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GCC Petrochemicals Industry , GOICs Perspective Presented by: Suleiman Albalushi
WORLD REFINING AND PETROCHEMICAL TECHNOLOGY SUMMIT 2013 25 - 27 November, 2013, Doha, Qatar
Contents:
GCC Petrochemical Industry; opportunities for downstream industries Challenges GOIC services for the petrochemical Industry Concluding remarks
GOIC in brief . . . .
Established in 1976
7 members : United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Qatar, Kuwait and Yemen.
Achieve Industrial cooperation and coordination between member states.
Propose industrial ventures between member states,
Prepare, evaluate and recommend industrial projects,
Collect and disseminate information about industrial data and studies
Objectives :
| 4 GOIC-PRTM Overview | 2011 Proprietary CONFIDENTIAL
GOIC services
Practice Areas
Expertise
Economic Competitiveness Assessment
Policy and Regulatory Gap Analysis
Investment Strategies and Business Cases
Business Models Partnership and
Investment Strategies
Industrial Market Intelligence Industrial Coordination,
Technical Cooperation and Expertise Exchange
Industrial Technical Assistance and Support for SMEs
Investment Promotion
Economic
Development
Cluster
Strategy
Industrial
Policies and
Development
Industrial Structure and Operations Industrial Sensing, & Project
Promotion
Project Planning & Implementation Detailed Economics and Performance
Manufacturing Technologies Industrial/Automotive/Chemicals/
Energy
Cleantech,
Industrial
Expertise
Technology
Expertise
New Industrial Investment Opportunities within the GCC Market
Locating, Screening and Recommending Regional Investments Opportunities along with Qualified Business Partners
Market and Technology Assessments
Industrial
Investment
Strategies
8.4%
38.6% 1.4%
51.5%
Firms by Sector
35.4%
60.0%
0.7%
3.9%
Investments by Sector
Refined Petroleum Products
Chemicals & Chemical Products
Pharmaceutical Products
Rubber & Plastics Products
16.6%
38.9%
3.4%
41.2%
Labor by Sector
Size of Chemical Industry in the GCC - 2102
Source : GOIC Data
Total Chemicals = 3017 firms Total all Industries : 15,165
Cumulative Chemicals: 199 Billion US Dollars Total all Sectors : 336 Billion US Dollars
Base year : 1990
Total Chemicals : 260,808 Total all sectors : 1.3 Million
Main economic activities contribution to GDP ( % GDP, 2012) GCC Total GDP : 1,579,911 Million US Dollars
Source :National Statistical Data, GOIC Report, 2012
MINing ,QUAR.& FUEL
MANUFACTURING
CONSTRUCTION
TRADE REST.& HOTEL
TRAN.,COMM.& STORAGE
FINANANCE,INSUR. & BANK
GOVT.SERVICES
OTHER ACTIVITIES
49%
9%
5%
8% 6% 4%
10%
9%
Estimated Contribution by Chemicals & Petrochemicals Sector 1.5% & Refing by 2.1%
5,000
15,000
25,000
35,000
45,000
55,000
65,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Ethylene Methanol Propylene Butadiene Benzene Toluene O-Xylene P-Xylene
Installed & Planned Capacity of Basic Petrochemicals In GCC up to 2016 ( 000 Tons per year)
Source : GPCA & GOIC research
GCC Ethylene Production 2013 (Total World Capacity : 143,402,426 Tons/Year)
1%
2%
8%
1%
88%
kuwait Qatar Saudi Arabia UAE World
Source : Oil & Gas Journal, 2013
Ethylene
LDPE
LLDPE
HDPE
EO
EG Ethanolamines Ethoxylates
PET PBT
Alpha Olefins EPDM
EDC
VCM PVC
Tri chloro ethylene
Tetra chloro ethylene
Synthetic Ethanol Ethyl Acetate
EB SM
PS ABS SBR SAN
VAM
EVA PVAC PVOH
Example : Ethylene Derivatives
Source : GOIC Research
BASIC CHEMICALS FEEDSTOCK DERIVATIVES APPLICATIONS INTERMEDIATES
Natural Gas Acetic Acid
(2022) Syn Gas Methanol (2011)
Ammonia (2012)
Fertiliz ers (2012)
Technical Urea (2013)
Formaldehyde (2013)
Industrial Solvents
UF Resin (Thermoset Plastics)
Ethyl/Butyl Acetate (2013)
Industrial Solvents
The four digit IS I C numbers in the box indicates the linking subsectors
Available in GCC Under development
/Planning
Not Available / In - A dequate
GCC Petrochemical opportunities - Methane
Source : GOIC Research-2012
BASIC
CHEMICALS FEEDSTOCK DERIVATIVES APPLICATIONS INTERMEDIATES
NGLs/
Naphtha
(Cracker)
Propylene
EPDM (2013)
Ethylene
Packaging, pipes
The four digit ISIC numbers in the box indicates the linking subsectors
LDPE: Low-Density Polyethylene HDPE: High-Density Polyethylene
