From Capital to Metropolis - Mälardalsrådet€¦ · From Capital to Metropolis | 31/01/2018 Seite...

INTERNATIONAL STUDY MISSION BERLIN 2018

Seite From Capital to Metropolis | 31/01/2018

From Capital to Metropolis Recent Developments and Future Challenges for Berlin's Economy



Inhalt

2

1 Economic Development in Berlin 2 Designing the City of Tomorrow – Challenges ahead

3 18


Seite From Capital to Metropolis | 31/01/2018 3

Economic Development since 1990



Berlin, the hub of industry in the 19th century, …

4



…suffered badly in the 20th century due to war and political division

5



The economic upswing began in 2005

6

Source: Volkswirtschaftliche Gesamtrechnung der Länder

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

GDP 2000–16, adjusted for inflation and other factors, at current prices, 2010 = 100

Berlin

Deutschland



Unemployment is on the decline

7

Source: Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg, Agentur für Arbeit

1,000

1,050

1,100

1,150

1,200

1,250

1,300

1,350

1,400

1,450

Jan

08

Mrz

08

Mai

08

Jul 0

8

Sep

08

Nov

08

Jan

09

Mrz

09

Mai

09

Jul 0

9

Sep

09

Nov

09

Jan

10

Mrz

10

Mai

10

Jul 1

0

Sep

10

Nov

10

Jan

11

Mrz

11

Mai

11

Jul 1

1

Sep

11

Nov

11

Jan

12

Mrz

12

Mai

12

Jul 1

2

Sep

12

Nov

12

Jan

13

Mrz

13

Mai

13

Jul 1

3

Sep

13

Nov

13

Jan

14

Mrz

14

Mai

14

Jul 1

4

Sep

14

Nov

14

Jan

15

Mrz

15

Mai

15

Jul 1

5

Sep

15

Nov

15

Jan

16

Mrz

16

Mai

16

Jul 1

6

Sep

16

Nov

16

Employees subject to social insurance in Berlin 2008–16, in Thousand



Berlin’s economy is currently developing more dynamically than the rest of Germany

8

GDP growth 2016, in comparison to previous year, adjusted for price



Berlin’s labour market is catching up dynamically

9

Source: Agentur für Arbeit

Unemployment rates in German states, in %

Change of employment in comparison to same month previous year, in %



Berlin is a vital Space for new companies

10

Source: Senatsverwaltung für Wirtschaft, Energie und Betriebe 2017

New businesses and closures 2016, balance per 10,000 inhabitants



Berlin – the atypical metropolis…

11

Source. Volkswirtschaftliche Gesamtrechnung der Länder. September 2017

Gross value added per employee in 2015, in EUR



… is (still?) not (yet?) the economic centre of a decentralised Germany

12

Source: IW Köln 2017

-19,8 -18,9

-14,8 -14,2 -14,1

-13,2 -12,8

-12,0 -11,1

-9,5 -8,6

-6,0 -5,7 -5,7

-1,6 0,2

Greece without AthensSlovakia without Bratislava

France without ParisCzech Republic wihout PragueDenmark without Copenhagen

Finland without HelsinkiPortugal without Loisbon

Sweden without StockholmUK without London

Poland without WarsawBelgium without Brussels

Spain without MadridAustria without Vienna

Netherlands without AmsterdamItaly without Rome

Germany without Berlin



Nowadays Berlin has a broad economic sector

13

Construction 3.9 %

Manufacturing industry 12.6 %

Retail, commerce, transport, hospitality,

ICT 21.3 %

Public/other services, education/childcare,

healthcare, private households

31.0 %

Financial, insurance and business services, property and housing

31.2 %



The city is attractive for visitors from all over the world

14

Source: Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg, Flughafenverband ADV

Number of overnight stays and passengers, in million people



Innovation, Creativity, Start-ups – a new paradigm

15

Capital of Innovations:

13 of 30 German DAX-companies operate an innovation hub in Berlin (innovation centre/incubator/co-operation with start-ups)



Investors choose Berlin

16

Source: Ernst & Young Start-Up-Barometer Deutschland 2018

233 76

39 40

34 24

15 13

8 8

18

BerlinBavaria

North-Rhine WestphaliaHamburg

Baden-WürttembergHesse

SaxonyRhineland-Palatinate

Lower SaxonyThuringia

Others

Investments in German Start-Ups, according to Federal State



Investors choose Berlin, Berlin and Berlin...

17

Source: Ernst & Young Start-Up-Barometer Deutschland 2018

423

387

360

268

143

Delivery Hero (June) | Berlin

Delivery Hero (May) | Berlin

Auto1 | Berlin

HelloFresh | Berlin

Soundcloud | Berlin

Investment amount in M Euro



Designing the City of Tomorrow: Challenges ahead Mobility, Energy, Housing, Digitisation



Challenges ahead: Sustainable Mobility

19

Companies from Berlin lose

68.1m Euro per year through traffic jams



832 925 922 937 937 947,3 977,8 1010,3

1045,4 1060,0

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Passengers of the Berliner Verkehrsbetriebe (BVG)


20

Source:



Private motor

vehicles 32%

Public Transport

26%

Walking 29%

Cycling 13%

Modal Split


21

Source:

Average time in traffic: 70 minutes per person and day 5,419 km: Length of road network 342 cars per 1,000 inhabitants 2,380 km: Length of the railway network Public transport:

15 rapid transit lines with 133 stations 10 underground lines with 173 stations 24 tram routes with 800 stations 149 bus routes with 6,500 stations



Challenges ahead: Housing

22

3.910

5.170

7.840

7.970

15.100

17.180

31.230

Düsseldorf

Stuttgart

Frankfurt

Köln

Hamburg

München

Berlin

Required Accommodation Units until 2020



Challenges ahead: Housing

23

Source: Senatsverwaltung für Stadtentwicklung

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Population growth Finished number of accommodation units

Pressure on the housing market is rising: Rental prices have increased substantially in the previous years: almost 50 % to 9.65 €/m2 In 2014 a typical household in Berlin needed about 29% of its net income for renting



0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Development of CO2 Emissions in Berlin (Mio. t CO2) 1990 to 2013 and path to 2050

Challenges ahead: Energy Transition

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Source: Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg, own calculations



Challenges ahead: Energy Transition

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Source: Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg 2017

Electricity 8% Renewable Energies

4%

Gases 30%

Mineral Oil 37%

Lignite 6%

Hard Coal 16%

Others 1%

Share of Energy Carriers for Primary Energy Consumption



Challenges ahead: Demographic Change and Digitisation

26

Source: Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg, Agentur für Arbeit

Unemployment rate and birth rate, in %



Challenges ahead: Demographic Change and Digitisation

27

Source: IHK Berlin 2017

Shortage of skilled workers and effects of digitisation, in people



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