availability of approved chemical controls for both plant and animal disease and for weeds.

• Continue to translate improved understanding of the genetic basis of disease resistance into breeding targets for both plants and animals that offer durable and sustainable control options

• Promote the development of effective vaccines and control strategies for endemic and emerging animal diseases.

• Improve the linkage between welfare-­‐oriented management and the utilisation of precision breeding approaches to reduce the incidence of stress-related, non-­‐pathogenic disorders in livestock.

5. Develop evidence-based approaches to value ecosystem service delivery by land users and incorporate these approaches into effective decision support systems at the enterprise or grouped enterprise level.

• Develop new models for integrated mixed-­‐farming based around co location of specialist enterprises, optimising value from co-­‐products and generating a "Circular Agricultural Economy"’.

• Develop (in concert with other countries in the EU and elsewhere) robust tools for measuring, valuing and monitoring ecosystem service outputs from a range of farming systems. Incorporate these into effective Decision Support tools.

• Develop regional models to assist policy-­‐makers to manage the relationship between changes in the patterns of land ownership, tenure and use and the delivery of essential ecosystem services.

6. Extend the training and professional development of researchers, practitioners and advisors to promote delivery of the targets above.

• Work with HEIs, RCUK and BIS to identify key research/technical skills that are in short supply or absent in the UK and develop approaches to improve the supply of graduates and postgraduates with relevant training both as researchers and as technical support to agribusiness in general.

• Work with HEIs and FEIs to develop CPD availability across agribusiness that will integrate with and support existing extension activities.

7. Improve the use of social and economic science to promote development, uptake and use of sustainable, resilient and profitable agricultural practice that can deliver affordable, safe and high-quality products.

• Develop a series of "good practice" case studies for effective knowledge transfer and evaluate common features so that future research can be commissioned with specifications that maximise the likelihood of effective delivery.

• Investigate options to derive additional "best practice" benefits from wider dissemination of the outputs of private sector research by the agricultural supply industry without compromising company profitability

• Identify the potential economic and social constraints on farmers that might slow or prevent uptake of new knowledge, and how these constraints might alter over time.

RECOMMENDATIONS   In order to promote this programme of long-term strategic and applied research, the joint commissioning group presents five specific recommendations for the attention of funders, UK government and research providers.

A. Levy bodies and other producer groups should consider ways in which they could facilitate the establishment of joint programmes based on the recommendations above and to lever additional investment from RCs, Government Departments and TSB etc.

B. RCs, government departments and, where appropriate, HEIs and Research Institutes should seek broader representation from producers on relevant councils, boards and committees. Levy bodies and other producer groups should nominate representatives who will work to foster long-term, integrated approaches to the challenges outlined in the document rather than promote narrow sectoral interests.

C. Given the increasing policy emphasis on land-based issues covering food production, alternative land use, climate change mitigation and the protection of natural capital, there needs to be an integrated consideration of options to improve the provision of advice, training and

skilled manpower at a UK level, both in terms of producers and of the skills within the R&D and consultancy base.

D. The policy and strategy implications associated with delivery of the research recommendations within this report should be considered holistically by both government and the funders of basic and strategic research. In governmental terms, there is a need to ensure consistency of policy and approach between different government departments with an interest in land and water use, food and energy production and the protection of natural capital.

E. In terms of the funders of research, thought needs to be given to how future strategic decisions over blue skies and responsive mode funding can be managed to protect the UK capacity for scientific excellence whilst addressing skills shortages in key areas such as soil science.

NEXT  STEPS  

1. Representatives of the producer funding organisations should consider Recommendation A and seek agreement on the modalities for consolidated funding of longer-term generic research.

2. Following this, discussions should take place with other relevant funders (RCs, Government Departments, TSB etc) to agree a priority order and timelines for addressing the research priorities and to establish procedures to specify, commission, monitor and disseminate outputs.

3. Simultaneously with 1, representatives of the producer funding organisations should contact BBSRC, NERC and other relevant organisations with proposals to increase producer representation

4. The BIS review on agri-food technology offers an excellent opportunity for producers to raise issues relating to KT and re-establishing the relevant skills and expertise base within the UK. AHDB should submit relevant findings from this report and other, more detailed comments as part of the call for evidence.

5. In terms of promoting a consistent approach within government to sustaining production agriculture as an essential foundation for the UK food and drink industry, the Joint Commissioning Group should work with other interested parties to develop a common position.

6. The Joint Commissioning Group should discuss with BBSRC the implications of recommendation E. The Group should also identify any priority areas where skills shortages are currently constraining progress and submit them as part of their evidence to the current BIS review.

Feeding  the  Future  -­‐  Innovation  Requirements  for  Primary  Food  Production  in  the  UK  to  2030      

I.  Introduction   Rationale. Ever since Malthus, concerns has been expressed regarding the capacity of agriculture to feed an ever-increasing population. To date, these concerns have been groundless, based upon increasing the yields of crops and animals via the application of science and technology and by increasing the area of land under cultivation for crops and pastures. There are those who feel that this process can continue, and that the global food system is potentially resilient enough to cope with future demands providing that underlying issues of equity and social value are addressed (IAASTD 2008 2). However, an increasing number of international groupings of academics, politicians and producers feel that the first half of the 21st century will bring challenges that cannot be addressed by the continuation of existing approaches to increasing food production. These challenges have been summarised by Beddington (3) who talks about a "perfect storm" of inter-related and additive factors summarised in Table 1. Table 1. Factors likely to constrain the ability of the global food chain to meet demands by mid-century (Royal Society, 20094) 1 Increase of population to 9bn, needing yield increases of up to 50% to maintain

current levels of nutrition. 2 Increased per capita incomes, leading to increased resource consumption and

demand for meat and dairy products. 3 Increased competition for land for both urbanisation and alternative uses such as

bioenergy and biorenewables. 4 Increased competition for water, amplified by shifts in availability in certain

regions. 5 Potential negative effects of climate change on yields in lower latitudes. 6 Increasing competition for (and expense of) key inputs (fertilizer, fuel

agrochemicals etc.). 7 Slowing of increases in agricultural productivity. 8 Increased awareness of the need to protect (or improve) the provision of non-

costed ecosystem services derived from land. T here have been a number of analyses both in the UK and elsewhere of the options available to address these challenges. The most significant

2 IAASTD (2008). Agriculture at a crossroads: global summary for decision makers. Available online at: http://www.agassessment.org/reports/IAASTD/EN/Agriculture%20at%20a%20Crossroads_Global%20 Summary%20for%20Decision%20Makers%20(English). 3 Beddington, J (2011) The Future of Farming. International Journal of Agricultural Management 1(2), 2-6 4 The Royal Society (2009). RS 1608:Reaping the Benefits. Science  and the sustainable intensification of global agriculture. 72 pp. ISBN: 978-0-85403-784-1

documents, from a UK standpoint are the summary outputs from the 2010 Foresight review (5) and the report by the Royal Society in 2009 (3) Both of these documents argue forcefully for increased impetus in terms of the generation of new technology and for its application to agriculture (6) both UK and worldwide, and both of them raised the challenges surrounding the need to increase production without eroding even further the natural capital that supports the delivery of non-costed ecosystem services. Table 2 presents the summary table of high-level policy actions from the Foresight report and highlights the need to integrate new knowledge into food systems that are both more sustainable and more productive and to ensure that policy decisions support these aims. Both as part of the Foresight process and subsequently; a number of reports and publications have addressed implementation within a UK and Northern European context (7,8,9,10). The UK has an excellent record of innovation within agriculture (4) and should serve as a paradigm for how temperate countries with high population densities can respond to the challenges facing the global food system. Issues of water availability will not restrict production 5 Government Office of Science (2011).The Future of Food and Farming. Challenges and Choices for Global Sustainability. Executive Summary 40pp. http://www.bis.gov.uk/assets/foresight/docs/food-and-farming/11-547-future-of-food-and-farming-summary.pdf 6 In this report, agriculture should be taken to cover any land-based activity that has as its major function the production of food either directly or indirectly for human consumption. 7 Pollock, C.J. (2010) Food For Thought: Options for sustainable increases in agricultural production. Foresight Regional Case Study R1. The UK in the context of North-west Europe: http://www.bis.gov.uk/assets/foresight/docs/food-and-farming/regional/11-590-r1-uk-in-north-west-europe-agricultural-production.pdf 8 The Conservative Party (2010). Science for a New Age of Agriculture. http://www.conservatives.com/News/News_stories/2010/09/~/media/Files/Downloadable%20Files/taylor-review-agriculture.ashx 9 IAgrE (2012) Agricultural Engineering: a key discipline enabling agriculture to deliver global food security. http://www.iagre.org/sites/iagre.org/files/repository/IAgrEGlobal_Food_Security_WEB.pdf 10 Crute, I. (2012) Balancing the Environmental Consequences of Agriculture with the Need for Food Security. In: Issues in Environmental Science and Technology, 34; Environmental Impacts of Modern Agriculture pp 129-149. R.E. Hester and R.M. Harrison eds. Royal Society of Chemistry

Table 2 Key priorities for action for policy makers (5)  1. Spread best practice. 2. Invest in new knowledge. 3. Make sustainable food production central in development. 4. Work on the assumption that there is little new land for agriculture. 5. Ensure long-term sustainability of fish stocks. 6. Promote sustainable intensification. 7. Include the environment in food system economics. 8. Reduce waste – both in high- and low-income countries. 9. Improve the evidence base upon which decisions are made and develop metrics to assess progress. 10. Anticipate major issues with water availability for food production. 11. Work to change consumption patterns. 12. Empower citizens.

to the extent predicted for other countries, and UK producers have already been active in seeking to utilise appropriate technologies to improve outputs without additional impacts upon the environment (7, 9). For the foreseeable future, the UK will form part of the global food chain, but increased global demand should offer additional opportunities to UK producers and reinforce the value of resilience of supply in terms of processors, retailers and consumers. There are, however, significant challenges ahead for UK producers. Current profit margins across the industry are variable (11) and flexibility for longer-term investment is restricted. Additionally the pattern of funding for R&D that can drive technological innovation has changed dramatically over the last two decades, with a reduced participation by the state in both applied research and knowledge transfer. Faced with these challenges, a group representing the interests of producers and growers was established in order to consider ways in which R&D could help UK producers to adapt to the new situation and to plan for a future where they could play an increasing role in promoting food security whilst sustaining a viable agricultural sector. Current  investment  patterns   Figure 1 shows the distribution of current expenditure on agricultural R&D in the UK. The figures are based on Leaver (12) but updated to show the contribution of Technology Strategy Board and the QR contributions from university funding councils into relevant departments (principally veterinary science). There is a clear message from these data, together with a number of significant qualifications and omissions. The clear message is the dominant position of the Research Councils (principally BBSRC) and the relatively small contribution by the producer bodies (these include both statutory and voluntary levy organisations and a range of producer groups and agricultural charities). This suggests a possible imbalance between the funding for basic and strategic research and that for applied research and knowledge transfer. The qualifications and omissions within these figures temper that conclusion somewhat but do not invalidate it. Research Councils funding figures tend to overestimate the amount of research that has a specific objective relevant to a current industry need, because of their responsibility to maintain the health of the science base. A proportion of responsive mode grant funding will be relevant to agriculture and land use in that it supports the maintenance of expertise and capacity but is not necessarily directed towards current need. Likewise Funding Council support is directed towards maintaining HEI capacity for basic and strategic work across a broad front, but will also help to sustain the delivery of more targeted and applied studies funded externally.

