Date post: | 20-Aug-2015 |
Category: |
Business |
Upload: | frost-sullivan |
View: | 533 times |
Download: | 0 times |
The Evolution of Converged Threats to Drive The Evolution of Converged Threats to Drive Investments in SecurityInvestments in Security
Evolving Threats, Technologies and OpportunitiesEvolving Threats, Technologies and Opportunities
Balaji Srimoolanathan
Principal Consultant – Aerospace, Defence & Security
11th April, 2013
© 2013 Frost & Sullivan. All rights reserved. This document contains highly confidential information and is the sole property of Frost & Sullivan. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, copied or otherwise reproduced without the written approval of Frost & Sullivan.
Today’s Presenter
Since joining Frost & Sullivan in early 2008, Balaji has provided consulting support
and thought leadership to numerous global companies on a broad range of
Balaji Srimoolanathan, Principal Consultant
Frost & Sullivan
2
and thought leadership to numerous global companies on a broad range of
strategies issues across the defence and security sector.
His core focus areas include critical infrastructure protection, cyber security and
urban security with particular focus on emerging markets, new business models
and technologies.
Focus Points
� Security as a Mega Trend
� Evolution and Convergence of Threats
� Situational Awareness Beyond Security
� The Future of Security Technologies
� Opportunities for the Industry
3
� Opportunities for the Industry
Security is a Major Global Mega Trend
Security
4
“In the 21st century threats to our lives, identities and freedoms come from more sources
than ever before; from terrorists to hackers and overzealous governments. Individual and
collective focus on security is expected to be one of the top trends shaping our private and
public in the future.”
Growth in Spending
Global Civil Security Spending by Regions, (Excludes Cyber Spend) 2010 - 2020
45607590
105120135150165180195210
32 36 37 38 38.5 40 44 45 46 47 483032 33 34 36 40
42 45 47 48 50
810 11 12 14
1517
19 2022 25
45 6 8 9
88
8 910
15
$ B
illio
ns
Frost & Sullivan estimates the global securitymarket size at $140 billion currently and expectsit to reach $200 billion by the year 2020
5
015304560
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
46 50 53 54.5 55 56 58 60 61 65 66
North America Europe
APAC (Including India and China) Middle East
South America
• Civil/ Homeland Security Market Growth to 2020: 5%
• Cyber Security Market Growth: 12%
• Global GDP Growth 2012: 3.5%
• Global Population Growth 2012: 1.2%Source: Frost & Sullivan.
Source: Frost & Sullivan.
F&S Country Rating
Region CountryThreat Factor
Strategic Factor
Country Score
1 North America United States of America 71 100 94
2 Europe United Kingdom 90 80 93
3 APAC India 75 80 85
4 CIS Russia 75 80 85
5 Middle East Saudi Arabia 70 80 80
6 Europe France 60 80 77
Top 15 Security Markets by Threat Level vs Ability to Spend
6
6 Europe France 60 80 77
7 Middle East Israel 70 62 72
8 Europe Turkey 80 43 68
9 Europe Spain 70 50 66
10 Europe Germany 50 70 66
11 APAC China 45 70 63
12 APAC Indonesia 65 50 63
13 Latin America Brazil 43 70 62
14 APAC South Korea 53 60 62
15 APAC Pakistan 90 22 61
• Large existing installed base of security technology
• Reduction in central and local government budgets in developed economies
• Falling physical crime rates
• Economic recession impacting private sector
• Privacy concerns
Security Markets are Growing Despite…
7
“Law and order spending falls by
10% in the first two years of the
coalition government”
Daily Mail, UK, 03/13
“Falling US Crime Rates Raises
More Questions than Answers”
LA Times, US, 07/12
“Is CCTV Creeping too Far?”
BBC, UK
Source: Frost & Sullivan.
Driving Global Security
Infrastructure Development
Underdeveloped security
apparatus in emerging markets
8
Evolution of technology
Population growth and urbanisation
Unknown & increasingly
sophisticated threats
markets
Socio economic concerns over
income gaps and inequality
Source: Frost & Sullivan.
The Evolving Threat Landscape
Imminent Threats can be classified as crime or criminalbehaviour which can usually be handled by visible technologydeployment and police presence. Technology is used primarilyto enable quicker prosecution
Consequential Threats are threats which are triggered by anoccurrence or an incident such as the London Riots. These
9
kind of threats can be proactively managed with advancedinterpretation of consequences and of response.
Unknown Threats are threats that occur without prior warningor indications and cannot be prepared for. Cyber attacks,DDOS, etc can be classified as unknown threats wherevulnerabilities are often exposed only after the attack hasoccurred. Advanced analytics and intelligence are required todetect and prevent such attacks.
Source: Frost & Sullivan.
Converging Threat Landscape
Organisations of today no longer face one type of threat. Physical and Cyber Threats areconverging and the disparate solutions and tools of today wont serve the purpose forsecuring organisations of the future.
Cyber/Network Security
Physical Threats
Competitive Threats
Economic/ Financial
10
Organisation
Security Threats
Financial Threats
Revenue Losses
Loss of Brand Reputation
Business Continuity Issues
Efficiency Losses
Lack/Loss of Assets and their
AvailabilitySource: Frost & Sullivan.
