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Front Matter Source: Operations Research, Vol. 15, No. 3 (May - Jun., 1967), pp. i-xii Published by: INFORMS Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/168449 . Accessed: 09/05/2014 20:01 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp . JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. . INFORMS is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Operations Research. http://www.jstor.org This content downloaded from 169.229.32.138 on Fri, 9 May 2014 20:01:08 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions
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Page 1: Front Matter

Front MatterSource: Operations Research, Vol. 15, No. 3 (May - Jun., 1967), pp. i-xiiPublished by: INFORMSStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/168449 .

Accessed: 09/05/2014 20:01

Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at .http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp

.JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range ofcontent in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new formsof scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected].

.

INFORMS is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Operations Research.

http://www.jstor.org

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Page 2: Front Matter

OPERATIONS

RESEARCH

The Journal of the Operations Research Society of America

May-June 1967 VOLUME 15 NUMBER 3 4 Pages 373-590

PUBLISHED BIMONTHLY BY THE

OPERATIONS RESEARCH SOCIETY OF AMERICA

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Page 3: Front Matter

OPERATIONS RESEARCH

The Journal of the Operations Research Society of America

EDITOR THomLs E. CAYWOOD

Caywood-Schiller Associates 401 N. Michigan Ave., Chicago, Ill. 60611

ASSOCIATE EDITORS WILLIAM W. COOPER, Carnegie Institute of Technology, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania GEORGE B. DANTZIG, Stanford University, Stanford, California WALTER L. DEEMER, U.S. Arms Control & Disarmament Agency, Washington, D. C. ROBERT DORFMAN, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts JOSEPH H. ENGEL, Operations Evaluation Group, Washington, D. C. RICHARD V. EVANS, Case Institute of Technology, Cleveland, Ohio CHARLES GOODEVE, British Iron & Steel Assn. London WI, England JOSEPH 0. HARRISON, JR., Research Analysis Corporation, McLean, Virginia G. RONALD HERD, Kaman Aircraft Corporation, Bethesda, Maryland ROBERT HERMAN, General Motors Research Laboratories, Warren, Michigan WILLIAM J. HORVATH, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan RONALD A. HOWARD, Stanford University, Stanford, California T. C. Hu, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin HUGH J. MISER, Travelers Research Center, Hartford, Connecticut MARCEL F. NEUTS, Purdue University, Lafayette, Indiana GEORGE E. NICHOLSON, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina THORNTON PAGE, Wesleyan University, Middletown, Connecticut E. W. PAXSON, The Rand Corporation, Santa Monica, California PAUL RANDOLPH, New Mexico State University, University Park, New Mexico MAURICE W. SASIENI, Unilever House, London E. C. 4, England ANDRsw ScHULTz, JR., Cornell University, Ithaca, New York GEORGE SHORTLEY, Boos * Allen Applied Research Inc., Bethesda, Maryland R. M. THRALL, Editor, Management Science, Univ. of Mich., Ann Arbor, Mich. ROBERT S. WEINBERG, International Business Machines Corp., New York, N. Y. PETER B. WILSON, Canadian National Railways, Montreal, Quebec

MANUSCRIPTS of papers and Letters to the Editor should be submitted to the Editor or to one of the Associate Editors. Submission of a manuscript is considered to be a representation that it has been neither copyrighted nor published, that it is not being submitted for publication elsewhere, and that, if the work results from a military contract, it has been released for open publication. Material for the Ana- lyst's Bookshelf should be submitted to HUGH J. MISER, Analyst's Bookshelf Editor, The Travelers Research Center, 250 Constitution Plaza, Hartford, Connecticut 06103. Announcements should be sent to the Editor of the BULLETIN, Van Court Hare, Jr., Analytical Associates, Inc., 420 Lexington Ave., New York, N. Y. 10017

MANAGING EDITOR AND ADVERTISING MANAGER

CHARLES P. CHADSEY Research Analysis Corporation

McLean, Virginia 22101

Copyright Q) 1967 by the Operations Research Society of America. Published bimonthly by the Operations Research Society of America at Mount Royal

and Guilford Avenues, Baltimore, Maryland 21202. Second-class postage paid at the Post Office at Baltimore, Maryland 21202. Subscription orders should be addressed to the Business Manager, NORVELL E.

