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FTTH Presentation Final

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    The University Community Next Generation Innovation Project

    Gig.U

    Blair Levin

    Executive Director, Gig.U

    Presentation to FTTH Council

    December 5, 2011

    The University Community Next Generation Innovation Project

    Gig.U and FTTH:

    Changing the Equation

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    Answer

    C+ O > (r)R + EB

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    Answer

    C+ O > (r)R + EB

    C Capital Expenditures

    O Operating Expenditures

    r Risk

    R- Incremental Revenues (New Revenues Minus Current Revenues)

    EB- Ecosystem Benefits (Benefits that drive increased revenues

    outside the communities where the new or incremental

    investments are made.)

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    Solution: Change the Math

    C+ O < (r)R + EB

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    Changing the Equation to Upgrade Our Networks

    Background on Gig.U

    The RFI and the Art of the Possible

    Concrete steps

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    How do we have a

    constantlyimproving, worldleading ecosystem?

    NationalBroadbandPlan

    Background for Gig.U

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    Why It Matters: Rebooting the Economy Requires

    Innovation, for which Broadband Platform is Key

    Analyze

    information

    Act on itRevise

    course ofaction

    Gather

    information

    The biggest leaps in growth are drivenby meta-ideas

    Improving the exchange of information

    improves the conditions for innovation.

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    Where does innovation occur?

    DataDataCollecting and providing

    trillions of data points

    previously unavailable

    ComputingComputingAnalyzing data

    previouslyunmanageable

    CommunicationsCommunicationsTransfer data and

    analysis anywhere,anytime, to anyone.

    In the last 2 decades, three revolutions havetransformed knowledge exchange:

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    Broadband is our common collaborative platform

    NetworksNetworks

    DevicesDevices

    ApplicationsApplications

    UsersUsers

    Improvements in each element of the ecosystem

    drive improvements in others in a virtuous cycle.

    Broadband Ecosystem

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    Acceleratedpace of

    developmentmeans lesstime toreact so theslow lose out

    I

    ncrementalValueAdd

    Winner

    Loser

    Electricity

    Telephone

    Internet

    Mobile telephone

    Invention Ubiquity

    highvalue

    add

    mediumvalue add

    lowvalueadd

    INNOVATION

    Act now

    Potentialfor

    competitiveadvantage

    Act later

    Television

    Time

    But Time to Act is Now!

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    The United States is not advancing as fast as others

    Home Internet May Get EvenFaster in South KoreaBy Mark McDonald, February 21, 2011

    Other countries are investing in Gigabit connectivity . . .

    Cheap, Ultrafast Broadband?Hong Kong Has ItBy Randall Stross, March 5, 2011

    South Korea already claims the worlds fastest

    Internet connections the fastest globally byfar but that is hardly good enough for the

    government here.

    By the end of 2012, South Korea intends to

    connect every home in the country to the

    Internet at one gigabit per second. That would

    be a tenfold increase from the already blazing

    national standard and more than 200 times as

    fast as the average household setup in the

    United States.

    Hong Kong residents can enjoy astoundingly fast

    broadband at an astoundingly low price. Itbecame available last year, when a scrappy

    company called Hong Kong Broadband Network

    introduced a new option for its fiber-to-the-

    home service: a speed of 1,000 megabits a

    second--known as a gig-- for less than $26 a

    month. In the United States, we dont have

    anything close to that. But we could. And we

    should.

    . . . but Gigabit connectivity is not advancing in the United States

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    Need for critical mass of nextgeneration test bedsNational

    Broadband Plan

    Demonstrated community abilityand desire to organize to improvenext generation business case

    Google FiberInitiative

    Need for seamless experiencebetween campus and community

    Place where innovation happens

    History ofUniversities and

    Internet

    Lead to

    Background for Gig.U

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    University-communities: a strategic market opportunity

    Advantages of University-communities

    Demand for

    Bandwidth

    =Greatest

    Cost of

    Deployment

    =

    Least

    Positive

    Impact of

    Network

    Access

    =Greatest

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    University-communities:

    Birthplace of Network Based Innovations

    Accessto KeyInputs

    Accessto KeyInputs

    Search: Google(Stanford), Lycos

    (CMU)

    Search: Google(Stanford), Lycos

    (CMU)

    Social Networking:Facebook (Harvard),Newsgroups/USENET

    (UNC, Duke)

    Social Networking:Facebook (Harvard),Newsgroups/USENET

    (UNC, Duke)

    WWW: Gopher(UMinn), Web

    Browser: Mosaic,Netscape (UofIll)

    WWW: Gopher(UMinn), Web

    Browser: Mosaic,Netscape (UofIll)

    Audio and Video:CUSeeMe (Cornell), SIP

    (Columbia U, BrailleMusic ( UofAriz)

    Audio and Video:CUSeeMe (Cornell), SIP

    (Columbia U, BrailleMusic ( UofAriz)

    Workstations (SunMicro from Berkeley,

    Stanford)

    Workstations (SunMicro from Berkeley,

    Stanford)

    Routers (CISCO fromStanford)

    Large scale integratedcircuits (CalTech)

    Routers (CISCO fromStanford)

    Large scale integratedcircuits (CalTech)

    Photoshop / ImagePro(Umich)

    Photoshop / ImagePro(Umich)

    Security/IDS (ArborNetworks from UM)Security/IDS (ArborNetworks from UM)

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    1800s

    Access to abundant flowing water

    Access to raw materials

    1900s

    Access to abundant electricity

    Access to abundant transportation

    2000s Access to abundant bandwidth Access to abundant human intellectual capital

    In 21st Century economy, we can lower barriers

    to innovation by increasing bandwidth.

