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Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations ... › en › development › desa ›...

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Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations New York, 1 November 2018 UNITED NATIONS EXPERT GROUP MEETING FOR THE REVIEW AND APPRAISAL OF THE PROGRAMME OF ACTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT AND ITS CONTRIBUTION TO THE FOLLOW-UP AND REVIEW OF THE 2030 AGENDA FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Session 1: Setting the Stage
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Page 1: Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations ... › en › development › desa › population › ... · Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations.

Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations

New York, 1 November 2018

UNITED NATIONS EXPERT GROUP MEETING FOR THE REVIEW AND APPRAISAL OF THE PROGRAMME OF ACTION

OF THE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT AND ITS CONTRIBUTION TO THE FOLLOW-UP AND REVIEW OF THE 2030 AGENDA FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

Session 1: Setting the Stage

Page 2: Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations ... › en › development › desa › population › ... · Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations.

Sustainable Development from ICPD PoA to SDGs

Environmental

Social Economic

Population

Page 3: Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations ... › en › development › desa › population › ... · Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations.

Population and Sustainable Development in the ICPD PoA …

Environmental

SocialIV

V

VI

VII

VIII

IX

XIIXI

ICPD Main ChaptersIII Interrelationships Between Population, Sustained

Economic Growth and Sustainable DevelopmentIV Gender Equality, Equity and Empowerment Of WomenV The Family, Its Roles, Rights, Composition and StructureVI Population Growth and StructureVII Reproductive Rights and Reproductive HealthVIII Health, Morbidity and MortalityIX Population Distribution, Urbanization

and Internal MigrationX International MigrationXI Population, Development and EducationXII Technology, Research and DevelopmentXIII National ActionXIV International CooperationXV Partnership with the Non Governmental Sector

X

III

Economic

Page 4: Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations ... › en › development › desa › population › ... · Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations.

III

… and in the SDGs

Environment

Social EconomicIV

V

VI

VII IX

XIIXI

ICPD Main ChaptersIII Interrelationships Between Population, Sustained

Economic Growth and Sustainable DevelopmentIV Gender Equality, Equity and Empowerment Of WomenV The Family, Its Roles, Rights, Composition and StructureVI Population Growth and StructureVII Reproductive Rights and Reproductive HealthVIII Health, Morbidity and MortalityIX Population Distribution, Urbanization

and Internal MigrationX International MigrationXI Population, Development and EducationXII Technology, Research and DevelopmentXIII National ActionXIV International CooperationXV Partnership with the Non Governmental Sector

XVIII

Page 5: Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations ... › en › development › desa › population › ... · Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations.

Population and Sustainable DevelopmentDemographic Mega-Trends

Environmental

Social Economic

Growth

Urbanization AgeingPopulation

Page 6: Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations ... › en › development › desa › population › ... · Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations.

Population and Sustainable DevelopmentDemographic Mega-Trends

Environmental

Social Economic

Population

Growth

Urbanization Ageing

InternationalMigration

Page 7: Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations ... › en › development › desa › population › ... · Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations.

Population of the world

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100

Popu

latio

n (b

illio

ns)

Estimates Projections World

Source: World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision

Page 8: Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations ... › en › development › desa › population › ... · Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations.

Population by geographic regions

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100

Popu

latio

n (b

illio

ns)

Estimates Projections

Africa

Asia

OceaniaN-AmericaL-Amer.+Car.Europe

Source: World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision

Page 9: Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations ... › en › development › desa › population › ... · Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations.

Total fertility

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Birt

hs p

er w

oman

Estimates Projections

Africa

Asia

Oceania

N-America

L-Amer.+Car.

Europe

World

Source: World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision

Page 10: Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations ... › en › development › desa › population › ... · Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations.

Demand satisfied for family planning among married or in-union women aged 15 to 49 (SDG 3.7.1)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030

Prop

ortio

n of

dem

and

satis

fied

by

mod

ern

met

hods

(per

cent

age)

Estimates Projections

Asia Europe

L-Amer.+Car.

World

Source: World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision

Africa

Oceania

N-America

Page 11: Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations ... › en › development › desa › population › ... · Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations.

Children and older persons in Africa and Europe

Source: World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision

Children aged 0-14

Adults aged 60+

0

100

200

300

1970 1990 2010 2030 2050

Children aged 0-14

Adults aged 60+

0

200

400

600

800

1970 1990 2010 2030 2050

Estimates Projections

Estimates Projections

EuropeAfricaMillion

Million

Page 12: Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations ... › en › development › desa › population › ... · Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations.

Life expectancy at birth (both sexes)

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Life

exp

ecta

ncy

at b

irth

(yea

rs)

Estimates Projections

L-Amer.+Car.

Source: World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision

Africa

Asia

Oceania

N-America

Europe

World

Page 13: Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations ... › en › development › desa › population › ... · Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations.

Probability of dying between birth and age 5 (SDG 3.2.1)

SDG target

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Dea

ths

per 1

,000

live

birt

hs Estimates Projections

N-America

L-Amer.+Car.

Source: World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision

AfricaAsia

Oceania

Europe

World

Page 14: Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations ... › en › development › desa › population › ... · Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations.

Urban share of the total population

50 per cent urban

0

20

40

60

80

1950 1970 1990 2010 2030 2050

Perc

enta

ge u

rban

Estimates Projections

Europe

Source: World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision

Africa

Asia

Oceania

N-America

L-Amer.+Car.

World

Page 15: Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations ... › en › development › desa › population › ... · Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations.

International migration between geographic regions 2017

Source: Trends in International Migrant Stock: The 2017 Revision

Africa

Asia

OceaniaUnknown

N-America

Europe

L-Amer.+Car.

Migrantsfrom same region

Migrantsfrom other regions

Page 16: Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations ... › en › development › desa › population › ... · Frank Swiaczny, Population Division, DESA, United Nations.

THANK YOU


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