MILLER, III, 428 East Preston Street, Baltimore, Maryland 21202 Subscription Rate: $10.00 per volume (outside U. S. and Canada, $7.50 per volume).

Back volumes are available only through Kraus Reprint Corporation, 16 E. 46th St., New York, New York 10017

Reprints of individual articles are not available from the SOCIETY

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Page 4: Front Matter

ARREER APPOINTMENTS

IN OPERATIONS ANALYSIS The Applied Physics Laboratory of The Johns Hopkins Univer- sity now offers highly attractive career appointments to the professional staff of its Military Operations Analysis Group. The atmosphere within the Group is one of imagination, origi- nality of thought, informality and independence . . . there is a minimum of formal organization. Staff members will enjoy a freedom to define and redefine problems and methods of solu- tion, working individually for the most part, in an essentially academic atmosphere.

The Group receives its assignments from other divisions at APL, the APL management and the Navy, although a considerable number of projects are self-generated by Group members. Cur- rent problem areas include anti-air warfare, Marine Corps tactical operations, tactical data systems, strategic weapons sys- tems, weapon control, radar systems analysis, and operational readiness.

Respondents must have a degree in one of the physical sciences and three or more years experience in a scientific or technical field. Creativeness should be balanced by a practical-minded atti- tude, and the ability to function effectively with scant supervision.

APL's facilities are located in Silver Spring, Md., a residential suburb of Washington, D. C., affording a choice of city, subur- ban or country living. The area is known for its high living standards, excellent public schools and extensive opportunities for graduate study.

Direct your inquiry to: Professional Staff Appointments

The Applied Physics Laboratory The Johns Hopkins University 8681 Georgia Avenue, Silver Spring, Maryland (Suburb of Washingtn, D. C.

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Page 5: Front Matter

0. R. ANALYSTS

Senior and intermediate level, highly qualified persons for

positions on Corporate Staff which reports to the President.

Project development and internal consulting-both domestic

and international. Areas of application include Production,

Marketing, Finance, R & D, Purchasing and Staff Services. 1-10

years experience required, utilizing mathematical programming,

probability theory, statistical analysis including experimental

design, or other techniques in development and use of mathe-

matical models.

Computer programming and applications background is de-

sirable. Undergraduate degree in Engineering, Math or Science

with MS, Quantitative MBA, or PhD preferred.

Please forward detailed resume and salary requirements to:

D. B. BARSHAY

Department ? 135

CHEMICAL INDUSTRIES. INC.

Wilmington, Delaware, 19899.

An Equal Opportunity Employer

ii

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Page 6: Front Matter

4 ways to increase

optimization capability with

IBM Mathematical

Programming System /360 Try alternate strategies as conditions that can be used as direct input to linear change. programs. This gives you a powerful MPS/360's control language was writ- tool for generating your own matrices. ten specifically to solve mathematical MPS/360 also prepares printed reports programming problems. It is so flexible in final form. It uses an easily written that with a few simple conditional program which can reorder, select, ana- statements you can pose alternate lin- lyze and perform mathematical opera- ear programming strategies while you tions during report development. are developing the solution. You can even pre-plan alternatives to be exe- Meet changing requirements. cuted if off-normal conditions occur. MPS/360 is designed for growth. As Solutions are concurrently available in new procedures develop, they can easily primal and dual forms. After you have be incorporated into the flexible pro- your solution, MPS/360 can perform gram. Functions can be added, modified post-optimal analysis. or deleted on a regular basis. Finally,

SYSTEM/360 is modular. It permits Get results faster. your capability to grow with the job. This capability comes from a new pro- gramming technique which permits -, -

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blending to mathematical programming investigation and military strategies. COMPANY

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Page 7: Front Matter

OPERATIONS

OPERATIONS RESEARCH R ES EA R C H The Journal of the Operations Research A N A LYST Society of America

Corporate staff opportunity plan- ning and developing techniques leading to increased profits. Degree in Engineering, Math, or Statistics with specialized graduate study in Nonmember subscriptions $10.00, in- O.R. or Management Science. Mini- cluding semi-annual BULLETIN. mum of 2 years related experience ($7.50 outside U.S. and Canada) preferably in the chemical industry.

