The Climate Council is an independent, crowd-funded organisation
providing quality information on climate change to the Australian public.
CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
GIGA-WHAT? EXPLAINING AUSTRALIA’S RENEWABLE ENERGY TARGET
Authorship: Petra Stock
Published by the Climate Council of Australia Limited
ISBN: 978-0-9942453-4-2 (web)
© Climate Council of Australia Ltd 2015
This work is copyright the Climate Council of Australia Ltd. All material contained in this work is copyright the Climate Council of Australia Ltd except where a third party source is indicated.
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Giga-What? A guide to the Renewable Energy Target by Petra Stock (Climate Council of Australia).
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Petra Stock
Page 1CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
KEY FINDINGS
Key Findings 1. Renewable energy is a crucial
way to reduce carbon emissions from electricity supply and combat climate change.
› Burning fossil fuels for electricity
production is the largest source of
greenhouse gas emissions driving
climate change.
› Australia’s renewable energy
resources are capable of producing
500 times the amount of electricity
we currently use.
› A Productivity Commission review
of more than 1,000 emissions
reduction policies found that
policies encouraging additional
large-scale renewable electricity
power plants were the second-
most cost-effective set of policies
after emissions trading schemes.
2. While renewable energy is booming globally, policy uncertainty around the Renewable Energy Target means investment has fallen in Australia.
› Investment in large-scale
renewable energy projects fell 88
percent in Australia in 2014, while
global investment in renewable
energy grew.
3. The Renewable Energy Target has reduced greenhouse gas emissions in Australia.
› To date, the Renewable Energy
Target has reduced greenhouse
gas emissions by 22.5 million
tonnes carbon dioxide- equivalent
to 10 per cent of Australia’s annual
electricity emissions.
› In future, if the current policy
continues, the RET will reduce
emissions by 58 million tonnes
carbon dioxide (2015–2020) –
equivalent to annual emissions
from all of Australia’s passenger
cars and light commercial vehicles.
Page 2
GIGA-WHAT? EXPLAINING AUSTRALIA’S RENEWABLE ENERGY TARGET
CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
Over the past year, there has been
plenty of wrangling over the future
of Australia’s renewable energy target
(RET). The RET debate tends to get
caught up in technical terms and
specialised arguments – like how many
gigawatthours (GWh) the target should
be – making it difficult for anyone not in
the renewable energy industry to follow.
Renewable energy is an important
solution to climate change given the
energy sector is responsible for both the
largest proportion and biggest growth
of greenhouse gas emissions created by
people (IPCC 2014).
The Climate Council is consistently
asked questions from the public and
the media about renewable energy and
the RET. This report aims to provide a
simple guide to how this policy works,
explaining key terms and concepts, and
answering common misconceptions.
Given the majority – over 70% - of
Australians support retaining or
increasing the RET (Climate Institute
2014), it’s important for all of us to
understand what changes, if any,
are proposed following the recent
Warburton (Commonwealth of Australia
2014) and Climate Change Authority
(2014) reviews. We hope this report
helps you to unscramble the technical
jargon and get to the bottom of any
announcements, reports or proposals
on the RET.
1. Introduction
Page 3CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
02BACK TO BASICS: WHAT IS A RENEWABLE ENERGY TARGET?
A renewable energy target is a policy
to encourage more renewable energy,
that is energy produced from naturally
replenished sources such as sunlight,
wind, rain, tides and heat from the
Earth (ARENA 2014).
There are many reasons countries,
like Australia, adopt renewable energy
targets: action on climate change; an
abundant and free fuel source with
limited reliance on scarce resources
like water; health and environmental
benefits; energy access and security;
and to provide an economic boost to
regional economies (Box 1).
2. Back to basics: What is a renewable energy target?
Australia’s renewable energy resources are capable of providing 500 times the amount of electricity we currently use.