    Economic clusters require access to abundant

    strategic inputs for success

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    The University-Community Next Generation

    Innovation Project

    Over the spring and summer of 2011, 37 leading researchuniversities, working in partnership with their local

    communities, formed Gig.U

    Our Mission

    Our Purpose

    Accelerate the deployment of world-leading, next generation networks in the

    United States

    Provide an opportunity to lead in the nextgeneration of ultra-high speed network

    services and applications

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    Gig.U Member Institutions

    For new test-beds to foster experimentation and innovation, it makes sense to work

    with communities that have strong traditions of experimentation and innovation

    Georgia

    Tech

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    Background on Gig.U

    The RFI and the Art of the Possible

    Concrete steps

    Changing the Math for Upgrading Our Country

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    The RFIEfforts to Date

    Released 9/16Released 9/16Community/Vendor

    Mtg 9/26Community/Vendor

    Mtg 9/26Written Qs and As

    10/20Written Qs and As

    10/20Responses 12/2Responses 12/2

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    The RFI---Responses

    Responses

    from a widevariety of

    parties

    Responses

    from a widevariety of

    parties

    Service providersService providers

    Equipment vendorsEquipment vendors

    Network providersNetwork providers

    Community groupsCommunity groups

    New TechNew Tech

    Real Estate InterestsReal Estate Interests

    Content/ApplicationProviders

    Content/ApplicationProviders

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    The RFI---Early Lessons

    MultipleTechnology

    Paths

    MultipleTechnology

    Paths

    Incumbent New Entrant

    DemandAggregation

    DemandAggregation

    Retail Institutional

    Non-MonopolyFramework

    Non-MonopolyFramework

    Flexibility Experimentation

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    The RFIPath Ahead

    Review RFIMaterialsDec/Jan

    Review RFIMaterialsDec/Jan

    Presentationto Members

    1Q12

    Presentationto Members

    1Q12

    CommunityConsultationsCommunity

    ConsultationsCommunity

    ActionCommunity

    Action

    Includes:

    Local GovernmentsUniversities

    Utilities

    MDU Owners

    Anchor Institutions

    R&E Networks

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    Background on Gig.U

    The RFI and the Art of the Possible

    Concrete steps

    Changing the Math for Upgrading Our Country

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    Concrete Steps for Changing the Math

    Time

    Costs ofAccess

    Build toDemand

    ReduceCap ExReduceCap Ex

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    Concrete Steps for Changing the Math

    AccessPayments

    RegulatoryCosts

    ReduceOp ExReduceOp Ex

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    Concrete Steps for Changing the Math

    Build to Demand

    Spread Costthrough MultiplePlayers BuildingTest Beds

    ReduceRisk

    ReduceRisk

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    Key: Increase understanding of need to bring

    bandwidth to where it fuels the most innovation.

    Demand for

    Bandwidth

    =Greatest

    Cost of

    Deployment

    =

    Least

    PositiveImpact of

    Network

    Access

    =

    Greatest

    Clusters that depend

    on the ability to

    capture and send

    data and collaborate

    with non-local

    sources require

    greater bandwidththan others.

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    Concrete Steps for Changing the Math

    Institutional

    DemandAggregation

    MarketingPlatform

    New Services

    IncreaseRevenuesIncreaseRevenues

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    Public Sector can drive demand through rethinking process

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    Concrete Steps for Changing the Math

    New High-BandwidthApplications, whichDrive Demand throughDistributed Innovation*

    Aspirational Benefits

    Seeding long-termcustomer benefits

    Increase

    EcosystemBenefits

    Increase

    EcosystemBenefits

    *Innovation from above tends to be orderlyand dumb. Innovation from below tends to be

    chaotic and smart.

    Carlsons Law, as reported in That Used to be Us

    by Friedman and Mandelbaum

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    Key to Changing the MathAsymmetry

    Large out of pocket dollarbenefits for provider

    Very small out of

    pocket costs tocommunity institutions

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    Core of AsymmetryBetter Use of Existing Assets

    ChallengeChallenge

    High infant

    mortality

    High infant

    mortality

    Unmaintainedassets

    Unmaintainedassets

    Lack of ultra-highspeed network

    Lack of ultra-highspeed network

    ExistingExisting

    Chick incubatorsChick incubators

    Auto partsAuto parts

    Fiber, rights of way,process innovationsFiber, rights of way,process innovations

    OutcomeOutcome

    50% fewer deaths50% fewer deaths

    Fully maintainedincubators

    Fully maintainedincubators

    Google Fiber,Seattle

    Google Fiber,Seattle

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    Conclusion: Lets Make It So

    C+ O < (r)R + EB

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    Or as noted around the world

    1GbpsGigU

    Headline from Chinese Newspaper day after Gig.U launch


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