Date post: | 10-Mar-2016 |
Category: |
Documents |
Upload: | qms-advisors |
View: | 219 times |
Download: | 4 times |
&riSQeaioQd !iQdtncn & !iQdtno FaRleeaiSQoclin7adjC 9CdhnCo
July 2013
A . M !SscnlmnA . M !Sscnlmn | Avenue de la Gare, 1 1003 Lausanne | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |
efo h!pbnf!g albo ilp Tliopfprpb fisbophbip !asfTb !ia oelrga ilp .b sfbtba !o ! Trnnbip ln m!op nbTlhhbia!pfli ln ! olgfTfp!pfli lc !i lccbn pl .ru ln obgg !iu obTrnfpfbo ln pl !almp !iu fisbophbip opn!pbdu.
Currency
Market
Capitalization (in
mio USD)
Daily
Volume
(M)
Total Common
Shares (M)
Total Debt
(USD)
Preferred
Stock (USD)
Minority
Interest
(USD)
Cash and
Equivalents
(USD)
Enterprise
Value
(USD)
Tot. Rev. -
LFY
Est. Tot.
Rev. - Tr.
12M
Est. Tot.
Rev. - 2013 Est. Tot. Rev. - 2014 EBITDA - LFY
Est. EBITDA -
Tr. 12M
Est. EBITDA -
2013
Est. EBITDA -
2014 EPS - LFY
Est. EPS -
Tr. 12M
Est. EPS -
2013
Est. EPS -
2014
P/E Ratio -
LFY
Est. P/E
Ratio - Tr.
12M
Est. P/E
Ratio - 2013
Est. P/E
Ratio - 2014
Est.
Revenue
Growth - 1Y
Est.
Revenue
Growth - 5Y
Est. EBITDA
Growth - 1Y
Est. Est.
EBITDA
Growth - 5Y
Est. EBITDA
Margin -
S&P LT
Credit
Rating -
S&P LT Credit
Rating Date
Moody's LT
Credit
Rating
Moody's LT Credit
Rating Date
S&P 500 INDEX USD 15129982 2010.579 1116 1116 203 221 221 102.58 110.17 110.17 16.09 16.09 14.98 14.98 18.61
Euro Stoxx 50 Pr EUR 2541081 5239.1967 4513 4513 727 758 758 201.47 293.88 293.88 21.60 17.09 14.80 14.80 20.06
NIKKEI 225 JPY 2766773 190.457 190 190 18 21 21 5.32 7.81 7.81 0.27 0.27 0.18 0.18 0.11
FTSE 100 INDEX GBP 2635032 11383.506 10054 10054 1394 1639 1639 576.63 800.80 800.80 24.88 21.84 17.91 17.91 20.98
SWISS MARKET INDEX CHF 1021957 10629.344 4029 4029 844 817 817 408.10 548.26 548.26 20.52 17.00 15.28 15.28 21.70
S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX CAD 1572011 16405.431 8333 8333 1780 1970 1970 735.88 818.73 818.73 14.96 14.96 13.45 13.45 23.24
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX AUD 1229350 5801.1767 2677 2677 551 684 684 224.51 322.26 322.26 18.21 14.76 12.68 12.68 20.22
HANG SENG INDEX HKD 1590448 2985.3594 1672 1672 355 399 399 278.78 271.45 271.45 1.23 1.40 1.27 1.27 2.92
MSCI EM USD 6879381 1274.567 971 971 188 179 179 82.64 90.29 90.29 10.96 11.12 10.03 10.03 19.20
MTR CORP HKD 21151.64 1142 5793 4.44 0.00 0.03 2.41 23.20 4607 4607 4869 5154 2407 2407 - - 0.30 0.30 0.18 0.24 1.56 - 2.63 1.95 0.89 3.58 -0.64 0.51 6.74 AAA 16.12.2010 Aa1 11.11.2010
CSR CORP LTD - H HKD 7538.76 11468 13803 2.87 0.00 0.87 1.87 7.28 11476 11476 12526 14094 966 960 986 986 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 1.43 - 1.36 1.17 1.54 - 0.32 4.47 1.08 - - - -
CHINA RAILWAY GROUP LTD-H HKD 8222.19 6820 21300 21.02 0.00 1.31 8.76 23.22 60028 60028 66698 71876 2587 2587 - - 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.94 0.93 0.84 0.76 0.68 2.95 0.74 2.91 0.56 BBB+ 23.01.2013 - -
CHINA HIGH SPEED TRANSMISSIO HKD 570.97 2856 1363 1.18 0.00 0.03 0.31 1.35 821 821 910 994 166 166 - - 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.04 3.25 3.17 1.42 1.06 -1.36 4.23 -1.52 4.46 2.61 - - - -
CHINA RAILWAY CONSTRUCTION-H HKD 8271.50 4095 12338 13.83 0.00 0.18 13.64 9.08 60575 60575 67778 71515 3054 3054 - - - 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.89 - 0.80 0.74 0.77 - 1.10 3.39 0.65 A- 03.05.2013 - -
GUANGSHEN RAILWAY CO LTD-H HKD 2663.41 2428 7084 0.45 0.00 0.01 0.63 1.91 1946 1946 2080 2202 421 421 473 473 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.03 1.63 1.58 1.45 1.26 0.35 0.96 -2.32 0.44 2.79 - - - -
ZHUZHOU CSR TIMES ELECTRIC-H HKD 2306.39 7485 1084 0.10 0.00 0.02 0.30 1.64 922 922 1031 1207 170 170 196 196 - 0.15 0.15 0.18 1.49 - 1.44 1.21 0.14 4.96 -0.77 3.72 2.37 - - - -
CHINA ZHONGWANG HOLDINGS LTD HKD 1603.05 407 5406 1.53 0.00 0.00 1.02 1.77 1740 1740 - - 390 390 - - 0.04 0.04 - - 0.71 - - - 3.99 - 4.32 1.57 2.89 - - - -
Valuation Measures I/II
Market Capitalization & Asset Liability data Total Revenue EBITDA Earnings Per Share Price/Earnings ratio Rev. Growth EBITDA Growth
Q.M.S Advisors | Av. de la Gare, 1 | Lausanne, CH | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | +41 (0)21 711 40 89 | e-mail: [email protected] |
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 %D to Spot
S&P 500 INDEX 2.31 2.31 2.11 1.92 2.31 1.48 1.48 1.41 1.35 1.48 10.40 10.40 9.71 10.06 10.40 9.10 9.10 8.39 7.84 9.10 14.98 14.98 13.39 12.21 14.98 2.13 2.13 2.29 2.39 2.13 1778.7 7.8%
Euro Stoxx 50 Pr 1.16 1.16 1.10 1.04 1.16 0.75 0.75 0.73 0.71 0.75 5.75 5.75 5.28 4.81 5.75 6.91 6.91 6.53 6.18 6.91 11.59 11.59 10.33 9.32 11.59 4.31 4.31 4.59 4.94 4.31 2970.0 11.4%
NIKKEI 225 1.57 1.57 1.47 1.37 1.57 0.75 0.75 0.73 0.71 0.75 9.28 9.28 8.56 7.84 9.28 8.88 8.88 8.22 7.74 8.88 18.31 18.31 16.25 14.66 18.31 1.59 1.59 1.74 1.88 1.59 14922.4 3.1%
FTSE 100 INDEX 1.70 1.70 1.59 1.48 1.70 0.96 0.96 0.93 0.96 0.96 8.35 8.35 7.67 7.02 8.35 6.94 6.94 6.41 6.04 6.94 12.08 12.08 11.00 10.19 12.08 3.88 3.88 4.18 4.52 3.88 7105.8 9.0%
SWISS MARKET INDEX 2.37 2.37 2.20 2.05 2.37 2.02 2.02 1.93 1.85 2.02 12.16 12.16 11.09 9.89 12.16 13.01 13.01 11.98 11.22 13.01 14.88 14.88 13.39 12.20 14.88 3.27 3.27 3.64 4.17 3.27 8622.8 8.6%
S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX 1.63 1.63 1.52 1.41 1.63 1.39 1.39 1.43 1.48 1.39 8.23 8.23 7.42 6.15 8.23 8.33 8.33 7.37 6.80 8.33 14.17 14.17 12.51 11.37 14.17 3.29 3.29 3.44 3.60 3.29 14134.3 15.6%
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX 1.78 1.78 1.69 1.59 1.78 1.67 1.67 1.58 1.51 1.67 10.09 10.09 9.11 8.69 10.09 8.48 8.48 7.71 7.18 8.48 13.86 13.86 12.56 11.61 13.86 4.82 4.82 5.16 5.51 4.82 5204.0 6.6%
HANG SENG INDEX 1.23 1.23 1.13 1.07 1.23 1.59 1.59 1.47 1.36 1.59 7.38 7.38 7.03 6.52 7.38 7.48 7.48 6.85 6.21 7.48 9.82 9.82 9.04 8.29 9.82 3.92 3.92 4.22 4.64 3.92 24793.6 19.9%
MSCI EM 1.31 1.31 1.20 1.09 1.31 0.93 0.93 0.87 0.81 0.93 6.48 6.48 5.94 5.47 6.48 7.10 7.10 6.46 5.93 7.10 10.03 10.03 9.02 8.26 10.03 3.09 3.09 3.41 3.71 3.09 1120.1 23.6%
MTR CORP 1.21 1.12 1.07 1.01 4.62 4.34 4.10 3.96 23.92 17.36 18.80 10.37 13.43 13.38 11.39 10.63 18.05 20.43 15.15 12.52 2.75 2.86 3.00 3.15 32.36 14.4%
