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LSE: AVAP Jeff Chatfield Executive Chairman Iain Cawte Chief Financial Officer Richard Wolanski Finance Director Duncan Scott Group General Counsel Half Year 2019 Results Investor Update 21 February 2019
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Page 1: Half Year 2019 Results Investor Update - Northcote Internet · part of the Company to undertake or proceed with any transaction. In no circumstances will the Company be ... • Evolution

LSE: AVAP

Jeff ChatfieldExecutive Chairman

Iain CawteChief Financial Officer

Richard WolanskiFinance Director

Duncan ScottGroup General Counsel

Half Year 2019 ResultsInvestor Update21 February 2019

Page 2: Half Year 2019 Results Investor Update - Northcote Internet · part of the Company to undertake or proceed with any transaction. In no circumstances will the Company be ... • Evolution

Important Notice

2

Some of the statements in this presentation constitute “forward-looking statements” that do not directly or

exclusively relate to historical facts. These forward-looking statements reflect the Company’s current intentions,

plans, expectations, assumptions and beliefs about future events and are subject to risks, uncertainties and other

factors, many of which are outside the Company’s control. Important factors that could cause actual results to

differ materially from the expectations expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements include known and

unknown risks. Because actual results could differ materially from the Company’s current intentions, plans,

expectations, assumptions and beliefs about the future, you are urged to view all forward-looking statements

contained in this presentation with caution.

Neither the issue of this Presentation nor any part of its contents is to be taken as any form of commitment on the

part of the Company to undertake or proceed with any transaction. In no circumstances will the Company be

responsible for any costs, losses or expenses incurred in connection with any appraisal or investigation of the

Company. No reliance may be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information or opinions contained in or

given during this Presentation. The information and opinions contained in or given during this Presentation are

provided as at the date hereof, are not necessarily complete and are subject to change without notice. No

representation, warranty or undertaking is given by or on behalf of the Company or its directors, officers,

shareholders, employees, agents and advisors as to the accuracy, completeness or reasonableness of the

information or opinions contained in or given during this Presentation and no liability is accepted or incurred by

any of them for or in respect of any such information or opinions, provided that nothing in this paragraph shall

exclude liability for any representation or warranty made fraudulently.

Page 3: Half Year 2019 Results Investor Update - Northcote Internet · part of the Company to undertake or proceed with any transaction. In no circumstances will the Company be ... • Evolution

3

Snapshot of AvationAircraft Leasing Platform with Diversified Customer Base and Fleet

Notes

1. Excluding finance leases.

2. Calculated for illustrative purposes, and excludes consideration of operating expenses, financing cost and potential for lessees to not make contracted lease payments. Net debt calculated as

total debt minus unrestricted cash and bank balances as at 31 December 2018.

Aircraft Weighted Average Aircraft Age(1)

3.6Y

14 Airline

Customers Operating

in 11 Countries

Weighted Average Remaining Lease

Term

41 3.6 Years

7.5 Years > $1.25BTotal asset value

$837Munearned contracted

revenue

22%/43%/35%split of

widebody/narrowbody/turboprop aircraft by

value

Aircraft ordered for delivery by 30 June

2019

Equivalent to net debt(2)

7

Page 4: Half Year 2019 Results Investor Update - Northcote Internet · part of the Company to undertake or proceed with any transaction. In no circumstances will the Company be ... • Evolution

Historical Operational and Financial PerformanceContinued Evolution to Young Aircraft Portfolio and Track Record of Expansion

4

Notes

1. Excluding finance leases.

Weighted Average Aircraft Age(1)

Years

RevenueTotal Assets ($m)Weighted Average Remaining

Lease TermYears

Total Fleet

15

29

38

0

10

20

30

40

FY2012 FY2015 FY2018 HY2019

41

35

57

109

58

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

FY2012 FY2015 FY2018 HY2019

10.6

5.3

3.2

3.6

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

FY 2012 FY 2015 FY2018 HY2019

7,8

6.5

7.7 7.5

0

2

4

6

8

10

FY2012 FY2015 FY2018 HY2019

248

586

1,152

1,256

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

FY2012 FY2015 FY2018 HY2019

US$M

Increased Scale and Portfolio Size

Young, Attractive Fleet

Long Average Lease Term

Strong Revenue and Cash Flow

Page 5: Half Year 2019 Results Investor Update - Northcote Internet · part of the Company to undertake or proceed with any transaction. In no circumstances will the Company be ... • Evolution

5

Half Year 2019 Summary

Earnings per Share

21.6 cents

+97% YoY

Profit before Tax

$14.2 million

+95% YoY

Total Assets

$1,256.1 million

+9% since 30 June 2018

Average Cost of Debt(1)

4.9%

30 June 2018: 5.0%

Operating Profit (EBIT)

