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“Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

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Dr. Surya Darma Indonesia Geothermal Association (INAGA) & Indonesia Renewable Energy Society (METI - IRES) Argeo C6, Addis Ababa November 2016 “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”
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Page 1: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

Dr. Surya Darma

Indonesia Geothermal Association (INAGA)

& Indonesia Renewable Energy Society (METI - IRES)

Argeo C6, Addis Ababa November 2016

“Geothermal Development Program

and Status in Indonesia”

Page 2: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

Outline

• Indonesia Energy condition

•Geothermal Energy Status

•National Energy Policy

•National Energy Mix Target

•Development Plan

•Geothermal & RE Road Map and Strategy

Page 3: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

Indonesia Energy Condition

Page 4: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

Current energy conditions

• Energy supply in Indonesia is still dominated by fossil fuel

• Not all of Indonesians have enjoyed electricity;

electrification ratio is only about 84%

• Due to energy crisis, Indonesia government has to

prioritize fossil based energy compared to renewable,

since fossil based energy takes shorter time for

deployment

• Implications: energy sector will become the major source

of emission after 2020

Page 5: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

Diesel 11.7%

Coal 52.8%

Gas 24.2%

Geothermal

4.4%

Hydro 6.5%

Others 0.4%

*) Hanya PLN dan IPP

Persentage of installed capacity

Persentase Pemakaian Listrik

Per-golongan

Persentage of Energy Mix

53.585 MW

Total Installed Capacity:

(PLN: 37.280 MW, IPP: 10.995 MW, PPU: 2.634

MW, IO Non BBM: 2.677 MW)

199 TWh

Power Consumption

84,35%

Electrification Ratio

Power Production*)

228 TWh

Power Condition (March 2015)

Total System Indonesia = 24

System (5 Normal; 14 Emergency; and 5 Deficit)

Note: Normal = Reserve > 20%; Emergency = Reserve < 1

the Biggest Unit ; Deficit = Black out partially

ELECTRICITY CONDITION

5

Page 6: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

Geothermal Energy Status

Page 7: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

1.493,5 MW New 4 Geothermal PP COD around 215

MW (Ulubelu 55 MW, Sarulla 110 MW,

Lahendong 20 MW, Karaha Bodas 30 MW)

1. Geothermal Power Plant

Installed Capacity

3. Resources : 12,386 MW and Reserves : 16,524 MW

Total Potential : 28,910 MW

2. State Revenue (non-tax)

Rp. 518 billion (82,2% from Rp. 630 billion, target in 2016 )

Rp

7

Current Geothermal Reserves &

Installed Status

Resources 12,386 MW Reserves16,524 MW

Total Potential 28,910 MW

Page 8: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

No. WKP, Location Power Plant Developer/

Operator Turbine Unit

Capasity

Total

(MW)

1 Sibayak – Sinabung, SUMUT 1 Sibayak PT. Pertamina Geothermal

Energy

1 x 10 MW;

2 MW monoblok) 12,0

2 Cibeureum – Parabakti, JABAR 2 Salak Chevron Geothermal Salak,

Ltd

3 x 60 MW;

3 x 65,6 MW 377,0

3 Pangalengan, JABAR 3 Wayang Windu

Star Energy Geothermal

Wayang Windu

1 x 110 MW;

1 x 117 MW 227,0

4 Patuha PT Geo Dipa Energi 1 x 55 MW 55,0

4 Kamojang – Darajat, JABAR

5 Kamojang PT. Pertamina Geothermal

Energy

1 x 30 MW;

2 x 55 MW;

1 x 60MW

1 x 35 MW

235,0

6 Darajat Chevron Geothermal

Indonesia, Ltd

1 x 55 MW;

1 x 94 MW;

1 x 121 MW

270,0

5 Dataran Tinggi Dieng, JATENG 7 Dieng PT. Geo Dipa Energi 1 x 60 MW 60,0

6 Lahendong – Tompaso, SULUT 8 Lahendong PT. Pertamina Geothermal

Energy 4 x 20 MW 80,0

7 Waypanas, LAMPUNG 9 Ulubelu PT. Pertamina Geothermal

Energy 3 x 55 MW 165,0

8 Ulumbu, NTT 10 Ulumbu PT. PLN (Persero) 4 x 2,5 MW 10,0

9 Mataloko, NTT 11 Mataloko PT. PLN (Persero) 1 x 2,5 MW 2,5

TOTAL 1.493,5

GEOTHERMAL ISNTALLED CAPACITY

Page 9: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

1. Geothermal Investment

2. Renewable Investment

0.018 billion USD

(18% of target 0.1 billion USD)

3. Bioenergy Investment

0.298 billion USD

(94.7% of target 0.31 billion USD)

0.56 billion USD

(58.3% of target 0.96 billion USD)

1st semester 2016 : 0,87 billion USD

2016 target : 1,37 billion USD

9

INVESTMENT

Page 10: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

National Energy Policy

Page 11: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

11

Paragraph (2) of article 11 Government Regulation Number 79 Year 2014 concerning National Energy Policy (KEN)

1. Maximize renewable energy utilization;

2. Optimize gas and new energy utilization;

3. Minimize oil utilization.

4. Utilization of coal as the main national energy supply;

5. Utilization of Nuclear Power Plant as the last option.

National Energy Policy

Principles

Page 12: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

National Energy Mix Target

Page 13: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

46%

26%

23%

5%

2015 166 MTOE

23

%

25

%

30

%

22

%

2025 412 MTOE

31

%

20

%

25

%

24

%

2050 1.030 MTOE

New and Renewable Energy Oil Gas Coal

TARGET OF NATIONAL ENERGY MIX

TARGET

RUEN 2025

TARGET

RUEN 2050

CURRENT

CONDITION

Page 14: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

Target of RE in 2025

Note:

NRE = New & Renewable Energy

Energy elasticity < 1

Optimize use of RE

Electricity:

• 60% Fossil (68.2 GW), 40% RE (46.8 GW)

• Total Demand: 115 GW by 2025

Need a leapfrog to meet NRE contribution in energy

mix from 5% in 2016 to 23% in 2025: possible?