CSR CORP LTD - H 1.43 1.27 1.15 1.02 0.53 0.48 0.42 0.37 9.09 7.77 6.60 6.09 7.75 7.38 6.43 5.46 11.12 10.52 9.06 7.79 2.58 2.70 3.06 3.33 6.31 49.5%
CHINA RAILWAY GROUP LTD-H 0.69 0.62 0.57 0.52 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.08 8.16 3.17 4.41 5.29 9.58 8.29 7.70 7.50 7.57 6.53 5.93 5.36 2.07 2.39 2.67 2.75 4.69 47.4%
CHINA HIGH SPEED TRANSMISSIO 0.46 0.45 0.43 0.41 0.38 0.52 0.50 0.45 0.42 0.39 1.78 2.54 2.30 2.21 7.81 7.18 6.32 5.65 6.30 13.66 11.02 8.21 7.15 6.26 0.66 1.21 2.22 1.44 0.00 3.62 11.4%
CHINA RAILWAY CONSTRUCTION-H 0.82 0.73 0.67 0.59 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.08 56.54 3.12 3.12 2.21 3.16 2.78 2.58 2.40 7.10 6.20 5.71 4.97 2.51 2.86 3.16 3.33 9.73 61.8%
GUANGSHEN RAILWAY CO LTD-H 0.65 0.63 0.61 0.59 1.12 1.01 0.96 0.90 6.21 3.98 5.17 4.93 4.38 4.03 3.78 3.47 12.51 11.28 9.77 8.77 3.25 3.62 4.12 4.58 4.06 33.7%
ZHUZHOU CSR TIMES ELECTRIC-H 2.33 1.98 1.73 1.48 2.16 1.77 1.51 1.32 14.05 12.02 9.01 9.13 10.13 8.34 7.12 6.07 14.60 11.18 9.39 8.06 2.16 2.94 3.50 3.95 21.98 33.2%
CHINA ZHONGWANG HOLDINGS LTD 6.06
Price to Earnings Ratio
Valuation Measures II/II
Estimated Dividend YieldPrice to Book Ratio Price to Sales Ratio Price to Cash Flow Ratio Enterprise Value to EBITDA Ratio Target
Q.M.S Advisors | Av. de la Gare, 1 | Lausanne, CH | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | +41 (0)21 711 40 89 | e-mail: [email protected] |
MTR CORP CSR CORP LTD-H CHINA RAIL GR-H CHINA HIGH-SPEED CHINA RAIL CN-H GUANGSHEN RAIL-H ZHUZHOU CSR CHINA ZHONGWANG
12/2012 12/2011 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012
32.90 7.20 4.98 4.56 9.54 4.23 30.25 3.28
08.03.2013 04.01.2013 10.01.2013 28.05.2013 15.01.2013 11.03.2013 02.01.2013 22.08.2012
25.80 4.21 2.83 2.07 5.71 2.16 16.38 2.15
16.07.2012 09.07.2013 03.09.2012 31.07.2012 31.08.2012 06.09.2012 26.07.2012 25.06.2013
1'141'745 11'468'124 6'819'900 2'855'500 4'095'294 2'428'000 7'484'911 406'800
28.30 4.22 3.18 3.25 6.01 3.04 16.50 2.30
-14.0% -41.4% -36.1% -28.7% -37.0% -28.1% -45.5% -29.9%
9.7% 0.2% 12.4% 57.0% 5.3% 40.7% 0.7% 7.0%
5'793.2 13'803.0 21'299.9 1'362.7 12'337.5 7'083.5 1'084.3 5'406.3
164'069.1 58'476.6 63'777.9 4'428.9 64'160.4 20'659.5 17'890.2 12'434.5
34'424.0 22'271.1 163'026.0 9'186.9 107'283.3 3'485.5 742.1 11'830.5
- - - - - - - -
207.0 6'754.4 10'199.0 205.1 1'365.6 50.8 134.7 -
18'721.0 14'504.6 67'943.0 2'404.5 105'817.1 4'849.0 2'318.9 7'890.1
179'979.1 56'464.0 180'124.4 10'487.4 70'467.6 14'777.3 12'695.0 13'766.3
Average Median
LFY 35'739.0 89'019.4 465'625.0 6'368.8 469'871.7 15'091.9 7'154.0 13'497.2 137'795.9 25'415.4
LTM 35'739.0 89'019.4 465'625.0 6'368.8 469'871.7 15'091.9 7'154.0 13'497.2 137'795.9 25'415.4
CY+1 37'764.5 97'158.6 517'360.7 7'060.9 525'740.3 16'135.0 7'999.9 - 172'745.7 37'764.5
CY+2 39'980.1 109'327.0 557'526.0 7'709.3 554'725.6 17'079.9 9'362.2 - 185'101.4 39'980.1
LFY 5.4x 0.9x 0.4x 1.6x 0.2x 1.1x 3.3x 1.2x 1.8x 1.1x
LTM 5.4x 0.9x 0.4x 1.6x 0.2x 1.1x 3.3x 1.2x 1.8x 1.1x
CY+1 4.9x 0.5x 0.3x 1.3x 0.1x 1.1x 1.4x - 1.4x 1.1x
CY+2 4.7x 0.4x 0.3x 1.1x 0.1x 1.0x 1.2x - 1.2x 1.0x
LFY 18'672.0 7'490.2 20'070.0 1'291.1 23'688.9 3'264.0 1'317.9 3'024.4 9'852.3 5'377.1
LTM 18'672.0 7'447.3 20'070.0 1'291.1 23'688.9 3'264.0 1'317.9 3'024.4 9'846.9 5'355.7
CY+1 13'455.4 7'649.8 21'728.4 1'460.8 25'369.1 3'671.2 1'522.3 - 10'693.9 7'649.8
CY+2 15'794.7 8'785.9 23'379.8 1'658.9 27'274.6 3'914.2 1'782.2 - 11'798.6 8'785.9
LFY 10.3x 11.1x 9.1x 8.0x 3.8x 5.0x 17.9x 5.5x 8.8x 8.5x
LTM 10.3x 11.1x 9.1x 8.0x 3.8x 5.0x 17.9x 5.5x 8.8x 8.5x
CY+1 13.7x 6.4x 6.9x 6.1x 2.6x 4.7x 7.6x - 6.9x 6.4x
CY+2 11.8x 5.3x 6.5x 5.1x 2.5x 4.2x 6.1x - 5.9x 5.3x
LFY 2.35 0.30 0.35 0.10 - 0.20 - 0.33 0.61 0.32
LTM 2.34 0.30 0.35 0.10 0.69 0.19 1.13 0.33 0.68 0.34
CY+1 1.39 0.32 0.39 0.23 0.77 0.21 1.17 - 0.64 0.39
CY+2 1.87 0.37 0.42 0.31 0.83 0.25 1.39 - 0.78 0.42
LFY 12.1x 11.1x 7.3x 25.2x 6.9x 12.6x 11.5x 5.5x 11.5x 11.3x
LTM - - 7.2x 24.6x - 12.3x - - 14.7x 12.3x
CY+1 20.4x 10.5x 6.5x 11.0x 6.2x 11.3x 11.2x - 11.0x 11.0x
CY+2 15.1x 9.1x 5.9x 8.2x 5.7x 9.8x 9.4x - 9.0x 9.1x
1 Year 6.9% 12.0% 5.3% (10.6%) 6.0% 2.7% 1.1% 31.0% 6.8% 5.6%
5 Year 27.8% - 22.9% 32.8% - 7.5% 38.4% - 25.9% 27.8%
1 Year (5.0%) 2.5% 5.8% (11.8%) 8.6% (18.0%) (6.0%) 33.5% 1.2% (1.3%)
5 Year 4.0% 34.7% 22.6% 34.6% 26.3% 3.4% 28.8% 12.2% 20.8% 24.4%
LTM 52.2% 8.4% 4.3% 20.3% 5.0% 21.6% 18.4% 22.4% 19.1% 19.3%
CY+1 35.6% 7.9% 4.2% 20.7% 4.8% 22.8% 19.0% - 16.4% 19.0%
CY+2 39.5% 8.0% 4.2% 21.5% 4.9% 22.9% 19.0% - 17.2% 19.0%
Average Median
Total Debt / Equity % 23.9% 68.0% 208.5% 121.9% 149.1% 13.4% 12.0% 67.6% 83.0% 67.8%
Total Debt / Capital % 19.2% 36.0% 64.8% 54.3% 59.4% 11.8% 10.5% 40.3% 37.1% 38.2%
Total Debt / EBITDA 1.844x 2.990x 8.123x 7.116x 4.529x 1.068x 0.563x 3.912x 3.8x 3.5x
Net Debt / EBITDA 0.841x 1.043x 4.738x 5.253x 0.062x -0.418x -1.196x 1.303x 1.5x 0.9x
EBITDA / Int. Expense 15.824x 9.036x 2.034x 2.274x 4.056x 18.699x 82.607x 5.532x 17.5x 7.3x
S&P LT Credit Rating AAA - BBB+ - A- - - -
S&P LT Credit Rating Date 16.12.2010 - 23.01.2013 - 03.05.2013 - - -
Moody's LT Credit Rating Aa1 - - - - - - -
Moody's LT Credit Rating Date 11.11.2010 - - - - - - -
52-Week High Date
52-Week Low
Latest Fiscal Year:
52-Week High
Total Debt
Market Capitalization
Daily Volume
52-Week Low % Change
Current Price (7/dd/yy)
52-Week High % Change
Cash and Equivalents
EBITDA
EV/EBITDA
Enterprise Value
Valuation
Preferred Stock
52-Week Low Date
Minority Interest
Total Common Shares (M)
P/E
Revenue Growth
Total Revenue
EV/Total Revenue
EPS
EBITDA Growth
EBITDA Margin
Credit Ratings
Leverage/Coverage Ratios
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |
09.07.2013
MTR Corporation Limited provides public transport services in Hong Kong. The
Company owns and operates the Mass Transit Railway. The Company also develops,
sells, and manages residential and commercial properties. In addition, MTR
leases commercial facilities and provides services along the Railway, such as
advertising, telecommunication facilities, and provides consultancy services.