Page 4
GIGA-WHAT? EXPLAINING AUSTRALIA’S RENEWABLE ENERGY TARGET
CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
Box 1: Reasons for having a renewable energy targetACTION ON CLIMATE CHANGERenewable energy targets aim to reduce
emissions in the electricity sector,
which is “pivotal” for limiting global
warming to no more than 2°C (Climate
Change Authority 2014). This is because
globally and in Australia, electricity
produced using fossil fuels is the largest
source of greenhouse gas emissions
(Department of the Environment 2014;
IPCC 2014). In Australia, around 90% of
electricity is generated by fossil fuels,
with 75% coming from coal (Australian
Energy Market Operator 2013a).
Australia’s coal fired power stations
are highly polluting, ageing units using
less efficient technology (Climate
Council 2014a).
AN ABUNDANT AND FREE FUEL SOURCERenewable energy resources are
readily available and free once capital
is invested to harvest them. In Australia,
our renewable energy resources are
among the best in the world; potentially
capable of providing 500 times the
amount of electricity we currently
use (Geoscience Australia and ABARE
2010; AEMO 2013b). On the other hand,
fossil fuels are never free, and most,
like oil, gas and black coal, are now
priced through international trading
mechanisms.
LIMITED RELIANCE ON SCARCE RESOURCES, LIKE WATERRenewable energy technologies
(other than hydroelectricity) do not
require large quantities of water for
cooling unlike coal and nuclear (US
Environmental Protection Agency 2014).
HEALTH AND ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITSIn operation, renewable electricity emits
little or no toxic waste. In contrast, each
part of coal’s lifecycle emits toxic and
carcinogenic substances with severe
health impacts for miners, workers and
local communities (Climate Council
2014b). In China, reducing air pollution
is a major driver behind its renewable
energy targets (Climate Council 2014c).
ENERGY ACCESS AND SECURITYRenewable energy can provide an
affordable and reliable source of energy
within country borders, thereby limiting
reliance on imported fuels such as
oil and gas (IEA 2007).
AN ECONOMIC BOOST TO REGIONAL ECONOMIESRenewable energy can attract investment
and create jobs in regional areas. Farmers
and landowners in regional areas can
benefit from annual lease payments
“drought-proofing” farms by providing
a reliable, alternative source of income
(Climate Council 2014d; REN21 2014).
IN DETAIL 1
Page 16
CLIMATE COUNCIL: BRAND STYLEGUIDE
CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
Fire has been a feature of the Australian environment for at least 65 million years (Cary et al., 2012). Human management of fires also has a long history, starting with fire use by indigenous Australians (“fire-stick farming”) up to 60,000 years ago. European settlement brought changes in fire activity with flow-on effects to Australian landscapes.
Between 3% and 10% of Australia’s land
area burns every year (Western Australian
Land Information Authority, 2013) (Figs.
1 and 2). In the north of the continent,
extensive areas of the tropical savanna
woodlands and grasslands are burnt
every winter during the dry season. High
rainfall during the summer followed
by a dry warm winter, together with
the presence of a highly combustible
grass layer, creates a very flammable
environment. Fire incidence peaks in
the late winter dry season, with intensity
increasing as the season progresses. In
areas that receive more than 1000 mm
of rainfall per year, about 35% of the land
can be burnt in a typical year (Russell-
Smith et al., 2007).
In the southeast and southwest, fires
are common in the heathlands and dry
sclerophyll forests, typically occurring
about every 5 to 30 years, with spring and
summer being peak fire season (Clarke
et al., 2011; Bradstock et al., 2012a). Fires
in the southeast are often associated
with periods of El Niño drought (Murphy
et al., 2013) and may be extremely
intense (El Niño is the phase of the
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
phenomenon characterised by warm dry
conditions, while the La Niña phase is
characterised by cool, wet conditions).
Fires in wet sclerophyll forests, such as
the mountain ash forests in Victoria,
are less frequent but can be of very
high intensity when they do occur (Gill,
1975). Fires are rare in rainforests in the
absence of disturbances
such as logging or cyclones
because of the moist shaded
local climate (Little et al.,
2012). Arid central Australia
experiences intermittent
fires, typically following
periods of extremely high
rainfall associated with La
Niña events because these
events lead to increased fuel
load (Murphy et al., 2013)
(Fig. 3).
The concept of “fire
regimes” is important for understanding
Forest Fire Danger IndexThe Forest Fire Danger Index (FFDI) was
developed in the 1960s by CSIRO scientist A.G.
