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GEOS-CHEM INTEX-A modeling and analysis...NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100...

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GEOS GEOS - - CHEM INTEX CHEM INTEX - - A modeling and analysis A modeling and analysis Bottom-up inventory of the biomass burning emissions in North America during the summer 2004, S. Turquety, Harvard University; A Summertime Ozone Maximum in the UT over the Southern U.S.: Trapping of Convective Pollution by the Upper-level Anticyclone, Qinbin Li, JPL; Summertime influence of Asian pollution in the middle and upper troposphere during INTEX-A, Qing Liang, University of Washington; HCHO during ICARTT: implications for GOME/OMI, Dylan Millet, Harvard University; A multi-platform analysis of the North American reactive nitrogen budget during the ICARTT summer intensive, Rynda Hudman, Harvard University ICARTT forecasts and NRT: http://coco.atmos.washington.edu/cgi-bin/ion-p?page=geos_intexa.ion
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Page 1: GEOS-CHEM INTEX-A modeling and analysis...NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100 ppt from lightning). High HOx (~10 ppt) reflects photolysis of CH 2O from biogenic

GEOSGEOS--CHEM INTEXCHEM INTEX--A modeling and analysisA modeling and analysis

Bottom-up inventory of the biomass burning emissions in North America during the summer 2004, S. Turquety, Harvard University;

A Summertime Ozone Maximum in the UT over the Southern U.S.: Trapping of Convective Pollution by the Upper-level Anticyclone, Qinbin Li, JPL;

Summertime influence of Asian pollution in the middle and uppertroposphere during INTEX-A, Qing Liang, University of Washington;

HCHO during ICARTT: implications for GOME/OMI, Dylan Millet, Harvard University;

A multi-platform analysis of the North American reactive nitrogen budgetduring the ICARTT summer intensive, Rynda Hudman, Harvard University

ICARTT forecasts and NRT:

http://coco.atmos.washington.edu/cgi-bin/ion-p?page=geos_intexa.ion

Page 2: GEOS-CHEM INTEX-A modeling and analysis...NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100 ppt from lightning). High HOx (~10 ppt) reflects photolysis of CH 2O from biogenic

Solène Turquety – INTEX Data Meeting March 30, 2005

Alaska:

• > 2.6 million hectares burned

• > 8 x 10-year average

Canada:

• 15 x average area burned in Yukon Territory (60% of national total)

• 6 x average in British Columbia

US National Interagency Coordination Center (NICC)

Canadian Interagency Forest Fire Center (CIFFC)

BottomBottom--up inventory of the biomass burning emissions in North America up inventory of the biomass burning emissions in North America during the summer 2004during the summer 2004

S. S. TurquetyTurquety, D. J. Jacob, R. C. , D. J. Jacob, R. C. HudmanHudman, J. A. Logan, R. M. , J. A. Logan, R. M. YevichYevich, F. Y. Leung, R. M. , F. Y. Leung, R. M. YantoscaYantosca, , L. K. Emmons, D. P. Edwards, INTEX Science TeamL. K. Emmons, D. P. Edwards, INTEX Science Team

Page 3: GEOS-CHEM INTEX-A modeling and analysis...NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100 ppt from lightning). High HOx (~10 ppt) reflects photolysis of CH 2O from biogenic

Daily reports of the area burned from the NIFC

Solène Turquety – INTEX Data Meeting March 30, 2005

BottomBottom--up inventory of the biomass burning emissions in North America up inventory of the biomass burning emissions in North America during the summer 2004during the summer 2004

Emissions CO 2004Emissions / unit area

A x 60%[W.M. Hao, FSL, Personal comm.]

Derive emissions for 10 species, with 1x1 horizontal resolution:NOx, CO, lumped >= C4 alkanes, lumped >= C3 alkenes, acetone, methyl ethyl ketone, acetaldehyde, propane, formaldehyde, and ethane.

MODIS hotspots

Page 4: GEOS-CHEM INTEX-A modeling and analysis...NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100 ppt from lightning). High HOx (~10 ppt) reflects photolysis of CH 2O from biogenic

Alaska

Canada

Solène Turquety – INTEX Data Meeting March 30, 2005

BottomBottom--up inventory of the biomass burning emissions in North America up inventory of the biomass burning emissions in North America during the summer 2004during the summer 2004

(MOPITT – Model)/MOPITT

MOPITT Total CO

GEOS-CHEM Total CO x MOPITT AK

Total emissions North America June 1st – August 31st = 10.3 Tg CO

Alaska : 5.7 Tg CO ≈ 3 x climatology Yevich et Logan

Canada: 4.5 Tg CO ≈ 0.9 x climatology Yukon territory: 2.3 Tg CO ≈ 4.4 x climatology

Underestimate emissions by ~ 25% on average

Page 5: GEOS-CHEM INTEX-A modeling and analysis...NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100 ppt from lightning). High HOx (~10 ppt) reflects photolysis of CH 2O from biogenic

Solène Turquety – INTEX Data Meeting March 30, 2005

Ongoing and future workOngoing and future work

1. Using satellite observations to constrain the daily North American biomass burning emissions during the summer 2004

• Magnitude? • Injection height?