Latest Fiscal Year: 12/2012
LTM as of: 01/yy
52-Week High (08.03.2013) 32.90
52-Week Low (16.07.2012) 25.80
Daily Volume
28.3
52-Week High % Change -13.98% Dividend Yield 2.79
52-Week Low % Change 9.69% Beta 0.72
% 52 Week Price Range High/Low 35.21% Equity Float 1'361.87
Shares Out 30.06.2013 5'797.5 Short Int -
164'069.08 1 Yr Total Return 7.79%
Total Debt 34'424.00 YTD Return -5.60%
Preferred Stock 0.0 Adjusted BETA 0.715
Minority Interest 207.0 Analyst Recs 14
Cash and Equivalents 18'721.00 Consensus Rating 3.571
Enterprise Value 179'979.08
Average Volume 5 Day 2'287'984
66 HK EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 3'308'187
66 HK EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 2'874'412
LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 31.12.2010 31.12.2011 31.12.2012 01/yy 01/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y - -
17'628 18'797 29'518 33'423 35'739 - - 37'765 39'980 - -
7.47x 9.63x 6.16x 4.89x 5.39x - - 4.90x 4.67x - -
15'971.0 14'774.0 14'956.0 19'648.0 18'672.0 - - 13'455.4 15'794.7 - -
8.25x 12.25x 12.16x 8.32x 10.32x - - 13.38x 11.39x - -
8'284.0 9'639.0 12'059.0 15'556.0 13'532.0 - - 8'032 10'835 - -
12.22x 15.86x 13.48x 9.35x 13.03x - - 20.43x 15.15x - -
EBITDA 18'672.00 Long-Term Rating Date 16.12.2010
EBIT 12'256.00 Long-Term Rating AAA
Operating Margin 34.29% Long-Term Outlook STABLE
Pretax Margin 43.55% Short-Term Rating Date 09.10.2009
Return on Assets 6.69% Short-Term Rating A-1+
Return on Common Equity 9.71%
Return on Capital 8.38% EBITDA/Interest Exp. 15.82
Asset Turnover 0.18% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 6.40
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.84
Gross Margin - Total Debt/EBITDA 1.84
EBITDA Margin 52.2%
EBIT Margin 34.3% Total Debt/Equity 23.9%
Net Income Margin 37.9% Total Debt/Capital 19.2%
Asset Turnover 0.18
Current Ratio 1.31 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 0.24
Quick Ratio 1.03 Accounts receivable turnover-days 33.93
Debt to Assets 16.64% Inventory Days -
Tot Debt to Common Equity 23.86% Accounts Payable Turnover Day -
Accounts Receivable Turnover 10.79 Cash Conversion Cycle -
Inventory Turnover -
Fiscal Year Ended
MTR Corp LtdPrice/Volume
Valuation Analysis
1'141'745.00
Current Price (7/dd/yy) Market Data
Net Income
P/E
Market Capitalization
Average Daily Trading Volume
Relative Stock Price Performance
Total Revenue
TEV/Revenue
EBITDA
TEV/EBITDA
Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings
Credit Ratios
Margin Analysis
Reference
Structure
!
2
-!
-2
.!
.2
0!
02
f--. C--. m--. l--. j--. M--. f--0 R--0 i--0 C--0 i--0 f--0 f--0 ! 8
- ! 8
. ! 8
0 ! 8
1 ! 8
2 ! 8
3 ! 8
4 ! 8
5 ! 8
0.0
5'000.0
10'000.0
15'000.0
20'000.0
25'000.0
30'000.0
35'000.0
40'000.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
! !!
2 !!
-! !!
-2 !!
.! !!
.2 !!
0! !!
02 !!
1! !!
12 !!
!- !- .!-! !- !4 .!-! !- !- .!-- !- !4 .!-- !- !- .!-. !- !4 .!-. !- !- .!-0
FReTn/CTrThoT/PolhirTlAlcST/ !Rna /eis FReTn/CTrThoT/PolhirTlAlcST/ !Rna /eis
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |
09.07.2013
Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type
FINANCIAL SECRETARY n/a Co File 4'434'552'207 76.49 - 31.12.2011 Government
ABERDEEN n/a ULT-AGG 42'310'985 0.73 950'000 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK n/a ULT-AGG 25'258'835 0.44 (1'739'500) 05.07.2013 Investment Advisor
NORGES BANK Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 15'534'833 0.27 - 31.12.2012 Government
VANGUARD GROUP INC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 14'204'758 0.25 233'290 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
STATE STREET n/a ULT-AGG 12'759'234 0.22 (658'337) 08.07.2013 Investment Advisor
INVESCO LTD n/a ULT-AGG 10'544'872 0.18 5'334 08.07.2013 Investment Advisor
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 9'444'732 0.16 - 28.02.2013 Bank
HANG SENG INVESTMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 6'917'209 0.12 - 30.06.2012 Investment Advisor
BNP PARIBAS INV PART n/a ULT-AGG 3'448'886 0.06 589'202 31.03.2013 Investment Advisor
ROYAL BANK OF CANADA n/a ULT-AGG 2'740'000 0.05 (110'000) 31.01.2013 Bank
NEW JERSEY DIVISION Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'699'684 0.05 - 30.06.2012 Pension Fund (ERISA)
TIAA CREF INVESTMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'644'340 0.05 2'037'197 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor
SWISSCANTO FONDSLEIT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'470'491 0.04 (30'000) 28.02.2013 Investment Advisor
EASTSPRING INVESTMEN Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'386'938 0.04 (268'500) 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor
SWISSCANTO FONDSLEIT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'328'239 0.04 5'310 28.02.2013 Investment Advisor
TD ASSET MANAGEMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'313'591 0.04 - 30.04.2013 Investment Advisor
CREDIT SUISSE ASSET Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'231'336 0.04 (18'500) 31.05.2013 Investment Advisor
CAISSE DE DEPOT ET P Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'899'000 0.03 - 31.12.2012 Investment Advisor
SKANDIA GLOBAL FUNDS Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'624'524 0.03 - 28.02.2013 Investment Advisor
Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date
DBS Vickers JEFF YAU hold 3 M 31 12 month 08.07.2013
Nomura BENJAMIN LO buy 5 M 38 Not Provided 07.07.2013
Jefferies VENANT CHIANG hold 3 M 28 12 month 02.07.2013
EVA Dimensions TIMOTHY STANISH overweight 5 U #N/A N/A Not Provided 24.06.2013
Morgan Stanley LIN HE Equalwt/In-Line 3 M 34 12 month 16.04.2013
Goldman Sachs SIMON CHEUNG neutral/neutral 3 M 32 12 month 16.04.2013
Credit Suisse CUSSON LEUNG neutral 3 M 26 Not Provided 16.04.2013
HSBC STEPHEN WAN neutral 3 M 33 Not Provided 16.04.2013
Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. JONAS KAN outperform 5 M 33 Not Provided 22.03.2013
AMTD Financial Planning Limited KENNY TANG SING HING buy 5 M 35 Not Provided 12.03.2013
GuoSen Securities Co Ltd MICHAEL NG buy 5 N 30 12 month 20.02.2012
Deutsche Bank TONY TSANG not rated #N/A N/A M #N/A N/A Not Provided 01.03.2011
Credit Suisse FELIX RUSLI outperform 5 M 36 Not Provided 21.02.2011
Piper Jaffray HONGBO B LU neutral 3 M 33 12 month 11.08.2010
Holdings By:
MTR Corp Ltd ee
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |
09.07.2013
CSR Corp Ltd provides a wide range of rolling stock products and services. The
Company's products include locomotives, passenger carriages, freight wagons,
MUs, rapid transit vehicles and key related components.
Latest Fiscal Year: 12/2011
LTM as of: 09/yy
52-Week High (04.01.2013) 7.20
52-Week Low (09.07.2013) 4.21
Daily Volume
4.22
52-Week High % Change -41.39% Dividend Yield 2.70
52-Week Low % Change 0.24% Beta 1.74
% 52 Week Price Range High/Low 0.68% Equity Float 1'902.64
Shares Out 15.03.2013 2'024.0 Short Int -
58'476.62 1 Yr Total Return -19.24%
Total Debt 22'271.08 YTD Return -36.21%
Preferred Stock 0.0 Adjusted BETA 1.737
Minority Interest 6'754.4 Analyst Recs 30
Cash and Equivalents 14'504.61 Consensus Rating 3.900
Enterprise Value 56'464.02
Average Volume 5 Day 16'125'420
1766 HK EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 15'777'960
1766 HK EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 16'279'450
LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 31.12.2010 31.12.2011 31.12.2012 12/yy 09/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3
35'092.8 45'620.8 64'132.4 79'517.0 89'019.4 0.0 51'192.4 97'158.6 109'327.0 - -
1.37x 1.49x 1.55x 0.75x 0.94x #DIV/0! 0.00x 0.50x 0.43x - -
2'788.2 3'293.5 4'943.7 7'310.0 7'490.2 0.0 1'091.3 7'649.8 8'785.9 - -
17.27x 20.63x 20.10x 8.11x 11.21x 0.00x 0.00x 7.38x 6.43x - -
1'384.2 1'678.2 2'526.3 3'864.2 4'009.5 0.0 2'187.2 4'387.1 5'047.0 - -
27.45x 40.07x 35.45x 13.28x 16.59x 0.00x 0.00x 10.52x 9.06x - -
EBITDA 7'490.23 Long-Term Rating Date -
EBIT 5'707.26 Long-Term Rating -
Operating Margin 6.41% Long-Term Outlook -
Pretax Margin 6.28% Short-Term Rating Date -
Return on Assets 4.05% Short-Term Rating -
Return on Common Equity 14.50%
Return on Capital 9.42% EBITDA/Interest Exp. 9.04
Asset Turnover 0.90% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 3.25
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.04
Gross Margin 17.7% Total Debt/EBITDA 2.99
EBITDA Margin 8.4%
EBIT Margin 6.4% Total Debt/Equity 68.0%
Net Income Margin 4.5% Total Debt/Capital 36.0%
Asset Turnover 0.90
Current Ratio 1.17 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 3.35
Quick Ratio 0.73 Accounts receivable turnover-days 99.18
Debt to Assets 21.17% Inventory Days 91.45
Tot Debt to Common Equity 67.99% Accounts Payable Turnover Day 118.28
Accounts Receivable Turnover 3.69 Cash Conversion Cycle 72.35
Inventory Turnover 4.00
Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings
Credit Ratios
Margin Analysis
Reference
Structure
Net Income
P/E
Market Capitalization
Average Daily Trading Volume
Relative Stock Price Performance
Total Revenue
TEV/Revenue
EBITDA
TEV/EBITDA
Fiscal Year Ended
CSR Corp LtdPrice/Volume
Valuation Analysis
11'468'124.00
Current Price (7/dd/yy) Market Data
!-.0123456
-!
i--- C--- i--- f--- f--- C--- m--- l--- j--- M--- f--. R--. ! 8.! ! 81! ! 83! ! 85! ! 8-!! ! 8-.! ! 8-1! ! 8-3! ! 8-5! ! 8
0.0
10'000.0
20'000.0
30'000.0
40'000.0
50'000.0
60'000.0
70'000.0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010! !!
! .!
! 1!
! 3!
! 5!
- !!
- .!