11 Defra (2012) Total Income From Farming 2011. http://www.defra.gov.uk/statistics/files/defra-stats-foodfarm-farmmanage-agriaccount-tiffnotice-120503.pdf 12 Leaver, D. (2010) Agricultural research needs and priorities: survey findings from the food and farming industry. 64th Oxford Farming Conference. www.ofc.co.uk

Figure 1. Distribution of the annual spend on UK agricultural and related

research by UK agencies. The total is ca £M386.

There are other sources of strategic funding not indicated in Figure 1 either because their main beneficiaries are not in the UK (DFID) or because the funding is competitive, variable and directed towards a changing range of objectives (EU Framework). UK institutions benefit significantly from these sources and the knowledge that accrues from such funding does, over time, benefit UK producers. Finally, the contribution to strategic and applied R&D funding by the agricultural supply industry is omitted, since it is difficult to calculate and is generally directed towards specific commercial ends. There is a limited amount of broader interchange between industry and academia that can benefit producers directly, but the current sums involved are not significant when set against the broad funding profile in Figure 1. Two further points need to be made about the data in Figure 1. The first is that recent Defra R&D funding has been prioritised towards the definition and delivery of policy, with benefit to the industry being a secondary objective. In the past, MAFF/Defra provided a key element of the research “pipeline” connecting basic, strategic and applied research through to delivery so in recent years TSB and Research Councils have had to develop other ways of targeting research more effectively to user needs. Although UK Government departments including Defra are now committed to supporting economic growth, continuing emphasis on the effective targeting of RC-funded research outputs will be important in ensuring that the recommendations from this report (Section 4) can be achieved. Finally, Scottish Government policy has explicitly targeted effective integration of R&D spend to benefit both government and producers (13). The vast majority of spend on agricultural

13 The Scottish Government (2012) Environment, Biology and Agriculture Research. http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Research/About/EBAR

194

66

51

21

36 18 RESEARCH COUNCILS

DEFRA

SCOTLAND AND OTHER DGs

PRODUCER BODIES

UNIVERSITY FUNDING COUNCILS

TSB

R&D by UK devolved governments is in Scotland. National priorities are agreed and used to drive both policy and the development of R&D programmes covering strategic and applied research linked to specific end points that have both policy and industry relevance and to a structured programme of knowledge transfer and extension activity. Although most basic research carried out by Scottish institutions is still funded on a UK-wide basis, this approach does demonstrate an ability to integrate the different elements of the pipeline against a policy background that is clearly aware of the needs of the producer community. Current  investment  into  applied  producer-­‐oriented  research   Each of the Producer Bodies that together make up the relevant segment of R&D spending shown in Figure 1 has its own research strategy. A listing of these bodies and reference to their current strategic plans is given in Appendix 2. The size of these bodies, and consequently the size of their R&D spend, varies considerably. A broad consideration of these documents suggests that three kinds of activity are funded widely (if not universally) across the group. The first and most obvious is targeted research, development and knowledge transfer to address current problems specifically relevant to that sector. Such activities will remain a significant element of the work of these bodies for the foreseeable future, and this report does not seek to modify the independence and freedom of action of the individual boards, groups and charities within this area. It is important, however, that those commissioning R&D in such areas are fully aware of the range of research capacity in the UK that could contribute to finding effective solutions The second activity is to help to support or extend the market for the products relevant to each group. As with explicitly sectoral R&D considered above, assessing the impact and value for money of funding in this area is the responsibility of the specific producer body. The final area of investment is in longer-term applied research that seeks either to maintain or to develop capacity to deliver existing, improved or novel products or to reduce the costs or impacts of production. Although usually aimed clearly at maintaining or improving profitability, this research tends to be generic, is more influenced by the broad flow of new knowledge, and shows certain common features across the range of commissioning organisations. Frequently the importance of this kind of R&D is acknowledged specifically within strategy documents, but there is often little acknowledgement of common approaches between groups or little evaluation of impact in terms of the uptake and development of new working methods across the sector. It is here that the authors of this report feel there is the maximum opportunity to develop added value and to influence the deployment of basic and strategic research.

Conclusions   Given that current financial constraints make it unlikely that significant additional taxpayer resources will be directed towards agricultural R&D, the key questions that emerge from an analysis of Figure 1 are:

1. How can we improve the balance between support for basic, strategic and applied research within the UK?

2. Could producer funding be used more effectively if the links between the various funders were improved and if producer funding was targeted more effectively and cohesively?

3. Are the targets and timescales for delivery for applied funding consistent with the need to meet the mid-century challenges outlined above?

4. Are the knowledge transfer and extension mechanisms within the UK adequate to drive change across the sector?

5. Are there changes that will be needed to promote the delivery of R&D and thereby help the industry meet its obligations to protect the environment?

In an attempt to stimulate discussion on how to maximise the benefits of UK investment in agricultural research, in May 2010 the RASE convened a meeting for various organisations involved in agricultural R&D. The organisations represented at this meeting were: RASE, BBSRC, NFU, AHDB and its 6 Sectors (Combinable Crops, Potatoes, Horticulture, Pigs, Milk, Beef and Sheep) and RURAL. Each organisation explained how they worked which gave a better understanding to all present of the issues and challenges faced by agriculture and horticulture. One year later another meeting was convened with additional representatives from TSB, Biosciences KTN, BBRO and PGRO to discuss progress in addressing challenges raised from the previous year. Following this meeting the RASE, NFU and AHDB agreed to develop a set of R&D priorities for agriculture and horticulture which were developed and owned by the primary producers which could then be used to help direct the funders of research (BIS, BBSRC, DEFRA, SEERAD, AHDB and others) towards these agreed priorities. A steering group that included AIC was formed to take the project forward. TSB were asked and proved willing to fund and provide administrative support to this project and a consultant was engaged to write the report. From the outset the steering group were determined to build on the existing R&D strategies from each sector to develop an overarching coherent strategy for primary food production. This report is the outcome of these actions.

II.  INFORMATION-­‐GATHERING  AND  EVALUATION   From the start, the Commissioning Group acknowledged the substantial and detailed body of existing published work, produced by individual sector groups, identifying their specific priorities for Research and Development . It was felt that there was little value in attempting to replicate this and that a review of the relevant published material would yield an appropriate level of understanding of key cross sector themes, opportunities and challenges List of reference documents used in this review can be found in Appendix 2 In order to validate that process and to ensure that any conclusions drawn accurately reflected the views and needs of primary producers; five stakeholder workshops, covering the Beef, Sheep and Grassland; Dairy; Pig; Combinable Crops and Sugar Beet and Potato and Field-scale Vegetable sectors were held during the summer of 2012. Parallel consultations were undertaken with representatives of those sectors of the primary industry that were not specifically covered by a workshop and that process is still ongoing The workshops typically comprised 15-20 invited delegates from across the UK; the objective being that at least 50% of the attendees should be primary producers reflecting a representative sample of the industry with the balance being made up of advisors (nutritionists, agronomists, vets, etc), sector group representatives and representatives of the upstream and downstream supply chain, to add some context and depth to the discussions. Each group was asked to identify the key management challenges and knowledge gaps that they felt required additional research and/or innovation to overcome. These were then captured, discussed and prioritized by the group members . A subsequent workshop comprising a broad range of senior industry stakeholders subsequently examined the emerging findings and identified the key cross sector challenges and researchable themes that would form the basis of the reports recommendations. These emerging findings and recommendations were then represented to all workshop invitees and other selected industry stakeholders for validation and comment prior to the completion of the report. The detailed outputs of the workshops can be found in Appendix 3

III.  FINDINGS   Based on the outputs from the workshops and discussions with other interested parties, the group has sought to identify a number of generic researchable issues. The contention is that, if these issues are addressed in a timely manner and with sufficient vigour, the outputs would support the long-term development of UK agriculture. Additionally, this would be done in a manner that would promote both the "sustainable intensification" approach envisaged by the Royal Society 3 and would protect and develop the capacity of the industry over a period where there will be many challenges associated with increased volatility in global markets both for inputs and products. Although the remit of the joint commissioning group related only to R&D relevant to food production, the researchable issues identified within the seven broad target areas will also be relevant to the development of alternative products from land. The eventual balance between food- and non-food offtake from land will depend on individual judgements conditioned by market needs and opportunities and the priorities detailed below are intended to preserve and extend capacity in all areas of production, not to restrict it. The generic issues are grouped into seven areas based upon the findings of the workshops. There is no attempt to prioritise these or to imply any level of hierarchy. The history of R&D in UK agriculture shows very clearly that producer benefit usually accrues from integrating scientific progress in a number of areas to enable improvements at the agricultural system level. Accordingly the findings detailed below should be viewed as a suite of proposals that would form the basis for future concerted actions by a range of funders.

1  -­‐    Utilisation  of  modern  technologies  to  improve  the  precision  and  efficiency  of  key  agricultural  management  practices.    

• Develop remote monitoring, control and application technologies to optimise input use efficiency, improve animal health and welfare, sustain product quality and safety, reduce the impact of machinery traffic on land and promote effective delivery of environmental goods and services

• Integrate and utilise the increasing volume of yield mapping and recording, soil, crop and animal data in order to develop better decision support tools for integrated farming systems.

• Improve platform flexibility, inter-­‐operability and applicability to the UK environment in order to promote delivery of the above

Automating apple husbandry is an area that has attracted significant interest over recent years. However, before the orchard is even planted, automation requires a commitment to a growing system that lends itself to mechanisation. The orchard has to be planted at high density on a North/South axis so it will develop into a ‘fruiting wall’ – a two dimensional structure that will capture sunlight evenly on both sides. Pruning and thinning are areas that have been automated with a reasonable degree of success. Pruning is achieved using blades that take excessive growth off the side of the wall although some hand work is still required each winter. Thinning is done during blossom with rotating nylon cords that remove unwanted flowers. It is likely that some hand work will be required later in the season. Apple harvesting is the final challenge but a two dimensional wall is much easier for a robot to work with than a traditional tree where fruit will get hidden amongst the branches. Vision systems and handling systems will have to be developed and the challenges are significant. The robot will have to be able to identify which apples are ready to pick and then handle them without either bruising them or scratching them. However in the long term the rewards could be significant. Perhaps one day we will have robots that don’t just harvest apples they will colour and size grade apples as they do so.

Use of Controlled Traffic in arable crop production. The controlled traffic farming (CTF) concept is a logical extension of the existing “tramline” approach to agrochemical and nutrient application on many broad acre crops. It goes one step further however by utilising a single set of wheelings for all in-field machinery traffic. The outcome is a significant cut in the level of soil compaction, a reduction in fuel use, and a cut in machinery costs per hectare. To maximise the not inconsiderable financial benefits this approach offers however required continued investment in both research and coordination between machinery manufacturers, GPS technology providers, agronomists and farmers. Additional benefit will also be gained by fully analysing the symbiotic relationship between CTF; zero, minimal & strip tillage; and soil structure, organic matter content and permeability. Development of CTF should be seen in the wider context of a strategic approach to coordinating elements of precision agriculture. Linking these mechanical steps with those of sampling, mapping and site specific applications is already possible for nutrient applications, but has the potential to be expanded and linked to wider data capture applications.

Automated weed mapping. The emergence and evolution of precision farming techniques has the potential to revolutionise the way farmers and growers address perennial challenges of crop production such as the control of problem weeds in broadacre crops. Rising input costs, increasingly stringent environmental regulations and an ever diminishing arsenal of effective herbicides coupled with the build-up of herbicide resistance in target weeds are major challenge to arable crop production Automated weed mapping, allowing targeted herbicide application is one way of optimising weed control in this increasingly constrained environment. By combining state of the art sensing & imaging technology with weed recognition software and GPS positioning & application control systems, farmers will potentially be able to identify and monitor specific problem areas within fields and deploy precise, targeted control strategies that optimise product efficacy and minimise unnecessary chemical use. Whilst many of the constituent technologies already exist, albeit in relatively generic form, there is a pressing need to accelerate their development and integration, to improve the resolution and accuracy of the underpinning systems and software and broaden the range of target weeds that can be controlled in this way.

