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First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr...

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1 First Quarter 2012 Results Donald W. Seale Executive Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer
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Page 1: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

1

First Quarter 2012 Results

Donald W. SealeExecutive Vice Presidentand Chief Marketing Officer

Page 2: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

2

Revenue$2.8 Billion, up 6%

RPU$1,611, up 5%

Volume1,730,800 units, up 1%

1Q 2011 RPU Volume 1Q 2012

$2,620$2,789$139 $30

1Q 2012 Revenue $ in Millions & y-o-y Percent Change

Components of Revenue Growth $ in Millions

Railway Operating RevenueFirst Quarter 2012 vs. 2011

Merchandise$1,496+13%

Coal$766(6%)

Intermodal$527+9%

Page 3: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

3

First Quarter RPU

vs. 2011 Abs.

vs. 2011% Chg.

Agriculture $2,429 $172 8%

MetCon $2,068 $258 14%

Paper $2,552 $249 11%

Chemicals $3,772 $240 7%

Automotive $2,345 $87 4%

Merchandise $2,549 $185 8%

Intermodal $671 $22 3%

Coal $2,134 $125 6%

Total $1,611 $80 5%

Revenue Per UnitFirst Quarter 2012 vs. 2011

Page 4: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

1Q 2012 Volume (000’s) & y-o-y Percent Change

4

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

1Q 2011 1Q 2012

Coal

Merchandise

Intermodal

+5%

+5%

(12%)

1,711.2 1,730.8Coal volume down (12%)

(17%) decline in Utility 19% gain in Domestic Met(10%) decline in Export

Intermodal volume up 5% 13% gain in Domestic more than offsets (3%) decline in International

Merchandise up 5% Automotive and MetCon gains more than offset declines in Agriculture and Paper

+19,600 units, or 1%

Railway Volume First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011

Page 5: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

5

Revenue$766 Million, down (6%)

RPU$2,134, up 6%

Volume359,000 units, down (12%)

Crews and Locomotives Down in line with volume decline

Coal ComparisonsFirst Quarter 2012 vs. 2011

Page 6: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

6

Utility228.3(17%)

Export63.7

(10%)

Met48.7

+19%

Industrial18.3 +3%

Utility Reduced electric demand from mild temperatures & competition from gas

Domestic Met Continued domestic demand for steel and greater coking availability during the quarter

ExportLamberts Point down (9%) Baltimore down (15%)New export steam coal

Industrial New business

Volume of 359,000 units, down (12%) 1Q 2012 Volume (000’s) & y-o-y Percent Change

Coal MarketFirst Quarter 2012 vs. 2011

Page 7: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12

Heating Degree Days by Month

ActualLast yearNormal

Source: NOAA: Average heating degree days within NS region

Utility CoalHeating Degree Days in NS Region First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011

7

1Q 2012 Heating Degree Days down (27%) vs. 2011

Page 8: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

8

Utility228.3(17%)

Export63.7

(10%)

Met48.7

+19%

Industrial18.3 +3%

Utility Reduced electric demand from mild temperatures & competition from gas

Domestic Met Continued domestic demand for steel and greater coking availability during the quarter

ExportLamberts Point down (9%) Baltimore down (15%)New export steam coal

Industrial New business

Volume of 359,000 units, down (12%) 1Q 2012 Volume (000’s) & y-o-y Percent Change

Coal MarketFirst Quarter 2012 vs. 2011

Page 9: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

Coal Market

9

Utility Utility North Utility South Export Domestic Met

Relative Length of Haul in Coal Market Segments

Page 10: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

10

Revenue$527 Million, up 9%

RPU $671, up 3%

Volume785,000 units, up 5%

Intermodal ComparisonsFirst Quarter 2012 vs. 2011

Page 11: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

11

Domestic Continued highway conversionsTightening truck capacity

International Negative comp partially offset by favorable imports and exports

Triple CrownIncreased demand for truckload services

Volume of 785,000 units, up 5% 1Q 2012 Volume (000’s) & y-o-y Percent Change

Domestic390.6+13%

International252.7(3%)

Premium64.4

--

Triple Crown77.3 4%

Intermodal MarketFirst Quarter 2012 vs. 2011

Page 12: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

12

Intermodal MarketImproved Efficiency

Volume

Crew Starts

+5%0

25

50

75

100

1Q 2011 1Q 2012

77%

Percent of Domestic Containers on Stack Cars

86%

+2%

Page 13: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

13

Revenue$1.5 Billion, up 13%

RPU$2,549, up 8%

Volume586,800 units, up 5%

Merchandise ComparisonsFirst Quarter 2012 vs. 2011

Page 14: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

14

Automotive Increased light vehicle production and new business

MetCon Increased domestic steel production and strong demand in materials for natural gas drilling

ChemicalsGrowth in plastics and crude oil offset declines in rock salt

Agriculture Negative fertilizer comp effect partially offset by increased ethanol

Paper Weaker volumes for newsprint, pulp and pulpboard with gains in lumber

Volume of 586,800 units, up 5% 1Q 2012 Volume (000’s) & y-o-y Percent Change

Agriculture152.3(2%)

MetCon165.5+12%

Chemicals96.0

--

Paper76.7(4%)

Automotive96.3

+23%

Merchandise MarketFirst Quarter 2012 vs. 2011

Page 15: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

15

CoalImpact of mild temperatures and competition from natural gasContinued strength within the domestic metallurgical market due to robust domestic demand for steel Weaker demand in European market, partially offset by new steam coal opportunities Improving world met coal prices and tighter supply