MacArthur to measure the degree of risk of
fire in Australian forests (Luke and Macarthur,
1978). The Bureau of Meteorology and fire
management agencies use the FFDI to assess
fire risk and issue warnings.
The index is calculated in real time by
combining a number of meteorological
variables: preceding rainfall and evaporation;
current wind speed; temperature; and humidity.
A related index, the Grassland Fire Danger
Index (GFDI), is also used in some regions and
States, calibrated for more flammable grassland
conditions.
The FFDI was originally designed on a scale
from 0 to 100. MacArthur used the conditions of
the catastrophic Black Friday fires of 1939 to set
the maximum value of 100. These fires burned
5 million hectares and constituted, at the time,
one of the largest fire events known globally.
An index of 12 to 25 describes conditions with a
“high” degree of danger. Days with ratings over
50 are considered to be “severe”—a fire ignited
on such a day will likely burn so hot and fast
that suppression becomes difficult. For forests, a
rating over 75 is categorised as “Extreme”.
The FFDI on 7th February 2009 in Victoria,
known as “Black Saturday”, ranged from 120 to
190, the highest FFDI values on record (Karoly,
2009). Following these fires the FFDI in Victoria
was revised and the category “Catastrophic” or
“Code Red” was added (FFDI>100). Consistent
with the increasing incidence of hot and
dry conditions, there have been a number of
declarations of Catastrophic conditions around
southern Australia since Black Saturday.
The FFDI is not only used by management
agencies to calculate risk, it has also become
an important tool for research. For example,
the probability of destruction of property in
the Sydney basin has been found to increase
significantly with increasing FFDI (Bradstock
and Gill, 2001). The FFDI has also been used
extensively in projections of fire risk in the
future (see section 7).
CategoryForest Fire
Danger Index
Grassland Fire
Danger Index
CATASTROPHIC (CODE RED)* 100 + 150 +
EXTREME 75–99 100–149
SEVERE 50–74 50–99
VERY HIGH 25–49 25–49
HIGH 12–24 12–24
LOW TO MODERATE 0–11 0–11
* In Tasmania, the “Catastrophic” category is indicated by the colour black
(Sources: CFA, 2009, Bureau of Meteorology http://www.bom.gov.au/weather-services/bushfire/)
IN DETAIL 1
Page 1
BE PREPARED: CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE
AUSTRALIAN BUSHFIRE THREAT
CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
LAYOUT: DETAIL BOXES
Detail boxes are a good way to
break out content that is quite
separate to the rest of the section-
based content. Generically (as
the name infers) they’re used to
explain one particular thing in
detail, the visual differentiation
allowing a person to skip that
section easily if they desire.
However, they could be used
in a number of different ways,
for example a profile on an
individual firefighter, including
images and an interview, or a full
page graphic.
The majority of the content should stay within the confines
of the main margins, while the grey
background and box heading push outside.
Note (not shown here): Due to the specific
nature of the content graphs and tables
could be more detailed on these pages than
visualised data in the rest of the document.
Note the switch from a 7 column grid to one with 6. This makes the most of what is essentially an information heavy page, and breaks up the main section content further by providing visual variety.
Page 5CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
03RENEWABLE ENERGY TARGETS AROUND THE WORLD
3. Renewable energy targets around the worldAustralia was one of the first countries
in the world to introduce a national
renewable energy target (Clean Energy
Regulator 2013). Now, renewable energy
targets are common worldwide. At the
beginning of 2014, 144 countries (as well
as thousands of states, cities and towns)
had renewable energy targets in place
(REN21 2014; Figure 1).
LOW QUALITY IMAGE
Source: REN21 2014
Figure 1: The number of countries with renewable energy targets is growing
Countries with Renewable Energy Targets
144COUNTRIES
WITH RENEWABLEENERGY TARGETS IN
2014
127COUNTRIES
WITH RENEWABLEENERGY TARGETS IN
2012
138COUNTRIES
WITH RENEWABLEENERGY TARGETS IN
2013
Page 6
GIGA-WHAT? EXPLAINING AUSTRALIA’S RENEWABLE ENERGY TARGET
CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
Table 1: Renewable energy target examples around the world
Area Target
Denmark 50% renewable electricity by 2020
100% by 2050
Indonesia 26% renewable electricity by 2025
New Zealand 90% renewable electricity by 2025
California 50% renewable electricity by 2030
Australia 41,000 GWh large-scale renewable electricity annually by 2020 plus uncapped support for eligible small-scale solar and wind
South Australia 50% renewable electricity by 2025
Targets for all energy consumed (includes electricity, transport, heating...)