2  -­‐  Apply  modern  genetic  and  breeding  approaches  to  improve  the  quality,  sustainability,  resilience  and  profitability  of  crops  and  farm  animals  .  

• Develop practical approaches for managing, curating, disseminating and using "omics" information and related large data sets in effective precision breeding of plants and animals.

• Use better understanding of plant architecture, development and

biochemistry to identify breeding targets for improved resource use efficiency and tolerance of biotic and abiotic stress in crops.

• Generate more effective improvement strategies for the ruminant sector that identify and manipulate relevant traits and their genetic drivers rather than emphasise specific breed improvement.

 

 

No-spray crops. There is an increasingly deep scientific understanding of the way that plants defend themselves against pests and pathogens; the UK is a recognised world leader in this research on the plant immune system. With targeted investment, the prospect exists to develop crop varieties with durable resistance to most of the pests and diseases which cause major losses to UK crops and that are either not readily controlled or where control is reliant on crop protection chemicals. The means to identify and utilise genes conferring resistance to viruses, bacteria and fungi as well as insects and nematodes is advancing rapidly through application of genomic technologies, particularly high throughput sequencing. Resistant varieties will be a necessary component of integrated pest and disease management and new biotechnologies will speed up the efficiency with which such varieties can be produced. I nbuilt genetic resistance to any disease or pest of any crop is now a goal within sight and is a recognised priority for innovation required by growers of horticultural and agricultural crops.

Speeding up sheep improvement with genomics. Improvement of livestock through selective breeding is effective in all livestock species and can make a very significant contribution to improved sustainability. The return on investment is influenced by a number of biological and market factors. Generation interval, the number of offspring per breeding animal and the use of commercial AI are all important. As are market factors such as the precision with which commercial customers can recognise the improvements delivered by superior breeding stock. The sheep industry is at a disadvantage for all these factors and the uptake of current breed improvement, though highly effective, lags behind all other livestock species. The use of genomic information is now speeding up the rate of breed improvement in dairy cattle, pigs and poultry and it has the potential to have a positive impact on the rate of improvement in sheep too, but the return on investment is limited by the biological factors above. A way to enable genomic selection in sheep has been developed in Australia with the use of ‘reference flocks’ that record a wide range of traits and apply genomic tools that can then be disseminated for application in breeders’ flocks. This approach is jointly funded by Government, industry and levy bodies. There is a clear opportunity to determine how such approaches can be developed to improve the economic and environmental sustainability of the UK sheep flock.

3  -­‐  Use  systems-­‐based  approaches  to  understand  better  and  manage  interactions  between  soil,  water  and  crop/animal  processes  

• Improve understanding of rhizosphere processes and the interactions between flows of carbon, water and nutrients under different management.

• Improve management of soil health under arable, horticultural, pastoral

and mixed systems, and link this to better water and waste management.

• Improve support tools for the optimal management of agricultural

systems that optimise potential productivity whilst mitigating the associated GHG emissions and other forms of diffuse pollution.

• Develop options to optimise the production and utilisation of protein

within UK farming systems.

Big data. Collecting, storing and mining deluges of data for commercial advantage is commonplace now in many industries; just think of the insurance industry or the value that retailers derive from the information captured by millions of “loyalty cards”. Farmers and growers already collect large amounts of data (weather, timing of cultivations, crop and livestock performance, soil analyses, prices, sprays applied and so on) and are using increasingly automated systems. This trend is set to continue apace as precision approaches to farming become pervasive. At the same time, the quantity and quality of data that can, and is, being collected remotely is increasing rapidly. However the industry is not yet set up to share its data and thereby derive maximum collective value from this untapped resource; there is an opportunity here to increase competitiveness that the UK can grasp. The technology for collecting, organising, storing and retrieving vast amounts of data is already available but it is the analysis and interpretation from which value is derived and this is where research is required. Data sets built over time from one farm deliver modest value to one business; but so much more value can be extracted by pooling, structuring and mining the data from thousands of farming businesses over many years. Already, benefits from data aggregation and analysis are evident in, for example, the genetic improvement of livestock. More is there to be achieved in all sectors of the agriculture industry by a structured approach to sourcing, storing and mining both land-based and remotely sensed data. Research is needed that will reveal, in large data sets, the statistical associations between variables that would previously be invisible. This analysis will lead to new previously unthought-of experiments designed to invalidate or confirm cause and effect. The outcome of this research is likely to be access on farm to firmly-founded site and time-specific information on which reliable management decisions can be based.

Protein Supply, the elephant in the room. Sustainably meeting the ever increasing global demand for animal based protein is perhaps the major challenge facing global agriculture over the next half century. Europe is currently less than 25% self sufficient in vegetable protein feeds, and increasing competition from developing economies combined with the potential of climate change to limit output growth in exporting countries could be described as the embodiment of the ‘Perfect Storm’. Optimising the production, recovery and utilisation of vegetable protein for animal feed is a key priority for agricultural research and innovation. This is a multifactorial challenge and the potential solutions are likely to be equally diverse. Improving the yield, quality and consistency of protein crops , be they forages, legumes or the co-products of crops, such as cereals and oilseeds, grown primarily for other purposes,(e.g. Bio-fuels) is key. Bringing together developments in Plant Breeding, Agronomy, Processing, Logistics, & Supply chain Integration in co-ordinated programmes of research & innovation has the potential to significantly improve the efficiency of protein production and utilisation. Additionally, Industrial Biotechnology has a significant role to play in the augmentation of existing ‘low-grade’ protein sources through the production of synthetic amino acids. Finally technologies and innovative supply chain solutions that can safely mitigate the risks associated with the recycling of animal protein back into food production systems need to be developed to minimize waste and increase the overall usage efficiency of this most fundamental of resources.

4  -­‐  Develop  integrated  approaches  to  the  effective  management  of  crop  and  animal  diseases  within  farming  systems.  

• Develop strategies (including novel rotations) that are compatible with continuing restrictions on the availability of approved chemical controls for both plant and animal disease and for weeds.

• Continue to translate improved understanding of the genetic basis of

disease resistance into breeding targets for both plants and animals that offer durable and sustainable control options

• Promote the development of effective vaccines and control strategies

for endemic and emerging animal diseases (e.g. Johnes disease)

• Improve the linkage between welfare-­‐oriented management approaches and the utilisation of precision breeding approaches to reduce the incidence of stress-related, non-­‐pathogenic disorders in livestock.

 

Animal Health and Welfare Monitoring. Compromised animal health and welfare are two of the most significant causes of reduced feed conversion efficiency, and consequently increased GHG emissions when measured on a unit of output basis, in livestock systems. Stress, be it metabolic, pathogenic or environmental is often linked to immune suppression and the early detection and mitigation of stress factors and the physiological consequences of them is fundamental to sustainable, livestock production. Better understanding of animal behaviour and the interrelationships between the animal and its environment, be it housed or at pasture, along with ability to cost effectively monitor and analyse a broad range of physiological and environmental parameters in large numbers of animals is key. This will require the development and integration of a range of technologies that can independently monitor and analyse behavioural and physiological trends, identify risk factors and developing health and welfare issues on a real time basis and provide appropriate decision support to managers. Advances across a range of sensing technologies, e.g. motion sensing, metabolic marker detection and the emergence of ‘in-animal telemetry’, along with the ability to reliably capture, analyse and utilise the large volume of data that they generate, offers massive potential to optimise animal health & welfare, whilst driving sustainable improvements in productivity and environmental performance across all livestock sectors .

Improving Animal Health – Everybody wins. Endemic infectious diseases, such as respiratory or enteric diseases, are a major source of reduced animal welfare and, through their effect on biological performance, have serious impacts on commercial and environmental efficiency. They can also reduce food quality and safety. The diseases that are easily controlled by e.g. vaccines are already controlled that way. What remain are the more challenging diseases where the causal pathogen(s) are poorly understood and/or vaccine approaches are less viable. Modern high-throughput research tools, such as genomics and proteomics, open up new research opportunities to dissect the biology of these commercially important diseases. Furthermore, we now understand that selection for disease resistance/tolerance in livestock species (potentially enabled by genomic selection tools) can make an important contribution to better disease control (along with improved biosecurity, diagnostics, vaccines and therapeutics). Research on discovery of better methods for control of endemic diseases has been neglected in the UK in recent decades and a new research impetus can deliver improved commercial and environmental sustainability as well as improving animal welfare and food quality and safety. Everybody wins.

5  -­‐  Develop  evidence-­‐based  approaches  to  value  ecosystem  service  delivery  by  land  users  and  incorporate  these  approaches  into  effective  decision  support  systems  at  the  enterprise  or  grouped  enterprise  level.  

• Develop new models for integrated mixed-­‐farming based around co location of specialist enterprises, optimising value from co-­‐products and generating a "Circular Agricultural Economy"’

• Develop (in concert with other countries in the EU and elsewhere)

robust tools for measuring, valuing and monitoring ecosystem service outputs from a range of farming systems. Incorporate these into effective Decision Support tools

• Develop regional models to assist policy-­‐makers to manage the relationship between changes in the patterns of land ownership, tenure and use and the delivery of essential ecosystem services.

Phosphorus recovery from waste streams (14). Concerns around the potential for soil phosphorus (P) balance, the sub-optimal use of it as an essential and increasingly expensive nutrient, the increased risk of pollution in both ground and surface water and the ultimate loss of the nutrient from the system have led to investigations into the viable recovering of P from manure waste streams. Various potential waste stream sources exist including the dairy sector, but also from human, pig and poultry (HPP) waste. The efficient recycling of P from HPP wastes will require a level of industrial treatment to enable it to be re-used in an economically viable manner away from the waste source. Research into the use of microwave pre-treatment of slurries has shown that it is possible to ‘unlock’ P from the organic fraction of the manure allowing it to be recovered in concentrated mineral form. A further advantage of this process is the residual organic fraction of the manure stream not only contains less potentially polluting P but has proven to be more rapidly broken down by anaerobic digestion. The development of bio-reactors to release mineral P in its organic form, using carbon as a bacterial feedstock rather than simply generating biogas as an output has the potential to improve both the efficiency and reduce the capital cost of this process significantly. Improving the efficiency and reducing the cost of such processes to the point that they can be commercially deployed will require considerable investment but they have the potential to yield significant long term economic, environmental and resource use-efficiency dividends. 14 Alterra (2010) ‘Phosphorus recovery from animal manure: technical opportunities and agro-economical perspectives’ http://content.alterra.wur.nl/Webdocs/PDFFiles/Alterrarapporten/AlterraRapport2158.pdf

6  -­‐  Extend  the  training  and  professional  development  of  researchers,  practitioners  and  advisors  to  promote  delivery  of  the  targets  above.    

 

• Work with HEIs, RCUK and BIS to identify key research/technical skills that are in short supply or absent in the UK and develop approaches to improve the supply of graduates and postgraduates with relevant training both as researchers and as technical support to agribusiness in general.

• Work with HEIs and FEIs to develop CPD availability across agribusiness that will integrate with and support existing extension activities

7  -­‐  Improve  the  use  of  social  and  economic  science  to  promote  development,  uptake  and  use  of  sustainable,  resilient  and  profitable  agricultural  practice  that  can  deliver  affordable,  safe  and  high-­‐quality  products.  

• Develop a series of "good practice" case studies for effective knowledge transfer and evaluate common features so that future research can be commissioned with specifications that maximise the likelihood of effective delivery.