$40.2 million

+60% YoY

1. Weighted average as at 31 December 2018

Total Profit after Tax

$13.6 million

+102% YoY

Lease Rental Revenue

$58.2 million

+40% YoY

Interim Dividend per Share

2.0 cents

Page 6: Half Year 2019 Results Investor Update - Northcote Internet · part of the Company to undertake or proceed with any transaction. In no circumstances will the Company be ... • Evolution

Operational Highlights HY2019

6

Fleet Growth and Diversification

• Acquired 4 aircraft – 3 ATR72-600 and 1 Airbus A220-300

• Contract for 4 Airbus A220-300 aircraft to airBaltic

• Sold Airbus A321-200 aircraft (7 remaining in the fleet)

• Exercise of 8 options for ATR72-600 aircraft/grant of further 8 options

• Increase to 14 airline customers

Funding

• Repayment of all outstanding junior debt

• Repayment of selected senior debt

• Total of 9 aircraft unencumbered as at 31 December 2018

• Evolution of capital structure and credit enhancement

• Removal of notch by S&P (B+/B+); Fitch (BB-/BB-)

• Tap of GMTN $50 million 6.5% Notes in November 2018

Page 7: Half Year 2019 Results Investor Update - Northcote Internet · part of the Company to undertake or proceed with any transaction. In no circumstances will the Company be ... • Evolution

Attractive Industry FundamentalsResilient Airline Traffic Growth Paired with Increasing Reliance on Lessors

7

Notes

1. Airbus Global Market Forecast 2018; Flight Ascend Consulting Q2 2017 Commercial Operating Leasing Market Dynamics Report; Flight Fleets Analyzer (in-service and stored passenger single-

aisle and twin-aisle types)

2. The information provided in this exhibit is a reproduction of an exhibit contained in Flight Ascend Analysis’ Q2 2017 report.

Operating Lessor Fleet of Passenger Jets(2)

Operating lessor fleet as % of total fleetPassenger jet fleet managed by operating lessors

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

Jan

90

Jan

91

Jan

92

Jan

93

Jan

94

Jan

95

Jan

96

Jan

97

Jan

98

Jan

99

Jan

00

Jan

01

Jan

02

Jan

03

Jan

04

Jan

05

Jan

06

Jan

07

Jan

08

Jan

09

Jan

10

Jan

11

Jan

12

Jan

13

Jan

14

Jan

15

Jan

16

Jan

17

Twin-aisle Single -aisle Share of fleet

Global Air Travel Doubles every 15 years(1)

World annual traffic (trillion RPKs)

Page 8: Half Year 2019 Results Investor Update - Northcote Internet · part of the Company to undertake or proceed with any transaction. In no circumstances will the Company be ... • Evolution

Aircraft Type Fleet OrdersPurchase

Rights

Turboprop Aircraft

ATR 72-600 16 11 25

ATR 72-500 6 - -

Narrowbody Aircraft

A321-200 7 - -

A320-200 3 - -

A220-300 2 4 -

Fokker 100 5 - -

Widebody Aircraft

A330-300 1 - -

B777-300ER 1 - -

Total 41 15 25

Avation has built a diversified fleet with aircraft portfolio consisting of

approximately 22% widebody, 43% narrowbody and 35% turboprop aircraft by value

8

Attractive Aircraft Portfolio (as at 31 December 2018)Balanced Fleet Consisting of Young Aircraft

Balanced Fleet with Orderbook and Purchase Rights to Retain Expansion Flexibility

Turboprop41%

Narrowbody59%

By Aircraft Value

FY

20

17

HY

20

19

Turboprop35%

Narrowbody43%

Widebody22%

Page 9: Half Year 2019 Results Investor Update - Northcote Internet · part of the Company to undertake or proceed with any transaction. In no circumstances will the Company be ... • Evolution

14-200-7

7-14

3.6 3-09-6

6-3

7.5

9

Attractive Aircraft Portfolio (Cont’d)Fleet Metrics

FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 HY 2019

Fleet 38 35 38 41

Fleet additions (net) 9 (3) 3 3

Weighted average aircraft age 4.2 years 3.3 years 3.2 years(1) 3.6 years(1)

Weighted average remaining lease term 6.8 years 7.5 years 7.7 years 7.5 years

Young fleet,

reducing risk of

technology

obsolescence

Visibility of cash

flows due to

contracted nature

Notes

1. Excluding finance leases

Weighted Average Aircraft Age (years)(1) Weighted Average Remaining Lease Term (years)

New Mid Old Long Mid Short

A young fleet with long remaining leases

Page 10: Half Year 2019 Results Investor Update - Northcote Internet · part of the Company to undertake or proceed with any transaction. In no circumstances will the Company be ... • Evolution

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Established Customer Relationships with Favorable Contracts

