Consultancy ServicesPlanning. Research. Economics.

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Evidence- based

Solutions

Future Analytics Consulting (FAC) is a dynamic SME consultancy specialising in spatial planning (national, regional and local level - urban and rural planning), research and economic assessment. Based at 11 Merrion Square, Dublin 2, Ireland, FAC is engaged in a range of projects at a national and European level.

The consultancy specialises in applying evidence-led analysis in all projects, and combines the experience and knowledge from academia and as active practitioners in the spatial planning arena.

Who we are

What we doThe company has worked on a range of European research projects, in particular within the European Commission’s Seventh Framework Programme (EU FP7) for Research and Development (R&D) activities. The company is currently actively participating in a number of innovative projects, aimed at improving the security and resilience of urban areas and advocating an evidence-led ethos.

Through their work in this �eld, extensive contacts with a number of industry leaders, prominent research organisations and academic institutions have been established throughout Europe and these contacts are being harnessed to further this important growth area for FAC. FAC has recently begun the coordination of HARMONISE, whch focuses on the resilience of large scale built urban infrastructure.

For a full list of our services either contact us directly, or visit our website at www.futureanalytics.ie

Get in touch

11 Merrion SquareDublin, Ireland

www.futureanalytics.ie

00 353 1 6394836

INTRODUCTION

FAC has become a leading provider of spatial data services, including the identi�cation and collation of appropriate datasets, the formulation of data frameworks, mapping and visualisation of data, and the assessment and analysis of data (trends, indicator development, performance monitoring, targets, etc). This skill set ensures that all of our projects are grounded in an evidence-based ethos, and are therefore comprehensive and defensible.

Resilience - Urban Security and Safety | Citizen Protection VITRUV, BESECURE, HARMONISE

Resilience - Protection of Critical Infrastructure | Extreme Weather INTACT

Emergency Response and Disaster Recovery COBACORE, S-HELP

Smart Cities | Energy E�cient Building | BioEnergy INDICATE, BioPAD (Coordination support and technical evaluation)

Strategic Spatial Planning | Evidence-based Planning | Forward Planning GHDI, - Nominated for IPI National Planning Award 2014 RPN, - Key Performance Indicators Report WEASTFLOWS, - Sustainable Transport | Freight Gateways Housing Strategies | Retail Strategies | Economic Strategies

Socio-Economic Assessment | Community Development/Facilitation Regeneration Study of Copper Coast Region, Kerry-Duhallow Region Economic/Enterprise Study, Fingal - Greater Dublin Drainage Project WWTP Assessment

Data Handling | Analysis and Visualisation | Bespoke platforms | Data management and handling. Indicator development. Trend analysis. Demographic analysis and projections/forecasting NHS London healthy Urban Development Unit (HUDU)

Development Control | Development Management Advice on planning legislation and policy development | Planning application and coordination | Site assessment and feasibility | Master planning

Future Analytics Activities

SERVICES

Development ManagementStrategic PlanningProject Management Research EconomicsGIS/Data Modelling

Multidisciplinary teamsDesign teamsResearch consortiaThematic appraisalMethodological approach

MasterplanningRegional strategiesHousing StrategiesRetail StrategiesSEA/EIA management

Regulatory advisorsSite assessment and appraisalDue diligencePlanning applications /appealsSEA/EIA managementLAPs/Community planning

Bespoke decision-support toolsVisualisation and mappingIndicator developmentPerformance analysisTrend evaluationComplex data managementGraphic design

Urban systemsResilience Risk assessmentRecovery from shocksConsultationDissemination

Socio-economic assessmentStrategic financial costingsProject budget evaluationEconomic data collectionDemographic forecastingEconomic forecast models

Ongoing FP7 Research Projects

BESECURE: Best Practice Enhancers for Security of Urban Environments

COBACORE: Community Based Comprehensive Recovery

HARMONISE: A Holistic Approach to Resilience and SysteMatic ActiOns to Make Large Scale UrbaN Built Infrastructure SEcure

VITRUV: Vulnerability Identi�cation Tools for Resilience Enhancement of Urban Environments

Forthcoming FP7 Research Projects

INTACT: On the Impact of Extreme Weather on Critical Infrastructures

S-H.E.L.P: Securing Health. Emergency. Learning. Planning

EUROPEANprojects

INDICATE: Indicator-based Interactive Decision Support and Information Exchange Platform for Smart Cities

A Holistic Approach to Resilience and SysteMatic ActiOns to Make Large Scale UrbaN Built Infrastructure SEcure

For the �rst time, more than 50% of the world’s population live in urban areas. By 2050, c. 70% of people are likely to be city dwellers, compared with less than 30% in 1950. This trend brings with it increased security and safety threats in urban areas, not least to urban built infrastructure. The central aim of HARMONISE (A Holistic Approach to Resilience and SysteMatic ActiOns to Make Large Scale UrbaN Built Infrastructure SEcure) is to develop a comprehensive, multi-faceted, yet mutually-reinforcing concept for the enhanced security, resilience and sustainability of large scale urban built infrastructure and development.