FReTn/CTrThoT/PolhirTlAlcST/ !Rna /eis FReTn/CTrThoT/PolhirTlAlcST/ !Rna /eis
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |
09.07.2013
Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type
JOHO PARTNERS LP n/a EXCH 302'079'370 14.92 - 06.03.2012 Hedge Fund Manager
DEUTSCHE BANK AG n/a EXCH 182'422'633 9.01 - 09.02.2012 Investment Advisor
SOCIAL SECURITY FUND n/a EXCH 181'210'000 8.95 - 23.12.2011 Pension Fund (ERISA)
DEUTSCHE BANK AG n/a Short (155'118'944) -7.66 - 29.02.2012 Investment Advisor
MORGAN STANLEY #N/A N/A EXCH 114'562'654 5.66 (3'557'400) 08.03.2012 Investment Advisor
MORGAN STANLEY n/a Short (114'008'368) -5.63 - 08.03.2012 Investment Advisor
WELLINGTON MANAGEMEN n/a EXCH 107'180'180 5.3 - 17.02.2012 Investment Advisor
BAILLIE GIFFORD AND n/a EXCH 101'793'000 5.03 - 17.08.2011 Investment Advisor
GE ASSET MANAGEMENT n/a EXCH 100'828'146 4.98 - 29.11.2010 Investment Advisor
JP MORGAN CHASE & CO n/a EXCH 98'439'911 4.86 - 01.02.2012 Investment Advisor
MAPS INVESTMENT MANA n/a EXCH 98'388'000 4.86 - 05.09.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
VANGUARD GROUP INC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 70'577'278 3.49 (302'000) 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
MATTHEWS INTERNATION Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 51'450'000 2.54 - 30.12.2011 Investment Advisor
GUARDIAN INVESTOR SE Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 30'283'000 1.5 - 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
JP MORGAN CHASE & CO n/a Short (29'769'114) -1.47 - 01.02.2012 Investment Advisor
SCHRODER INVESTMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 27'544'000 1.36 7'138'000 30.06.2011 Investment Advisor
MIRAE ASSET INVESTME Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 25'599'000 1.26 (3'408'000) 30.09.2011 Investment Advisor
INVESCO LTD Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 25'458'000 1.26 - 28.02.2011 Investment Advisor
JP MORGAN ASSET MGMT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 24'628'000 1.22 - 14.01.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
BLACKROCK FUND ADVIS Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 19'251'000 0.95 19'000 08.03.2012 Investment Advisor
Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date
Standard Chartered BEN HARTWRIGHT outperform 5 M 7 12 month 12.03.2012
Jefferies JULIAN BU underperform 1 M 4 12 month 12.03.2012
BNP Paribas Equity Research TINA LI buy 5 M 7 12 month 09.03.2012
Haitong International Securities ZHANG WEN XIAN buy 5 M 8 12 month 08.03.2012
HSBC ANDERSON CHOW overweight 5 M 7 Not Provided 06.03.2012
UOB Kay Hian MARK PO buy 5 M 7 Not Provided 05.03.2012
Macquarie SAIYI HE neutral 3 N 6 12 month 28.02.2012
Guotai Junan GARY WONG neutral 3 M 5 Not Provided 21.02.2012
Capital Securities Corp HAN WEIQI buy 5 M 7 Not Provided 20.02.2012
JPMorgan KAREN LI overweight 5 M 9 9 month 14.02.2012
Citi ZHEN NI sell 1 M 5 Not Provided 09.02.2012
Deutsche Bank PHYLLIS WANG buy 5 M 7 12 month 30.01.2012
SinoPac VIVIAN LIU buy 5 M 6 12 month 19.01.2012
EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE sell 1 N #N/A N/A Not Provided 06.01.2012
Mizuho Securities OLE HUI neutral 3 M 5 12 month 05.01.2012
SWS Research Co Ltd TITUS WU neutral 3 M 5 Not Provided 05.01.2012
Morgan Stanley KEVIN LUO Equalwt/In-Line 3 D 6 12 month 07.12.2011
Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. EDWIN LEE hold 3 M 6 Not Provided 02.11.2011
DBS Vickers RACHEL MIU buy 5 U 6 12 month 31.10.2011
BOCOM International Holdings GEORGE YIN not rated #N/A N/A M #N/A N/A Not Provided 14.10.2011
Masterlink Securities STANLEY YAN hold 3 D 5 6 month 09.08.2011
Bank of China International XU MINLE buy 5 M 7 Not Provided 08.08.2011
Citic Securities Co., Ltd SIMON YEUNG not rated #N/A N/A M #N/A N/A Not Provided 06.05.2011
China International Capital Corp WU HUIMIN accumulate 4 M 10 12 month 25.04.2011
Holdings By:
CSR Corp Ltd ee
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |
09.07.2013
China Railway Group Ltd. offers transportation systems construction services.
The Company builds railroads, roads, tunnels, and bridges.
Latest Fiscal Year: 12/2012
LTM as of: 01/yy
52-Week High (10.01.2013) 4.98
52-Week Low (03.09.2012) 2.83
Daily Volume
3.18
52-Week High % Change -36.14% Dividend Yield 2.07
52-Week Low % Change 12.37% Beta 1.65
% 52 Week Price Range High/Low 18.60% Equity Float 4'207.39
Shares Out 30.04.2013 4'207.4 Short Int -
63'777.88 1 Yr Total Return 2.33%
Total Debt 163'026.00 YTD Return -29.80%
Preferred Stock 0.0 Adjusted BETA 1.646
Minority Interest 10'199.0 Analyst Recs 27
Cash and Equivalents 67'943.00 Consensus Rating 3.963
Enterprise Value 180'124.39
Average Volume 5 Day 16'432'930
390 HK EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 15'689'010
390 HK EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 16'485'380
LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 31.12.2010 31.12.2011 31.12.2012 01/yy 01/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3
227'245.5 334'045.0 456'162.0 442'216.0 465'625.0 - - 517'360.7 557'526.0 143'172.0 -
0.55x 0.43x 0.29x 0.30x 0.37x - - 0.29x 0.27x - -
10'036.8 12'946.0 15'702.0 18'977.0 20'070.0 - - 21'728.4 23'379.8 - -
12.52x 11.00x 8.38x 6.90x 8.60x - - 8.29x 7.70x - -
1'115.2 6'875.0 7'398.0 6'690.0 7'354.0 - - 8'201.9 9'026.3 1'770.0 -
94.59x 16.47x 13.71x 6.28x 10.56x - - 6.53x 5.93x - -
EBITDA 20'070.00 Long-Term Rating Date 23.01.2013
EBIT 13'885.00 Long-Term Rating BBB+
Operating Margin 2.98% Long-Term Outlook STABLE
Pretax Margin 2.38% Short-Term Rating Date -
Return on Assets 1.44% Short-Term Rating -
Return on Common Equity 9.80%
Return on Capital 5.34% EBITDA/Interest Exp. 2.03
Asset Turnover 0.91% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 1.23
Net Debt/EBITDA 4.74
Gross Margin 7.6% Total Debt/EBITDA 8.12
EBITDA Margin 4.3%
EBIT Margin 3.0% Total Debt/Equity 208.5%
Net Income Margin 1.6% Total Debt/Capital 64.8%
Asset Turnover 0.91
Current Ratio 1.19 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 9.58
Quick Ratio 0.48 Accounts receivable turnover-days 81.09
Debt to Assets 29.61% Inventory Days 148.82
Tot Debt to Common Equity 208.49% Accounts Payable Turnover Day 130.28
Accounts Receivable Turnover 4.51 Cash Conversion Cycle 99.63
Inventory Turnover 2.46
Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings
Credit Ratios
Margin Analysis
Reference
Structure
Net Income
P/E
Market Capitalization
Average Daily Trading Volume
Relative Stock Price Performance
Total Revenue
TEV/Revenue
EBITDA
TEV/EBITDA
Fiscal Year Ended
China Railway Group LtdPrice/Volume
Valuation Analysis
6'819'900.00
Current Price (7/dd/yy) Market Data
!
-
.
0
1
2
3
i--- C--- i--- f--- f--- C--- m--- l--- j--- M--- f--. R--. ! 8
2! ! 8
-!! ! 8
-2! ! 8
.!! ! 8
.2! ! 8
0!! ! 8
0.0
50'000.0
100'000.0
150'000.0
200'000.0
250'000.0
300'000.0
350'000.0
400'000.0
450'000.0
500'000.0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
! !!
-! !!
.! !!
0! !!
1! !!
2! !!
3! !!
4! !!
5! !!
6! !!
-!! !!
!1 !- .!!5 !1 !4 .!!5 !1 !- .!!6 !1 !4 .!!6 !1 !- .!-! !1 !4 .!-! !1 !- .!-- !1 !4 .!-- !1 !- .!-.
