H1 2016 Results 28 October, 2015
Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared solely in connection with the financial results of C&C Group plc (the "Company") for the period ended 31 August, 2015 and should be read in conjunction with the announcement of the financial results of the Company for the period ended 31 August, 2015, released 28 October, 2015 (the “2016 First Half Results Announcement”). For the purposes of this notice, the presentation that follows shall mean and include the slides that follow, the oral presentation of the slides by the Company, the question-and-answer session that follows that oral presentation, hard and electronic copies of this document and any materials distributed at, or in connection with, that presentation. This presentation is not intended to and does not constitute or form part of any offer, or invitation, or solicitation of any offer to issue, underwrite, subscribe for, or otherwise acquire or dispose of any shares or other securities of the Company in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity. No part of this presentation, nor the fact of its distribution, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. The presentation contains forward-looking statements, including statements about the Company's intentions, beliefs and expectations. These statements are based on the Company's current plans, estimates and projections, as well as the Company's expectations of external conditions and events. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, are based on certain assumptions and speak only as of the date they are made. The Company undertakes no duty to and will not necessarily update any such statements in light of new information or future events, except to the extent required by any applicable law or regulation. Recipients of this presentation are therefore cautioned that a number of important factors could cause actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statements. Past performance is no guide to future performance and persons needing advice should consult an independent financial adviser. Your attention is drawn to the ‘Principal Risks and Uncertainties’ set out on pages 14 and 15 of the Company’s 2016 First Half Results Announcement. The risks described, however, are not exhaustive and there may be other risks which may have an adverse effect on the business, financial condition, results or future prospects of the Company. Bulmers Ltd of Clonmel, Ireland, a company within the C&C Group, owns the trade mark BULMERS® in the Republic of Ireland. Bulmers Ltd is not connected with HP Bulmer Ltd of Hereford, UK. BULMERS ® Original Vintage Cider produced by Bulmers Ltd of Clonmel, Ireland is sold outside the Republic of Ireland under the name MAGNERS® Original Irish Cider. For further information see www.candcgroupplc.com
H1 2016 | Slide 2
Overview
- Net revenue down 2.6% - operating profit down 9.5%
- Excellent cash conversion - €38 million reduction in net debt
- Challenging trading conditions in core markets in period – transitional factors
- C&C Brands performing to plan; North America challenges being addressed
- Export strategy delivering - strong brands, new territories: +25% own brand volume growth in period
H1 ‘16
- Continued investment in core brands and markets
- Operating cost reduction plan to deliver €15 million annualised benefit
- FY '16 FCF conversion of c. 70% of EBITDA
- Strong balance sheet and FCF driving increased capital returns to shareholders in line with plan
5% increase in interim dividend: progress towards target dividend cover of c. 2x
On market share buy back programme of up €100 million by July 2016
Net debt to EBITDA target of 2x
Outlook
H1 2016 | Slide 3
Capital Allocation
Financial Summary
Operating Profit
H1 2016 | Slide 4
69.2
3.5
(7.0)
(3.0)
0.2
0.5
(0.8)
62.6
H1 '15 Currency Ireland Scotland C&CBrands
Export NorthAmerica
H1 '16
- Net revenue down 2.6% to €358.6m
- Operating profit down 9.5% to €62.6m
- Operating margin of 17.5%
- Adj. diluted EPS down 6.9% to 14.8 cent
- Free cash flow of €66.4m: 91.5% of EBITDA
- €38m net debt reduction in period to €119.8 m
- Interim dividend up 5.1% to 4.73 cent per share
Key Metrics €m
Irish LAD Market
Ireland | Market Overview
H1 2016 | Slide 5
0
2000
4000
6000
MATJUL10
MATJUL11
MATJUL12
MATJUL13
MATJUL14
MATJUL15
On Trade Off Trade
kHls
C&C | Share of Cider
LAD return to growth
+0.5% +1%
Source: Nielsen/CGA Source: Nielsen/CGA
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Volume Value
OFFS SHARE
ONS SHARE
On-Trade value share
>75%
95 New draught brands in on trade in past
2 years
Volume/Value Split in LAD Cider v. Stout | Summer
Performance
On and Off Trade (May to Aug) Volume change on prior year
Summer 2013
Summer 2015
Leading Stout (5%) +2%
Bulmers +11% (15%)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
On Off
Other
Private Label
Imported
C&C Cider
92% share
61% share
Mar to Aug 2015
Mar to Aug 2015
Performance