European Union (28 countries) 20% renewables of all energy consumed by 2020
Targets for heating and cooling
United Kingdom 12% renewables in total heating and cooling supply by 2020
Targets for transport
Germany 20% renewables of transport energy consumed by 2020
Targets for installing specific renewable energy technologies (capacity targets)
China Overall target of 20% zero emissions energy for all energy by 2030
Technology specific targets:
420 GW hydropower by 2020
200 GW wind power by 2020
50 GW solar photovoltaic power by 2020
200 GW concentrating solar power by 2020
30 GW biomass power by 2020
India Overall target of 15% renewable electricity (not including hydroelectricity) by 2020
Capacity targets:
100 GW solar power by 2022
60 GW wind power by 2022
Note: To gain a sense of the scale of capacity targets – the capacity of Australia’s total electricity supply is 56 GW,
and installed renewable electricity capacity is 15.7 GW
Sources: REN21 2014; RenewEconomy 2014a and b; Governor of the State of California 2015;
Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis 2015
Page 7CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
03RENEWABLE ENERGY TARGETS AROUND THE WORLD
IN DETAIL 2
Page 16
CLIMATE COUNCIL: BRAND STYLEGUIDE
CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
Fire has been a feature of the Australian environment for at least 65 million years (Cary et al., 2012). Human management of fires also has a long history, starting with fire use by indigenous Australians (“fire-stick farming”) up to 60,000 years ago. European settlement brought changes in fire activity with flow-on effects to Australian landscapes.
Between 3% and 10% of Australia’s land
area burns every year (Western Australian
Land Information Authority, 2013) (Figs.
1 and 2). In the north of the continent,
extensive areas of the tropical savanna
woodlands and grasslands are burnt
every winter during the dry season. High
rainfall during the summer followed
by a dry warm winter, together with
the presence of a highly combustible
grass layer, creates a very flammable
environment. Fire incidence peaks in
the late winter dry season, with intensity
increasing as the season progresses. In
areas that receive more than 1000 mm
of rainfall per year, about 35% of the land
can be burnt in a typical year (Russell-
Smith et al., 2007).
In the southeast and southwest, fires
are common in the heathlands and dry
sclerophyll forests, typically occurring
about every 5 to 30 years, with spring and
summer being peak fire season (Clarke
et al., 2011; Bradstock et al., 2012a). Fires
in the southeast are often associated
with periods of El Niño drought (Murphy
et al., 2013) and may be extremely
intense (El Niño is the phase of the
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
phenomenon characterised by warm dry
conditions, while the La Niña phase is
characterised by cool, wet conditions).
Fires in wet sclerophyll forests, such as
the mountain ash forests in Victoria,
are less frequent but can be of very
high intensity when they do occur (Gill,
1975). Fires are rare in rainforests in the
absence of disturbances
such as logging or cyclones
because of the moist shaded
local climate (Little et al.,
2012). Arid central Australia
experiences intermittent
fires, typically following
periods of extremely high
rainfall associated with La
Niña events because these
events lead to increased fuel
load (Murphy et al., 2013)
(Fig. 3).
The concept of “fire
regimes” is important for understanding
Forest Fire Danger IndexThe Forest Fire Danger Index (FFDI) was
developed in the 1960s by CSIRO scientist A.G.
MacArthur to measure the degree of risk of
fire in Australian forests (Luke and Macarthur,
1978). The Bureau of Meteorology and fire
management agencies use the FFDI to assess
fire risk and issue warnings.
The index is calculated in real time by
combining a number of meteorological
variables: preceding rainfall and evaporation;
current wind speed; temperature; and humidity.