FReTn/CTrThoT/PolhirTlAlcST/ !Rna /eis FReTn/CTrThoT/PolhirTlAlcST/ !Rna /eis
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |
09.07.2013
Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type
SOCIAL SECURITY FUND n/a Co File 382'490'000 9.09 - 31.12.2010 Pension Fund (ERISA)
JP MORGAN CHASE & CO n/a EXCH 209'008'317 4.97 (1'825'000) 31.03.2010 Investment Advisor
VANGUARD GROUP INC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 145'322'772 3.45 391'000 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK INC n/a EXCH 143'991'204 3.42 (165'723'000) 16.09.2011 Investment Advisor
LEHMAN BROTHERS FINA n/a Co File 123'652'010 2.94 - 31.12.2010 Unclassified
LEHMAN BROTHERS INTE n/a Short (67'870'550) -1.61 - 30.06.2010 Bank
FIDELITY MANAGEMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 63'986'884 1.52 2'187'090 31.01.2012 Investment Advisor
LEHMAN BROTHERS INTE n/a Co File 59'870'550 1.42 - 31.12.2010 Bank
BLACKROCK FUND ADVIS Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 45'860'000 1.09 38'000 08.03.2012 Investment Advisor
JP MORGAN ASSET MGMT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 38'240'000 0.91 - 14.01.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
BANK OF NEW YORK MEL Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 36'774'000 0.87 (3'004'000) 09.03.2012 Investment Advisor
LEHMAN BROTHERS HOLD n/a Short (26'551'000) -0.63 - 30.06.2010 Corporation
LEHMAN BROTHERS HOLD n/a Co File 26'551'000 0.63 - 31.12.2010 Corporation
BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 16'289'000 0.39 (1'205'000) 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK INC n/a Short (12'803'741) -0.3 5'014'000 16.09.2011 Investment Advisor
STATE STREET CORP Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 8'824'000 0.21 - 12.03.2012 Investment Advisor
ROBECO INVESTOR SERV Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 8'250'000 0.2 - 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
PRINCIPAL LIFE INSUR PRINCIPAL LIFE INSUR Sch-D 8'238'000 0.2 8'238'000 30.09.2011 Insurance Company
UNITED SERVICES AUTO Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 6'872'000 0.16 - 30.11.2011 Investment Advisor
NISSAY ASSET MANAGEM Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 5'012'000 0.12 - 21.04.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date
Standard Chartered BEN HARTWRIGHT in-line 3 M 3 12 month 12.03.2012
Jefferies JULIAN BU underperform 1 M 2 12 month 12.03.2012
Morgan Stanley KEVIN LUO Underwt/Attractive 1 D 3 12 month 07.03.2012
Deutsche Bank PHYLLIS WANG hold 3 D 3 12 month 27.02.2012
SinoPac VIVIAN LIU neutral 3 M 3 12 month 23.02.2012
JPMorgan KAREN LI overweight 5 U 4 12 month 14.02.2012
EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE sell 1 N #N/A N/A Not Provided 06.01.2012
HSBC ANDERSON CHOW underweight 1 M 2 Not Provided 30.12.2011
Masterlink Securities JAMES CHUNG hold 3 M 3 Not Provided 27.12.2011
Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. EDWIN LEE hold 3 M 3 Not Provided 22.12.2011
Citi ZHEN NI sell 1 D 2 Not Provided 03.11.2011
Credit Suisse INGRID WEI outperform 5 U 4 Not Provided 02.11.2011
Bank of China International LI PAN hold 3 M 3 Not Provided 31.10.2011
DBS Vickers RACHEL MIU hold 3 M 3 12 month 31.10.2011
Guotai Junan GARY WONG neutral 3 M 2 Not Provided 09.09.2011
Capital Securities Corp TEAM COVERAGE hold 3 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 31.08.2011
China International Capital Corp WU HUIMIN hold 3 M 5 12 month 03.05.2011
CCB International Securities Ltd ELIZA LIU neutral 3 M 8 Not Provided 10.12.2010
UOB Kay Hian MARK PO buy 5 M 7 Not Provided 06.09.2010
Citic Securities Co., Ltd TEAM COVERAGE buy 5 N #N/A N/A Not Provided 08.07.2010
Holdings By:
China Railway Group Ltd ee
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |
09.07.2013
China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co., Ltd. researches, designs,
develops, manufactures and distributes a range of mechanical transmission
equipment used in the wind power generation, marine, vessels, rail transport,
aerospace, metallurgy, petrochemicals, construction and mining industries.
Latest Fiscal Year: 12/2012
LTM as of: 01/yy
52-Week High (28.05.2013) 4.56
52-Week Low (31.07.2012) 2.07
Daily Volume
3.25
52-Week High % Change -28.73% Dividend Yield 0.00
52-Week Low % Change 57.00% Beta 1.61
% 52 Week Price Range High/Low 49.40% Equity Float 948.99
Shares Out 31.12.2012 1'362.7 Short Int -
4'428.92 1 Yr Total Return 33.20%
Total Debt 9'186.94 YTD Return 7.62%
Preferred Stock 0.0 Adjusted BETA 1.610
Minority Interest 205.1 Analyst Recs 16
Cash and Equivalents 2'404.50 Consensus Rating 3.188
Enterprise Value 10'487.36
Average Volume 5 Day 5'046'742
658 HK EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 10'358'740
658 HK EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 11'104'290
LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 31.12.2010 31.12.2011 31.12.2012 01/yy 01/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y - -
3'439.2 5'647.0 7'392.6 7'120.7 6'368.8 - - 7'060.9 7'709.3 - -
3.35x 4.11x 2.33x 1.39x 1.62x - - 1.26x 1.10x - -
692.0 1'609.5 1'943.8 1'463.3 1'291.1 - - 1'460.8 1'658.9 - -
16.65x 14.42x 8.88x 6.78x 7.98x - - 7.18x 6.32x - -
692.4 966.4 1'383.6 557.0 138.4 - - 335.3 449.8 - -
14.75x 21.40x 9.45x 6.78x 23.82x - - 11.02x 8.21x - -
EBITDA 1'291.10 Long-Term Rating Date -
EBIT 703.21 Long-Term Rating -
Operating Margin 11.04% Long-Term Outlook -
Pretax Margin 3.26% Short-Term Rating Date -
Return on Assets 0.72% Short-Term Rating -
Return on Common Equity 1.84%
Return on Capital 2.76% EBITDA/Interest Exp. 2.27
Asset Turnover 0.33% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. -0.48
Net Debt/EBITDA 5.25
Gross Margin 24.4% Total Debt/EBITDA 7.12
EBITDA Margin 20.3%
EBIT Margin 11.0% Total Debt/Equity 121.9%
Net Income Margin 2.2% Total Debt/Capital 54.3%
Asset Turnover 0.33
Current Ratio 1.02 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 0.95
Quick Ratio 0.60 Accounts receivable turnover-days 245.55
Debt to Assets 46.21% Inventory Days 136.03
Tot Debt to Common Equity 121.85% Accounts Payable Turnover Day 103.28
Accounts Receivable Turnover 1.49 Cash Conversion Cycle 278.31
Inventory Turnover 2.69
Fiscal Year Ended
China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co LtdPrice/Volume
Valuation Analysis
2'855'500.00
Current Price (7/dd/yy) Market Data
Net Income
P/E
Market Capitalization
Average Daily Trading Volume
Relative Stock Price Performance
Total Revenue
TEV/Revenue
EBITDA
TEV/EBITDA
Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings
Credit Ratios
Margin Analysis
Reference
Structure
!
.
1
3
5
-!
-.
-1
i--- C--- i--- f--- f--- C--- m--- l--- j--- M--- f--. R--. ! 8-! ! 8.! ! 80! ! 81! ! 82! ! 83! ! 84! ! 85! ! 86! ! 8-!! ! 8
0.0
1'000.0
2'000.0
3'000.0
4'000.0
5'000.0
6'000.0
7'000.0
8'000.0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
! !!
.! !!
1! !!
3! !!
5! !!
-!! !!
-.! !!
-1! !!
!1 !- .!!5 !1 !4 .!!5 !1 !- .!!6 !1 !4 .!!6 !1 !- .!-! !1 !4 .!-! !1 !- .!-- !1 !4 .!-- !1 !- .!-.
FReTn/CTrThoT/PolhirTlAlcST/ !Rna /eis FReTn/CTrThoT/PolhirTlAlcST/ !Rna /eis
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |
09.07.2013
Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type
FORTUNE APEX LTD n/a EXCH 211'974'024 15.55 - 06.01.2012 Unclassified
CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN n/a EXCH 123'643'900 9.07 1'310'000 09.02.2012 Investment Advisor
NORGES BANK n/a EXCH 67'519'402 4.95 - 27.05.2011 Government
JP MORGAN CHASE & CO n/a EXCH 66'283'999 4.86 (3'264'000) 19.01.2012 Investment Advisor
UBS AG n/a EXCH 63'220'877 4.64 - 03.03.2011 Investment Advisor
DEUTSCHE BANK AG n/a EXCH 61'823'709 4.54 - 25.11.2011 Investment Advisor
MORGAN STANLEY n/a EXCH 60'692'886 4.45 (11'870'110) 12.11.2010 Investment Advisor
SCHRODER INVESTMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 39'023'000 2.86 2'165'000 30.06.2011 Investment Advisor
CAPITAL INTERNATIONA Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 34'854'000 2.56 - 30.11.2011 Investment Advisor
INVESCO LTD Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 28'957'862 2.12 1'181'000 09.03.2012 Investment Advisor
DEUTSCHE BANK AG n/a Short (20'657'330) -1.52 - 25.11.2011 Investment Advisor
MORGAN STANLEY n/a Short (19'715'116) -1.45 - 12.11.2010 Investment Advisor
FIDELITY INTERNATION Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 17'763'280 1.3 (20'296'259) 31.10.2011 Investment Advisor
JP MORGAN CHASE & CO n/a Short (8'907'299) -0.65 - 19.01.2012 Investment Advisor
VANGUARD GROUP INC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 8'229'815 0.6 (19'656'280) 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
CHINA SOUTHERN FUND Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 6'600'000 0.48 5'350'000 30.06.2011 Investment Advisor
SCHRODER KOREA LTD Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 5'709'000 0.42 (1'571'000) 30.09.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
UBS AG n/a Short (5'695'900) -0.42 - 03.03.2011 Investment Advisor
CAPITAL INTERNATIONA Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'062'000 0.3 1'295'000 30.11.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
FALCON FUND MANAGEME Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 3'930'000 0.29 101'000 31.03.2011 Investment Advisor
Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date
Nomura IVAN LEE neutral 3 M 5 Not Provided 13.03.2012
Deutsche Bank MICHAEL TONG buy 5 M 7 12 month 12.03.2012
Piper Jaffray CHI MAN WONG neutral 3 M 5 12 month 12.03.2012
EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE hold 3 U #N/A N/A Not Provided 05.03.2012
SWS Research Co Ltd TITUS WU neutral 3 M 6 Not Provided 17.02.2012
Jefferies JOSEPH FONG hold 3 M 4 12 month 02.02.2012
Citi TIMOTHY LAM neutral 3 M 4 Not Provided 02.02.2012
CCB International Securities Ltd ALAN LAU outperform 5 M 6 Not Provided 02.02.2012
Yuanta Securities Investment ConsultingMIN LI buy 5 M 5 Not Provided 18.01.2012
Macquarie PATRICK DAI outperform 5 M 5 12 month 11.01.2012
Guotai Junan SIMON JIANG neutral 3 D 4 Not Provided 31.12.2011
Barclays Capital GUO SHOU equalwt/positive 3 N 5 Not Provided 29.11.2011
KGI Securities JERRY WENG neutral 3 M 11 12 month 04.11.2011
Standard Chartered LI EVAN in-line 3 D 4 12 month 20.10.2011
JPMorgan BORIS KAN neutral 3 M 3 3 month 06.10.2011
Goldman Sachs FRANKLIN CHOW neutral/neutral 3 M 4 12 month 05.10.2011
Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. DAVE DAI hold 3 M 5 Not Provided 21.09.2011
OSK (Asia) Securities LOREN TAI neutral 3 M 5 12 month 09.09.2011
Ji Asia FELIX FOK buy 5 M 9 12 month 07.09.2011
China International Capital Corp CHEN HUA hold 3 M 7 12 month 02.09.2011
Credit Suisse YANG SONG neutral 3 M 10 Not Provided 01.09.2011
DBS Vickers DENNIS LAM hold 3 M 5 12 month 01.09.2011
CIMB KEITH LI neutral 3 M 5 12 month 01.09.2011
SinoPac VIVIEN CHAN neutral 3 M 5 12 month 01.09.2011
BOCOM International Holdings GEORGE YIN long-term buy 5 N 17 12 month 31.01.2011
BNP Paribas Equity Research TINA LI buy 5 M 19 12 month 18.11.2010
Kingsway SW Securities FRANCO HONG not rated #N/A N/A M #N/A N/A Not Provided 26.01.2010
Holdings By:
China High Speed Transmission Equipment Group Co Ltd ee
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |
09.07.2013
China Railway Construction Corporation Ltd is a full service construction
company. The Company's services include construction operations, survey design
and consulting. China Railway also has manufacturing operations, real estate
operations, and logistics. The Company specializes in railway construction.