• Investigate options to derive additional "best practice" benefits from

wider dissemination of the outputs of private sector research by the agricultural supply industry without compromising company profitability

• Identify the potential economic and social constraints on farmers that

might slow or prevent uptake of new knowledge, and how these constraints might alter over time.

Upskilling the industry. There is a shortage of young farm managers who have the requisite skills required for the increasingly technological and commercial challenges of modern agriculture . This is an industry wide issue as even the largest farming organisations lack the resources to develop and run effective management training schemes on their own. The vision is to have well trained professional management who can meet the current and future technical and business requirements. For example the challenge is to develop farm management training schemes involving groups of farming businesses which are accredited by recognised agricultural universities, colleges and other professional organisations. The trainee farm managers many of whom would already have a degree or diploma would gain experience in different businesses and sectors of agriculture, the farming businesses would benefit from a pool of enthusiastic young people who in time would gain wide practical experience, and the accrediting organisations would develop closer links with agricultural businesses.

IV.    RECOMMENDATIONS   The cost-effective and efficient management of applied agricultural research to deliver an increasingly wide range of benefits in a way that directly supports producers will not be straightforward. Retrospective analysis of where paradigm shifts have already occurred in agriculture show instances of both science push (e.g. the utilisation of dwarfing genes in cereals) and industry pull (e.g. the incorporation of silage rather than hay into ruminant rations) so any long-term vision for R&D management must be able to sustain both types of advance. A brief analysis of successful programmes from other countries (presented as a series of case studies in Appendix 4) indicates that the likelihood of success is enhanced if the following four criteria are met:

• Involvement of producers (in partnership with other funders) in defining and funding programmes, in evaluating bids and in overseeing the strategic management of the programme.

• The provision of high-quality independent scientific advice at an early stage in defining programme parameters, particularly in relation to duration and level of funding.

• The existence (or at least support for the development of) a clear route by which the results can be disseminated to a user community that is able and willing to act upon them.

• A commitment by all parties to ensure that widespread uptake is not constrained by lack of training, advice or the availability of skilled manpower.

In order to promote the programme of long-term research outlined in section 3 above, the joint commissioning group presents five specific recommendations for the attention of funders, UK government and research providers.

A. Levy bodies and other producer groups should consider ways in which they could facilitate the establishment of joint programmes based on the recommendations in Section 3 and to lever additional investment from RCs, Government Departments and TSB etc. Such programmes should be defined, funded and delivered in a manner that meets the criteria set out above. They should also be framed to maximise the options for research providers to obtain further funding from EU, other UK government departments or industry providing that this does not jeopardise delivery of the main aims of the programme. All the criteria defined above should be fully addressed at the planning and development stage prior to any producer agreement to fund.

B. RCs, government departments and, where appropriate, HEIs and

Research Institutes should seek broader representation from producers on relevant councils, boards and committees. Levy bodies and other producer groups should nominate representatives who will work to foster long-term, integrated approaches to the challenges outlined in the document rather than promote narrow sectoral interests.

C. Given the increasing policy emphasis on land-based issues covering

food production, alternative land use, climate change mitigation and the

protection of natural capital, there needs to be an integrated consideration of options to improve the provision of advice, training and skilled manpower at a UK level, both in terms of producers and of the skills within the R&D and consultancy base. Effective delivery of more sustainable production approaches that do not compromise profitability will only impact on meeting government targets if uptake by producers is much more widespread than has been achieved in the past. Although there are differences between the UK and devolved governments in some respects, this is a challenge that is UK wide. The Joint Commissioning Group welcomes the report on Agriculture currently being prepared by the Office of Life Sciences within BIS and will ensure that the findings in this report form part of the BIS evidence base. Levy Bodies have considerable experience both in the dissemination of new knowledge and in the measurement of effectiveness of uptake which will be very relevant to the Department's deliberations.

D. The policy and strategy implications associated with delivery of the

research recommendations within this report should be considered holistically by both government and the funders of basic and strategic research. In governmental terms, there is a need to ensure consistency of policy and approach between different government departments with an interest in land and water use, food and energy production and the protection of natural capital. Once again, the Group welcomes the BIS report and urges them to consider the value of clarity and consistency in this area. Additionally, a coherent UK viewpoint will assist in deliberations at an EU level over the evolution of a regulatory regime that currently lacks both focus and consistency.

E. In terms of the funders of research, thought needs to be given to how

future strategic decisions over blue skies and responsive mode funding can be managed to protect the UK capacity for scientific excellence whilst addressing skills shortages in key areas such as soil science. The Group acknowledges the value of competitive responsive mode funding to maintain excellence in existing areas of strength. It is less convinced that effective mechanisms exist to grow excellence in areas of strategic need rather than new science opportunity. Addressing this challenge will require dialogue between RC's, relevant components of the university sector and other funders.

V.    EXTERNAL  INFLUENCES  THAT  MIGHT  AFFECT  THE  DEVELOPMENT  AND  UPTAKE  OF  INNOVATION:   The findings and recommendations of this report are predicated upon two main principles. Firstly that the forecasts for world food demand and other products from land use are broadly in line with those discussed in the Foresight review 4 and secondly that there is general agreement over the need for the UK agricultural sector to adapt to these changing circumstances. These principles were considered in detail at the last Joint Commissioning Group workshop on cross-sectoral issues. The positive drivers summarised below flow from these principles and would be expected to have beneficial consequences for UK producers:

• Rising global demand for food. • Increasing global prosperity drives higher consumption of meat and

dairy products. • Increasing political significance in Europe given to issues of food

security. • Potential beneficial effects of climate change on some elements of UK

production. • Increasing political pressure to improve efficiency and reduce

waste/losses. • Better opportunities to integrate both R&D and production systems

across land use embracing food, energy, and bioproducts will generate new business opportunities.

However, the workshop also identified a number of potential drivers that could impact negatively, at least in the short- to medium-term, on the effective development of the industry and consequently on the implementation of the priorities and recommendations within the report. These are summarised below and cover concerns about the ability of producers to adapt and invest whilst under short-term financial pressure, the over-rigid regulatory regime for European producers and the potential sensitivity of the industry to "sudden shocks" such as emerging diseases and input price fluctuations:

• Altered patterns of land tenure and increased contract farming drive

"short-termism". • Insufficient profit for producers prevents or reduces long-term

investment. • Reduced meat consumption in developed countries leads to loss of

markets in the short-term. • Inconsistencies in and costs of EU regulatory system prevent uptake

of appropriate technologies and hastens loss of existing technologies. • Pressures to reduce emissions and diffuse pollution lead to export of

production. Need to recognise the "irreducible minimum agricultural carbon footprint".

• Emerging animal diseases not managed effectively due to insufficient investment in new products and vaccines.

The workshop also identified a number of operational challenges that could impinge on delivery of the report's recommendations. In the main, these have been addressed in detail within the body of the report, with the exception of the final comment relating to consumer confidence:

• Ensuring innovation reaches further down the producer profile than in

the past in the absence of a UK-wide extension system. • Ensuring buy-in from producers for a shift in emphasis towards the

longer-term. • Maintaining R&D investment at a level appropriate for the UK's largest

business sector. • Improving engagement between key stakeholders in the

establishment of longer-term R&D priorities. • Improving integration of member state and EU-funded R&D to

maximise value and improve innovation. • Re-establishing consumer trust and loyalty to UK producers.

The need to re-establish consumer trust and loyalty at the producer level, whilst important, lies outside the particular remit of this report. However, there is an increasing body of social and economic research relating to the marketing and supply of agricultural produce at a range of scales, and there may be value in a broad analysis of the outcomes of this research.

VI.    NEXT  STEPS   In order to implement the findings and recommendations of this report, the actions listed below will be required. These are all matters of some urgency, given the juxtaposition of the BIS review, and some actions are required prior to finalisation of this report.

1. Representatives of the producer funding organisations should consider Recommendation A and seek agreement on the modalities for consolidated funding of longer-term generic research.

2. Following this, discussions should take place with other relevant funders (RCs, Government Departments, TSB etc) to agree a priority order and timelines for addressing the research priorities and to establish procedures to specify, commission, monitor and disseminate outputs.

3. Simultaneously with 1, representatives of the producer funding organisations should contact BBSRC, NERC and other relevant organisations with proposals to increase producer representation

4. Currently the BIS study on agri-food technology offers an excellent opportunity for Producers to raise issues relating to KT and re-establishing the relevant skills and expertise base within the UK. As a matter of urgency, AHDB should submit relevant findings from this report and other, more detailed comments as part of the call for evidence.

5. In terms of promoting a consistent approach within government to sustaining production agriculture as an essential foundation for the UK food and drink industry, the Joint Commissioning Group should work with other interested parties (NFU, Agri-supply Industry etc) to develop a common position. Ideally this too should form part of the evidence base submitted to the BIS review.

6. Finally, there will need to be contact with BBSRC (facilitated perhaps via BBSRC Council) to consider the implications of recommendation E. Any significant changes in the way in which responsive mode funding is delivered will also have to be debated by the relevant research providers and it is probably not realistic to expect swift progress in this area. In consequence, the Group should also identify any priority areas where skills shortages are currently constraining progress and submit them as part of their evidence to BIS.

VII.  CONCLUDING  REMARKS   This report has attempted to delineate the challenges facing producers in adapting to the challenges of "Sustainable Intensification" (3). It has recommended that producer organisations need to change the way in which they engage with and partner other research funders in order to maximise the likelihood that cutting-edge science (the development of which is one of the strengths of the UK science base) can be deployed effectively in support of a significant industrial sector. Re-establishing continuity will also generate other opportunities for researchers to gain impact through deploying new approaches and technologies outside the UK and through enhanced ability to develop implement and monitor policies that are in tune with current views about multifunctional land use. The role of government in expediting such change and helping to ensure effective delivery is essential but above all it requires a level of acceptance from within the producer base that significant changes are needed as a matter of some urgency. The UK has an opportunity to develop as a paradigm for how small developed countries with high population densities can play a significant part in addressing the challenges to the global food system, and this report is intended to promote this long-term objective. C.J. Pollock. November 2012

VIII.    APPENDICES   Appendix  1.    Membership  and  affiliation  of  the  Joint  Commissioning  Group.  

Ian Crute is Chief Scientist of the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board which he joined from Rothamsted Research in 1999 after 10 years as institute Director. This followed 25 years in Horticulture Research International as a research leader in plant pathology, a Head of Department and Director at Wellesbourne. Ian’s scientific contributions have been recognised by several awards and are recorded in over 160 publications. He was a Member of the Lead Expert Group for the “Global Future of Food and Farming” Foresight project and currently serves on several Boards and Committees connected with science and innovation within the UK agri-food sector.

Andrea Graham joined the National Farmers’ Union as their Countryside Adviser at their Headquarters in Stoneleigh in 2007 following 18 years in agricultural scientific research During this period, she was involved in developing national policy and advice to the NFU on many key countryside issues including agri-environment schemes, wildlife and biodiversity, landscape, forestry and woodland and the design and implementation of the Campaign for the Farmed Environment. For the last year, she has been the NFU’s Acting Chief Science & Regulatory Affairs Adviser. She is currently Chief Land Management taking a policy lead on knowledge exchange and the application of science and innovation on farm, sustainable intensification and the Green Food Project.

Paul Rooke is Head of Policy, External Affairs for the Agricultural Industries Confederation (AIC). He is also the Sector Head for the AIC Crop Marketing and Seed Sectors as well as managing the Confederation’s Contract and Arbitration services. He represents AIC on a range of government and stakeholder bodies in both the UK and EU, is a member of the Red Tractor Crops Board, the industry body SCIMAC and a founder of the All Party Parliamentary Group on Science and Technology in Agriculture. He was also a member of the FSA’s Steering Group on the proposed national GM Dialogue. He joined AIC’s predecessor organisation , UKASTA, in 1992, having completed a BSc (Hons) degree in Agriculture at Harper Adams. Paul also has a postgraduate qualification in law from Westminster University.