HARMONISE will be grounded in a holistic view of innovation, and will advocate synergies with, and augmentation of, existing FP7 projects such as VITRUV, RIBS and DESURBS among others, to which the HARMONISE consortium has direct linkages. The project recognises the necessity to improve the design of urban areas and increase their security against, and resilience, to new threats. Speci�cally, HARMONISE seeks to deliver (a) a holistic HARMONISE Interactive Semantic Intelligence Platform; (b) a suite of innovative tools (toolkit hosted within the HARMONISE platform); (c) greater understanding and awareness of urban security and resilience vis-a-vis dissemination activities; and, (d) commercialisation opportunities among emerging new markets in this �eld. HARMONISE will result in signi�cant resilience enhancement methods for large scale urban built infrastructure.

Project Period: 2013-2016

Best practice Enhancers for Security in Urban Regions

Urban security is a complex multi-dimensional process that results from the interaction of an increasingly diverse collection of stakeholders. Many factors in�uence urban security, from the physical layout to the social and economic makeup of urban zones, from the political and economic landscape on a national level to the daily practices of public services that are active in the area. Seemingly unrelated events may trigger sudden escalation of unrest in neighbourhoods that have been under social tension for a prolonged period of time. Europe has seen many severe instances of urban unrest in recent times, but also the rapid expansion of new urban environments, and new types of communities due to migration, economic tension and social developments. These developments demand a better understanding of urban security throughout Europe, and more sensible policy development to create safer urban environments, and prevent undesirable security scenarios.

The project ‘Best practice Enhancers for Security in Urban Regions’ (BESECURE) will work towards a better understanding of urban security through examination of di�erent European urban areas. By examining 8 urban areas throughout Europe, BESECURE will build a comprehensive and pragmatic set of indicators, and a pragmatic risk assessment model which can provide speci�c cues about the development of certain scenarios.

Project Period: 2012-2015

ongo

ing

The Community Based Comprehensive Recovery (COBACORE) project aims to support in a complimentary approach all the common needs of a community e�ected by both natural and man-made disasters particularly focussing on assessment and recovery planning. COBACORE will assist in bridging the possible disaster collaboration gap between supporting organisations and the e�ected communities through a more integrated information sharing approach resulting in improved sharing of information leading to an enhanced decision making processes. An essential element to the implementation of COBACORE is community-wide involvement to ensure a community-based approach to the needs assessment processes. This will particularly assist local, regional and national authorities in the provision of assistance and guidance to supporting organisations and communities.

Central to the success of COBACORE will be the development of a new web-based, information-driven workspace platform that is interactive and integrated based on a community model, a context model and a needs model. The information contained in these models are accessible through a collaborative workspace that will provide a comprehensive overview of the disaster a�ected area. The COBACORE platform will enable joined-up delivery mechanisms that will enhance the preparedness and response to disasters, and will help to ensure that the quality, timeliness, e�ciency, e�ectiveness and accountability of needs assessment and decision making is enhanced.

Community Based Comprehensive Recovery

Project Value: €3,300,000.00 Project Period: 2013-2016

The project acronym VITRUV is the real name of a Roman architect and engineer (VITRUVIUS) who wrote the only major surviving book on architecture from classical antiquity. He documented in great detail: architecture, engineering, and city planning and asserted that a structure must have three qualities �rmitas, utilitas, venustas — it must be strong, useful, and beautiful. The aim of this project is to develop a capability for the security of infrastructures and utilities by developing tools which will enable urban planners to aspire to VITRUV’s three qualities, helping them to plan, (re)design and (re)engineer urban areas to be strong in avoiding and against security threats, particularly new security threats, while remaining useful in socioeconomic terms and also beautiful for present and future generations to enjoy.

Future Analytics Consulting is providing spatial planning expertise to a high-level pan-European consortium investigating the vulnerability of urban environments. This project, having an urban context, acknowledges the complex considerations required within the plan making process. With half the world’s population currently living in urban centres, and with this �gure set to increase to two-thirds by 2050, urban planning practice must incorporate appropriate measures for vulnerability identi�cation and resilience enhancements. The VITRUV project will culminate in the development of software tools for the long and complex urban planning screening process, moving through the concept, plan and detail levels.