IntermodalIncreasing opportunities for highway conversion amidst tightening truck capacity Favorable international trade patternsGrowth in premium

MerchandiseProject growth in crude oil and waste products

Growth in ethanol to terminals

Increasing demand for materials in natural gas drilling operations

Stronger steel/automotive production and new business gains

Business Outlook

Page 16: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

16

Page 17: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

First Quarter 2012 Results

Mark Manion

Executive Vice President

and Chief Operating Officer

Page 18: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

Safety Performance By Quarters 2011 - 2012 (Injury Ratio per 200,000 Employee-Hours)

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 4th Qtr

0.7

9

0.8

2

0.7

4

0.6

0

0.7

0

2011

2012

Page 19: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

Composite Service Performance By Quarters 2011 - 2012

1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 4th Qtr

72

.2%

76

.6%

78

.2%

76

.3%

82

.8%

2011

2012

Page 20: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

Train Speed By Quarter 2011 - 2012

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 4th Qtr

20.9

21.1

21.4

21.4

23.4

Miles p

er

Ho

ur

2011

2012Better

Page 21: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 4th Qtr

26.2

23.9

23.6

24.5

21.8

Avera

ge

Ho

urs

2011

2012

Terminal Dwell By Quarter 2011 - 2012

Better

Page 22: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

Productivity Improvements 1st Quarter - 2012 vs. 2011

Train & Engine Service Overtime Reduced 15%

Re-Crews Reduced 35%

Equipment Rents (Velocity Driven) Reduced 9%

Locomotives In Service Reduced 3%

Fuel Consumption Reduced 2%

Gross Ton Miles per Gallon Improved 1%

Gross Ton Miles per Train Hour Improved 4%

Page 23: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

First Quarter 2012 Results

James A. Squires

Executive Vice President Finance

and Chief Financial Officer

Page 24: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

Operating ResultsFirst Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions)

First Qtr First Qtr Favorable

2012 2011 $ %

Railway operating revenues $ 2,789 $ 2,620 $ 169 6%

Page 25: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

Operating ResultsFirst Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions)

First Qtr First Qtr

Favorable

(Unfavorable)

2012 2011 $ %

Railway operating revenues $ 2,789 $ 2,620 $ 169 6%

Railway operating expenses 2,044 2,020 (24) (1%)

Income from railway operations $ 745 $ 600 $ 145 24%

Railway operating ratio (OR) 73.3 77.1 3.8 5%

*OR excluding 1Q 2011 arbitration 73.3 74.9 1.6 2%

*Please see reconciliation to GAAP posted on our web site.

Page 26: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

Railway Operating Expense AnalysisFirst Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions)

Net Increase $24 Million / 1%

- $42

+ $21+ $24

Depreciation

+ $8+ $13

Materials and other

Purchased services and rents

Compensation and benefits

Fuel

Page 27: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

Fuel Expense AnalysisFirst Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions)

First Qtr

2011

First Qtr

2012

Decreased

Consumption

Higher

Prices

$413- $13+ $37

$389

Page 28: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

Railway Operating Expense AnalysisFirst Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions)

Net Increase $24 Million / 1%

- $42

+ $21+ $24

Depreciation

+ $8+ $13

Materials and other

Purchased services and rents

Compensation and benefits

Fuel

Page 29: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

Compensation and Benefits AnalysisFirst Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions)

Increase/

(Decrease)

Pay rates $ 11

Employee health and welfare 6

Payroll taxes 6

Employee activity levels 5

Stock-based compensation (8)

Other 1

Net increase $ 21

Page 30: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

Railway Operating Expense AnalysisFirst Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions)

Net Increase $24 Million / 1%

- $42

+ $21+ $24

Depreciation

+ $8+ $13

Materials and other

Purchased services and rents

Compensation and benefits

Fuel

Page 31: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

Railway Operating Expense AnalysisFirst Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions)

Materials and other

Depreciation Purchased services and rents

Compensation and benefits

Fuel

+ $21+ $24

+ $8

+ $13

+ $16

- $42

* - $58

*Unfavorable arbitration ruling - please see

reconciliation to GAAP posted on our web site.

Page 32: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

Other Income - NetFirst Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions)

First Qtr First Qtr

Favorable

(Unfavorable)

2012 2011 $ %

Interest on tax deficiencies $ (1) $ 2 $ (3) --

Corporate-owned life insurance 3 1 2 --

All other 27 24 3 13%

Other income - net $ 29 $ 27 $ 2 7%

Interest expense on debt $ 120 $ 112 $ (8) (7%)

Page 33: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

Income TaxesFirst Quarter ($ Millions)

Change vs.

Prior Period: + 28%

$190

$244

2011 2012

Page 34: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

Net Income and Diluted Earnings per ShareFirst Quarter ($ Millions except per share)

Net Income Diluted Earnings per Share

$325

$410

$1.23

$0.90

Change vs. Prior Period: + 26% Change vs. Prior Period: + 37%

2011 2012 2011 2012

Page 35: First Quarter 2012 Results · 2020-07-17 · First Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions) First Qtr First Qtr Favorable (Unfavorable) 2012 2011 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,789

Cash Flows and Related BalancesFirst Quarter 2012 vs. 2011 ($ Millions)

2012 2011

Source

(Use)

Cash from operating activities $ 1,035 $ 652 $ 383

Property additions (461) (423) (38)

*Free cash flow $ 574 $ 229 $ 345

Share repurchases $ 400 $ 343 $ (57)

Dividends $ 155 $ 142 $ (13)

Cash and cash equivalents at March 31 $ 829 $ 236 $ 593

*Please see reconciliation to GAAP posted on our web site.


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