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adio One Inc.-
An analysis of the proposed acquisitio
ns
TEAM 3Boyega AjayiInes ChenDamon Delorenzis
Jessica Jusuf Doreen Marcher
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Opportunity for Radio One as a result of divestures by Clear Channel Communications.
Potential acquisitions of 21 stations
hat is the ri!ht price"
Case Introduction
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#he consolidation trend in the radio station industry.
Reduced e$penses Increased prices for radio stations
%ivestiture by Clear Channel
&ac'!round
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(valuate the &roadcast Cash )lo*s +&C), of the tar!eted radio stations
%etermine and evaluate appropriate multiples that can be used to evaluate the potential acquisitions
%etermine an appropriate offer price for the tar
!eted radio stations
Obective of Analysis
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ultiples
◦ &roadcast Cash )lo* +&C),
◦ (arnin!s before Income #a$
◦ %epreciation and Amorti/ation +(&I#%A,
◦
After #a$ Cash )lo*s
%ecision Criteria
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%iscount Rate 0nlevered Cost of (quity
%iscounted cash flo*
Corporate aluation
◦ )orecast period
◦ ori/on alue
ultiple Analyses
ethodolo!y
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rsu3rR)4+RP,+5u,
amada (quation
%iscount ate -0nlevered Cost of (quity
PRM 7.2%rRF 6.28%
ßu 0.61
Average assetßi 0.75
Rs 10.71%
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%epreciation of property and equipment◦ 6trai!ht line depreciation for 17 years
Capital ($pense3 21 ne* operatin! 0nits 8 91::;::: each
3 92.1
Amorti/ation ($pense
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Incremental Corporate ($pense Adustm
ent
TotalBCF*1000s+ 101,548, 116,079 136,034, 158,249, 180,786 205,920
Total Cororate-.ense*1000s+ 6,000 6,000 6,900 7,935 9,125 10,494
BCF & /otent!alNe arets 59,014 65,041 76,436 89,711 101,966 115,277
BFC&Nearets TotalBCF 58)1' 56)0' 56)2' 56)7' 56)4' 56)0'
Cor -.ense (or/otent!al Nearets *1000s+ 3,487 3,362 3,877 4,498 5,147 5,875
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Net #or!n% Ca!tal *N#C+ ' o(BCF 47)90'
tead taterot$ 4)00'
#ACC 10)71'
Ta. Rate 34)00'
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6/Steady
State
= 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005Revenue to rot$ 8)22' 12)35' 12)56' 10)75' 9)89' 4)00'ross Revenue 120,486 130,384 146,488 164,891 182,609 200,676 208,703
!rect -.enses 15,094 16,243 18,176 20,432 22,624 24,857
Net Revenue 105,392 114,143 128,313 144,460 159,985 175,820
erat!n% -.enses 46,376 49,102 51,877 54,750 58,020 60,543 BCF 59,014 65,041 76,436 89,711 101,966 115,277 119,888
Cororate -.enses 3,487 3,362 3,877 4,498 5,147 5,875
-B:TA 55,527 61,679 72,559 85,213 96,819 109,402 erec!at!on and A;ort!alue 0 0 0 0 0 710,399
FCF?Ter;!nal >alue 36,648 40,708 72,450 83,550 90,982 809,358
Enterprise Value 669,705
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Net #or!n% Ca!tal *N#C+ ' o(BCF 47)90'
tead taterot$ 6)00'
#ACC 10)71'
Ta. Rate 34)00'
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6/Steady
State
= 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Revenue to rot$ 8)22' 12)35' 12)56' 10)75' 9)89' 6)00'ross Revenue 120,486 130,384 146,488 164,891 182,609 200,676 212,717
!rect -.enses 15,094 16,243 18,176 20,432 22,624 24,857
Net Revenue 105,392 114,143 128,313 144,460 159,985 175,820
erat!n% -.enses 46,376 49,102 51,877 54,750 58,020 60,543 BCF 59,014 65,041 76,436 89,711 101,966 115,277 122,194
Cororate -.enses 3,487 3,362 3,877 4,498 5,147 5,875
-B:TA 55,527 61,679 72,559 85,213 96,819 109,402
erec!at!on and A;ort!alue 0 0 0 0 0 962,025
FCF?Ter;!nal >alue 36,648 40,708 72,450 83,550 90,982 1,060,984
Enterprise Value 806,391
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Net #or!n% Ca!tal *N#C+ ' o(BCF 47)90'
tead taterot$ 8)00'
#ACC 10)71'
Ta. Rate 34)00'
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6/Steady
State
= 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Revenue to rot$ 8)22' 12)35' 12)56' 10)75' 9)89' 8)00'ross Revenue 120,486 130,384 146,488 164,891 182,609 200,676 216,730
!rect -.enses 15,094 16,243 18,176 20,432 22,624 24,857
Net Revenue 105,392 114,143 128,313 144,460 159,985 175,820
erat!n% -.enses 46,376 49,102 51,877 54,750 58,020 60,543 BCF 59,014 65,041 76,436 89,711 101,966 115,277 124,499
Cororate -.enses 3,487 3,362 3,877 4,498 5,147 5,875
-B:TA 55,527 61,679 72,559 85,213 96,819 109,402
erec!at!on and A;ort!alue 0 0 0 0 0 1,580,995
FCF?Ter;!nal >alue 36,648 40,708 72,450 83,550 90,982 1,679,954
Enterprise Value 1,142,621
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(nterprise value
Steady ro!th"ate
Enter#rise $alue%&&&s'
Scenario 1 4% 669705
Scenario 2 6% 806!91
Scenario ! 8% 1142621
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Enter#rise$alueMulti#le ofBC(
Enter#rise$alueMulti#le ofEBITDA
Enter#rise$alueMulti#le ofAfter)Ta* C(
Scenario 1 11)3 12)1 18)3
Scenario 2 13)7 14)5 22)0
Scenario ! 19)4 20)6 31)2
ultiple Analysis
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CA6( >1?
@i!!ins and oyster had to decide if adio
One should purchase the stations and ho*
much to offer
CASE +,-.hat #urchase #rice range that!ould ma/e sense 0
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#oo many factors ma'e it very difficult to assessan Acquisition proposal accurately
#he Cost of Capital for the tar!eted stations is anassumption that could be chan!ed
($penses such as corporate e$pense and net *or'in! capital are based on assumptions that the tar!eted radio stations *ill have ratios similar toRadio One
6tren!ths and ea'nesses
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As revealed by the ris' analysis; some of the stations may be overvalued
Radio One should acquire all 21 stations and *erecommend an offer not !reater than 21 $ &C)
#he mana!ement should capitali/e on their hi!h stoc' price *hen structurin! the acquisition of the 21 tar!eted radio stations
Conclusion ecommandation
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?#han's