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General Purpose Lanes on I-77The Plan…
February, 2015
Overview
Project Overview Status Actions Q&A
The Problem
Congested stretch of four lane road
from mm21 to exit 36…
with “no money” to widen it
A Solution
Add a general purpose lane in both directions
•13 miles•$80- 130M (est)
Source: “I-77 Feasibility Study,” December 7, 2009
The Current Plan
Privately Operated Toll Lanes
•27.5 Miles•$655 M
Source: NCDOT Press Release, April 11, 2014
How Toll Lanes Work Built and operated under an exclusive 50
year contract Vehicles with 3+ occupants use lane for
free Electronic Tolling- no toll booths Guaranteed minimum speed
No limit on tolls
“Congestion pricing” More congestion in “free” lanes = higher price
to use toll lanes
Business Model Ensures Congestion
Difference
~13miles 27.5miles ~$100 million $655 million 2-4 lanes All of RoW Able to expand U.R.I.F.
Toll LanesGeneral Purpose Lanes
No improvements for 50 years
Why the difference?
Source: RFP
Majority of travel time
savings
Majority of Cost
Example: Toll Lane Flyover
Source: NCDOT
The Cost Of Toll Lanes
Source: I-77 JLTCO Report, 4-25-14, WI77 analysis
Taxpayer Obligation Taxpayer Contribution $88M
For private tolling lanes
Taxpayer Subsidy $75M To cover potential revenue shortfalls
Taxpayer Bonus Allocation $30M For improving private toll lanes
Substantial Taxpayer Involvement for Having “No Money”
Source: I-77 JLTCO Report, 4-25-14, WI77 analysis
Total: $193M
Toll Rates 2015
Source: I-77 HOT Lanes Technical Memorandum #6, Stantec, Sept 4, 2012
$20 Round Trip When Toll Lanes Open
Toll Rates 2035
Source: I-77 HOT Lanes Technical Memorandum #6, Stantec, Sept 4, 2012
$40 Round Trip In Twenty Years ???
Cintra’s Answer
Source: “How much will I-77 tolls cost?”, WCNC, August 21, 2014
Congestion On General Lanes
2015 2035 Difference
AM Commute(Minutes)
39.4 71.6 32.3
PM Commute(Minutes)
41.5 69.3 27.8
Total(Minutes)
80.9 140.9 60.0
Source: I-77 HOT Lanes Technical Memorandum #6, Stantec, Sept 4, 2012
Commute Time Lengthens By An Hour per Day
Average Commute Time- Charlotte to Mooresville
Typical Access Point
Source: Executed Comprehensive Agreement
Access Points
South of Exit 33South of Exit 33
South of WestmorelandSouth of Westmoreland
At HambrightAt Hambright
South of WT HarrisSouth of WT Harris
Exits 23, 25, 30, 31 Bypassed
Source: Transportation Funding Update, Huntersville Town Board, Oct 20, 2014
Where Would You Locate Your Business/Home?
Lake Norman? Guaranteed
congestion and increased travel
costs
Lake Norman? Guaranteed
congestion and increased travel
costs
Gastonia? I-85 to be widened with GP lanes/CLT
Proximity
Gastonia? I-85 to be widened with GP lanes/CLT
Proximity
Concord? I-85 widened with
GP lanes/New Interchanges
Concord? I-85 widened with
GP lanes/New Interchanges
Rock Hill? I-77 No Tolls/Low
Taxes/CLT Proximity
Rock Hill? I-77 No Tolls/Low
Taxes/CLT Proximity
LKN: A Uniquely Poor Position
Debt Service
Source: Financial Plan, Cintra, June 26, 2014; WI77 Analysis; “Managed Lane Pricing Guide”, FHWA, 2012
Historically high tolls required from second smallest metro area
$-
$10.0
$20.0
$30.0
$40.0
$50.0
$60.0
$70.0
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
TIFIA Principal
TIFIA Interest
PAB Principal
PAB Interest
Operating Expense
Millions
CA 91
I-95 MIA
HOU, DEN, MSP, SAN + 6 OTHERS
Why would our government fund such a project?
We cannot assume the bond markets will come to their senses
Status
“Commercial Close” Contract signed June 26, 2014
Lawsuit Filed January 20, 2015
“Financial Close” Deadline Missed Was supposed to be January 22, 2015 What happened?
Financial Close
Cintra posted a $15 million “Financial Close Security” bond at contract signing
Financial close deadline:210 days from contract signing
Contract allows extension in the case of… A “Relief Event” A “material adverse change” in the bond terms Cintra posts a $50 million bond
Source: Executed Comprehensive Agreement, June 26, 2105
So what happened?
Jan 19: NCDOT and Cintra amend the contract Extends financial close to April 19, 2015 “By mutual agreement” No penalty for Cintra, and…
The taxpayer pays for re-financing fees
Source: Executed Comprehensive Agreement Amendment 1, January 19, 2015
$2.3M in legal fees to craft an unenforced contract
Now What?
A New Funding Paradigm: STI
Passed last summer HB 817
Replaces Equity Formula Favored rural over urban areas
More data-driven Supposed to remove pork politicking
NCDOT STI Scores for I-77 Project
How Does This Rank Against Other Statewide Projects?