David Gardner joined the Royal Agricultural Society of England as its Chief Executive in April 2012. His role is to take the Society back to its roots based upon ‘Practice with Science’. He is currently developing a technology transfer initiative based around the emerging technologies that will shape agriculture over the coming decades. Prior to joining the RASE David enjoyed a long career with The Co-operative Farms who he joined as a graduate after studying at Seale Hayne. During his time with The Co-operative farms David held a number of senior positions including Head of Fruit Operations and Manager of Stoughton Estate in Leicestershire. He has considerable experience in the combinable, dairy and fruit sectors. In 2010 David completed a Nuffield Arden scholarship, investigating 'The Appliance of New Science and Frontier Technologies to transform UK Agriculture'

Jim Godfrey is an arable and pig farmer from Lincolnshire. Jim is a non executive director of the Rural Payments Agency, National Institute of Agricultural Botany (NIAB) and Lincolnshire Rural Support Network, chairman of the Technology Strategy Board Sustainable Agriculture and Food Innovation Platform, a member of: BBSRC Council, The Commercial Farmers Group, Nuffield Farming Scholarship Selection Panel, Centre for Excellence in UK Farming, International Rice Research Institute. Jim is a former chairman of: The Potato Marketing Board, Scottish Crop Research Institute, Sentry Farming Group plc, the International Potato Centre and the Alliance of the 15 Research Centres of the Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR).

David Alvis is a Lead Technologist with the Technology Strategy Board with co-responsibility for the Sustainable Agriculture and Food Innovation Platform. He represents the TSB on the GO-Science Food Research Partnership and is a member of the FRP Research Translation sub-group and the Dairy Science Forum. David has a BSc in Agriculture from Wye College, University of London and an MBA from Cranfield School of Management. He is also a Nuffield Scholar . He has over 20 years management experience in the industry ranging from farm management to commercial and general management roles in the fresh produce sector, with Greenvale AP and the agricultural supply sector with the Roullier group. David worked for the TSB as a consultant from February 2010 and from May 2012 joined the organisation as Lead technologist on a part-time basis, dividing his time between his TSB role and his own business, Winstone Agribusiness Consulting Ltd.

Calum Murray is a lead technologist with the Technology Strategy Board with co-responsibility for the Sustainable Agriculture and Food Innovation Platform. He represents the TSB on the Programme Coordination Group of BBSRC’s Global Food Security initiative and the International sub-group of the Food Research Partnership and a member of the LEAF Advisory Board. Calum graduated from Aberdeen University with an honours degree in agriculture in 1982. His career started with ADAS in Suffolk, moved into farm business consultancy before joining SAC back in Scotland in 1990. In 1995 he was appointed by Bank of Scotland as national agricultural specialist. In 2006 he was appointed Regional Director for NFU Mutual Finance, a Bank of Scotland JV. Following the merger of HBoS and Lloyds, Calum joined the Technology Strategy Board in Feb 2010.

Chris Pollock (Report Editor) was Director of the Institute of Grassland and Environmental Research in Aberystwyth from 1993-2007. For many years, Chris has been involved nationally in agriculture and land use. He chaired the Scientific Steering Committee for the farm-scale evaluations of GM crops, the Defra Research Priorities Group for Sustainable Farming and Food and the Agriculture, Food and Veterinary Science panel for the 2008 RAE He is currently chair of the Advisory Committee on Releases into the Environment.

Appendix  2.    Reports  and  Strategy  Documents  used   in   the  evaluation  phase   of   this   study   to   assess   the   breadth   and   coverage   of   current  applied  R&D  in  the  Land  Use  Sector   Dairy Co

• http://www.dairyco.org.uk/farming-info-centre/research-development.aspx • http://www.dairyco.org.uk/library/research-development/environment/dairy-

roadmap.aspx • http://www.dairyco.org.uk/library/corporate/business-plans/business-plan-

2010-2013.aspx English Beef & Lamb Executive (EBLEX)

• http://www.eblex.org.uk/research/index.aspx • http://www.eblex.org.uk/publications/research.aspx • http://www.eblex.org.uk/documents/content/publications/p_cp_changeintheair

theenglishbeefandsheepproductionroadmap.pdf (Road Map 1) • http://www.eblex.org.uk/documents/content/publications/p_cp_testingthewater

061210.pdf (Road Map 2) • http://www.eblex.org.uk/documents/content/publications/p_cp_down_to_earth

300112.pdf (Road Map 3) British Pig Executive (BPEX)

• http://www.bpex.org.uk/R-and-D/default.aspx • http://www.bpex.org.uk/environment-hub/climate-

change/PigIndustryRoadmap.aspx - Home Grown Cereals Authority (HGCA)

• http://www.hgca.com/content.output/5086/5086/Funding%20and%20Awards/Funding%20and%20Awards/Research%20and%20knowledge%20transfer%20strategy.mspx

Potato Council (PCL)

• http://www.potato.org.uk/node/214 - Horticultural Development Company HDC

• Overarching strategy - http://www.hdc.org.uk/over-arching-strategy - • Bulbs and Outdoor Flowers http://www.hdc.org.uk/sectors/BOF_RandD.asp • Field vegetables http://www.hdc.org.uk/sectors/FV_RandD.asp • Hardy Nursery Stock http://www.hdc.org.uk/sectors/HNS_RandD.asp • Protected edible crops http://www.hdc.org.uk/sectors/PE_RandD.asp • Soft fruit http://www.hdc.org.uk/sectors/SF_RandD.asp • Tree fruit http://www.hdc.org.uk/sectors/TF_RandD.asp

Campden BRI publication -

• “Scientific and technical needs of the food and drink industry – 2012-14” http://www.campden.co.uk/research/strategy.pdf

House of Lords -

• European Union Sub-Committee D “Innovation in EU Agriculture” – published July 2011 (19th Report of Session 2010-12)

HM Government –

• The Natural Choice – securing the value of nature. UK National Ecosystem Assessment http://uknea.unep-wcmc.org/

Commercial Farmers Group (CFG) –

• Priorities for Agricultural and Horticultural R&D (2009) Environmental Sustainability KTN –

• “Environmentally Sustainable Agri-Food Production” (2012) Defra Green Food Project Report –

• http://www.defra.gov.uk/publications/2012/07/10/pb13794-green-food-project/ Hybu Cig Cymru (HCC) Welsh Meat Roadmap -

http://hccmpw.org.uk/medialibrary/publications/HCC%20Sustainable%20Red%20Meat%20Roadmap%20English%20LR_1.pdf

Institute of Agricultural Engineers (IAgrE) -

http://www.iagre.org/sites/iagre.org/files/repository/IAgrEGlobal_Food_Security_WEB.pdf

Society for General Microbiology-

http://www.sgm.ac.uk/PA_Forms/FoodPS_Web.pdf British Beet Research Organisation (BBRO)

http://www.bbro.co.uk/science

Appendix  3    Collated  Workshop  Outputs  

****** Additives  to  improve  FCE  /  Gut  Health ********Vaccine  development  (Blue  tonge,  TB,  Schmallenburg  etc)

****** Livestock  benefits  on  Arable  Farms ******** Breeding  for  Disease  Resistance *******Improved  EID  technology  &  portable  systems  of  livestock  record  keeping

***** Improving  effectiveness  of  AI ****** Biosecurity  &  Disease  eradication ***Balancing  Production  and  environment  (Ecosystem  services)

******* Rumen  Metagenomics *****(Automated)  Recordingof  Phenotype  information

*****Grass  as  a  crop  -­‐  Selection,  Soil  &  Nutrient  management,  utilisation

****** Lameness,  Locomotion  &  Longevity *** Optimising  Land  use **** Eating  Quality **Databases  that  communicate  with  each  other  /Industry  wide    IT  system  integration

****Use  of  co-­‐products  &  Human  Food  chain  bio-­‐recycling

***Identification  of  parasites  pre  clinical  symptoms

***Matching  appropriate  animal  breeds  to  farming  system

**** Grass  &  Legumes  to  replace  Soya * Electronic  carcase  classification

*** Culling  for  the  right  reasons **Trace  elements  &  Animal  immune  system  response

* Alernative  forage  crops  to  grass ***GM  Hi-­‐Sugar,N-­‐Fixation,  Drought  tolerance

Market  information  &  Risk  management  tools

**Understanding  Key  business  drivers  &  Management  trade-­‐offs

* Volatile  Monitoring  of  AH What  do  animals  contribute  to  soil   ** Growth  Rate  &  Feed  efficiencyTools  for  pre  slaughter  assessment  of  animals

**Manure  &  Nutrient  management  for  Grass

* Novel  diseasesEnvironmental  schemes  vs  Liver  fluke  control  -­‐  tensions

** Genetic  reduction  of  Enteric  MethaneMeasuring  &  Mapping  grass  growth

** Optimum  slaughter  age * Worm  /  Fluke  Diagnosis  &  ControlCatchment  management  of  contaminants  -­‐  Prediction  models  

** Neo-­‐natal  survival  &  Maternal  InstinctTools  to  optimise  Economic  &  environmental  decision  making

*Manipulation  of  nutrition  to  improve  consumer  health

External  Parasite  Control Zero  grazing  systems **  identification  of  desirable  traits  in    traditional  breeds  -­‐  Genomic  Markers

* Fallen  Stock  managementDisease  resistance  in  Animal  populations

Is  stratification  structure  appropriate  for  2030

** Functional  trait  markers

Feeding  -­‐  nutrient  requirements  for  growing  animals

Managing  antimicrobial  resistance Systems  for  a  volatile  climate ** Easy  care'  breeds  /  composites

Soil  Sampling  inc  Trace  elements  for  livestock  species

Rumen  Function   Indoor  vs  Outdoor  lambing *Targeted  breeding  programmes  for  UK  systems  &  Markets

N-­‐Sensors  &  CTF  for  Grassland Midge  control  to  control  diseases * Balanced  BreedingMeasuring  Grass  quality  &  Performance  /  Growth

Breeding  for  functional  traits  rather  than  breed  types  -­‐  Composites/Hybrids

Hormone  Implants  &  ionophores Lean  Meat  Production  EfficiencyAlternative  Protein  Sources EBVs

Carcase  UniformityMastitis  Resistance

Heritability  of  Reproductive  performance

Sexed  Semen  -­‐  Improved  performanceCloning  -­‐  Where  will  it  make  a  difference?Genetic  modification  of  animals  to  produce  medicinal  /  Pharmaceutical  products

Beef,  Sheep  &  Grassland  Workshop  -­‐  Key  Challenges  &  Priorities  for  researchHusbandry  &  Nutrition GeneticsHealth  &  Welfare Farming  Systems Engineering  &  IT

* Potatoes * Salad  Brassicas  &  Field  vegetables * Root  Vegetables

***************

Availability  of  Crop  Protection  Products *********Rotational  Soil  &  Nutrient  management

****** Availability  of  Marker  Assisted  breeding ***** Matching  Ecology  with  production ***Post  harvest  detectio  of  internal  defects

***** Crop  Maturity  Control  (Brassicas) **Rotational  solutions  to  persistent  issues

***** Introducing  N  fixation  in  other  crops ***Managing  effective  biodiversity  /  beneficials

*** Robotics

**** Weed  Control ** Alternative  weed  control  barriers **** Potato  Blight *** Sources  of  major  nutrients ***Advanced  Storage  &  Grading  systems

**** Bruising * New  crops  for  the  Uk **** Drought  resistance ** Energy  use  /  climate  change **IT  diagnse  problems  -­‐  remote  sensing