A related index, the Grassland Fire Danger
Index (GFDI), is also used in some regions and
States, calibrated for more flammable grassland
conditions.
The FFDI was originally designed on a scale
from 0 to 100. MacArthur used the conditions of
the catastrophic Black Friday fires of 1939 to set
the maximum value of 100. These fires burned
5 million hectares and constituted, at the time,
one of the largest fire events known globally.
An index of 12 to 25 describes conditions with a
“high” degree of danger. Days with ratings over
50 are considered to be “severe”—a fire ignited
on such a day will likely burn so hot and fast
that suppression becomes difficult. For forests, a
rating over 75 is categorised as “Extreme”.
The FFDI on 7th February 2009 in Victoria,
known as “Black Saturday”, ranged from 120 to
190, the highest FFDI values on record (Karoly,
2009). Following these fires the FFDI in Victoria
was revised and the category “Catastrophic” or
“Code Red” was added (FFDI>100). Consistent
with the increasing incidence of hot and
dry conditions, there have been a number of
declarations of Catastrophic conditions around
southern Australia since Black Saturday.
The FFDI is not only used by management
agencies to calculate risk, it has also become
an important tool for research. For example,
the probability of destruction of property in
the Sydney basin has been found to increase
significantly with increasing FFDI (Bradstock
and Gill, 2001). The FFDI has also been used
extensively in projections of fire risk in the
future (see section 7).
CategoryForest Fire
Danger Index
Grassland Fire
Danger Index
CATASTROPHIC (CODE RED)* 100 + 150 +
EXTREME 75–99 100–149
SEVERE 50–74 50–99
VERY HIGH 25–49 25–49
HIGH 12–24 12–24
LOW TO MODERATE 0–11 0–11
* In Tasmania, the “Catastrophic” category is indicated by the colour black
(Sources: CFA, 2009, Bureau of Meteorology http://www.bom.gov.au/weather-services/bushfire/)
IN DETAIL 1
Page 1
BE PREPARED: CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE
AUSTRALIAN BUSHFIRE THREAT
CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
LAYOUT: DETAIL BOXES
Detail boxes are a good way to
break out content that is quite
separate to the rest of the section-
based content. Generically (as
the name infers) they’re used to
explain one particular thing in
detail, the visual differentiation
allowing a person to skip that
section easily if they desire.
However, they could be used
in a number of different ways,
for example a profile on an
individual firefighter, including
images and an interview, or a full
page graphic.
The majority of the content should stay within the confines
of the main margins, while the grey
background and box heading push outside.
Note (not shown here): Due to the specific
nature of the content graphs and tables
could be more detailed on these pages than
visualised data in the rest of the document.
Note the switch from a 7 column grid to one with 6. This makes the most of what is essentially an information heavy page, and breaks up the main section content further by providing visual variety.
China aims to increase wind power by 200 GW in the next 5 years, that’s more than three times Australia’s entire electricity supply.
Box 2: What’s a watt? Key technical terms explained.Gigawatts (GW) and megawatts (MW) are measures of capacity. Capacity is the
maximum amount of electricity that a power station, or multiple power stations are
capable of producing (Climate Council 2014a).
For example, a typical wind turbine has a capacity of between 1.5 – 3 MW, and the
total capacity of Australia’s electricity supply was 56 GW (or 56,000 MW) in 2012–13
(BREE 2014b).
Gigawatthour (GWh) is a measure of electricity generated by a power station/s over a
period of time. For example, the total amount of electricity generated in Australia in
2012–13 was 249,000 GWh (BREE 2014b).
Renewable energy certificates are a kind of tradable currency representing
renewable electricity generation (one certificate = one MWh). Renewable energy
certificates are created by large-scale renewable energy power plants or small-scale
(household) renewable energy systems. Certificates can be bought and sold, before
they are eventually handed in to the Clean Energy Regulator, a Commonwealth
Government department (Clean Energy Regulator 2014a).
Page 8
GIGA-WHAT? EXPLAINING AUSTRALIA’S RENEWABLE ENERGY TARGET
CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
4. About Australia’s Renewable Energy Target
In 2009, the RET was expanded with
the aim to generate at least 20 percent
of Australia’s electricity from renewable
sources by 2020 (Climate Change
Authority 2012).