Project Value: €3,400,000.00 Project Period: 2011-2014

Vulnerability Identification Tools for Resilience Enhancement of Urban Environments

ongo

ing

Indicator-based Interactive Decision Support and Information Exchange Platform for Smart Cities

INDICATE proposes a novel city-wide decision support system which accounts for all major systems and activities relevant to developing energy-e�cient cities. To create a ‘Smart Economy’, integrated smart urban planning tools including architectural masterplanning and detailed energy optimisation and environmental analysis will be required. If this is not addressed, we will be unable to deliver the Millennium Development Goals as agreed by each of the UN member states.

INDICATE addresses these issues through the development of a decision support tool that is used in all stages of urban development of a city. The tool can be used to (i) inform masterplanning at early stages of urban development; (ii) help make decisions with respect to best technologies to integrate and their economic and environmental impact to the urban environment; and (iii) optimise existing Smart Technologies to further reduce energy consumption and carbon emissions. This is achieved through the integration of Dynamic Simulation Modelling, Geographic Information Systems (GIS), 3D Urban CAD Modelling Tools, Sustainable Urban Indicators and algorithms for Demand Side Management and local balancing of energy use into a single software package.

S-H.E.L.P (Securing Health.Emergency.Learning.Planning)

In the wake of a disaster, societal vulnerabilities and cascading e�ects can result in signi�cant injuries, mental illness and loss of human lives. From a systems perspective, damage to health infrastructure, the increased needs for medical attention, population displacement and major outbreaks, all place major strains on Health and Social Services. Preparedness and response capabilities of Health Services will directly impact society’s ability to ‘bounce back’ to become more resilient to such devastating shocks and events.

S-HELP will provide enhanced protection of human health and security of the citizen by signi�cantly advancing the existing knowledge base required for the development of a range of Decision Support (DS) tools and a Decision Support System (DSS) for greater management of the three phases of an emergency situation: preparedness (better), response (faster) and recovery (coordinated).

S-HELP will o�er evidence-led solutions to improve Health Services performance in emergency management. It will encompass an S-HELP framework to guide the analysis of di�erent stakeholders needs, and will create and integrate a holistic toolkit. The project will provide multi-scenario based training to end users, alongside ‘what-if’ analysis.

On the Impact of Extreme Weather on Critical Infrastructures

The resilience of critical infrastructures to natural and or man/made threats is one of the most demanding challenges for society today. Both economic tra�c and the day-to-day life of our citizens depend very much on the undisturbed functioning of these infrastructures. Serious malfunctioning and disruptions of these infrastructures may have severe consequences for our economy, our society and for the environment.

Developing and maintaining critical infrastructures require major capital investments. Most technical critical infrastructures are to serve for very long lifetimes (50+ years). Hence, future hazards have to be taken into account when considering and designing the infrastructure and its protective measures. At the same time, one needs to prepare for capabilities necessary to mitigate and recover from disruptions when they occur.

The INTACT project (on the impact of extreme weather on critical infrastructures) will address these challenges and bring together the best of current knowhow and experience in Europe in order to develop and demonstrate good practices in planning and designing protective measures as well as crisis response and recovery capabilities.

INTACT

forthcoming forthcoming forthcoming

INTACT

Recently Completed Projects at Future Analytics Consulting

NHS London Healthy Urban Development Unit (HUDU) Planning Contribution Model (NHS, UK)

Regional Planners Network Regional Planning Guidelines Performance Indicator Development and Analysis, 2013 (MWRA, Irl)

The Gateways and Hubs Development Index, 2012 (BMW & S&E Regions, Irl)

nationalprojects

Gateways | Hubs Development Index 2012

A Review of Socio-Economic Performance

Future Analytics Consulting (FAC) was commissioned (supported by Behaviour and Attitudes) by the Border, Midland and Western Regional Assembly and the Southern and Eastern Regional Assembly to prepare the Gateways and Hubs Development Index (GHDI), 2012 which was formally published in May, 2013 following an o�cial launch by Ms. Jan O’Sullivan, T.D., Minister for Housing and Planning at the Department of the Environment, Community and Local Government.

The GHDI assesses the Gateways and Hubs of Ireland, as designated within the National Spatial Strategy 2002-2020, based on 27 spatially explicit indicators. It represents an examination of these key urban centres across a range of performance indicators. Speaking at the launch of the GHDI at the Custom House, the Minister for Planning and Housing recognised the importance of evidence-based policy-making. She acknowledged the role of the outputs as a policy tool to enable “the monitoring of the performance of the regions as whole, in economic, social and environmental terms”. The Minster complimented the Regional Assemblies on performing “a valuable service in assembling a key piece of information for the process of preparing new national and regional strategies”.