*** Nutrients * Crops  to  aid  weed/pest  control **** Storage  -­‐  Sprout  control * Efficient  use  of  water ** Mechanical  harvesting  of  Veg*** New  Diseases  /  Invasive  Species * Urban  Farming *** Yield * Meeting  consumer  requirements * Precision  Weeders*** Light  to  propagate  veg  plants Legacy  left  by  cereal  farmer *** Pest  &  Disease  resistance  /  tolerance * Low  GI  potatoes * Reducin  management  hours  -­‐  MIS

*** Spear  Rot  in  Brassicas Benefits  of  mixed  farming  systems ** Nutritional  quality  (diet  /  health) * Introducing  predators  into  the  field * Better  automated  vision  grading

** Virus  Prevention Risks  to  mixed  farming **Improvements  to  enable  mechanical  harvesting

* Non  water  control  of  Common  scab * Educating  Next  generation

** Post  Emergence  Herbicides Value  of  compost  etc ** Shelf  Life * Targeting  spray  applications * Soil  Nutrient  /  N  analysis

** Soil  Management Anaerobic  digestion **Gene  identification  in  a  broad  range  of  plants

* Waste  utilisation  for  energyIndicator  plants  to  understand  growth

* Aphid  Control Vertical  Farming * Soil  Biology * Landscape  level  management  of  water Storage  v  Transport

* Water  /  Irrigation  Management Companion/  Perma  cropping *Resilience  over  range  of  environmental  conditions

Pest  Horizon  scanning]Plants  &  Growing  systems  to  make  Robots  work

*Alternative  (non-­‐peat)  substrates  for  transplants

Short  term  issues  rented  land *adaptation  to  higher  temps  (climate  change)

Social  acceptability  of  new  science CTF  for  Vegetable  Production

* Crop  Desication Green  manures * Smart  plants Phosphate  utilisation Sensors  for  selective  harvesting

Crop  UniformityWhat  initiates  What  in  plants  (including  weeds)

Energy  Use  for  Protected  productionAutomated  Phenotypic  data  collection

Crop  Establishment Resistance  to  Club  RootRegulatory  pressure  for  pollution  control

Contaminant  removal  /  reduction

Potato  Nematode  Control Nutrient  Stress  resistance Keeping  inputs  /  run-­‐off  in  the  field Atmosphere  control  by  cropsN-­‐  optimisation Flavour Novel  uses  of  by-­‐products Unknown  UnknownsConstraints  of  RB209 Public  acceptability  of  new  varieties Precision  landscape  planting ID  of  pathogens  (Food  poisoning)

Snails  in  PeasQuicker  integration  of  traits  into  commercial  varieties

Headland  management  for  Biodiversity

Bio-­‐fungicides Bolting  controlEfficacy  of  organic  weed  control  in  different  conditions

Skin  Blemishes Improving  N  fixation  in  legumesSugar  Leveles    Potato  Storage Oxidisation  pst  harvest

Potato  Blight Crop  programming  in  a  changing  climate

Weed  control  -­‐  non  chemicalSeason  ExtensionDowny  mildewFusariumXanthomonas  in  Brassicas  /  Leeks

Potatoes  &  Field  Scale  Vegetable  Workshop  -­‐  Key  Challenges  &  Priorities  for  research

Crop  Husbandry Genetics Environment  &  SocialFarming  Systems Engineering  &  IT

*******Early  Embryonic  Death  Genetic,  

Nutritional,  Health  Status**** Lameness  /  Pain  detection ****

Genotype  links  to  treatment  regime  -­‐  Stratified  management

*****Neo  Natal  &  Pre  ruminant  management

******Immune  system  Function  /  Suppression  

***** Cow  Stress  -­‐  Measurement *New  DD  treatments  formalin  /  Copper  Sulphate

*** In  line  detection  automated **** Liver  Damage  &  Fatty  Liver ****** Johnes

****Submission  rate  vs  Conception  rate  

(Declining  CR-­‐  Why?)KE  Adoption  of  current  best  practice *** multi-­‐modal  &  interptetation *** Calf  &  Heifer  rearing ***** Better  diagnostics

** Once  a  day  milkingDigital  dermatitis  -­‐  Pathology,  Resistance  &  Vaccination

** Alternatives  to  Antibiotic ** FCE *** Anti  microbial  resistance

** Endemic  &  Sub  clinical  disease Why  do  some  cows  not  get  lame **diagnostics  -­‐  real  time  &  stratified  therapy

** RumenModifiers **Social  &  behavioural  requirement  of  cows  -­‐  modelling  building  design

* Physiological  drivers  of  (in)fertility Health  economics **Biological  control  -­‐  Cow  ,  teat,  environment

** Synthetic  Amino  Acids * Persistent  &  multiple  vaccines

*Nutritional  drivers  of  fertility  &  

Negative  Energy  balanceCow  behaviour *

cow  comfort  &  environmental  hygiene

*Supplementing  Grazing  and  balancing  forage  variability

Scours

Herd  synchronisation  for  UK Floor  surface  v  lameness * Self  curing * Optimising  Feed  utilisation Building  designTransition  Management  &  

Management  Grouping  Early  life  development   * Sub  species  strian   Colostrum  Quality Vaccine  Technologies

Measurement  of  Data Plastics  to  treat  lameness Vaccination  (Staph  Aureus) Colostrum  replacers Animal  immunity  /  measurement

Involuntary  Cull  ratesGenetics  &  Nutritional  links  -­‐  Digital  cushion

Anti  inflamatories  vs  Antibiotics Weanimg  strategies Social  environment  &  Stress  

Extended  lactation  &  Calving  interval  -­‐  LDY  vs  Lact  yield

Maintaining  sole  thickness  post  calving

secondary  costs  of  Mastitis   Rumen  Development

Aids  to  Heat  Detection  &  Submission  rate

Get  Vets  Farmers  &  Foot  trimmers  to  work  closer  re  lameness  management

Measuring  youngstock  development

Breed  vs  Hybrid Self  feed  systems  for  large  herdsLate  lactation  vs  transition  

managementFeeding  different  breeds

Building  design  &  Cow  environment/comfort

Innovative  Ways  of  delivering  nutrients  to  cows

Maternal  recognition  of  pregnancy Enzymes  for  better  Feed  utilisationSocial  Environmnert  &  stress Sub  Acute  Rumen  Acidosis

Minerals  Cu.  Mo,  Se,  I  

Dairy  Sector  Workshop  -­‐  Key  Challenges  &  Priorities  for  research

Current  HusbandryFertility Lameness Mastitis   Feeds  &  Feeding  &  YS  Rearing Health  &  Welfare

**** Skills  requirements  for  2030 *********Phenotypes  remote  /  automated  sensing

***** Home  grown  protein *********Cow  restlessness  =  Stress  Remote  sensors

**** Dewatering  waste  streams

***Matching  systems  to  Geography/regions

*** Resistance  to  disease *** Soil  Health **** in  line  progesterone  testingDefinition  and  measurement  of  welfare

** Data  &  Models  for  farming  systems *** IVF  &  Cloning **Maximising  Dry  Matter  production  /  Ha

*** Prediction  of  calving  date  &  time UK  &  Young  people  into  farming

** Food  Security  &  Ruminants *** Embryonic  loss * Understanding  Soil  Organic  Matter *** Early  lameness  detection  technologyChanging  perception  re  commercial  scale  livestock  systems

* Organic  Systems ** Feed  Intake  &  FCE ** Palatbility  &  Intake  characteristics   * Real  time  sensing  of  Soil  properties Methane  emissions

understanding  Cow  behaviour  -­‐  designing  buildings  and  dairy  systems

** Collecting  data,  Data  islands  sharing * persistent  legumes * pH  bolus Better  use  of  wastes

|Social  research  -­‐  How  to  get  messages  to  Farmers

** Gentics  for  heat  expression Phosphate  management *Decision  support  systems  for  slurry  management

Retaining  nutrients  that  leach

Simple  systems ** novel  milk Trace  element * Non  invasive  cow  side  tests Reducing  manure  odoursValuing  Ecosystem  services * Genotypes  &  drug  response Making  Forage  in  poor  conditions   * Heat  detection Carbon  sequestration  by  grasson  Farm  systems  for  measuring  Eco-­‐system  service

*Selection  for  specific  production  systems

Selection  of  Forage  varieties * In  line  mastitis Short/long  term  carbon  cycles

Diversity  of  systems * Consistent  values  of  reliabilities Measuring  DMI  at  grass Decision  Support  tools Sand  recycling  systems

Building  design * Closed  loop  datat  collection  &  use Better  forage  analysisGood  collection  &  analysis  of  historical  Data  re  mastitis

Environmental  Management  systes  to  make  planning  less  subjective

Labour  efficiency * Raised  Genetic  Merit  for  feertility Breeding  for  RUE Driverless  feeder  wagon Water  as  a  resourceProcess  flow Digital  dermatitis  index Forages  for  extreme  climate Resource  plannimng  toolHeat  stress  /  shade Cow  families  &  Mastitis C4  genes  in  grass Carbon  footprintiong  toolsenergy  efficiency GM  resistance  to  Mastitis N  Fixing  grass Reducing  fossil  fuel  use

Dirty  water  cleaning  systems Sexed  Semen Legiume  persistanceUnderastanding  N  fixation  by  legumes

Water  quality  assessments Digital  cushion  Optimisation  and  storage  of  manure  nutrients

Moisture  free  environment Making  Bull  calves  more  profitable Biogas  from  sl;urry

Welfare  assessment  of  housing Heterosis  -­‐  benefitsBeef  from  dairy  herd  -­‐  nop  shooting  bull  calves

Building  design  &  fertilityManaging  genetic  resources  /  diversity

movement  of  bacteria  /  gentic  info  from  farm  to  other  environments

Genetics  for  forage  utilisation Biosecurity  at  scale

On  farm  genomics Adaptation  to  climate  change

meta  genomics

Dairy  Sector  Workshop  -­‐  Key  Challenges  &  Priorities  for  research

Genetics Environment  &  Social  Farming  Systems Engineering  &  ITForage  production

10(29)Maximising  exploitation  of  current  genetics

12  (37) Managing  Health  &  Disease   15  (24)Training  &  investment  in  staff  at  individual  farm  and  industry  level

1  (9)Novel  breeding  technologies  (GM,  Genomics)

2(5) Improving  efficiency  measurement

5(14) Feed  efficiency   7(13) Balancing  welfare  with  Productivity 1(5)Improving  outdoor  production  systems

*** Improving  FCR * Measuring  DLWG  &  FCR  in  field

****** Improving  FCR ******* Managing  Animal  health *******Investment  in  improving  Building  Stock  /  quality

*** Taste,  flavour  &  texture   *Auto  Monitoring  &  Control  of  feeding

****** Reducing  pre  weaning  mortality ***** Tail  Biting  /  Aggression  in  finishing  pigs *****Building  design  for  increased  performance  &  welfare

*** Sow  fertility  &  Fecundity * Precision  environments

******Increasing  producitvity  per  sow  (weaned  pigs  /  sow  /  yr)

*** Endemic  disease  control **Environmental  Management  /  constraints

** Disease  resistance *Automated  monitoring  of  piglet  prodn  to  reduce  mortality

** Utilisation  of  alternative  feeds *** Welfare  constraints  &  Pig  behaviour ** Planning  regulation  * Alternative  Protein  supplies *** Freedom  Farrowing  systems

**Emerging  disease  Identification  and  management

* Salmonella* Sow  Aggression* Sow  Longevity* Swine  dysentery* Satiety  in  gestating  sows** PRD

Pig  Sector  Workshop  -­‐  Key  Challenges  &  Priorities  for  research

Husbandry  &  Nutrition GeneticsHealth  &  Welfare Farming  Systems Engineering  &  IT

