Global Trends

Global TrendsGlobal Trends

DHP Year 4 ACETerm 1 Week 3 - 5

DHP Year 4 ACETerm 1 Week 3 - 5

What is a trend? What is a trend? A

Think-Pair-Share:

Is A or B a trend? Why? B

More examples of trendsMore examples of trends

Can you think of some reasons behind these trends?

Can you think of some reasons behind these trends?

Defining a trendDefining a trend A general direction in which something is

developing or changing Measured over time

A general direction in which something is developing or changing

Measured over time

No clear trend

Upward trend

Defining a trendDefining a trend A general direction in which something is

developing or changing Measured over time

A general direction in which something is developing or changing

Measured over time

No comparison over time (comparison only over geographical space)Comparison over time

Group WorkGroup Work Each group will be given a set of

materials (newspaper articles, pictures/cartoons, short write-ups)

Each student is in charge of reading and analysing one resource (10min). Share your insights with your group members.

Complete the worksheet (15min). Each group is to present their findings

to the class (10min).

Each group will be given a set of materials (newspaper articles, pictures/cartoons, short write-ups)

Each student is in charge of reading and analysing one resource (10min). Share your insights with your group members.

Complete the worksheet (15min). Each group is to present their findings

to the class (10min).

Group AGroup A

What is the trend that is highlighted/ predicted here?

What/who is causing it?

What are the likely effects?

Can this trend be reversed?





Group ATrend : Economic

globalisation

Group ATrend : Economic

globalisation

Watch this short clip: http://www.jibjab.com/originals/big_box_mart

Definition: The increasing number of linkages

and flows that occur between economies of the world.

Watch this short clip: http://www.jibjab.com/originals/big_box_mart

Definition: The increasing number of linkages

and flows that occur between economies of the world.

4 Main economic flows that characterise globalisation:

1) Goods and services


1) Goods and services This graphic shows the volume of world imports in 2002. What is most notable is the disappearance of the African continent: Africa is almost invisible in terms of global trade patterns

Proportionate representation based on country of origin for objects found in 8 Walmart stores.

Proportionate representation based on country of origin for objects found in 8 Walmart stores.


2) Labour/people3) Capital


2) Labour/people3) Capital

Global net inflows of foreign direct investment (capital)


4) Technology e.g. international research &

development flows; proportion of populations (and rates of change thereof) using particular inventions (e.g. the telephone, motorcar, broadband)


4) Technology e.g. international research &

development flows; proportion of populations (and rates of change thereof) using particular inventions (e.g. the telephone, motorcar, broadband)

Group BGroup B









Group BTrend: Climate Change &

Environmental Degradation

Group BTrend: Climate Change &

Environmental Degradation

Trends: Global warming, depletion of non-renewable resources, water shortages, environmental damage

Watch this clip from The Inconvenient Truth

Watch this clip called Global Warning

Trends: Global warming, depletion of non-renewable resources, water shortages, environmental damage

Watch this clip from The Inconvenient Truth

Watch this clip called Global Warning

Rising oil prices Rising oil prices

Is technology the solution to environmental damage?

Is technology the solution to environmental damage?

Group CGroup C

What is the trend that is highlighted/predicted here?








Group CTrend: Global Epidemics

Group CTrend: Global Epidemics

"There are a growing number of health problems linked to the increasing number of people and goods crossing the borders every day, because disease crosses the borders in people and goods.

WHO

Watch this clip on H5N1 Avian Flu and its possible effects on the world.

"There are a growing number of health problems linked to the increasing number of people and goods crossing the borders every day, because disease crosses the borders in people and goods.

WHO

Watch this clip on H5N1 Avian Flu and its possible effects on the world.

An international health security report just released by WHO lists the following priorities for the agency in the coming year:

the threat posed by emerging infectious diseases, such as influenza and SARS

the easier spread of disease around the globe due to the movement of people and tainted goods as part of the global economy;

the need to better manage international health disasters, such as tsunamis and earthquakes;

awareness of biological and chemical terror threats; the effects of global warming; AIDS.