2. Inverse modeling of North American anthropogenic emissions of CO using aircraft and satellite measurements

MOPITT CO for July 18GEOS-CHEM NRT July 18

InversionA posteriori sourcesA priori sources

GEOS-CHEM

Page 6: GEOS-CHEM INTEX-A modeling and analysis...NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100 ppt from lightning). High HOx (~10 ppt) reflects photolysis of CH 2O from biogenic

A Summertime Ozone Maximum in the UT over the Southern U.S.: Trapping of Convective Pollution by the Upper-level Anticyclone

Ozone > 90 ppb

ozonesonde

GEOS-CHEM

Anthropogenic

Lightning

Biogenic

Ozonesonde data from NewChurch et al. [2003]

Qinbin Li1

Daniel Jacob2, Rokjin J. Park2

Yuxuan Wang2, Rynda Hudman2

Robert M. Yantosca2

Randall V. Martin3, Mathew Evans4

1JPL 2Harvard University 3Dalhousie University 4University of Leeds

GEOS-CHEM Ozone 300 hPa, July 2000

Page 7: GEOS-CHEM INTEX-A modeling and analysis...NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100 ppt from lightning). High HOx (~10 ppt) reflects photolysis of CH 2O from biogenic

GEOS-CHEM CO and Ozone at 300 hPa

Convective Outflow Trapped by the Upper-level Anticyclone

Deep convection over the central and southeast U.S. lifts surface emissions to the upper troposphere. Some of the pollution can be trapped by the upper-level anticyclone before eventual export to the North Atlantic.

Page 8: GEOS-CHEM INTEX-A modeling and analysis...NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100 ppt from lightning). High HOx (~10 ppt) reflects photolysis of CH 2O from biogenic

Ozone production & concentrations of NOx, CH2O, and HOx at 300 hPa

Ozone production rates of up to 10 ppb/day over deep convective regions. NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100 ppt from lightning). High HOx (~10 ppt) reflects photolysis of CH2O from biogenic isoprene convectively lifted to the upper troposphere.

Jaegle et al. [2001]

Standard Simulation Lightning NOx x 4

Page 9: GEOS-CHEM INTEX-A modeling and analysis...NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100 ppt from lightning). High HOx (~10 ppt) reflects photolysis of CH 2O from biogenic

Anthropogenic

Biogenic

Lightning

Source Attributions by Sensitivity Simulations

Strong deep convection

region

Dominated by high biogenic

isoprene emissions

Ozone production during circulation

Page 10: GEOS-CHEM INTEX-A modeling and analysis...NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100 ppt from lightning). High HOx (~10 ppt) reflects photolysis of CH 2O from biogenic

July 10 (DC-8 flt 6)

300 hPa 7-day back-trajectories, July 12 flight track (DC-8 flt 7)

UT recirculation over SE U.S.

during July 10-12 (H. Fuelberg)

Page 11: GEOS-CHEM INTEX-A modeling and analysis...NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100 ppt from lightning). High HOx (~10 ppt) reflects photolysis of CH 2O from biogenic

DC-8 July 12 flight: 80-110 ppb O3 observed at 6-10 km over SE U.S.

DIAL O3

Model

(300 hPa)

DC8

model too low by 20-30 ppbv

Page 12: GEOS-CHEM INTEX-A modeling and analysis...NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100 ppt from lightning). High HOx (~10 ppt) reflects photolysis of CH 2O from biogenic

Summertime influence of Asian pollution in the middle and upper troposphere during INTEX-A

Asian plumes sampled during INTEX-A(Modeled Asian CO > 25-30 ppbv)

What was the extent of Asian influence over the U.S. during INTEX-A?Use GEOS-CHEM to identify Asian plumes in observations, characterize their composition, and elucidate their chemical evolution and transport mechanisms

QingQing LiangLiang and and LyattLyatt JaeglJaegléé, University of Washington, University of Washingtonand INTEX Science Teamand INTEX Science Team

6 Asian plumes

Asian CO

GEOS-CHEMModelObserv.

Observed CO

July 1

Page 13: GEOS-CHEM INTEX-A modeling and analysis...NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100 ppt from lightning). High HOx (~10 ppt) reflects photolysis of CH 2O from biogenic

July 1, 2004: Rapid trans-Pacific transport in 3-5 days!