**********Closing  the  Yield  Gap    -­‐  Understanding  Why

***** Improved  economics  of  pulses ********* N-­‐  fixing  cereals ******Overiding  need  for  science  /  evidence  base  regulation

*******Variable  rate  fert  &  Manure  application

***** Improved  Blackgrass  control   **** Direct  drilling  in  a  mariime  climate **** GM  traits  for  consumer  benefits ****** Reducing  N-­‐Use ****In  crop  testing  of  nitrogen/protein  content

****Micro  -­‐  nutrients  &  Trace  element  nutrition

****Benchmarking  to  integrate  technical  decisions  wth  economics  &  sustainability

*** Genetic  disease  resistance *****Need  for  tramsparent  &  independent  consistent  research  messaging

*** Smart'  GPS  pesticide  application

***Soil  Borne  diseases  and  rotational  effects  (Take  All  &  Club  root)

***Science  Skill  Base  &  Career  retention

***Pext  repellent  traits  (Slugs,  Pigeons,aphids    etc)

**** Loss  of  Chemistry ** Soil  Nutrient  mapping

*** Mycotoxin  management ***New  (to  UK)  crops  for  climate  change  adaptation

**Drought  tolerance  &  Abiotic  stress  resistance

****Efficacy  of  sterile  strips  to  prevent  weed  ingress

**Remote  sensing  (Pests,  disease  ,  nutrient)

**Disease  Managemen  and  implication  on  development  of  resistance

** Resource  Use  efficiency ** Pretein  genetics *** Soil  Biology  &  Soil  Structure ** Low/zero  tillage  systems

Integrated  Weed  control  programmes   ** Better  info  on  rotations ** Improved  rooting  structure ***Reducing  water  requirement  -­‐  Soil  moisture  holding  capacitu

*Sensors  for  Farmer  measurement  of  crop  stands

Inefficiency  of  nutrient  use  in  OSR  (Root  structure)

** New  Break  Crops  for  UK ** Maximising  energy  production  (Maize) *** Landscape  scale  planning * Monitoring  crop  quality  in  store

** Regional  impacts ** Slug  resistance ***Sustainable  intensification  of  environmental  management

* Integrated  decision  analysis  (IT)

* Nutrient  cycling * Improved  multi  gene  disease  resistance *** Standardised  Carbon  Footprinting Guidance  systems

*Better  integration  of  Livestock  &  Arable  systems

* Natural  Standing  power  (no  pgrs) **Extreme  weather  impacts  (Drought  &  Lodging)

Controlled  Traffic  Farming

* Short  growing  season  crops   *Increaseds  traw  yields  -­‐  for  livestock  sector

* Plant  microbe  interactions Nanaotechnology

*Impact  of  Carbon  Footprint  on  establishment/management  decision  making

* Post  emergence  weed  control * Control  of  Eutrophic  algal  blooms Compatability  of  IT  systems

* Basic  crop  ecology  &  interactions *Phenotypi  expression  under  field  conditions

* Impact  of  climate  change Variable  seed  rates

Farm  Platform  for  Arable  Farming Nutritional  value  of  crops *Better  evaluation  of  Stewardship  options  on  achieving  desired  outcomes  (ELS/HLS)

Mobile  soil  type  mapping

Land  Sparing  vs  Land  Sharing Take-­‐all  &  Second  wheat  syndrome *Use  of  selective  herbicides  in  hedge  bottoms

Decision  support  systems  

Cover  &  companion  crops Improved  milling  qualities *Better  understanding  of  trade-­‐offs  between  production  &  Environment

Fully  automatic  drying  &  Storage  systems

Improved  use  of  Water Frost  resistance KE/KT  &  Barriers  to  uptake Inter  row  band  sprayingEcology  of  Pests  &  Disease  and  most  effective  points  in  rotation  to  control  them

Increased  Folic  Acid  content  (cereals)Over  reliance  on  single  indicators  for  evironment  (Farmland  bird  index)

Whole  farm  predictive  modelling

Dual  purpose  Food  &  Fuel  cropsUnderstanding  genetics  of  plant  physiology  /  biochemistry

Better  understanding  of  causes  of  environmental  interactions  /  issues

Sensor  development

GENOMIC  SELECTION  &  MOLECULAR  MARKERS

Implication  of  cultivations  /  establishment  methds  on  diffuse  pollution  and  soil  stability

Automation  of  cultivation  depth  /  intensity  to  produce  desired  seedbed

GM  research  in  Wheat  pulses  &  Soya  for    increased  yields  and  RUE

Decrease  reliance  on  non-­‐renewable  GHG  emitting  resources

Precision  application  of  dusty  materials

Understanding  of  diffuse  water  pollution  (protection  of  AI's)

Precision  application/  CTF  for  environmental  benefits

Combinable  Crop  Sector  Workshop  -­‐  Key  Challenges  &  Priorities  for  ResearchCrop  Husbandry Genetics Environment  &  SocialFarming  Systems Engineering  &  IT

Summary of Outputs from Cross Sector R&D Roadmapping Workshop 30th July 2012 - Stoneleigh In attendance: David Alvis , Calum Murray (TSB), Ian Crute (AHDB), Andrea Graham (NFU), Jim Godfrey, Chris Pollock, David Gardner (RASE-afternoon session) Prof Charles Godfray – Oxford University / Foresight, Tina Barsby – NIAB, Mike Bushell –Syngenta, Dave Hughes – Syngenta, Chris Tapsell – KWS / BSPB, Richard Heathcote – Heineken, Ian Matts – YARA ,Helen Browning – Soil Association, Tom MacMillan – Soil Association, Robert Merrall – IAgrE, Prof Dick Godwin – Cranfield Uni / HAUC, Salvador Potter – PGRO, Angela Booth – ABAgri, Peter Mills – HAUC / HTF, Duncan Sinclair – Waitrose Summary of responses to key questions Q1. PESTLE Analysis : What are the key drivers that will have a significant impact on Food Production and the Environment in the UK over the next 20 years? Political:

• Globalisation of Agri-Food industry – Loss of UK control

• Climate Change Policy • CAP reform • Food labeling • Food Prices & Volatility (Resilience & Efficiency) • Public Sector Investment • Future Role of Global Commodity Trading - WTO • Land Use trade-offs • Potential for Global Unrest • Mass Migration • Health & Food safety Policy • G8 Agenda • Existing R&D Structures • EU Innovation Union (Horizon 2020)

Economic:

• Rising Food prices • Changing Diet- Demand for Animal Protein • Global Trade in commodities / WTO • Supply Chain Resilience (UK & Global) • Oil Price • Analysis / Valuing diverse outputs from land • Skills & Education • Reduction in Public Sector Spending • Duplication of RD Spend within Europe • Horizon 2020 • Increased Competition in global markets • Land ownership

Social:

• CAP reform • Land use trade-offs • Consumer expectations (Quality/Quantity) • Currency Volatility & Political/Social instability • Long term Food price inflation • Food Security – UK & Global • Health – Food Safety & Diet • Population Migration • Skills & Education • Ageing population • Image & Reputation of Food Industry • Awareness & Acceptability of New Technologies

(GMO, cloning etc) • ICT & Social Media • NIMBYISM • Rural infrastructure • Consumer Eth0ics • Producer Motivation

Technological:

• Energy Generation & Use efficiency • EU Innovation Union / Horizon 2020 • Rise of National / Corporate technological ‘super-

powers’ • IT , Social Media & Communications technology • Remote Sensing Technologies • Robotics • ‘Omics technologies – Bioscience & Bioinformatics • Water Management • Game changers – “Unknown Unknowns” • Re-evaluation & Access constraints • GMOs & other contentious technologies • Impact of Aquaculture • Sliding real terms investment in technology

development

Legal:

• CAP reform • Food safety legislation • Anti-trust law • Intellectual Property Protection • Trade deals / WTO • Regulatory Environment & Compliance • Tax & Capital allowances • Planning Law Agricultural constraints & Potential

loss of productive land • Animal Welfare regulation

Environmental:

• Land Use trade-offs • Climate Change • Sustainability Issues & Metrics • Water & Soil Management • Resource Use Efficiency • Benefits / Valuing Non –Agricultural outputs of land • Waste Management • Biodiversity & Ecosystem services • Flood Control & Risk Management • Planning • Emerging Biotic pressures

Q2 - What Generic Areas of Research will have the most positive impact on the Sustainable Intensification of Agriculture in the next 20 years

• Precision / Smart Engineering ************* • Soil Biology, Rhizosphere & Water interactions ********** • System Level Research ************ • (Relevant & Objective)Sustainability Metrics ********* • Genetics & Marker Assisted Selection / ‘Omics’ & Understanding ‘Omic’

information****** • Social Science – Translation and Communication ***** • Nutrient Use Efficiency – Nitrogen ***** & Phosphorus ** • Protein Supply *** • Research Motivation, R&D resilience & Flexibility *** • Targeted KE/KT for differing needs *** • New Pest Management techniques ** (incl. Weed control) • GHGs and Soil (N2O) & Rumen (CH4) derived GHG mitigation * • Bio-Informatics • Non-Pathogenic Disease / Metabolic disorders in Livestock • Economics (Drivers and impacts of commodity speculation) • Chemical Engineering • Application of research from ESRC & NERC • Synthetic biology • Photosynthetic efficiency • Commodity Price Dynamics and emergence of alternative oil / protein sources

(Algae) • Artificial Meat

Q3 - What key Challenges / Research Needs were not highlighted / identified by Sector workshops?

• Systems Level Solution – Macro Level ******* • New / Emerging Crops (Grain Maize, Soya, Alfalfa )****** • Consumer Psychology / Behaviour & Trust ***** • Impact assessment of R&D / Technology by stakeholders (incl evidence) ** • Quality of Private Sector Research (capability) & Open Access - Using

Private Sector R&D for Wider Business benefit ** • Application of Genomics ** • Optimising N- Use* • Modelling Efficiency re GHGs* • Social Science* • Greater Industrial / Academic Collaboration * • Structural issues in R&D Capability (Soil , Weeds etc)* • Cell Level systems Biology • Decision Support Tools • (Bio-)chemical feedstocks for Industrial / Non-food use • Algae / Fungae as a source of Feed /Protein / Energy

Q4 - Given that current systems of Agricultural Production in the UK are driven largely by historical factors, what changes / Alternative Farming Systems should be investigated or researched to deliver sustainable Productivity growth and provision of environmental Goods in the Future? New Paradigms in Precision Agriculture

• Remote Monitoring, Control and Application Technologies • Protecting Soils – Controlled Traffic Farming • Protecting the environment – better targeting and timeliness of inputs • Environmental & Economic Benefits : Defined - Increased resource

use efficiency / Yield / reduced cost of compliance with regulations • Analysis, understanding and integration of Yield Mapping and Soil /

Crop monitoring data - • Decision Support tools • Outreach and training – KE/KT requirement • Compatability issues need to be resolved • Market pull – ‘Glorified Red tractor’ • Infrastructure investment • System design according to Topography & Soil type / cropping etc.