To explore possibilities send resume including salary requirements to:

PERSONNEL DIRECTOR

GEIGY CHEMICAL Mail checks to: CORPORATION

Saw Mill River Road, Ardsley, N.Y. Operations Research Society of America

An Equal Opportunity Employer 428 East Preston Street Baltimore, Maryland 21202

Exceptional Opportunities for Problem Solvers

Lambda Corporation needs several highly qualified individuals to augment its staff of systems and operations analysts.

Lambda specializes in solving problems requiring a variety of analytical approaches and computational techniques. The group's activities encom- pass such areas as model building, optimization, simulation, application of the theory of games, and cost-effectiveness methodology. While con- tinuing to work on problems for high-level agencies of the Department of Defense, it is expanding into other areas of great national concern.

We invite inquiries ranging from those who are now completing their graduate studies to experienced senior analysts. Candidates must have a sound, advanced education in one of the quantitative sciences, know the role of a computer, and above all, be centrally interested in problem solv- ing and have a high potential for creative, independent work.

For this kind of exceptional person, there are exceptional career rewards at Lambda. Please write to J. N. Killalea, Assistant to the President.

LAMBDA An Equal Opportunity Employer 1501 Wilson Boulevard A Arlington, Virginia 22209

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Page 8: Front Matter

ENJOY THE RIGORS OF DEMANDING PROJECT DEADLINES?

DO YOU have the imagination and resourcefulness to engage in a wide variety of assignments in Operations Research and Systems Analysis?

DO YOU have the inclination to originate your own ideas and to pursue them independently? Can You?

CAN YOU work closely with other professionals whose training and approach may be different?

CAN YOU interpret and present the implications and limitations of your analyses?

CAN YOU write in concise, readable English that presents the essence of your findings and analyses to management?-and appropriate technical description and documentation, as well? If so, you may be eligible for acceptance as a member of the growing

group of

OPERATIONS ANALYSTS

at

RESEARCH TRIANGLE INSTITUTE.

current interests include

CIVIL DEFENSE MEDICINE EDUCATION POLITICAL SCIENCE

ECONOMICS CHEMISTRY COSTING

STRUCTURAL ENGINEERING PUBLIC HEALTH PHYSICS

INFORMATION SYSTEMS WEAPONS EFFECTS TEXTILE INDUSTRY

Write about your qualifications and contract research experience to:

Dr. Edgar A. Parsons, Director D t\ Operations Research and Economics Division R \ Research Triangle Institute

P. 0. Box 12194 Research Triangle Park North Carolina 27709

A separately operated, nonprofit organization, RTI is a part of the Research Triangle family that includes the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Duke University in Durham, and North Carolina State University at Raleigh. The Institute's eight research divisions and 300-man staff occupy modern laboratory and office buildings on a 200-acre campus midway between the three universities.

An Equal Opportunity Employer v

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Page 9: Front Matter

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Page 10: Front Matter

for CORG's 11th Birthday... delightful new suburban offices just 15 minutes from downtown Washington

CORG has moved from Ft. Belvoir to Landmark Towers, a new modern office and apartment complex, located in Alexandria, Virginia.

Convenience is the one word to describe our new location. With proximity to two major shopping centers, as well as numerous apartments and single family homes, CORG analysts now enjoy the advantages of an in-town location without commuting and parking problems.

CORG assignments have always been challenging and rewarding; now we have the working environment that is conducive to the solution of complex problems posed by our new 5 year technical program.

There will be growth in our studies of weapons systems, war gaming, material requirements and logistic systems ... with the objective of helping create a more effective Army for the 1970's.

We are seeking experienced analysts with leadership ability and supervisory potential who would like to grow with us. If you are interested in discussing professional opportunities with CORG, write or call.