Global Customer Relationships

14 Airline Customers from 11 Countries

No lessees based in mainland China

Page 11: Half Year 2019 Results Investor Update - Northcote Internet · part of the Company to undertake or proceed with any transaction. In no circumstances will the Company be ... • Evolution

Virgin Australia

25%

VietJet16%

PAL12%

EVA10%

Thomas Cook8%

Air Baltic5%

Mandarin4%

Flybe 4%

Air India 4%

Danish Air 3%

Air France 3%EasyJet

2%

Galistair2%

Fiji 2%

11

Established Customer Relationships with Favorable Contracts (Cont’d)

…with New Relationships Driving Credit Enhancement

Growth and diversification continues –

4 Airbus A220 aircraft delivered to airBaltic and 3 ATR72 aircraft delivered prior to 30 June 2019

By Monthly Rental Revenue Run Rate

Top 1 Customer Share – 25%

Top 3 Customers Share – 53%

As at 31 December 2015 As at 31 December 2018

Top 1 Customer Share – 56%

Top 3 Customers Share – 75%

Revenue FY15 =$31 million Revenue HY18 =$58 million

VAA, 56%

Flybe, 10%

Thomas Cook, 9%

Air India, 7%

Air France, 5%

Condor, 5%

UNI Air, 5%

Fiji Airways, 3%

Virgin

Australia

56%

Page 12: Half Year 2019 Results Investor Update - Northcote Internet · part of the Company to undertake or proceed with any transaction. In no circumstances will the Company be ... • Evolution

Fleet Growth

12

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 HY2019

Fleet assets (US$m)

Planned

delivery by

30 June

2019

Page 13: Half Year 2019 Results Investor Update - Northcote Internet · part of the Company to undertake or proceed with any transaction. In no circumstances will the Company be ... • Evolution

Profit & Loss Summary

13

Profit & Loss Summary (US$ million) HY2019 HY2018 Growth

Total revenue and Other income 59.1 52.6 12%

Depreciation expense (19.8) (14.6) 36%

Gains on sale (net of impairment) 6.5 (8.0)

Administrative expense (5.5) (4.9) 11%

Other expenses (1) -

Operating Profit/EBIT 40.2 25.1 60%

Finance expenses (27.6) (18.6) 48%

Finance income 1.6 0.7

Profit before tax 14.2 7.3 95%

Tax (0.6) (0.5)

Total profit after tax 13.6 6.7 102%

Page 14: Half Year 2019 Results Investor Update - Northcote Internet · part of the Company to undertake or proceed with any transaction. In no circumstances will the Company be ... • Evolution

Debt Analysis

14

HY2019 FY2018

Net Indebtedness (US$ million) 840.7 868.6

Weighted Average Cost of Debt 4.9% 5.0%

Weighted Average Cost of Secured Debt 4.1% 4.3%

Proportion of Fixed/Hedged Interest Rate Debt 96.4% 94.8%

Net Debt /Equity 3.6 3.6

Debt/Assets 76.7% 75.4%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

8.00%

9.00%

10.00%

FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 HY2019

Cost of debt

Secured debt Unsecured debt Total debt

Page 15: Half Year 2019 Results Investor Update - Northcote Internet · part of the Company to undertake or proceed with any transaction. In no circumstances will the Company be ... • Evolution

Key Ratios

15

Comparative Ratios HY2019 FY2018

Net asset value per share(A)(B)

£2.88 £2.76

Administrative Expense/Total Revenue 9.4% 9.4%

Credit Ratios

Debt/EBITDA 7.8 8.3

FFO/Debt(C)

7.2% 7.2%

EBITDA/Interest Expense 2.3 2.5

A. Net asset value per share = Equity/Shares in Issue

B. GBP:USD exchange rate as at 31 December 2018: 1.273 (30 June 2018: 1.321)

C. Funds from Operation = EBITDA - Interest Expense - Current Tax

Page 16: Half Year 2019 Results Investor Update - Northcote Internet · part of the Company to undertake or proceed with any transaction. In no circumstances will the Company be ... • Evolution

16

Avation Summary

Attractive Industry Fundamentals

Visible Fleet Growth

Leading Fleet Metrics

Increased Airline and Aircraft Diversification

Evolution of Debt Capital Structure

Realisable Value of Fleet exceeds Book Value

Page 17: Half Year 2019 Results Investor Update - Northcote Internet · part of the Company to undertake or proceed with any transaction. In no circumstances will the Company be ... • Evolution

17

Avation PLC65 Kampong Bahru Road

Singapore 169370

Phone: + 65 6252 2077

www.avation.net

Jeff ChatfieldExecutive Chairman

[email protected]

Richard WolanskiFinance Director

[email protected]

Iain CawteChief Financial Officer

[email protected]

Question & Answer Section

Duncan ScottGroup General Counsel

[email protected]


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