Page 15: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

Development Plan

Page 16: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

Direktorat Jenderal Energi Baru, Terbarukan dan Konservasi Energi

Kementerian Energi dan Sumber Daya Mineral

Ministry Regulation 17/2014 to

Accelerate 13 Stagnant

WKP)

67 WKP

(6.198,5 MW)

EKSPLOITATION:

9 WKP (1.403,5 MW)

Stagnant:

13 WKP (1.275 MW)

Under Going:

17 WKP (1.930 MW)

EXPLORATION:

30 WKP ( 3.205 MW)

Bidding Process:

26 WKP (1.425 MW)

Under process

License:

2 WKP (165 MW)

Expected produce: 3.370 MW

Geothermal Development Status

Page 17: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

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Geothermal Growth (Cumulative MW)

Low estimate MEMR PLN Roadmap

Development plans

17

Low estimate: • Number of developments is

similar to MEMR plan, but • Size of some individual

projects is smaller and some are delayed

Page 18: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

Development plans, cont.

18

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 2013 2018

Number of Power Projects

Annual build MEMR Annual build low estimate MEMR Low Estimate

Page 19: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

Geothermal & RE Road Map and

Strategies

Page 20: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

Pemanfaatan Utilization

Eksplorasi

Exploration

Survey

Pendahuluan

Preliminary

Survey

3G Geophysic

Geochemical

Geologic

Sumur

uji Deliniation

well

Sumur

eksplorasi Exploration well

Sumur

pengembangan &

injeksi Dev’t & Injection well

Eksploitasi

Exploitation

Pemb. fasiltas lap &

penunjangnya Steamfield & supporting facilities

Operasi

produksi Production

operation

Studi

Kelayakan Feasibility

Study

Badan Usaha

Government/

Local Government/

Business Entity

Paling lama 5 tahun + 1 tahun + 1

tahun

Maximum 5 years + 1 year + 1 year

30Years

Maximum 30 years

Business Entity

Badan Usaha

Business

Entity

Badan Usaha

Business Entity

Potensi

Panas Bumi

Geothermal

Potential

Ijin Panas Bumi

Geothermal License

Pemerintah/

Pemerintah Daerah/

Badan Usaha

WILAYAH KERJA

PANAS BUMI

Eksplorasi

Exploration

Pemerintah/

Badan Usaha

Government/

Business Entity

Pasal 17

ayat (4)

GEOTHERMAL BUSINESS ACTIVITIES

AND PROCESS

Page 21: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

RE Roadmap and Strategies 2015-2025

Energy type

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025

Oil 37% 35% 34% 32% 31% 29% 25%

Gas 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 22%

Coal 33% 33% 34% 35% 36% 36% 30%

RE 10% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 23%

TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

1. Good governance, clean and accountable;

2. Completing regulations;

3. Business licensed simplification;

4. Creating Incentives;

5. Preserving renewable energy subsidy;

6. Coordinating with ministries/regional

government and association;

7. Energy saving campaign;

8. Updating renewable energy data;

9. Enhancing the networking;

STRATEGY

+ 36,3 GW electricity from RE

Within 10 years

3,6 GW per annum

± Rp. 1.600 trillion needed

Power Plant

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025

Geothermal PP

1.439 1.654 2.004 2.344 2.979 3.804 7.239

Hydro/Mini/Micro PP

5.024 5.139 5.266 5.619 7.154 7.735 20.960

Bio PP 1.740 1.886 2.093 2.359 2.674 3.024 5.532

PV PP 79 229 429 679 979 1.379 6.379

Wind PP 7 57 107 207 307 507 1.807

Others 372 1.860 1.860 1.860 1.861 1.863 3.128

TOTAL 8.660 10.842 11.758 13.067 15.953 18.310 45.044

21

Page 22: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

Development Strategy

GOI is actively promote and set up the RE strategy

development. Some effort has been done such as:

improving policy and regulation,

creating the market,

subsidy,

feed in tariff,

incentives and facilities,

funding and financial supports, and

developing cooperation with other countries and international

institutions.

22

Page 23: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

Direktorat Jenderal Energi Baru, Terbarukan dan Konservasi Energi

Kementerian Energi dan Sumber Daya Mineral

1. Ammandment of the Geothermal Law No.27/2003 to Law No.21/2014;

2. Revise Goernment Regulation No. 59/2007 and GR No. 70/2010 on

Geothermal Business;

3. GR No. 79 Year 2014 on NEP;

4. President Regulation No. 4 / 2010 to Mandated Public Utilities - PT.

PLN to Accelerate utilie RE;

5. Ministry of Energy Regulation

No 11/2008 on Procedure of Geothermal Working Area;

No 02/2009 on the Procedure of Preliminary Survey by Private

Company;

No 11/2009 on Geothermal Business Process and Bidding;

No 17/2014 on Geothermal Pricing;

No 40/2014 on the List of the Geothermal Project to be

REGULATION TO SUPPORT

GEOTHERMAL DEVELOPMENT

Page 24: “Geothermal Development Program and Status in Indonesia”

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