LLDPE: Linear Low Density Polyethylene EPDM: Ethylene Propylene Diene Monomer
Polyethylene
(2013)
LDPE (2013)
HDPE (2013)
LLDPE (2013)
Containers
Cling films
As seals, diaphrams,
strips, profiles
(Automotive
Industries)
Anti-vibration
mounts
(Mechanical
goods)
As sealants, hoses,
strips
(Construction/cables
chemicals)
Available in GCC Not Available /
In -Adequate
GCC Petrochemical opportunities - Ethylene
Source : GOIC Research
BASIC CHEMICALS FEEDSTOCK DERIVATIVES APPLICATIONS INTERMEDIATES
Naphtha
(Cracker) Propylene
BOPP (2013)
Fiber (2030)
Polypropylene
(2013)
Film (2013)
Acrylonitrile
(2011)
Acrylic Acid
(2011)
Acrylates
(2011)
Acrylamides
(2011)
Flocculant,
thickening agent,
water treatment
(2029)
Paints,
coatings,
Textile /Fiber
(2022)
The four digit ISIC numbers in the box indicates the linking subsectors
BOPP: Bi-axially Oriented Polypropylene
Available in GCC Not Available / In
-Adequate
GCC Petrochemical opportunities - Propylene
Source : GOIC Research
BASIC CHEMICALS FEEDSTOCK DERIVATIVES APPLICATIONS INTERMEDIATES
Benzene
Styrene (2013)
HIPS, EPS
Packaging
Ethyl Benzene
(2011)
LAB (2023)
Aniline (2021) Nitro Benzene
(2011)
Rigid polyurethane
(2013)
Engineering Plastic,
Refrigeration
Polystyrene
(2013)
SBR (2013)
ABS (2013)
MDI (2030)
Detergent, cleaning
chemicals
Rubber products, Tires
Available in GCC Not Available / In -
Adequate
Dyes, Photography
GCC Petrochemical opportunities - Benzene
The four digit ISIC numbers in the box indicates the linking subsectors
HIPS: High Impact Polystyrene; EPS: Expanded Polystyrene; LAB: Linear Alkyl Benzene;
SBR: Styrene Butadiene Rubber; ABS: Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene; MDI: Methylene
Diphenyl Diisocyanate
Source : GOIC Research
GCC Petrochemical opportunities - Benzene
Source : GOIC Research
GCC Petrochemical opportunities - Toluene / Xylene
Source : GOIC Research
Petrochemical Derivatives
Source : GOIC Market studies
Added Value products for UAE: LDPE,PVC resin, PS, PET,BR,SBR, PC
Added Value products for Kuwait: EPS, SAN resins, ABS resin, SBR, PET
Added Value sub-sectors for Oman: Methanol , Aromatics
Potential for Engineering Plastics in GCC : Nylons or PA,PC,ABS,PET,PBT,POM,
Challenges:
Feedstock competing with energy demand. Shortage of gas leading to use of liquids, examples: Kuwait Aromatics, KSA , Oman Aromatics.
Increasing power demand projections in GCC, shortage of gas , long-term gas export commitments. Example, Saudi consumption of energy is growing 8-10% annually.
Capitalize on economies of scale , creation of integrated complexes for Refineries and petrochemicals .
Technological development in specialty products , R& D development, innovation and differentiation, increase products slate to sustain a competitive edge .
Unlocking of shale gas and impact on the long term.
Infrastructure to increase local manufacturing , increase export and generate employment.
Downstream Industries development, raw materials prices, industrial land use .
Agro-Industries 4%
Food 10%
Textiles & Leather
2%
Non-Metallic Minerals
6%
Chemicals 16%
Medical 5%
Plastics & Rubber
17%
Engineering 23%
Metals 16%
Environment & Recycling
1%
Chemicals
Opportunities in Chemicals & Petrochemicals
Plastics & Rubber
investment opportunities in industrial sectors
GOIC Services- Manufacturing Investment Opportunities
GOIC Services for the petrochemical Industry
Ongoing Initiatives
Identification of investment opportunities
Multi-clients studies
Feasibility and bankable studies.
Technology assessment and evaluation
Recent Petrochemical studies 2009-2012
Oman Aromatics Downstream Sector Study Kuwait Aromatics Sector Study UAE Petrochemical Sector Study Engineering plastics Study GCC Industrial Map Road Map Manufacturing Investment opportunities for Kuwait
Concluding Remarks:
GCC Petrochemicals is a growing business.
The region will continue to play a major role as a producer and exporter of petrochemicals.
Regional Aromatics capacity will grow faster and more downstream will come up in the region.
Regional comparative advantage leveraged for ethylene based petrochemical will not be the same for Aromatics.
Feedstock will be heavier and mixed.
R&D will get more attention in the region.
| 21 GOIC-PRTM Overview | 2011 Proprietary CONFIDENTIAL