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GCC Petrochemical Industry GOICs Perspective

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An overview of the GCC petrochemical industry and its impact on the GCC manfacturing Economy.
21
GCC Petrochemicals Industry , GOIC’s Perspective Presented by: Suleiman Albalushi WORLD REFINING AND PETROCHEMICAL TECHNOLOGY SUMMIT 2013 25 - 27 November, 2013, Doha, Qatar
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  • GCC Petrochemicals Industry , GOICs Perspective Presented by: Suleiman Albalushi

    WORLD REFINING AND PETROCHEMICAL TECHNOLOGY SUMMIT 2013 25 - 27 November, 2013, Doha, Qatar

  • Contents:

    GCC Petrochemical Industry; opportunities for downstream industries Challenges GOIC services for the petrochemical Industry Concluding remarks

  • GOIC in brief . . . .

    Established in 1976

    7 members : United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Qatar, Kuwait and Yemen.

    Achieve Industrial cooperation and coordination between member states.

    Propose industrial ventures between member states,

    Prepare, evaluate and recommend industrial projects,

    Collect and disseminate information about industrial data and studies

    Objectives :

  • | 4 GOIC-PRTM Overview | 2011 Proprietary CONFIDENTIAL

    GOIC services

    Practice Areas

    Expertise

    Economic Competitiveness Assessment

    Policy and Regulatory Gap Analysis

    Investment Strategies and Business Cases

    Business Models Partnership and

    Investment Strategies

    Industrial Market Intelligence Industrial Coordination,

    Technical Cooperation and Expertise Exchange

    Industrial Technical Assistance and Support for SMEs

    Investment Promotion

    Economic

    Development

    Cluster

    Strategy

    Industrial

    Policies and

    Development

    Industrial Structure and Operations Industrial Sensing, & Project

    Promotion

    Project Planning & Implementation Detailed Economics and Performance

    Manufacturing Technologies Industrial/Automotive/Chemicals/

    Energy

    Cleantech,

    Industrial

    Expertise

    Technology

    Expertise

    New Industrial Investment Opportunities within the GCC Market

    Locating, Screening and Recommending Regional Investments Opportunities along with Qualified Business Partners

    Market and Technology Assessments

    Industrial

    Investment

    Strategies

  • 8.4%

    38.6% 1.4%

    51.5%

    Firms by Sector

    35.4%

    60.0%

    0.7%

    3.9%

    Investments by Sector

    Refined Petroleum Products

    Chemicals & Chemical Products

    Pharmaceutical Products

    Rubber & Plastics Products

    16.6%

    38.9%

    3.4%

    41.2%

    Labor by Sector

    Size of Chemical Industry in the GCC - 2102

    Source : GOIC Data

    Total Chemicals = 3017 firms Total all Industries : 15,165

    Cumulative Chemicals: 199 Billion US Dollars Total all Sectors : 336 Billion US Dollars

    Base year : 1990

    Total Chemicals : 260,808 Total all sectors : 1.3 Million

  • Main economic activities contribution to GDP ( % GDP, 2012) GCC Total GDP : 1,579,911 Million US Dollars

    Source :National Statistical Data, GOIC Report, 2012

    MINing ,QUAR.& FUEL

    MANUFACTURING

    CONSTRUCTION

    TRADE REST.& HOTEL

    TRAN.,COMM.& STORAGE

    FINANANCE,INSUR. & BANK

    GOVT.SERVICES

    OTHER ACTIVITIES

    49%

    9%

    5%

    8% 6% 4%

    10%

    9%

    Estimated Contribution by Chemicals & Petrochemicals Sector 1.5% & Refing by 2.1%

  • 5,000

    15,000

    25,000

    35,000

    45,000

    55,000

    65,000

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

    Ethylene Methanol Propylene Butadiene Benzene Toluene O-Xylene P-Xylene

    Installed & Planned Capacity of Basic Petrochemicals In GCC up to 2016 ( 000 Tons per year)

    Source : GPCA & GOIC research

  • GCC Ethylene Production 2013 (Total World Capacity : 143,402,426 Tons/Year)

    1%

    2%

    8%

    1%

    88%

    kuwait Qatar Saudi Arabia UAE World

    Source : Oil & Gas Journal, 2013

  • Ethylene

    LDPE

    LLDPE

    HDPE

    EO

    EG Ethanolamines Ethoxylates

    PET PBT

    Alpha Olefins EPDM

    EDC

    VCM PVC

    Tri chloro ethylene

    Tetra chloro ethylene

    Synthetic Ethanol Ethyl Acetate

    EB SM

    PS ABS SBR SAN

    VAM

    EVA PVAC PVOH

    Example : Ethylene Derivatives

    Source : GOIC Research

  • BASIC CHEMICALS FEEDSTOCK DERIVATIVES APPLICATIONS INTERMEDIATES

    Natural Gas Acetic Acid

    (2022) Syn Gas Methanol (2011)

    Ammonia (2012)

    Fertiliz ers (2012)

    Technical Urea (2013)

    Formaldehyde (2013)

    Industrial Solvents

    UF Resin (Thermoset Plastics)

    Ethyl/Butyl Acetate (2013)

    Industrial Solvents

    The four digit IS I C numbers in the box indicates the linking subsectors

    Available in GCC Under development

    /Planning

    Not Available / In - A dequate

    GCC Petrochemical opportunities - Methane

    Source : GOIC Research-2012

  • BASIC

    CHEMICALS FEEDSTOCK DERIVATIVES APPLICATIONS INTERMEDIATES

    NGLs/

    Naphtha

    (Cracker)