Additional Pillars of Return on Security Investment
Traditional Return on Investment
Security Effectiveness
Risk Protection
Strategic Security
Situational Awareness Beyond Security
11
Calculations based on Investments, Direct Gains, Loss Prevention, Risk Management,
Operational Efficiencies, Cost Savings, Revenue Implications etc.
Direct calculations based on
Investments and Gains from the
Investment
Physical Security Integration
Physical & IT Security Integration
Security and Business Process Applications Integration
Source: Frost & Sullivan.
Future of Security Technology
Past Present & Future
Reactive Proactive
Low Situational Awareness High Situational Awareness
Limited Intelligence Accessible and comprehensive Intelligence
Closed networks Interoperable Systems/Open Architecture
Silos Multi Agency Collaboration
Compartmental End to End Solution
12
Compartmental End to End Solution
Big Data &
Analytics
High Resolution Cameras
BiometricsUnmanned Systems
Integrated Solutions
Advanced Next Generation
Communication Technologies
PSIM & Cyber C2
Source: Frost & Sullivan.
AIRPORTS: Free Wi-Fi Access and Real – Time Virtual Monitoring with secure, high-speed, wireless data networking
BUILDINGS: Wireless Building Automation
Systems at Homes and Offices Connected to iPhone, Laptop, Car
Systems for Easy Control and Communication
GPS: At least 75% of automobiles installed with GPS equipment enabling
intelligent traffic management system.
UTILITIES: Smart Meters, Wireless Technology and Sensors enabling Machine to Machine (M2M) communication and monitoring of energy use
CCTV surveillance with built-in Network Card, DVR and LCD Monitor integrated into the wireless platform
4G Mobile technology (LTE, WiMAX) enabling integration into any wireless platform
Integrated Solutions are Required to Enhance Situational Awareness
13
HOTSPOTS: City-wide Wi-Fi Network (Eg. Sunnyvale,
California) with Hotspots in Cafes, Hotels and other
important locations
RAILWAYS: Real-Time Wireless Video Surveillance in railways stations for event detection, preparedness, prevention, protection, response and recovery.
EMERGENCY SERVICES: Wireless surveillance
connecting fire and police forces to Central Server for
monitoring, control and command communications
and Communicationinto the wireless platform
SATELLITE TECHNOLOGY (such as GALILEO) to provide navigation for aviation, ground and maritime operations
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Access Control, Video Surveillance Intrusion
Detection, Biometrics, Perimeter and
Occupancy Sensors, Fire Alarm Panels,
Detection Devices (Smoke/Heat/Gas/Flame),
Fire suppression, Notification and Evacuation
Energy Logistics, Distribution
Channels (electricity, water, gas),
Utility Monitor, Heat, Lighting,
Back-Up Power, Leakage Monitor
Integrated Fire Department, Police
and Medical Services, Centralised
and Remote Command and Control,
Scalable Decision Making Process
Communication Infrastructure is Critical and is the Backbone for Scalability
Physical Security &
Safety
Response Management
Energy Management
14
Voice/Video/Data, Audio Visual,
Structured Cabling, TCP/IP/BAS
Protocols, Remote VPN Access,
Computer Logon, Network Access
Logon, Firewalls, Managed
Security Services, Mobile Security,
Security Infrastructure
Building Automation, Building Control,
Networked Systems, Crisis Management Solution
(power, infrastructure damage...)
Traffic Control & Monitoring (rail,
underground, buses, personal
vehicles), 24/7 Supply Management
(logistics)
Universal
Communication
Management
Mobility Management
Logical Security &
Communication
Management
Building Management
Advanced Communication Technologies Enable Better Technology Deployment and Interoperability
SATCOM to Increasingly Enable Communication on the Move
Wi-Fi enabled surveillance technology will enable
1515
technology will enable deployment in areas where
physical communication networks are difficult to deploy
4G LTE is allowing real time, high volume and high quality
data transfer from mobile sensors and devices.
Conclusions - Key Growth Geographies, Domains and Technologies
Technologies to Watch-Out Key Growth Geographies Domains to watch-out
• Biometrics
• Data and Video Analytics
• Unmanned Systems
• Cloud Security
• India
• China
• Saudi Arabia
• Turkey
• Energy & Utilities Security
• Cyber Security
• Urban Security
16
• UAE
• Russia
Next Steps
Develop Your Visionary and Innovative SkillsGrowth Partnership Service Share your growth thought leadership and ideas or
join our GIL Global Community
17
Join our GIL Community NewsletterKeep abreast of innovative growth opportunities
Your Feedback is Important to Us
Growth Forecasts?
Competitive Structure?
What would you like to see from Frost & Sullivan?
18
Emerging Trends?
Strategic Recommendations?
Other?
Please inform us by “Rating” this presentation.
Follow Frost & Sullivan on Facebook, LinkedIn, SlideShare, and Twitter
http://www.facebook.com/FrostandSullivan
http://www.linkedin.com/companies/4506
19
http://twitter.com/frost_sullivan
http://www.linkedin.com/companies/4506
http://www.slideshare.net/FrostandSullivan
For Additional Information
Joanna Lewandowska
Corporate Communications
Aerospace, Defence & Security
+48 (0) 22 481 62 20
20