Observed O3 [ppbv]: DIAL+FASTOZ

Modeled Asian CO [ppbv]

1

23

1 2 3Asian plume in AIRS CO

Asian Plume

Asian plume intercepted 3 times

12

3

Page 14: GEOS-CHEM INTEX-A modeling and analysis...NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100 ppt from lightning). High HOx (~10 ppt) reflects photolysis of CH 2O from biogenic

Chemical Composition of Asian Plumes

Background Asian Plumes Observed Δ Model Δ July 1 July 1 Δ

CO, ppbv 94 113 +19 +6 108 +14

O3, ppbv 69 92 +23 +13 101 +32

HNO3, pptv 241 233 -8 +20 188 -53

PAN, pptv 302 399 +97 +4 316 +14

Acetylene, pptv 78 125 +47 129 +51SO4

=, pptv 86 86 0 119 +33

CO – O3 CO – HNO3 CO – PAN

Asian Plumes -- Model Asian CO > 25~30 ppbvBackground air – Eliminate fresh convection, lightning, stratosphere, Alaskan fires

Page 15: GEOS-CHEM INTEX-A modeling and analysis...NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100 ppt from lightning). High HOx (~10 ppt) reflects photolysis of CH 2O from biogenic

All profiles

E. U.S.

Atlantic

HCHO during ICARTT:implications for GOME/OMI

24

68

10

0 1000 2000 3000 4000CH2O [ppt]

Z (k

m)

NCARURIGEOS-CHEM

24

68

10

0 1000 2000 3000 4000CH2O [ppt]

Z (k

m)

NCARURIGEOS-CHEM 24

68

10

0 1000 2000 3000 4000CH2O [ppt]

Z (k

m)

NCARURIGEOS-CHEM

Page 16: GEOS-CHEM INTEX-A modeling and analysis...NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100 ppt from lightning). High HOx (~10 ppt) reflects photolysis of CH 2O from biogenic

0 500 1000 1500 2000

010

020

030

0

>6km

CH2O [ppt]

Measured (NCAR) Mean: 178 ppt SD: 162Measured (URI) Mean: 120 ppt SD: 116Modeled (GEOS-CHEM) Mean: 162 ppt SD: 111

0 1000 2000 3000 4000

050

100

150

200

250 2-6km

CH2O [ppt]

Measured (NCAR) Mean: 459 ppt SD: 366Measured (URI) Mean: 301 ppt SD: 249Modeled (GEOS-CHEM) Mean: 379 ppt SD: 317

0 2000 4000 6000

020

6010

0

< 2km

CH2O [ppt]

Measured (NCAR) Mean: 1846 ppt SD: 1215Measured (URI) Mean: 1276 ppt SD: 830Modeled (GEOS-CHEM) Mean: 1737 ppt SD: 1171

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000

040

080

012

00All Data

CH2O [ppt]

Measured (NCAR) Mean: 788 ppt SD: 1029Measured (URI) Mean: 539 ppt SD: 710Modeled (GEOS-CHEM) Mean: 674 ppt SD: 943

Page 17: GEOS-CHEM INTEX-A modeling and analysis...NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100 ppt from lightning). High HOx (~10 ppt) reflects photolysis of CH 2O from biogenic

HCHO during ICARTT:implications for GOME/OMI

∫=0

1

)()( σσσ dSwAMFAMF GAMFG: Geometric factor

w(σ): Scattering weights

~ -∂(lnIB)/ ∂ τ

S(σ): Shape factor

Normalized vertical distribution

From model

AMF: Slant column / vertical column

Page 18: GEOS-CHEM INTEX-A modeling and analysis...NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100 ppt from lightning). High HOx (~10 ppt) reflects photolysis of CH 2O from biogenic

Clear Sky AMF Comparison- all profiles -

Small negative bias (-7%) in modeled clear sky AMF

-60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60

02

46

100*{AMF(mod)-AMF(meas)}/AMF(mod)

Mean bias: -6.6%SD: 15.7%SE: 2.4%n = 43

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

1000

600

300

w

PRES

S [h

pa]

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

1000

600

300

PRES

S [h

pa]

AMF(meas) = 1.11 (0.18)AMF(mod) = 1.05 (0.15)

S(meas)S(mod)S*w(meas)S*w(mod)

Page 19: GEOS-CHEM INTEX-A modeling and analysis...NOx are 150-300 ppt over much of the eastern US (50-100 ppt from lightning). High HOx (~10 ppt) reflects photolysis of CH 2O from biogenic

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

1000

600

300

w

PRES

S [h

pa]

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

1000

600

300

PRES

S [h

pa]

AMF(meas) = 1.06 (0.17)AMF(mod) = 0.99 (0.12)

S(meas)S(mod)S*w(meas)S*w(mod)

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

1000

600

300

w

PRES

S [h

pa]

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

1000

600

300

PRES

S [h

pa]

AMF(meas) = 1.17 (0.04)AMF(mod) = 1.23 (0.13)

S(meas)S(mod)S*w(meas)S*w(mod)

Continental profiles:

Oceanic profiles:


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