    Propylene

    EPDM (2013)

    Ethylene

    Packaging, pipes

    The four digit ISIC numbers in the box indicates the linking subsectors

    LDPE: Low-Density Polyethylene HDPE: High-Density Polyethylene

    LLDPE: Linear Low Density Polyethylene EPDM: Ethylene Propylene Diene Monomer

    Polyethylene

    (2013)

    LDPE (2013)

    HDPE (2013)

    LLDPE (2013)

    Containers

    Cling films

    As seals, diaphrams,

    strips, profiles

    (Automotive

    Industries)

    Anti-vibration

    mounts

    (Mechanical

    goods)

    As sealants, hoses,

    strips

    (Construction/cables

    chemicals)

    Available in GCC Not Available /

    In -Adequate

    GCC Petrochemical opportunities - Ethylene

    Source : GOIC Research

  • BASIC CHEMICALS FEEDSTOCK DERIVATIVES APPLICATIONS INTERMEDIATES

    Naphtha

    (Cracker) Propylene

    BOPP (2013)

    Fiber (2030)

    Polypropylene

    (2013)

    Film (2013)

    Acrylonitrile

    (2011)

    Acrylic Acid

    (2011)

    Acrylates

    (2011)

    Acrylamides

    (2011)

    Flocculant,

    thickening agent,

    water treatment

    (2029)

    Paints,

    coatings,

    Textile /Fiber

    (2022)

    The four digit ISIC numbers in the box indicates the linking subsectors

    BOPP: Bi-axially Oriented Polypropylene

    Available in GCC Not Available / In

    -Adequate

    GCC Petrochemical opportunities - Propylene

    Source : GOIC Research

  • BASIC CHEMICALS FEEDSTOCK DERIVATIVES APPLICATIONS INTERMEDIATES

    Benzene

    Styrene (2013)

    HIPS, EPS

    Packaging

    Ethyl Benzene

    (2011)

    LAB (2023)

    Aniline (2021) Nitro Benzene

    (2011)

    Rigid polyurethane

    (2013)

    Engineering Plastic,

    Refrigeration

    Polystyrene

    (2013)

    SBR (2013)

    ABS (2013)

    MDI (2030)

    Detergent, cleaning

    chemicals

    Rubber products, Tires

    Available in GCC Not Available / In -

    Adequate

    Dyes, Photography

    GCC Petrochemical opportunities - Benzene

    The four digit ISIC numbers in the box indicates the linking subsectors

    HIPS: High Impact Polystyrene; EPS: Expanded Polystyrene; LAB: Linear Alkyl Benzene;

    SBR: Styrene Butadiene Rubber; ABS: Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene; MDI: Methylene

    Diphenyl Diisocyanate

    Source : GOIC Research

  • GCC Petrochemical opportunities - Benzene

    Source : GOIC Research

  • GCC Petrochemical opportunities - Toluene / Xylene

    Source : GOIC Research

  • Petrochemical Derivatives

    Source : GOIC Market studies

    Added Value products for UAE: LDPE,PVC resin, PS, PET,BR,SBR, PC

    Added Value products for Kuwait: EPS, SAN resins, ABS resin, SBR, PET

    Added Value sub-sectors for Oman: Methanol , Aromatics

    Potential for Engineering Plastics in GCC : Nylons or PA,PC,ABS,PET,PBT,POM,

  • Challenges:

    Feedstock competing with energy demand. Shortage of gas leading to use of liquids, examples: Kuwait Aromatics, KSA , Oman Aromatics.

    Increasing power demand projections in GCC, shortage of gas , long-term gas export commitments. Example, Saudi consumption of energy is growing 8-10% annually.

    Capitalize on economies of scale , creation of integrated complexes for Refineries and petrochemicals .

    Technological development in specialty products , R& D development, innovation and differentiation, increase products slate to sustain a competitive edge .

    Unlocking of shale gas and impact on the long term.

    Infrastructure to increase local manufacturing , increase export and generate employment.

    Downstream Industries development, raw materials prices, industrial land use .

  • Agro-Industries 4%

    Food 10%

    Textiles & Leather

    2%

    Non-Metallic Minerals

    6%

    Chemicals 16%

    Medical 5%

    Plastics & Rubber

    17%

    Engineering 23%

    Metals 16%

    Environment & Recycling

    1%

    Chemicals

    Opportunities in Chemicals & Petrochemicals

    Plastics & Rubber

    investment opportunities in industrial sectors

    GOIC Services- Manufacturing Investment Opportunities

  • GOIC Services for the petrochemical Industry

    Ongoing Initiatives

    Identification of investment opportunities

    Multi-clients studies

    Feasibility and bankable studies.

    Technology assessment and evaluation

    Recent Petrochemical studies 2009-2012

    Oman Aromatics Downstream Sector Study Kuwait Aromatics Sector Study UAE Petrochemical Sector Study Engineering plastics Study GCC Industrial Map Road Map Manufacturing Investment opportunities for Kuwait

  • Concluding Remarks:

    GCC Petrochemicals is a growing business.

    The region will continue to play a major role as a producer and exporter of petrochemicals.

    Regional Aromatics capacity will grow faster and more downstream will come up in the region.

    Regional comparative advantage leveraged for ethylene based petrochemical will not be the same for Aromatics.

    Feedstock will be heavier and mixed.

    R&D will get more attention in the region.

  • | 21 GOIC-PRTM Overview | 2011 Proprietary CONFIDENTIAL


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