FONASBA ANNUAL MEETING
XI Reunión Anual CIANAM XI Reunión Anual CIANAM -- GuayaquilGuayaquil
CIANAM REPORTCIANAM REPORTFrancisco Orozco MendozaFrancisco Orozco Mendoza
PresidentPresident
Gothenburg 2014
WorldWorld merchandisemerchandise tradetrade (USD (USD billonsbillons & %)& %)
Europe6.564 (37.6%)
Europe6.564 (37.6%)
AsiaAsia
CIS550 (4,1%)
CIS550 (4,1%)
Middle East 714 (4,0%)
Middle East 714 (4,0%)
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América 3.822 (21,3%)
América 3.822 (21,3%)
Asia5.333 (29.7%)
Asia5.333 (29.7%)
714 (4,0%)714 (4,0%)
Africa580 (3,3%)
Africa580 (3,3%)
SOURCE: UNCTAD (UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT) Gothenburg 2014
World World seaborne trade in seaborne trade in 2013 2013 (% (% in in world tonnage world tonnage ))
Europe
Oceania
11% Africa
9%
Europe
22%
Oceania
1% Africa
4%
ExportsExports ImportsImports
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Asia
39%America
23%
Europe
18%
Asia
57%
America
16%
SOURCE: UNCTAD (UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT)Gothenburg 2014
World seaborne trade World seaborne trade in in 20092009--2013 2013 by by type of cargotype of cargo ((millonsmillons of of tonstons))
26652786
26422772
27942836
2904 Oil and gas
Five major
bulks
Type of cargo
7,2% 4,5%
4,9%0,8%
1,5%2,4%
9.1659.568 – 20% !!!
8.7858.409
7.858
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1127 1275 1421 1480 1578
2004 2027 2084 2184 2300
20852335
2486 26652786
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
bulks
Other dry
cargo
Container
SOURCE: UNCTAD (UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT)
13,1% 11,4% 4,2% 6,6%
1,1% 2,8% 4,8% 5,3%
12,0%6,5%
7,2% 4,5%
Gothenburg 2014
Container move World Ranking
# Port Country
1 Shanghai China
2 Singapur Singapur
3 Hong Kong China
4 Shenzhen China
5 Busán Corea del Sur
6 Ningo-Zhoushan China
7 Guangzhou China
# Port / Latinamerica Country
1 Colón Panamá
2 Balboa Panamá
3 Santos Brasil
4 Cartagena Colombia
5 Buenos Aires (incluyendo Exolgan)
Argentina
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7 Guangzhou China
8 Qindao China
9 Jebel Ali Dubai EAU
10 Tianjin China
11 Rotterdam Holanda
14 Hamburgo Alemania
16 Los Ángeles E.U.
25 Nueva York E.U.
40 Colón Panamá
41 Balboa Panamá
42 Santos Brasil
71 Manzanillo México
Exolgan)
6 Manzanillo México
7 Kingston Jamaica
8 Callao Perú
9 Guayaquil Ecuador
10 Freeport Bahamas
14 Lázaro Cárdenas México
19 Veracruz México
24 Altamira México
Fleet Capacity Evolution
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Container Global demand growth declined in comparison with previous quarters, reaching 3% in the first
quarter of 2014 Source: Alphaliner
Container demand growth
y/y, (%)
Mainly caused by USA …
7%
NAM container demandy/y growth, (%)
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4.4%
3.4%
1.1%
1.7%2.1%
3.1%
5.3%
4.8%
3.0%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14
y/y, (%)
1.7%
2.6%
0.1%
-0.1%
2.2%
0.3%
5.2%5.5%
1.3%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14
Nominal Capacity continues growing in a higher level compared to Container demand, generating vessel over
capacity ( Order delivery avg of 215 new ships from 2012 to early 2014) source: Alphaliner
8.1%
6.9% 6.7%7%
8%
9%
10%
Global nominal capacity Global container demandGrowth y/y, (%)
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6.7%
6.0%
5.4% 5.2%
5.9%5.7% 5.7%
4.4%
3.4%
1.1%
1.7%
2.1%
3.1%
5.3%
4.8%
3.0%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14
Vicious circle of container shipping source: Alphaliner
• … and same trend is expected for the endof 2014
9%
10%
Global nominal capacity
Global container demand
Growth y/y, (%)
• Vessel over capacity will cause rates level depression, forcing the Industry to cut costs
Incentive to invest
in new and larger
assets…-25%
1
…leads to strong
vessel
ordering….
2
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5.4%5.2%
5.9%5.7% 5.7%
5.3% 5.5%
6.1%
2.1%
3.1%
5.3%
4.8%
3.0%
4.3%4.0% 4.2%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14
-25%
slot cost reduction when
doubling vessel size
…and
declining and
volatile rates
4
Gap
…which leads to
over-capacity…
3
Vicious
circle of
container
shipping
Agenda of the IX Annual MeetingAgenda of the IX Annual Meeting
1 Outsourcing Services. DA Desk- Agents Database
2 Legal Recognition and Charter for Maritime Agents
3 World Trade Organization – New rules for facilitation
4 FQS: Fonasba Quality Standard update
5 Education. Lima declaration 2013
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6 Members Financing
7 WCO Facilitation Rules – Initiative and procedures by Local Customs
8 Experience on the non intrusive inspections on container cargo
9 Election of a new board
10 Election of the new host for the XII Meeting of CIANAM
Gothenburg 2014
Annual Annual Meeting Meeting -- Next host countriesNext host countries
2015 PANAMA
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2016 PARAGUAY
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THANK YOUTHANK YOU!!!!!!
Gothenburg 2014