Application of Genomics in Livestock

• Move away from concept of ‘Breeds’ particularly in Dairy, Beef and

Sheep èCloser to Pig & Poultry sectors – System Focused Hybrids – Functional traits èRedesign of the animal to suit the system of production èUnderstanding & measuring commercially desirable traits èDevelopment / identification of key trait markers across breeds èPhenotyping & Data collection = Challenge of collecting quality, standardized data across supply chain

• Plant / Animal / Rumen Metagenomics – Optimizing production

systems • Recognise Challenges & learn from past mistakes (Dairy sector

historical +++ selection for milk yield alone è deteriorating robustness è Balabced breeding)

• Producer inertia / Motivation/ Power of Breed Societies • Consumer acceptance – Perceived value of Breeds / differentiation • THE PRECISION RUMINANT

Minimising Biotic Losses – Crops

• New Chemistry • New Biology • Integrated Pest Management • Mixed seed/variety cropping

Paradigm Change – ‘Learn to love Pathogens’

è work with Nature

• Primary Biomass Production ; How to Optimise • Pest & Disease Management with ‘Empty Toolbox’

è Multi factorial approach (ICM) • Core husbandry concepts (e.g. rotation) : No Magic Bullet

Paradigm Change - Integrated Mixed Farming – Co-location of specialist enterprises

è Mixed farming at Regional / Area level rather than individual farm level è Stop looking at the farm as the basic unit of measurement è Efficient nutrient recycling – minimizing losses è Optimising value from Co-products è ‘Circular Agricultural Economy’ – Identifying Risks and opportunities

• Wider cropping rotations – Move away from reliance on Wheat & OSR

èBreeding for Multi-purpose crops èHow to achieve Durable disease resistance ?

• Exploration of potential upside of Climate Change – Opportunity to

grow more high value crops è Transformation of Production systems.

Soils and Soil Management

• Soil Biology, Rhizosphere & Water/Nutrient interactions • Better understanding of Soil Pathogens and life cycles / interactions

with Soil Biota / crops èPlethora of Soil Borne disease pressures increasing

è No current solutions

èRequirement for National Soil Audit re Soil Health

è Public Funding issue – Value must be recognized

è Link outcomes to Yield Map Data to identify potential causal links

Valuing Ecosystem services and developing land use systems to optimize delivery where appropriate

• Tropical cropping systems / Wild Harvest – What can be learned? • Vertical Farming systems – Opportunities in light of climate change • Prudent Nutrient recycling • Dual Cropping / Mixed Farming systems (Silvo-pastoral production) • Paradigm Change ; Monitor Ecosystem service output (How to

Measure / Value) è Re-definition of mixed land use èrewarding ecosystem service e.g Agro-forestry

• Logistical problems of low volume production • Unit of accountancy for Ecosystem Services ( Catchment NOT Farm)

Endemic & Emerging Disease management & Eradication in Livestock

• Identified as Key Challenge / R&D priority theme in all animal sector workshops

• Major cause of reduced productivity and source of Waste / GHGs / welfare issues

• Economic, Environmental, Welfare & Resource use efficiency gains achievable ‘Quadruple win’ with few if any obvious trade-offs

• Does industry’s failure to adequately address this issue necessitate Public sector intervention, given strategic importance of potential outcome?

• Multivariate problem requires Strategic and Multifactorial approach including Farm level, Regional and National elements to Prevention, Management and Control of disease

èUnderstanding causal links – Genetic, Nutritional, Environmental, Management, Pathogen è Identification and use of reliable Health trait markers èBalanced breeding goals for healthier / robust livestock èInfluence of Stress and System design / Animal Environment on Immune System èOptimised management of Herd Health & Biosecurity at farm, regional and national level

• Development of Monitoring & Diagnostic technologies • Development Persistent and effective vaccines • Anti-Microbial resistance, and Stratified therapy for optimized control

strategies. • Health Economics – Understanding the true cost of sub-clinical,

chronic and acute infection for a range of key diseases / disorders • Effective KT/KE mechanisms to raise awareness and drive

widespread adoption of Best practice / New technology to improve herd health

Q5 - What other factors (Positive & Negative) will have a significant on Agricultural Production between now and 2030 and what role does R&D play in ensuring those impacts are optimized / mitigated against? Positive Factors :

1. Consolidation / Collaboration of Agricultural R&D with other strategic imperatives i.e. Energy & AD è Integrated management of Complexity èStructured approach to R&D programming 2. Climate Change opportunity

• Embrace systems Biology èIncrease diversity of genetic pool in Agricultural production è Increase resilience (Plants & Livestock)

3. Rising Demand for Food

• Drive for efficiency gains è GHG U energy balance

• Political Rhetoric è Action è Increasing recognition of importance of Agriculture Food Production ( DBIS & Defra)

• Impact of dietary change in developing world (meat consumption ++)

Risk Factors ; 1.Consolidation and increased unit size (without collaboration) è Need for Economic & Bioscience research

èNeed for key skills to manage Complexity & Integration of systems

2.Absence of bespoke agri–business training 3.New landowners: more contract farming –

• Short term planning horizon • Fragmentation of holdings • Lifestyle landowners / Nimbyism vs productivity • Potentially less commitment to driving productivity gains

4.Climate Change

• No National ADAPTATION PLAN • Conventional breeding techniques inadequate due to changing

environmental conditions • Expected +ve CO2 response may not occur due to other

limiting factors èRobust models required for plants & Animals

5. Carbon Accounting

• UK has irreducible minimum Agricultural Carbon Footprint è What is it?

6. Antimicrobial Resistance

• Concerns over resistance in humans limiting / reducing availability of veterinary drugs

• Disparity of regulatory system between major Production areas (EU vs US)

• Lack of R&D in Animal Health products 7. EU Regulatory System – Restricting uptake of new technology (GMOs, Cloning) and potential loss of existing technology (Assessment by hazard rather than risk) 8. Dietary Change in Developed world ( reduce meat consumption)

Appendix  4    Exemplars  of  successful  integrated  R&D  programmes  in  the  agricultural  sector.    

1. The Australian Model for Applied Agricultural Research: Rural Development Corporations

Rural development corporations commission agricultural research on a competitive basis amongst both public and private providers using funds from production levies that are matched (up to a ceiling of 0.5% of the value of production) by federal funds. There are currently 15 RDCs each based around single rural Industries, although there is considerable variation in their detailed terms of reference. In 2007 total RDC expenditure on traditional agricultural production research was ca A$ 0.5Bn (some 60% of total public expenditure on agricultural R&D and approximately 50% of the expenditure on production agriculture). This model is felt to have several advantages:

• Strong linkages to producers helps to ensure value for money • These linkages also promote rapid uptake by producers • The relatively large sums of money involved are used to promote

integrated approaches to R&D, particularly in areas where there are other funders

• RDCs are seen as a valuable intellectual resource in terms of expertise in rural research management that feeds through into policy issues

An economic analysis of value for money from R&D investment suggests that domestic research (50% of which comes via the RDCs) is responsible for about 60% of recent productivity increases in broad acre agriculture. The author suggests that, without this research, the real value of output would have contracted by around 50% between 1953 and 2008 (1). Recent reviews have identified challenges facing this model, although there is considerable debate over the need for and nature of reform. The current intention is to adapt rather than replace. The incentive for increased direct industry investment in R&D may be too low, and there is an argument about reducing the ceiling for matched federal funds. Small rural industries and overarching rural issues are not dealt with effectively by this system, and there is a risk that the terms of reference for some RDCs can limit their independence of action. The key lesson for the UK remains, however, the effectiveness of RDCs (a) in linking Industry and Government funding to deliver R&D that directly benefits Industry (b) in mobilising long-term private R&D investment in industries dominated by many small businesses where individual private investment would be unlikely or ineffective and (c) in providing a industry-aware focus for setting and delivering strategy. 1. Mullen, J (2010). Trends in Investment in Agricultural R&D in Australia and its Potential Contribution to Productivity. Australasian Agribusiness Review - Vol.18 - 2010, Paper 2, ISSN 1442-6951.

2. The Consortium for Plant Biotechnology Research, St Simons Island,

Georgia, USA. CPBR is a non-profit NGO whose aim is to speed the transfer of plant biotechnologies from the research laboratory to the marketplace, expanding economic opportunities through university research and global networking. The consortium supports biotechnology research that has practical applications; advances technological innovations based on new understandings and uses of plants and other organisms; provides multidisciplinary training and research opportunities for a new generation of scientists and engineers; and connects industry needs with university and industry suppliers. CPBR’s generic (anonymous) list of company members’ research needs is updated annually by the companies. The list becomes part of the CPBR Request for Pre-proposals which is sent to member university scientists and administrators. It invites the scientists to respond to the company members’ research needs with short descriptions of proposed research projects. Full proposals for funding are submitted to the centre by a variety of academic providers. The selection process includes industrial evaluation of research concepts to insure industrial relevance and peer review to insure scientific excellence and funds requested from CPBR must be matched at least 1:1 by funds from companies and other non-federal sources, such as universities and foundations. Each proposal must have part of the required 1:1 matching come from a for-profit company as cash matching. Since 1989, over $120 M has been directed to projects, with non-federal funds accounting for almost $70M. In terms of outputs, Consortium-funded projects delivered over 200 patents, over 250 licenses and 5 start-up companies, but perhaps more importantly the success rate per unit of federal funding was significantly higher for patents, licences and peer-reviewed publications than the average for American Universities. The key lesson for the UK is in the advantages of linking more closely the aims and objectives of industrial funding in plant biotechnology with the programme of research funded by central government. Given the pressures on funding overall and the impetus for work on alternative land use, TSB and the Levy payers also have a key role to play in this area.

3. Canadian Agri-Science Clusters

Total funding of $68.5 million has been approved under the Canadian Agri-Science Clusters initiative of the Growing Canadian Agri-Innovations Program. This funding is being allocated toward 10 science clusters which are organized along commodity lines, as follows; beef cattle, dairy, swine/pork, poultry, canola/flax, pulse, wheat breeding, edible horticulture, ornamental horticulture, and organic agriculture.

The initiative provides financial funding contributions for recipients to carry out research projects with universities and other research and development organizations. Funding may also cover non-pay costs associated with research to be performed at Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada research facilities. The lead organization is accountable for the execution of the project and all associated reporting of expenditures and results.

Recipients must be not-for-profit agricultural corporations. These tend to occupy a niche similar to that of the UK Levy Bodies. Recipients must contribute financially toward the cost of research undertaken; industry contributions range from 15 per cent of the project cost to as high as 30 per cent.

This programme provides a potential model for individual levy bodies/producer groups to engage more effectively with basic and strategic research in areas that lie outside the generic research priorities identified in the body of the report. It does, however, rely heavily on earmarked federal funding.

 4. The UK Crop Improvement Research Club (CIRC)

CIRC is a £7.06M, 5-year partnership between BBSRC, The Scottish Government and a consortium of leading companies, aimed at supporting innovative and excellent research to underpin the development of improved crop varieties. There is an urgent need to develop crop varieties with greater yield potential and the ability to deliver this sustainably with reduced inputs and without detrimental effects on the local ecosystem. Equally, new crop varieties are required that reliably and consistently produce high quality products that are safe, nutritious and meet end-user requirements.

The challenge for industry will be to achieve high yielding, high quality varieties that perform well in a commercial context against a background of greater environmental instability; particularly as a result of climate change.

The CIRC themes are:

• To support research leading to improved crop productivity. Sustainable improvements in crop productivity are important for increasing the volume of food the UK can produce, for limiting the land needed to produce this food and for improving the efficiency with which resources are used in crop production • To support research leading to improved crop quality. Improving quality can help to improve the processing, safety and nutritional value of crop products whilst also improving resource use efficiency. By understanding quality traits better there will also be scope for generating greater consistency in quality against a background of variation in growing conditions

CIRC will support research on oilseed rape, barley and wheat and their uses in food production for humans and animals.

14 companies have agreed to join CIRC to date. CIRC will support research projects from a joint fund totaling £7.06M with £6M coming from BBSRC, £0.56M from Industry and £0.5M from the Scottish Government.

This is a good UK example of an integrated programme structured around medium- and long-term producer needs that seeks to integrate basic and strategic research and link this to a clear delivery pathway. It is one of five research and technology clubs involving BBSRC.


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