Ireland | Performance & Outlook
- Challenging first half
- Poor weather, new cider entrants and increased LAD competition
- Sales restructuring and new customer service centre
- 20% increase in brand investment
- 120% growth in new brands: Heverlee, Roundstone Ale, Clonmel 1650
- Bulmers’ Flavours launched – 2,400 distribution points
- Continued investment in Bulmers– new font and glassware
- Brand health scores positive
- Growing portfolio with focus on niche premium
- Distribution wins: Corona (1m cases) and Accolade Wines (100k cases)
- New internet order platform
- Right business model - brand led wholesale - to sustain performance
H1 2016 | Slide 6
Outlook
H1 2016 (constant currency) Net revenue €142.3m (12.3%) EBIT €30.0m (18.9%) EBIT margin 21.1% (1.7ppts) Volume (kHL) 938.4 (5.8%)
2015 Champion
Keg lager
Scotland | Market Overview
H1 2016 | Slide 7
13%
10%
Free Trade Managed L&T
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
On Trade Off Trade
Volume v. Nearest Competitor Fragmented Market
Free Trade
77%
Tennent’s Clear No. 1
>7x
>3x
64% Tennent’s volume in
On Trade
36% Tennent’s volume in
Off Trade
Standard Lager
Premium Lager
Standard Ale
Premium Niche
Cider
Source: Nielsen/CGA
Source: Nielsen/CGA
Mar to Aug 2015 Mar to Aug 2015
Performance
Scotland| Performance & Outlook
- Challenging first half but no material change to competitive dynamics
- Poor weather and legislative change
- Service disruption in implementing new logistics model leading to customer losses
- Investment in wholesale model nearing completion
- Highly successful Tennent’s campaigns
- Launch of Magners Original Ice: up to 1,500 taps
- SFA Sponsorship and Scottish Rugby renewal
- Growing portfolio with focus on niche premium
- New internet order platform
- Right business model - brand led wholesale - to sustain performance
H1 2016 | Slide 8
Outlook
H1 2016 (constant currency) Net revenue €119.9m (9.8%) EBIT €22.2m (11.9%) EBIT margin 18.5% (0.5ppts) Volume (kHL) 734.3 (7.5%)
+2 m views
+900m opportunities to view through traditional & social media
C&C Brands | Market Overview
H1 2016 | Slide 9
World’s Leading Cider Market Apple Dominant in Scale
0
1
2
3
4
5
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
APPLE PEAR FLAVOURED
million hL
Source: Nielsen/CGA Source: Nielsen/CGA
31 49
64
90
124 134
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Proliferation of Cider Variants
20% reduction in SKUs
through range rationalisation
49%
51%
GB Next 9 Largest
GB 996 million
Litres
Globally important LAD market
50+ million consumers
1,034 million litres
South Africa USA Australia Argentina Spain France Germany Ireland Finland
Performance
C&C Brands| Performance & Outlook
- Positive first half performance
- Commercial restructuring delivering cost savings of €3 million (annualised)
- Switch to direct deliveries with no disruption
- Magners returned to #1 in Modern Apple
- Magners Original: 8.5% growth in Q2
- Improved share, volume trends and operating margins
- UK market remain highly competitive
- Magners brand maintains consumer appeal
- Investment campaign planned for FY ‘17
- Further cost savings to fund investment, protect operating margins
- Exploit niche premium portfolio opportunities
- ABI/SAB combination is first supply-side consolidation this century
H1 2016 | Slide 10
Outlook
H1 2016 (constant currency) Net revenue €60.0m (10.8%) EBIT €7.8m +2.6% EBIT margin 13.0% +1.7ppts Volume (kHL) 717.6 (8.3%)
+102%
+232%
NM i.e. +11,000%
C&C H1 ‘16
4.2 4.7 5.6 9.8
16.6
25.6 36
0
10
20
30
40
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
North America| Market Overview
H1 2016 | Slide 11
High Margin Category
Source: IRI/Co. Data
$18.47
$14.68
$28.07
$36.30 $35.39
Beer DomesticPremium
Beer DomesticSub-Premium
BeerImport
BeerCraft
Cider
Dynamic Cider Market US Market Opportunity
million cases
per case
- Cider only 1% of LAD in US
- Potential to be largest cider market in world
- H1 slowdown in commercial ciders
- Accelerated growth in craft ciders
Performance
North America| Performance & Outlook
- Performance below expectation
- Successful Gumption launch; 14% of Woodchuck volume in September
- New Gumption listings secured
- ATL brand investment not yet delivering to plan
- Ongoing operating, management and marketing review
- Cost base realignment
- Focused investment
- Woodchuck repackaging
- Targeting earnings growth
H1 2016 | Slide 12
Outlook
H1 2016 (constant currency) Net revenue €23.2m (12.5%) EBIT €0.5m (61.5%) EBIT margin 2.2% (2.7ppts) Volume (kHL) 139.4 (14.6%)
Export| Market Overview
H1 2016 | Slide 13
Top 10 Global Cider Markets 2014 Vol. m litres % of Beer
United Kingdom 996 23%
South Africa 244 8%
USA 172 1%
Australia 160 9%
Argentina 101 6%
Spain 96 3%
France 86 5%
Germany 67 1%
Republic of Ireland 66 15%
Finland 43 10%
+20% C&C H1 ‘16
Export 93,169kHl
+25% Growth
+14%
+69%
Cider Opportunity v. Beer
Agreement with
San Miguel Philippines
Cider: Global Opportunity
Global cider volume growth
+5% p.a.