DR. WILLIAM ARCHER-DIRECTOR

TECHNICAL OPERATIONS, INC. Combat Operations Research Group P. 0. Box 9280 Alexandria, Virginia 22304

(703) 751-7400 An Equal Opportunity Employer

Ay

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Page 11: Front Matter

Solutions to problems facing military as well as business management today often require sophisticated techniques which are beyond the scope of in-house capabilities. The CONSULTEc Division of NUS

Corporation applies systems analysis techniques which effectively integrate operations research, cost-effectiveness - analysis and engineering trade-offs with other basic disciplines. The - objective . . . and the result . . . is an optimum balance between effective- ness and cost in complex, modern weapons and other systems. Because of its independent nature and

diverse staff background, CONSULTEC

is an organization productive of new ideas and innovations in many areas of science and technology. Presently, for the Department of Defense, its engineers are performing cost-effectiveness analyses and engineering evaluations to achieve various levels of submarine systems capability in command and control, propulsion and communications areas. Design review of a future generation sonar and an economic and engineering study of the feasibility of using nuclear power for a modern icebreaker are other problems currently under study. CONSULTEC has a continuing need for people

experienced in systems analysis, operations research, cost-effectiveness, engineering and economics. These people will enable us to con- tinue providing management and engineering services in advanced technological areas to indus- try and government ... wherever the need exists.

Write to John W. Locke, Director of Systems Analysis,

CONSULTEC DIVISION, NUS CORPORATION 1725 K Street) N.W., Washington, D. C. 20006 * An equal opportunity employer, M&F

Viii

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Page 12: Front Matter

Careers in

Operations Research

The Data Systems Division degree in mathematics, engi- of Litton Industries offers neering or physics and experi- opportunities to conduct and ence in operations research and direct studies towards defining system analysis. They should future military system charac- be familiar with stochastic teristics and evaluating pro- processes and economical but posed system concepts and realistic Monte Carlo simula- designs by simulation and tionofcomplexman/hardware/ analytical techniques. software systems. Experience

These studies typically in tactical, military command include: mission analysis; and control and information requirements analysis; analysis processing systems is desirable. of organizational and doctrinal Call or send resume to: Mr. implications, informational L. 0. Harrold, (213) 781-8211, networks, required interfaces Ext. 2726, Data Systems Divi- and systems evaluation and sion, 15800 Strathern, Van refinement through cost and Nuys, California 91409. An effectiveness analysis. Equal Opportunity Employer,

Candidates must have a M/F.

WLITTON INDUSTRIES DATA SYSTEMS DIVISION

ix

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Page 13: Front Matter

If your forte is... DEFINING PROBLEMS

MODELING PROBLEMS SOLVING PROBLEMS

... consider ORI Areas of Calreer We'll give you all the problems you wish, in fields ranging Opportunity at OFII: from astronautics to undersea warfare ..,. from

transportation systems analysis to the economic impact * Economic Anallysis of federal programs.

* Communications Operations Research Incorporated is a private profit-making

X~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~..... .....caton .. .

organization staffed and managed by professionals like Systems Engineering yusl. Our record is one of growth and accomplishment.

I Astronalutics Our environment is one in which the individual enjoys swift recognition and rewards for his achievement, and

O Human Engineering opportunity for persona l and professional growth.

X Undersea i arf are Salaries and benefit programs are liberal. Please check the listed areas of career opportunity at ORI.

a Mathematicall If you are experienced in one or more of them and hold Simulation a degree (preferably advanced) in engineering, science, ? Astronaumathematics/statistics or economics, we would like to hear

* Ma A nagement from you. You may send your resume in complete In formation Systems confidence to: Mr. Carlton Robinson, Professional Staffing, Design Operations Research Incorporated, 1400 Spring Street,

Silver Spring, Maryland (suburb of Washington, D. C.). * Transportation AnPequal opportunity employer M&F.

Systems Analysis * Computer Usage OPERATIONS RESEARCH INCORPORATED

WASHINGTON * BOSTON * SANTA MONICA

x

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Page 14: Front Matter

Operations Research Society of America

1967-1968

OFFICERS OF THE SOCIETY

JOHN E. WALSH, President JOSEPH H. ENGEL, Vice President System Development Corporation Center for Naval Analyses 2500 Colorado Avenue 1401 Wilson Boulevard Santa Monica, California 90406 Arlington, Virginia 22209

ROBERT E. MACHOL, Secretary THOMAS E. OBERBECK, Treasurer School of Business Office of Research Analyses (RRRR) Northwestern University Holloman AFB 339 Chicago Avenue New Mexico 88330 Chicago, Illinois 60611

COUNCIL OF THE SOCIETY

1966-68 Past President, GEORGE SHORTLEY, Booz, Allen Applied Research, Inc., 4733 Bethesda Avenue, Bethesda, Maryland 20014