An international health security report just released by WHO lists the following priorities for the agency in the coming year:

the threat posed by emerging infectious diseases, such as influenza and SARS

the easier spread of disease around the globe due to the movement of people and tainted goods as part of the global economy;

the need to better manage international health disasters, such as tsunamis and earthquakes;

awareness of biological and chemical terror threats; the effects of global warming; AIDS.

Group DGroup D What is the

trend that is highlighted/predicted here?








Group DTrend: Transnational

Terrorism & Cultural Wars

Group DTrend: Transnational

Terrorism & Cultural WarsIt is my hypothesis that the fundamental source of

conflict in this new world will not be primarily ideological or primarily economic. The great divisions among humankind and the dominating source of conflict will be cultural. Nation states will remain the most powerful actors in world affairs, but the principal conflicts will occur between nations and groups of different civilizations. The clash of civilizations will dominate global politics. The fault lines between civilizations will be the battle lines of the future.

Samuel Huntington, The Clash of Civilizations

It is my hypothesis that the fundamental source of conflict in this new world will not be primarily ideological or primarily economic. The great divisions among humankind and the dominating source of conflict will be cultural. Nation states will remain the most powerful actors in world affairs, but the principal conflicts will occur between nations and groups of different civilizations. The clash of civilizations will dominate global politics. The fault lines between civilizations will be the battle lines of the future.

Samuel Huntington, The Clash of Civilizations

Terrorism is violence, the threat of violence, or other harmful acts committed for political or

ideological goals.

Terrorism is violence, the threat of violence, or other harmful acts committed for political or

ideological goals.

Leading terrorism researcher Professor Martin Rudner, defines "terrorist acts" as attacks against civilians for political or other ideological goals, and goes on to say:

"There is the famous statement: 'One man's terrorist is another man's freedom fighter.' But that is grossly misleading. It assesses the validity of the cause when terrorism is an act. One can have a perfectly beautiful cause and yet if one commits terrorist acts, it is terrorism regardless."

Leading terrorism researcher Professor Martin Rudner, defines "terrorist acts" as attacks against civilians for political or other ideological goals, and goes on to say:

"There is the famous statement: 'One man's terrorist is another man's freedom fighter.' But that is grossly misleading. It assesses the validity of the cause when terrorism is an act. One can have a perfectly beautiful cause and yet if one commits terrorist acts, it is terrorism regardless."

Right: One of the cartoons depicting the Prophet Muhammed with a bomb in his turban. This was published by the DanishJyllands-Postennewspaper. Protests erupted all over the Muslim world after the publication of these cartoons.

Right: One of the cartoons depicting the Prophet Muhammed with a bomb in his turban. This was published by the DanishJyllands-Postennewspaper. Protests erupted all over the Muslim world after the publication of these cartoons.

Group EGroup E









The North/South DivideThe North/South Divide

Is global inequality increasing?

Is global inequality increasing?

A UN report has found that the world is more unequal today than it was 10 years ago, despite considerable economic growth in many regions.

The authors warned that focusing only on economic growth is an ineffective way of achieving development.

They said wealthy nations are the main beneficiaries of economic development.

A UN report has found that the world is more unequal today than it was 10 years ago, despite considerable economic growth in many regions.

The authors warned that focusing only on economic growth is an ineffective way of achieving development.

They said wealthy nations are the main beneficiaries of economic development.

Inequalities in incomeInequalities in income

Inequalities in life expectancyInequalities in life expectancy

Worsening inequality?Worsening inequality?

The End of Poverty?The End of Poverty?

"On this International Day for the Eradication of Poverty, let us recognize that extreme poverty anywhere is a threat to human security everywhere. Let us recall that poverty is a denial of human rights. For the first time in history, in this age of unprecedented wealth and technical prowess, we have the power to save humanity from this shameful scourge. Let us summon the will to do it."

-- Kofi Annan

"On this International Day for the Eradication of Poverty, let us recognize that extreme poverty anywhere is a threat to human security everywhere. Let us recall that poverty is a denial of human rights. For the first time in history, in this age of unprecedented wealth and technical prowess, we have the power to save humanity from this shameful scourge. Let us summon the will to do it."