Latest Fiscal Year: 12/2012
LTM as of: 09/yy
52-Week High (15.01.2013) 9.54
52-Week Low (31.08.2012) 5.71
Daily Volume
6.01
52-Week High % Change -37.00% Dividend Yield -
52-Week Low % Change 5.25% Beta 1.57
% 52 Week Price Range High/Low 9.14% Equity Float 1'887.54
Shares Out 30.04.2013 2'076.3 Short Int -
64'160.37 1 Yr Total Return -3.07%
Total Debt 107'283.34 YTD Return -31.78%
Preferred Stock 0.0 Adjusted BETA 1.571
Minority Interest 1'365.6 Analyst Recs 26
Cash and Equivalents 105'817.06 Consensus Rating 4.308
Enterprise Value 70'467.65
Average Volume 5 Day 8'361'870
1186 HK EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 8'631'674
1186 HK EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 10'327'690
LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 31.12.2010 31.12.2011 31.12.2012 09/yy 09/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3
219'410.2 344'976.2 456'187.2 443'319.3 469'871.7 0.0 109'391.7 525'740.3 554'725.6 141'835.0 -
0.42x 0.22x 0.18x 0.15x 0.17x #DIV/0! 0.62x 0.13x 0.12x - -
9'883.9 13'754.6 14'427.2 21'822.9 23'688.9 0.0 0.0 25'369.1 27'274.6 - -
9.43x 5.41x 5.59x 3.08x 3.28x 0.00x 0.00x 2.78x 2.58x - -
3'643.8 6'599.1 4'246.2 7'854.3 8'478.9 0.0 1'350.6 9'439.4 10'235.9 2'372.0 -
31.76x 16.38x 23.34x 5.42x 10.27x 0.00x 0.00x 6.20x 5.71x - -
EBITDA 23'688.89 Long-Term Rating Date 03.05.2013
EBIT 13'999.85 Long-Term Rating A-
Operating Margin 2.98% Long-Term Outlook STABLE
Pretax Margin 2.32% Short-Term Rating Date -
Return on Assets 1.88% Short-Term Rating -
Return on Common Equity 12.40%
Return on Capital 7.09% EBITDA/Interest Exp. 4.06
Asset Turnover 1.04% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 2.26
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.06
Gross Margin 7.8% Total Debt/EBITDA 4.53
EBITDA Margin 5.0%
EBIT Margin 3.0% Total Debt/Equity 149.1%
Net Income Margin 1.8% Total Debt/Capital 59.4%
Asset Turnover 1.04
Current Ratio 1.13 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 10.29
Quick Ratio 0.49 Accounts receivable turnover-days 54.11
Debt to Assets 22.32% Inventory Days 135.86
Tot Debt to Common Equity 149.08% Accounts Payable Turnover Day 124.19
Accounts Receivable Turnover 6.76 Cash Conversion Cycle 65.78
Inventory Turnover 2.69
Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings
Credit Ratios
Margin Analysis
Reference
Structure
Net Income
P/E
Market Capitalization
Average Daily Trading Volume
Relative Stock Price Performance
Total Revenue
TEV/Revenue
EBITDA
TEV/EBITDA
Fiscal Year Ended
China Railway Construction Corp LtdPrice/Volume
Valuation Analysis
4'095'294.00
Current Price (7/dd/yy) Market Data
!-.0123456
i--- C--- i--- f--- f--- C--- m--- l--- j--- M--- f--. R--. ! 8
-! ! 8
.! ! 8
0! ! 8
1! ! 8
2! ! 8
3! ! 8
4! ! 8
5! ! 8
0.0
50'000.0
100'000.0
150'000.0
200'000.0
250'000.0
300'000.0
350'000.0
400'000.0
450'000.0
500'000.0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010! !!
! .!
! 1!
! 3!
! 5!
- !!
- .!
FReTn/CTrThoT/PolhirTlAlcST/ !Rna /eis FReTn/CTrThoT/PolhirTlAlcST/ !Rna /eis
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |
09.07.2013
Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type
SOCIAL SECURITY FUND n/a Co File 188'754'500 9.09 - 30.06.2010 Pension Fund (ERISA)
BAILLIE GIFFORD AND n/a EXCH 105'064'500 5.06 - 29.08.2011 Investment Advisor
JP MORGAN CHASE & CO n/a EXCH 103'151'016 4.97 - 21.12.2011 Investment Advisor
HSBC GLOBAL ASSET MA n/a EXCH 102'659'382 4.94 - 06.03.2012 Investment Advisor
CAPITAL GROUP COMPAN n/a EXCH 102'088'800 4.92 - 08.06.2011 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK INC n/a EXCH 101'780'665 4.9 (6'267'645) 30.08.2011 Investment Advisor
VANGUARD GROUP INC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 71'342'748 3.44 (269'500) 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
T ROWE PRICE ASSOCIA Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 32'823'000 1.58 (35'995'000) 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
GUARDIAN INVESTOR SE Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 27'343'500 1.32 (2'763'500) 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK FUND ADVIS Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 23'794'500 1.15 17'500 08.03.2012 Investment Advisor
BANK OF NEW YORK MEL Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 22'597'000 1.09 (1'661'500) 09.03.2012 Investment Advisor
CAPITAL WORLD INVEST Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 18'817'000 0.91 - 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
JP MORGAN ASSET MGMT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 18'778'500 0.9 - 14.01.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
LANDESBANK BERLIN IN Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 15'952'500 0.77 - 31.01.2012 Mutual Fund Manager
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 11'395'000 0.55 5'388'500 31.01.2012 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK INC n/a Short (7'667'369) -0.37 5'595'145 30.08.2011 Investment Advisor
RCM ASIA PACIFIC LIM Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 6'582'600 0.32 - 31.10.2011 Investment Advisor
BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 6'351'500 0.31 (1'078'000) 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
SWEDBANK ROBUR FONDE Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'762'000 0.23 1'500'000 30.09.2011 Investment Advisor
WELLS FARGO BANK NAT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'540'260 0.22 847 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date
Standard Chartered BEN HARTWRIGHT in-line 3 M 6 12 month 12.03.2012
Jefferies JULIAN BU underperform 1 M 5 12 month 12.03.2012
Morgan Stanley KEVIN LUO Overwt/Attractive 5 M 7 12 month 07.03.2012
Deutsche Bank PHYLLIS WANG hold 3 D 6 12 month 27.02.2012
SinoPac VIVIAN LIU neutral 3 M 6 12 month 23.02.2012
JPMorgan KAREN LI overweight 5 U 7 12 month 14.02.2012
Capital Securities Corp TEAM COVERAGE hold 3 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 12.01.2012
EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE buy 5 N #N/A N/A Not Provided 06.01.2012
HSBC ANDERSON CHOW underweight 1 M 4 Not Provided 30.12.2011
Masterlink Securities JAMES CHUNG hold 3 M 5 Not Provided 27.12.2011
Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. EDWIN LEE hold 3 M 5 Not Provided 22.12.2011
Guotai Junan GARY WONG accumulate 4 M 6 Not Provided 11.11.2011
Citi ZHEN NI sell 1 D 3 Not Provided 03.11.2011
Credit Suisse INGRID WEI outperform 5 U 6 Not Provided 02.11.2011
DBS Vickers RACHEL MIU hold 3 M 6 12 month 31.10.2011
Bank of China International LI PAN hold 3 M 5 Not Provided 31.08.2011
China International Capital Corp WU HUIMIN hold 3 M 9 12 month 29.04.2011
CCB International Securities Ltd ELIZA LIU neutral 3 D 10 Not Provided 10.12.2010
UOB Kay Hian MARK PO buy 5 M 12 Not Provided 06.09.2010
Citic Securities Co., Ltd TEAM COVERAGE buy 5 N #N/A N/A Not Provided 08.07.2010
Holdings By:
China Railway Construction Corp Ltd ee
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |
09.07.2013
Guangshen Railway Company Limited provides railroad passenger, freight
transportation, railway facilities, and technical services. The Company also
sells food, beverages and merchandise on aboard and in train stations.
Latest Fiscal Year: 12/2012
LTM as of: 09/yy
52-Week High (11.03.2013) 4.23
52-Week Low (06.09.2012) 2.16
Daily Volume
3.04
52-Week High % Change -28.13% Dividend Yield 3.33
52-Week Low % Change 40.74% Beta 0.75
% 52 Week Price Range High/Low 45.89% Equity Float 1'431.30
Shares Out 31.03.2013 1'431.3 Short Int -
20'659.50 1 Yr Total Return 28.75%
Total Debt 3'485.47 YTD Return 1.58%
Preferred Stock 0.0 Adjusted BETA 0.747
Minority Interest 50.8 Analyst Recs 13
Cash and Equivalents 4'849.01 Consensus Rating 3.923
Enterprise Value 14'777.32
Average Volume 5 Day 2'974'620
525 HK EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 3'269'034
525 HK EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 4'082'772
LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 31.12.2010 31.12.2011 31.12.2012 09/yy 09/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3
11'414.8 12'385.8 13'484.4 14'690.8 15'091.9 0.0 3'932.9 16'135.0 17'079.9 - -
2.36x 2.65x 1.74x 1.47x 1.08x #DIV/0! 0.00x 1.08x 0.96x - -
2'916.9 3'256.3 3'593.4 3'980.0 3'264.0 0.0 0.0 3'671.2 3'914.2 - -
9.24x 10.09x 6.53x 5.42x 4.97x 0.00x 0.00x 4.03x 3.78x - -
1'211.8 1'342.5 1'486.1 1'804.1 1'318.9 0.0 576.3 1'522.9 1'730.1 - -
14.82x 14.69x 12.35x 8.92x 13.04x 0.00x 0.00x 11.28x 9.77x - -
EBITDA 3'263.99 Long-Term Rating Date -
EBIT 1'858.36 Long-Term Rating -
Operating Margin 12.31% Long-Term Outlook -
Pretax Margin 11.65% Short-Term Rating Date -
Return on Assets 4.05% Short-Term Rating -
Return on Common Equity 5.14%
Return on Capital 4.96% EBITDA/Interest Exp. 18.70
Asset Turnover 0.46% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 8.18
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.42
Gross Margin - Total Debt/EBITDA 1.07
EBITDA Margin 21.6%
EBIT Margin 12.3% Total Debt/Equity 13.4%
Net Income Margin 8.7% Total Debt/Capital 11.8%
Asset Turnover 0.46
Current Ratio 2.02 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 0.59
Quick Ratio 1.84 Accounts receivable turnover-days 19.57
Debt to Assets 10.60% Inventory Days -
Tot Debt to Common Equity 13.43% Accounts Payable Turnover Day -
Accounts Receivable Turnover 18.70 Cash Conversion Cycle -
Inventory Turnover -
Fiscal Year Ended
Guangshen Railway Co LtdPrice/Volume
Valuation Analysis
2'428'000.00
Current Price (7/dd/yy) Market Data
Net Income
P/E
Market Capitalization
Average Daily Trading Volume
Relative Stock Price Performance
Total Revenue
TEV/Revenue
EBITDA
TEV/EBITDA
Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings
Credit Ratios
Margin Analysis
Reference
Structure
!