1967-69 Past President, JOHN F. MAGEE, Arthur D. Little, Inc., 35 Acorn Park, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02140

1965-68 RALPH E. GOMORY HERBERT K. WEISS Thomas J. Watson Data Systems Division

Research Center Litton Industries P. 0. Box 218 8000 Woodley Yorktown Heights, Van Nuys, California 91406 New York 10598

1966-69 WALTER L. DEEMER Arms Control and Disarma- GEORGE E. NICHOLSON, JR.

ment Agency Department of Statistics Weapons Evaluation & Con- University of North Carolina

trol Chapel Hill North Carolina 27515 New State Department Bldg. Washington, D. C. 20451

1967-70 ERNEST KOENIGSBERG GEORGES BRIGHAM Matson Research Corporation Arthur Anderson & Company 215 Market Street 501 Norton Building San Francisco, California Seattle, Washington 98104

94105

EDITORS OF ORSA PUBLICATIONS

OPERATIONS RESEARCH BULLETIN of the Operations Research The Journal of the Operations Re- Society of America search Society of America VAN COURT HARE, JR., Editor

THOMAS E. CAYWOOD, Editor Analytical Associates, Inc. Caywood-Schiller Associates 420 Lexington Avenue 401 N. Michigan Avenue New York, New York 10017 Chicago, Illinois 60611 INTERNATIONAL ABSTRACTS IN

TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE OPERATIONS RESEARCH ROBERT HERMAN, Editor HERBERT P. GALLIHER, Editor

GM Research Laboratories Department of 12 Mile and Mound Roads Industrial Engineering Warren, Michigan 48090 University of Michigan

Ann Arbor, Michigan 48104

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Page 15: Front Matter

STANDING COMMITTEES

Membership Committee Publications Committee KENNETH W. YARNOLD, Chairman JAMES C. HETRICK, Chairman

System Development Corp. Arthur D. Little, Inc. 2500 Colorado Avenue 35 Acorn Park Santa Monica, California 90406 Cambridge, Massachusetts 02140

PAUL BROCK JAMES BANTON WILLIAM J. CUMMINGS ANDREW W. MARSHALL EZRA S. KRENDEL ROBERT M. OLIVER LORING G. MITTEN KENNETH J. SODERSTROM

Education Committee Nominating Committee JACK R. BORSTING, Chairman GEORGE W. MORGENTHALER, Chairman

Dept. of Operations Analysis Martin-Denver U. S. Naval Postgraduate School P. 0. Box 179 Monterey, California 93940 Denver, Colorado 80201

RONALD L. GUE NEWTON A. ABLAHAT WILLIAM S. JEWELL CORLIN 0. BEUM, JR. JOHN D. C. LITTLE PAUL F. DUNN DAVID S. SCHRADY RONALD L. GUE

OTHER COMMITTEES

Lanchester Prize Committee Representative to IFORS

GEORGE SHORTLEY, Chairman JOHN F. MAGEE Booz, Allen Applied Research, Inc. Arthur D. Little, Inc. 4733 Bethesda Avenue 35 Acorn Park Bethesda, Maryland 20014 Cambridge, Massachusetts 02140

Representative to the NRC Sections Committee GEORGE E. KIMBALL

Arthur D. Little, Inc. WILLIAM J. NEMEREVER, Chairman 35 Acorn Park

571 North 169th Street Cambridge, Massachusetts 02140 Seattle, Washington 98133 Representatives to the AAAS

Aleetings Committee W. EDWARD CUSHEN National Bureau of Standards

ROBERT N. BRASWELL, Chairman U. S. Department of' Commerce University of Florida Washington, D. C. 20234 Gainesville, Florida 32603 ELLIS A. JOHNSON

Chevy Chase, Maryland 20015 recognition Committee Representative to the Conference

LESLIE C. EDIE, Chairman Board on Mathematical Sciences Port of New York Authority ALEX M. MOOD 111 - 8th Avenue Office of Education New York, N.Y. 10011 Washington, D. C. 20202

BUSINESS OFFICE

Requests for membership information and applica- tions as well as subscriptions and orders for back issues of Society publications should be addressed to:

Operations Research Society of America 428 East Preston Street Baltimore, Maryland 21202

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