-- Kofi Annan

The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs)

The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs)

The Millennium Development Goals are eight goals that 189 United Nations member states have agreed to try to achieve by the year 2015.

The Millennium Development Goals are eight goals that 189 United Nations member states have agreed to try to achieve by the year 2015.

Group FGroup F What is the trend that is

highlighted/ predicted here? What is the trend that is

highlighted/ predicted here?

What/who is causing it?What are the likely effects? Can this trend be reversed?

Group FTrend: Global

Diaspora

Group FTrend: Global

Diaspora

The world is shrinking - but not for all

The world is shrinking - but not for all

Free movement of labourversus Fortress EuropeFree movement of labourversus Fortress Europe

Group GGroup G

What is the trend that is highlighted/

predicted here? What/who is

causing it? What are the likely

effects? Can this trend be

reversed?


predicted here? What/who is

causing it? What are the likely


reversed?

Group GTrend: Technological Revolution

Group GTrend: Technological Revolution

Watch this short clip about the One Laptop Per Child project.

Life in 2015 will be revolutionized by the growing effect of multidisciplinary technology across all dimensions of life: social, economic, political, and personal. The results could be astonishing. Effects may include significant improvements in human quality of life and life span, high rates of industrial turnover, lifetime worker training, continued globalization, reshuffling of wealth, cultural amalgamation or invasion with potential for increased tension and conflict, shifts in power from nation states to non-governmental organizations and individuals, mixed environmental effects, improvements in quality of life and the possibility of human eugenics and cloning.

(RAND Report, The Global Technology Revolution)

Watch this short clip about the One Laptop Per Child project.

Life in 2015 will be revolutionized by the growing effect of multidisciplinary technology across all dimensions of life: social, economic, political, and personal. The results could be astonishing. Effects may include significant improvements in human quality of life and life span, high rates of industrial turnover, lifetime worker training, continued globalization, reshuffling of wealth, cultural amalgamation or invasion with potential for increased tension and conflict, shifts in power from nation states to non-governmental organizations and individuals, mixed environmental effects, improvements in quality of life and the possibility of human eugenics and cloning.

(RAND Report, The Global Technology Revolution)

Will technology solve all our problems?

Will technology solve all our problems?

Group HGroup H What is the trend that

is highlighted/ predicted here? What/who is causing

it? What are the likely


reversed?


predicted here? What/who is causing

it? What are the likely


reversed?

DemocracyDemocracy In the dictionary definition, democracy "is

government by the people in which the supreme power is vested in the people and exercised directly by them or by their elected agentsunder a free electoral system."

Democracy has been called the "last form of government" and has spread considerably across the globe. Suffrage, or the right to vote, has been expanded in many jurisdictions over time from relatively narrow groups (such as wealthy men of a particular ethnic group) to all citizens above a certain age.

In the dictionary definition, democracy "is government by the people in which the supreme power is vested in the people and exercised directly by them or by their elected agentsunder a free electoral system."

Democracy has been called the "last form of government" and has spread considerably across the globe. Suffrage, or the right to vote, has been expanded in many jurisdictions over time from relatively narrow groups (such as wealthy men of a particular ethnic group) to all citizens above a certain age.

Group HTrend: The Spread of Democracy

Group HTrend: The Spread of Democracy

The map reflects the findings of Freedom House's survey Freedom in the World 2007. Based on these ratings, countries are divided into three categories: Free (green), Partly Free (orange), and Not Free (red), as reflected in the map.

The map reflects the findings of Freedom House's survey Freedom in the World 2007. Based on these ratings, countries are divided into three categories: Free (green), Partly Free (orange), and Not Free (red), as reflected in the map.

Illiberal Democracies?Illiberal Democracies?

Resistance to democracy: modernisation = Westernisation?

Resistance to democracy: modernisation = Westernisation?

Re-cap: Some important global trends

Re-cap: Some important global trends

Economic globalisation Climate change and resource depletion Global epidemics Culture wars & terrorism North/South Divide Global diaspora The technological revolution The spread of democracy

Economic globalisation Climate change and resource depletion Global epidemics Culture wars & terrorism North/South Divide Global diaspora The technological revolution The spread of democracy

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Global Trends

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