-
-
.
.
0
0
1
1
i--- C--- i--- f--- f--- C--- m--- l--- j--- M--- f--. R--. ! 82 ! 8-! ! 8-2 ! 8.! ! 8.2 ! 80! ! 802 ! 81! ! 812 ! 82! ! 8
0.0
2'000.0
4'000.0
6'000.0
8'000.0
10'000.0
12'000.0
14'000.0
16'000.0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010! !!
! .!
! 1!
! 3!
! 5!
- !!
- .!
FReTn/CTrThoT/PolhirTlAlcST/ !Rna /eis FReTn/CTrThoT/PolhirTlAlcST/ !Rna /eis
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |
09.07.2013
Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type
BANK OF NEW YORK MEL n/a EXCH 89'237'571 6.23 - 13.07.2011 Investment Advisor
FIDELITY INTERNATION n/a EXCH 86'646'000 6.05 - 03.02.2012 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK INC n/a EXCH 86'441'890 6.04 - 20.01.2012 Investment Advisor
HILLHOUSE CAPITAL MA n/a EXCH 86'286'000 6.03 - 17.08.2011 Investment Advisor
GAOLING FUND LP n/a EXCH 86'026'000 6.01 - 22.08.2011 Private Equity
JP MORGAN CHASE & CO n/a EXCH 70'788'349 4.95 - 01.06.2010 Investment Advisor
CREDIT SUISSE n/a Short (38'882'139) -2.72 - 20.01.2012 Investment Advisor
CREDIT SUISSE n/a EXCH 32'832'405 2.29 - 20.01.2012 Investment Advisor
JP MORGAN ASSET MGMT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 19'356'000 1.35 - 14.01.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
DEUTSCHE BANK AG n/a EXCH 15'506'959 1.08 - 30.08.2011 Investment Advisor
HALBIS CAPITAL MGMT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 12'498'000 0.87 5'598'000 20.01.2011 Hedge Fund Manager
BLACKROCK INVESTMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 11'243'800 0.79 (152'300) 30.11.2011 Investment Advisor
DELAWARE MANAGEMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 11'000'000 0.77 - 31.01.2012 Investment Advisor
SUMITOMO MITSUI ASSE Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 7'120'000 0.5 - 30.09.2012 Investment Advisor
CHINA SOUTHERN FUND Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 6'600'000 0.46 6'600'000 30.06.2011 Investment Advisor
SWISSCANTO FONDSLEIT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 5'204'000 0.36 (500'000) 30.12.2011 Investment Advisor
SWISSCANTO FONDSLEIT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 5'000'000 0.35 - 30.12.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'262'000 0.3 (1'080'000) 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
CLAYMORE ADVISORS LL Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'056'000 0.28 - 09.03.2012 Investment Advisor
STATE STREET CORP Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'016'000 0.28 - 09.03.2012 Investment Advisor
Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date
BOCOM International Holdings GEOFFREY CHENG buy 5 M 3 12 month 13.02.2012
Morgan Stanley EDWARD XU Overwt/Attractive 5 M 4 12 month 02.02.2012
CLSA Asia Pacific Markets KUAN-YU OH sell 1 M 2 Not Provided 09.01.2012
China International Capital Corp YANG XIN buy 5 M 4 12 month 27.12.2011
SWS Research Co Ltd LEO FAN outperform 5 M 4 Not Provided 23.12.2011
EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE buy 5 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 30.11.2011
Goldman Sachs RONALD KEUNG Buy/Neutral 5 M 4 12 month 25.10.2011
Citi ZHEN NI neutral 3 M 3 Not Provided 25.10.2011
Bank of China International DU JIANPING buy 5 M 4 Not Provided 22.08.2011
Citic Securities Co., Ltd SIMON YEUNG buy 5 N 4 6 month 08.07.2011
Holdings By:
Guangshen Railway Co Ltd ee
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |
09.07.2013
Zhuzhou CSR Times Electric Co., Ltd. provides and integrates train-borne
electrical systems for the PRC Railway industry. The Company also develops,
manufactures, and sells train power converters, auxiliary power supply
equipment and control systems for trains for urban rail systems
Latest Fiscal Year: 12/2012
LTM as of: 09/yy
52-Week High (02.01.2013) 30.25
52-Week Low (26.07.2012) 16.38
Daily Volume
16.5
52-Week High % Change -45.45% Dividend Yield 0.27
52-Week Low % Change 0.73% Beta 1.71
% 52 Week Price Range High/Low 8.07% Equity Float 456.11
Shares Out 30.04.2013 456.1 Short Int -
17'890.22 1 Yr Total Return -12.20%
Total Debt 742.11 YTD Return -41.32%
Preferred Stock 0.0 Adjusted BETA 1.715
Minority Interest 134.7 Analyst Recs 23
Cash and Equivalents 2'318.92 Consensus Rating 3.478
Enterprise Value 12'695.05
Average Volume 5 Day 2'761'258
3898 HK EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 2'599'487
3898 HK EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 2'467'115
LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 31.12.2010 31.12.2011 31.12.2012 09/yy 09/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3
2'119.3 3'325.6 5'831.3 7'079.1 7'154.0 4'398.4 7'169.4 7'999.9 9'362.2 - -
2.43x 4.34x 4.68x 1.92x 3.30x 5.28x 12.55x 1.45x 1.16x - -
452.8 685.0 1'266.7 1'402.0 1'317.9 0.0 0.0 1'522.3 1'782.2 - -
11.40x 21.06x 21.56x 9.69x 17.90x 0.00x 0.00x 8.34x 7.12x - -
422.3 530.9 852.1 1'184.4 1'221.1 668.3 1'181.3 1'261.5 1'482.6 - -
14.11x 28.57x 32.78x 12.67x 20.43x 0.00x 9.81x 11.18x 9.39x - -
EBITDA 1'317.91 Long-Term Rating Date -
EBIT 1'171.40 Long-Term Rating -
Operating Margin 16.37% Long-Term Outlook -
Pretax Margin 19.58% Short-Term Rating Date -
Return on Assets 13.34% Short-Term Rating -
Return on Common Equity 21.25%
Return on Capital 18.82% EBITDA/Interest Exp. 82.61
Asset Turnover 0.78% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. 57.33
Net Debt/EBITDA -1.20
Gross Margin 33.1% Total Debt/EBITDA 0.56
EBITDA Margin 18.4%
EBIT Margin 16.4% Total Debt/Equity 12.0%
Net Income Margin 17.1% Total Debt/Capital 10.5%
Asset Turnover 0.78
Current Ratio 2.38 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 4.07
Quick Ratio 1.96 Accounts receivable turnover-days 148.33
Debt to Assets 7.69% Inventory Days 106.22
Tot Debt to Common Equity 12.01% Accounts Payable Turnover Day 94.36
Accounts Receivable Turnover 2.47 Cash Conversion Cycle 160.19
Inventory Turnover 3.45
Fiscal Year Ended
Zhuzhou CSR Times Electric Co LtdPrice/Volume
Valuation Analysis
7'484'911.00
Current Price (7/dd/yy) Market Data
Net Income
P/E
Market Capitalization
Average Daily Trading Volume
Relative Stock Price Performance
Total Revenue
TEV/Revenue
EBITDA
TEV/EBITDA
Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings
Credit Ratios
Margin Analysis
Reference
Structure
!
2
-!
-2
.!
.2
0!
02
i--- C--- i--- f--- f--- C--- m--- l--- j--- M--- f--. R--. ! 8
2 ! 8
-! ! 8
-2 ! 8
.! ! 8
.2 ! 8
0! ! 8
02 ! 8
0.0
1'000.0
2'000.0
3'000.0
4'000.0
5'000.0
6'000.0
7'000.0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010! !!
! .!
! 1!
! 3!
! 5!
- !!
- .!