With an individual report presenting the �ndings for the relevant Gateway, and a Hubs report also available, all of which use the latest available datasets in 2012, the output is presented in the form of an Index, based upon the evaluation of all of the Gateways and Hubs within a series of domains and indicators. A Summary Report outlines the headline trends which have been identi�ed within the assessment.

The Index reviews current trends across a common framework of key indicators which include population, enterprise, environment, economic, employment and social factors. A public perception study was conducted to complement the �ndings of the Index. The survey captured residents’ views of the quality of life and the impact of both investment and the economic downturn.

The Index represents a unique opportunity to observe and understand how Gateways and Hubs are developing in recent years. It serves as a valuable resource for evidence-led policy-making for Government Departments, Local and Regional Authorities, other state agencies and local communities.

Gateways and Hubs Development Index 2012 - A Review of Socio-Economic Performance

The HUDU Model was developed to assist Primary Care Trusts (PCTs) and Local Planning Authorities (LPAs) to improve joint working and enable health to be addressed through the planning system. In this regard, the HUDU model asists in the provision and delivery of health care services and facilities by planning and costing development that will have an impact on the level of demand for health care provision from the out-set. The model calculates the potential planning contributions for developers in developing land, in respect of the provision of health care facilities and the associated health services.

This model calculates the potential planning contributions to be made by developers when they build on a site, in respect of the provision of health care facilities and the associated health services.

This model is intended to ensure that representatives from health organisations are equipped to engage in an informed dialogue with developers over the potential impact of proposed developments on local health demand and health provision. It o�ers a standardised and fully transparent approach, whilst at the same time allowing for the inclusion of 9 some local assumptions to re�ect potential di�erences across PCTs in their plans for delivering health care to their local communities.

The model relies on a number of assumptions about population, health care and other variables. These are built into the model as a series of defaults which allow it to calculate health care requirements with a minimum of data. It is very important that in using the model Primary Care Trusts or others satisfy themselves that the assumptions are valid for their situation. If so it is also important to share the assumptions with the local authority and the developer in each case. If the user does not wish to accept the assumptions and hence the defaults, the model is fully �exible to allow di�erent assumptions to be entered. These too should be shared with the local authority and developer.

NHS London Healthy Urban Development Unit (HUDU) Planning Contribution Model (NHS, UK)

FAC was commissioned by the Mid-West Regional Authority to conduct the analysis and visualisation of the Regional Indicators Report, 2013. Work on the regional indicators set arose out of an identi�ed need for a monitoring framework to measure progress in the implementation of the Regional Planning Guidelines (RPGs) 2010-2022 and the need to establish a baseline for the RPG mid-term reviews in 2013/2014.

The regional indicators are based around three common RPG themes which are Economic Prosperity; People and Place; and Environment and Infrastructure seeking to address the overall question as to whether sustainable regions are being achieved. The indicators and associated trends over time will be used to inform and guide the process of future policy development.

Following consideration of data sources, twenty relevant and up-to-date indicators were proposed. Based on the extensive consultation process carried out in collaboration with the DECLG, the NSC and RADA the indicators represent a robust base from which regional development trends can be measured, weaknesses identi�ed and policy responses developed.

This exercise forms the basis for on-going collection of datasets that are comparable from one monitoring period to the next to ascertain medium to longer term trends in regional development.

Regional Planners Network Regional Planning Guidelines Performance Indicator Development and Analysis, 2013

3 STRATEGIC THEMES

25 INDICATORS

Regional Indicators

Economic Prosperity

SMEsEmployment Rate IDA Companies IDA Employment Sectoral GVA contribution

Tertiary EducationGVA per person Broadband Coverage Internet Access

Population

Energy Consumption

Housing Stock

Dependency Ratio

Living & Working in Gateways/Hubs & Tier 1s

Population Change

Economic Prosperity

People and Places

Compliance with UWWTD

EU Habitats and Species

Urban/Rural Share

Environment and InfrastructurePeople and Places

Housing Vacancy

Status of Water Bodies

Managed & Unmanaged Waste

100%

WWTP

Work-Related Communting

Renewable

Environment and Infrastructure

Personal Computers

11 Merrion Square, Dublin 2, Irelandinfo@futureanalytics.ie | www.futureanalytics.ie

Dr. WIlliam HynesDirector (Managing)

telephone: +353 (0) 1 639 4836mobile: +353 (0) 86 852 4438fax: +353 (0) 1 661 9169

email: william.hynes@futureanalytics.ieskype: william.m.hynes