2009 to 2014
Exporting to
>60 markets
Source: Canadean
Source: Canadean
First agreement in Africa in place
Arrangement with Stock
Spirit in Poland
Performance
Export| Performance & Outlook
- Strong first half performance
- Own brand volume +25%
- Growth from cider and beer brands
- Australia recovery; growth in Europe & Asia
- New distribution agreements with scale partners
- Attractive growth opportunity; expanding footprint in Asia and Africa
- Distribution & Licence approach – built on well invested domestic asset base
- Continued marketing investment
- Capitalise on cider category growth
- Tennent’s brand resonance
H1 2016 | Slide 14
Outlook
H1 2016 (constant currency) Net revenue €13.2m +21.1% EBIT €2.1m +31.3% EBIT margin 15.9% +1.2ppts Volume (kHL) 93.2 +12.2%
Business Update & Outlook 28 October, 2015
Investment Case
1
2
3 4
5
Attractive Geographies
Resilient
Defensive
Sustainable
Well-invested Assets
Iconic Brands
Multi Beverage
Highly Cash Generative
Brand led wholesale model in core
markets
Capitalising growth opportunity and capacity to return capital to
shareholders
Balance sheet strength and strong cash
generation
H1 2016 | Slide 16
Asset light in export
markets
Strategic Direction
C&C Group
H1 2016 | Slide 17
- Cider continues to grow internationally driven by consumer choice
- Magners exported to >60 countries and is a top tier International cider brand
- Tennent’s export potential driven by heritage and authenticity
- Continue to invest in export growth through alliances and partnerships – capital light approach
- Magners must retain relevance in GB - world’s largest cider market - continue to examine options to strengthen business, where returns justify investment
- Domestic positions underlined by brand strength and operating model
- Investment behind authentic niche and premium propositions for the millennial consumer
- Explore capital deployment or commercial opportunities to reinforce these businesses
Capital Allocation
2
3 1
Dividend
Long
Term
Value
Share Buy back Corporate Development
Balance sheet strength and strong cash
generation
H1 2016 | Slide 18
Progressive dividend policy
5% increase in interim dividend to 4.73 cent
Progress towards stated target of c. 2x cover
€30 million buy back programme completed in January 2015
Target to buy back up to further €100 million of equity in line with stated plan
Next phase of industry consolidation has commenced
Opportunities to optimise performance - operating or brand assets
Outlook | Market
Core Markets - Investment and innovation
- Enhance operating efficiency; optimise returns from existing assets
- Model supports volume and premium niche
Underperforming Markets - Reduced operating cost
- Management, operating & marketing review
Markets
H1 2016 | Slide 19
Outlook | Growth and Capital Returns
- Global cider growth
- Increased operating leverage – well invested asset base
Growth
H1 2016 | Slide 20
- Increased capital returns
- Balance sheet strength and FCF generation
- Progressive dividend growth: target 2x cover
- Buy back: target of up to €100 million to July 2016
Capital Returns
Net Revenue
H1 ‘16
H1 2016 | Slide 22
€m
368.1
31.8
(20.0)
(13.0)
(7.3) 2.3 (3.3)
358.6
350
360
370
380
390
400
H1 '15 Currency Ireland Scotland C&C Brands Export North America H1 '16
Strong Cash Generation
H1 ‘16
H1 2016 | Slide 23
62.6
10.0
17.2
(0.5)
(5.4)
(5.2) (3.1)
(2.8)
1.1 73.9
(7.5)
66.4
60
70
80
90
100
Op
. Pro
fit
De
p./
Am
ort
.
Wo
rkin
g C
apit
al
Trad
e L
end
ing
Cap
Ex
Inco
me
Tax
Fin
ance
Co
sts
Pe
nsi
on
s
Oth
er
FCF
bef
ore
exc
p.
Exce
pti
on
al It
ems
Fre
e C
ash
flo
w
- Free cash flow of €73.9m before exceptionals: >100% of EBITDA
- 92% EBITDA conversion post exceptionals; FY ‘16 expectation of c. 70% conversion
€m 92% EBITDA
conversion
Strong Cash Generation…. driving net debt reduction
H1 ‘16
H1 2016 | Slide 24
- Strong FCF driving €38 million reduction in net debt
- €450 million facility available until 2019; capacity to increase facility to €700 million
- Strong balance sheet supports capital allocation policy
€m
(157.8)
66.4
(21.1) (3.4) (1.1)
0.1
(2.9) (119.8)
(200.0)
(150.0)
(100.0)
(50.0)
0.0
Net debt1 Mar 2015
Free cash flow Dividends paid Acquisitions Share Buyback Exercise of shareoptions
Other Net debt31 Aug 2015