The Large-Scale Renewable Energy
Target steadily increases up to a
2020 target of 41,000 GWh, requiring
electricity retailers to source more
and more renewable electricity every
year (Clean Energy Regulator 2014a
and 2014b).
To meet the increasing targets, new
renewable power stations need to be
built. And, to finance these power
stations, renewable power generators
usually need long-term contracts with
electricity retailers (sometimes called
off-take agreements) to sell their
electricity and renewable energy
certificates (ESAA 2014).
The RET aims to:
a) encourage additional renewable
electricity
b) reduce emissions of greenhouse
gases in the electricity sector
c) ensure that renewable energy sources
are ecologically sustainable.
The RET target is made up of:
› A Large-scale Renewable Energy Target (41,000 GWh annually by 2020)
– a capped target to encourage new
major renewable energy power plants,
like wind farms, large solar plants and
hydroelectric power stations (Figure 2a).
› A Small-scale Renewable Energy Scheme – an uncapped scheme to
encourage small-scale renewables,
such as household solar photovoltaic
panels and solar hot water heating
(Figure 2b).
Page 9CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
04ABOUT AUSTRALIA’S RENEWABLE ENERGY TARGET
Figure 2: (from top to bottom) (a) Large-scale renewable energy and (b) Small-scale renewable energy
Page 10 CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
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Page 11CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
04ABOUT AUSTRALIA’S RENEWABLE ENERGY TARGET
Table 2: RET Report Card
How is the RET performing against its objectives?
Objective Comments
Encourage additional renewable electricity
Large-scale renewables
› More than 400 additional large-scale renewable power stations built (Climate Change Authority 2014).
› Increased renewable electricity from 8% (2001) to 13.1% (2013) (BREE 2014c).
Small-scale renewables
› Nearly 1.4 million rooftop solar photovoltaic systems installed (Clean Energy Regulator 2015)
Reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the electricity sector
Australia’s RET was originally designed as a policy response to climate change (Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet 1997).
To date the RET has reduced greenhouse gas emissions by:
› 22.5 million tonnes carbon dioxide (2001–2014) – equivalent to 10% of Australia’s annual electricity emissions
In future the RET will reduce emissions by:
› 58 million tonnes carbon dioxide (2015–2020) – equivalent to annual emissions from all of Australia’s passenger cars and light commercial vehicles
› 299 million tonnes carbon dioxide (2015–2030) – equivalent to half of Australia’s current total annual emissions (Climate Change Authority 2014).
Ensure renewable energy sources are ecologically sustainable
All renewable power stations accredited under the Act comply with all federal, state and local planning and environmental laws (Commonwealth of Australia 2014).
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CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
Page 13CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
05HOW POLICY UNCERTAINTY AFFECTS INVESTMENT
5. How policy uncertainty affects investmentTo invest in renewable energy projects,
financiers, like banks, need certainty in
government policy and legislation to be
able to forecast future electricity prices
and revenue (ESAA 2014).
When governments change existing
policies and laws, or create concern
about possible future changes, this
heightens the sense of risk for investors.
This risk is called “sovereign risk” and is
one of the most damaging sorts of risks
to investors as it undermines the legal
basis on which past investments have
been made, and increases perceptions
of future investment risk.
International investors tend to look
for countries with low sovereign risk
in which to invest. Uncertainty about
government policy raises the cost of
capital, and damages investment, jobs
and growth (Global Commission on the
Economy and Climate 2014).
The Climate Change Authority (2012,
2014) argues frequent reviews of the
RET are contributing to uncertainty and
discouraging investment. There have
been six reviews of the RET since 2001,
two of which were in 2014 (Clean Energy
Council 2014; ESAA 2014; Infographic –
‘Short History of the RET’).
In Australia, policy uncertainty caused
by two reviews of the RET together
with the repeal of the Carbon Price has
effectively frozen new investment in
renewable energy since late 2013 (ESAA
2014; Sydney Morning Herald 2014).
