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Front Matter Source: International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 48, No. 1 (Mar., 2004), pp. 28-120 Published by: Wiley on behalf of The International Studies Association Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/3693560 . Accessed: 16/06/2014 00:00 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp . JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. . Wiley and The International Studies Association are collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to International Studies Quarterly. http://www.jstor.org This content downloaded from 62.122.79.38 on Mon, 16 Jun 2014 00:00:33 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions
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Front MatterSource: International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 48, No. 1 (Mar., 2004), pp. 28-120Published by: Wiley on behalf of The International Studies AssociationStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/3693560 .

Accessed: 16/06/2014 00:00

Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at .http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp

.JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range ofcontent in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new formsof scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected].

.

Wiley and The International Studies Association are collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extendaccess to International Studies Quarterly.

http://www.jstor.org

This content downloaded from 62.122.79.38 on Mon, 16 Jun 2014 00:00:33 AMAll use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions

International Studies Quarterly

Volume 48 Number 1 March 2004

Contents

THE PROBABILITY OF WAR, 1816-1992

John A. Vasquez THE CLANDESTINE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF WAR AND PEACE IN BOSNIA

Peter Andreas

STATE BUILDING, INTERSTATE AND INTRASTATE RIVALRY: A STUDY OF POST-COLONIAL

DEVELOPING COUNTRY EXTRACTIVE EFFORTS, 1975-2000 Cameron G. Thies

COMPARATIVE PUBLIC HEALTH: THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF COMPARATIVE

HUMAN MISERY AND WELL-BEING

Hazem Adam Ghobarah, Paul Huth, and Bruce Russett

PARTISANSHIP, TRADE POLICY, AND GLOBALIZATION: IS THERE A LEFT-RIGHT DIVIDE ON TRADE POLICY?

Helen V Milner and Benjamin Judkins FROM THE OUTSIDE LOOKING IN: THE EFFECT OF TRADING BLOCS ON TRADE DISPUTES IN THE GATT/WTO

Yoram Z. Haftel USING IDEAS STRATEGICALLY: THE CONTEST BETWEEN BUSINESS AND NGO

NETWORKS IN INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY RIGHTS

Susan K. Sell and Aseem Prakash THUCYDIDES ON RIPENESS AND CONFLICT RESOLUTION

Steven Forde UNWELCOME NEIGHBORS: SHARED ETHNICITY AND INTERNATIONAL CONFLICT DURING THE COLD WAR

Douglas Woodwell THE LEGACY OF WESTERN OVERSEAS COLONIALISM ON DEMOCRATIC SURVIVAL

Michael Bernhard, Christopher Reenock, and Timothy Nordstrom DOES FOREIGN AID PROMOTE DEMOCRACY?

Stephen Knack

Published for the International Studies Association by Blackwell Publishing

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International Studies Quarterly The Journal of the International Studies Association Editors Peter Dombrowski Patrick James Richard W. Mansbach James M. McCormick

Department of Political Science Iowa State University 506C Ross Hall Ames, IA 50011-1204

Editorial Advisory Board Davis B. Bobrow, University of Pittsburgh Mark A. Boyer, University of Connecticut Steven J. Brams, New York University Michael Brecher, McGill University Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, Hoover Institute,

Stanford University Philip G. Cerny, University of Manchester Steve Chan, University of Colorado Robert A. Denemark, University of Delaware Paul E Diehl, University of Illinois Charles E Doran, Johns Hopkins University Yale H. Ferguson, Rutgers University Martha Finnemore, George Washington

University David P. Forsythe, University of Nebraska John Freeman, University of Minnesota Joe D. Hagan, West Virginia University Margaret G. Hermann, Syracuse University Richard Higgott, University of Warwick Ole R. Holsti, Duke University Barry Hughes, University of Denver Bruce W. Jentleson, Duke University R. J. Barry Jones, University of Reading Christopher C. Joyner, Georgetown

University Margaret P. Karns, University of Dayton Young W. Kihl, Iowa State University Friedrich V. Kratochwil, University of

Munich Robert T. Kudrle, University of Minnesota Yosef Lapid, New Mexico State University Jack S. Levy, Rutgers University James M. Lindsay, The Brookings Institution Richard Little, University of Bristol

Linda B. Miller, Wellesley College and Brown University

Helen V. Milner, Columbia University Neil J. Mitchell, University of New Mexico Will H. Moore, Florida State University Craig N. Murphy, Wellesley College Michael Nicholson, University of Sussex Emerson M.S. Niou, Duke University Nicholas Onuf, Florida International

University Robert Patman, University of Otago Louis W. Pauly, University of Toronto Simon Reich, University of Pittsburgh Edward Rhodes, Rutgers University James N. Rosenau, George Washington

University Martin Sampson, University of Minnesota Todd Sandler, University of Southern

California Gregory S. Sanjian, Bucknell University Harvey W. Sapolsky, MIT Saskia Sassen, University of Chicago Beth A. Simmons, University of California

--Berkeley Etel Solingen, School of Social Science,

University of California--Irvine Georg Sorensen, University of Aarhus,

Denmark Ramesh Thakur, United Nations University J. Ann Tickner, University of Southern

California John A. Vasquez, Colgate University Thomas J. Volgy, International Studies

Association Paul Wapner, American University Michael D. Ward, University of Washington Alexander E. Wendt, University of Chicago Franke Wilmer, Montana State University Eugene R. Wittkopf, Louisiana State University Oran R. Young, Dartmouth College Mark W. Zacher, University of British

Columbia Frank C. Zagare, University of Buffalo, State

University of New York

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International Studies Quarterly

The Journal of the International Studies Association

Volume 48 Number 1 March 2004

Contents

Presidential Address The Probability of War, 1816-1992

JOHN A. VASQUEZ 1

The Clandestine Political Economy of War and Peace in Bosnia PETER ANDREAS 29

State Building, Interstate and Intrastate Rivalry: A Study of Post-Colonial Developing Country Extractive Efforts, 1975-2000

CAMERON G. THIES 53

Comparative Public Health: The Political Economy of Comparative Human Misery and Well-Being

HAZEM ADAM GHOBARAH, PAUL HUTH, AND BRUCE RUSSETT 73 Partisanship, Trade Policy, and Globalization: Is There a Left-Right

Divide onTrade Policy? HELEN V. MILNER AND BENJAMIN JUDKINS 95

From the Outside Looking In: The Effect of Trading Blocs on Trade Disputes in the GATT/WTO

YORAM Z. HAFTEL 121

Using Ideas Strategically: The Contest Between Business and NGO Networks in Intellectual Property Rights

SUSAN K. SELL AND ASEEM PRAKASH 143

Thucydides on Ripeness and Conflict Resolution STEVEN FORDE 177

Unwelcome Neighbors: Shared Ethnicity and International Conflict

During the Cold War DOUGLAS WOODWELL 197

The Legacy of Western Overseas Colonialism on Democratic Survival MICHAEL BERNHARD, CHRISTOPHER REENOCK, AND TIMOTHY NORDSTROM 225

Does Foreign Aid Promote Democracy? STEPHEN KNACK 251

Contributors 267

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