Source: “STI & I-77” press release, NCDOT
I77 General Purpose Lane Project
I77 scores higher than 33 funded projects
Projects to be funded
Projects unfundedI-77 GP project through Lake Norman
73 “Statewide” funded projects
377 Unfunded Projects
Highest scoring funded project
Lowest scoring funded project
A General Purpose Lane Project Would Likely Be Funded…
Source: STI 9-24-14 STI 3.0 Total Score
The “Bad” News: STI Corridor Cap
“No more than 10% (or about $200 million) may be assigned to any one project or group of projects within the same corridor during a five year period.”
…”I-77 South projects would out score, and use all of the corridor funds available for at least the next ten years….”
“Right of way purchase for the I-77 South projects begin in 2024, with actual construction still further out.”
Rather than a 10 year wait, we have a 9 year window to widen I-77!!!!
Source: “STI & I-77” press release, NCDOT, July 24, 2014
The Better News… “Under the STI law all projects that were
projected for construction after July 1, 2015 are subject to scoring under the new funding formula.”
“Because the I-77 North Managed Lanes (North of I-277) project is scheduled to begin construction before July 1, 2015 it is not subject to the new law and was not scored under STI.”
It’s now 2015….
Source: “STI & I-77” press release, NCDOT, July 24, 2014
Why would NCDOT rank a GP project?
“I-77 is …a critical, north-south transportation corridor for the Charlotte-metro region and beyond.”
“Because the project is designed to address an immediate need…”
“…the (toll lane project) enables NCDOT to address a critical need…”
Sources: I-77 HOT Lanes EA, July 2013; Fix I-77 Now! Blog, NCDOT, June 26, 2014
Because NCDOT is on record as saying widening I-77 is critical
What’s next?
Continue with the lawsuit
Rank a GP project starting July Simply follow the process Requires political support
What can you do?
Contact your state representative Rep Charlie Jeter: [email protected] Rep John Bradford: [email protected] Rep John Fraley: [email protected] Sen Jeff Tarte: [email protected] Sen David Curtis: [email protected]
Address each individually Be respectful- remember, we can’t do this without
them! Use titles
Tell them we want a GP solution scored under STI
What else can you do?
Tell your friends and neighbors Fliers for business “Like” us FB Raleigh road trip Donate!
How can businesses help?
You run a “special” and donate a portion of the proceeds
We promote your business 5,000+ FB “likes” 20-30000 weekly reach
Locals Support our issue
Zero cost
Honor system A win-win!
About Widen I-77
A 501(c) (3)organization Donations are tax deductible Subject to IRS reporting and auditing
Your best shot at widening I77 without tolls!
Appendix
Bonus Allocation- All Projects
Source: CRTPO Agenda, Feb 18, 2015
Bonus Allocation- New Projects
Source: CRTPO Agenda, Feb 18, 2015
Bonus Allocation- LKN New Projects
Source: CRTPO Agenda, Feb 18, 2015
How Did We Get Here?
“We have $70 billion in identified and ranked
transportation projects with only $11 billion to
pay the bill.”
Some NC Transportation “Needs”
$6.4 Billion for toll roads 9 out of 10 most expensive projects are tolled $4.6 billion “cost to NCDOT”
$717 million for new 4-lane From Lenoir (pop 19,000) to Tarleton (pop 11,000)
$306 million to widen NC-33 From Grimesland (pop 400) to Aurora (pop 500)
$600 Million for Urban Loops Wilkesboro, Red Springs, Lillington et al
Source: NCDOT 9-24-14 Priority 3.0 Final Scores
With these “needs”, no wonder NCGA really wants to build tolls…With these “needs”, no wonder NCGA really wants to build tolls…
North Carolina’s First Toll Road
$(60)
$(50)
$(40)
$(30)
$(20)
$(10)
$-
$10
$20
$30
Revenues: $24M
Operating Exp: $21M
Debt Service: ~$50M
$47M Annual Shortfall
Source: NCTA Annual Report, WI77 analysis
Triangle Expressway Financial Results
Who pays the difference?Who pays the difference?
Reprioritizing Transportation Funding
Statewide (40%)~$2.4B
Regional (40%)~$2.4B
Division(20%)
~$1.2B
Per capitaby region
Equallyto Divisions
Project Merit (Data)
5 6 7
8 9 10111213
4321
14
A B C
D E F G
Interstates/ NHS/STRAHNET
/Tolls/Etc
(S) + Hwys, Airport, Rail,
Transit
(S) + (R) + Local
Three-Plus Chances for Funding GP LanesHB817, Strategic Transportation Investments,
Strategic Mobility Fund- Criteria
• Benefit/Cost• Congestion• Economic
competitiveness• Freight• Multi-modal• Pavement
condition• Lane width• Shoulder width
100%
Statewide (40%)~$2.4B
Regional (40%)~$2.4B
Division(20%)
~$1.2B
• Benefit/Cost• Congestion• Economic
competitiveness• Freight• Multi-modal• Pavement condition• Lane width• Shoulder width
70%
• Local considerations
30%
• Benefit/Cost• Congestion• Economic competitiveness• Freight• Multi-modal• Pavement condition• Lane width• Shoulder width
50%
• Local considerations
50%
Much Greater Emphasis on Project Merit
NDOT Divisions