“Banks stated that in the period from
2002 to 2013, there was growing
interest in renewables and strong
lending liquidity… In 2014, however
there have been very few (if any)
renewable energy transactions”
(ESAA 2014)
Bloomberg New Energy Finance
reported an 88% drop in large-scale
renewable energy investment in
Australia compared with 2013 – the
lowest investment in large-scale
renewables since 2002 (Sydney
Morning Herald 2015).
All renewable energy investment
in Australia fell 35 percent in 2014
to $3.7 billion even though globally,
investment in renewables grew by
16 percent. Bloomberg New Energy
Finance (2015) reported renewable
energy investment increased to
$310 billion worldwide in 2014, led by
China, investing $89.5 billion, and
Japan $41.3 billion.
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GIGA-WHAT? EXPLAINING AUSTRALIA’S RENEWABLE ENERGY TARGET
CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
Investment in large-scale renewable energy projects fell 88 percent in Australia in 2014, as global investment in renewable energy grew.
Policy uncertainty also led to a
“hiatus” in mergers and acquisitions in
renewable energy assets in Australia
last year, despite the global value of such
deals in renewables rising 13 percent
(PwC 2015).
“A reduction in renewable targets
is likely to adversely affect the
industry, given investments already
made in achieving the existing
targets. It is difficult to foresee any
pick-up in Australian renewables
deal flow until there is a more
positive and certain policy outlook
for renewable power projects.”
(PwC 2015)
Even if a political deal is reached on the
future of the RET, the key challenge will
be to shift the sense of uncertainty and
return investor confidence to ensure the
targets set out in the Act can be met.
Page 15CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
CONCLUSION
ConclusionRenewable energy targets are a “pivotal”
policy tool for reducing carbon emissions
from electricity supply. After emissions
trading schemes, policies like the RET
which encourage large-scale renewable
energy are the next most cost-effective
way to reduce carbon emissions. Globally,
the number of countries with renewable
energy targets is increasing over time,
as are the targets themselves.
Australia is blessed with abundant
renewable energy resources, more than
500 times our current electricity needs.
Meanwhile our power plants are ageing
and will need to be closed or replaced
in coming decades.
Over more than a decade, the RET
has increased the supply of renewable
energy thereby reducing greenhouse gas
emissions from electricity generation.
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CLIMATECOUNCIL.ORG.AU
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AEMO (Australian Energy Market Operator) (2013a) NEM Historical Market Information Report. Accessed at http://www.aemo.com.au/Electricity/Planning/Related-Information/Historical-Market-Information-Report.
AEMO (2013b) 100 per cent renewables study modeling outcomes. Accessed at http://www.climatechange.gov.au/sites/climatechange/files/documents/08_2013/100-percentrenewables-study-modelling-outcomesreport.pdf.
ARENA (Australian Renewable Energy Agency) (2014) What is renewable energy? Accessed at http://arena.gov.au/about-renewable-energy/.
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BREE (Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics)(2014a) Australian Energy Projections to 2049-50. Accessed at http://www.bree.gov.au/files/files//publications/aep/aep-2014-v2.pdf.
BREE (2014b) Energy in Australia 2014. Accessed at http://www.bree.gov.au/publications/energy-australia.
BREE (2014c), 2014 Australian energy statistics, Canberra, July, Table O Australian electricity generation, by state, by fuel type, physical units.
Clean Energy Council (2014) Lost opportunity and big costs: The impact of an unresolved RET review.
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Climate Institute (2014) Australian views on the renewable energy target and the ideal energy mix. Accessed at http://www.climateinstitute.org.au/verve/_resources/CoN_RenewableEnergy_Factsheet_2014_FINAL.pdf.
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Image Credits Cover photo: “Brown Hill Range wind turbines at sunrise” by Flickr user David Clarke licensed under CC BY-NC-ND 2.0
Page 9: Figure 2a Large Scale Renewables: “Albany Wind Farm” by Flickr user Bentley Smith licensed under CC by –NC-ND 2.0, accessed at https://www.flickr.com/photos/superciliousness/29624786
Page 9: Figure 2b Small Scale Renewables: “Solar panels on old home” by Flickr user Michael Coghlan licensed under CC by –NC-ND 2.0, accessed at https://www.flickr.com/photos/mikecogh/9223731920