FReTn/CTrThoT/PolhirTlAlcST/ !Rna /eis FReTn/CTrThoT/PolhirTlAlcST/ !Rna /eis
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |
09.07.2013
Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type
JP MORGAN CHASE & CO n/a EXCH 45'120'224 9.89 - 13.02.2012 Investment Advisor
FIDELITY INTERNATION n/a EXCH 36'603'000 8.03 - 29.02.2012 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK INC #N/A N/A EXCH 30'235'472 6.63 780'307 06.03.2012 Investment Advisor
ALLIANZ SE n/a Co File 27'207'700 5.97 - 31.12.2010 Insurance Company
MORGAN STANLEY #N/A N/A EXCH 24'472'313 5.37 1'114'943 07.03.2012 Investment Advisor
MORGAN STANLEY n/a Short (24'420'473) -5.35 (1'218'465) 07.03.2012 Investment Advisor
FORTIS INVESTMENT MA n/a Co File 23'544'000 5.16 - 31.12.2010 Mutual Fund Manager
BNP PARIBAS ASSET MG n/a EXCH 22'688'000 4.97 (205'000) 12.04.2010 Investment Advisor
VALUE PARTNERS LIMIT n/a EXCH 22'186'000 4.86 - 08.02.2012 Investment Advisor
ARTIO GLOBAL MANAGEM n/a EXCH 22'138'000 4.85 - 25.11.2011 Investment Advisor
DEUTSCHE BANK AG n/a EXCH 21'909'138 4.8 - 01.03.2012 Investment Advisor
HAMON INVESTMENT GRO n/a EXCH 21'800'000 4.78 - 05.11.2010 Investment Advisor
GE ASSET MANAGEMENT n/a EXCH 21'622'630 4.74 - 06.02.2012 Investment Advisor
JO HAMBRO CAPITAL MA n/a EXCH 18'778'121 4.12 - 19.09.2011 Investment Advisor
DEUTSCHE BANK AG n/a Short (16'749'357) -3.67 - 01.03.2012 Investment Advisor
VANGUARD GROUP INC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 16'577'939 3.63 149'000 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
MAPS INVESTMENT MANA Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 15'162'000 3.32 (740'000) 30.09.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
ALLIANZ GLOBAL INVES n/a EXCH 10'578'000 2.32 - 14.02.2012 Investment Advisor
SCHRODER INVESTMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 8'333'000 1.83 5'490'000 30.06.2011 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 8'096'000 1.78 395'000 08.03.2012 Investment Advisor
Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date
Standard Chartered BEN HARTWRIGHT outperform 5 M 23 12 month 12.03.2012
Jefferies JULIAN BU hold 3 M 16 12 month 12.03.2012
Macquarie SAIYI HE outperform 5 N 25 12 month 28.02.2012
Piper Jaffray ANDREW LEUNG overweight 5 M 22 12 month 27.02.2012
Haitong International Securities ZHANG WEN XIAN buy 5 M 24 12 month 20.02.2012
Citi PAUL GONG neutral 3 M 18 Not Provided 09.02.2012
SinoPac VIVIAN LIU buy 5 M 23 12 month 20.01.2012
BNP Paribas Equity Research TINA LI buy 5 M 28 12 month 19.01.2012
HSBC ANDERSON CHOW overweight 5 M 25 Not Provided 30.12.2011
SWS Research Co Ltd TITUS WU outperform 5 D 20 Not Provided 28.12.2011
Mizuho Securities OLE HUI buy 5 M 21 12 month 20.12.2011
Morgan Stanley KEVIN LUO Overwt/In-Line 5 M 25 12 month 07.12.2011
EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE buy 5 M #N/A N/A Not Provided 30.11.2011
UOB Kay Hian MARK PO buy 5 M 19 Not Provided 24.10.2011
Hua Tai Securities Co., Ltd YUNFENG FAN buy 5 N #N/A N/A Not Provided 20.10.2011
Deutsche Bank EUGENE YEOH buy 5 N 22 12 month 25.08.2011
First Shanghai Securities Ltd XIAOXIA CHEN hold 3 D 22 12 month 09.08.2011
Yuanta Securities Investment ConsultingMIN LI buy 5 M 29 Not Provided 08.08.2011
Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. EDWIN LEE outperform 5 M 27 Not Provided 04.08.2011
DBS Vickers RACHEL MIU not rated #N/A N/A N #N/A N/A Not Provided 07.01.2009
Holdings By:
Zhuzhou CSR Times Electric Co Ltd ee
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |
09.07.2013
China zhongwang Holdings limited is principally engaged in the production of
high precision, large-section and industrial aluminium extrusion products. The
Company's products are widely used in the transportation sector (including
railway passenger and cargo carriages, metropolitan rails, automobiles, heavy
trucks, vessels, aviation and aerospace, as well as machinery equipment.
Latest Fiscal Year: 12/2012
LTM as of: 09/yy
52-Week High (22.08.2012) 3.28
52-Week Low (25.06.2013) 2.15
Daily Volume
2.3
52-Week High % Change -29.88% Dividend Yield 0.00
52-Week Low % Change 6.98% Beta 0.91
% 52 Week Price Range High/Low 13.27% Equity Float 1'402.11
Shares Out 31.12.2012 5'406.3 Short Int -
12'434.50 1 Yr Total Return -21.50%
Total Debt 11'830.47 YTD Return -20.42%
Preferred Stock 0.0 Adjusted BETA 0.909
Minority Interest 0.0 Analyst Recs 2
Cash and Equivalents 7'890.14 Consensus Rating 4.000
Enterprise Value 13'766.26
Average Volume 5 Day 836'401
1333 HK EQUITY YTD Change - Average Volume 30 Day 1'816'575
1333 HK EQUITY YTD % CHANGE - Average Volume 3 Month 2'377'525
LTM-4Q LTM FY+1 FY+2 FQ+1 FQ+2
31.12.2008 31.12.2009 31.12.2010 31.12.2011 31.12.2012 09/yy 09/yy 12/13 Y 12/14 Y 06/13 Q2 09/13 Q3
11'264.4 13'852.7 10'521.9 10'305.7 13'497.2 12'113.1 8'542.1 - - - -
- 1.75x 1.02x 0.79x 1.22x 1.43x 2.14x - - - -
3'207.1 5'332.8 4'400.6 2'265.0 3'024.4 0.0 0.0 - - - -
- 4.55x 2.44x 3.61x 5.46x 0.00x 0.00x - - - -
1'910.4 3'528.8 2'595.9 1'105.0 1'806.8 3'329.2 702.7 - - - -
- 7.63x 7.65x 10.79x 7.04x 0.00x 17.04x - - - -
EBITDA 3'024.38 Long-Term Rating Date -
EBIT 2'569.56 Long-Term Rating -
Operating Margin 19.04% Long-Term Outlook -
Pretax Margin 17.36% Short-Term Rating Date -
Return on Assets 5.88% Short-Term Rating -
Return on Common Equity 10.89%
Return on Capital 7.86% EBITDA/Interest Exp. 5.53
Asset Turnover 0.44% (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. -8.38
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.30
Gross Margin 24.2% Total Debt/EBITDA 3.91
EBITDA Margin 22.4%
EBIT Margin 19.0% Total Debt/Equity 67.6%
Net Income Margin 13.4% Total Debt/Capital 40.3%
Asset Turnover 0.44
Current Ratio 1.21 Net Fixed Asset Turnover 1.51
Quick Ratio 0.81 Accounts receivable turnover-days 17.42
Debt to Assets 35.16% Inventory Days 115.63
Tot Debt to Common Equity 67.57% Accounts Payable Turnover Day 93.13
Accounts Receivable Turnover 21.01 Cash Conversion Cycle 39.92
Inventory Turnover 3.17
Profitability S&P Issuer Ratings
Credit Ratios
Margin Analysis
Reference
Structure
Net Income
P/E
Market Capitalization
Average Daily Trading Volume
Relative Stock Price Performance
Total Revenue
TEV/Revenue
EBITDA
TEV/EBITDA
Fiscal Year Ended
China Zhongwang Holdings LtdPrice/Volume
Valuation Analysis
406'800.00
Current Price (7/dd/yy) Market Data
!--..00112
i--- C--- i--- f--- f--- C--- m--- l--- j--- M--- f--. R--. ! 82 ! 8-! ! 8-2 ! 8.! ! 8.2 ! 80! ! 802 ! 81! ! 812 ! 8
0.0
2'000.0
4'000.0
6'000.0
8'000.0
10'000.0
12'000.0
14'000.0
16'000.0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
! !!
- !!
. !!
0 !!
1 !!
2 !!
3 !!
4 !!
5 !!
!1 !- .!!5 !1 !4 .!!5 !1 !- .!!6 !1 !4 .!!6 !1 !- .!-! !1 !4 .!-! !1 !- .!-- !1 !4 .!-- !1 !- .!-.
FReTn/CTrThoT/PolhirTlAlcST/ !Rna /eis FReTn/CTrThoT/PolhirTlAlcST/ !Rna /eis
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |
09.07.2013
Holder Name Portfolio Name Source Amt Held % Out Latest Chg File Dt Inst Type
VANGUARD GROUP INC Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 58'015'302 1.07 (484'800) 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
PRUDENTIAL ASSET MAN Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 33'837'600 0.63 - 31.12.2010 Investment Advisor
SCHRODER INVESTMENT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 6'120'000 0.11 (311'600) 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADV Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 4'487'015 0.08 - 30.11.2011 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK FUND ADVIS Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 3'997'200 0.07 22'000 08.03.2012 Investment Advisor
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADV Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 3'419'579 0.06 - 31.08.2011 Investment Advisor
MANULIFE ASSET MANAG Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 3'017'400 0.06 - 30.04.2011 Investment Advisor
ROBECO FUND MANAGEME Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'892'400 0.05 - 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
ROBECO INVESTOR SERV Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'672'000 0.05 - 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
DEKA INTERNATIONAL S Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 2'500'000 0.05 350'000 30.09.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
CLAYMORE ADVISORS LL Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'772'000 0.03 - 09.03.2012 Investment Advisor
SKANDIA FONDER AB Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'442'800 0.03 - 30.09.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
BLACKROCK GROUP LIMI Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'283'600 0.02 (2'000) 08.03.2012 Investment Advisor
SANPAOLO IMI ASSET M Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'077'999 0.02 - 30.06.2011 Mutual Fund Manager
EATON VANCE MANAGEME Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 1'005'200 0.02 - 31.12.2011 Investment Advisor
VALIC CO I Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 958'800 0.02 958'800 30.11.2011 Investment Advisor
LOMBARD ODIER DARIER Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 842'000 0.02 - 30.12.2011 Investment Advisor
LEGAL & GENERAL GROU Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 801'682 0.01 - 31.01.2012 Investment Advisor
BLACKROCK ASSET MGMT Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 783'900 0.01 - 08.03.2012 Investment Advisor
CB-ACCENT LUX SICAV Multiple Portfolios MF-AGG 700'000 0.01 - 31.01.2012 Mutual Fund Manager
Firm Name Analyst Recommendation Weighting Change Target Price Date Date
EVA Dimensions TEAM COVERAGE hold 3 U #N/A N/A Not Provided 20.02.2012
BOCOM International Holdings RONGJIN LUO neutral 3 M 4 12 month 09.02.2012
AM Capital Ltd ERIC TOMTER hold 3 M 4 Not Provided 14.11.2011
SWS Research Co Ltd ZHENG DI neutral 3 M 3 Not Provided 19.10.2011
HSBC SARAH MAK neutral 3 M 4 Not Provided 11.03.2011
Holdings By:
China Zhongwang Holdings Ltd ee
Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: [email protected] |