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Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-1
Chapter Six
Valuing Shares and Bonds
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-2
6.1 Bonds and Bond Valuation
6.2 Ordinary Share Valuation
6.3 Summary and Conclusions
Chapter Organisation
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-3
Chapter Objectives
• Outline the features of bonds.
• Calculate the value (price) of a bond assuming annual and semi-annual coupons.
• Understand the implications of interest rate risk for the value of a bond.
• Calculate the value of an ordinary share under different dividend growth scenarios.
• Explain the components of required return.
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-4
Debt Securities
• Debt securities are issued when an organisation wishes to borrow money from the public on a long-term basis.
• Bonds are issued by the government.
• Debentures are secured and issued by a corporation.
• Notes are unsecured debt securities issued by a corporation.
• More recently, these are all known as bonds.
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-5
Bond Features
• Coupon payments are the stated interest payments. Payment is constant and payable every year or half-year.
• Face value (par value) is the principal amount repayable at the end of the term.
• Coupon rate is the annual coupon divided by the face value.
• Maturity is the specified date at which the principal amount is payable.
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-6
Bond Yields
• Yield to maturity is the market interest rate that equates a bond’s present value of interest payments and principal repayment with its price.
• There is an inverse relationship between market interest rates and bond price.
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-7
Bond Price Sensitivity to Interest Rates (YTM)
4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16%
$1 800
$1 600
$1 400
$1 200
$1 000
$ 800
$ 600
Bond price
Yield to maturity, YTM
Coupon = $10020 years to maturity$1000 face value
Key Insight: Bond prices and YTMs are inversely related.
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-8
Bond Value
tr
F r
tr / C
1
111
valueface ofPVpaymentscoupon of PVV
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-9
Example 1—Bond Value
• A bond with a face value of $1000 and a coupon rate of 6 per cent has 10 years to maturity. What is the market price of this bond if the market interest rate is 10 per cent?
$771.10
2.5937$1000 6.1446 $60
1.10$1000
0.101.101/ 1 $60 V 10
10
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-10
Example 2—Bond Value
• Assume now that the bond’s coupons are paid half-yearly.
$750.76
2.6533$1000 12.4622 $30
201.05
$1000 0.05
201.051/ 1 $30 V
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-11
Interest Rate Risk
• Interest rate risk is the risk that arises for bond holders from changes in interest rates.
• All other things being equal, the longer the time to maturity, the greater the interest rate risk.
• All other things being equal, the lower the coupon rate, the greater the interest rate risk.
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-12
Interest Rate Risk and Time to Maturity
Interest rate 1 year 30 years 5% $1 047.62$1 768.62 10 1 000.001 000.00 15 956.52 671.70 20 916.67 502.11
Time to Maturity
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-13
Computing Yield to Maturity
• Yield to maturity (YTM) is the rate implied by the current bond price.
• Finding the YTM requires trial and error if you do not have a financial calculator and is similar to the process for finding r with an annuity.
• If you have a financial calculator, enter N, PV, PMT and FV, remembering the sign convention (PMT and FV need to have the same sign, PV the opposite sign).
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-14
YTM with Annual Coupons
• Consider a bond with a 10 per cent annual coupon rate, 15 years to maturity and a par value of $1000. The current price is $928.09.
– Will the yield be more or less than 10 per cent?
– N = 15; PV = 928.09; FV = 1000; PMT = 100
– CPT I/Y = 11%
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-15
Ordinary Share Valuation
Share valuation is more difficult than debenture valuation for a number of reasons:
– uncertainty of promised cash flows
– shares have no maturity
– observing the market rate of return is not easy.
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-16
Ordinary Share Valuation
• The market value of a share is the present value of all expected net cash flows to be received from the share, discounted at a rate of return that reflects the riskiness of those cash flows.
• The expected net cash flows to be received from a share are all future dividends.
• Dividend growth is an important aspect of share valuation.
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-17
Zero Growth Dividend
• Shares have a constant dividend into perpetuity, with no growth in dividends.
• The value of a share is then the same as the value of an ordinary perpetuity.
rD P 0
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-18
gr
D gr
g D P
g D D tt
100
0
1
1
Constant Growth Dividend
• Dividends grow at a constant rate each time period.
• Called the constant dividend growth model.
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-19
Example—Constant Growth Dividend
Company XYZ has just paid a dividend of 15 cents per share, which is expected to grow at 5 per cent per annum. What price should you pay for the share if the required rate of return on the investment is 10 per cent?
15.3$0.050.10
1.050.150
P
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-20
Non-constant Growth Dividend
• The growth rate cannot exceed the required rate of return indefinitely but can do so for a number of years.
• Allows for ‘super normal’ growth rates over some finite length of time.
• The dividends have to grow at a constant rate at some point in the future.
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-21
Example—Non-constant Growth Dividend
• A company has just paid a dividend of 15 cents per share and that dividend is expected to grow at a rate of 20 per cent per annum for the next three years, and at a rate of 5 per cent per annum forever after that.
• Assuming a required rate of return of 10 per cent, calculate the current market price of the share.
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-22
Solution—Non-constant Growth Dividend
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-23
Solution—Non-constant Growth Dividend (continued)
$5.440.050.10
$0.272
43
g r
D P
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-24
$4.63$4.087$0.195$0.179$0.164
1.10$5.44
1.10$0.259
1.10$0.216
1.10$0.180
1111
332
33
33
22
11
0
r P
r D
r D
r D P
Solution—Non-constant Growth Dividend (continued)
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-25
Share Price Sensitivity to Dividend Growth, g
0 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
Share price ($)
Dividend growth rate, g
D1 = $1Required return, R, = 12%
15
10
5
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-26
Share Price Sensitivity to Required Return, r
6% 8% 10% 12% 14%
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
Share price ($)
Required return, R
D1 = $1Dividend growth rate, g, = 5%
30
20
10
Copyright 2004 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Fundamentals of Corporate Finance 3eRoss, Thompson, Christensen, Westerfield and JordanSlides prepared by Sue Wright
6-27
Components of Required Return
yield gains capitalyield dividend0
1
0
1
10
r
g P
D r
P
D g r
g r
D P